Shelby Miller
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 225LBS | Age: 33
Draft: 2009 | Rd: 1, #19, St. Louis Cardinals | Brownwood HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 1 9.24 13 0 0 12.2 8 2.13
2022 0 1 6.43 4 0 0 7 14 1.29
2023 3 0 1.71 36 1 1 42 42 0.90
11 Seasons 41 58 4.08 203 133 1 820 686 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 13 0-1 9.24 12.2 8 2.13
2022 4 0-1 6.43 7 14 1.29
2023 36 3-0 1.71 42 42 0.90
11 Seasons 203 41-58 4.08 820 686 1.35
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 24 3247 610 22 3.6 2.6 87.2 115.9 10.3 26.6 .226 .338 .290 .285 .319 27.7 19.9 8.5 3.02 3.31
2016 25 1740 346 34 9.8 7.4 89.9 117.6 13.3 34.1 .304 .529 .370 .382 .425 39.3 15.2 9.1 6.15 6.53
2017 26 386 67 3 4.5 3.0 86.6 109.9 10.9 26.9 .227 .324 .293 .286 .305 23.9 20.2 12.1 4.09 3.47
2018 27 328 52 9 17.3 11.4 92.2 110.4 8.5 38.5 .301 .614 .437 .426 .542 53.8 24.1 10.1 10.69 8.63
2019 28 863 157 12 7.6 5.5 89.6 114.9 13.5 34.4 .281 .497 .384 .384 .397 39.7 13.6 13.2 8.59 6.92
2021 30 273 42 3 7.1 4.8 90.9 106.3 16.1 31.0 .275 .461 .433 .382 .366 38.1 12.9 17.7 9.24 6.56
2022 31 127 13 0 0.0 0.0 90.3 108.1 23.5 30.8 .177 .234 .269 .215 .374 30.8 46.7 10.0 6.43 1.90
2023 32 663 100 7 7.0 4.3 89.5 113.7 14.9 30.0 .188 .347 .222 .280 .319 37.0 25.8 11.7 1.71 3.25
Player 7627 1387 90 6.5 4.6 88.6 117.6 12.0 30.2 .251 .413 .324 .326 .364 33.8 19.0 10.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Miller relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(57.6%) ,
Split Finger
(26.2%) ,
Slider
(16.1%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 49.0 20.7 22.1 8.2 30.7 35.6 31.1 3.3 36.7 25.1 23.0 3.3 3.6 2.6
2016 43.6 21.4 29.5 5.5 34.7 41.3 24.0 3.5 28.9 22.0 26.3 4.3 9.8 7.4
2017 46.3 20.9 23.9 9.0 38.8 22.4 38.8 4.5 34.3 29.9 23.9 1.5 4.5 3.0
2018 51.9 25.0 21.2 1.9 30.8 38.5 30.8 5.8 36.5 11.5 25.0 3.8 17.3 11.4
2019 41.4 29.9 24.2 4.5 35.7 34.4 29.9 3.2 28.0 25.5 27.4 7.6 7.6 5.5
2021 38.1 31.0 23.8 7.1 26.2 40.5 33.3 0.0 31.0 28.6 31.0 2.4 7.1 4.8
2022 23.1 53.8 23.1 0.0 30.8 53.8 15.4 0.0 15.4 38.5 38.5 7.7 0.0 0.0
2023 39.0 27.0 22.0 12.0 43.0 38.0 19.0 5.0 33.0 32.0 14.0 9.0 7.0 4.3
Player 45.5 23.1 24.3 7.1 33.4 36.8 28.6 3.5 33.0 24.8 24.2 4.4 6.5 4.6
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Split-Finger LAD R 174 85.6 31.3 -1.1 -3 15.1 2.5 20
2023 Slider LAD R 107 82.1 38.0 -0.8 -2 14.4 6.6 84
2023 4-Seam Fastball LAD R 381 93.5 13.8 2.4 15 9.2 1.2 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball SF R 57 94.4 12.5 2.7 18 8.9 0.5 6
2022 Slider SF R 70 82.1 38.1 -0.7 -2 13.6 5.7 74
2021 Slider PIT R 39 80.2 46.2 4.6 11 17.5 7.5 75
2021 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 173 93.5 12.7 2.8 18 7.7 0.0 0
2021 Cutter PIT R 61 88.7 27.7 -0.7 -3 1.9 -0.4 -16
2019 4-Seam Fastball TEX R 575 94.3 14.1 1.3 8 10.3 2.5 31
2019 Sinker TEX R 26 94.0 16.4 -4.8 -23 13.4 -1.1 -8
2019 Cutter TEX R 31 88.6 27.2 -0.3 -1 3.2 1.4 75
2019 Slider TEX R 4 79.7 54.6 10.1 23 11.4 1.6 16
2019 Changeup TEX R 20 86.7 27.0 -2.5 -9 13.4 -0.7 -5
2019 Curveball TEX R 206 79.4 54.8 1.4 3 7.6 -2.6 -26
2018 Sinker AZ R 16 93.6 19.6 -2.1 -10 14.9 0.5 3
2018 Curveball AZ R 78 79.9 50.9 -1.3 -3 6.0 -3.6 -38
2018 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 193 94.5 14.9 0.6 4 9.3 1.3 17
2018 Cutter AZ R 39 89.9 26.3 -1.1 -4 0.7 -1.1 -61
2018 Changeup AZ R 2 88.2 21.5 -7.3 -25 12.1 -1.9 -13
2017 Curveball AZ R 62 78.1 51.2 -1.7 -3 3.7 -6.0 -62
2017 Cutter AZ R 99 88.7 25.9 -0.3 -1 1.0 -2.6 -163
2017 Sinker AZ R 152 95.2 14.4 -4.4 -23 14.4 -0.4 -3
2017 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 71 93.9 11.9 2.6 18 5.3 -2.8 -35
2016 Curveball AZ R 191 79.6 51.4 -1.8 -3 9.0 -1.4 -13
2016 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 863 93.5 14.8 1.5 9 6.9 -0.6 -7
2016 Changeup AZ R 92 86.6 27.9 -3.2 -10 11.7 -1.3 -10
2016 Sinker AZ R 213 93.8 18.9 -2.8 -13 12.7 -1.2 -9
2016 Cutter AZ R 296 88.6 28.5 -1.5 -5 3.4 0.1 2
2015 Sinker ATL R 1,064 94.5 20.4 -1.3 -6 13.3 -1.0 -7
2015 Curveball ATL R 299 78.6 54.6 0.4 1 12.6 1.8 16
2015 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 1,031 94.8 15.3 0.4 2 7.7 0.2 3
2015 Cutter ATL R 653 87.7 29.4 -1.0 -3 1.5 -1.7 -53
2015 Changeup ATL R 71 87.0 29.0 -2.1 -7 13.3 -0.2 -1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball 3.6 14 382 57.6 89 .110 .178 .222 25.8 24.7 22.0 .206 .394 .328 48.1
2023 Split-Finger 0.7 1 174 26.2 47 .136 .250 .198 30.7 29.8 22.6 .170 .274 .221 16.7
2023 Slider -0.3 0 107 16.1 25 .208 .417 .280 19.1 24.0 23.1 .162 .339 .227 38.9
2022 Slider -1.9 -1 70 55.1 15 .286 .500 .357 18.5 26.7 17.4 .265 .357 .300 30.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 2.2 1 57 44.9 14 .154 .154 .179 26.1 71.4 43.5 .083 .100 .126 33.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball -3.1 -5 173 63.4 41 .290 .516 .430 22.1 12.2 10.0 .293 .468 .415 42.3
2021 Cutter 3.2 2 61 22.3 13 .364 .364 .385 28.1 7.7 6.7 .215 .253 .283 40.0
2021 Slider -7.7 -3 39 14.3 8 .429 1.143 .563 22.2 25.0 8.3 .288 .759 .381 16.7
2019 4-Seam Fastball -2.0 -11 575 66.6 158 .326 .550 .438 18.9 15.8 15.2 .290 .553 .417 47.7
2019 Curveball -3.1 -6 206 23.9 48 .302 .395 .350 14.1 8.3 6.3 .267 .378 .309 17.5
2019 Cutter -5.6 -2 31 3.6 3 .333 .333 .300 27.3 33.3 10.0 .115 .136 .107 0.0
2019 Sinker 0.4 0 26 3.0 6 .250 .250 .383 36.4 0.0 0.0 .129 .140 .316 50.0
2019 Changeup -1.6 0 20 2.3 3 .333 .333 .300 16.7 0.0 0.0 .456 .632 .459 66.7
2019 Slider -6.8 0 4 0.5 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 4-Seam Fastball -3.5 -7 193 58.8 49 .395 .674 .504 12.6 22.4 18.6 .321 .584 .422 56.3
2018 Curveball -2.7 -2 78 23.8 18 .278 .611 .372 36.1 33.3 23.1 .287 .722 .421 50.0
2018 Cutter -3.3 -1 39 11.9 9 .250 .625 .400 26.1 22.2 20.0 .255 .597 .400 50.0
2018 Sinker 0.4 0 16 4.9 3 .000 .000 .233 14.3 0.0 0.0 .049 .062 .637 50.0
2018 Changeup -0.6 0 2 0.6 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 Sinker -1.1 -2 152 39.4 45 .225 .375 .333 20.3 20.0 20.9 .232 .362 .303 25.8
2017 Cutter 0.4 0 99 25.6 30 .240 .280 .308 38.8 26.7 25.8 .203 .242 .276 23.5
2017 4-Seam Fastball 1.8 1 71 18.4 16 .200 .333 .369 9.1 18.8 18.8 .239 .382 .287 33.3
2017 Curveball -0.3 0 62 16.1 7 .286 .429 .307 7.7 0.0 0.0 .255 .279 .233 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 4-Seam Fastball 380 93.5 97 19.5 1:00 1:00 0
2023 Splitter 165 85.7 89 16.7 1:30 2:30 -60
2023 Slider 103 82.1 55 15.4 8:15 9:00 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 57 94.4 96 20.2 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 70 82.1 53 14.5 8:15 9:00 -45
2021 Cutter 61 88.7 52 6.5 11:45 11:15 30
2021 4-Seam Fastball 173 93.5 95 19.8 12:45 12:45 0
2021 Slider 39 80.2 62 19.4 7:30 8:30 -60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 69 270 2 4 -1 -1 3
2013 726 2,980 13 28 -17 -10 14
2014 793 2,954 9 18 -16 -9 3
2015 851 3,217 31 15 -17 -11 18
2016 457 1,728 2 -5 -13 -9 -25
2017 98 384 2 4 -4 -2 0
2018 79 328 -3 -4 -1 -2 -10
2019 218 862 -1 -2 -12 -4 -20
2021 62 273 2 -2 -4 -2 -6
2022 29 127 1 2 -1 -1 0
2023 168 690 12 9 -3 -2 16
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,247 52.8 68.1 83.1 28.5 64.0 44.3 60.7 49.4 21.1 8.0 78.0
2016 1,740 49.8 67.4 84.2 26.7 73.4 42.2 59.3 47.0 18.2 7.9 76.8
2017 386 54.7 72.9 79.7 12.1 61.9 43.8 55.6 45.1 22.4 8.9 82.4
2018 328 50.0 67.7 89.2 26.2 55.8 48.5 48.1 47.0 20.1 8.5 89.3
2019 863 52.2 66.7 84.7 20.6 69.4 45.5 59.1 44.7 18.7 7.2 83.9
2021 273 50.9 71.2 75.8 14.2 78.9 40.3 48.4 43.2 23.7 9.9 66.7
2022 127 56.7 54.2 76.9 20.0 81.8 40.2 72.4 39.4 22.0 10.2 38.5
2023 663 52.8 61.1 81.8 22.7 50.7 41.9 58.0 43.0 26.0 9.2 70.5
Player 7,627 52.0 67.2 83.1 25.1 65.9 43.7 59.0 47.0 20.7 8.2 77.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 75 72 79 80 61 26 83 76 90 47 30 35 39 75 67 38 94
2016 1 1 1 3 2 12 1 12 12 9 32 12 23 62 63 35 98
2017 77 83 27 95
2018 74 73 29 91
2019 2 9 9 11 1 65 37 23 22 2 6 7 1 68 68 24 88
2021 49 81 96
2022 59 78 98
2023 40 68 97
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.2 14 18.7 -5 7 15 7 50.0
2017 21.9 1 1.5 -1 0 1 1 100.0
2018 22.7 5 5.4 0 3 4 2 40.0
2019 24.2 8 8.3 0 3 5 4 50.0
2021 23.9 3 2.6 0 2 2 1 33.3
2023 24.7 3 2.7 0 0 4 0 0.0
Player 23.1 34 39.3 -5 15 31 15 44.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 14 20 17 19 20 16 21 21 14 16 18 20 19 20 16 20 14 16 19 22 21 13 26 24 19 17 17 23 21 19 14
2017 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1
2018 5 7 5 5 5 5 5 6 4 4 5 6 7 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 8 5 2
2019 8 9 6 8 9 8 9 8 7 8 7 8 9 8 8 8 7 8 9 9 8 11 9 9 8 8 9 9 10 9 7
2021 3 4 3 1 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 4 2 3 2 3 3 3 3
2023 3 1 3 2 4 3 4 1 3 2 2 3 3 2 4 3 3 1 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 1 3 4 3 4 1
Player 34 43 35 36 42 35 44 40 31 33 35 42 43 39 36 41 34 34 41 42 42 38 49 48 40 36 37 46 47 42 28
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.0 92.5 -0.5 92.9 0.4 93.8 0.9 -- 0.2 -- -- 92.3 -- 94.4 2.1 93.5 -0.9
Offspeed Velocity 87.0 86.6 -0.4 0.0 0.0 88.2 0.0 -- -1.5 -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 0.0 85.6 0.0
Breaking Velocity 78.6 79.7 1.1 78.1 -1.6 79.9 1.8 -- -0.5 -- -- 80.2 -- 82.1 1.9 82.1 0.0
Exit Velocity 87.2 89.9 2.7 86.6 -3.3 92.2 5.6 -- -2.6 -- -- 90.9 -- 90.3 -0.6 89.5 -0.8
Launch Angle 10.3 13.3 3.0 10.9 -2.4 8.5 -2.4 -- 5.0 -- -- 16.1 -- 23.5 7.4 14.9 -8.6
Barrel % 3.6 9.8 6.2 4.5 -5.3 17.3 12.8 -- -9.7 -- -- 7.1 -- 0.0 -7.1 7.0 7.0
Hard Hit % 27.7 39.3 11.6 23.9 -15.4 53.8 29.9 -- -14.1 -- -- 38.1 -- 30.8 -7.3 37.0 6.2
Sweet Spot % 26.6 34.1 7.5 26.9 -7.2 38.5 11.6 -- -4.1 -- -- 31.0 -- 30.8 -0.2 30.0 -0.8
xBA .226 .304 0.078 .227 -0.077 .301 0.074 -- -0.020 -- -- .275 -- .177 -0.098 .188 0.011
BA .238 .310 0.072 .230 -0.080 .343 0.113 -- -0.026 -- -- .327 -- .222 -0.105 .135 -0.087
xwOBA .285 .382 0.097 .286 -0.096 .426 0.140 -- -0.042 -- -- .382 -- .215 -0.167 .280 0.065
wOBA .290 .370 0.080 .293 -0.077 .437 0.144 -- -0.053 -- -- .433 -- .269 -0.164 .222 -0.047
xSLG .338 .529 0.191 .324 -0.205 .614 0.290 -- -0.117 -- -- .461 -- .234 -0.227 .347 0.113
SLG .355 .493 0.138 .345 -0.148 .643 0.298 -- -0.146 -- -- .571 -- .333 -0.238 .241 -0.092
K% 19.9 15.2 -4.7 20.2 5.0 24.1 3.9 -- -10.5 -- -- 12.9 -- 46.7 33.8 25.8 -20.9
BB% 8.5 9.1 0.6 12.1 3.0 10.1 -2.0 -- 3.1