Packy Naughton
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 9, #257, Cincinnati Reds | Virginia Tech
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 4 6.35 7 5 0 22.2 12 1.81
2022 0 2 4.78 26 3 1 32 31 1.44
2023 0 0 0.00 4 0 0 5 5 0.60
3 Seasons 0 6 4.98 37 8 1 59.2 48 1.51
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 7 0-4 6.35 22.2 12 1.81
2022 26 0-2 4.78 32 31 1.44
2023 4 0-0 0.00 5 5 0.60
3 Seasons 37 0-6 4.98 59.2 48 1.51
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 383 81 4 4.9 3.7 86.6 111.7 4.3 29.6 .274 .406 .354 .345 .335 40.7 11.1 13.0 6.35 5.16
2022 26 562 102 7 6.9 5.0 87.1 110.1 10.0 31.4 .255 .391 .336 .301 .366 35.3 22.0 5.0 4.78 3.75
2023 27 68 11 1 9.1 5.9 91.1 106.4 0.8 27.3 .210 .351 .166 .264 .345 45.5 29.4 5.9 0.00 2.88
Player 1013 194 12 6.2 4.5 87.1 111.7 7.1 30.4 .259 .394 .332 .316 .352 38.1 18.0 8.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Naughton relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(29.4%) ,
Sinker
(26.5%) ,
Cutter
(25.0%) ,
Changeup
(19.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 51.9 14.8 28.4 4.9 30.9 50.6 18.5 7.4 38.3 16.0 29.6 3.7 4.9 3.7
2022 51.0 21.6 24.5 2.9 42.2 38.2 19.6 2.9 41.2 16.7 24.5 6.9 6.9 5.0
2023 63.6 9.1 27.3 0.0 27.3 54.5 18.2 0.0 54.5 18.2 18.2 0.0 9.1 5.9
Player 52.1 18.0 26.3 3.6 36.6 44.3 19.1 4.6 40.7 16.5 26.3 5.2 6.2 4.5
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 Changeup STL L 13 86.0 31.1 -0.2 16.5ARM 2.0 5.8 0.5 16.5ARM 2.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball STL L 20 93.5 16.7 -1.0 6.0ARM -1.6 14.5 -0.8 6.0ARM -1.9
2023 Cutter STL L 17 88.0 28.4 -0.4 1.2GLV -1.3 7.0 0.1 1.2GLV -0.6
2023 Sinker STL L 18 93.2 21.5 -1.9 14.8ARM -0.4 9.9 -1.6 14.8ARM -0.3
2022 Sinker STL L 106 92.6 21.1 -2.1 15.3ARM 0.2 10.8 -1.9 15.3ARM 0.1
2022 Slider STL L 118 80.9 42.2 0.7 3.5GLV -4.8 -0.5 2.4 3.5GLV -1.4
2022 4-Seam Fastball STL L 196 92.8 17.2 -1.6 7.1ARM -0.5 14.5 -1.5 7.1ARM -0.5
2022 Changeup STL L 142 84.4 32.1 0.7 14.1ARM 0.1 6.2 0.6 14.1ARM -0.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball 2.1 0 20 29.4 3 .000 .000 .000 42.9 66.7 33.3 .014 .015 .014 0.0
2023 Sinker 5.1 1 18 26.5 6 .167 .333 .208 0.0 0.0 0.0 .351 .691 .435 50.0
2023 Cutter 3.4 1 17 25.0 4 .000 .000 .175 66.7 50.0 25.0 .208 .232 .318 100.0
2023 Changeup 3.6 0 13 19.1 4 .250 .250 .225 12.5 25.0 33.3 .148 .183 .141 33.3
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 -2 196 34.9 42 .333 .513 .388 26.3 31.0 21.7 .278 .448 .341 42.3
2022 Changeup -0.1 0 142 25.3 41 .275 .400 .302 35.6 24.4 20.0 .217 .330 .247 30.0
2022 Slider -3.7 -4 118 21.0 21 .350 .650 .436 33.3 23.8 15.2 .316 .520 .379 40.0
2022 Sinker 3.3 4 106 18.9 36 .242 .273 .263 13.0 8.3 13.0 .236 .319 .268 32.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 12 85.8 93 17.9 10:15 9:30 45
2023 Cutter 17 88.0 39 6.4 12:00 12:30 -30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 20 93.5 87 15.3 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Sinker 12 93.1 85 18.2 11:00 10:00 60
2022 Changeup 139 84.4 94 15.7 10:15 9:45 30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 195 92.8 91 15.8 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Sinker 102 92.6 89 18.9 11:00 10:00 60
2022 Slider 118 80.9 32 4.9 3:30 4:00 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 107 383 -2 4 -1 -2 -1
2022 140 562 -1 4 -5 -2 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 383 42.3 68.5 85.6 31.2 68.1 43.6 64.5 47.0 21.1 3.4 76.9
2022 562 42.9 66.8 80.7 32.7 58.1 42.9 63.6 47.3 27.8 5.7 75.0
2023 68 41.2 60.7 88.2 30.0 50.0 38.2 70.6 42.6 27.6 5.9 75.0
Player 1,013 42.5 67.1 83.0 32.0 61.3 42.8 64.4 46.9 25.3 4.8 75.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 10 12 11
2022 30 13 11
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 25.6 3 2.3 1 1 2 1 33.3
2022 22.7 3 4.4 -1 1 5 1 33.3
Player 24.1 6 6.7 -1 2 7 2 33.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 3 3 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 2 2
2022 3 5 6 6 3 3 4 4 2 3 3 4 5 5 4 6 5 4 6 2 5 4 7 6 4 3 6 4 6 3 4
Player 6 8 8 8 4 4 7 6 3 4 4 6 8 8 7 9 8 6 9 3 8 6 10 9 7 6 7 7 9 5 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.5 92.7 2.2 91.7 -1.0
Offspeed Velocity 81.7 84.4 2.7 86.0 1.6
Breaking Velocity 81.6 80.9 -0.7 0.0 0.0
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.1 0.5 91.1 4.0
Launch Angle 4.3 10.0 5.7 0.8 -9.2
Barrel % 4.9 6.9 2.0 9.1 2.2
Hard Hit % 40.7 35.3 -5.4 45.5 10.2
LA Sweet-Spot % 29.6 31.4 1.8 27.3 -4.1
xBA .274 .255 -0.019 .210 -0.045
BA .290 .295 0.005 .125 -0.170
xwOBA .345 .301 -0.044 .264 -0.037
wOBA .354 .336 -0.018 .166 -0.170
xSLG .406 .391 -0.015 .351 -0.040
SLG .419 .439 0.020 .188 -0.251
K% 11.1 22.0 10.9 29.4 7.4
BB% 13.0 5.0 -8.0 5.9 0.9
Swing % 47.0 47.3 0.3 42.6 -4.7
Whiff% 21.1 27.8 6.7 27.6 -0.2
In Zone % 42.3 42.9 0.6 41.2 -1.7
Out of Zone % 57.7 57.1 -0.6 58.8 1.7
Out of Zone Swing % 31.2 32.7 1.5 30.0 -2.7
First Pitch Swing % 35.5 33.6 -1.9 29.4 -4.2
First Pitch Strike % 64.5 63.6 -0.9 70.6 7.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 107 .354 78 10 12.8 29 11 37.9
2022 Shifts 134 .339 85 10 11.8 49 15 30.6
2023 Shades 17 .166 11 0 0.0 6 2 33.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 111 18.4 20.7% 0.0% 69 22.9 0.0% 4.3%
2022 164 17.3 28.0% 1.8% 109 22.3 0.0% 7.3%
2023 27 15.3 48.1% 0.0% 9 18.0 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution