Lucas Erceg
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 214LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 2, #46, Milwaukee Brewers | Menlo
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 4 4 4.75 50 0 0 55 68 1.58
2024 2 6 3.53 58 0 11 58.2 68 1.11
2 Seasons 6 10 4.12 108 0 11 113.2 136 1.34
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 50 4-4 4.75 55 68 1.58
2024 58 2-6 3.53 58.2 68 1.11
2 Seasons 108 6-10 4.12 113.2 136 1.34
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2023 28 1053 141 9 6.4 3.6 86.0 110.5 7.9 34.0 .208 .301 .328 .297 .323 33.3 27.1 14.3 4.75 3.69
2024 29 912 154 10 6.5 4.1 85.7 110.3 7.3 31.8 .226 .350 .269 .283 .354 31.8 27.9 6.6 3.53 3.25
Player 1965 295 19 6.4 3.8 85.8 110.5 7.6 32.9 .217 .326 .299 .290 .339 32.5 27.5 10.5
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Erceg relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(30.2%) ,
Slider
(28.2%) ,
Sinker
(21.8%) ,
Changeup
(19.8%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2023 44.0 24.1 25.5 6.4 41.1 33.3 25.5 5.7 39.0 22.0 23.4 3.5 6.4 3.6
2024 45.5 25.3 24.7 4.5 30.5 35.7 33.8 3.9 35.7 20.8 28.6 4.5 6.5 4.1
Player 44.7 24.7 25.1 5.4 35.6 34.6 29.8 4.7 37.3 21.4 26.1 4.1 6.4 3.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.7 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Sinker KC R 199 98.5 18.0 -0.9 -5 15.8 1.0 7
2024 Slider KC R 257 85.7 40.4 5.0 14 0.1 -4.9 -103
2024 Changeup KC R 181 91.1 26.3 -1.5 -5 17.9 2.9 19
2024 4-Seam Fastball KC R 275 98.6 13.1 -0.9 -7 10.0 2.2 28
2023 Slider OAK R 155 86.2 38.0 2.8 8 0.5 -4.0 -89
2023 Cutter OAK R 47 90.7 28.6 -3.9 -16 2.5 -0.1 -4
2023 Changeup OAK R 233 90.3 26.5 -1.0 -4 16.9 2.0 14
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 299 98.0 13.9 -1.5 -12 9.0 1.3 18
2023 Sinker OAK R 319 98.0 17.6 -0.7 -4 15.5 0.8 5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 275 30.2 79 .246 .420 .337 27.6 31.6 28.4 .250 .471 .354 43.2
2024 Slider 2.9 7 257 28.2 56 .130 .148 .144 37.9 46.4 26.8 .152 .214 .177 28.6
2024 Sinker 1.6 3 199 21.8 64 .220 .237 .257 20.6 17.2 25.6 .210 .243 .237 25.0
2024 Changeup -0.2 0 181 19.8 43 .300 .475 .358 36.6 14.0 14.0 .306 .484 .361 29.4
2023 Sinker 0.1 0 319 30.3 104 .280 .354 .369 28.9 15.4 25.4 .206 .266 .305 26.9
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 3 299 28.4 68 .190 .328 .290 19.3 32.4 17.5 .221 .389 .322 41.7
2023 Changeup 0.5 1 233 22.1 48 .190 .286 .285 38.4 39.6 22.9 .196 .230 .249 26.1
2023 Slider -0.2 0 155 14.7 24 .318 .500 .379 29.4 37.5 17.3 .210 .350 .275 61.5
2023 Cutter -5.4 -3 47 4.5 6 .500 .750 .592 40.0 33.3 10.0 .179 .212 .347 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
+ View Complete Run Value Leaderboard

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 177 91.1 95 19.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 273 98.6 98 18.0 1:15 1:15 0
2024 Sinker 198 98.5 98 19.0 1:30 2:00 -30
2024 Slider 255 85.7 30 5.5 7:15 6:00 75
2023 Changeup 230 90.3 94 18.6 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Cutter 47 90.7 30 4.6 12:00 10:45 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 298 98.0 97 17.0 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 313 98.0 98 19.1 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Slider 154 86.2 23 3.6 8:15 6:30 105
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2023 250 1,053 5 12 -8 -7 2
2024 242 912 11 7 -4 -5 9
+ View Complete Swing/Take Leaderboard

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2023 1,053 46.1 62.9 79.3 23.2 53.0 42.0 56.8 41.5 28.4 6.3 65.2
2024 912 47.6 65.2 78.1 31.4 52.7 44.1 59.1 47.5 30.7 6.7 73.8
Player 1,965 46.8 64.0 78.7 27.0 52.8 43.0 57.9 44.3 29.5 6.5 69.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2023 71 88 96 95 21 83 75 94 85 77 3 67 5 96 3 75
2024 83 72 80 82 74 81 75 98 94 83 70 86 79 98 11 61
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2023 28.6 1 3.1 -2 3 3 1 100.0
2024 22.9 3 3.8 -1 5 4 0 0.0
Player 24.3 4 6.9 -3 8 7 1 25.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs

Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2023 1 1 3 4 3 5 4 2 3 1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 1 4 5 4 3 5 4 2 1 4 5 4 2 2
2024 3 5 4 5 3 3 4 4 1 2 3 5 5 3 3 4 3 3 4 6 4 4 7 4 3 3 3 5 5 4 2
Player 4 6 7 9 6 8 8 6 4 3 5 7 8 6 6 8 7 4 8 11 8 7 12 8 5 4 7 10 9 6 4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
+ View Standard Expected Home Runs By Park
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2023 2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.5 98.6 1.1
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 91.1 0.8
Breaking Velocity 86.2 85.7 -0.5
Exit Velocity 86.0 85.7 -0.3
Launch Angle 7.9 7.3 -0.6
Barrel % 6.4 6.5 0.1
Hard Hit % 33.3 31.8 -1.5
LA Sweet-Spot % 34.0 31.8 -2.2
xBA .208 .226 0.018
BA .245 .221 -0.024
xwOBA .297 .283 -0.014
wOBA .328 .269 -0.059
xSLG .301 .350 0.049
SLG .356 .315 -0.041
K% 27.1 27.9 0.8
BB% 14.3 6.6 -7.7
Swing % 41.5 47.5 6.0
Whiff% 28.4 30.7 2.3
In Zone % 46.1 47.6 1.5
Out of Zone % 53.9 52.4 -1.5
Out of Zone Swing % 23.2 31.4 8.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.4 30.6 2.2
First Pitch Strike % 56.8 59.1 2.3
+ View Complete Year to Year Changes Leaderboard

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2023 Shades 250 .328 159 1 0.6 91 32 35.2
2024 Shades 242 .269 130 0 0.0 112 45 40.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2023 247 16.0 25.5% 0.4% 254 19.3 0.4% 0.0%
2024 251 16.0 28.7% 1.6% 139 19.0 1.4% 0.7%

+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution