Tony Watson
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 224LBS | Age: 38
Draft: 2007 | Rd: 9, #278, Pittsburgh Pirates | Nebraska Lincoln
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 2 2 4.17 60 0 0 54 41 1.26
2020 1 0 2.50 21 0 2 18 15 0.89
2021 7 4 3.92 62 0 0 57.1 44 1.01
11 Seasons 47 29 2.90 689 0 32 648.1 570 1.08
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 60 2-2 4.17 54 41 1.26
2020 21 1-0 2.50 18 15 0.89
2021 62 7-4 3.92 57.1 44 1.01
11 Seasons 689 47-29 2.90 648.1 570 1.08
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 30 1116 210 7 3.3 2.4 85.4 111.5 11.0 29.0 .230 .334 .235 .276 .320 26.7 21.2 5.8 1.91 3.10
2016 31 1045 191 13 6.8 4.8 86.4 114.2 15.5 27.2 .224 .410 .288 .304 .353 27.7 21.3 7.4 3.06 3.88
2017 32 1010 213 6 2.8 2.1 84.3 109.6 9.0 32.4 .235 .343 .321 .276 .310 22.6 18.2 6.9 3.38 3.22
2018 33 959 174 11 6.3 4.2 87.3 112.2 14.1 31.6 .222 .365 .257 .271 .357 32.2 27.6 5.4 2.59 3.06
2019 34 813 173 11 6.4 4.8 87.4 113.7 11.1 34.7 .263 .446 .320 .325 .368 31.8 17.7 5.2 4.17 4.69
2020 35 280 54 5 9.3 6.8 84.8 113.1 10.7 31.5 .239 .401 .246 .304 .359 29.6 20.5 4.1 2.50 3.90
2021 36 866 163 10 6.1 4.4 86.0 114.3 10.5 31.9 .223 .359 .241 .283 .316 30.1 19.6 8.0 3.92 3.35
Player 6089 1178 63 5.3 3.8 86.0 114.3 11.8 31.1 .233 .375 .275 .289 .337 28.3 21.0 6.3
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watson relies on 4 pitches.
Changeup
(33.3%) ,
Four Seamer
(25.2%) ,
Slider
(24.1%) ,
Sinker
(17.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 49.5 18.6 24.8 7.1 34.3 36.2 28.6 5.2 38.6 23.3 20.5 5.7 3.3 2.4
2016 46.1 24.6 18.3 11.0 37.2 36.1 26.7 4.2 36.1 26.7 17.8 5.2 6.8 4.8
2017 50.7 16.4 24.9 8.0 28.2 41.8 30.0 6.1 38.5 23.5 23.0 2.3 2.8 2.1
2018 46.6 23.0 22.4 8.0 31.0 37.9 31.0 2.9 36.8 28.2 17.2 6.3 6.3 4.2
2019 46.2 22.0 23.1 8.7 29.5 41.6 28.9 4.6 30.6 26.0 26.0 5.8 6.4 4.8
2020 50.0 25.9 18.5 5.6 40.7 38.9 20.4 1.9 44.4 22.2 14.8 5.6 9.3 6.8
2021 47.9 24.5 21.5 6.1 33.7 44.2 22.1 9.2 35.0 24.5 19.0 6.1 6.1 4.4
Player 48.0 21.5 22.4 8.1 32.7 39.5 27.7 5.2 36.5 25.1 20.4 5.2 5.3 3.8
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup SF L 288 85.9 30.3 -2.9 -9 19.9 4.6 30
2021 Sinker SF L 151 92.3 24.7 -0.3 -1 18.5 3.5 23
2021 Slider SF L 209 83.1 38.1 -0.8 -2 3.5 -4.3 -55
2021 4-Seam Fastball SF L 218 92.5 21.8 -4.7 -28 14.3 5.0 53
2020 Changeup SF L 134 84.1 31.2 -3.3 -9 18.8 4.4 31
2020 4-Seam Fastball SF L 11 89.9 24.6 -5.7 -30 11.1 2.0 21
2020 Sinker SF L 96 89.8 24.6 -2.4 -9 15.8 0.0 0
2020 Slider SF L 39 81.2 39.4 -1.6 -4 2.9 -3.7 -56
2019 Slider SF L 86 85.6 33.4 -3.3 -9 1.9 -3.6 -65
2019 Changeup SF L 310 86.1 31.5 -2.9 -8 20.4 4.5 28
2019 Sinker SF L 413 93.0 24.2 -0.1 0 16.7 0.8 5
2019 4-Seam Fastball SF L 4 94.3 19.5 -2.5 -15 11.7 1.9 19
2018 Sinker SF L 486 92.5 23.9 -0.6 -2 15.9 0.6 4
2018 Slider SF L 184 84.0 36.7 -2.7 -7 3.2 -3.0 -48
2018 Changeup SF L 288 85.5 30.7 -3.7 -11 19.6 5.1 35
2017 Slider LAD L 154 84.9 35.0 -0.9 -3 4.2 0.4 12
2017 Sinker LAD L 653 93.5 22.3 -0.2 -1 15.2 -0.2 -1
2017 Changeup LAD L 192 86.3 27.2 -3.6 -12 17.6 2.9 20
2016 Slider PIT L 91 86.3 33.3 -1.1 -3 0.4 -3.7 -89
2016 Sinker PIT L 674 93.8 22.6 -0.1 0 17.6 3.3 23
2016 Changeup PIT L 249 85.8 31.2 -1.3 -4 20.8 7.1 51
2015 Slider PIT L 55 83.5 39.3 0.3 1 1.3 -5.1 -80
2015 Sinker PIT L 820 94.5 21.0 -1.4 -6 18.1 2.7 18
2015 Changeup PIT L 204 85.7 29.7 -3.2 -10 21.1 6.8 48
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Changeup 0.8 2 288 33.3 90 .195 .280 .251 26.8 7.8 8.0 .248 .410 .319 25.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 2 218 25.2 53 .208 .313 .269 20.0 30.2 23.9 .179 .279 .242 37.5
2021 Slider 2.6 6 209 24.1 41 .098 .122 .118 41.6 43.9 27.7 .140 .175 .139 13.0
2021 Sinker 0.5 1 151 17.4 40 .278 .444 .350 13.0 7.5 10.7 .321 .555 .405 45.5
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 134 47.9 40 .194 .306 .309 27.6 12.5 11.6 .243 .400 .318 19.4
2020 Sinker 1.5 1 96 34.3 27 .222 .444 .315 23.9 33.3 40.9 .246 .431 .288 50.0
2020 Slider 2.0 1 39 13.9 4 .000 .000 .000 45.5 25.0 6.7 .034 .074 .263 33.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 0 11 3.9 2 .000 .000 .450 0.0 0.0 0.0 .307 .339 .291 0.0
2019 Sinker 0.6 2 413 50.8 117 .248 .419 .340 17.0 12.0 14.0 .281 .502 .361 41.3
2019 Changeup 1.6 5 310 38.1 92 .239 .409 .290 35.7 22.8 25.3 .229 .361 .264 20.6
2019 Slider -6.2 -5 86 10.6 21 .474 .684 .521 28.9 28.6 20.7 .321 .533 .391 23.1
2019 4-Seam Fastball -4.5 0 4 0.5 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2018 Sinker 0.5 2 486 50.7 136 .296 .432 .339 16.7 21.3 20.4 .280 .496 .356 42.9
2018 Changeup 3.4 10 288 30.0 73 .145 .174 .144 35.8 27.4 26.7 .149 .192 .155 13.5
2018 Slider 0.4 1 184 19.2 49 .149 .298 .208 38.4 46.9 32.4 .175 .275 .214 29.2
2017 Sinker 1.8 12 653 64.7 171 .289 .375 .329 21.3 15.8 17.5 .247 .337 .285 26.7
2017 Changeup -2.4 -5 192 19.0 76 .310 .563 .425 26.8 14.5 18.3 .255 .405 .303 14.8
2017 Slider -1.3 -2 154 15.2 34 .182 .394 .254 37.8 38.2 17.8 .152 .262 .189 20.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 277 85.9 99 21.6 9:30 9:30 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 210 92.5 93 17.6 10:00 10:00 0
2021 Sinker 138 92.3 95 20.5 10:00 9:30 30
2021 Slider 204 83.1 17 4.2 1:30 3:00 -90
2020 Changeup 102 84.1 100 20.6 9:30 9:30 0
2020 Sinker 65 89.8 95 18.7 10:00 10:00 0
2020 Slider 25 81.3 17 3.4 11:45 2:30 -165
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 169 625 4 6 -3 -2 6
2012 208 839 7 8 -2 -2 11
2013 296 1,132 12 14 -4 -5 17
2014 305 1,196 4 13 -2 -3 10
2015 293 1,104 13 15 -1 -4 23
2016 271 1,042 3 11 -1 -3 10
2017 308 1,083 -5 16 -1 -3 7
2018 258 958 7 12 -2 -4 13
2019 230 813 3 4 1 -6 2
2020 73 280 -1 3 1 -1 2
2021 224 866 8 14 -7 -3 11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,116 45.8 71.7 79.7 36.0 67.8 46.4 65.2 52.6 23.7 5.3 77.6
2016 1,045 49.6 72.2 82.4 33.8 55.1 43.4 64.0 52.8 25.5 7.0 79.5
2017 1,010 49.6 72.4 79.7 38.4 63.7 42.2 67.7 55.2 25.6 6.9 71.0
2018 959 54.2 69.0 76.5 32.1 61.0 41.9 69.4 52.0 26.7 9.3 68.5
2019 813 49.0 70.4 81.1 35.7 60.8 43.3 69.1 52.6 25.9 7.0 70.2
2020 280 42.1 62.7 81.1 38.9 61.9 39.6 65.8 48.9 27.0 8.6 54.2
2021 866 47.1 65.7 78.0 32.3 64.2 44.2 60.3 48.0 26.2 6.2 75.9
Player 6,089 48.8 70.1 79.6 35.0 62.3 43.4 66.0 52.2 25.6 7.0 72.4
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 82 65 81 86 77 79 86 96 94 56 77 60 95 74 86 58
2016 59 77 44 18 76 55 30 91 91 54 58 70 89 65 77 48
2017 84 63 85 90 70 88 96 98 99 24 75 60 100 59 60 38
2018 88 71 66 57 92 68 51 76 74 80 91 63 90 43 71 28
2019 37 25 30 36 47 69 61 79 85 14 91 53 98 45 68 25
2020 10 57 26
2021 79 70 73 72 81 81 76 93 95 22 54 50 90 29 69 35
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.8 10 10.2 0 1 6 6 60.0
2017 21.3 9 6.5 3 3 8 1 11.1
2018 22.0 4 3.7 0 3 5 1 25.0
2019 22.2 9 9.0 0 2 4 6 66.7
2020 22.5 3 3.2 0 2 3 1 33.3
2021 21.1 4 3.6 0 1 1 3 75.0
Player 22.0 39 36.2 3 12 27 18 46.2

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 10 10 8 10 10 9 11 10 10 9 9 12 12 10 9 12 7 9 11 11 10 10 12 12 10 10 11 12 12 10 8
2017 9 5 8 6 9 9 9 6 5 4 6 10 5 5 7 7 6 4 8 6 5 5 8 7 9 4 7 9 6 8 3
2018 4 7 2 5 3 2 5 3 2 1 2 3 6 3 4 3 3 3 4 7 5 3 9 5 3 3 2 3 5 3 2
2019 9 11 9 10 8 9 10 10 6 8 8 8 9 8 9 10 9 9 10 8 9 10 10 10 10 8 6 9 11 9 9
2020 3 4 3 2 3 4 4 2 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 4 2 3 4 5 4 5 5 4 1 2 4 2 4 3 3
2021 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 5 5 3 4 4
Player 39 41 34 36 37 36 43 34 29 27 30 42 37 31 35 40 30 31 41 41 36 37 48 42 36 30 35 40 41 37 29
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.5 93.8 -0.7 93.5 -0.3 92.5 -1.0 93.0 0.5 89.8 -3.2 92.4 2.6
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 85.8 0.1 86.3 0.5 85.5 -0.8 86.1 0.6 84.1 -2.0 85.9 1.8
Breaking Velocity 83.5 86.3 2.8 84.9 -1.4 84.0 -0.9 85.6 1.6 81.2 -4.4 83.1 1.9
Exit Velocity 85.4 86.4 1.0 84.3 -2.1 87.3 3.0 87.4 0.1 84.8 -2.6 86.0 1.2
Launch Angle 11.0 15.5 4.5 9.0 -6.5 14.1 5.1 11.1 -3.0 10.7 -0.4 10.5 -0.2
Barrel % 3.3 6.8 3.5 2.8 -4.0 6.3 3.5 6.4 0.1 9.3 2.9 6.1 -3.2
Hard Hit % 26.7 27.7 1.0 22.6 -5.1 32.2 9.6 31.8 -0.4 29.6 -2.2 30.1 0.5
Sweet Spot % 29.0 27.2 -1.8 32.4 5.2 31.6 -0.8 34.7 3.1 31.5 -3.2 31.9 0.4
xBA .230 .224 -0.006 .235 0.011 .222 -0.013 .263 0.041 .239 -0.024 .223 -0.016
BA .205 .215 0.010 .278 0.063 .224 -0.054 .264 0.040 .191 -0.073 .193 0.002
xwOBA .276 .304 0.028 .276 -0.028 .271 -0.005 .325 0.054 .304 -0.021 .283 -0.021
wOBA .235 .288 0.053 .321 0.033 .257 -0.064 .320 0.063 .246 -0.074 .241 -0.005
xSLG .334 .410 0.076 .343 -0.067 .365 0.022 .446 0.081 .401 -0.045 .359 -0.042
SLG .265 .393 0.128 .425 0.032 .332 -0.093 .439 0.107 .338 -0.101 .285 -0.053
K% 21.2 21.3 0.1 18.2 -3.1 27.6 9.4 17.7 -9.9 20.5 2.8 19.6 -0.9
BB% 5.8 7.4 1.6 6.9 -0.5 5.4 -1.5 5.2 -0.2 4.1 -1.1 8.0 3.9
Swing % 52.6 52.8 0.2 55.2 2.4 52.0 -3.2 52.6 0.6 48.9 -3.7 48.0 -0.9
Whiff% 23.7 25.5 1.8 25.6 0.1 26.7 1.1 25.9 -0.8 27.0 1.1 26.2 -0.8
In Zone % 45.8 49.6 3.8 49.6 0.0 54.2 4.6 49.0 -5.2 42.1 -6.9 47.1 5.0
Out of Zone % 54.2 50.4 -3.8 50.4 0.0 45.8 -4.6 51.0 5.2 57.9 6.9 52.9 -5.0
Out of Zone Swing % 36.0 33.8 -2.2 38.4 4.6 32.1 -6.3 35.7 3.6 38.9 3.2 32.3 -6.6
First Pitch Swing % 37.9 37.1 -0.8 42.1 5.0 41.1 -1.0 36.5 -4.6 28.8 -7.7 31.3 2.5
First Pitch Strike % 65.2 64.0 -1.2 67.7 3.7 69.4 1.7 69.1 -0.3 65.8 -3.3 60.3 -5.5
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 265 .285 188 29 15.4 77 21 27.3
2017 Shifts 280 .326 174 7 4.0 106 23 21.7
2018 Shifts 258 .257 148 11 7.4 110 20 18.2
2019 Shifts 230 .320 159 15 9.4 71 14 19.7
2020 Shifts 73 .246 46 11 23.9 27 18 66.7
2021 Shifts 221 .244 133 31 23.3 88 51 58.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty