Nick Nelson
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 1" 205LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 4, #128, New York Yankees | Gulf Coast CC
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 3 2 4.27 31 2 0 52.2 53 1.39
3 Seasons 4 4 5.13 53 4 0 87.2 93 1.54
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 31 3-2 4.27 52.2 53 1.39
3 Seasons 53 4-4 5.13 87.2 93 1.54

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 24 374 61 6 9.8 6.7 88.0 109.3 4.6 36.1 .284 .478 .338 .369 .418 32.8 20.0 12.2 4.79 6.04
2021 25 338 37 2 5.4 2.6 89.7 105.9 10.4 54.1 .219 .367 .380 .360 .402 43.2 28.2 20.5 8.79 5.69
2022 26 904 148 6 4.1 2.6 88.1 111.4 15.4 34.5 .226 .334 .296 .304 .336 31.1 23.0 11.3 4.27 3.80
Player 1616 246 14 5.7 3.5 88.3 111.4 12.0 37.8 .239 .374 .322 .329 .366 33.3 23.4 13.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 33.0 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(43.4%) ,
Changeup
(31.5%) ,
Slider
(20.6%) ,
Curveball
(4.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 55.7 19.7 23.0 1.6 32.8 39.3 27.9 1.6 45.9 13.1 26.2 3.3 9.8 6.7
2021 35.1 13.5 48.6 2.7 37.8 35.1 27.0 2.7 35.1 18.9 27.0 10.8 5.4 2.6
2022 37.2 26.4 28.4 8.1 37.2 34.5 28.4 2.0 31.8 29.7 26.4 6.1 4.1 2.6
Player 41.5 22.8 30.1 5.7 36.2 35.8 28.0 2.0 35.8 24.0 26.4 6.1 5.7 3.5
MLB 44.9 23.0 25.0 7.1 36.7 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball PHI R 41 81.8 44.2 -5.4 -11 10.4 1.3 15
2022 4-Seamer PHI R 392 96.2 13.4 0.5 4 6.5 -1.3 -16
2022 Slider PHI R 186 89.7 30.7 -0.1 0 2.0 -1.6 -46
2022 Changeup PHI R 285 87.9 28.2 -1.3 -4 15.8 1.7 12
2021 Slider NYY R 28 85.4 38.5 3.0 8 9.3 3.7 67
2021 4-Seamer NYY R 182 96.4 11.9 1.9 14 7.9 -0.1 -1
2021 Curveball NYY R 13 79.9 57.1 4.8 9 8.1 -1.4 -14
2021 Changeup NYY R 115 89.2 27.7 -0.8 -3 16.0 1.6 11
2020 Curveball NYY R 22 79.6 57.1 4.9 9 9.5 0.1 1
2020 Changeup NYY R 92 88.6 29.3 0.1 0 15.4 1.5 10
2020 Slider NYY R 46 84.5 41.9 4.7 13 11.2 5.6 100
2020 4-Seamer NYY R 214 96.3 12.5 1.3 10 7.7 -0.2 -2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -0.8 -3 392 43.4 103 .241 .325 .317 23.2 17.5 21.7 .242 .401 .352 39.1
2022 Changeup 2.7 8 285 31.5 80 .310 .437 .366 32.0 23.8 20.0 .254 .355 .314 26.9
2022 Slider -1.9 -3 186 20.6 40 .143 .171 .191 43.8 35.0 30.4 .162 .177 .202 18.2
2022 Curveball -2.2 -1 41 4.5 7 .000 .000 .000 20.0 28.6 20.0 .073 .127 .084 20.0
2021 4-Seamer 5.3 10 182 53.8 33 .450 .750 .612 23.0 15.2 12.2 .345 .682 .537 66.7
2021 Changeup 0.2 0 115 34.0 36 .172 .276 .251 29.0 33.3 25.5 .173 .225 .255 31.6
2021 Slider -5.3 -1 28 8.3 7 .143 .143 .129 61.5 57.1 44.4 .078 .106 .084 0.0
2021 Curveball 3.4 0 13 3.8 2 .000 .000 .350 100.0 50.0 33.3 -- -- .350 --
2020 4-Seamer 0.7 1 214 57.2 44 .314 .629 .459 22.3 11.4 10.6 .340 .651 .473 43.3
2020 Changeup -0.8 -1 92 24.6 28 .192 .308 .257 32.8 25.0 18.9 .225 .363 .268 25.0
2020 Slider -1.3 -1 46 12.3 16 .267 .267 .269 37.5 31.3 23.8 .289 .328 .298 20.0
2020 Curveball 1.0 0 22 5.9 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 100.0 .050 .051 .053 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 89 88.5 99 16.8 2:15 2:30 -15
2020 Curveball 22 79.6 83 19.2 7:00 7:00 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 206 96.3 96 18.4 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Slider 45 84.5 50 13.2 7:30 8:15 -45
2021 Changeup 115 89.2 99 17.8 2:15 2:30 -15
2021 Curveball 13 79.9 79 19.0 7:00 7:00 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 179 96.4 97 19.0 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Slider 27 85.4 41 11.4 7:30 8:15 -45
2022 Changeup 285 87.9 97 17.9 2:15 2:15 0
2022 Curveball 41 81.8 46 12.4 7:15 8:15 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 391 96.2 96 17.2 1:00 12:45 15
2022 Slider 186 89.7 28 4.7 11:30 10:00 90
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 97 402 0 -7 4 2 -1
2021 78 338 0 0 5 3 9
2022 230 904 -3 -11 8 7 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 374 45.7 67.8 78.4 30.5 59.7 42.5 58.9 47.6 28.1 7.0 80.8
2021 338 46.4 67.5 75.5 25.4 52.2 37.9 48.7 45.0 30.3 4.7 81.3
2022 904 49.0 70.4 77.2 22.8 48.6 41.9 57.4 46.1 29.7 6.7 82.0
Player 1,616 47.7 69.3 77.2 25.2 52.6 41.2 56.0 46.2 29.5 6.4 81.6
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2020 12 11 17 28 10 46 17 55 75 29 17 60 75 91 14 53
2021 90 15 55
2022 54 66 79 84 32 85 91 60 90 52 11 79 3 87 3 42
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.2 4 4.2 0 1 4 2 50.0
2021 -- 0 1.1 -1 1 2 0 --
2022 26.2 1 2.1 -1 3 1 1 100.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 4 4 3 3 4 5 0 6 3 5 6 5 2 3 2 6 5 4 2 3 4 5 5 5 4 5 4 3 4 4 7
2021 0 2 1 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 0 2 1 1 2 2
2022 1 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 1 1 2 3 2 3 1 3
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 96.3 96.4 0.1 ↑ 96.2 -0.2 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 88.6 89.2 0.6 ↑ 87.9 -1.3 ↓
Breaking Velocity 82.9 83.7 0.8 ↑ 88.2 4.5 ↑
Exit Velocity 88 89.7 1.7 ↑ 88.1 -1.6 ↓
Launch Angle 4.6 10.4 5.8 ↑ 15.4 5 ↑
Barrel % 9.8 5.4 -4.4 ↓ 4.1 -1.3 ↓
Hard Hit % 32.8 43.2 10.4 ↑ 31.1 -12.1 ↓
Sweet Spot % 36.1 54.1 18 ↑ 34.5 -19.6 ↓
xBA .284 .219 -0.065 ↓ .226 0.007 ↑
BA .256 .263 0.007 ↑ .24 -0.023 ↓
xwOBA .369 .36 -0.009 ↓ .304 -0.056 ↓
wOBA .338 .38 0.042 ↑ .296 -0.084 ↓
xSLG .478 .367 -0.111 ↓ .334 -0.033 ↓
SLG .436 .421 -0.015 ↓ .327 -0.094 ↓
K% 20 28.2 8.2 ↑ 23 -5.2 ↓
BB% 12.2 20.5 8.3 ↑ 11.3 -9.2 ↓
Swing % 47.6 45 -2.6 ↓ 46.1 1.1 ↑
Whiff% 28.1 30.3 2.2 ↑ 29.7 -0.6 ↓
In Zone % 45.7 46.4 0.7 ↑ 49 2.6 ↑
Out of Zone % 54.3 53.6 -0.7 ↓ 51 -2.6 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 30.5 25.4 -5.1 ↓ 22.8 -2.6 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 33.3 29.5 -3.8 ↓ 30 0.5 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 58.9 48.7 -10.2 ↓ 57.4 8.7 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 90 .338 47 11 23.4 43 18 41.9
2021 78 .380 43 7 16.3 35 13 37.1
2022 230 .296 124 26 21.0 106 39 36.8

Pitch Tempo