P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 202 lbs | Age: 31
Draft: 2015 | Rd. 15, No. 443, Chicago Cubs | Indiana
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 4 2.54 60 1 4 56.2 62 1.06
2024 0 0 5.40 3 0 0 3.1 2 1.50
2025 0 0 8.44 11 0 0 10.2 6 1.78
4 Seasons 3 5 3.59 88 1 4 85.1 88 1.15
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 60 1-4 2.54 56.2 62 1.06
2024 3 0-0 5.40 3.1 2 1.50
2025 11 0-0 8.44 10.2 6 1.78
4 Seasons 88 3-5 3.59 85.1 88 1.15
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 27 222 36 3 8.3 5.2 90.5 110.4 9.8 36.1 .205 .345 .304 .261 .341 38.9 31.0 1.7 3.68 2.85
2022 28 815 150 6 4.0 2.6 87.3 108.0 8.7 30.0 .203 .303 .247 .248 .312 37.3 27.1 6.6 2.54 2.51
2024 30 55 10 1 10.0 7.1 89.6 105.3 -6.6 40.0 .338 .587 .371 .436 .472 50.0 14.3 14.3 5.40 9.08
2025 31 156 42 2 4.8 3.9 86.4 111.3 6.0 28.6 .298 .458 .398 .338 .370 45.2 11.8 5.9 8.44 4.87
Player 1248 238 12 5.0 3.4 87.7 111.3 7.7 31.1 .223 .343 .283 .271 .333 39.5 25.0 6.0
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Effross relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(50.0%) ,
Sweeper
(33.3%) ,
Changeup
(12.2%) ,
Four Seamer
(4.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 47.2 52.8 36.1 16.7 0.0 47.2 41.7 11.1 30.6 13.9 2.8 16.7 27.8 8.3
2022 45.3 54.7 24.7 22.0 8.0 26.7 47.3 26.0 16.7 22.0 6.7 10.0 25.3 19.3
2024 60.0 40.0 10.0 30.0 0.0 30.0 50.0 20.0 20.0 30.0 10.0 10.0 20.0 10.0
2025 50.0 50.0 23.8 23.8 2.4 50.0 33.3 16.7 28.6 14.3 7.1 21.4 19.0 9.5
Player 47.1 52.9 25.6 21.8 5.5 34.0 44.1 21.8 21.0 19.7 6.3 13.0 24.4 15.5
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 0.0 30.6 25.0 30.6 5.6 8.3 5.2
2022 4.7 36.0 26.7 23.3 5.3 4.0 2.6
2024 10.0 40.0 10.0 30.0 0.0 10.0 7.1
2025 4.8 35.7 14.3 31.0 9.5 4.8 3.9
Player 4.2 35.3 23.5 26.1 5.9 5.0 3.4
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2025 Changeup NYY R 19 82.0 48.7 0.8 14.7ARM 0.1 -7.5 11.6 14.7ARM 0.3
2025 Sinker NYY R 78 89.2 38.5 2.3 17.5ARM 4.2 -3.7 11.1 17.5ARM 2.4
2025 Sweeper NYY R 52 78.8 42.0 2.4 8.2GLV -7.8 2.5 -1.4 8.2GLV -5.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball NYY R 7 89.3 34.2 -6.9 19.7ARM 11.2 0.6 -15.2 19.7ARM 12.1
2024 4-Seam Fastball NYY R 11 89.8 30.1 -5.7 17.9ARM 5.3 4.4 -11.3 17.9ARM 10.3
2024 Sinker NYY R 18 89.7 38.9 4.0 17.6ARM 1.7 -4.6 11.8 17.6ARM 2.7
2024 Changeup NYY R 7 82.1 48.9 2.1 14.9ARM 0.1 -7.9 12.8 14.9ARM 0.7
2024 Sweeper NYY R 19 78.8 42.6 1.9 11.6GLV -2.6 1.9 -0.4 11.6GLV -2.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Sinker -1.4 -1 78 50.0 28 .346 .577 .414 9.3 10.7 20.0 .301 .413 .336 43.5
2025 Sweeper -1.3 -1 52 33.3 13 .308 .692 .415 34.8 23.1 21.4 .211 .310 .222 50.0
2025 Changeup -7.1 -1 19 12.2 8 .375 .500 .381 8.3 0.0 0.0 .419 .710 .482 37.5
2025 4-Seam Fastball 5.2 0 7 4.5 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .404 1.541 .799 100.0
2024 Sweeper -10.4 -2 19 34.5 3 .333 1.333 .667 25.0 33.3 25.0 .455 1.239 .707 50.0
2024 Sinker 4.1 1 18 32.7 6 .200 .200 .267 0.0 16.7 33.3 .212 .265 .284 75.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 0 11 20.0 2 .500 .500 .450 40.0 0.0 0.0 .587 .738 .587 50.0
2024 Changeup 3.9 0 7 12.7 3 .000 .000 .233 0.0 0.0 0.0 .230 .262 .374 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 19 82.0 97 18.5 3:45 4:00 -15
2025 Sinker 78 89.2 98 19.1 3:15 3:30 -15
2025 Sweeper 52 78.8 22 9.3 8:30 9:15 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 11 89.8 93 19.1 3:00 2:45 15
2024 Sinker 18 89.7 94 19.5 3:00 3:45 -45
2024 Sweeper 19 78.8 29 12.4 8:30 9:00 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 58 222 3 2 -2 -2 1
2022 226 815 8 9 -2 -3 12
2024 14 55 -2 1 0 0 -1
2025 50 156 -3 2 -1 -1 -3
Player 348 1,248 6 14 -5 6 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 222 56.3 62.4 73.1 22.7 59.1 42.3 75.9 45.0 30.0 9.0 55.0
2022 815 48.8 61.3 81.1 33.8 67.4 40.2 66.8 47.2 23.9 9.1 64.9
2024 55 52.7 72.4 90.5 23.1 66.7 36.4 64.3 49.1 14.8 10.9 100.0
2025 156 53.8 69.0 87.9 33.3 75.0 28.2 64.7 52.6 15.9 9.6 86.7
Player 1,248 51.0 63.1 81.0 31.5 67.4 38.9 67.9 47.6 23.4 9.2 67.8
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 12 54 30
2022 95 86 90 90 91 95 94 77 56 76 68 32 89 8 48 19
2025 2 30 8
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 25.56 2 2.1 0 2 1 1 50.0
2022 24.35 3 2.5 1 2 2 1 33.3
2024 23.64 1 1.0 0 0 1 0 0.0
2025 26.90 1 0.7 0 1 1 0 0.0
Player 25.20 7 6.3 1 5 5 2 28.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 2
2022 3 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 4 2 2 4 2 4 3 2 2 2 3 4 2 3
2024 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2025 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1
Player 7 7 6 5 5 6 7 6 4 5 6 8 6 6 6 5 7 7 5 7 7 6 10 7 4 5 7 8 8 6 7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021
Results
BA .333 +.083 .250 -- -- -- -- -.036 .250
xBA .298 -.040 .338 -- -- -- -- -.002 .205
OBP .373 +.016 .357 -- -- -- -- -.024 .293
xOBP .340 -.093 .433 -- -- -- -- +.005 .255
SLG .583 +.083 .500 -- -- -- -- -.128 .423
xSLG .458 -.129 .587 -- -- -- -- -.042 .345
ISO .250 .000 .250 -- -- -- -- -.092 .173
xISO .160 -.088 .248 -- -- -- -- -.041 .141
BABIP .366 +.144 .222 -- -- -- -- -.036 .324
wOBA .398 +.027 .371 -- -- -- -- -.057 .304
xwOBA .338 -.098 .436 -- -- -- -- -.013 .261
wOBACON .441 +.060 .381 -- -- -- -- -.099 .410
xwOBACON .370 -.102 .472 -- -- -- -- -.029 .341
BACON .381 +.081 .300 -- -- -- -- -.059 .361
xBACON .341 -.065 .406 -- -- -- -- -.011 .300
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 45.2 -4.8 50.0 -- -- -- -- -1.6 38.9
Avg Exit Velocity 86.4 -3.2 89.6 -- -- -- -- -3.2 90.5
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 28.6 -11.4 40.0 -- -- -- -- -6.1 36.1
Barrel % 4.8 -5.2 10.0 -- -- -- -- -4.3 8.3
Avg Launch Angle 6.0 +12.6 -6.6 -- -- -- -- -1.1 9.8
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.9 -0.1 72.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Angle -- -- -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 52.0 +2.0 50.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -4° -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° +3° 30° -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.2 -0.1 7.3 -- -- -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 89.2 -0.5 89.7 -- -- -- -- -0.2 90.7
Breaking Velocity 78.8 0.0 78.8 -- -- -- -- -0.7 80.5
Offspeed Velocity 82.0 -0.1 82.1 -- -- -- -- 0.0 83.0
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 2 +1 1 -- -- -- -- +3 3
Popup % 2.4 +2.4 0.0 -- -- -- -- +8.0 0.0
Flyball % 23.8 +13.8 10.0 -- -- -- -- -11.4 36.1
Line Drive % 23.8 -6.2 30.0 -- -- -- -- +5.3 16.7
Groundball % 50.0 -10.0 60.0 -- -- -- -- -1.9 47.2
Pull % 50.0 +20.0 30.0 -- -- -- -- -20.5 47.2
Straight Away % 33.3 -16.7 50.0 -- -- -- -- +5.6 41.7
Opposite Field % 16.7 -3.3 20.0 -- -- -- -- +14.9 11.1
Weak Contact % 4.8 -5.2 10.0 -- -- -- -- +4.7 0.0
Pull Airball % 21.4 +11.4 10.0 -- -- -- -- -6.7 16.7
Topped Contact % 35.7 -4.3 40.0 -- -- -- -- +5.4 30.6
Under Contact % 14.3 +4.3 10.0 -- -- -- -- +1.7 25.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 31.0 +1.0 30.0 -- -- -- -- -7.3 30.6
Solid Contact % 9.5 +9.5 0.0 -- -- -- -- -0.3 5.6
HR/FB % 10.0 -90.0 100.0 -- -- -- -- -7.3 15.4
Popups 1 +1 0 -- -- -- -- +12 0
Flyballs 10 +9 1 -- -- -- -- +24 13
Line Drives 10 +7 3 -- -- -- -- +27 6
Groundballs 21 +15 6 -- -- -- -- +51 17
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 53.8 +1.1 52.7 -- -- -- -- -7.5 56.3
Out of Zone % 46.2 -1.1 47.3 -- -- -- -- +7.5 43.7
Edge % 28.2 -8.2 36.4 -- -- -- -- -2.1 42.3
Zone Swing % 69.0 -3.4 72.4 -- -- -- -- -1.1 62.4
Out of Zone Swing % 33.3 +10.2 23.1 -- -- -- -- +11.1 22.7
In Zone Contact % 87.9 -2.6 90.5 -- -- -- -- +8.0 73.1
Out of Zone Contact % 75.0 +8.3 66.7 -- -- -- -- +8.3 59.1
Whiff % 15.9 +1.1 14.8 -- -- -- -- -6.1 30.0
First Strike % 64.7 +0.4 64.3 -- -- -- -- -9.1 75.9
First Pitch Swing % 33.3 -2.4 35.7 -- -- -- -- +1.2 27.6
Swing % 52.6 +3.5 49.1 -- -- -- -- +2.2 45.0
Meatball Swing % 86.7 -13.3 100.0 -- -- -- -- +9.9 55.0
Meatball % 9.6 -1.3 10.9 -- -- -- -- +0.1 9.0
Zone Swing & Miss % 12.1 +2.6 9.5 -- -- -- -- -8.0 26.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 25.0 -8.3 33.3 -- -- -- -- -8.3 40.9
In Zone 84 +55 29 -- -- -- -- +273 125
Out of Zone 72 +46 26 -- -- -- -- +320 97
Edge 44 +24 20 -- -- -- -- +234 94
In Zone Swings 58 +37 21 -- -- -- -- +166 78
Out of Zone Swings 24 +18 6 -- -- -- -- +119 22
In Zone Swing & Misses 7 +5 2 -- -- -- -- +25 21
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 6 +4 2 -- -- -- -- +37 9
Basic
Pitches 156 +101 55 -- -- -- -- +593 222
PA 51 +37 14 -- -- -- -- +171 58
AB 48 +36 12 -- -- -- -- +158 52
Hits 16 +13 3 -- -- -- -- +32 13
Singles 8 +6 2 -- -- -- -- +27 8
Doubles 5 +5 0 -- -- -- -- +3 3
Triples 2 +2 0 -- -- -- -- +1 0
Home Runs 1 0 1 -- -- -- -- +1 2
Walks 3 +1 2 -- -- -- -- +14 1
Strikeouts 6 +4 2 -- -- -- -- +44 18
K% 11.8 -2.5 14.3 -- -- -- -- -3.9 31.0
BB% 5.9 -8.4 14.3 -- -- -- -- +4.9 1.7
HBP 0 0 0 -- -- -- -- -2 3
Batted Balls 42 +32 10 -- -- -- -- +114 36
Number of Fastballs 85 +56 29 -- -- -- -- +236 131
Number of Offspeed 19 +12 7 -- -- -- -- +98 22
Number of Breaking 0 0 0 -- -- -- -- +1 0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 58 .304 33 7 21.2 25 14 56.0
2022 Shifts 226 .247 148 28 18.9 78 47 60.3
2024 Shades 14 .371 10 0 0.0 4 3 75.0
2025 Shades 50 .398 30 2 6.7 20 5 25.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 59 21.1 3.4% 3.4% 50 24.2 0.0% 16.0%
2022 217 19.9 6.0% 4.6% 170 24.3 0.6% 17.6%
2024 18 15.1 44.4% 0.0% 6 19.1 0.0% 0.0%
2025 39 15.5 38.5% 0.0% 28 17.7 3.6% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution