Nick Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 205LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 4, #128, New York Yankees | Gulf Coast CC
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 2 8.79 11 2 0 14.1 22 2.16
2022 3 2 4.85 47 2 1 68.2 69 1.49
2023 1 0 1.69 1 0 0 5.1 3 0.75
4 Seasons 5 4 5.20 70 4 1 109 112 1.54
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 11 0-2 8.79 14.1 22 2.16
2022 47 3-2 4.85 68.2 69 1.49
2023 1 1-0 1.69 5.1 3 0.75
4 Seasons 70 5-4 5.20 109 112 1.54
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 24 374 61 6 9.8 6.7 88.0 109.3 4.6 36.1 .284 .477 .338 .369 .418 32.8 20.0 12.2 4.79 6.04
2021 25 338 37 2 5.4 2.6 89.7 105.9 10.4 54.1 .219 .367 .380 .360 .402 43.2 28.2 20.5 8.79 5.69
2022 26 1204 197 7 3.6 2.3 87.6 111.4 15.1 33.0 .222 .323 .311 .297 .320 32.5 22.5 11.8 4.85 3.64
2023 27 69 15 1 6.7 5.0 82.7 108.4 6.4 26.7 .258 .437 .214 .338 .358 26.7 15.0 10.0 1.69 4.90
Player 1985 310 16 5.2 3.2 87.7 111.4 12.1 35.8 .235 .363 .323 .321 .351 33.5 22.7 13.2
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 4 pitches.
Changeup
(37.7%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(31.9%) ,
Sinker
(24.6%) ,
Slider
(5.8%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 55.7 19.7 23.0 1.6 32.8 39.3 27.9 1.6 45.9 13.1 26.2 3.3 9.8 6.7
2021 35.1 13.5 48.6 2.7 37.8 35.1 27.0 2.7 35.1 18.9 27.0 10.8 5.4 2.6
2022 39.1 25.4 26.9 8.6 35.5 35.0 29.4 3.6 31.0 29.9 25.4 6.6 3.6 2.3
2023 53.3 13.3 20.0 13.3 40.0 33.3 26.7 13.3 46.7 13.3 20.0 0.0 6.7 5.0
Player 42.6 22.3 28.4 6.8 35.5 35.8 28.7 3.5 35.2 24.5 25.5 6.1 5.2 3.2
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 4-Seamer PHI R 22 93.8 15.0 0.6 4 6.5 -1.4 -17
2023 Changeup PHI R 26 86.7 29.8 -1.2 -4 17.2 2.7 19
2023 Slider PHI R 4 84.7 40.9 4.0 11 1.5 -4.1 -73
2023 Sinker PHI R 17 92.7 21.1 -2.7 -11 16.4 1.2 8
2022 Sinker PHI R 1 91.4 24.4 0.8 3 17.1 2.5 17
2022 Curveball PHI R 43 81.9 44.2 -5.5 -11 10.5 1.8 21
2022 Changeup PHI R 352 87.9 28.3 -1.3 -4 16.1 1.8 13
2022 4-Seamer PHI R 517 96.3 13.2 0.6 4 6.6 -1.4 -17
2022 Slider PHI R 291 89.9 30.0 -0.7 -2 2.2 -1.3 -37
2021 Changeup NYY R 115 89.2 27.7 -0.8 -3 16.0 1.6 11
2021 Slider NYY R 28 85.4 38.5 3.1 9 9.3 4.1 79
2021 4-Seamer NYY R 182 96.4 11.9 1.9 14 7.9 -0.1 -2
2021 Curveball NYY R 13 79.9 57.1 4.6 9 8.1 -1.2 -13
2020 4-Seamer NYY R 214 96.3 12.5 1.4 10 7.7 -0.3 -3
2020 Slider NYY R 46 84.5 41.9 4.7 13 11.2 6.0 117
2020 Changeup NYY R 92 88.6 29.3 0.1 0 15.4 1.4 10
2020 Curveball NYY R 22 79.6 57.1 4.9 9 9.5 0.1 1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Changeup 3.8 1 26 37.7 7 .000 .000 .100 33.3 28.6 20.0 .203 .228 .265 0.0
2023 4-Seamer -3.7 -1 22 31.9 6 .333 .833 .483 16.7 0.0 0.0 .467 .979 .607 50.0
2023 Sinker 8.3 1 17 24.6 7 .000 .000 .100 20.0 14.3 33.3 .104 .104 .181 20.0
2023 Slider -3.6 0 4 5.8 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seamer -0.1 0 517 42.9 138 .300 .409 .359 21.1 16.7 20.7 .251 .401 .347 41.5
2022 Changeup -2.5 -9 352 29.2 93 .286 .405 .330 34.2 25.8 19.2 .227 .313 .274 23.0
2022 Slider 1.4 4 291 24.2 66 .161 .196 .229 37.1 30.3 24.7 .176 .206 .239 27.0
2022 Curveball 0.9 0 43 3.6 8 .000 .000 .088 20.0 25.0 16.7 .073 .127 .161 20.0
2022 Sinker -22.2 0 1 0.1 1 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 -- -- -- .700 --
2021 4-Seamer -5.3 -10 182 53.8 33 .450 .750 .612 23.0 15.2 12.2 .345 .682 .537 66.7
2021 Changeup -0.5 -1 115 34.0 36 .172 .276 .251 29.0 33.3 25.5 .173 .225 .255 31.6
2021 Slider 5.3 1 28 8.3 7 .143 .143 .129 61.5 57.1 44.4 .078 .106 .084 0.0
2021 Curveball -3.4 0 13 3.8 2 .000 .000 .350 100.0 50.0 33.3 -- -- .350 --
2020 4-Seamer -0.7 -1 214 57.2 44 .314 .629 .459 22.3 11.4 10.6 .340 .651 .473 43.3
2020 Changeup 0.8 1 92 24.6 28 .192 .308 .257 32.8 25.0 18.9 .224 .362 .268 25.0
2020 Slider 1.4 1 46 12.3 16 .267 .267 .269 37.5 31.3 23.8 .289 .328 .298 20.0
2020 Curveball -1.0 0 22 5.9 2 .000 .000 .000 50.0 50.0 100.0 .050 .051 .053 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
+ View Complete Run Value Leaderboard

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 26 86.7 99 19.0 2:15 2:30 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 22 93.8 97 17.1 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Sinker 14 92.7 83 19.7 1:00 2:00 -60
2022 Changeup 351 87.9 97 18.1 2:15 2:15 0
2022 Curveball 43 81.9 47 12.4 7:15 8:15 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 516 96.3 96 17.3 1:00 12:45 15
2022 Slider 289 89.9 30 5.0 11:30 10:15 75
2021 Changeup 115 89.2 99 17.8 2:15 2:30 -15
2021 Curveball 13 79.9 79 19.0 7:00 7:00 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 179 96.4 97 19.0 1:00 12:45 15
2021 Slider 27 85.4 41 11.4 7:30 8:15 -45
2020 Changeup 89 88.5 99 16.8 2:15 2:30 -15
2020 Curveball 22 79.6 83 19.2 7:00 7:00 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 206 96.3 96 18.4 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Slider 45 84.5 50 13.2 7:30 8:15 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 97 402 0 7 -4 -2 1
2021 78 338 0 0 -5 -4 -9
2022 311 1,234 5 14 -13 -9 -4
+ View Complete Swing/Take Leaderboard

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 374 45.7 67.8 78.4 30.5 59.7 42.5 58.9 47.6 28.1 7.0 80.8
2021 338 46.4 67.5 75.5 25.4 52.2 37.6 48.7 45.0 30.3 4.7 81.3
2022 1,204 47.8 70.6 78.3 25.1 51.9 41.4 58.8 46.8 28.5 6.5 83.3
2023 69 44.9 80.6 80.0 34.2 69.2 42.0 75.0 55.1 23.7 4.3 100.0
Player 1,985 47.1 69.9 77.9 26.5 54.5 41.0 57.9 47.0 28.5 6.2 82.9
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 12 11 17 28 10 46 17 55 75 29 17 60 75 90 15 53
2021 89 17 55
2022 59 69 85 89 31 92 96 71 89 47 6 71 9 87 5 42
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.2 4 3.7 0 3 2 2 50.0
2021 -- 0 0.9 -1 0 2 0 --
2022 26.2 1 2.0 -1 2 1 1 100.0
2023 22.3 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
Player 22.8 6 7.6 -2 5 5 4 66.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 4 4 4 6 2 4 4 4 2 2 2 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 7 4 3 3 4 3 4 3 2
2021 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 2 1 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 1 0 1 2 1 1
2022 1 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2
2023 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Player 6 8 7 10 5 7 8 8 5 4 5 6 10 5 8 8 9 8 9 7 8 8 12 9 8 7 7 8 10 7 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
+View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 96.3 96.4 0.1 96.3 -0.1 93.4 -2.9
Offspeed Velocity 88.6 89.2 0.6 87.9 -1.3 86.7 -1.2
Breaking Velocity 82.9 83.7 0.8 88.8 5.1 84.7 -4.1
Exit Velocity 88.0 89.7 1.7 87.6 -2.1 82.7 -4.9
Launch Angle 4.6 10.4 5.8 15.1 4.7 6.4 -8.7
Barrel % 9.8 5.4 -4.4 3.6 -1.8 6.7 3.1
Hard Hit % 32.8 43.2 10.4 32.5 -10.7 26.7 -5.8
Sweet Spot % 36.1 54.1 18.0 33.0 -21.1 26.7 -6.3
xBA .284 .219 -0.065 .222 0.003 .258 0.036
BA .256 .263 0.007 .257 -0.006 .111 -0.146
xwOBA .369 .360 -0.009 .297 -0.063 .338 0.041
wOBA .338 .380 0.042 .311 -0.069 .214 -0.097
xSLG .477 .367 -0.110 .323 -0.044 .437 0.114
SLG .436 .421 -0.015 .350 -0.071 .278 -0.072
K% 20.0 28.2 8.2 22.5 -5.7 15.0 -7.5
BB% 12.2 20.5 8.3 11.8 -8.7 10.0 -1.8
Swing % 47.6 45.0 -2.6 46.8 1.8 55.1 8.3
Whiff% 28.1 30.3 2.2 28.5 -1.8 23.7 -4.8
In Zone % 45.7 46.4 0.7 47.8 1.4 44.9 -2.9
Out of Zone % 54.3 53.6 -0.7 52.2 -1.4 55.1 2.9
Out of Zone Swing % 30.5 25.4 -5.1 25.1 -0.3 34.2 9.1
First Pitch Swing % 33.3 29.5 -3.8 32.7 3.2 55.0 22.3
First Pitch Strike % 58.9 48.7 -10.2 58.8 10.1 75.0 16.2
+ View Complete Year to Year Changes Leaderboard

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 90 .338 47 11 23.4 43 18 41.9
2021 Shifts 78 .380 43 8 18.6 35 13 37.1
2022 Shifts 306 .311 159 42 26.4 147 64 43.5
2023 Shades 20 .214 9 0 0.0 11 4 36.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 103 16.0 37.9% 0.0% 66 24.1 0.0% 1.5%
2021 53 18.8 13.2% 3.8% 87 22.7 0.0% 6.9%
2022 252 19.4 2.4% 3.2% 257 22.9 0.0% 6.2%
2023 22 14.2 50.0% 0.0% 3 17.8 0.0% 0.0%
+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution