Packy Naughton
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 2" 195LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 9, #257, Cincinnati Reds | Virginia Tech
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 4 6.35 7 5 0 22.2 12 1.81
2022 0 2 4.78 26 3 1 32 31 1.44
2023 0 0 0.00 4 0 0 5 5 0.60
3 Seasons 0 6 4.98 37 8 1 59.2 48 1.51
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 7 0-4 6.35 22.2 12 1.81
2022 26 0-2 4.78 32 31 1.44
2023 4 0-0 0.00 5 5 0.60
3 Seasons 37 0-6 4.98 59.2 48 1.51
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 25 383 81 4 4.9 3.7 86.6 111.7 4.3 29.6 .274 .406 .354 .345 .335 40.7 11.1 13.0 6.35 5.16
2022 26 562 102 7 6.9 5.0 87.1 110.1 10.0 31.4 .255 .392 .336 .301 .367 35.3 22.0 5.0 4.78 3.75
2023 27 68 11 1 9.1 5.9 91.1 106.4 0.8 27.3 .198 .341 .166 .258 .335 45.5 29.4 5.9 0.00 2.74
Player 1013 194 12 6.2 4.5 87.1 111.7 7.1 30.4 .259 .394 .332 .316 .352 38.1 18.0 8.3
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Naughton relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(30.9%) ,
Sinker
(26.5%) ,
Cutter
(23.5%) ,
Changeup
(19.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 51.9 14.8 28.4 4.9 30.9 50.6 18.5 7.4 38.3 16.0 29.6 3.7 4.9 3.7
2022 51.0 21.6 24.5 2.9 42.2 38.2 19.6 2.9 41.2 16.7 24.5 6.9 6.9 5.0
2023 63.6 9.1 27.3 0.0 27.3 54.5 18.2 0.0 54.5 18.2 18.2 0.0 9.1 5.9
Player 52.1 18.0 26.3 3.6 36.6 44.3 19.1 4.6 40.7 16.5 26.3 5.2 6.2 4.5
MLB 44.7 23.4 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup STL L 13 86.0 31.1 -0.2 -1 16.5 2.0 14
2023 Sinker STL L 18 93.2 21.5 -1.8 -8 14.8 -0.3 -2
2023 4-Seamer STL L 21 93.3 17.2 -1.4 -9 5.7 -1.9 -26
2023 Cutter STL L 16 87.9 28.5 -0.4 -1 1.2 -1.4 -54
2022 Changeup STL L 142 84.4 32.1 0.7 2 14.1 0.1 1
2022 Slider STL L 118 80.9 42.2 0.8 2 3.5 -5.0 -59
2022 4-Seamer STL L 196 92.8 17.2 -1.5 -10 7.1 -0.5 -7
2022 Sinker STL L 106 92.6 21.1 -2.1 -9 15.3 0.2 1
2021 Sinker LAA L 94 90.6 22.1 -2.7 -11 15.0 0.2 1
2021 Changeup LAA L 106 81.7 34.2 1.5 5 13.2 -0.5 -4
2021 Slider LAA L 50 82.9 35.4 -3.2 -8 3.7 -2.6 -41
2021 4-Seamer LAA L 124 90.5 18.6 -1.7 -10 8.1 0.4 5
2021 Curveball LAA L 9 74.5 55.1 -5.0 -8 2.9 -6.6 -70
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 1.8 0 21 30.9 3 .000 .000 .000 42.9 66.7 28.6 .020 .022 .018 0.0
2023 Sinker 5.2 1 18 26.5 6 .167 .333 .208 0.0 0.0 0.0 .327 .670 .424 50.0
2023 Cutter 4.0 1 16 23.5 4 .000 .000 .175 66.7 50.0 28.6 .182 .201 .299 100.0
2023 Changeup 3.6 0 13 19.1 4 .250 .250 .225 12.5 25.0 33.3 .152 .193 .147 33.3
2022 4-Seamer -1.0 -2 196 34.9 42 .333 .513 .388 26.3 31.0 21.7 .278 .448 .341 42.3
2022 Changeup -0.1 0 142 25.3 41 .275 .400 .302 35.6 24.4 20.0 .217 .330 .247 30.0
2022 Slider -3.7 -4 118 21.0 21 .350 .650 .436 33.3 23.8 15.2 .316 .520 .379 40.0
2022 Sinker 3.3 3 106 18.9 36 .242 .273 .263 13.0 8.3 13.0 .238 .321 .270 32.3
2021 4-Seamer -3.3 -4 124 32.4 29 .417 .542 .498 10.2 13.8 12.5 .341 .470 .409 55.0
2021 Changeup -1.8 -2 106 27.7 34 .233 .433 .332 28.3 14.7 14.7 .244 .414 .332 24.0
2021 Sinker 4.4 4 94 24.5 31 .185 .185 .235 19.2 9.7 16.7 .211 .275 .274 41.7
2021 Slider 0.8 0 50 13.1 13 .417 .667 .485 28.0 0.0 0.0 .359 .552 .409 50.0
2021 Curveball -0.2 0 9 2.3 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 12 85.8 93 17.9 10:15 9:30 45
2023 Cutter 16 87.9 39 6.3 12:00 12:30 -30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 21 93.3 85 14.9 11:15 11:15 0
2023 Sinker 12 93.1 85 18.2 11:00 10:00 60
2022 Changeup 139 84.4 94 15.7 10:15 9:45 30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 195 92.8 91 15.8 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Sinker 102 92.6 89 18.9 11:00 10:00 60
2022 Slider 118 80.9 32 4.9 3:30 4:00 -30
2021 Changeup 102 81.7 92 15.1 10:30 9:45 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 121 90.5 92 16.4 10:45 11:00 -15
2021 Sinker 92 90.6 92 18.8 10:45 10:00 45
2021 Slider 50 82.9 29 5.2 12:45 2:00 -75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 107 383 -2 4 -1 -2 -1
2022 140 562 -1 4 -5 -2 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 383 42.3 68.5 85.6 31.2 68.1 43.6 64.5 47.0 21.1 3.4 76.9
2022 562 42.9 66.8 80.7 32.7 58.1 42.9 63.6 47.3 27.8 5.7 75.0
2023 68 41.2 60.7 88.2 30.0 50.0 38.2 70.6 42.6 27.6 5.9 75.0
Player 1,013 42.5 67.1 83.0 32.0 61.3 42.8 64.4 46.9 25.3 4.8 75.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2021 10 12 11
2022 30 13 12
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 25.6 3 2.3 1 1 2 1 33.3
2022 22.7 3 4.5 -2 1 5 1 33.3
Player 24.1 6 6.7 -1 2 7 2 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 3 3 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 2 2
2022 3 5 6 6 3 4 5 4 2 3 3 4 5 5 4 6 5 4 6 2 5 4 7 6 4 3 6 4 6 3 4
Player 6 8 8 8 4 5 8 6 3 4 4 6 8 8 7 9 8 6 9 3 8 6 10 9 7 6 7 7 9 5 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.5 92.7 2.2 ↑ 91.7 -1.0 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 81.7 84.4 2.7 ↑ 86.0 1.6 ↑
Breaking Velocity 81.6 80.9 -0.7 ↓ 0.0 0.0
Exit Velocity 86.6 87.1 0.5 ↑ 91.1 4.0 ↑
Launch Angle 4.3 10.0 5.7 ↑ 0.8 -9.2 ↓
Barrel % 4.9 6.9 2.0 ↑ 9.1 2.2 ↑
Hard Hit % 40.7 35.3 -5.4 ↓ 45.5 10.2 ↑
Sweet Spot % 29.6 31.4 1.8 ↑ 27.3 -4.1 ↓
xBA .274 .255 -0.019 ↓ .198 -0.057 ↓
BA .290 .295 0.005 ↑ .125 -0.170 ↓
xwOBA .345 .301 -0.044 ↓ .258 -0.043 ↓
wOBA .354 .336 -0.018 ↓ .166 -0.170 ↓
xSLG .406 .392 -0.014 ↓ .341 -0.051 ↓
SLG .419 .439 0.020 ↑ .188 -0.251 ↓
K% 11.1 22.0 10.9 ↑ 29.4 7.4 ↑
BB% 13.0 5.0 -8.0 ↓ 5.9 0.9 ↑
Swing % 47.0 47.3 0.3 ↑ 42.6 -4.7 ↓
Whiff% 21.1 27.8 6.7 ↑ 27.6 -0.2 ↓
In Zone % 42.3 42.9 0.6 ↑ 41.2 -1.7 ↓
Out of Zone % 57.7 57.1 -0.6 ↓ 58.8 1.7 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 31.2 32.7 1.5 ↑ 30.0 -2.7 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 35.5 33.6 -1.9 ↓ 29.4 -4.2 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 64.5 63.6 -0.9 ↓ 70.6 7.0 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 107 .354 78 10 12.8 29 13 44.8
2022 Shifts 134 .339 85 10 11.8 49 15 30.6
2023 Shades 17 .166 11 0 0.0 6 2 33.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 111 18.4 20.7% 0.0% 69 22.9 0.0% 4.3%
2022 164 17.3 28.0% 1.8% 109 22.3 0.0% 7.3%
2023 27 15.3 48.1% 0.0% 9 18.0 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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