Tony Watson
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 3" 224LBS | Age: 36

Draft: 2007 | Rd: 9, #278, Pittsburgh Pirates | Nebraska Lincoln
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 3 3 4.64 36 0 0 33.0 25 1.18
11 Seasons 47 29 2.90 689 0 32 648.1 570 1.08
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 36 3-3 4.64 33.0 25 1.18
11 Seasons 689 47-29 2.90 648.1 570 1.08

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 30 1116 210 7 3.3 2.4 85.4 111.5 11.1 29.0 .231 .336 .235 .277 .321 26.7 21.2 5.8 1.91 3.12
2016 31 1045 191 13 6.8 4.8 86.4 114.2 15.5 27.2 .224 .410 .288 .304 .353 27.7 21.3 7.4 3.06 3.91
2017 32 1010 213 6 2.8 2.1 84.3 109.6 9.0 32.4 .235 .344 .321 .276 .310 22.6 18.2 6.9 3.38 3.22
2018 33 959 174 11 6.3 4.2 87.3 112.2 14.1 31.6 .222 .364 .257 .271 .356 32.2 27.6 5.4 2.59 3.06
2019 34 813 173 11 6.4 4.8 87.4 113.7 11.1 34.7 .263 .447 .320 .325 .368 31.8 17.7 5.2 4.17 4.69
2020 35 280 54 5 9.3 6.8 84.8 113.1 10.7 31.5 .239 .401 .246 .304 .359 29.6 20.5 4.1 2.50 3.87
2021 36 866 163 10 6.1 4.4 86.0 114.3 10.5 31.9 .224 .359 .241 .283 .317 30.1 19.6 8.0 3.92 3.35
Player 6089 1178 63 5.3 3.8 86.0 114.3 11.8 31.1 .233 .376 .275 .289 .338 28.3 21.0 6.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.3 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .369 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watson relies on 4 pitches.
Changeup
(33.3%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(25.2%) ,
Slider
(24.1%) ,
Sinker
(17.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Changeup 288 273 15 33.3 85.9 90 82 16 13 1 0 2 7 75 .195 .248 .280 .411 .247 .319 83.6 14 2351 6.1 26.8 8.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 218 139 79 25.2 92.5 53 48 10 5 5 0 0 16 32 .208 .180 .313 .280 .265 .242 86.9 16 2310 6.1 20.0 23.9
2021 Slider 209 37 172 24.1 83.1 41 41 4 3 1 0 0 18 23 .098 .139 .122 .175 .095 .139 78.4 -1 2374 6.0 41.6 27.7
2021 Sinker 151 58 93 17.4 92.3 40 36 10 8 0 0 2 3 33 .278 .322 .444 .557 .345 .405 91.6 1 2295 6.1 13.0 10.7
2020 Changeup 134 110 24 47.9 84.1 40 36 7 5 1 0 1 5 31 .194 .243 .306 .400 .261 .318 81.6 10 2257 6.0 27.6 11.6
2020 Sinker 96 48 48 34.3 89.8 27 27 6 4 0 0 2 9 18 .222 .246 .444 .431 .277 .288 89.5 12 2276 6.1 23.9 40.9
2020 Slider 39 4 35 13.9 81.2 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 .000 .034 .000 .074 .000 .263 92.2 31 2338 6.0 45.5 6.7
2020 4-Seam Fastball 11 1 10 3.9 89.9 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .308 .000 .339 .000 .291 85.1 -11 2344 6.0 0.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 49.5 18.6 24.8 7.1 34.3 36.2 28.6 5.2 38.1 23.3 20.5 5.7 3.3 2.4
2016 46.1 24.6 18.3 11.0 37.2 36.1 26.7 4.2 36.1 26.7 17.8 5.2 6.8 4.8
2017 50.7 16.4 24.9 8.0 28.2 41.8 30.0 6.1 38.5 23.5 23.0 2.3 2.8 2.1
2018 46.6 23.0 22.4 8.0 31.0 37.9 31.0 2.9 36.8 28.2 17.2 6.3 6.3 4.2
2019 46.2 22.0 23.1 8.7 29.5 41.6 28.9 4.6 30.6 26.0 26.0 5.8 6.4 4.8
2020 50.0 25.9 18.5 5.6 40.7 38.9 20.4 1.9 44.4 22.2 14.8 5.6 9.3 6.8
2021 47.9 24.5 21.5 6.1 33.7 44.2 22.1 9.2 35.0 24.5 19.0 6.1 6.1 4.4
Player 48.0 21.5 22.4 8.1 32.7 39.5 27.7 5.2 36.4 25.1 20.4 5.2 5.3 3.8
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Slider SF L 209 83.1 38.1 -0.9 -2 3.5 -5.3 -60
2021 Changeup SF L 288 85.9 30.3 -2.9 -9 19.9 4.6 30
2021 Sinker SF L 151 92.3 24.7 -0.2 -1 18.5 3.5 23
2021 4-Seamer SF L 218 92.5 21.8 -4.7 -28 14.3 5.0 54
2020 4-Seamer SF L 11 89.9 24.6 -5.9 -31 11.1 2.2 24
2020 Slider SF L 39 81.2 39.4 -1.6 -4 2.9 -5.0 -63
2020 Sinker SF L 96 89.8 24.6 -2.4 -9 15.8 0.0 0
2020 Changeup SF L 134 84.1 31.2 -3.3 -9 18.8 4.4 31
2019 4-Seamer SF L 4 94.3 19.5 -2.5 -14 11.7 1.8 19
2019 Changeup SF L 310 86.1 31.5 -2.9 -9 20.4 4.5 28
2019 Sinker SF L 413 93.0 24.2 -0.1 0 16.7 0.8 5
2019 Slider SF L 86 85.6 33.4 -3.0 -8 1.9 -4.2 -68
2018 Sinker SF L 486 92.5 23.9 -0.5 -2 15.9 0.6 4
2018 Slider SF L 184 84.0 36.7 -2.5 -6 3.2 -3.6 -53
2018 Changeup SF L 288 85.5 30.7 -3.7 -11 19.6 5.1 35
2017 Slider LAD L 154 84.9 35.0 -1.1 -3 4.2 -0.2 -4
2017 Sinker LAD L 653 93.5 22.3 -0.1 -1 15.2 -0.2 -2
2017 Changeup LAD L 192 86.3 27.2 -3.6 -12 17.6 2.9 20
2016 Slider PIT L 91 86.3 31.6 -1.0 -3 0.1 -2.0 -104
2016 Sinker PIT L 674 93.8 21.4 0.3 1 16.9 1.7 11
2016 Changeup PIT L 249 85.8 29.7 -1.1 -4 19.8 5.3 36
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Changeup -0.8 -2 288 33.3 90 .195 .280 .251 26.8 7.8 8.0 .248 .411 .319 25.3
2021 4-Seamer -1.0 -2 218 25.2 53 .208 .313 .269 20.0 30.2 23.9 .180 .280 .243 37.5
2021 Slider -2.6 -6 209 24.1 41 .098 .122 .118 41.6 43.9 27.7 .139 .175 .139 13.0
2021 Sinker -0.5 -1 151 17.4 40 .278 .444 .350 13.0 7.5 10.7 .322 .557 .406 45.5
2020 Changeup 0.0 0 134 47.9 40 .194 .306 .309 27.6 12.5 11.6 .243 .400 .318 19.4
2020 Sinker -1.4 -1 96 34.3 27 .222 .444 .315 23.9 33.3 40.9 .246 .431 .288 50.0
2020 Slider -2.1 -1 39 13.9 4 .000 .000 .000 45.5 25.0 6.7 .034 .074 .263 33.3
2020 4-Seamer -1.1 0 11 3.9 2 .000 .000 .450 0.0 0.0 0.0 .307 .339 .291 0.0
2019 Sinker -0.6 -2 413 50.8 117 .248 .419 .340 17.0 12.0 14.0 .281 .502 .361 41.3
2019 Changeup -1.6 -5 310 38.1 92 .239 .409 .290 35.7 22.8 25.3 .229 .362 .264 20.6
2019 Slider 6.2 5 86 10.6 21 .474 .684 .521 28.9 28.6 20.7 .321 .533 .391 23.1
2019 4-Seamer 4.6 0 4 0.5 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2018 Sinker -0.5 -2 486 50.7 136 .296 .432 .339 16.7 21.3 20.4 .280 .493 .356 42.9
2018 Changeup -3.4 -10 288 30.0 73 .145 .174 .144 35.8 27.4 26.7 .149 .193 .156 13.5
2018 Slider -0.4 -1 184 19.2 49 .149 .298 .208 38.4 46.9 32.4 .175 .275 .214 29.2
2017 Sinker -1.8 -12 653 64.7 171 .289 .375 .329 21.3 15.8 17.5 .247 .337 .285 26.7
2017 Changeup 2.4 5 192 19.0 76 .310 .563 .425 26.8 14.5 18.3 .255 .406 .303 14.8
2017 Slider 1.3 2 154 15.2 34 .182 .394 .254 37.8 38.2 17.8 .152 .262 .189 20.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 102 84.1 100 20.6 9:30 9:30 0
2020 Sinker 65 89.8 95 18.7 10:00 10:00 0
2020 Slider 25 81.3 17 3.4 11:45 2:30 -165
2021 Changeup 277 85.9 99 21.6 9:30 9:30 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 210 92.5 93 17.6 10:00 10:00 0
2021 Sinker 138 92.3 95 20.5 10:00 9:30 30
2021 Slider 204 83.1 17 4.2 1:30 3:00 -90
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 169 625 -4 -6 3 2 -6
2012 208 839 -7 -8 2 2 -11
2013 296 1,132 -12 -14 4 5 -17
2014 305 1,196 -5 -12 3 3 -10
2015 293 1,104 -13 -15 1 4 -23
2016 271 1,042 -3 -11 1 3 -10
2017 308 1,083 5 -16 0 3 -7
2018 258 958 -7 -12 2 4 -13
2019 230 813 -3 -4 -1 6 -2
2020 73 280 1 -3 -1 1 -2
2021 224 866 -7 -14 7 3 -11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,116 45.6 72.0 79.7 35.8 67.8 46.3 65.2 52.6 23.7 5.3 77.6
2016 1,045 49.8 72.1 82.4 33.7 54.8 43.3 64.0 52.8 25.5 7.1 78.4
2017 1,010 49.7 72.4 80.0 38.2 63.0 42.3 67.7 55.2 25.6 6.9 71.0
2018 959 54.3 68.8 76.5 32.2 61.0 41.9 69.4 52.0 26.7 9.4 68.9
2019 813 49.1 70.2 81.1 35.7 60.8 43.2 69.1 52.6 25.9 7.1 69.0
2020 280 42.1 62.7 81.1 38.9 61.9 39.3 65.8 48.9 27.0 8.6 54.2
2021 866 47.1 65.7 78.0 32.3 64.2 44.2 60.3 48.0 26.2 6.2 75.9
Player 6,089 48.9 70.1 79.7 35.0 62.1 43.4 66.0 52.2 25.6 7.0 72.1
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 80 64 81 86 76 79 86 96 94 56 77 60 80 77 87
2016 59 77 44 18 76 55 30 91 91 55 58 70 59 67 77
2017 84 63 85 89 70 88 96 98 99 24 75 60 84 62 59
2018 88 71 66 57 92 68 51 77 74 80 91 62 88 48 68
2019 37 25 30 37 47 69 61 79 85 14 91 53 37 51 66
2020 14 54
2021 80 69 74 73 81 81 76 93 95 22 54 50 80 36 66
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.2 9 8.1 1.0 2 5 4 44.4
2020 22.5 3 2.9 0.0 1 2 2 66.7
2021 21.1 4 4.3 0.0 2 3 2 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 9 9 7 8 9 8 8 8 7 9 10 9 7 5 8 8 5 9 9 9 4 8 8 8 9 8 10 8 9 8 10
2020 3 3 3 4 3 3 0 4 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 4 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 2 4 2 3
2021 4 3 7 3 6 3 6 5 4 5 4 4 3 5 3 7 3 4 5 5 2 4 4 4 3 7 4 3 4 3 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.5 93.8 -0.7 93.5 -0.3 92.5 -1 93 0.5 89.8 -3.2 92.4 2.6 undefined
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 85.8 0.1 86.3 0.5 85.5 -0.8 86.1 0.6 84.1 -2 85.9 1.8 undefined
Breaking Velocity 83.5 86.3 2.8 84.9 -1.4 84 -0.9 85.6 1.6 81.2 -4.4 83.1 1.9 undefined
Exit Velocity 85.4 86.4 1 84.3 -2.1 87.3 3 87.4 0.1 84.8 -2.6 86 1.2 undefined
Launch Angle 11.1 15.5 4.4 9 -6.5 14.1 5.1 11.1 -3 10.7 -0.4 10.5 -0.2 undefined
Barrel % 3.3 6.8 3.5 2.8 -4 6.3 3.5 6.4 0.1 9.3 2.9 6.1 -3.2 undefined
Hard Hit % 26.7 27.7 1 22.6 -5.1 32.2 9.6 31.8 -0.4 29.6 -2.2 30.1 0.5 undefined
Sweet Spot % 29 27.2 -1.8 32.4 5.2 31.6 -0.8 34.7 3.1 31.5 -3.2 31.9 0.4 undefined
xBA .231 .224 -0.007 .235 0.011 .222 -0.013 .263 0.041 .239 -0.024 .224 -0.015 undefined
BA .205 .215 0.01 .278 0.063 .224 -0.054 .264 0.04 .191 -0.073 .193 0.002 undefined
xwOBA .277 .304 0.027 .276 -0.028 .271 -0.005 .325 0.054 .304 -0.021 .283 -0.021 undefined
wOBA .235 .288 0.053 .321 0.033 .257 -0.064 .32 0.063 .246 -0.074 .241 -0.005 undefined
xSLG .336 .41 0.074 .344 -0.066 .364 0.02 .447 0.083 .401 -0.046 .359 -0.042 undefined
SLG .265 .393 0.128 .425 0.032 .332 -0.093 .439 0.107 .338 -0.101 .285 -0.053 undefined
K% 21.2 21.3 0.1 18.2 -3.1 27.6 9.4 17.7 -9.9 20.5 2.8 19.6 -0.9 undefined
BB% 5.8 7.4 1.6 6.9 -0.5 5.4 -1.5 5.2 -0.2 4.1 -1.1 8 3.9 undefined
Swing % 52.6 52.8 0.2 55.2 2.4 52 -3.2 52.6 0.6 48.9 -3.7 48 -0.9 undefined
Whiff% 23.7 25.5 1.8 25.6 0.1 26.7 1.1 25.9 -0.8 27 1.1 26.2 -0.8 undefined
In Zone % 45.6 49.8 4.2 49.7 -0.1 54.3 4.6 49.1 -5.2 42.1 -7 47.1 5 undefined
Out of Zone % 54.4 50.2 -4.2 50.3 0.1 45.7 -4.6 50.9 5.2 57.9 7 52.9 -5 undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 35.8 33.7 -2.1 38.2 4.5 32.2 -6 35.7 3.5 38.9 3.2 32.3 -6.6 undefined
First Pitch Swing % 37.9 37.1 -0.8 42.1 5 41.1 -1 36.5 -4.6 28.8 -7.7 31.3 2.5 undefined
First Pitch Strike % 65.2 64 -1.2