Kyle Nelson
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 1" 175LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2017 | Rd: 15, #462, Cleveland Indians | UC Santa Barbara

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 1 2.19 43 1 0 37.0 30 1.08
3 Seasons 2 1 4.37 54 1 0 47.1 38 1.31
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 43 2-1 2.19 37.0 30 1.08
3 Seasons 54 2-1 4.37 47.1 38 1.31

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 23 25 5 1 20.0 16.7 94.9 103.0 8.6 60.0 .563 1.079 .740 .689 .687 60.0 0.0 16.7 54.00 44.55
2021 24 176 31 0 0.0 0.0 84.1 108.8 13.3 32.3 .255 .309 .337 .340 .313 22.6 16.3 16.3 9.31 4.99
2022 25 593 104 8 7.7 5.3 88.5 111.8 13.7 31.7 .235 .373 .266 .311 .338 38.5 19.9 9.3 2.19 4.02
Player 794 140 9 6.4 4.4 87.8 111.8 13.4 32.9 .249 .379 .296 .329 .345 35.7 18.4 11.2
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 3 pitches.
Slider
(63.6%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(36.3%) ,
Curveball
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 60.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 20.0 80.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 60.0 0.0 20.0 16.7
2021 38.7 29.0 25.8 6.5 38.7 29.0 32.3 6.5 22.6 35.5 29.0 6.5 0.0 0.0
2022 41.3 30.8 23.1 4.8 34.6 46.2 19.2 5.8 31.7 26.0 23.1 5.8 7.7 5.3
Player 41.4 30.0 23.6 5.0 35.0 43.6 21.4 5.7 29.3 27.1 25.7 5.7 6.4 4.4
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball AZ L 1 77.0 50.1 -5.2 -9 12.9 1.9 17
2022 4-Seamer AZ L 215 91.9 17.4 -1.1 -7 3.9 -3.8 -50
2022 Slider AZ L 377 84.3 38.2 0.9 2 6.2 -0.7 -11
2021 Slider CLE L 72 82.5 38.1 -1.3 -3 11.1 3.0 36
2021 4-Seamer CLE L 31 92.9 16.0 0.1 1 5.9 -2.1 -26
2021 Cutter CLE L 73 88.9 26.8 -0.1 0 4.7 2.8 150
2020 Changeup CLE L 8 90.3 15.7 -13.3 -46 9.0 -5.9 -40
2020 Slider CLE L 17 82.3 35.0 -4.5 -11 9.8 2.8 41
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Slider -0.3 -1 377 63.6 105 .216 .351 .294 31.5 23.8 19.2 .250 .422 .321 38.9
2022 4-Seamer 0.0 0 215 36.3 46 .135 .162 .262 12.8 10.9 10.6 .197 .242 .291 37.5
2022 Curveball 3.7 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 Cutter -0.8 -1 73 41.5 24 .227 .227 .246 23.7 8.3 13.3 .261 .302 .290 15.0
2021 Slider 5.3 4 72 40.9 18 .267 .400 .356 33.3 33.3 25.0 .228 .299 .306 33.3
2021 4-Seamer 8.8 3 31 17.6 7 .500 .500 .629 44.4 0.0 0.0 .380 .466 .604 50.0
2020 Slider 3.3 1 17 68.0 4 .500 .500 .450 20.0 0.0 0.0 .510 .578 .472 50.0
2020 Changeup 36.5 3 8 32.0 2 1.000 4.000 1.350 33.3 0.0 0.0 .773 3.083 1.123 100.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Slider 14 82.2 43 11.7 3:00 2:15 45
2021 Cutter 70 89.0 44 8.8 12:15 1:15 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 31 92.9 88 16.2 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Slider 72 82.5 51 12.1 3:45 3:00 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 214 91.9 84 14.9 11:15 11:30 -15
2022 Slider 376 84.3 39 7.1 2:30 3:15 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 49 176 0 1 3 3 6
2022 151 593 -1 -8 5 3 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 25 60.0 66.7 80.0 30.0 66.7 52.0 83.3 52.0 23.1 12.0 66.7
2021 176 50.0 59.1 78.8 25.0 50.0 39.8 61.2 42.0 29.7 8.5 66.7
2022 593 46.7 67.1 82.3 31.6 57.0 42.0 57.6 48.2 25.9 7.8 87.0
Player 794 47.9 65.3 81.5 30.2 56.0 41.8 59.2 47.0 26.5 8.1 81.3
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 13 78 15
2022 26 26 17
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 23.3 1 0.9 0 0 1 0 0.0
2022 22.0 1 2.0 -1 3 3 0 0.0
Player 22.6 2 2.9 -1 3 4 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1
2022 1 5 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 3 2 3 2 2 1 3 1 3 1 4 1 5
Player 2 5 2 3 3 3 1 3 2 3 1 3 1 2 2 2 2 5 4 3 4 3 3 2 4 2 4 2 5 1 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 0 90.1 0 91.9 1.8
Offspeed Velocity 90.3 0 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 82.3 82.5 0.2 84.3 1.8
Exit Velocity 94.9 84.1 -10.8 88.5 4.4
Launch Angle 8.6 13.3 4.7 13.7 0.4
Barrel % 20 0 -20 7.7 7.7
Hard Hit % 60 22.6 -37.4 38.5 15.9
Sweet Spot % 60 32.3 -27.7 31.7 -0.6
xBA .563 .255 -0.308 .235 -0.02
BA .6 .256 -0.344 .194 -0.062
xwOBA .689 .34 -0.349 .311 -0.029
wOBA .74 .337 -0.403 .266 -0.071
xSLG 1.079 .309 -0.77 .373 0.064
SLG 1.2 .308 -0.892 .299 -0.009
K% 0 16.3 16.3 19.9 3.6
BB% 16.7 16.3 -0.4 9.3 -7
Swing % 52 42 -10 48.2 6.2
Whiff% 23.1 29.7 6.6 25.9 -3.8
In Zone % 60 50 -10 46.7 -3.3
Out of Zone % 40 50 10 53.3 3.3
Out of Zone Swing % 30 25 -5 31.6 6.6
First Pitch Swing % 16.7 24.5 7.8 29.8 5.3
First Pitch Strike % 83.3 61.2 -22.1 57.6 -3.6
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 6 .740 5 0 0.0 1 0 0.0
2021 49 .337 35 3 8.6 14 4 28.6
2022 150 .259 84 10 11.9 66 22 33.3

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 4 16.3 25.0% 0.0% 5 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
2021 40 16.2 25.0% 0.0% 45 19.1 8.9% 2.2%
2022 152 17.9 11.2% 0.7% 113 19.0 1.8% 2.7%
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Pitch Distribution