Kyle Nelson
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 1" 175LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 15, #462, Cleveland Indians | UC Santa Barbara
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0 1.23 15 0 0 14.2 16 0.75
3 Seasons 1 0 5.76 26 0 0 25.0 24 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 15 1-0 1.23 14.2 16 0.75
3 Seasons 26 1-0 5.76 25.0 24 1.32

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 25 5 1 20 16.7 94.9 103.0 8.6 60.0 .563 1.079 .740 .689 .687 60.0 0.0 16.7 54.00 44.25
2021 24 176 31 0 0 0 84.1 108.8 13.3 32.3 .255 .309 .337 .340 .313 22.6 16.3 16.3 9.31 4.99
2022 25 217 34 2 5.9 3.8 86.7 108.6 10.0 23.5 .219 .308 .206 .253 .332 26.5 30.2 3.8 1.23 2.21
Player 418 70 3 4.3 2.8 86.1 108.8 11.4 30.0 .252 .350 .295 .317 .349 27.1 22.2 10.2
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.3 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 3 pitches.
Slider
(68.7%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(30.9%) ,
Curveball
(0.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2022 Slider 149 90 59 68.7 84.2 39 38 6 4 2 0 0 14 24 .158 .204 .211 .306 .175 .229 83.4 8 2523 5.9 40.2 24.1
2022 4-Seam Fastball 67 39 28 30.9 91.5 14 12 3 3 0 0 0 2 10 .250 .264 .250 .318 .293 .317 88.6 20 2128 5.9 12.9 12.5
2022 Curveball 1 0 1 0.5 77.0 2415 5.8
2021 Cutter 73 69 4 41.5 88.9 24 22 5 5 0 0 0 2 20 .227 .261 .227 .302 .241 .289 81.0 14 2454 5.9 23.7 13.3
2021 Slider 72 41 31 40.9 82.5 18 15 4 2 2 0 0 6 9 .267 .228 .400 .299 .354 .308 87.5 10 2670 5.8 33.3 25.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 31 19 12 17.6 92.9 7 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 .500 .380 .500 .466 .620 .598 99.1 26 2148 5.9 44.4 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 60.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 20.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 20.0 16.7
2021 38.7 29.0 25.8 6.5 38.7 29.0 32.3 6.5 22.6 35.5 29.0 6.5 0.0 0.0
2022 41.2 32.4 23.5 2.9 29.4 52.9 17.6 2.9 35.3 26.5 29.4 0.0 5.9 3.8
Player 41.4 30.0 24.3 4.3 32.9 44.3 22.9 4.3 28.6 28.6 31.4 2.9 4.3 2.8
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball ARI L 1 77.0 50.1 -5.9 -10 12.9 1.4 12
2022 4-Seamer ARI L 67 91.5 17.2 -1.1 -7 3.8 -3.6 -48
2022 Slider ARI L 149 84.2 38.5 0.8 2 6.6 -0.4 -6
2021 4-Seamer CLE L 31 92.9 16.0 0.1 1 5.9 -2.1 -26
2021 Slider CLE L 72 82.5 38.1 -1.3 -3 11.1 3.0 37
2021 Cutter CLE L 73 88.9 26.8 -0.1 0 4.7 2.8 148
2020 Changeup CLE L 8 90.3 15.7 -13.2 -46 9.0 -5.9 -40
2020 Slider CLE L 17 82.3 35.0 -4.5 -11 9.8 2.8 41
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Slider -2.3 -3 149 68.7 39 .158 .211 .197 40.2 35.9 24.1 .204 .306 .230 25.0
2022 4-Seamer -0.7 0 67 30.9 14 .250 .250 .293 12.9 14.3 12.5 .264 .318 .316 30.0
2022 Curveball 3.6 0 1 0.5 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 Cutter -0.8 -1 73 41.5 24 .227 .227 .246 23.7 8.3 13.3 .261 .302 .290 15.0
2021 Slider 5.3 4 72 40.9 18 .267 .400 .356 33.3 33.3 25.0 .228 .299 .306 33.3
2021 4-Seamer 8.8 3 31 17.6 7 .500 .500 .629 44.4 0.0 0.0 .380 .466 .604 50.0
2020 Slider 3.3 1 17 68.0 4 .500 .500 .450 20.0 0.0 0.0 .510 .578 .472 50.0
2020 Changeup 36.5 3 8 32.0 2 1.000 4.000 1.350 33.3 0.0 0.0 .773 3.083 1.123 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Slider 14 82.2 43 11.7 3:00 2:15 45
2021 Cutter 70 89.0 44 8.8 12:15 1:15 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 31 92.9 88 16.2 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Slider 72 82.5 51 12.1 3:45 3:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 66 91.5 85 15.4 11:00 11:30 -30
2022 Slider 148 84.2 38 7.5 2:30 3:15 -45
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 49 176 0 1 3 3 6
2022 53 217 -3 -2 1 0 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 25 60.0 66.7 80.0 30.0 66.7 52.0 83.3 52.0 23.1 12.0 66.7
2021 176 50.0 59.1 78.8 25.0 50.0 39.8 61.2 42.0 29.7 8.5 66.7
2022 217 45.6 67.7 80.6 39.0 43.5 41.0 64.2 52.1 32.7 6.9 86.7
Player 418 48.3 63.9 79.8 32.9 46.5 41.1 63.9 47.8 31.0 7.9 75.8
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2021 14 78
2022 94 78 93 94 90 74 66 82 95 85 91 87 94 25 25
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 23.3 1 0.8 0.0 0 1 0 0.0
2022 -- 0 0.4 0.0 0 1 0 --

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1
2022 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 0 90.1 0 91.5 1.4 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 0 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 82.3 82.5 0.2 ↑ 84.2 1.7 ↑
Exit Velocity 94.9 84.1 -10.8 ↓ 86.7 2.6 ↑
Launch Angle 8.6 13.3 4.7 ↑ 10 -3.3 ↓
Barrel % 20 0 -20 ↓ 5.9 5.9 ↑
Hard Hit % 60 22.6 -37.4 ↓ 26.5 3.9 ↑
Sweet Spot % 60 32.3 -27.7 ↓ 23.5 -8.8 ↓
xBA 0.563 0.255 -0.308 ↓ 0.219 -0.036 ↓
BA 0.6 0.256 -0.344 ↓ 0.18 -0.076 ↓
xwOBA 0.689 0.34 -0.349 ↓ 0.253 -0.087 ↓
wOBA 0.74 0.337 -0.403 ↓ 0.206 -0.131 ↓
xSLG 1.079 0.309 -0.77 ↓ 0.308 -0.001 ↓
SLG 1.2 0.308 -0.892 ↓ 0.22 -0.088 ↓
K% 0 16.3 16.3 ↑ 30.2 13.9 ↑
BB% 16.7 16.3 -0.4 ↓ 3.8 -12.5 ↓
Swing % 52 42 -10 ↓ 52.1 10.1 ↑
Whiff% 23.1 29.7 6.6 ↑ 32.7 3 ↑
In Zone % 60 50 -10 ↓ 45.6 -4.4 ↓
Out of Zone % 40 50 10 ↑ 54.4 4.4 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 30 25 -5 ↓ 39 14 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 16.7 24.5 7.8 ↑ 34 9.5 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 83.3 61.2 -22.1 ↓ 64.2 3 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 6 .740 5 0 0.0 1 0 0.0
2021 49 .337 35 3 8.6 14 4 28.6
2022 53 .206 30 2 6.7 23 7 30.4

Pitch Distribution

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