Robbie Ray
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 225LBS | Age: 31

Draft: 2010 | Rd: 12, #356, Washington Nationals | Brentwood HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 12 12 3.71 32 32 0 189.0 212 1.19
9 Seasons 74 70 3.95 225 221 0 1224.2 1502 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 32 12-12 3.71 189.0 212 1.19
9 Seasons 225 74-70 3.95 1224.2 1502 1.30

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 23 2257 369 20 5.4 3.7 89.7 114.0 12.3 31.4 .243 .370 .318 .308 .353 35.8 21.8 9.0 3.52 3.91
2016 24 3176 481 33 6.9 4.3 89.9 116.3 12.3 32.2 .246 .407 .332 .317 .408 39.3 28.1 9.1 4.90 4.25
2017 25 2715 371 23 6.2 3.5 89.9 112.7 14.4 31.5 .215 .370 .282 .297 .395 41.0 32.8 10.7 2.89 3.76
2018 26 2287 286 25 8.7 4.8 90.1 116.0 14.6 36.4 .217 .362 .312 .309 .392 41.6 31.4 13.3 3.93 4.04
2019 27 3064 422 45 10.7 6.0 88.9 114.3 14.8 38.9 .228 .429 .322 .322 .432 38.6 31.5 11.2 4.34 4.60
2020 28 1064 137 18 13.1 7.2 91.6 112.8 22.9 38.0 .254 .487 .390 .379 .462 46.0 27.1 17.9 6.62 6.44
2021 29 3141 469 46 9.8 6.0 90.4 115.3 17.6 34.3 .219 .398 .287 .293 .401 43.1 32.1 6.7 2.84 3.60
2022 30 3047 494 39 7.9 5.0 89.7 111.7 14.7 34.0 .223 .373 .315 .295 .367 39.1 27.4 8.0 3.71 3.59
Player 20751 3029 249 8.2 4.9 89.9 116.3 14.8 34.2 .228 .394 .314 .309 .396 40.0 29.3 10.0
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ray relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(39.4%) ,
Slider
(37.2%) ,
Sinker
(20.8%) ,
Curveball
(1.9%) ,
Changeup
(0.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 45.3 20.1 29.5 5.1 32.8 34.7 32.5 2.4 31.4 26.6 27.1 3.3 5.4 3.7
2016 46.8 18.9 28.3 6.0 33.5 37.6 28.9 2.3 33.5 20.2 27.0 6.4 6.9 4.3
2017 41.8 25.3 23.7 9.2 36.1 36.7 27.2 3.5 29.6 25.1 27.0 7.3 6.2 3.5
2018 40.9 27.3 24.8 7.0 37.8 36.7 25.5 2.1 30.1 25.9 26.2 5.6 8.7 4.8
2019 40.8 24.4 27.7 7.1 40.0 37.4 22.5 4.0 26.5 23.9 25.6 5.9 10.7 6.0
2020 25.5 32.8 30.7 10.9 41.6 35.0 23.4 2.9 15.3 33.6 24.1 10.9 13.1 7.2
2021 37.3 29.4 23.7 9.6 38.4 36.5 25.2 2.6 26.9 30.9 23.5 6.0 9.8 6.0
2022 38.9 28.9 24.1 8.1 40.7 35.0 24.3 3.6 30.4 27.1 23.1 7.5 7.9 5.0
Player 40.9 25.3 26.2 7.7 37.3 36.3 26.3 3.0 29.1 26.0 25.4 6.3 8.2 4.9
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Changeup SEA L 21 86.9 23.1 -6.1 -21 10.5 -3.4 -24
2022 Curveball SEA L 58 79.7 43.7 -9.8 -18 2.5 -5.6 -69
2022 Slider SEA L 1,133 87.2 28.3 -5.2 -16 1.5 -3.2 -68
2022 Sinker SEA L 633 93.3 18.8 -2.6 -12 15.4 0.8 6
2022 4-Seamer SEA L 1,195 93.4 13.4 1.3 9 6.7 0.1 2
2021 Slider TOR L 968 88.6 27.6 -4.1 -13 1.0 -2.7 -74
2021 4-Seamer TOR L 1,861 94.8 13.5 0.7 5 8.2 1.1 15
2021 Changeup TOR L 113 88.2 21.8 -6.5 -23 10.2 -3.8 -27
2021 Curveball TOR L 191 82.5 40.2 -9.5 -19 1.3 -6.1 -83
2021 Sinker TOR L 8 95.1 15.8 -3.9 -20 13.0 -1.6 -11
2020 Sinker TOR L 38 93.3 17.5 -3.5 -17 14.5 0.0 0
2020 4-Seamer TOR L 504 93.9 14.2 0.6 4 9.6 2.6 36
2020 Slider TOR L 312 86.6 29.3 -4.9 -14 0.1 -4.0 -98
2020 Curveball TOR L 179 83.6 41.0 -6.5 -14 0.6 -5.9 -91
2020 Changeup TOR L 29 89.5 18.2 -9.2 -33 8.3 -5.3 -39
2019 Slider ARI L 941 84.2 34.7 -2.6 -7 1.9 -2.8 -59
2019 4-Seamer ARI L 1,307 92.4 14.0 1.9 12 7.1 0.4 7
2019 Curveball ARI L 504 81.6 46.5 -5.2 -10 1.2 -5.7 -82
2019 Sinker ARI L 306 92.2 18.4 -3.8 -17 13.8 -0.6 -4
2018 Slider ARI L 582 84.5 34.2 -2.6 -7 0.9 -3.8 -81
2018 4-Seamer ARI L 1,231 93.6 14.3 1.2 8 9.0 1.9 26
2018 Sinker ARI L 1 93.8 18.9 -2.3 -11 16.0 1.3 9
2018 Curveball ARI L 468 82.6 45.9 -4.3 -9 1.5 -5.9 -80
2017 Curveball ARI L 530 81.7 47.3 -2.6 -5 2.7 -4.5 -62
2017 Slider ARI L 575 84.6 33.8 -1.5 -4 0.3 -4.5 -106
2017 Sinker ARI L 72 93.4 20.2 -0.3 -1 15.9 1.0 7
2017 4-Seamer ARI L 1,531 94.2 13.6 0.2 1 8.6 0.6 7
2016 Sinker ARI L 760 94.4 17.1 -0.8 -5 15.8 1.1 8
2016 Changeup ARI L 185 87.2 25.7 -1.2 -4 12.4 -0.7 -5
2016 Slider ARI L 691 84.8 35.3 1.2 4 1.4 -4.4 -146
2016 4-Seamer ARI L 1,425 94.9 12.9 -0.1 0 10.3 1.7 20
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -0.8 -9 1,201 39.4 327 .224 .397 .312 25.9 26.6 24.1 .209 .364 .290 37.0
2022 Slider -0.5 -6 1,134 37.2 274 .184 .349 .247 39.4 37.2 23.2 .208 .330 .252 41.9
2022 Sinker 0.7 4 633 20.8 158 .299 .530 .406 22.7 14.6 16.4 .274 .451 .372 38.7
2022 Curveball 6.3 4 58 1.9 10 .700 1.700 .995 9.5 0.0 0.0 .312 .695 .425 50.0
2022 Changeup 7.3 2 21 0.7 6 .400 .400 .417 0.0 0.0 0.0 .294 .399 .362 20.0
2021 4-Seamer -1.1 -21 1,861 59.2 471 .222 .431 .318 24.0 24.6 21.1 .243 .457 .328 43.2
2021 Slider -1.2 -12 968 30.8 254 .173 .321 .247 45.5 48.0 27.9 .162 .282 .222 41.9
2021 Curveball 0.8 2 191 6.1 27 .346 .577 .360 52.5 25.9 28.0 .289 .426 .323 47.4
2021 Changeup 2.7 3 113 3.6 19 .235 .529 .453 27.8 10.5 11.8 .295 .506 .381 40.0
2021 Sinker -5.7 0 8 0.3 2 .000 .000 .000 25.0 50.0 33.3 .114 .123 .116 100.0
2020 4-Seamer 2.8 14 504 47.4 141 .292 .689 .479 19.4 17.7 17.5 .283 .595 .448 50.6
2020 Slider -1.2 -4 313 29.4 73 .164 .224 .206 47.0 45.2 29.7 .175 .272 .216 36.1
2020 Curveball 1.0 2 180 16.9 22 .474 .684 .530 46.5 27.3 18.8 .353 .579 .437 53.8
2020 Sinker -3.4 -1 38 3.6 12 .111 .111 .250 8.3 25.0 33.3 .234 .292 .349 16.7
2020 Changeup 3.1 1 29 2.7 2 .500 2.000 1.000 14.3 50.0 20.0 .500 2.000 1.000 100.0
2019 4-Seamer -1.3 -17 1,307 42.7 303 .221 .391 .318 22.0 30.4 24.8 .220 .396 .321 36.3
2019 Slider 0.6 6 941 30.7 257 .221 .424 .323 44.3 37.0 24.7 .207 .412 .298 36.2
2019 Curveball 0.3 2 504 16.4 102 .216 .477 .356 44.6 33.3 27.6 .259 .576 .383 54.5
2019 Sinker 2.3 7 306 10.0 79 .348 .638 .447 18.2 17.7 21.9 .289 .413 .340 36.8
2018 4-Seamer 0.1 1 1,231 53.8 293 .252 .430 .370 19.7 22.5 17.8 .262 .439 .369 45.8
2018 Slider -0.6 -4 582 25.4 139 .178 .326 .250 44.7 43.2 25.8 .182 .295 .240 39.1
2018 Curveball -0.6 -3 468 20.5 90 .169 .312 .268 46.1 43.3 26.5 .136 .237 .231 28.2
2018 Sinker 2.4 0 1 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seamer -1.5 -23 1,531 56.4 383 .188 .361 .294 25.3 31.6 27.0 .190 .355 .291 40.6
2017 Slider -1.3 -7 575 21.2 139 .172 .313 .235 49.5 42.4 25.2 .213 .344 .266 39.4
2017 Curveball -0.7 -4 530 19.5 116 .202 .288 .279 45.3 31.9 28.9 .260 .363 .305 37.7
2017 Sinker 9.0 6 72 2.7 24 .550 .900 .635 9.1 4.2 10.0 .417 .820 .548 63.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 29 89.5 87 18.0 11:00 11:00 0
2020 Curveball 162 83.6 21 4.3 5:00 5:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 495 93.9 96 19.2 11:00 11:00 0
2020 Sinker 36 93.4 96 20.2 10:45 10:15 30
2020 Slider 292 86.6 33 6.5 11:15 12:00 -45
2021 Changeup 113 88.2 97 16.6 10:45 10:45 0
2021 Curveball 189 82.5 13 3.0 3:30 4:30 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,857 94.8 93 18.7 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Slider 959 88.6 42 6.5 11:15 12:15 -60
2022 Changeup 21 86.9 95 16.6 10:45 10:30 15
2022 Curveball 58 79.7 20 4.4 3:30 4:15 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,190 93.4 92 18.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Sinker 625 93.3 95 20.0 10:45 10:15 30
2022 Slider 1,119 87.2 42 7.0 11:15 12:30 -75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 136 547 4 1 6 2 13
2015 542 2,250 0 -25 6 12 -7
2016 772 3,164 -8 -12 17 11 8
2017 692 2,830 -27 -26 12 13 -28
2018 523 2,284 -11 -18 10 14 -5
2019 741 3,058 -6 -28 19 13 -2
2020 261 1,124 -2 -4 10 7 11
2021 773 3,141 -12 -36 8 11 -29
2022 792 3,113 -5 -23 13 14 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,257 50.2 65.3 83.9 28.3 66.4 42.7 60.7 46.8 21.0 7.8 76.7
2016 3,176 50.3 64.8 79.6 28.2 56.7 44.6 55.9 46.6 26.6 6.6 76.1
2017 2,715 47.7 63.6 76.2 27.5 40.5 40.8 60.0 44.7 34.2 6.5 68.8
2018 2,287 45.8 61.1 80.6 27.7 42.0 40.9 59.0 43.0 32.0 6.7 71.7
2019 3,064 44.4 64.3 75.7 30.3 50.2 42.5 59.6 45.4 32.6 6.2 74.7
2020 1,064 42.9 62.7 77.6 24.5 45.6 37.8 52.2 40.9 32.9 6.6 67.1
2021 3,141 50.8 73.1 77.0 30.1 43.4 41.3 61.6 52.0 32.3 8.8 84.1
2022 3,047 47.6 74.0 78.3 31.1 51.2 41.0 64.4 51.5 30.0 7.1 82.4
Player 20,751 47.9 66.8 78.5 28.9 49.6 41.8 59.8 47.0 30.1 7.1 76.7
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 47 49 61 65 29 32 38 8 23 60 22 34 37 69 71 56
2016 43 53 46 43 39 16 28 12 12 88 32 76 41 80 61 54
2017 69 83 71 52 65 28 44 2 4 95 17 95 49 71 63 6 56
2018 47 76 68 54 28 28 13 7 5 92 4 89 47 65 61 3 65
2019 40 68 39 21 41 3 6 42 31 88 14 89 63 40 46 4 60
2020 8 34 14 11 3 2 5 4 9 69 2 84 20 64 82 14 55
2021 72 75 48 31 87 3 16 15 17 93 73 87 71 76 58 11 65
2022 61 67 54 40 67 8 38 18 39 78 48 80 68 48 52 6 64
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.5 24 24.5 -1 9 15 16 66.7
2017 21.8 23 16.2 7 13 9 10 43.5
2018 22.5 19 14.1 5 4 12 5 26.3
2019 22.7 30 33.9 -4 9 19 19 63.3
2020 22.3 13 14.9 -2 3 8 8 61.5
2021 23.7 33 31.1 2 10 26 11 33.3
2022 22.9 35 33.0 2 12 27 11 31.4
Player 22.6 177 167.7 9 60 116 80 45.2

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 24 25 30 22 25 27 19 27 22 23 29 23 18 20 20 26 23 29 21 25 35 17 20 27 24 25 31 23 24 23 33
2017 23 16 21 15 16 17 17 16 17 14 17 15 13 14 17 18 16 19 11 17 23 14 12 16 17 17 16 13 17 15 21
2018 19 16 16 12 13 17 14 20 15 13 14 13 10 13 13 15 16 18 11 17 14 14 13 12 13 14 16 9 14 12 16
2019 30 39 34 31 37 34 35 40 32 28 35 38 25 25 31 36 30 39 25 29 37 35 34 34 37 34 40 32 34 35 42
2020 13 17 14 13 15 13 0 16 14 15 16 16 14 14 14 15 14 17 12 15 15 16 16 15 16 14 14 13 14 15 18
2021 33 33 36 29 30 34 20 35 32 33 24 33 23 19 27 36 35 33 32 30 34 31 28 35 33 34 34 28 34 28 39
2022 35 31 43 30 37 37 39 23 35 28 31 29 26 26 32 38 36 33 32 33 41 32 31 32 33 35 37 29 33 27 40
Player 177 177 194 152 173 179 144 177 167 154 166 167 129 131 154 184 170 188 144 166 199 159 154 171 173 173 188 147 170 155 209
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 94.8 0.9 94.1 -0.7 93.6 -0.5 92.4 -1.2 93.8 1.4 94.8 1 93.4 -1.4
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 87.2 2.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 89.5 0 88.2 -1.3 86.9 -1.3
Breaking Velocity 83 84.8 1.8 83.2 -1.6 83.6 0.4 83.3 -0.3 85.5 2.2 87.6 2.1 86.8 -0.8
Exit Velocity 89.7 89.9 0.2 89.9 0 90.1 0.2 88.9 -1.2 91.6 2.7 90.4 -1.2 89.7 -0.7
Launch Angle 12.3 12.3 0 14.4 2.1 14.6 0.2 14.8 0.2 22.9 8.1 17.6 -5.3 14.7 -2.9
Barrel % 5.4 6.9 1.5 6.2 -0.7 8.7 2.5 10.7 2 13.1 2.4 9.8 -3.3 7.9 -1.9
Hard Hit % 35.8 39.3 3.5 41 1.7 41.6 0.6 38.6 -3 46 7.4 43.1 -2.9 39.1 -4
Sweet Spot % 31.4 32.2 0.8 31.5 -0.7 36.4 4.9 38.9 2.5 38 -0.9 34.3 -3.7 34 -0.3
xBA .243 .246 0.003 .215 -0.031 .217 0.002 .228 0.011 .254 0.026 .219 -0.035 .223 0.004
BA .255 .267 0.012 .199 -0.068 .216 0.017 .234 0.018 .261 0.027 .21 -0.051 .231 0.021
xwOBA .308 .317 0.009 .297 -0.02 .309 0.012 .322 0.013 .379 0.057 .293 -0.086 .295 0.002
wOBA .318 .332 0.014 .282 -0.05 .312 0.03 .322 0.01 .39 0.068 .287 -0.103 .315 0.028
xSLG .37 .407 0.037 .37 -0.037 .362 -0.008 .429 0.067 .487 0.058 .398 -0.089 .373 -0.025
SLG .4 .431 0.031 .356 -0.075 .379 0.023 .441 0.062 .522 0.081 .401 -0.121 .423 0.022
K% 21.8 28.1 6.3 32.8 4.7 31.4 -1.4 31.5 0.1 27.1 -4.4 32.1 5 27.4 -4.7
BB% 9 9.1 0.1 10.7 1.6 13.3 2.6 11.2 -2.1 17.9 6.7 6.7 -11.2 8 1.3
Swing % 46.8 46.6 -0.2 44.7 -1.9 43 -1.7 45.4 2.4 40.9 -4.5 52 11.1 51.5 -0.5
Whiff% 21 26.6 5.6 34.2 7.6 32 -2.2 32.6 0.6 32.9 0.3 32.3 -0.6 30 -2.3
In Zone % 50.2 50.3 0.1 47.7 -2.6 45.8 -1.9 44.4 -1.4 42.9 -1.5 50.8 7.9 47.6 -3.2
Out of Zone % 49.8 49.7 -0.1 52.3 2.6 54.2 1.9 55.6 1.4 57.1 1.5 49.2 -7.9 52.4 3.2
Out of Zone Swing % 28.3 28.2 -0.1 27.5 -0.7 27.7 0.2 30.3 2.6 24.5 -5.8 30.1 5.6 31.1 1
First Pitch Swing % 27.7 23.3 -4.4 28 4.7 25.3 -2.7 27.4 2.1 27.5 0.1 33.5 6 40.6 7.1
First Pitch Strike % 60.7 55.9 -4.8 60 4.1 59 -1 59.6 0.6 52.2 -7.4 61.6 9.4 64.4 2.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 741 .332 562 31 5.5 179 34 19.0
2017 662 .282 539 3 0.6 123 18 14.6
2018 523 .312 406 32 7.9 117 37 31.6
2019 742 .322 575 128 22.3 167 77 46.1
2020 250 .390 186 37 19.9 64 37 57.8
2021 739 .292 606 87 14.4 133 73 54.9
2022 775 .315 629 204 32.4 146 86 58.9

Pitch Tempo