Kyle Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 1" 175LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 15, #462, Cleveland Indians | UC Santa Barbara
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 1 2.19 43 1 0 37 30 1.08
2023 7 4 4.18 68 2 0 56 67 1.30
2024 0 0 4.22 11 0 0 10.2 8 1.13
5 Seasons 9 5 4.26 133 3 0 114 113 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 43 2-1 2.19 37 30 1.08
2023 68 7-4 4.18 56 67 1.30
2024 11 0-0 4.22 10.2 8 1.13
5 Seasons 133 9-5 4.26 114 113 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 25 5 1 20.0 16.7 94.9 103.0 8.6 60.0 .563 1.079 .740 .689 .687 60.0 0.0 16.7 54.00 44.55
2021 24 176 31 0 0.0 0.0 84.1 108.8 13.3 32.3 .255 .309 .337 .340 .313 22.6 16.3 16.3 9.31 4.99
2022 25 593 104 8 7.7 5.3 88.5 111.8 13.7 31.7 .235 .373 .266 .311 .338 38.5 19.9 9.3 2.19 4.02
2023 26 878 157 15 9.6 6.3 89.6 115.4 16.3 39.5 .233 .414 .339 .299 .392 39.5 28.0 5.9 4.18 3.74
2024 27 145 30 2 6.7 4.8 91.0 108.2 16.2 40.0 .314 .501 .289 .364 .428 53.3 19.0 9.5 4.22 5.66
Player 1817 327 26 8.0 5.3 88.9 115.4 15.0 36.7 .246 .407 .316 .317 .375 39.1 23.2 8.4
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 3 pitches.
Slider
(51.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(27.6%) ,
Cutter
(21.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 60.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 20.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 20.0 16.7
2021 38.7 29.0 25.8 6.5 38.7 29.0 32.3 6.5 22.6 35.5 29.0 6.5 0.0 0.0
2022 41.3 30.8 23.1 4.8 34.6 46.2 19.2 5.8 31.7 26.0 23.1 5.8 7.7 5.3
2023 39.5 24.8 24.2 11.5 46.5 30.6 22.9 6.4 28.0 28.0 21.7 6.4 9.6 6.3
2024 36.7 10.0 40.0 13.3 53.3 20.0 26.7 0.0 33.3 20.0 26.7 13.3 6.7 4.8
Player 40.1 25.7 25.4 8.9 42.2 35.2 22.6 5.5 29.1 26.9 23.9 6.7 8.0 5.3
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Cutter AZ L 31 87.5 25.0 3.2 0.7GLV -2.2 10.6 3.4 0.7GLV -1.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball AZ L 40 90.2 17.0 0.3 6.1ARM -0.8 16.6 1.0 6.1ARM -2.1
2024 Slider AZ L 74 83.6 36.1 -2.0 4.7GLV -1.8 2.9 -1.4 4.7GLV -0.4
2023 Cutter AZ L 76 88.3 27.1 0.4 2.2GLV -0.2 7.8 0.9 2.2GLV 0.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball AZ L 282 92.0 16.4 0.1 4.6ARM -2.8 15.8 0.5 4.6ARM -3.3
2023 Slider AZ L 520 85.4 36.1 -0.1 5.1GLV 0.2 1.2 0.5 5.1GLV -0.2
2022 4-Seam Fastball AZ L 213 91.9 17.4 -1.1 3.9ARM -3.8 15.1 -0.9 3.9ARM -3.7
2022 Curveball AZ L 1 77.0 50.1 -5.4 12.9GLV 1.9 -3.2 -5.6 12.9GLV 4.6
2022 Sweeper AZ L 1 84.8 35.4 -1.8 12.4GLV 0.9 3.8 -3.5 12.4GLV -3.5
2022 Slider AZ L 376 84.3 38.2 0.9 6.2GLV 0.4 0.3 1.6 6.2GLV 1.3
2022 Cutter AZ L 2 90.8 21.2 2.8 0.3ARM -1.5 12.0 4.0 0.3ARM -1.9
2021 Sweeper CLE L 72 82.5 38.1 -2.4 11.1GLV -3.0 1.9 -1.5 11.1GLV -3.7
2021 Cutter CLE L 73 88.9 26.8 -0.2 4.7GLV 2.9 7.5 -0.5 4.7GLV 3.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball CLE L 31 92.9 16.0 0.1 5.9ARM -2.1 15.5 -0.6 5.9ARM -1.7
2020 Changeup CLE L 8 90.3 15.7 -13.3 9.0ARM -5.9 17.8 -10.0 9.0ARM -4.6
2020 Sweeper CLE L 17 82.3 35.0 -5.2 9.8GLV -4.7 5.1 -4.6 9.8GLV -5.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Slider 0.6 0 74 51.0 19 .167 .333 .237 36.8 31.6 20.0 .348 .583 .411 50.0
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.3 -1 40 27.6 13 .182 .182 .246 9.5 15.4 11.1 .216 .270 .285 55.6
2024 Cutter -10.6 -3 31 21.4 9 .375 .875 .461 6.7 0.0 0.0 .374 .634 .380 55.6
2023 Slider -0.9 -5 520 59.2 131 .228 .447 .314 40.4 36.6 25.3 .219 .385 .279 32.9
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.2 -3 282 32.1 88 .321 .556 .407 14.1 19.3 27.9 .260 .467 .334 43.1
2023 Cutter 2.1 2 76 8.7 19 .294 .412 .328 15.9 10.5 11.8 .212 .374 .273 56.3
2022 Slider 0.4 1 376 63.4 104 .216 .351 .290 31.5 24.0 19.4 .250 .422 .317 38.9
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.0 0 213 35.9 46 .135 .162 .262 12.8 10.9 10.9 .197 .242 .291 37.5
2022 Cutter 1.2 0 2 0.3 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 Sweeper -10.1 0 1 0.2 1 -- -- .700 -- 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2022 Curveball -3.7 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 Cutter 0.8 1 73 41.5 24 .227 .227 .246 23.7 8.3 13.3 .261 .302 .290 15.0
2021 Sweeper -5.3 -4 72 40.9 18 .267 .400 .356 33.3 33.3 25.0 .228 .299 .306 33.3
2021 4-Seam Fastball -8.8 -3 31 17.6 7 .500 .500 .629 44.4 0.0 0.0 .380 .466 .604 50.0
2020 Sweeper -3.3 -1 17 68.0 4 .500 .500 .450 20.0 0.0 0.0 .510 .578 .472 50.0
2020 Changeup -36.5 -3 8 32.0 2 1.000 4.000 1.350 33.3 0.0 0.0 .773 3.083 1.123 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 31 87.5 59 9.9 11:45 12:15 -30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 40 90.2 95 17.1 11:00 11:15 -15
2024 Slider 74 83.6 31 5.6 1:30 2:30 -60
2023 Cutter 75 88.3 47 7.7 12:30 12:45 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 276 92.0 86 15.9 11:15 11:30 -15
2023 Slider 502 85.4 34 5.8 2:15 3:00 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 212 91.9 84 14.9 11:15 11:30 -15
2022 Slider 375 84.3 39 7.0 2:30 3:15 -45
2021 Cutter 70 89.0 44 8.8 12:15 1:15 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 31 92.9 88 16.2 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Sweeper 72 82.5 51 12.1 3:45 3:00 45
2020 Sweeper 14 82.2 43 11.7 3:00 2:15 45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 49 176 0 -1 -3 -3 -6
2022 151 593 1 8 -5 -3 1
2023 260 969 -8 6 -4 -2 -8
2024 41 145 -1 0 -1 -1 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 25 60.0 66.7 80.0 30.0 66.7 52.0 83.3 52.0 23.1 12.0 66.7
2021 176 50.0 59.1 78.8 25.0 50.0 39.8 61.2 42.0 29.7 8.5 66.7
2022 593 46.7 67.1 82.3 31.6 57.0 42.0 57.6 48.2 25.9 7.8 87.0
2023 878 49.8 70.5 82.1 34.7 41.2 42.9 70.2 52.5 30.4 6.9 78.7
2024 145 56.6 67.1 87.3 30.2 47.4 40.7 73.2 51.0 23.0 10.3 100.0
Player 1,817 49.5 68.0 82.3 32.4 47.8 42.3 65.8 50.0 28.2 7.7 82.1
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 19 30 17
2023 68 65 39 29 88 60 23 34 46 81 85 80 96 19 43 20
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 23.3 1 0.9 0 0 1 0 0.0
2022 22.0 1 2.3 -1 3 3 0 0.0
2023 23.4 14 12.5 2 0 9 6 42.9
2024 22.7 2 1.3 1 0 1 1 50.0
Player 23.2 18 16.9 1 3 14 7 38.9
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2020 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
2022 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 5 2 3 2 2 4 1 1 4 3 4 3 1 2 1 3 5 2 3
2023 14 10 11 10 13 12 15 11 12 9 14 12 10 13 14 15 12 10 15 15 14 13 15 14 11 9 14 13 13 14 11
2024 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1
Player 18 15 15 14 17 16 20 15 15 13 17 15 17 17 19 19 16 16 18 18 20 18 21 19 14 13 18 18 21 18 16
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 0.0 90.1 0.0 91.9 1.8 91.2 -0.7 89.0 -2.2
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 82.3 82.5 0.2 84.3 1.8 85.4 1.1 83.6 -1.8
Exit Velocity 94.9 84.1 -10.8 88.5 4.4 89.6 1.1 91.0 1.4
Launch Angle 8.6 13.3 4.7 13.7 0.4 16.3 2.6 16.2 -0.1
Barrel % 20.0 0.0 -20.0 7.7 7.7 9.6 1.9 6.7 -2.9
Hard Hit % 60.0 22.6 -37.4 38.5 15.9 39.5 1.0 53.3 13.8
LA Sweet-Spot % 60.0 32.3 -27.7 31.7 -0.6 39.5 7.8 40.0 0.5
xBA .563 .255 -0.308 .235 -0.020 .233 -0.002 .314 0.081
BA .600 .256 -0.344 .194 -0.062 .267 0.073 .216 -0.051
xwOBA .689 .340 -0.349 .311 -0.029 .299 -0.012 .364 0.065
wOBA .740 .337 -0.403 .266 -0.071 .339 0.073 .289 -0.050
xSLG 1.079 .309 -0.770 .373 0.064 .414 0.041 .501 0.087
SLG 1.200 .308 -0.892 .299 -0.009 .484 0.185 .405 -0.079
K% 0.0 16.3 16.3 19.9 3.6 28.0 8.1 19.0 -9.0
BB% 16.7 16.3 -0.4 9.3 -7.0 5.9 -3.4 9.5 3.6
Swing % 52.0 42.0 -10.0 48.2 6.2 52.5 4.3 51.0 -1.5
Whiff% 23.1 29.7 6.6 25.9 -3.8 30.4 4.5 23.0 -7.4
In Zone % 60.0 50.0 -10.0 46.7 -3.3 49.8 3.1 56.6 6.8
Out of Zone % 40.0 50.0 10.0 53.3 3.3 50.2 -3.1 43.4 -6.8
Out of Zone Swing % 30.0 25.0 -5.0 31.6 6.6 34.7 3.1 30.2 -4.5
First Pitch Swing % 16.7 24.5 7.8 29.8 5.3 39.5 9.7 43.9 4.4
First Pitch Strike % 83.3 61.2 -22.1 57.6 -3.6 70.2 12.6 73.2 3.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 6 .740 5 0 0.0 1 0 0.0
2021 Shifts 49 .337 35 3 8.6 14 4 28.6
2022 Shifts 150 .259 84 10 11.9 66 22 33.3
2023 Shades 238 .339 123 15 12.2 115 49 42.6
2024 Shades 41 .289 19 0 0.0 22 9 40.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 4 16.3 25.0% 0.0% 5 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
2021 40 16.2 25.0% 0.0% 44 18.9 9.1% 0.0%
2022 152 17.9 11.2% 0.7% 111 19.0 1.8% 0.9%
2023 234 14.5 58.5% 0.9% 117 17.0 14.5% 1.7%
2024 29 15.2 44.8% 3.4% 28 17.0 10.7% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution