P | Cincinnati Reds
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 285 lbs | Age: 29
Draft: 2015 | Rd. 2, No. 49, Cincinnati Reds | Seguin (TX) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 3 3 3.00 29 1 0 30 46 1.00
2025 1 5 2.44 80 0 7 73.2 75 1.11
2026 2 4 6.95 37 0 5 33.2 30 1.63
6 Seasons 8 16 3.67 196 5 16 203.2 229 1.31
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 29 3-3 3.00 30 46 1.00
2025 80 1-5 2.44 73.2 75 1.11
2026 37 2-4 6.95 33.2 30 1.63
6 Seasons 196 8-16 3.67 203.2 229 1.31
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 24 761 106 8 7.5 4.2 89.1 112.3 17.9 34.0 .203 .357 .318 .307 .366 37.7 29.5 11.1 2.91 3.98
2022 25 408 59 2 3.4 2.1 89.7 107.3 17.9 39.0 .251 .358 .368 .328 .351 39.0 21.9 12.5 5.49 4.43
2023 26 59 12 1 8.3 5.6 92.3 110.8 13.7 58.3 .411 .622 .414 .502 .479 33.3 5.6 27.8 2.70 13.58
2024 27 504 67 4 6.0 3.3 90.2 112.3 19.7 29.9 .183 .304 .250 .245 .354 40.3 37.7 7.4 3.00 2.40
2025 28 1230 191 16 8.4 5.3 91.8 114.3 17.4 35.1 .244 .404 .280 .322 .382 45.5 24.9 9.6 2.44 4.33
2026 29 573 103 14 13.9 9.0 91.7 110.3 18.9 38.8 .272 .551 .385 .394 .449 46.6 19.2 13.5 6.95 7.00
Player 3535 538 45 8.4 5.1 90.8 114.3 18.0 35.9 .235 .403 .314 .325 .387 42.6 25.9 11.0
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .407 .315 .316 .368 37.1 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Santillan relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(64.0%) ,
Slurve
(32.5%) ,
Slider
(3.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 34.0 66.0 27.4 29.2 9.4 26.4 41.5 32.1 12.3 17.9 3.8 14.2 23.6 28.3
2022 32.2 67.8 23.7 37.3 6.8 20.3 45.8 33.9 8.5 23.7 0.0 11.9 22.0 33.9
2023 33.3 66.7 25.0 33.3 8.3 50.0 25.0 25.0 16.7 8.3 8.3 33.3 16.7 16.7
2024 34.3 65.7 32.8 26.9 6.0 25.4 46.3 28.4 10.4 14.9 9.0 14.9 31.3 19.4
2025 37.7 62.8 23.0 28.8 11.0 32.5 42.4 25.1 15.7 18.3 3.1 16.8 24.1 22.0
2026 34.0 66.0 37.9 22.3 5.8 39.8 36.9 23.3 16.5 13.6 3.9 23.3 23.3 19.4
Player 35.1 65.1 28.1 28.4 8.6 30.9 41.6 27.5 13.8 17.3 3.9 17.1 24.3 23.6
MLB 44.1 55.9 24.2 24.6 7.1 37.5 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.5 5.8 16.8 19.8 19.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 4.7 26.4 30.2 23.6 7.5 7.5 4.2
2022 6.8 22.0 25.4 33.9 8.5 3.4 2.1
2023 8.3 16.7 16.7 41.7 8.3 8.3 5.6
2024 4.5 26.9 37.3 20.9 4.5 6.0 3.3
2025 2.1 25.7 29.8 26.2 7.9 8.4 5.3
2026 5.8 25.2 26.2 18.4 8.7 13.9 9.0
Player 4.3 25.3 29.4 24.7 7.6 8.4 5.1
MLB 4.0 32.2 25.0 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Slurve CIN R 186 84.6 43.8 0.8 10.8GLV -0.9 -5.4 -1.9 10.8GLV -0.3
2026 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 367 94.6 16.9 -0.8 11.7ARM 2.6 13.9 -1.7 11.7ARM 3.9
2026 Slider CIN R 20 85.4 35.5 -0.8 9.3GLV 5.9 2.0 -0.6 9.3GLV 5.7
2025 Slurve CIN R 265 86.1 42.8 0.1 10.7GLV -0.2 -5.7 0.9 10.7GLV -1.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 799 96.3 16.3 -0.9 11.7ARM 2.2 13.3 -2.5 11.7ARM 4.1
2025 Changeup CIN R 1 95.1 19.9 -7.7 10.0ARM -6.2 10.3 -6.2 10.0ARM -4.5
2025 Slider CIN R 165 86.5 34.5 -0.8 6.9GLV 2.9 2.2 -0.4 6.9GLV 2.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -0.7 -3 367 64.0 106 .258 .483 .364 18.3 19.8 20.4 .247 .485 .356 40.3
2026 Slurve -3.1 -6 186 32.5 41 .297 .676 .468 30.0 17.1 17.9 .350 .754 .488 63.3
2026 Slider -3.2 -1 20 3.5 7 .000 .000 .400 60.0 28.6 40.0 .038 .038 .415 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball 1.1 9 799 65.0 200 .182 .318 .285 21.9 22.5 17.2 .259 .441 .345 49.6
2025 Slurve -1.5 -4 265 21.5 71 .238 .365 .335 39.5 32.4 20.7 .221 .321 .285 40.0
2025 Slider 0.0 0 165 13.4 30 .231 .385 .298 38.8 23.3 11.7 .196 .358 .273 30.0
2025 Changeup -3.9 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 4-Seam Fastball 367 94.6 92 18.0 1:30 1:30 0
2026 Slider 20 85.4 38 10.0 7:30 9:00 -90
2026 Slurve 186 84.6 44 13.9 7:00 8:00 -60
2025 4-Seam Fastball 799 96.3 93 17.6 1:30 1:30 0
2025 Slider 165 86.5 30 7.9 7:30 9:00 -90
2025 Slurve 264 86.1 38 13.8 7:00 7:45 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 190 761 7 6 -5 -6 1
2022 95 408 0 2 -3 -3 -4
2023 17 59 -1 0 -1 0 -2
2024 122 504 -3 9 -4 -1 2
2025 301 1,230 9 8 -7 -6 5
2026 154 573 -2 1 -4 -3 -9
Player 879 3,535 10 27 -25 10 -8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 761 46.1 61.0 77.1 26.8 48.2 43.0 53.2 42.6 32.7 6.7 66.7
2022 408 49.8 65.5 81.2 20.0 41.5 42.2 51.6 42.6 28.2 6.1 88.0
2023 59 45.8 44.4 91.7 18.8 66.7 39.0 58.8 30.5 16.7 10.2 50.0
2024 504 53.4 71.0 76.4 26.4 50.0 44.8 60.7 50.2 30.0 8.3 78.6
2025 1,230 53.3 71.1 80.5 25.2 48.3 41.5 64.8 49.7 27.0 8.2 79.2
2026 573 45.4 64.6 86.3 26.5 61.4 42.6 54.8 43.8 21.9 6.1 80.0
Player 3,535 49.9 67.1 80.2 25.3 50.6 42.5 58.4 46.1 27.8 7.4 76.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.7 28.6 57.9 42.6 61.2 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2021 75 25 16
2022 86 44 24
2023
2024 92 78 18
2025 57 83 20 54 32 82 68 2 14 63 68 22 49 12 26 9
2026 52 68 15
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 22.61 7 4.2 3 2 4 2 28.6
2022 22.23 1 0.1 1 2 0 0 0.0
2023 -- 0 0.7 -1 0 1 0 --
2024 25.78 4 2.0 2 3 1 1 25.0
2025 26.90 7 5.1 2 3 2 4 57.1
2026 24.30 10 9.5 1 1 7 5 50.0
Player 24.80 29 21.7 7 11 15 12 41.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 7 5 3 4 3 3 5 4 3 3 3 3 7 4 4 6 4 3 6 3 6 4 6 6 4 4 5 3 6 3 4
2022 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2023 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0
2024 4 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 4 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 2
2025 7 5 6 5 6 4 4 6 4 4 4 5 7 6 4 5 5 4 6 5 5 4 8 6 6 4 5 5 7 4 4
2026 10 11 7 8 10 10 9 8 10 11 8 9 8 11 10 11 9 8 11 10 9 11 11 13 7 7 9 10 12 8 10
Player 29 24 18 20 21 20 21 21 19 19 18 21 26 23 21 25 21 18 27 22 22 22 30 28 19 17 21 20 28 18 20
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021
Results
BA .264 +.064 .200 +.014 .186 -.122 .308 +.009 .299 +.082 .217
xBA .272 +.028 .244 +.061 .183 -.228 .411 +.160 .251 +.048 .203
OBP .373 +.083 .290 +.044 .246 -.254 .500 +.089 .411 +.083 .328
xOBP .381 +.052 .329 +.085 .244 -.331 .575 +.202 .373 +.052 .321
SLG .527 +.191 .336 +.017 .319 -.143 .462 +.033 .429 +.028 .401
xSLG .551 +.147 .404 +.100 .304 -.318 .622 +.264 .358 +.001 .357
ISO .264 +.128 .136 +.003 .133 -.021 .154 +.024 .130 -.055 .185
xISO .279 +.119 .160 +.039 .121 -.090 .211 +.104 .107 -.047 .154
BABIP .267 +.017 .250 -.020 .270 -.063 .333 -.053 .386 +.110 .276
wOBA .385 +.105 .280 +.030 .250 -.164 .414 +.046 .368 +.050 .318
xwOBA .394 +.072 .322 +.077 .245 -.257 .502 +.174 .328 +.021 .307
wOBAcon .434 +.118 .316 -.047 .363 +.009 .354 -.063 .417 +.030 .387
xwOBAcon .449 +.067 .382 +.028 .354 -.125 .479 +.128 .351 -.015 .366
BACON .340 +.063 .277 -.036 .313 -.020 .333 -.064 .397 +.073 .324
xBACON .352 +.014 .338 +.029 .309 -.136 .445 +.110 .335 +.024 .311
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 46.6 +1.1 45.5 +5.2 40.3 +7.0 33.3 -5.7 39.0 +1.3 37.7
Avg Exit Velocity 91.7 -0.1 91.8 +1.6 90.2 -2.1 92.3 +2.6 89.7 +0.6 89.1
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 38.8 +3.7 35.1 +5.2 29.9 -28.4 58.3 +19.3 39.0 +5.0 34.0
Barrel % 13.9 +5.5 8.4 +2.4 6.0 -2.3 8.3 +4.9 3.4 -4.1 7.5
Avg Launch Angle 18.9 +1.5 17.4 -2.3 19.7 +6.0 13.7 -4.2 17.9 0.0 17.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.0 +0.6 71.4 +0.5 70.9 -0.6 71.5 -- -- -- --
Attack Angle +1° +2° -3° -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 54.7 +4.6 50.1 +6.9 43.2 -1.2 44.4 -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -2° -3° +7° -2° -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 30° -1° 31° +1° 31° -3° 34° -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.2 +0.1 7.1 +0.2 6.9 -0.2 7.1 -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 94.6 -1.7 96.3 -0.9 97.2 +1.2 96.0 -0.2 96.2 +1.2 95.0
Breaking Velocity 84.7 -1.6 86.3 -0.4 86.7 +2.3 84.4 -2.1 86.5 +1.4 85.1
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- 95.1 +3.1 92.0 -- -- -- -- -- 88.8
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 14 -2 16 +12 4 +3 1 -1 2 -6 8
Popup % 5.8 -5.2 11.0 +5.0 6.0 -2.3 8.3 +1.5 6.8 -2.6 9.4
Flyball % 37.9 +14.9 23.0 -9.8 32.8 +7.8 25.0 +1.3 23.7 -3.7 27.4
Line Drive % 22.3 -6.5 28.8 +1.9 26.9 -6.4 33.3 -4.0 37.3 +8.1 29.2
Groundball % 34.0 -3.7 37.7 +3.4 34.3 +1.0 33.3 +1.1 32.2 -1.8 34.0
Pull % 39.8 +7.3 32.5 +7.1 25.4 -24.6 50.0 +29.7 20.3 -6.1 26.4
Straight Away % 36.9 -5.5 42.4 -3.9 46.3 +21.3 25.0 -20.8 45.8 +4.3 41.5
Opposite Field % 23.3 -1.8 25.1 -3.3 28.4 +3.4 25.0 -8.9 33.9 +1.8 32.1
Weak Contact % 5.8 +3.7 2.1 -2.4 4.5 -3.8 8.3 +1.5 6.8 +2.1 4.7
Pull Airball % 23.3 +6.5 16.8 +1.9 14.9 -18.4 33.3 +21.4 11.9 -2.3 14.2
Topped Contact % 25.2 -0.5 25.7 -1.2 26.9 +10.2 16.7 -5.3 22.0 -4.4 26.4
Under Contact % 26.2 -3.6 29.8 -7.5 37.3 +20.6 16.7 -8.7 25.4 -4.8 30.2
Flare/Burner Contact % 18.4 -7.8 26.2 +5.3 20.9 -20.8 41.7 +7.8 33.9 +10.3 23.6
Solid Contact % 8.7 +0.8 7.9 +3.4 4.5 -3.8 8.3 -0.2 8.5 +1.0 7.5
HR/FB % 25.6 +9.7 15.9 -2.3 18.2 +18.2 0.0 -7.1 7.1 -17.0 24.1
Popups 6 -15 21 +17 4 +3 1 -3 4 -6 10
Flyballs 39 -5 44 +22 22 +19 3 -11 14 -15 29
Line Drives 23 -32 55 +37 18 +14 4 -18 22 -9 31
Groundballs 35 -37 72 +49 23 +19 4 -15 19 -17 36
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 45.4 -7.9 53.3 -0.1 53.4 +7.6 45.8 -4.0 49.8 +3.7 46.1
Out of Zone % 54.6 +7.9 46.7 +0.1 46.6 -7.6 54.2 +4.0 50.2 -3.7 53.9
Edge % 42.6 +1.1 41.5 -3.3 44.8 +5.8 39.0 -3.2 42.2 -0.8 43.0
Zone Swing % 64.6 -6.5 71.1 +0.1 71.0 +26.6 44.4 -21.1 65.5 +4.5 61.0
Out of Zone Swing % 26.5 +1.3 25.2 -1.2 26.4 +7.6 18.8 -1.2 20.0 -6.8 26.8
In Zone Contact % 86.3 +5.8 80.5 +4.1 76.4 -15.3 91.7 +10.5 81.2 +4.1 77.1
Out of Zone Contact % 61.4 +13.1 48.3 -1.7 50.0 -16.7 66.7 +25.2 41.5 -6.7 48.2
Whiff % 21.9 -5.1 27.0 -3.0 30.0 +13.3 16.7 -11.5 28.2 -4.5 32.7
First Strike % 54.8 -10.0 64.8 +4.1 60.7 +1.9 58.8 +7.2 51.6 -1.6 53.2
First Pitch Swing % 29.7 -7.2 36.9 +7.4 29.5 +17.7 11.8 -9.3 21.1 -5.7 26.8
Swing % 43.8 -5.9 49.7 -0.5 50.2 +19.7 30.5 -12.1 42.6 0.0 42.6
Meatball Swing % 80.0 +0.8 79.2 +0.6 78.6 +28.6 50.0 -38.0 88.0 +21.3 66.7
Meatball % 6.1 -2.1 8.2 -0.1 8.3 -1.9 10.2 +4.1 6.1 -0.6 6.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 13.7 -5.6 19.3 -4.3 23.6 +15.3 8.3 -10.5 18.8 -4.1 22.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 38.6 -13.1 51.7 +1.7 50.0 +16.7 33.3 -25.2 58.5 +6.7 51.8
In Zone 260 -395 655 +386 269 +242 27 -176 203 -148 351
Out of Zone 313 -262 575 +340 235 +203 32 -173 205 -205 410
Edge 244 -267 511 +285 226 +203 23 -149 172 -155 327
In Zone Swings 168 -298 466 +275 191 +179 12 -121 133 -81 214
Out of Zone Swings 83 -62 145 +83 62 +56 6 -35 41 -69 110
In Zone Swing & Misses 23 -67 90 +45 45 +44 1 -24 25 -24 49
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 32 -43 75 +44 31 +29 2 -22 24 -33 57
Basic
Pitches 573 -657 1,230 +726 504 +445 59 -349 408 -353 761
PA 156 -145 301 +179 122 +104 18 -78 96 -94 190
AB 129 -136 265 +152 113 +100 13 -64 77 -80 157
Hits 34 -19 53 +32 21 +17 4 -19 23 -11 34
Singles 20 -13 33 +19 14 +12 2 -13 15 -6 21
Doubles 4 -7 11 +8 3 +1 2 -5 7 +3 4
Triples 0 -2 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 2
Home Runs 10 +3 7 +3 4 +4 0 -1 1 -6 7
Walks 21 -8 29 +20 9 +4 5 -7 12 -9 21
Strikeouts 30 -45 75 +29 46 +45 1 -20 21 -35 56
K% 19.2 -5.7 24.9 -12.8 37.7 +32.1 5.6 -16.3 21.9 -7.6 29.5
BB% 13.5 +3.9 9.6 +2.2 7.4 -20.4 27.8 +15.3 12.5 +1.4 11.1
HBP 2 -3 5 +5 0 0 0 -4 4 -3 7
Batted Balls 103 -88 191 +124 67 +55 12 -47 59 -47 106
Fastball Percent 64.0 -1.0 65.0 +4.7 60.3 +14.5 45.8 -3.7 49.5 +2.5 47.0
Offspeed Percent 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.9 1.0 +1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6.4 6.4
Breaking Percent 36.0 +1.0 35.0 -3.7 38.7 -15.5 54.2 +3.7 50.5 +4.0 46.5
Number of Fastballs 367 -432 799 +495 304 +277 27 -175 202 -156 358
Number of Offspeed 0 -1 1 -4 5 +5 0 0 0 -49 49
Number of Breaking 206 -224 430 +235 195 +163 32 -174 206 -148 354
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 190 .318 107 9 8.4 83 42 50.6
2022 Shifts 95 .368 52 1 1.9 43 20 46.5
2023 Shades 17 .414 9 4 44.4 8 2 25.0
2024 Shades 122 .250 74 1 1.4 48 28 58.3
2025 Shades 301 .280 140 63 45.0 161 76 47.2
2026 Shades 154 .385 80 0 0.0 74 34 45.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 220 16.3 33.6% 0.9% 146 24.9 0.0% 12.3%
2022 66 19.4 4.5% 3.0% 119 27.9 0.0% 26.9%
2023 13 13.9 61.5% 0.0% 21 20.3 0.0% 0.0%
2024 113 15.1 48.7% 0.9% 100 20.1 0.0% 0.0%
2025 284 16.5 21.8% 0.7% 217 19.8 0.0% 0.9%
2026 142 17.7 7.0% 2.8% 100 19.8 0.0% 1.0%

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Pitch Distribution