Justin Dunn
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 210LBS | Age: 29
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 1, #19, New York Mets | Boston College
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 4 1 4.34 10 10 0 45.2 38 1.36
2021 1 3 3.75 11 11 0 50.1 49 1.31
2022 1 3 6.10 7 7 0 31 21 1.58
4 Seasons 6 7 4.44 32 32 0 133.2 113 1.41
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 10 4-1 4.34 45.2 38 1.36
2021 11 1-3 3.75 50.1 49 1.31
2022 7 1-3 6.10 31 21 1.58
4 Seasons 32 6-7 4.44 133.2 113 1.41
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 136 16 0 0.0 0.0 88.0 104.5 26.3 6.3 .149 .174 .265 .318 .208 31.3 16.7 30.0 2.70 4.47
2020 24 801 127 14 11.0 7.1 92.0 113.5 21.0 34.6 .246 .484 .319 .373 .402 44.9 19.2 15.7 4.34 6.20
2021 25 870 136 12 8.8 5.5 89.4 111.9 20.0 33.1 .229 .425 .295 .339 .375 37.5 22.5 13.3 3.75 4.99
2022 26 540 97 16 16.5 11.6 91.4 112.0 20.6 42.3 .299 .614 .425 .430 .470 44.3 15.2 12.3 6.10 8.69
Player 2347 376 42 11.2 7.2 90.7 113.5 20.8 34.8 .249 .481 .332 .371 .401 41.5 19.3 14.7
MLB 7.1 4.8 88.5 122.9 12.4 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .316 .369 36.8 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dunn relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(49.6%) ,
Slider
(23.9%) ,
Curveball
(21.5%) ,
Changeup
(5.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2019 43.8 56.3 18.8 6.3 31.3 43.8 25.0 31.3 31.3 12.5 0.0 12.5 12.5 31.3
2020 32.3 67.7 33.9 23.6 10.2 42.5 35.4 22.0 22.8 7.1 2.4 19.7 28.3 19.7
2021 33.8 66.2 38.2 16.9 11.0 31.6 40.4 27.9 14.7 14.0 5.1 16.9 26.5 22.8
2022 30.9 69.1 36.1 23.7 9.3 38.1 33.0 28.9 15.5 10.3 5.2 22.7 22.7 23.7
Player 33.0 67.0 35.4 20.5 11.2 37.5 36.2 26.3 18.4 10.6 4.0 19.1 25.5 22.3
MLB 44.3 55.7 23.9 24.7 7.1 37.3 37.4 25.2 20.6 17.7 5.9 16.6 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 0.0 37.5 50.0 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
2020 0.8 25.2 33.9 20.5 7.1 11.0 7.1
2021 2.9 23.5 34.6 20.6 9.6 8.8 5.5
2022 3.1 19.6 30.9 23.7 6.2 16.5 11.6
Player 2.1 23.7 34.0 21.0 7.4 11.2 7.2
MLB 4.0 32.5 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.1 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2022 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 231 92.2 15.3 0.7 8.3ARM 0.9 16.9 0.6 8.3ARM 0.9
2022 Changeup CIN R 12 88.4 25.4 -4.1 10.9ARM -3.6 9.6 -3.2 10.9ARM -3.3
2022 Slider CIN R 113 83.5 40.8 2.7 6.5GLV 0.2 -1.8 3.6 6.5GLV 1.1
2022 Curveball CIN R 112 79.9 43.3 -8.9 14.7GLV 5.0 -0.3 -9.5 14.7GLV 5.6
2021 Curveball SEA R 280 80.2 42.7 -9.8 16.6GLV 7.5 0.0 -10.1 16.6GLV 7.4
2021 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 450 93.7 12.5 2.4 9.6ARM 2.3 18.7 2.5 9.6ARM 2.4
2021 Changeup SEA R 11 89.5 21.7 -6.0 13.9ARM -0.2 12.5 -6.2 13.9ARM 0.0
2021 Slider SEA R 129 84.0 39.9 2.5 7.0GLV 1.5 -1.3 3.1 7.0GLV 1.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seam Fastball -2.6 -7 268 49.6 70 .250 .679 .445 13.3 14.3 15.4 .276 .706 .471 50.0
2022 Slider -1.2 -2 129 23.9 36 .212 .333 .274 34.4 19.4 12.3 .289 .396 .331 34.6
2022 Curveball -2.9 -3 116 21.5 27 .304 .652 .408 25.0 14.8 21.1 .339 .581 .408 42.9
2022 Changeup -17.4 -5 27 5.0 5 1.000 2.250 1.220 23.1 0.0 0.0 .467 1.328 .724 50.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -2 450 51.7 108 .232 .476 .394 21.1 12.0 15.3 .266 .537 .424 46.4
2021 Curveball 1.4 4 280 32.2 61 .204 .222 .237 29.4 29.5 25.0 .156 .247 .224 21.6
2021 Slider 2.5 3 129 14.8 48 .128 .191 .150 29.6 37.5 21.4 .242 .428 .294 37.9
2021 Changeup -3.9 0 11 1.3 1 1.000 1.000 .900 20.0 0.0 0.0 .614 .734 .593 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2022 Changeup 12 88.4 85 14.8 1:15 1:45 -30
2022 Curveball 112 79.9 57 15.9 8:15 8:45 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 230 92.2 94 18.4 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Slider 113 83.5 40 7.8 9:15 8:15 60
2021 Changeup 10 89.5 88 18.7 1:15 1:45 -30
2021 Curveball 273 80.2 56 17.7 8:00 8:45 -45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 440 93.7 95 20.7 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Slider 128 84.0 40 8.4 9:15 8:15 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 30 136 2 2 -1 -1 2
2020 197 801 9 2 -9 -4 -2
2021 218 870 7 9 -6 -5 4
2022 138 540 -4 -3 -4 -5 -17
Player 583 2,347 14 9 -21 14 -13
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 136 43.4 59.3 85.7 13.0 50.0 41.2 56.7 33.1 22.2 8.1 63.6
2020 801 46.9 64.9 83.6 20.2 60.5 38.8 57.1 41.2 22.1 8.0 78.1
2021 870 51.3 66.6 82.5 26.2 54.1 45.3 55.5 46.9 25.0 8.3 79.2
2022 540 46.3 61.6 87.0 23.8 53.6 40.7 57.2 41.3 22.4 6.9 83.8
Player 2,347 48.2 64.5 84.0 22.7 55.8 41.8 56.5 42.9 23.4 7.8 78.8
MLB 48.8 67.0 82.1 28.4 57.6 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 37 70 71
2020 10 43 16 10 7 8 11 2 12 23 4 19 5 19 46 28 68
2021 20 62 34 19 13 72 33 35 59 42 6 40 31 52 80 57 77
2022 22 49 31 75
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 21.65 10 10.3 0 6 7 4 40.0
2021 23.39 6 6.4 0 2 6 2 33.3
2022 24.30 11 9.1 2 4 4 6 54.5
Player 23.11 27 25.7 1 12 17 12 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2020 10 11 10 11 9 11 12 10 7 6 9 10 8 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 11 13 12 10 9 10 11 10 10 8
2021 6 8 6 8 7 6 6 7 6 4 6 7 8 5 6 9 6 6 8 7 5 6 9 8 6 4 8 7 5 5 3
2022 11 10 7 9 8 7 10 9 7 7 7 8 10 10 10 12 9 9 11 8 11 8 12 11 9 7 10 9 11 8 8
Player 27 29 23 28 24 24 28 26 20 17 22 25 26 26 27 32 26 26 30 27 28 25 34 31 25 20 28 27 26 23 19
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022
Results
BA .105 +.084 .189 +.012 .201 +.075 .276
xBA .149 +.097 .246 -.017 .229 +.070 .299
OBP .367 -.044 .323 -.002 .321 +.059 .380
xOBP .406 -.030 .376 -.031 .345 +.054 .399
SLG .105 +.304 .409 -.077 .332 +.297 .629
xSLG .174 +.310 .484 -.059 .425 +.189 .614
ISO .000 +.220 .220 -.090 .130 +.223 .353
xISO .025 +.213 .238 -.042 .196 +.120 .316
BABIP .125 +.054 .179 +.059 .238 +.009 .247
wOBA .265 +.054 .319 -.024 .295 +.130 .425
xwOBA .318 +.055 .373 -.034 .339 +.091 .430
wOBACON .109 +.209 .318 -.013 .305 +.157 .462
xwOBACON .208 +.194 .402 -.027 .375 +.095 .470
BACON .125 +.119 .244 +.028 .272 +.061 .333
xBACON .199 +.126 .325 -.015 .310 +.052 .362
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 31.3 +13.6 44.9 -7.4 37.5 +6.8 44.3
Avg Exit Velocity 88.0 +4.0 92.0 -2.6 89.4 +2.0 91.4
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 6.3 +28.3 34.6 -1.5 33.1 +9.2 42.3
Barrel % 0.0 +11.0 11.0 -2.2 8.8 +7.7 16.5
Avg Launch Angle 26.3 -5.3 21.0 -1.0 20.0 +0.6 20.6
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0
Attack Angle -- -- -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0
Attack Direction -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Length -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.5 -1.3 91.2 +2.5 93.7 -1.6 92.1
Breaking Velocity 81.8 -1.0 80.8 +0.6 81.4 +0.4 81.8
Offspeed Velocity 87.7 -0.6 87.1 +2.4 89.5 -1.6 87.9
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 0 +14 14 -2 12 +4 16
Popup % 31.3 -21.1 10.2 +0.8 11.0 -1.7 9.3
Flyball % 18.8 +15.1 33.9 +4.3 38.2 -2.1 36.1
Line Drive % 6.3 +17.3 23.6 -6.7 16.9 +6.8 23.7
Groundball % 43.8 -11.5 32.3 +1.5 33.8 -2.9 30.9
Pull % 43.8 -1.3 42.5 -10.9 31.6 +6.5 38.1
Straight Away % 25.0 +10.4 35.4 +5.0 40.4 -7.4 33.0
Opposite Field % 31.3 -9.3 22.0 +5.9 27.9 +1.0 28.9
Weak Contact % 0.0 +0.8 0.8 +2.1 2.9 +0.2 3.1
Pull Airball % 12.5 +7.2 19.7 -2.8 16.9 +5.8 22.7
Topped Contact % 37.5 -12.3 25.2 -1.7 23.5 -3.9 19.6
Under Contact % 50.0 -16.1 33.9 +0.7 34.6 -3.7 30.9
Flare/Burner Contact % 12.5 +8.0 20.5 +0.1 20.6 +3.1 23.7
Solid Contact % 0.0 +7.1 7.1 +2.5 9.6 -3.4 6.2
HR/FB % 0.0 +23.3 23.3 -11.8 11.5 +19.9 31.4
Popups 5 +8 13 +2 15 -6 9
Flyballs 3 +40 43 +9 52 -17 35
Line Drives 1 +29 30 -7 23 0 23
Groundballs 7 +34 41 +5 46 -16 30
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 43.4 +3.5 46.9 +4.4 51.3 -5.0 46.3
Out of Zone % 56.6 -3.5 53.1 -4.4 48.7 +5.0 53.7
Edge % 41.2 -2.4 38.8 +6.5 45.3 -4.6 40.7
Zone Swing % 59.3 +5.6 64.9 +1.7 66.6 -5.0 61.6
Out of Zone Swing % 13.0 +7.2 20.2 +6.0 26.2 -2.4 23.8
In Zone Contact % 85.7 -2.1 83.6 -1.1 82.5 +4.5 87.0
Out of Zone Contact % 50.0 +10.5 60.5 -6.4 54.1 -0.5 53.6
Whiff % 22.2 -0.1 22.1 +2.9 25.0 -2.6 22.4
First Strike % 56.7 +0.4 57.1 -1.6 55.5 +1.7 57.2
First Pitch Swing % 16.7 +5.0 21.7 +4.0 25.7 -1.8 23.9
Swing % 33.1 +8.1 41.2 +5.7 46.9 -5.6 41.3
Meatball Swing % 63.6 +14.5 78.1 +1.1 79.2 +4.6 83.8
Meatball % 8.1 -0.1 8.0 +0.3 8.3 -1.4 6.9
Zone Swing & Miss % 14.3 +1.7 16.0 +1.5 17.5 -5.2 12.3
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 50.0 -10.5 39.5 +5.5 45.0 -0.1 44.9
In Zone 59 +317 376 +70 446 -196 250
Out of Zone 77 +348 425 -1 424 -134 290
Edge 56 +255 311 +83 394 -174 220
In Zone Swings 35 +209 244 +53 297 -143 154
Out of Zone Swings 10 +76 86 +25 111 -42 69
In Zone Swing & Misses 5 +34 39 +13 52 -33 19
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 5 +29 34 +16 50 -19 31
Basic
Pitches 136 +665 801 +69 870 -330 540
PA 30 +168 198 +20 218 -80 138
AB 19 +145 164 +20 184 -68 116
Hits 2 +29 31 +6 37 -5 32
Singles 2 +14 16 +10 26 -13 13
Doubles 0 +4 4 0 4 +4 8
Triples 0 +1 1 0 1 -1 0
Home Runs 0 +10 10 -4 6 +5 11
Walks 9 +22 31 -2 29 -12 17
Strikeouts 5 +33 38 +11 49 -28 21
K% 16.7 +2.5 19.2 +3.3 22.5 -7.3 15.2
BB% 30.0 -14.3 15.7 -2.4 13.3 -1.0 12.3
HBP 0 +2 2 +2 4 -1 3
Batted Balls 16 +111 127 +9 136 -39 97
Number of Fastballs 78 +359 437 +13 450 -182 268
Number of Offspeed 11 +39 50 -39 11 +16 27
Number of Breaking 47 +267 314 +95 409 -164 245
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 30 .265 18 0 0.0 12 7 58.3
2020 Shifts 197 .319 91 9 9.9 106 78 73.6
2021 Shifts 218 .295 101 15 14.9 117 59 50.4
2022 Shifts 138 .425 65 14 21.5 73 46 63.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 38 16.4 23.7% 0.0% 37 21.1 0.0% 0.0%
2020 273 16.9 24.5% 0.7% 116 23.9 0.0% 14.7%
2021 240 19.6 2.5% 1.3% 142 26.2 0.0% 16.9%
2022 196 17.6 6.6% 1.0% 70 24.1 0.0% 8.6%

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Pitch Distribution