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Kyle Nelson
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 1" 175LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 15, #462, Cleveland Indians | UC Santa Barbara
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 9.31 10 0 0 9.2 8 1.86
2 Seasons 0 0 12.19 11 0 0 10.1 8 2.13
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 10 0-0 9.31 9.2 8 1.86
2 Seasons 11 0-0 12.19 10.1 8 2.13

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 24 25 5 1 20 94.9 103 8.6 60 .563 1.079 .740 .689 .687 60 0 16.7 54.00 44.88
2021 25 176 31 0 0 84.1 108.8 13.3 32.3 .262 .319 .337 .345 .320 22.6 16.3 16.3 9.31 5.23
201 36 1 2.8 85.6 108.8 12.7 36.1 .296 .406 .381 .382 .371 27.8 14.5 16.4
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 3 pitches.
Cutter
(41.5%) ,
Slider
(40.9%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(17.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Cutter 73 69 4 41.5 88.9 24 22 5 5 0 0 0 2 20 .227 .268 .227 .312 .241 .293 81.0 14 2454 5.9 23.7 13.3
2021 Slider 72 41 31 40.9 82.5 18 15 4 2 2 0 0 6 9 .267 .241 .400 .316 .354 .319 87.5 10 2670 5.8 33.3 25.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 31 19 12 17.6 92.9 7 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 .500 .360 .500 .428 .620 .591 99.1 26 2148 5.9 44.4 0.0
2020 Slider 17 15 2 68.0 82.3 4 4 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 .500 .510 .500 .578 .441 .472 92.9 3 2813 5.9 20.0 0.0
2020 Changeup 8 7 1 32.0 90.3 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1.000 .773 4.000 3.083 1.339 1.122 103.0 32 2286 5.9 33.3 0.0


Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2020 60 20 20 0 20 80 0 0 20 0 60 0 20
2021 38.7 29 25.8 6.5 38.7 29 32.3 6.5 22.6 35.5 29 6.5 0
41.7 27.8 25 5.6 36.1 36.1 27.8 5.6 22.2 30.6 33.3 5.6 2.8
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Slider CLE L 72 82.5 38.1 -1.3 -3 11.1 3 37
2021 Cutter CLE L 73 88.9 26.8 -0.1 0 4.7 2.8 149
2021 4-Seamer CLE L 31 92.9 16 0.1 1 5.9 -2.1 -26
2020 Changeup CLE L 8 90.3 15.7 -13.2 -46 9 -5.9 -40
2020 Slider CLE L 14 82.2 35.1 -4.5 -11 10 2.9 41
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seamer 8.8 3 31 17.6 7 .5 .5 .629 44.4 0 0 .36 .427 .597 50
2021 Slider 5.3 4 72 40.9 18 .267 .4 .356 33.3 33.3 25 .241 .316 .317 33.3
2021 Cutter -0.7 -1 73 41.5 24 .227 .227 .246 23.7 8.3 13.3 .268 .312 .294 15
2020 Changeup 36.5 3 8 32 2 1 4 1.35 33.3 0 0 .773 3.083 1.123 100
2020 Slider 3.3 1 17 68 4 .5 .5 .45 20 0 0 .51 .578 .472 50
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Slider 14 82.2 43 11.7 3:00 2:15 45
2021 Cutter 70 89 44 8.8 12:15 1:15 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 31 92.9 88 16.2 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Slider 72 82.5 51 12.1 3:45 3:00 45
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 49 176 0 1 2 3 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 25 60 66.7 80 30 66.7 52 83.3 52 23.1 12 66.7
2021 176 50 59.1 78.8 25 50 39.8 61.2 42 29.7 8.5 66.7
201 51.2 60.2 79 25.5 52 41.3 63.6 43.3 28.7 9 66.7
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2020
2021
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 23.3 1 0.8 0 0 1 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 0 90.1 0
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 0 0
Breaking Velocity 82.3 82.5 0.2 ↑
Exit Velocity 94.9 84.1 -10.8 ↓
Launch Angle 8.6 13.3 4.7 ↑
Barrel % 20 0 -20 ↓
Hard Hit % 60 22.6 -37.4 ↓
Sweet Spot % 60 32.3 -27.7 ↓
xBA .563 .262 -0.301 ↓
BA .6 .256 -0.344 ↓
xwOBA .689 .345 -0.344 ↓
wOBA .74 .337 -0.403 ↓
xSLG 1.079 .319 -0.76 ↓
SLG 1.2 .308 -0.892 ↓
K% 0 16.3 16.3 ↑
BB% 16.7 16.3 -0.4 ↓
Swing % 52 42 -10 ↓
Whiff% 23.1 29.7 6.6 ↑
In Zone % 60 50 -10 ↓
Out of Zone % 40 50 10 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 30 25 -5 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 16.7 24.5 7.8 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 83.3 61.2 -22.1 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 6 .740 5 0 0.0 1 0 0.0
2021 49 .337 35 3 8.6 14 4 28.6

Pitch Distribution

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