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Justin Dunn
Popularity: ↓ 3%
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 185LBS | Age: 25

Draft: 2016 | Rd: 1, #19, New York Mets | Boston College
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 4 1 4.34 10 10 0 45.2 38 1.36
2 Seasons 4 1 4.13 14 14 0 52.1 43 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 10 4-1 4.34 45.2 38 1.36
2 Seasons 14 4-1 4.13 52.1 43 1.39

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON Hard Hit % K % BB % ERA xERA
2019 136 16 0 0.0 88 26.3 6.3 .150 .170 .265 .317 .206 31.3 16.7 30.0 2.70 4.27
2020 801 127 14 11.0 92 21 34.6 .246 .482 .314 .356 .378 44.9 19.2 15.7 4.34 6.00
ALL 937 143 14 9.8 91.5 21.6 31.5 .236 .449 .308 .351 .359 43.4 18.9 17.5
MLB 43640 6.4 88.3 11.9 32.8 .250 .414 .317 .321 .376 34.9 21.8 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dunn relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(53.6%) ,
Curveball
(22.7%) ,
Slider
(16.5%) ,
Changeup
(6.2%) ,
Sinker
(1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Whiff% PutAway%
2020 4-Seam Fastball 429 201 228 53.6 91.2 107 82 12 7 1 1 3 13 69 .146 .240 .293 .439 .298 .370 91.9 23 2240 18.0 13.3
2020 Curveball 182 83 99 22.7 79.3 32 26 8 2 3 0 3 7 20 .308 .309 .769 .635 .460 .431 91.7 17 2367 33.3 22.6
2020 Slider 132 63 69 16.5 82.9 49 48 8 5 0 0 3 17 31 .167 .192 .354 .408 .222 .246 90.6 20 2356 24.3 18.1
2020 Changeup 50 10 40 6.2 87.1 9 8 3 2 0 0 1 1 7 .375 .421 .750 .855 .486 .514 99.9 23 1854 14.3 5.9
2020 Sinker 8 8 0 1.0 91.1 2144
2019 4-Seam Fastball 77 37 40 56.6 92.5 18 8 1 1 0 0 0 1 8 .125 .129 .125 .148 .393 .416 87.1 44 2342 9.1 6.3
2019 Slider 47 37 10 34.6 81.8 11 10 1 1 0 0 0 4 7 .100 .157 .100 .179 .079 .162 89.6 11 2417 38.1 21.1
2019 Changeup 11 1 10 8.1 87.7 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .241 .000 .257 .000 .234 82.9 -7 1734 0.0 0.0
2019 Sinker 1 1 0 0.7 92.5 2352


Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Sinker SEA R 8 91.1 21.7 -1.2 -5 15.8 1.2 9
2020 Slider SEA R 132 82.9 40.1 0.7 2 7 0.2 4
2020 4-Seamer SEA R 429 91.2 15.8 0.8 5 8.1 1.1 16
2020 Curveball SEA R 182 79.3 42.2 -10.4 -20 14.6 5 52
2020 Changeup SEA R 50 87.1 24.3 -5.6 -19 11.6 -2 -15
2019 Changeup SEA R 11 87.7 26.3 -2.5 -9 15.5 1.4 10
2019 Slider SEA R 47 81.8 41.3 0.1 0 10.5 2.4 30
2019 4-Seamer SEA R 77 92.5 15.4 1.1 7 10.6 3 40
2019 Sinker SEA R 1 92.5 20.7 -1.5 -7 15 0.2 2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Changeup 3.3 2 50 6.2 9 .375 .750 .500 14.3 11.1 5.9 .421 .855 .515 71.4
2020 Curveball 2.4 4 182 22.7 32 .308 .769 .470 33.3 21.9 22.6 .309 .635 .431 55.0
2020 Slider 0.2 0 132 16.5 49 .167 .354 .233 24.3 34.7 18.1 .192 .408 .246 35.5
2020 4-Seamer -1.4 -6 429 53.6 107 .146 .293 .317 18.0 12.1 13.3 .240 .439 .372 43.5
2020 Sinker 0.8 0 8 1.0
2019 Changeup -0.4 0 11 8.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .241 .257 .234 0.0
2019 Slider -3.5 -2 47 34.6 11 .100 .100 .082 38.1 36.4 21.1 .157 .179 .162 42.9
2019 4-Seamer -0.5 0 77 56.6 18 .125 .125 .400 9.1 5.6 6.3 .129 .148 .421 25.0
2019 Sinker 6.1 0 1 0.7 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Observed Spin-Based Gap Observed Spin-Based
2020 Slider 124 82.8 40 8.2 8:30 9:30 60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 377 91.2 91 18.5 1:00 1:15 15
2020 Curveball 164 79.4 53 15.6 9:00 8:15 -45
2020 Changeup 46 87.1 94 16.5 1:30 1:30 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 30 136 -3 -2 1 1 -2
2020 195 798 -8 -2 9 3 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 136 43.4 59.3 85.7 13.0 50.0 41.2 56.7 33.1 22.2 8.1 63.6
2020 801 47.1 64.5 84.0 20.3 60.5 38.8 57.1 41.1 22.2 8.0 78.1
ALL 937 46.5 63.8 84.2 19.2 59.4 39.2 57.0 39.9 22.2 8.0 76.0
MLB 48.4 66.1 82.8 28.2 59.4 42.6 60.6 46.6 24.5 7.2 75.1

Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2019 43.8 18.8 6.3 31.3 43.8 25.0 31.3 0.0 37.5 50.0 12.5 0.0 0.0
2020 32.3 27.6 29.9 10.2 42.5 35.4 22.0 0.8 25.2 33.9 20.5 7.1 11.0
ALL 33.6 26.6 27.3 12.6 42.7 34.3 23.1 0.7 26.6 35.7 19.6 6.3 9.8
MLB 45.3 22.0 25.7 7.1 36.6 38.0 25.5 3.2 33.6 24.3 24.6 5.6 6.4

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2019
2020 11 44 16 10 8 8 11 2 12 23 4 19 11 25 40 31
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 21.6 10 10.5 -0.5 3 11 2 20.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 10 10 12 11 12 9 10 13 11 8 12 12 6 7 10 13 6 9 12 13 5 12 12 12 10 13 11 10 11 11 12
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.5 91.2 -1.3
Offspeed Velocity 87.7 87.1 -0.6
Breaking Velocity 81.8 80.8 -1
Exit Velocity 88 92 4
Launch Angle 26.3 21 -5.3
Barrel % 0 11 11
Hard Hit % 31.3 44.9 13.6
Sweet Spot % 6.3 34.6 28.3
xBA .15 .246 0.096
BA .105 .189 0.084
xwOBA .317 .356 0.039
wOBA .265 .314 0.049
xSLG .17 .482 0.312
SLG .105 .409 0.304
K% 16.7 19.2 2.5
BB% 30 15.7 -14.3
Swing % 33.1 41.1 8
Whiff% 22.2 22.2 0
In Zone Swing % 43.4 47.1 3.7
Out of Zone Swing % 56.6 52.9 -3.7
First Pitch Swing % 16.7 21.2 4.5
First Pitch Strike % 56.7 57.1 0.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 30 .265 18 0 0.0 12 7 58.3
2020 197 .314 91 9 9.9 106 78 73.6

Pitch Distribution