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Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 32.40 2 0 0 1.2 2 6.00
5 Seasons 2 0 7.22 21 0 0 28.2 25 2.02
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 2 0-0 32.40 1.2 2 6.00
5 Seasons 21 2-0 7.22 28.2 25 2.02

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 24 55 16 1 6.3 90.7 104.5 8.7 68.8 .460 .761 .383 .523 .545 50 5.3 10.5 6.75 16.05
2018 25 202 31 3 9.7 93.4 105.6 18.2 38.7 .336 .604 .516 .457 .510 48.4 16.7 16.7 8.68 10.56
2019 26 63 12 0 0 91.1 108.1 18.6 25 .165 .212 .337 .191 .213 57.1 22.2 11.1 7.36 1.65
2020 27 158 29 4 13.8 91.6 110.5 11.6 37.9 .245 .412 .293 .312 .393 48.3 23.8 7.1 1.80 4.16
2021 28 50 11 2 18.2 91.2 105.9 21.4 63.6 .391 .684 .736 .488 .540 36.4 13.3 13.3 32.40 12.79
528 99 10 10.1 91.9 110.5 14.9 44.4 .308 .523 .434 .393 .448 47.9 17.6 12
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Mella relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(46%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(30%) ,
Slider
(18%) ,
Changeup
(6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Sinker 23 10 13 46.0 94.0 8 7 6 5 0 0 1 0 7 .857 .630 1.286 .964 .887 .686 90.1 15 2099 6.6 9.1 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 15 4 11 30.0 94.3 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 .500 .300 2.000 .948 1.004 .509 95.0 29 1993 6.7 28.6 0.0
2021 Slider 9 5 4 18.0 81.5 5 4 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 .250 .018 .500 .063 .387 .164 91.5 38 2421 6.6 25.0 50.0
2021 Changeup 3 0 3 6.0 83.7 1798 6.9
2020 4-Seam Fastball 66 48 18 41.8 95.5 20 17 6 5 1 0 0 1 17 .353 .338 .412 .550 .352 .429 95.2 12 2225 6.8 12.1 7.1
2020 Slider 51 41 10 32.3 82.5 12 12 2 1 1 0 0 8 4 .167 .093 .250 .122 .177 .092 89.0 23 2433 6.5 48.0 40.0
2020 Sinker 41 33 8 25.9 94.7 9 9 2 1 0 0 1 1 8 .222 .274 .556 .539 .318 .346 85.1 5 2188 6.6 11.1 10.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2017 31.3 12.5 56.3 0 25 50 25 6.3 25 12.5 50 0 6.3
2018 35.5 32.3 29 3.2 35.5 38.7 25.8 3.2 22.6 22.6 29 9.7 9.7
2019 33.3 25 33.3 8.3 50 16.7 33.3 0 8.3 16.7 33.3 0 0
2020 44.8 20.7 31 3.4 27.6 51.7 20.7 3.4 34.5 24.1 20.7 3.4 13.8
2021 18.2 45.5 36.4 0 27.3 27.3 45.5 0 18.2 27.3 36.4 0 18.2
35.4 26.3 35.4 3 32.3 40.4 27.3 3 24.2 21.2 31.3 4 10.1
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup ARI R 3 83.7 33.7 1.1 3 15.6 1.8 13
2021 Sinker ARI R 23 94 24.2 3 14 17.1 2.2 15
2021 Slider ARI R 9 81.5 36.6 -4.3 -10 3.7 -5.2 -58
2021 4-Seamer ARI R 15 94.3 18.3 -3.9 -27 13.1 5.7 78
2020 Slider ARI R 51 82.5 37.2 -2.7 -7 4.7 -2.3 -33
2020 Sinker ARI R 41 94.7 20.9 0.6 3 17.1 2.6 18
2020 4-Seamer ARI R 66 95.5 15.8 -1.7 -12 13.4 5.8 77
2019 Slider CIN R 2 81.9 35.4 -5.4 -13 4.2 -4.3 -51
2019 Changeup CIN R 5 87.6 32.9 4.1 14 15.6 1.3 9
2019 4-Seamer CIN R 24 95.4 19.3 -4.3 -29 14.9 6.8 83
2018 4-Seamer CIN R 143 94.4 16.3 -1.2 -8 10.7 3.3 45
2018 Slider CIN R 37 79.7 41.7 -1.8 -4 7.9 0.1 1
2018 Changeup CIN R 22 82.8 33 0.9 3 14.8 1.5 11
2017 Sinker CIN R 1 96.5 14.8 -1.6 -10 20.4 5.9 41
2017 Changeup CIN R 5 85.3 25.2 -3.2 -11 14.4 0.9 7
2017 Slider CIN R 10 82.5 33.5 -4.8 -13 5.7 -0.1 -1
2017 4-Seamer CIN R 39 95.7 12.4 0.5 4 10.9 2.9 36
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seamer 2.8 0 15 30 2 .5 2 1 28.6 0 0 .3 .948 .509 50
2021 Slider 0.9 0 9 18 5 .25 .5 .39 25 40 50 .018 .063 .166 0
2021 Sinker 19.5 4 23 46 8 .857 1.286 .9 9.1 0 0 .63 .964 .687 42.9
2021 Changeup 2.3 0 3 6
2020 Sinker -0.8 0 41 25.9 9 .222 .556 .422 11.1 11.1 10 .274 .539 .346 37.5
2020 Slider -2.4 -1 51 32.3 12 .167 .25 .179 48 66.7 40 .093 .122 .092 25
2020 4-Seamer -2.3 -2 66 41.8 20 .353 .412 .358 12.1 5 7.1 .338 .55 .429 58.8
2019 4-Seamer 11.3 3 24 38.1 8 .571 .714 .581 33.3 0 0 .376 .484 .407 57.1
2019 Slider 2.9 0 2 3.2 0
2019 Changeup 3 0 5 7.9 0 0
2018 Changeup 19.2 4 22 10.9 6 .75 1.75 .925 14.3 0 0 .567 1.333 .764 75
2018 Slider 5.2 2 37 18.3 11 .364 1.091 .591 30.8 45.5 35.7 .283 .701 .407 66.7
2018 4-Seamer -1.1 -2 143 70.8 31 .273 .455 .405 23.3 9.7 10.3 .321 .423 .415 38.1
2017 Changeup -1.6 0 5 9.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 .107 .122 .096 0
2017 Slider 5.4 1 10 18.2 3 .333 1.333 .667 0 0 0 .483 1.567 .828 66.7
2017 4-Seamer 2.8 1 39 70.9 14 .308 .462 .357 12.5 7.1 16.7 .482 .624 .488 50
2017 Sinker 5.5 0 1 1.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 4-Seam Fastball 62 95.5 99 19.8 1:30 1:30 0
2020 Sinker 37 94.7 97 20 1:45 2:15 -30
2020 Slider 47 82.4 28 5.9 10:00 9:45 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 15 94.3 99 17.8 1:45 1:45 0
2021 Sinker 23 94 99 18.8 2:00 2:30 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 48 202 -1 2 3 2 5
2020 41 158 -1 -3 1 0 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 55 61.8 64.7 90.9 0 36.4 63.2 40 9.1 16.4 55.6
2018 202 53.5 65.7 80.3 9.6 33.3 43.6 54.2 39.6 23.8 9.9 60
2019 63 41.9 92.3 66.7 33.3 83.3 25.8 55.6 50.8 34.4 6.5 100
2020 158 49.4 66.7 86.5 30 54.2 41.8 66.7 48.1 23.7 7 81.8
2021 50 48 75 83.3 15.4 75 40 40 44 18.2 8 75
528 51.8 68.1 82.9 18 55.8 40.7 57.7 43.9 23.3 9.3 67.4
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22 1 0.8 0 1 1 0 0
2021 22 2 1.1 1 1 2 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1
2021 2 0 2 1 2 1 1 2 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 2 1 3 1 0 2 0 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.7 94.4 -1.3 95.4 1 95.2 -0.2 94.1 -1.1
Offspeed Velocity 85.3 82.8 -2.5 87.6 4.8 0 0 83.7 0
Breaking Velocity 82.5 79.7 -2.8 81.9 2.2 82.5 0.6 81.5 -1
Exit Velocity 90.7 93.4 2.7 91.1 -2.3 91.6 0.5 91.2 -0.4
Launch Angle 8.7 18.2 9.5 18.6 0.4 11.6 -7 21.4 9.8
Barrel % 6.3 9.7 3.4 0 -9.7 13.8 13.8 18.2 4.4
Hard Hit % 50 48.4 -1.6 57.1 8.7 48.3 -8.8 36.4 -11.9
Sweet Spot % 68.8 38.7 -30.1 25 -13.7 37.9 12.9 63.6 25.7
xBA .46 .336 -0.124 .164 -0.172 .245 0.081 .391 0.146
BA .294 .351 0.057 .313 -0.038 .263 -0.05 .615 0.352
xwOBA .523 .457 -0.066 .191 -0.266 .312 0.121 .488 0.176
wOBA .383 .516 0.133 .337 -0.179 .293 -0.044 .736 0.443
xSLG .761 .604 -0.157 .212 -0.392 .412 0.2 .684 0.272
SLG .588 .784 0.196 .438 -0.346 .395 -0.043 1.154 0.759
K% 5.3 16.7 11.4 22.2 5.5 23.8 1.6 13.3 -10.5
BB% 10.5 16.7 6.2 11.1 -5.6 7.1 -4 13.3 6.2
Swing % 40 39.6 -0.4 50.8 11.2 48.1 -2.7 44 -4.1
Whiff% 9.1 23.8 14.7 34.4 10.6 23.7 -10.7 18.2 -5.5
In Zone % 61.8 53.5 -8.3 41.9 -11.6 49.4 7.5 48 -1.4
Out of Zone % 38.2 46.5 8.3 58.1 11.6 50.6 -7.5 52 1.4
Out of Zone Swing % 0 9.6 9.6 33.3 23.7 30 -3.3 15.4 -14.6
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 25 -1.3 27.8 2.8 33.3 5.5 20 -13.3
First Pitch Strike % 63.2 54.2 -9 55.6 1.4 66.7 11.1 40 -26.7
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2017 18 .383 9 0 0.0 9 2 22.2
2018 48 .516 20 0 0.0 28 6 21.4
2019 17 .337 7 0 0.0 10 6 60.0
2020 41 .293 31 7 22.6 10 4 40.0
2021 15 .736 6 0 0.0 9 4 44.4

Pitch Distribution