Lance McCullers Jr.
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 1" 200LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2012 | Rd: C-A, #41, Houston Astros | Jesuit HS (FL)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 13 5 3.16 28 28 0 162.1 185 1.22
2022 4 2 2.27 8 8 0 47.2 50 1.24
2025 1 2 4.91 7 7 0 29.1 39 1.43
8 Seasons 50 34 3.54 137 134 0 748 839 1.26
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 13-5 3.16 162.1 185 1.22
2022 8 4-2 2.27 47.2 50 1.24
2025 7 1-2 4.91 29.1 39 1.43
8 Seasons 137 50-34 3.54 748 839 1.26
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 21 2109 343 23 6.7 4.4 88.5 111.6 9.5 32.1 .232 .376 .289 .300 .362 32.1 24.8 8.3 3.22 3.72
2016 22 1342 201 11 5.5 3.1 88.5 111.5 2.7 29.4 .214 .326 .325 .289 .353 35.3 30.1 12.8 3.22 3.48
2017 23 2014 329 15 4.6 2.9 87.4 114.9 1.0 30.4 .230 .345 .305 .291 .347 32.8 25.8 7.8 4.25 3.60
2018 24 2108 328 27 8.2 5.1 89.2 112.7 5.4 32.0 .220 .362 .289 .299 .361 35.1 26.9 9.5 3.86 3.76
2020 26 884 146 15 10.3 6.6 89.3 111.3 3.8 30.8 .243 .408 .308 .327 .388 34.9 24.7 8.8 3.93 4.58
2021 27 2788 413 22 5.3 3.2 89.8 117.3 5.1 25.9 .208 .314 .283 .284 .326 40.7 27.0 11.1 3.16 3.39
2022 28 759 123 6 4.9 3.1 87.7 111.3 8.0 26.8 .224 .342 .287 .294 .343 32.5 25.6 11.3 2.27 3.57
2025 31 591 77 8 10.4 5.8 91.2 107.9 12.6 35.1 .235 .403 .327 .335 .409 54.5 28.5 11.7 4.91 4.28
Player 12595 1960 127 6.5 4.0 88.9 117.3 5.4 29.9 .223 .351 .297 .297 .353 36.0 26.6 9.9
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.7 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

McCullers relies on 6 pitches.
Slider
(34.5%) ,
Sinker
(21.2%) ,
Changeup
(19.3%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(15.2%) ,
Four Seamer
(6.6%) ,
Cutter
(3.2%) ,


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+ Similar Pitchers to Lance McCullers Jr. Based on Velocity and Movement:
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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2015 48.4 51.6 19.5 26.2 5.8 32.7 42.0 25.4 21.9 20.1 6.4 10.8 21.9 19.0
2016 58.7 41.3 15.4 23.4 2.5 26.9 41.8 31.3 20.4 26.4 11.9 6.5 15.4 19.4
2017 62.3 37.7 11.9 23.4 2.4 38.0 42.2 19.8 26.4 27.4 8.5 11.6 14.9 11.2
2018 55.5 44.5 17.4 24.4 2.7 41.2 38.1 18.9 26.8 20.7 6.4 14.3 17.4 12.5
2020 60.3 39.7 15.8 19.9 4.1 44.5 34.9 20.5 31.5 21.2 7.5 13.0 13.7 13.0
2021 56.9 43.1 19.9 19.9 3.4 35.1 37.0 27.8 24.0 22.8 10.2 11.1 14.3 17.7
2022 50.4 49.6 24.4 19.5 5.7 41.5 33.3 25.2 26.0 17.1 7.3 15.4 16.3 17.9
2025 44.2 55.8 27.3 23.4 5.2 53.2 31.2 15.6 28.6 14.3 1.3 24.7 16.9 14.3
Player 55.6 44.4 17.9 22.8 3.7 37.1 38.8 23.7 25.0 22.3 8.1 12.1 16.5 15.7
MLB 44.4 55.6 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 1.2 39.4 22.7 24.8 4.1 6.7 4.4
2016 2.5 49.3 12.4 23.4 6.0 5.5 3.1
2017 4.6 47.7 12.2 24.6 4.3 4.6 2.9
2018 2.4 45.1 18.6 19.5 5.5 8.2 5.1
2020 2.1 47.9 12.3 22.6 4.8 10.3 6.6
2021 1.9 44.8 19.9 22.8 5.3 5.3 3.2
2022 1.6 42.3 22.8 22.0 6.5 4.9 3.1
2025 3.9 27.3 19.5 28.6 10.4 10.4 5.8
Player 2.4 44.2 17.7 23.1 5.3 6.5 4.0
MLB 3.9 32.6 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2025 Slider HOU R 204 82.6 35.3 -3.5 15.6GLV 7.2 5.2 -3.5 15.6GLV 10.7
2025 Cutter HOU R 19 87.9 29.4 -2.6 2.3GLV 0.2 6.1 -2.3 2.3GLV 0.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 39 91.7 20.1 -2.4 7.8ARM -1.8 12.5 -3.4 7.8ARM 0.1
2025 Sinker HOU R 125 91.2 28.7 1.4 13.5ARM -2.5 4.4 2.9 13.5ARM -1.8
2025 Curveball HOU R 90 82.3 50.5 3.0 14.7GLV 3.6 -9.6 -0.2 14.7GLV 5.3
2025 Changeup HOU R 114 86.7 39.0 5.1 17.2ARM 1.8 -2.3 6.4 17.2ARM 2.4
2022 Curveball HOU R 189 82.7 50.6 2.7 13.6GLV 5.1 -10.3 0.4 13.6GLV 4.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball HOU R 11 93.2 19.2 -3.6 9.1ARM 1.3 12.2 -4.0 9.1ARM 1.7
2022 Sinker HOU R 175 93.1 26.6 2.4 13.7ARM -1.7 5.1 3.2 13.7ARM -1.0
2022 Changeup HOU R 132 87.0 38.0 6.2 17.3ARM 2.1 -1.7 7.6 17.3ARM 3.1
2022 Slider HOU R 190 85.0 33.6 -2.8 13.3GLV 8.0 4.5 -2.7 13.3GLV 7.7
2022 Cutter HOU R 62 88.3 29.8 -3.5 3.9GLV 2.5 5.2 -3.1 3.9GLV 1.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2025 Slider -1.0 -2 204 34.5 53 .214 .357 .356 28.7 30.2 21.3 .171 .301 .305 42.3
2025 Sinker -1.0 -1 125 21.2 30 .346 .577 .435 16.4 16.7 23.8 .344 .553 .424 71.4
2025 Changeup -0.5 -1 114 19.3 25 .208 .500 .346 19.2 20.0 12.5 .246 .389 .289 47.4
2025 Curveball 0.7 1 90 15.2 21 .118 .118 .219 52.9 52.4 30.6 .171 .309 .298 50.0
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 0 39 6.6 5 .250 .250 .320 36.4 20.0 16.7 .421 1.036 .625 100.0
2025 Cutter 3.7 1 19 3.2 3 .000 .000 .000 14.3 33.3 20.0 .215 .316 .234 50.0
2022 Slider 3.0 6 190 25.0 58 .185 .222 .216 31.8 34.5 30.8 .159 .210 .198 26.5
2022 Curveball 2.5 5 189 24.9 52 .116 .163 .208 37.2 36.5 30.6 .164 .208 .243 32.0
2022 Sinker -2.6 -5 175 23.1 42 .417 .778 .533 5.6 2.4 5.0 .388 .717 .508 40.0
2022 Changeup 0.8 1 132 17.4 30 .214 .250 .238 30.9 30.0 22.5 .225 .254 .242 36.8
2022 Cutter 2.5 2 62 8.2 11 .000 .000 .127 31.8 9.1 14.3 .143 .161 .239 12.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball -12.5 -1 11 1.4 2 .500 2.000 1.000 20.0 0.0 0.0 .626 2.083 1.130 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2025 Changeup 107 86.7 84 18.7 2:30 3:30 -60
2025 Curveball 90 82.3 75 19.9 8:00 7:45 15
2025 Cutter 19 87.9 30 6.4 11:30 11:15 15
2025 4-Seam Fastball 39 91.7 74 14.4 1:30 1:15 15
2025 Sinker 124 91.2 72 14.7 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Slider 204 82.6 52 17.0 8:45 9:30 -45
2022 Changeup 132 87.0 94 18.6 2:45 3:15 -30
2022 Curveball 178 82.7 76 19.4 7:45 7:30 15
2022 Cutter 60 88.3 27 6.5 10:45 10:30 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 11 93.2 72 14.8 1:15 1:15 0
2022 Sinker 170 93.1 74 14.9 1:45 2:30 -45
2022 Slider 188 85.0 48 14.6 8:30 9:30 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 518 2,099 10 21 -14 -7 10
2016 351 1,338 -2 11 -2 -4 3
2017 507 2,000 6 15 -8 -10 3
2018 527 2,107 15 18 -10 -12 10
2020 227 884 6 8 -4 -6 4
2021 684 2,788 27 28 -20 -17 18
2022 195 759 9 7 -5 -4 7
2025 137 591 4 2 -5 -3 -3
Player 3,146 12,566 74 110 -68 74 53
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,109 48.6 61.6 86.7 26.6 50.7 39.0 57.1 43.5 24.5 8.0 70.2
2016 1,342 46.8 59.5 83.6 30.1 42.3 42.6 56.3 43.8 31.5 7.2 73.2
2017 2,014 45.3 63.8 86.5 30.4 46.2 41.8 55.7 45.6 28.0 6.6 63.4
2018 2,108 47.2 64.7 78.7 28.5 45.4 42.2 59.8 45.5 31.8 8.0 67.9
2020 884 47.4 56.6 83.1 26.2 44.3 44.9 58.1 40.6 29.5 5.7 72.0
2021 2,788 46.6 59.4 83.3 26.1 42.5 38.6 55.6 41.6 30.2 7.6 69.2
2022 759 46.8 61.1 85.3 27.5 48.6 40.3 53.8 43.2 27.1 6.7 62.7
2025 591 47.9 59.7 85.2 22.7 42.9 41.8 52.6 40.4 27.2 6.1 66.7
Player 12,595 47.0 61.3 83.8 27.7 45.4 40.9 56.6 43.4 28.9 7.3 68.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.6 61.1 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 61 63 56 47 58 25 15 35 57 77 33 63 20 83 85 93 59
2016 75 86 89 85 49 65 61 51 42 92 2 93 64 74 77 97 47
2017 74 71 84 85 62 47 74 43 54 74 59 76 76 69 70 95 43
2018 59 73 69 58 56 24 20 23 52 75 29 87 57 71 59 87 32
2020 39 46 47 46 39 6 14 31 61 56 47 69 35 59 13 79 32
2021 78 84 92 91 57 36 86 25 32 72 17 77 30 57 26 93 23
2022 36 21 98 11
2025 34 64 53 45 21 50 22 13 1 84 12 63 5 11 50 91 17
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.18 5 6.6 -2 5 6 2 40.0
2017 22.40 9 8.6 0 8 6 3 33.3
2018 22.72 12 11.3 1 6 9 5 41.7
2020 22.26 12 11.7 0 5 13 3 25.0
2021 23.65 14 9.8 4 8 7 5 35.7
2022 23.96 9 7.5 2 3 5 3 33.3
2025 22.98 4 3.2 1 2 5 0 0.0
Player 22.95 65 58.6 6 37 51 21 32.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2016 5 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 6 6 8 6 6 7 6 6 7 5 8 6 10 11 7 7 5 8 9 7 6
2017 9 8 7 9 10 9 10 9 5 6 8 12 8 7 8 9 7 8 8 9 8 12 10 9 8 7 8 11 10 11 6
2018 12 15 7 11 11 10 13 12 8 9 7 12 14 10 11 15 12 11 11 12 11 13 14 15 10 10 8 13 14 12 7
2020 12 16 9 12 9 15 12 14 6 7 7 10 12 9 14 9 15 14 10 15 15 11 18 10 14 9 10 9 15 14 11
2021 14 10 9 14 10 9 12 13 8 6 6 14 10 5 11 14 9 10 8 11 8 9 14 10 9 7 11 12 8 7 10
2022 9 5 6 8 8 8 8 6 7 7 8 9 6 6 8 8 6 7 8 9 8 9 9 7 6 7 9 9 8 8 6
2025 4 4 3 1 1 4 3 2 2 1 3 5 3 5 4 2 3 3 3 6 5 4 4 5 2 2 2 3 5 3 4
Player 65 64 45 62 55 61 64 62 40 42 45 68 61 48 62 64 58 59 55 67 63 64 79 67 56 49 53 65 69 62 50
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 +/-   2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022
Fastball Velocity 95.1 -0.7 ↓ 94.4 -0.2 ↓ 94.2 0.0 -- -- -- -- 93.7 0.0 93.7 -1.8 ↓ 91.9
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 -1.1 ↓ 88.4 0.3 ↑ 88.7 -1.4 ↓ -- -- -- -- 86.3 -0.5 ↓ 85.8 1.2 ↑ 87.0
Breaking Velocity 84.7 1.0 ↑ 85.7 -0.1 ↓ 85.6 0.2 ↑ -- -- -- -- 83.4 1.7 ↑ 85.1 -1.2 ↓ 83.9
Exit Velocity 88.5 0.0 88.5 -1.1 ↓ 87.4 1.8 ↑ -- -- -- -- 89.3 0.5 ↑ 89.8 -2.1 ↓ 87.7
Launch Angle 9.5 -6.8 ↓ 2.7 -1.7 ↓ 1.0 4.4 ↑ -- -- -- -- 3.8 1.3 ↑ 5.1 2.9 ↑ 8.0
Barrel % 6.7 -1.2 ↓ 5.5 -0.9 ↓ 4.6 3.6 ↑ -- -- -- -- 10.3 -5.0 ↓ 5.3 -0.4 ↓ 4.9
Hard Hit % 32.1 3.2 ↑ 35.3 -2.5 ↓ 32.8 2.3 ↑ -- -- -- -- 34.9 5.8 ↑ 40.7 -8.2 ↓ 32.5
LA Sweet-Spot % 32.1 -2.7 ↓ 29.4 1.0 ↑ 30.4 1.6 ↑ -- -- -- -- 30.8 -4.9 ↓ 25.9 0.9 ↑ 26.8
xBA .232 -0.018 ↓ .214 0.016 ↑ .230 -0.010 ↓ -- -- -- -- .243 -0.035 ↓ .208 0.016 ↑ .224
BA .226 0.035 ↑ .261 -0.012 ↓ .249 -0.034 ↓ -- -- -- -- .220 -0.015 ↓ .205 0.010 ↑ .215
xwOBA .300 -0.011 ↓ .289 0.002 ↑ .291 0.008 ↑ -- -- -- -- .327 -0.043 ↓ .284 0.010 ↑ .294
wOBA .289 0.036 ↑ .325 -0.020 ↓ .305 -0.016 ↓ -- -- -- -- .308 -0.025 ↓ .283 0.004 ↑ .287
xSLG .376 -0.050 ↓ .326 0.019 ↑ .345 0.017 ↑ -- -- -- -- .408 -0.094 ↓ .314 0.028 ↑ .342
SLG .362 0.019 ↑ .381 -0.009 ↓ .372 -0.017 ↓ -- -- -- -- .405 -0.081 ↓ .324 0.013 ↑ .337
K% 24.8 5.3 ↑ 30.1 -4.3 ↓ 25.8 1.1 ↑ -- -- -- -- 24.7 2.3 ↑ 27.0 -1.4 ↓ 25.6
BB% 8.3 4.5 ↑ 12.8 -5.0 ↓ 7.8 1.7 ↑ -- -- -- -- 8.8 2.3 ↑ 11.1 0.2 ↑ 11.3
Swing % 43.5 0.3 ↑ 43.8 1.8 ↑ 45.6 -0.1 ↓ -- -- -- -- 40.6 1.0 ↑ 41.6 1.6 ↑ 43.2
Whiff% 24.5 7.0 ↑ 31.5 -3.5 ↓ 28.0 3.8 ↑ -- -- -- -- 29.5 0.7 ↑ 30.2 -3.1 ↓ 27.1
In Zone % 48.6 -1.8 ↓ 46.8 -1.5 ↓ 45.3 1.9 ↑ -- -- -- -- 47.4 -0.8 ↓ 46.6 0.2 ↑ 46.8
Out of Zone % 51.4 1.8 ↑ 53.2 1.5 ↑ 54.7 -1.9 ↓ -- -- -- -- 52.6 0.8 ↑ 53.4 -0.2 ↓ 53.2
Out of Zone Swing % 26.6 3.5 ↑ 30.1 0.3 ↑ 30.4 -1.9 ↓ -- -- -- -- 26.2 -0.1 ↓ 26.1 1.4 ↑ 27.5
First Pitch Swing % 24.4 2.3 ↑ 26.7 0.3 ↑ 27.0 0.7 ↑ -- -- -- -- 22.5 0.3 ↑ 22.8 2.8 ↑ 25.6
First Pitch Strike % 57.1 -0.8 ↓ 56.3 -0.6 ↓ 55.7 4.1 ↑ -- -- -- -- 58.1 -2.5 ↓ 55.6 -1.8 ↓ 53.8
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 333 .332 177 24 13.6 156 94 60.3
2017 Shifts 509 .306 292 62 21.2 217 101 46.5
2018 Shifts 527 .289 272 87 32.0 255 139 54.5
2020 Shifts 227 .308 109 18 16.5 118 75 63.6
2021 Shifts 684 .283 349 62 17.8 335 285 85.1
2022 Shifts 195 .287 99 12 12.1 96 87 90.6
2025 Shades 137 .327 71 2 2.8 66 45 68.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2015 627 16.8 35.9% 3.3% 411 23.8 7.1% 21.7%
2016 368 16.0 42.1% 4.6% 274 23.3 8.4% 13.5%
2017 579 16.8 23.8% 2.1% 364 23.5 0.5% 14.8%
2018 677 16.8 24.8% 3.0% 304 21.7 1.0% 9.5%
2020 298 16.1 28.5% 0.3% 152 23.4 0.0% 14.5%
2021 836 16.8 27.6% 1.0% 568 25.8 0.0% 23.1%
2022 229 16.6 27.9% 1.7% 142 26.3 0.0% 25.4%
2025 135 15.5 42.2% 0.7% 92 19.3 1.1% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution

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