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Tony Watson
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 3" 224LBS | Age: 36

Draft: 2007 | Rd: 9, #278, Pittsburgh Pirates | Nebraska Lincoln
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 4 3.92 62 0 0 57.1 44 1.01
11 Seasons 47 29 2.90 689 0 32 648.1 570 1.08
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 62 7-4 3.92 57.1 44 1.01
11 Seasons 689 47-29 2.90 648.1 570 1.08

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 30 1116 210 7 3.3 85.4 111.5 11 29 .225 .327 .235 .271 .311 27.2 21.2 5.8 1.91 3.13
2016 31 1045 191 13 6.8 86.4 114.2 15.5 27.2 .222 .405 .288 .301 .347 28.2 21.3 7.4 3.06 3.93
2017 32 1010 213 6 2.8 84.3 109.6 9 32.4 .232 .340 .321 .273 .306 22.6 18.2 6.9 3.38 3.22
2018 33 959 174 11 6.3 87.3 112.2 14.1 31.6 .220 .361 .257 .269 .352 32.2 27.6 5.4 2.59 3.05
2019 34 813 173 11 6.4 87.4 113.7 11.1 34.7 .263 .447 .320 .325 .368 31.8 17.7 5.2 4.17 4.79
2020 35 280 54 5 9.3 84.8 113.1 10.7 31.5 .236 .395 .246 .299 .353 29.6 20.5 4.1 2.50 3.79
2021 36 866 163 10 6.1 86 114.3 10.5 31.9 .223 .358 .241 .284 .318 30.1 19.6 8 3.92 3.42
6089 1178 63 5.3 86 114.3 11.8 31.1 .230 .371 .275 .287 .333 28.5 21 6.3
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watson relies on 4 pitches.
Changeup
(33.3%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(25.2%) ,
Slider
(24.1%) ,
Sinker
(17.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Changeup 288 273 15 33.3 85.9 90 82 16 13 1 0 2 7 75 .195 .250 .280 .410 .247 .319 83.6 14 2351 6.1 26.8 8.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 218 139 79 25.2 92.5 53 48 10 5 5 0 0 16 32 .208 .179 .313 .282 .265 .246 86.9 16 2310 6.1 20.0 23.9
2021 Slider 209 37 172 24.1 83.1 41 41 4 3 1 0 0 18 23 .098 .141 .122 .177 .095 .140 78.4 -1 2374 6.0 41.6 27.7
2021 Sinker 151 58 93 17.4 92.3 40 36 10 8 0 0 2 3 33 .278 .313 .444 .547 .345 .402 91.6 1 2295 6.1 13.0 10.7
2020 Changeup 134 110 24 47.9 84.1 40 36 7 5 1 0 1 5 31 .194 .243 .306 .400 .261 .318 81.6 10 2257 6.0 27.6 11.6
2020 Sinker 96 48 48 34.3 89.8 27 27 6 4 0 0 2 9 18 .222 .246 .444 .431 .277 .288 89.5 12 2276 6.1 23.9 40.9
2020 Slider 39 4 35 13.9 81.2 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 .000 .022 .000 .049 .000 .197 92.2 31 2302 6.0 45.5 6.7
2020 4-Seam Fastball 11 1 10 3.9 89.9 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .308 .000 .339 .000 .291 85.1 -11 2344 6.0 0.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 49.5 18.6 24.8 7.1 34.3 36.2 28.6 5.2 38.6 23.3 20.5 5.7 3.3
2016 46.1 24.6 18.3 11 37.2 36.1 26.7 4.2 36.1 26.7 17.8 5.2 6.8
2017 50.7 16.4 24.9 8 28.2 41.8 30 6.1 38.5 23.5 23 2.3 2.8
2018 46.6 23 22.4 8 31 37.9 31 2.9 36.8 28.2 17.2 6.3 6.3
2019 46.2 22 23.1 8.7 29.5 41.6 28.9 4.6 30.6 26 26 5.8 6.4
2020 50 24.1 20.4 5.6 40.7 38.9 20.4 1.9 44.4 22.2 14.8 5.6 9.3
2021 47.9 24.5 21.5 6.1 33.7 44.2 22.1 9.2 35 24.5 19 6.1 6.1
48 21.4 22.5 8.1 32.7 39.5 27.7 5.2 36.5 25.1 20.4 5.2 5.3
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 4-Seamer SF L 214 92.5 21.8 -4.7 -28 14.3 5 53
2021 Changeup SF L 281 85.9 30.3 -2.9 -9 19.9 4.5 29
2021 Sinker SF L 148 92.2 24.7 -0.2 -1 18.5 3.5 23
2021 Slider SF L 209 83.1 38.1 -0.8 -2 3.5 -5.3 -60
2020 Changeup SF L 130 84 31.2 -3.3 -9 18.9 4.4 31
2020 Sinker SF L 93 89.8 24.6 -2.3 -9 15.8 0.1 0
2020 Slider SF L 39 81.2 39.4 -1.5 -4 2.9 -4.9 -63
2020 4-Seamer SF L 11 89.9 24.6 -5.9 -31 11.1 2.2 24
2019 Changeup SF L 310 86.1 31.5 -2.9 -9 20.4 4.5 28
2019 Slider SF L 86 85.6 33.4 -3 -8 1.9 -4.2 -68
2019 Sinker SF L 413 93 24.2 -0.2 -1 16.7 0.7 5
2019 4-Seamer SF L 4 94.3 19.5 -2.5 -15 11.7 1.8 19
2018 Slider SF L 184 84 36.7 -2.5 -6 3.2 -3.6 -53
2018 Sinker SF L 486 92.5 23.9 -0.6 -2 15.9 0.6 4
2018 Changeup SF L 288 85.5 30.7 -3.7 -11 19.6 5.1 35
2017 Changeup LAD L 192 86.3 27.2 -3.6 -12 17.6 2.9 20
2017 Sinker LAD L 653 93.5 22.3 -0.2 -1 15.2 -0.3 -2
2017 Slider LAD L 154 84.9 35 -1.1 -3 4.2 -0.2 -4
2016 Sinker PIT L 673 93.8 21.4 0.3 1 16.9 1.7 11
2016 Slider PIT L 91 86.3 31.6 -1 -3 0.1 -2 -104
2016 Changeup PIT L 249 85.8 29.7 -1.1 -4 19.8 5.3 36
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker -0.4 -1 151 17.4 40 .278 .444 .35 13 7.5 10.7 .313 .547 .403 45.5
2021 Slider -2.6 -5 209 24.1 41 .098 .122 .118 41.6 43.9 27.7 .141 .177 .14 13
2021 4-Seamer -1 -2 218 25.2 53 .208 .313 .269 20 30.2 23.9 .179 .282 .246 37.5
2021 Changeup -0.7 -2 288 33.3 90 .195 .28 .251 26.8 7.8 8 .25 .41 .32 25.3
2020 4-Seamer -1.1 0 11 3.9 2 0 0 .45 0 0 0 .307 .339 .291 0
2020 Slider -2 -1 39 13.9 4 0 0 0 45.5 25 6.7 .022 .049 .197 33.3
2020 Sinker -1.4 -1 96 34.3 27 .222 .444 .315 23.9 33.3 40.9 .246 .431 .288 50
2020 Changeup 0 0 134 47.9 40 .194 .306 .309 27.6 12.5 11.6 .243 .4 .318 19.4
2019 Slider 6.2 5 86 10.6 21 .474 .684 .521 28.9 28.6 20.7 .321 .533 .391 23.1
2019 Changeup -1.5 -5 310 38.1 92 .239 .409 .29 35.7 22.8 25.3 .229 .362 .264 20.6
2019 Sinker -0.4 -2 413 50.8 117 .248 .419 .34 17 12 14 .281 .502 .361 41.3
2019 4-Seamer 4.7 0 4 0.5 0 0
2018 Slider -0.3 -1 184 19.2 49 .149 .298 .208 38.4 46.9 32.4 .175 .275 .214 29.2
2018 Changeup -3.4 -10 288 30 73 .145 .174 .144 35.8 27.4 26.7 .149 .193 .156 13.5
2018 Sinker -0.4 -2 486 50.7 136 .296 .432 .341 16.7 21.3 20.4 .276 .486 .35 42.9
2017 Slider 1.3 2 154 15.2 34 .182 .394 .254 37.8 38.2 17.8 .152 .262 .189 20
2017 Changeup 1.8 3 192 19 76 .31 .563 .413 26.8 14.5 18.3 .255 .406 .303 14.8
2017 Sinker -1.8 -12 653 64.7 171 .289 .375 .33 21.3 15.8 17.5 .244 .332 .282 26.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 102 84.1 100 20.6 9:30 9:30 0
2020 Sinker 65 89.8 95 18.7 10:00 10:00 0
2020 Slider 25 81.3 17 3.4 11:45 2:30 -165
2021 Changeup 277 85.9 99 21.6 9:30 9:30 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 210 92.5 93 17.6 10:00 10:00 0
2021 Sinker 138 92.3 95 20.5 10:00 9:30 30
2021 Slider 204 83.1 17 4.2 1:30 3:00 -90
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 169 625 -4 -6 3 2 -5
2012 208 839 -7 -7 3 2 -10
2013 296 1132 -13 -14 4 5 -17
2014 305 1196 -4 -12 3 3 -11
2015 288 1091 -13 -14 2 4 -21
2016 265 1018 -4 -10 1 3 -10
2017 308 1083 4 -15 -1 3 -8
2018 258 958 -6 -12 2 4 -12
2019 230 813 -3 -4 -1 6 -1
2020 73 280 1 -3 -1 1 -2
2021 224 866 -7 -13 7 3 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1116 45.6 71.7 79.7 35.6 67.6 46.3 65.2 52.6 23.7 5.4 77.6
2016 1045 50 71.8 82 33.9 54.9 43.2 64 52.8 25.5 7.1 78.1
2017 1010 49.7 72.4 80 38.2 63 42.3 66.3 55.2 25.6 6.9 71
2018 959 54.3 68.8 76.5 32.2 61 41.9 68.6 52 26.7 9.4 68.9
2019 813 49.1 70.2 81.1 35.7 60.8 43.2 68.8 52.6 25.9 7.1 69
2020 280 42.1 62.7 81.1 38.9 61.9 39.3 65.8 48.9 27 8.6 54.2
2021 866 47.1 65.7 78 32.3 64.2 44.2 60 48 26.2 6.2 75.9
6089 48.9 69.9 79.6 35 62.1 43.4 65.6 52.2 25.6 7.1 72.1
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 80 65 81 86 76 79 86 96 94 56 77 60 80 76 87
2016 58 76 42 17 76 55 30 91 91 55 58 70 58 66 77
2017 85 66 85 89 71 88 96 98 99 24 75 60 85 62 59
2018 87 71 66 57 93 68 52 78 73 80 91 62 87 48 68
2019 34 23 27 34 42 69 61 79 85 14 91 53 34 52 65
2020 15 51
2021 77 68 69 70 79 81 76 94 95 22 54 50 77 35 65
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.2 9 8.1 1 2 4 5 55.6
2020 22.5 3 2.9 0 1 2 2 66.7
2021 21.1 4 4 0 3 3 2 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 9 9 7 9 9 8 8 8 7 8 9 10 7 5 8 8 5 9 9 9 5 8 8 8 9 8 9 8 9 8 10
2020 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 4 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 2 4 2 3
2021 4 3 7 3 5 3 4 5 4 5 5 4 3 5 3 5 3 3 5 5 2 4 4 4 3 6 3 3 4 3 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.5 93.8 -0.7 93.5 -0.3 92.5 -1 93 0.5 89.8 -3.2 92.4 2.6
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 85.8 0.1 86.3 0.5 85.5 -0.8 86.1 0.6 84.1 -2 85.9 1.8
Breaking Velocity 83.5 86.3 2.8 84.9 -1.4 84 -0.9 85.6 1.6 81.2 -4.4 83.1 1.9
Exit Velocity 85.4 86.4 1 84.3 -2.1 87.3 3 87.4 0.1 84.8 -2.6 86 1.2
Launch Angle 11 15.5 4.5 9 -6.5 14.1 5.1 11.1 -3 10.7 -0.4 10.5 -0.2
Barrel % 3.3 6.8 3.5 2.8 -4 6.3 3.5 6.4 0.1 9.3 2.9 6.1 -3.2
Hard Hit % 27.2 28.2 1 22.6 -5.6 32.2 9.6 31.8 -0.4 29.6 -2.2 30.1 0.5
Sweet Spot % 29 27.2 -1.8 32.4 5.2 31.6 -0.8 34.7 3.1 31.5 -3.2 31.9 0.4
xBA .225 .221 -0.004 .232 0.011 .22 -0.012 .263 0.043 .236 -0.027 .223 -0.013
BA .205 .215 0.01 .278 0.063 .224 -0.054 .264 0.04 .191 -0.073 .193 0.002
xwOBA .271 .301 0.03 .273 -0.028 .269 -0.004 .325 0.056 .299 -0.026 .284 -0.015
wOBA .235 .288 0.053 .321 0.033 .257 -0.064 .32 0.063 .246 -0.074 .241 -0.005
xSLG .327 .405 0.078 .34 -0.065 .361 0.021 .447 0.086 .395 -0.052 .358 -0.037
SLG .265 .393 0.128 .425 0.032 .332 -0.093 .439 0.107 .338 -0.101 .285 -0.053
K% 21.2 21.3 0.1 18.2 -3.1 27.6 9.4 17.7 -9.9 20.5 2.8 19.6 -0.9
BB% 5.8 7.4 1.6 6.9 -0.5 5.4 -1.5 5.2 -0.2 4.1 -1.1 8 3.9
Swing % 52.6 52.8 0.2 55.2 2.4 52 -3.2 52.6 0.6 48.9 -3.7 48 -0.9
Whiff% 23.7 25.5 1.8 25.6 0.1 26.7 1.1 25.9 -0.8 27 1.1 26.2 -0.8
In Zone % 45.6 50 4.4 49.7 -0.3 54.3 4.6 49.1 -5.2 42.1 -7 47.1 5
Out of Zone % 54.4 50 -4.4 50.3 0.3 45.7 -4.6 50.9 5.2 57.9 7 52.9 -5
Out of Zone Swing % 35.6 33.9 -1.7 38.2 4.3 32.2 -6 35.7 3.5 38.9 3.2 32.3 -6.6
First Pitch Swing % 37.9 37.1 -0.8 41.2 4.1 40.6 -0.6 36.4 -4.2 28.8 -7.6 31.1 2.3
First Pitch Strike % 65.2 64 -1.2 66.3 2.3 68.6 2.3 68.8 0.2 65.8 -3 60 -5.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 264 .286 188 11 5.9 76 11 14.5
2017 280 .326 174 6 3.4 106 17 16.0
2018 258 .257 148 8 5.4 110 18 16.4
2019 230 .320 159 15 9.4 71 14 19.7
2020 73 .246 46 2 4.3 27 14 51.9
2021 221 .244 133 19 14.3 88 47 53.4

Pitch Distribution