Robbie Ray
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 225LBS | Age: 30

Draft: 2010 | Rd: 12, #356, Washington Nationals | Brentwood HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 5 4.75 10 10 0 60.2 68 1.20
9 Seasons 66 63 4.04 203 199 0 1096.1 1358 1.31
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 10 4-5 4.75 60.2 68 1.20
9 Seasons 203 66-63 4.04 1096.1 1358 1.31

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 23 2257 369 20 5.4 3.7 89.7 114.0 12.3 31.4 .243 .370 .318 .308 .353 35.8 21.8 9.0 3.52 3.91
2016 24 3176 481 33 6.9 4.3 89.9 116.3 12.3 32.2 .246 .407 .332 .317 .408 39.3 28.1 9.1 4.90 4.25
2017 25 2715 371 23 6.2 3.5 89.9 112.7 14.4 31.5 .215 .370 .282 .297 .395 41.0 32.8 10.7 2.89 3.76
2018 26 2287 286 25 8.7 4.8 90.1 116.0 14.6 36.4 .217 .362 .312 .309 .392 41.6 31.4 13.3 3.93 4.04
2019 27 3064 422 45 10.7 6 88.9 114.3 14.8 38.9 .228 .429 .322 .322 .432 38.6 31.5 11.2 4.34 4.60
2020 28 1064 137 18 13.1 7.2 91.6 112.8 22.9 38.0 .254 .488 .390 .379 .462 46.0 27.1 17.9 6.62 6.44
2021 29 3141 469 46 9.8 6 90.4 115.3 17.6 34.3 .219 .398 .287 .293 .401 43.1 32.1 6.7 2.84 3.60
2022 30 935 160 14 8.8 5.6 91.1 111.7 16.1 38.1 .251 .446 .321 .328 .415 40.0 27.1 8.4 4.75 3.88
Player 18639 2695 224 8.3 4.9 90.0 116.3 14.9 34.5 .231 .401 .314 .313 .403 40.2 29.5 10.2
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.0 32.9 .246 .409 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ray relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(56.4%) ,
Slider
(41.2%) ,
Curveball
(1.5%) ,
Changeup
(1%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 45.3 20.1 29.5 5.1 32.8 34.7 32.5 2.4 31.4 26.6 27.1 3.3 5.4 3.7
2016 46.8 18.9 28.3 6.0 33.5 37.6 28.9 2.3 33.5 20.2 27.0 6.4 6.9 4.3
2017 41.8 25.3 23.7 9.2 36.1 36.7 27.2 3.5 29.6 25.1 27.0 7.3 6.2 3.5
2018 40.9 27.3 24.8 7.0 37.8 36.7 25.5 2.1 30.1 25.9 26.2 5.6 8.7 4.8
2019 40.8 24.4 27.7 7.1 40.0 37.4 22.5 4.0 26.5 23.9 25.6 5.9 10.7 6.0
2020 25.5 32.8 30.7 10.9 41.6 35.0 23.4 2.9 15.3 33.6 24.1 10.9 13.1 7.2
2021 37.3 29.4 23.7 9.6 38.4 36.5 25.2 2.6 26.9 30.9 23.5 6.0 9.8 6.0
2022 35.0 26.9 28.7 9.4 46.9 35.6 17.5 3.8 26.3 26.9 24.4 8.8 8.8 5.6
Player 40.9 24.7 26.7 7.7 37.3 36.5 26.2 2.9 28.7 25.9 25.8 6.2 8.3 4.9
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball SEA L 14 77.3 48.2 -9.1 -16 3.5 -5.5 -61
2022 4-Seamer SEA L 521 93.1 13.6 1.1 7 6.5 -0.1 -1
2022 Changeup SEA L 9 86.9 27.2 -2.1 -7 4.1 -10.2 -72
2022 Slider SEA L 384 86.8 29.4 -4.5 -13 1.8 -2.9 -62
2021 Slider TOR L 968 88.6 27.6 -4.1 -13 1.0 -2.7 -74
2021 Sinker TOR L 5 95.5 15.1 -4.4 -22 13.9 -0.7 -5
2021 Changeup TOR L 113 88.2 21.8 -6.5 -23 10.2 -3.7 -27
2021 Curveball TOR L 191 82.5 40.2 -9.5 -19 1.3 -6.1 -83
2021 4-Seamer TOR L 1,864 94.8 13.5 0.6 5 8.2 1.1 15
2020 Slider TOR L 312 86.6 29.3 -4.9 -14 0.1 -4.0 -98
2020 Curveball TOR L 179 83.6 41.0 -6.5 -14 0.6 -5.9 -91
2020 4-Seamer TOR L 504 93.9 14.2 0.6 4 9.6 2.6 36
2020 Changeup TOR L 29 89.5 18.2 -9.2 -33 8.3 -5.3 -39
2020 Sinker TOR L 38 93.3 17.5 -3.4 -16 14.5 0.0 0
2019 Slider ARI L 941 84.2 34.7 -2.6 -7 1.9 -2.8 -59
2019 Curveball ARI L 504 81.6 46.5 -5.2 -10 1.2 -5.7 -82
2019 Sinker ARI L 306 92.2 18.4 -3.7 -17 13.8 -0.6 -4
2019 4-Seamer ARI L 1,307 92.4 14.0 1.9 12 7.1 0.5 7
2018 4-Seamer ARI L 1,231 93.6 14.3 1.2 8 9.0 1.9 26
2018 Sinker ARI L 1 93.8 18.9 -2.3 -11 16.0 1.3 9
2018 Curveball ARI L 468 82.6 45.9 -4.3 -9 1.5 -5.9 -80
2018 Slider ARI L 582 84.5 34.2 -2.6 -7 0.9 -3.8 -81
2017 4-Seamer ARI L 1,531 94.2 13.6 0.1 1 8.6 0.6 7
2017 Sinker ARI L 72 93.4 20.2 -0.3 -1 15.9 1.0 7
2017 Curveball ARI L 530 81.7 47.3 -2.6 -5 2.7 -4.5 -62
2017 Slider ARI L 575 84.6 33.8 -1.5 -4 0.3 -4.5 -106
2016 Sinker ARI L 760 94.4 17.1 -0.8 -5 15.8 1.1 8
2016 4-Seamer ARI L 1,425 94.9 12.9 0.0 0 10.3 1.7 20
2016 Changeup ARI L 185 87.2 25.7 -1.2 -4 12.4 -0.7 -5
2016 Slider ARI L 691 84.8 35.3 1.3 4 1.4 -4.4 -146
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -0.3 -2 527 56.4 141 .238 .426 .338 25.2 20.6 24.8 .261 .492 .365 37.6
2022 Slider 0.4 2 385 41.2 104 .212 .414 .283 44.3 36.5 24.5 .229 .369 .268 40.3
2022 Curveball 8.9 1 14 1.5 3 .667 1.667 .967 0.0 0.0 -- .548 1.149 .698 66.7
2022 Changeup -2.5 0 9 1.0 3 .000 .000 .000 33.3 33.3 20.0 .216 .421 .260 100.0
2021 4-Seamer -1.2 -22 1,864 59.3 471 .222 .431 .318 24.0 24.6 21.1 .243 .457 .328 43.2
2021 Slider -1.2 -12 968 30.8 254 .173 .321 .247 45.5 48.0 27.9 .162 .282 .222 41.9
2021 Curveball 0.8 2 191 6.1 27 .346 .577 .360 52.5 25.9 28.0 .289 .426 .323 47.4
2021 Changeup 2.7 3 113 3.6 19 .235 .529 .453 27.8 10.5 11.8 .295 .506 .381 40.0
2021 Sinker -6.2 0 5 0.2 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 50.0 33.3 .114 .123 .116 100.0
2020 4-Seamer 2.8 14 504 47.4 141 .292 .689 .479 19.4 17.7 17.5 .283 .595 .448 50.6
2020 Slider -1.2 -4 313 29.4 73 .164 .224 .206 47.0 45.2 29.7 .175 .273 .217 36.1
2020 Curveball 1.0 2 180 16.9 22 .474 .684 .530 46.5 27.3 18.8 .353 .579 .437 53.8
2020 Sinker -3.4 -1 38 3.6 12 .111 .111 .250 8.3 25.0 33.3 .234 .292 .349 16.7
2020 Changeup 3.1 1 29 2.7 2 .500 2.000 1.000 14.3 50.0 20.0 .500 2.000 1.000 100.0
2019 4-Seamer -1.3 -17 1,307 42.7 303 .221 .391 .318 22.0 30.4 24.8 .220 .396 .321 36.3
2019 Slider 0.7 6 941 30.7 257 .221 .424 .323 44.3 37.0 24.7 .207 .412 .298 36.2
2019 Curveball 0.3 2 504 16.4 102 .216 .477 .356 44.6 33.3 27.6 .259 .576 .383 54.5
2019 Sinker 2.3 7 306 10.0 79 .348 .638 .447 18.2 17.7 21.9 .290 .413 .340 36.8
2018 4-Seamer 0.1 1 1,231 53.8 293 .252 .430 .370 19.7 22.5 17.8 .262 .439 .369 45.8
2018 Slider -0.6 -4 582 25.4 139 .178 .326 .250 44.7 43.2 25.8 .182 .295 .240 39.1
2018 Curveball -0.6 -3 468 20.5 90 .169 .312 .268 46.1 43.3 26.5 .136 .238 .231 28.2
2018 Sinker 2.4 0 1 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2017 4-Seamer -1.5 -23 1,531 56.4 383 .188 .361 .294 25.3 31.6 27.0 .190 .355 .291 40.6
2017 Slider -1.3 -7 575 21.2 139 .172 .313 .235 49.5 42.4 25.2 .213 .344 .266 39.4
2017 Curveball -0.7 -4 530 19.5 116 .202 .288 .279 45.3 31.9 28.9 .260 .363 .305 37.7
2017 Sinker 9.0 6 72 2.7 24 .550 .900 .635 9.1 4.2 10.0 .417 .820 .548 63.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 29 89.5 87 18.0 11:00 11:00 0
2020 Curveball 162 83.6 21 4.3 5:00 5:45 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 495 93.9 96 19.2 11:00 11:00 0
2020 Sinker 36 93.4 96 20.2 10:45 10:15 30
2020 Slider 292 86.6 33 6.5 11:15 12:00 -45
2021 Changeup 113 88.2 97 16.6 10:45 10:45 0
2021 Curveball 189 82.5 13 3.0 3:30 4:30 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,860 94.8 93 18.7 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Slider 959 88.6 42 6.5 11:15 12:15 -60
2022 Curveball 14 77.3 23 6.2 3:45 4:45 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 521 93.1 91 18.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Slider 384 86.8 39 6.5 11:30 12:45 -75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 136 547 4 1 6 2 13
2015 542 2,250 0 -25 6 12 -7
2016 772 3,164 -8 -11 17 11 8
2017 692 2,830 -27 -26 12 13 -28
2018 523 2,284 -11 -18 10 14 -5
2019 741 3,058 -6 -28 19 13 -2
2020 261 1,124 -2 -4 10 7 11
2021 773 3,141 -12 -36 8 11 -29
2022 251 935 -3 -6 6 4 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,257 50.2 65.3 83.9 28.3 66.4 42.7 60.7 46.8 21.0 7.8 76.8
2016 3,176 50.3 64.8 79.6 28.2 56.7 44.6 55.9 46.6 26.6 6.6 75.7
2017 2,715 47.7 63.6 76.2 27.5 40.5 40.8 60.0 44.7 34.2 6.5 68.9
2018 2,287 45.9 61.1 80.6 27.8 42.0 40.9 59.0 43.0 32.0 6.7 71.7
2019 3,064 44.4 64.3 75.7 30.3 50.2 42.5 59.6 45.4 32.6 6.2 74.7
2020 1,064 42.9 62.7 77.6 24.5 45.6 37.9 52.2 40.9 32.9 6.6 67.1
2021 3,141 50.8 73.1 77.0 30.1 43.4 41.3 61.6 52.0 32.3 8.8 84.1
2022 935 51.7 77.8 75.3 27.4 39.5 41.3 67.3 53.5 33.2 7.7 87.5
Player 18,639 48.1 66.3 78.3 28.5 48.9 41.9 59.5 46.6 30.3 7.1 76.3
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 48 49 61 65 29 32 38 8 23 60 22 34 48 69 71
2016 43 53 46 43 39 16 28 12 12 88 32 76 43 80 61
2017 69 83 71 52 65 28 44 2 4 95 17 95 69 71 63 6
2018 47 76 68 54 29 28 13 7 5 92 4 89 47 65 61 3
2019 40 68 38 21 40 3 6 42 31 88 14 89 40 40 46 4
2020 8 34 14 11 3 2 5 4 9 69 2 84 8 64 82 14
2021 72 75 49 31 87 3 16 15 17 93 73 87 72 76 58 11
2022 47 50 40 34 51 4 33 14 43 75 47 89 47 44 61
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.5 24 24.5 -1 9 15 16 66.7
2017 21.8 23 16.2 7 13 9 10 43.5
2018 22.5 19 14.1 5 4 12 5 26.3
2019 22.7 30 33.9 -4 9 19 19 63.3
2020 22.3 13 14.9 -2 3 8 8 61.5
2021 23.7 33 32.2 1 10 24 14 42.4
2022 23.8 10 10.2 0 5 11 2 20.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 24 25 30 22 25 27 19 27 22 23 29 23 18 20 20 26 23 29 21 25 35 17 20 27 24 25 31 23 24 23 33
2017 23 16 21 15 16 17 17 16 17 14 17 15 13 14 17 18 16 19 11 17 23 14 12 16 17 17 16 13 17 15 21
2018 19 16 16 12 13 17 14 20 15 13 14 13 10 13 13 15 16 18 11 17 14 14 13 12 13 14 16 9 14 12 16
2019 30 39 34 31 37 34 35 40 32 28 35 38 25 25 31 36 30 39 25 29 37 35 34 34 37 34 40 32 34 35 42
2020 13 17 14 13 15 13 0 15 14 15 16 16 14 14 14 15 15 17 12 15 15 16 16 15 16 14 14 13 14 15 18
2021 33 34 37 30 31 35 29 36 33 34 25 34 23 20 27 37 36 34 32 31 35 32 29 35 34 35 35 28 35 29 40
2022 10 10 16 10 10 9 13 5 12 8 7 8 7 7 13 13 12 10 10 13 15 9 10 10 8 12 10 9 10 7 14
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 94.8 0.9 94.1 -0.7 93.6 -0.5 92.4 -1.2 93.8 1.4 94.8 1 93.1 -1.7
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 87.2 2.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 89.5 0 88.2 -1.3 86.9 -1.3
Breaking Velocity 83 84.8 1.8 83.2 -1.6 83.6 0.4 83.3 -0.3 85.5 2.2 87.6 2.1 86.4 -1.2
Exit Velocity 89.7 89.9 0.2 89.9 0 90.1 0.2 88.9 -1.2 91.6 2.7 90.4 -1.2 91.1 0.7
Launch Angle 12.3 12.3 0 14.4 2.1 14.6 0.2 14.8 0.2 22.9 8.1 17.6 -5.3 16.1 -1.5
Barrel % 5.4 6.9 1.5 6.2 -0.7 8.7 2.5 10.7 2 13.1 2.4 9.8 -3.3 8.8 -1
Hard Hit % 35.8 39.3 3.5 41 1.7 41.6 0.6 38.6 -3 46 7.4 43.1 -2.9 40 -3.1
Sweet Spot % 31.4 32.2 0.8 31.5 -0.7 36.4 4.9 38.9 2.5 38 -0.9 34.3 -3.7 38.1 3.8
xBA .243 .246 0.003 .215 -0.031 .217 0.002 .228 0.011 .254 0.026 .219 -0.035 .251 0.032
BA .255 .267 0.012 .199 -0.068 .216 0.017 .234 0.018 .261 0.027 .21 -0.051 .229 0.019
xwOBA .308 .317 0.009 .297 -0.02 .309 0.012 .322 0.013 .379 0.057 .293 -0.086 .328 0.035
wOBA .318 .332 0.014 .282 -0.05 .312 0.03 .322 0.01 .39 0.068 .287 -0.103 .321 0.034
xSLG .37 .407 0.037 .37 -0.037 .362 -0.008 .429 0.067 .488 0.059 .398 -0.09 .446 0.048
SLG .4 .431 0.031 .356 -0.075 .379 0.023 .441 0.062 .522 0.081 .401 -0.121 .432 0.031
K% 21.8 28.1 6.3 32.8 4.7 31.4 -1.4 31.5 0.1 27.1 -4.4 32.1 5 27.1 -5
BB% 9 9.1 0.1 10.7 1.6 13.3 2.6 11.2 -2.1 17.9 6.7 6.7 -11.2 8.4 1.7
Swing % 46.8 46.6 -0.2 44.7 -1.9 43 -1.7 45.4 2.4 40.9 -4.5 52 11.1 53.5 1.5
Whiff% 21 26.6 5.6 34.2 7.6 32 -2.2 32.6 0.6 32.9 0.3 32.3 -0.6 33.2 0.9
In Zone % 50.2 50.3 0.1 47.7 -2.6 45.9 -1.8 44.4 -1.5 42.9 -1.5 50.8 7.9 51.7 0.9
Out of Zone % 49.8 49.7 -0.1 52.3 2.6 54.1 1.8 55.6 1.5 57.1 1.5 49.2 -7.9 48.3 -0.9
Out of Zone Swing % 28.3 28.2 -0.1 27.5 -0.7 27.8 0.3 30.3 2.5 24.5 -5.8 30.1 5.6 27.4 -2.7
First Pitch Swing % 27.7 23.3 -4.4 28 4.7 25.3 -2.7 27.4 2.1 27.5 0.1 33.5 6 46.2 12.7
First Pitch Strike % 60.7 55.9 -4.8 60 4.1 59 -1 59.6 0.6 52.2 -7.4 61.6 9.4 67.3 5.7
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 741 .332 562 31 5.5 179 34 19.0
2017 662 .282 539 3 0.6 123 18 14.6
2018 523 .312 406 32 7.9 117 37 31.6
2019 742 .322 575 128 22.3 167 77 46.1
2020 250 .390 186 37 19.9 64 37 57.8
2021 739 .292 606 87 14.4 133 73 54.9
2022 251 .321 213 77 36.2 38 18 47.4

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2014 137 15.6 40.1% 0.0% 118 24.2 0.0% 15.3%
2015 662 15.6 44.1% 3.2% 374 25.8 1.1% 27.3%
2016 920 17.4 26.6% 2.3% 525 25.6 2.7% 25.0%
2017 915 15.9 38.5% 2.6% 354 24.8 0.0% 21.8%
2018 684 18.9 9.6% 5.6% 382 26.2 0.0% 22.5%
2019 966 18.5 13.4% 2.0% 409 25.2 0.0% 22.2%
2020 321 19.1 10.6% 3.7% 177 25.3 0.0% 26.0%
2021 951 19.1 11.9% 3.7% 364 25.4 0.0% 22.3%
2022 248 18.0 16.9% 4.0% 123 24.4 0.0% 18.7%

Pitch Distribution