Nick Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 205LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 4, #128, New York Yankees | Gulf Coast CC
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 3 2 4.85 47 2 1 68.2 69 1.49
2023 1 0 1.69 1 0 0 5.1 3 0.75
2024 0 0 5.06 4 0 0 5.1 8 1.88
5 Seasons 5 4 5.20 74 4 1 114.1 120 1.56
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 47 3-2 4.85 68.2 69 1.49
2023 1 1-0 1.69 5.1 3 0.75
2024 4 0-0 5.06 5.1 8 1.88
5 Seasons 74 5-4 5.20 114.1 120 1.56
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 24 374 61 6 9.8 6.7 88.0 109.3 4.6 36.1 .284 .477 .338 .369 .418 32.8 20.0 12.2 4.79 6.04
2021 25 338 37 2 5.4 2.6 89.7 105.9 10.4 54.1 .219 .367 .380 .360 .402 43.2 28.2 20.5 8.79 5.69
2022 26 1204 197 7 3.6 2.3 87.6 111.4 15.1 33.0 .222 .322 .311 .297 .320 32.5 22.5 11.8 4.85 3.64
2023 27 69 15 1 6.7 5.0 82.7 108.4 6.4 26.7 .258 .437 .214 .338 .358 26.7 15.0 10.0 1.69 4.90
2024 28 96 15 0 0.0 0.0 83.5 104.1 23.0 26.7 .222 .281 .379 .275 .336 33.3 30.8 7.7 5.06 3.12
Player 2081 325 16 4.9 3.1 87.5 111.4 12.6 35.4 .234 .359 .326 .319 .350 33.5 23.1 12.9
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(29.2%) ,
Four Seamer
(27.1%) ,
Slider
(24.0%) ,
Changeup
(17.7%) ,
Knuckleball
(2.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 55.7 19.7 23.0 1.6 32.8 39.3 27.9 1.6 45.9 13.1 26.2 3.3 9.8 6.7
2021 35.1 13.5 48.6 2.7 37.8 35.1 27.0 2.7 35.1 18.9 27.0 10.8 5.4 2.6
2022 39.1 25.4 26.9 8.6 35.5 35.0 29.4 3.6 31.0 29.9 25.4 6.6 3.6 2.3
2023 53.3 13.3 20.0 13.3 40.0 33.3 26.7 13.3 46.7 13.3 20.0 0.0 6.7 5.0
2024 33.3 13.3 26.7 26.7 33.3 26.7 40.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 33.3 6.7 0.0 0.0
Player 42.2 21.8 28.3 7.7 35.4 35.4 29.2 4.3 34.5 24.3 25.8 6.2 4.9 3.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Changeup PHI R 17 87.3 28.7 -2.5 16.6ARM 2.1 7.3 -2.4 16.6ARM 2.4
2024 Knuckleball PHI R 2 79.8 38.8 -9.0 2.7ARM 2.8 4.7 -7.6 2.7ARM 2.7
2024 Slider PHI R 23 86.9 35.4 0.9 3.5GLV -0.8 0.8 0.8 3.5GLV -1.6
2024 Sinker PHI R 28 93.6 20.2 -3.3 14.4ARM -0.7 11.2 -3.9 14.4ARM -0.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 26 94.3 15.1 0.3 5.5ARM -2.6 15.8 0.0 5.5ARM -2.0
2023 Sinker PHI R 17 92.7 21.1 -2.8 16.4ARM 1.2 11.0 -3.4 16.4ARM 1.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 22 93.8 15.0 0.6 6.5ARM -1.4 16.3 0.5 6.5ARM -0.9
2023 Slider PHI R 4 84.7 40.9 4.0 1.5GLV -3.8 -2.6 4.1 1.5GLV -3.8
2023 Changeup PHI R 26 86.7 29.8 -1.2 17.2ARM 2.7 7.0 -1.6 17.2ARM 2.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Sinker -4.8 -1 28 29.2 8 .500 .500 .450 0.0 12.5 33.3 .331 .381 .315 14.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 0 26 27.1 7 .400 .800 .557 0.0 14.3 16.7 .243 .395 .393 50.0
2024 Slider 4.3 1 23 24.0 4 .000 .000 .000 44.4 75.0 37.5 .001 .001 .001 0.0
2024 Changeup -2.2 0 17 17.7 5 .400 .400 .360 55.6 40.0 22.2 .246 .288 .234 66.7
2024 Knuckleball -7.3 0 2 2.1 2 .000 .000 .350 100.0 50.0 100.0 -- -- .350 --
2023 Changeup 3.8 1 26 37.7 7 .000 .000 .100 33.3 28.6 20.0 .203 .228 .265 0.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -3.7 -1 22 31.9 6 .333 .833 .483 16.7 0.0 0.0 .467 .979 .607 50.0
2023 Sinker 8.3 1 17 24.6 7 .000 .000 .100 20.0 14.3 33.3 .104 .104 .181 20.0
2023 Slider -3.6 0 4 5.8 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 17 87.3 99 18.4 2:15 2:15 0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 26 94.3 94 16.3 12:45 12:45 0
2024 Sinker 28 93.6 86 18.3 1:00 1:45 -45
2024 Slider 23 86.9 23 4.3 10:15 8:45 90
2023 Changeup 26 86.7 99 19.0 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 22 93.8 97 17.1 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Sinker 14 92.7 83 19.7 1:00 2:00 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 97 402 0 7 -4 -2 1
2021 78 338 0 0 -5 -4 -9
2022 311 1,234 5 14 -13 -9 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 374 45.7 67.8 78.4 30.5 59.7 42.5 58.9 47.6 28.1 7.0 80.8
2021 338 46.4 67.5 75.5 25.4 52.2 37.6 48.7 45.0 30.9 4.7 81.3
2022 1,204 47.8 70.6 78.3 25.1 51.9 41.4 58.8 46.8 28.7 6.5 83.3
2023 69 44.9 80.6 80.0 34.2 69.2 42.0 75.0 55.1 23.7 4.3 100.0
2024 96 40.6 53.8 95.2 40.4 60.9 46.9 73.1 45.8 22.7 3.1 100.0
Player 2,081 46.8 69.3 78.5 27.3 55.0 41.3 58.7 46.9 28.5 6.1 83.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 12 11 17 28 10 46 17 55 75 29 17 60 75 89 15 54
2021 89 17 55
2022 58 69 85 89 30 92 96 71 89 47 6 71 9 87 5 42
2024 47 2 28
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.2 4 2.6 1 4 2 1 25.0
2021 -- 0 0.9 -1 0 2 0 --
2022 26.2 1 2.0 -1 2 1 1 100.0
2023 22.3 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
Player 22.8 6 6.5 -1 6 5 3 50.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2020 4 3 3 5 1 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 6 3 2 2 2 2 3 1 1
2021 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 1 0 1 2 1 1
2022 1 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2
2023 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Player 6 7 6 9 4 6 7 7 4 3 4 5 9 4 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 11 8 7 6 5 7 9 5 5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 96.3 96.4 0.1 96.3 -0.1 93.4 -2.9 93.9 0.5
Offspeed Velocity 88.6 89.2 0.6 87.9 -1.3 86.7 -1.2 87.3 0.6
Breaking Velocity 82.9 83.7 0.8 88.8 5.1 84.7 -4.1 86.3 1.6
Exit Velocity 88.0 89.7 1.7 87.6 -2.1 82.7 -4.9 83.5 0.8
Launch Angle 4.6 10.4 5.8 15.1 4.7 6.4 -8.7 23.0 16.6
Barrel % 9.8 5.4 -4.4 3.6 -1.8 6.7 3.1 0.0 -6.7
Hard Hit % 32.8 43.2 10.4 32.5 -10.7 26.7 -5.8 33.3 6.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 36.1 54.1 18.0 33.0 -21.1 26.7 -6.3 26.7 0.0
xBA .284 .219 -0.065 .222 0.003 .258 0.036 .222 -0.036
BA .256 .263 0.007 .257 -0.006 .111 -0.146 .348 0.237
xwOBA .369 .360 -0.009 .297 -0.063 .338 0.041 .275 -0.063
wOBA .338 .380 0.042 .311 -0.069 .214 -0.097 .379 0.165
xSLG .477 .367 -0.110 .322 -0.045 .437 0.115 .281 -0.156
SLG .436 .421 -0.015 .350 -0.071 .278 -0.072 .435 0.157
K% 20.0 28.2 8.2 22.5 -5.7 15.0 -7.5 30.8 15.8
BB% 12.2 20.5 8.3 11.8 -8.7 10.0 -1.8 7.7 -2.3
Swing % 47.6 45.0 -2.6 46.8 1.8 55.1 8.3 45.8 -9.3
Whiff% 28.1 30.9 2.8 28.7 -2.2 23.7 -5.0 22.7 -1.0
In Zone % 45.7 46.4 0.7 47.8 1.4 44.9 -2.9 40.6 -4.3
Out of Zone % 54.3 53.6 -0.7 52.2 -1.4 55.1 2.9 59.4 4.3
Out of Zone Swing % 30.5 25.4 -5.1 25.1 -0.3 34.2 9.1 40.4 6.2
First Pitch Swing % 33.3 29.5 -3.8 32.7 3.2 55.0 22.3 34.6 -20.4
First Pitch Strike % 58.9 48.7 -10.2 58.8 10.1 75.0 16.2 73.1 -1.9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 90 .338 47 11 23.4 43 18 41.9
2021 Shifts 78 .380 43 7 16.3 35 13 37.1
2022 Shifts 306 .311 159 32 20.1 147 57 38.8
2023 Shades 20 .214 9 0 0.0 11 4 36.4
2024 Shades 26 .379 17 0 0.0 9 2 22.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 103 16.0 37.9% 0.0% 66 24.1 0.0% 1.5%
2021 53 18.8 13.2% 3.8% 87 22.7 0.0% 6.9%
2022 252 19.4 2.4% 3.2% 257 22.9 0.0% 6.2%
2023 22 14.2 50.0% 0.0% 3 17.8 0.0% 0.0%
2024 15 14.7 66.7% 0.0% 29 18.3 10.3% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution