Lucas Sims
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 213LBS | Age: 30
Draft: 2012 | Rd: 1, #21, Atlanta Braves | Brookwood HS (GA)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0 9.45 6 0 1 6.2 5 1.65
2023 7 3 3.10 67 0 3 61 72 1.18
2024 1 2 3.97 28 0 1 22.2 24 1.37
8 Seasons 22 15 4.48 215 14 12 279.1 328 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 6 1-0 9.45 6.2 5 1.65
2023 67 7-3 3.10 61 72 1.18
2024 28 1-2 3.97 22.2 24 1.37
8 Seasons 215 22-15 4.48 279.1 328 1.27
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 23 985 184 9 4.9 3.5 86.7 114.1 15.2 34.8 .263 .437 .366 .335 .367 29.9 17.3 9.0 5.62 4.89
2018 24 312 46 3 6.5 3.9 88.0 109.4 16.9 39.1 .229 .404 .361 .346 .361 37.0 20.8 16.9 7.47 5.19
2019 25 751 99 6 6.1 3.4 88.7 112.0 25.0 37.4 .175 .340 .302 .270 .336 31.3 32.2 10.7 4.61 3.16
2020 26 464 55 1 1.8 1.0 87.3 107.4 18.8 20.0 .133 .209 .257 .229 .240 34.5 32.7 11.5 2.46 2.19
2021 27 815 97 6 6.2 3.1 86.5 112.2 20.4 44.3 .167 .296 .281 .244 .346 35.1 39.0 9.2 4.40 2.47
2022 28 129 19 1 5.3 3.2 87.9 107.9 7.4 31.6 .228 .343 .323 .341 .300 26.3 16.1 19.4 9.45 4.94
2023 29 1057 137 12 8.8 4.7 87.6 109.7 27.6 32.1 .177 .330 .287 .302 .321 32.1 27.9 15.1 3.10 3.82
2024 30 393 59 7 11.9 7.1 87.0 110.6 23.8 32.2 .226 .428 .333 .337 .382 33.9 24.5 14.3 3.97 4.56
Player 4906 696 45 6.5 3.8 87.3 114.1 20.7 34.8 .199 .352 .312 .295 .340 32.3 27.4 12.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .368 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Sims relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(55.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(38.9%) ,
Curveball
(5.1%) ,
Split Finger
(0.5%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 40.2 27.2 23.9 8.7 34.2 38.0 26.1 5.4 28.8 26.6 23.9 7.6 4.9 3.5
2018 37.0 21.7 30.4 10.9 30.4 39.1 30.4 2.2 26.1 30.4 28.3 6.5 6.5 3.9
2019 26.3 39.4 20.2 14.1 38.4 37.4 24.2 2.0 19.2 46.5 17.2 8.1 6.1 3.4
2020 41.8 29.1 16.4 12.7 40.0 30.9 29.1 5.5 32.7 36.4 16.4 5.5 1.8 1.0
2021 28.9 30.9 27.8 12.4 32.0 36.1 32.0 8.2 17.5 38.1 20.6 9.3 6.2 3.1
2022 52.6 21.1 26.3 0.0 68.4 15.8 15.8 5.3 47.4 15.8 15.8 10.5 5.3 3.2
2023 24.8 39.4 21.2 14.6 35.8 37.2 27.0 5.1 13.9 49.6 17.5 5.1 8.8 4.7
2024 27.1 35.6 23.7 13.6 42.4 37.3 20.3 6.8 15.3 35.6 22.0 8.5 11.9 7.1
Player 32.8 32.2 23.3 11.8 36.6 36.4 26.6 5.2 22.4 37.1 20.5 7.3 6.5 3.8
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 153 94.0 13.5 1.7 11 5.0 -3.2 -39
2024 Split-Finger CIN R 2 88.3 26.5 -5.9 -18 11.0 -0.3 -3
2024 Curveball CIN R 20 79.9 53.3 0.8 2 15.3 5.3 53
2024 Slider CIN R 218 83.9 34.3 -3.5 -9 16.6 9.1 120
2023 Curveball CIN R 62 78.1 58.4 2.6 5 14.1 4.7 50
2023 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 460 94.2 12.6 2.6 17 6.9 -1.4 -17
2023 Slider CIN R 534 83.8 34.3 -3.6 -9 15.5 8.7 126
2022 Slider CIN R 61 83.4 38.8 1.0 3 10.2 3.7 56
2022 Curveball CIN R 13 78.6 51.2 -2.1 -4 12.0 1.4 13
2022 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 55 93.5 13.0 2.5 16 9.4 1.2 15
2021 Slider CIN R 281 85.6 37.3 1.8 5 7.7 2.5 49
2021 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 336 95.1 12.2 3.1 20 8.5 0.3 4
2021 Curveball CIN R 195 82.3 43.8 -4.3 -9 10.5 2.5 32
2021 Changeup CIN R 2 91.1 19.2 -8.3 -30 12.7 -2.5 -16
2020 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 223 93.9 12.8 3.0 19 7.2 -1.0 -12
2020 Curveball CIN R 141 81.4 46.0 -2.2 -5 15.3 6.0 64
2020 Slider CIN R 93 83.1 40.9 2.5 7 13.3 7.7 136
2020 Changeup CIN R 7 87.5 30.5 0.1 0 16.3 1.9 13
2019 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 376 93.5 14.8 2.0 12 9.1 0.4 5
2019 Sinker CIN R 4 95.3 17.3 -5.9 -26 14.5 -1.9 -11
2019 Changeup CIN R 42 86.5 35.1 3.6 12 15.1 0.4 3
2019 Curveball CIN R 186 81.6 47.7 -1.9 -4 12.0 2.8 31
2019 Slider CIN R 143 83.3 35.7 -4.2 -11 11.5 4.4 61
2018 Sinker CIN R 30 93.0 20.0 -3.5 -15 12.9 -2.3 -15
2018 Changeup CIN R 37 86.0 35.3 2.6 8 14.6 0.6 4
2018 Slider CIN R 15 89.1 29.2 -3.5 -11 5.7 1.3 31
2018 Curveball CIN R 85 79.9 51.0 -2.1 -4 13.8 4.3 46
2018 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 145 92.3 18.8 -1.5 -9 5.6 -2.7 -32
2017 Sinker ATL R 215 92.3 22.5 -1.0 -4 16.0 0.3 2
2017 Curveball ATL R 129 76.7 55.8 -2.1 -4 15.1 5.0 49
2017 Slider ATL R 267 86.4 32.4 -2.5 -7 4.8 1.2 32
2017 4-Seam Fastball ATL R 246 91.2 18.0 -0.6 -4 5.3 -3.9 -42
2017 Changeup ATL R 128 83.5 36.9 3.3 10 16.7 2.9 21
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Slider 1.6 3 218 55.5 40 .171 .286 .241 23.4 22.5 16.1 .261 .427 .326 29.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.5 -2 153 38.9 53 .214 .548 .394 27.2 26.4 26.4 .173 .426 .342 35.7
2024 Curveball -5.6 -1 20 5.1 4 .500 .500 .450 40.0 25.0 33.3 .310 .344 .280 66.7
2024 Split-Finger 2.7 0 2 0.5 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .843 .870 .759 0.0
2023 Slider 2.7 15 534 50.5 132 .147 .266 .261 41.5 30.3 24.1 .165 .314 .283 28.6
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.8 4 460 43.5 119 .191 .360 .321 23.1 26.1 21.4 .195 .361 .324 37.5
2023 Curveball -1.7 -1 62 5.9 6 .000 .000 .233 30.8 16.7 5.9 .074 .079 .280 0.0
2022 Slider 2.1 1 61 47.3 15 .154 .308 .213 25.9 26.7 18.2 .166 .317 .226 30.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball -3.6 -2 55 42.6 14 .375 .375 .493 16.7 7.1 9.1 .361 .444 .502 28.6
2022 Curveball 2.3 0 13 10.1 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .103 .113 .096 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 1 336 41.2 83 .151 .356 .261 26.3 39.8 24.4 .153 .355 .261 34.1
2021 Slider 1.7 5 281 34.5 70 .197 .348 .248 42.2 37.1 27.7 .151 .210 .180 29.3
2021 Curveball 0.1 0 195 23.9 38 .323 .452 .386 40.8 44.7 34.7 .234 .338 .312 53.3
2021 Changeup -31.0 -1 3 0.4 1 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2020 4-Seam Fastball 0.1 0 223 48.1 59 .184 .429 .351 29.0 22.0 19.7 .172 .293 .284 41.7
2020 Curveball 3.2 4 141 30.4 26 .087 .130 .163 48.9 50.0 31.7 .104 .139 .176 20.0
2020 Slider 0.6 1 93 20.0 18 .125 .125 .178 33.3 38.9 24.1 .068 .074 .134 22.2
2020 Changeup -6.6 0 7 1.5 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -4 376 50.1 81 .258 .606 .409 26.4 18.5 13.0 .191 .431 .324 39.6
2019 Curveball 1.9 4 186 24.8 45 .140 .233 .183 30.5 35.6 22.2 .189 .296 .227 22.2
2019 Slider 1.0 1 143 19.0 39 .167 .250 .238 55.2 56.4 41.5 .104 .146 .171 14.3
2019 Changeup -4.7 -2 42 5.6 11 .250 .625 .455 50.0 36.4 30.8 .312 .738 .499 50.0
2019 Sinker 5.2 0 4 0.5 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .013 .028 .018 0.0
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 -3 145 46.5 33 .217 .522 .426 25.0 15.2 15.2 .193 .487 .408 33.3
2018 Curveball 0.3 0 85 27.2 15 .143 .143 .167 36.7 33.3 17.9 .146 .185 .180 22.2
2018 Changeup -2.4 -1 37 11.9 11 .200 .400 .291 40.0 27.3 23.1 .184 .257 .233 14.3
2018 Sinker -7.3 -2 30 9.6 12 .500 .750 .542 9.1 25.0 42.9 .378 .593 .417 66.7
2018 Slider 0.6 0 15 4.8 5 .000 .000 .280 14.3 0.0 0.0 .455 .521 .536 66.7
2017 Slider 1.4 4 267 27.1 62 .186 .407 .284 24.2 19.4 18.8 .214 .410 .282 29.8
2017 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 246 25.0 57 .310 .595 .452 15.5 14.0 12.1 .236 .453 .380 40.5
2017 Sinker -0.2 0 215 21.8 61 .302 .434 .346 12.9 13.1 12.5 .320 .461 .358 25.0
2017 Curveball -5.2 -7 129 13.1 40 .324 .541 .395 25.0 25.0 16.4 .248 .384 .299 18.5
2017 Changeup -2.0 -3 128 13.0 33 .387 .645 .442 25.4 18.2 17.6 .319 .490 .366 36.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Curveball 20 79.9 77 20.6 7:45 7:45 0
2024 4-Seam Fastball 153 94.0 86 17.7 12:45 12:30 15
2024 Slider 215 83.9 51 18.0 8:30 9:15 -45
2023 Curveball 60 78.1 83 21.8 7:30 7:30 0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 451 94.2 87 19.2 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Slider 519 83.8 48 16.8 8:30 9:30 -60
2022 Curveball 13 78.6 69 16.1 7:45 7:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 55 93.5 93 20.5 1:00 1:00 0
2022 Slider 60 83.4 38 11.6 8:30 8:45 -15
2021 Curveball 177 82.2 55 13.0 8:00 8:00 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 336 95.1 90 19.8 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Slider 235 85.6 37 9.0 8:15 8:30 -15
2020 Curveball 130 81.4 60 17.8 7:45 8:15 -30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 180 93.9 82 19.2 12:45 12:45 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 253 985 -8 11 -4 -5 -6
2018 76 312 0 0 -4 -2 -6
2019 177 751 7 0 -3 -4 0
2020 113 503 7 9 -5 -3 7
2021 192 815 3 10 -4 -5 5
2022 31 129 1 2 -3 -1 0
2023 257 1,056 15 20 -8 -9 17
2024 98 393 1 6 -5 -2 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 985 47.4 63.8 84.9 27.6 62.9 42.6 66.7 44.8 20.2 7.6 68.0
2018 312 43.9 61.3 75.0 29.1 64.7 38.8 53.9 43.3 27.4 7.7 66.7
2019 751 40.5 64.8 76.6 34.9 51.9 40.2 66.1 47.0 34.0 5.6 59.5
2020 464 44.8 56.3 77.8 25.8 40.9 42.0 51.9 39.4 35.0 6.9 56.3
2021 815 48.1 59.4 75.1 29.1 43.1 39.9 58.3 43.7 35.1 7.7 61.9
2022 129 41.9 57.4 80.6 22.7 76.5 37.2 61.3 37.2 20.8 10.9 71.4
2023 1,057 44.7 67.9 75.7 27.7 46.9 41.5 55.3 45.7 33.1 6.8 63.9
2024 393 49.9 65.3 85.2 26.9 47.2 33.8 57.1 46.1 25.4 8.7 76.5
Player 4,906 45.5 63.2 78.8 28.8 51.6 40.4 59.7 44.4 29.9 7.3 64.9
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2017 27 27 30 36 21 72 70 63 75 19 37 20 52 31 75 92 2
2018 42 82 91 10
2019 53 99 99 14
2020 98 99 99 98 93 97 98 68 63 89 22 90 30 60 100 100 9
2021 76 98 98 4
2022 43 96 5
2023 63 99 89 57 31 68 34 78 91 81 2 91 35 53 100 98 4
2024 24 70 31 11 24 49 5 85 79 65 6 50 36 50 99 6
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 22.9 9 9.2 0 3 5 5 55.6
2018 24.1 3 3.0 0 0 1 2 66.7
2019 23.7 8 6.6 1 3 4 3 37.5
2020 22.2 3 1.6 1 2 2 0 0.0
2021 24.5 6 6.3 0 0 2 5 83.3
2022 -- 0 0.2 0 1 0 0 --
2023 25.3 5 4.7 0 3 4 2 40.0
2024 23.9 5 4.4 1 1 3 2 40.0
Player 23.8 39 36.0 3 13 21 19 48.7

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 9 9 5 10 10 10 10 10 8 9 8 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 10 9 10 8 10 11 9 9 9 12 10 9 7
2018 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2019 8 7 6 6 7 7 7 8 4 4 6 6 9 6 7 7 7 7 5 7 8 8 8 8 7 5 6 7 8 5 4
2020 3 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 0
2021 6 7 6 6 6 6 7 6 5 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 6 7 7
2022 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2023 5 4 3 4 4 5 5 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 7 5 7 3 4 5 5 6 7 6 4 4 4 5 5 6 5
2024 5 3 5 4 4 5 6 5 4 4 4 5 3 5 4 5 3 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 3 4 5 4 5 5 5
Player 39 37 30 34 35 38 39 38 27 31 32 36 37 34 38 38 37 34 37 38 39 40 43 42 33 32 35 39 41 36 31
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.7 92.4 0.7 93.5 1.1 93.9 0.4 95.1 1.2 93.5 -1.6 94.2 0.7 94.0 -0.2
Offspeed Velocity 83.5 86.0 2.5 86.5 0.5 87.5 1.0 90.9 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.3 0.0
Breaking Velocity 83.2 81.3 -1.9 82.3 1.0 82.1 -0.2 84.2 2.1 82.6 -1.6 83.2 0.6 83.6 0.4
Exit Velocity 86.7 88.0 1.3 88.7 0.7 87.3 -1.4 86.5 -0.8 87.9 1.4 87.6 -0.3 87.0 -0.6
Launch Angle 15.2 16.9 1.7 25.0 8.1 18.8 -6.2 20.4 1.6 7.4 -13.0 27.6 20.2 23.8 -3.8
Barrel % 4.9 6.5 1.6 6.1 -0.4 1.8 -4.3 6.2 4.4 5.3 -0.9 8.8 3.5 11.9 3.1
Hard Hit % 29.9 37.0 7.1 31.3 -5.7 34.5 3.2 35.1 0.6 26.3 -8.8 32.1 5.8 33.9 1.8
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.8 39.1 4.3 37.4 -1.7 20.0 -17.4 44.3 24.3 31.6 -12.7 32.1 0.5 32.2 0.1
xBA .263 .229 -0.034 .175 -0.054 .133 -0.042 .167 0.034 .228 0.061 .177 -0.051 .226 0.049
BA .288 .242 -0.046 .201 -0.041 .146 -0.055 .200 0.054 .217 0.017 .163 -0.054 .207 0.044
xwOBA .335 .346 0.011 .270 -0.076 .229 -0.041 .244 0.015 .341 0.097 .302 -0.039 .337 0.035
wOBA .366 .361 -0.005 .302 -0.059 .257 -0.045 .281 0.024 .323 0.042 .287 -0.036 .333 0.046
xSLG .437 .404 -0.033 .340 -0.064 .209 -0.131 .296 0.087 .343 0.047 .330 -0.013 .428 0.098
SLG .505 .435 -0.070 .416 -0.019 .292 -0.124 .371 0.079 .304 -0.067 .302 -0.002 .427 0.125
K% 17.3 20.8 3.5 32.2 11.4 32.7 0.5 39.0 6.3 16.1 -22.9 27.9 11.8 24.5 -3.4
BB% 9.0 16.9 7.9 10.7 -6.2 11.5 0.8 9.2 -2.3 19.4 10.2 15.1 -4.3 14.3 -0.8
Swing % 44.8 43.3 -1.5 47.0 3.7 39.4 -7.6 43.7 4.3 37.2 -6.5 45.7 8.5 46.1 0.4
Whiff% 20.2 27.4 7.2 34.0 6.6 35.0 1.0 35.1 0.1 20.8 -14.3 33.1 12.3 25.4 -7.7
In Zone % 47.4 43.9 -3.5 40.5 -3.4 44.8 4.3 48.1 3.3 41.9 -6.2 44.7 2.8 49.9 5.2
Out of Zone % 52.6 56.1 3.5 59.5 3.4 55.2 -4.3 51.9 -3.3 58.1 6.2 55.3 -2.8 50.1 -5.2
Out of Zone Swing % 27.6 29.1 1.5 34.9 5.8 25.8 -9.1 29.1 3.3 22.7 -6.4 27.7 5.0 26.9 -0.8
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 28.9 2.6 26.6 -2.3 19.2 -7.4 20.8 1.6 12.9 -7.9 29.6 16.7 27.6 -2.0
First Pitch Strike % 66.7 53.9 -12.8 66.1 12.2 51.9 -14.2 58.3 6.4 61.3 3.0 55.3 -6.0 57.1 1.8
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 253 .366 140 5 3.6 113 30 26.5
2018 Shifts 76 .361 40 1 2.5 36 7 19.4
2019 Shifts 177 .302 100 8 8.0 77 42 54.5
2020 Shifts 102 .262 49 10 20.4 53 44 83.0
2021 Shifts 192 .281 109 6 5.5 83 52 62.7
2022 Shifts 31 .323 18 0 0.0 13 7 53.8
2023 Shades 257 .287 144 22 15.3 113 56 49.6
2024 Shades 98 .333 63 3 4.8 35 26 74.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo