Luke Gregerson
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 3" 205LBS | Age: 39
Draft: 2006 | Rd: 28, #856, St. Louis Cardinals | Saint Xavier
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2017 2 3 4.57 65 0 1 61 70 1.34
2018 0 0 7.11 17 0 0 12.2 12 1.58
2019 0 0 7.94 6 0 0 5.2 2 2.12
11 Seasons 35 36 3.15 646 0 66 617.1 621 1.10
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2017 65 2-3 4.57 61 70 1.34
2018 17 0-0 7.11 12.2 12 1.58
2019 6 0-0 7.94 5.2 2 2.12
11 Seasons 646 35-36 3.15 617.1 621 1.10
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 31 867 168 5 3.0 2.1 85.9 111.1 0.8 21.4 .196 .298 .249 .238 .298 26.8 24.7 4.2 3.10 2.30
2016 32 852 143 7 4.9 3.0 87.8 107.8 3.2 19.6 .187 .309 .253 .252 .316 35.0 29.1 7.8 3.28 2.63
2017 33 968 173 15 8.7 5.7 86.6 113.1 7.8 32.9 .239 .425 .329 .305 .395 36.6 26.6 7.6 4.57 3.98
2018 34 207 39 0 0.0 0.0 87.9 107.3 5.5 33.3 .257 .353 .361 .310 .348 41.0 21.1 10.5 7.11 4.07
2019 35 104 24 0 0.0 0.0 90.3 107.5 6.2 37.5 .282 .384 .406 .301 .310 33.3 7.4 3.7 7.94 3.97
Player 2998 547 27 4.9 3.3 87.0 113.1 4.3 26.1 .215 .349 .289 .271 .338 33.3 25.7 6.7
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Gregerson relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(62.5%) ,
Slider
(26.9%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(8.7%) ,
Changeup
(1.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 61.9 14.9 18.5 4.8 39.9 41.1 19.0 3.6 48.2 16.7 17.9 4.8 3.0 2.1
2016 61.5 16.1 18.9 3.5 37.8 40.6 21.7 4.9 46.9 16.1 17.5 6.3 4.9 3.0
2017 49.1 22.0 23.7 5.2 36.4 44.5 19.1 6.9 35.3 18.5 22.5 6.4 8.7 5.7
2018 56.4 12.8 28.2 2.6 43.6 48.7 7.7 2.6 41.0 15.4 28.2 10.3 0.0 0.0
2019 54.2 8.3 29.2 8.3 54.2 20.8 25.0 0.0 41.7 25.0 25.0 8.3 0.0 0.0
Player 57.0 17.0 21.4 4.6 39.1 41.7 19.2 4.8 43.0 17.4 20.3 6.2 4.9 3.3
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2019 4-Seamer STL R 9 86.8 26.3 -6.2 -31 1.2 -5.3 -82
2019 Sinker STL R 65 86.4 33.3 6.1 23 9.4 -4.6 -33
2019 Slider STL R 28 78.8 46.6 0.9 2 12.6 3.7 42
2019 Changeup STL R 2 80.6 38.6 4.8 14 10.6 -3.4 -25
2018 4-Seamer STL R 35 87.6 25.7 -7.0 -37 0.8 -4.6 -85
2018 Sinker STL R 99 87.8 30.8 5.2 20 9.8 -3.8 -28
2018 Slider STL R 68 80.6 45.1 1.5 4 8.7 1.7 25
2018 Changeup STL R 5 78.3 43.1 8.7 25 7.0 -5.6 -44
2017 Sinker HOU R 453 89.6 30.3 8.0 36 11.1 -3.2 -23
2017 Slider HOU R 442 81.6 43.3 2.5 6 7.8 1.8 29
2017 Changeup HOU R 14 80.2 38.9 7.0 22 8.7 -4.3 -33
2017 4-Seamer HOU R 48 89.3 25.5 -8.9 -53 1.2 -6.2 -84
2016 Sinker HOU R 349 89.8 31.7 10.8 51 8.2 -5.2 -39
2016 Slider HOU R 373 81.7 44.3 4.5 11 11.4 4.4 63
2016 4-Seamer HOU R 76 89.6 28.5 -12.3 -75 3.3 -3.4 -51
2016 Changeup HOU R 9 79.8 38.8 6.9 21 4.7 -7.0 -60
2016 Cutter HOU R 14 89.3 29.5 -5.6 -23 1.2 -0.8 -40
2015 Changeup HOU R 13 79.3 -- -- 6.1 -6.3 -51
2015 Curveball HOU R 1 77.6 -- -- 3.2 -6.7 -68
2015 Sinker HOU R 371 90.0 -- -- 7.7 -6.2 -45
2015 Slider HOU R 346 82.8 -- -- 9.6 3.9 69
2015 Cutter HOU R 17 89.5 -- -- 1.4 -0.1 -4
2015 4-Seamer HOU R 91 89.8 -- -- 3.3 -4.0 -55
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2019 Sinker -1.0 -1 65 62.5 17 .471 .529 .444 6.1 0.0 0.0 .281 .394 .290 29.4
2019 Slider 0.5 0 28 26.9 8 .250 .250 .225 27.3 25.0 28.6 .246 .283 .233 33.3
2019 4-Seamer -9.1 -1 9 8.7 2 1.000 2.000 .975 0.0 0.0 0.0 .573 1.020 .673 100.0
2019 Changeup -3.4 0 2 1.9 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2018 Sinker -2.3 -2 99 47.8 25 .364 .545 .408 20.0 8.0 50.0 .281 .370 .335 45.0
2018 Slider 1.8 1 68 32.9 16 .188 .438 .259 45.9 50.0 24.2 .164 .204 .160 25.0
2018 4-Seamer -0.5 0 35 16.9 14 .273 .545 .486 13.3 7.1 14.3 .340 .542 .448 40.0
2018 Changeup 4.3 0 5 2.4 2 .000 .000 .000 33.3 50.0 100.0 .300 .334 .276 100.0
2017 Sinker 0.3 1 453 46.8 112 .301 .495 .378 20.4 10.7 15.8 .294 .490 .358 39.1
2017 Slider 0.4 2 442 45.7 128 .231 .455 .306 49.8 41.4 32.9 .204 .386 .268 33.3
2017 4-Seamer -1.6 -1 48 5.0 13 .167 .667 .362 13.6 23.1 18.8 .141 .319 .232 33.3
2017 Changeup 2.0 0 14 1.4 5 .250 .250 .320 40.0 40.0 25.0 .223 .262 .304 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2009 304 1,135 -1 13 3 -3 12
2010 291 1,093 2 19 -2 -3 15
2011 238 864 6 8 -3 -5 6
2012 290 1,084 4 15 2 -4 17
2013 266 948 -2 14 1 -4 9
2014 285 1,010 7 9 -2 -2 11
2015 254 923 0 14 -7 -2 6
2016 228 844 2 5 4 0 10
2017 273 1,027 3 4 5 -6 6
2018 57 207 1 2 -1 -2 -1
2019 27 104 0 -1 -1 0 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 867 44.8 64.4 82.8 41.3 51.0 42.7 66.9 51.7 30.6 6.7 56.9
2016 852 41.8 59.3 77.3 40.3 34.5 40.7 63.0 48.2 42.3 5.5 70.2
2017 968 43.4 63.9 79.7 36.5 43.9 40.3 65.0 48.3 35.3 6.9 72.7
2018 207 40.6 65.5 85.5 28.5 42.9 38.6 57.9 43.5 30.0 5.8 66.7
2019 104 46.2 68.8 100.0 30.4 70.6 46.2 55.6 48.1 10.0 4.8 80.0
Player 2,998 43.2 63.1 81.2 38.2 43.8 41.2 64.2 48.9 34.6 6.3 67.0
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 98 94 94 87 99 90 91 93 93 77 96 91 100 15 84 11
2016 95 96 93 78 96 87 71 69 47 90 50 100 100 11 87 12
2017 58 59 36 25 74 47 6 65 18 79 63 96 98 10 87 16
2018 2 75 12
2019 1 35 7
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.6 5 3.9 1 2 2 2 40.0
2017 23.4 13 12.8 0 3 9 6 46.2
2018 20.6 2 2.0 0 0 1 1 50.0
2019 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
Player 22.9 20 18.7 1 6 12 9 45.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 5 4 3 5 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 6 4 4 4 4 2 4 5 5 4 3 6 4 4 4 4 6 4 3 2
2017 13 12 10 12 13 12 14 13 12 11 12 13 14 13 13 14 13 11 12 12 13 10 14 14 15 13 12 17 15 15 9
2018 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
2019 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Player 20 18 14 20 18 17 20 19 17 16 17 21 20 19 19 20 17 17 19 19 19 15 22 20 21 19 18 25 21 20 13
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.9 89.8 -0.1 89.6 -0.2 87.7 -1.9 86.5 -1.2
Offspeed Velocity 79.3 79.8 0.5 80.2 0.4 78.3 -1.9 80.6 2.3
Breaking Velocity 82.8 81.7 -1.1 81.6 -0.1 80.6 -1.0 78.8 -1.8
Exit Velocity 85.9 87.8 1.9 86.6 -1.2 87.9 1.3 90.3 2.4
Launch Angle 0.8 3.2 2.4 7.8 4.6 5.5 -2.3 6.2 0.7
Barrel % 3.0 4.9 1.9 8.7 3.8 0.0 -8.7 0.0 0.0
Hard Hit % 26.8 35.0 8.2 36.6 1.6 41.0 4.4 33.3 -7.7
Sweet Spot % 21.4 19.6 -1.8 32.9 13.3 33.3 0.4 37.5 4.2
xBA .196 .187 -0.009 .239 0.052 .258 0.019 .282 0.024
BA .213 .183 -0.030 .257 0.074 .275 0.018 .423 0.148
xwOBA .238 .252 0.014 .305 0.053 .310 0.005 .301 -0.009
wOBA .249 .253 0.004 .329 0.076 .361 0.032 .406 0.045
xSLG .298 .309 0.011 .425 0.116 .353 -0.072 .384 0.031
SLG .320 .337 0.017 .477 0.140 .490 0.013 .500 0.010
K% 24.7 29.1 4.4 26.6 -2.5 21.1 -5.5 7.4 -13.7
BB% 4.2 7.8 3.6 7.6 -0.2 10.5 2.9 3.7 -6.8
Swing % 51.7 48.2 -3.5 48.3 0.1 43.5 -4.8 48.1 4.6
Whiff% 30.6 42.3 11.7 35.3 -7.0 30.0 -5.3 10.0 -20.0
In Zone % 44.8 41.8 -3.0 43.4 1.6 40.6 -2.8 46.2 5.6
Out of Zone % 55.2 58.2 3.0 56.6 -1.6 59.4 2.8 53.8 -5.6
Out of Zone Swing % 41.3 40.3 -1.0 36.5 -3.8 28.5 -8.0 30.4 1.9
First Pitch Swing % 27.2 29.1 1.9 32.7 3.6 26.3 -6.4 25.9 -0.4
First Pitch Strike % 66.9 63.0 -3.9 65.0 2.0 57.9 -7.1 55.6 -2.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 222 .243 112 10 8.9 110 29 26.4
2017 Shifts 259 .329 158 38 24.1 101 48 47.5
2018 Shifts 57 .361 32 1 3.1 25 0 0.0
2019 Shifts 27 .406 15 0 0.0 12 7 58.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 352 17.0 22.2% 2.3% 138 24.0 0.0% 17.4%
2011 211 17.7 21.3% 2.8% 156 24.7 0.6% 18.6%
2012 326 17.9 16.9% 4.3% 149 25.3 0.7% 23.5%
2013 280 16.9 23.9% 3.6% 117 24.5 2.6% 14.5%
2014 283 17.0 21.2% 6.0% 146 23.9 0.7% 17.8%
2015 256 18.4 26.6% 9.0% 106 24.7 2.8% 28.3%
2016 242 19.4 23.6% 9.9% 127 25.5 6.3% 24.4%
2017 279 19.0 6.1% 4.7% 145 26.3 0.0% 23.4%
2018 47 16.8 25.5% 0.0% 50 25.8 0.0% 18.0%
2019 27 15.1 48.1% 0.0% 20 24.8 0.0% 10.0%
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Pitch Distribution