Justin Dunn
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 209LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2016 | Rd: 1, #19, New York Mets | Boston College

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 3 6.10 7 7 0 31.0 21 1.58
4 Seasons 6 7 4.44 32 32 0 133.2 113 1.41
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 7 1-3 6.10 31.0 21 1.58
4 Seasons 32 6-7 4.44 133.2 113 1.41

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 136 16 0 0.0 0.0 88.0 104.5 26.3 6.3 .149 .174 .265 .318 .208 31.3 16.7 30.0 2.70 4.47
2020 24 801 127 14 11.0 7.1 92.0 113.5 21.0 34.6 .246 .484 .319 .373 .402 44.9 19.2 15.7 4.34 6.20
2021 25 870 136 12 8.8 5.5 89.4 111.9 20.0 33.1 .229 .425 .295 .339 .375 37.5 22.5 13.3 3.75 4.95
2022 26 540 97 16 16.5 11.6 91.4 112.0 20.6 42.3 .299 .615 .425 .431 .471 44.3 15.2 12.3 6.10 8.75
Player 2347 376 42 11.2 7.2 90.7 113.5 20.8 34.8 .249 .481 .332 .371 .402 41.5 19.3 14.7
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Dunn relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(49.6%) ,
Slider
(24.1%) ,
Curveball
(21.3%) ,
Changeup
(5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 43.8 18.8 6.3 31.3 43.8 25.0 31.3 0.0 37.5 50.0 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
2020 32.3 33.9 23.6 10.2 42.5 35.4 22.0 0.8 25.2 33.9 20.5 7.1 11.0 7.1
2021 33.8 38.2 16.9 11.0 31.6 40.4 27.9 2.9 23.5 34.6 20.6 9.6 8.8 5.5
2022 30.9 36.1 23.7 9.3 38.1 33.0 28.9 3.1 19.6 30.9 23.7 6.2 16.5 11.6
Player 33.0 35.4 20.5 11.2 37.5 36.2 26.3 2.1 23.7 34.0 21.0 7.4 11.2 7.2
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball CIN R 111 79.8 43.3 -8.8 -17 14.8 5.0 52
2022 4-Seamer CIN R 231 92.2 15.4 0.6 4 8.3 0.9 12
2022 Changeup CIN R 12 88.4 24.8 -4.5 -15 11.3 -3.1 -22
2022 Slider CIN R 114 83.4 40.8 2.9 8 6.5 -0.3 -5
2021 Changeup SEA R 11 89.5 21.7 -6.1 -22 13.9 -0.2 -1
2021 Curveball SEA R 280 80.2 42.7 -9.7 -19 16.6 7.5 83
2021 Slider SEA R 129 84.0 39.9 2.5 7 7.0 1.2 21
2021 4-Seamer SEA R 450 93.7 12.5 2.4 16 9.6 2.3 31
2020 Curveball SEA R 182 79.3 42.3 -10.3 -20 14.6 5.1 54
2020 4-Seamer SEA R 429 91.2 15.8 0.8 5 8.1 1.0 14
2020 Slider SEA R 132 82.9 40.1 0.7 2 6.9 0.7 12
2020 Sinker SEA R 8 91.1 21.7 -1.4 -6 15.8 1.1 8
2020 Changeup SEA R 50 87.1 24.3 -5.6 -19 11.6 -2.0 -15
2019 Slider SEA R 47 81.8 41.3 0.2 0 10.5 3.0 40
2019 Changeup SEA R 11 87.7 26.3 -2.4 -8 15.5 1.4 10
2019 Sinker SEA R 1 92.5 20.7 -1.5 -7 15.0 0.2 2
2019 4-Seamer SEA R 77 92.5 15.4 1.1 6 10.6 3.0 39
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 2.1 6 268 49.6 70 .250 .679 .445 13.3 14.3 15.4 .276 .706 .471 50.0
2022 Slider 0.0 0 130 24.1 36 .212 .333 .274 32.3 19.4 12.3 .291 .398 .332 34.6
2022 Curveball -0.7 -1 115 21.3 27 .304 .652 .408 25.5 14.8 21.1 .339 .581 .408 42.9
2022 Changeup 9.6 3 27 5.0 5 1.000 2.250 1.220 23.1 0.0 0.0 .467 1.328 .724 50.0
2021 4-Seamer 0.5 2 450 51.7 108 .232 .476 .394 20.7 12.0 15.3 .266 .537 .424 46.4
2021 Curveball -1.3 -4 280 32.2 61 .204 .222 .237 29.4 29.5 25.0 .156 .247 .224 21.6
2021 Slider -2.1 -3 129 14.8 48 .128 .191 .150 29.6 37.5 21.4 .242 .428 .294 37.9
2021 Changeup 3.0 0 11 1.3 1 1.000 1.000 .900 20.0 0.0 0.0 .614 .734 .593 0.0
2020 4-Seamer -1.5 -6 429 53.6 107 .146 .293 .317 17.9 12.1 13.3 .240 .439 .384 43.5
2020 Curveball 2.9 5 182 22.7 33 .296 .741 .456 34.3 24.2 25.0 .301 .618 .444 55.0
2020 Slider 0.3 0 132 16.5 48 .170 .362 .238 23.2 33.3 17.2 .196 .420 .263 35.5
2020 Changeup 3.2 2 50 6.2 9 .375 .750 .500 14.3 11.1 5.9 .419 .857 .553 71.4
2020 Sinker 0.5 0 8 1.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seamer -0.7 -1 77 56.6 18 .125 .125 .400 9.1 5.6 6.3 .134 .158 .424 25.0
2019 Slider -3.8 -2 47 34.6 11 .100 .100 .082 38.1 36.4 21.1 .158 .183 .167 42.9
2019 Changeup -0.6 0 11 8.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .182 .212 .164 0.0
2019 Sinker 6.8 0 1 0.7 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 41 87.0 96 16.6 1:30 1:30 0
2020 Curveball 162 79.4 53 15.6 8:15 9:00 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 343 91.1 92 18.5 1:15 1:00 15
2020 Slider 116 82.8 39 8.2 9:30 8:30 60
2021 Changeup 10 89.5 88 18.7 1:15 1:45 -30
2021 Curveball 273 80.2 56 17.7 8:00 8:45 -45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 440 93.7 95 20.7 1:00 1:00 0
2021 Slider 128 84.0 40 8.4 9:15 8:15 60
2022 Changeup 12 88.4 87 15.5 1:30 1:45 -15
2022 Curveball 111 79.8 57 16.0 8:15 8:45 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 230 92.2 94 18.4 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Slider 114 83.4 40 7.8 9:15 8:15 60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 30 136 -3 -2 1 1 -2
2020 197 801 -8 -3 8 4 1
2021 218 870 -8 -7 7 4 -4
2022 138 540 -2 2 3 4 7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 136 43.4 59.3 85.7 13.0 50.0 41.2 56.7 33.1 22.2 8.1 63.6
2020 801 46.9 64.9 83.6 20.2 60.5 38.8 57.1 41.2 22.1 8.0 78.1
2021 870 51.3 66.6 82.5 26.2 54.1 45.3 55.5 46.9 24.8 8.3 79.2
2022 540 46.3 61.6 87.0 23.8 53.6 40.7 57.2 41.3 22.0 6.9 83.8
Player 2,347 48.2 64.5 84.0 22.7 55.8 41.8 56.5 42.9 23.2 7.8 78.8
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2019 41 67 72
2020 10 43 16 10 7 8 11 2 12 23 4 19 5 25 43 29 68
2021 20 63 34 19 14 72 33 35 59 42 6 39 31 59 76 57 77
2022 29 46 31 75
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 21.6 10 10.7 -1 4 8 4 40.0
2021 23.4 6 6.5 -1 2 5 3 50.0
2022 24.3 11 9.1 2 2 5 6 54.5
Player 23.1 27 26.3 1 8 18 13 48.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 10 10 11 11 12 10 0 12 10 10 11 12 8 7 8 12 11 11 9 9 10 12 12 11 11 13 12 9 11 12 13
2021 6 7 7 5 6 8 6 6 6 5 9 8 4 6 6 6 9 5 4 5 9 6 6 8 6 7 9 4 6 6 9
2022 11 10 8 10 10 11 7 10 8 9 9 10 7 7 8 9 10 11 8 8 10 8 9 11 11 8 11 8 8 8 11
Player 27 27 26 26 28 29 13 28 24 24 29 30 19 20 22 27 30 27 21 22 29 26 27 30 28 28 32 21 25 26 33
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.5 91.2 -1.3 ↓ 93.7 2.5 ↑ 92.1 -1.6 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 87.7 87.1 -0.6 ↓ 89.5 2.4 ↑ 87.9 -1.6 ↓
Breaking Velocity 81.8 80.8 -1 ↓ 81.4 0.6 ↑ 81.8 0.4 ↑
Exit Velocity 88 92 4 ↑ 89.4 -2.6 ↓ 91.4 2 ↑
Launch Angle 26.3 21 -5.3 ↓ 20 -1 ↓ 20.6 0.6 ↑
Barrel % 0 11 11 ↑ 8.8 -2.2 ↓ 16.5 7.7 ↑
Hard Hit % 31.3 44.9 13.6 ↑ 37.5 -7.4 ↓ 44.3 6.8 ↑
Sweet Spot % 6.3 34.6 28.3 ↑ 33.1 -1.5 ↓ 42.3 9.2 ↑
xBA .149 .246 0.097 ↑ .229 -0.017 ↓ .299 0.07 ↑
BA .105 .189 0.084 ↑ .201 0.012 ↑ .276 0.075 ↑
xwOBA .318 .373 0.055 ↑ .339 -0.034 ↓ .431 0.092 ↑
wOBA .265 .319 0.054 ↑ .295 -0.024 ↓ .425 0.13 ↑
xSLG .174 .484 0.31 ↑ .425 -0.059 ↓ .615 0.19 ↑
SLG .105 .409 0.304 ↑ .332 -0.077 ↓ .629 0.297 ↑
K% 16.7 19.2 2.5 ↑ 22.5 3.3 ↑ 15.2 -7.3 ↓
BB% 30 15.7 -14.3 ↓ 13.3 -2.4 ↓ 12.3 -1 ↓
Swing % 33.1 41.2 8.1 ↑ 46.9 5.7 ↑ 41.3 -5.6 ↓
Whiff% 22.2 22.1 -0.1 ↓ 24.8 2.7 ↑ 22 -2.8 ↓
In Zone % 43.4 46.9 3.5 ↑ 51.3 4.4 ↑ 46.3 -5 ↓
Out of Zone % 56.6 53.1 -3.5 ↓ 48.7 -4.4 ↓ 53.7 5 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 13 20.2 7.2 ↑ 26.2 6 ↑ 23.8 -2.4 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 16.7 21.7 5 ↑ 25.7 4 ↑ 23.9 -1.8 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 56.7 57.1 0.4 ↑ 55.5 -1.6 ↓ 57.2 1.7 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 30 .265 18 0 0.0 12 7 58.3
2020 197 .319 91 9 9.9 106 78 73.6
2021 218 .295 101 15 14.9 117 59 50.4
2022 138 .425 65 14 21.5 73 46 63.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 38 16.4 23.7% 0.0% 40 21.4 0.0% 5.0%
2020 274 16.9 24.5% 1.1% 127 24.3 0.0% 22.0%
2021 240 19.6 2.5% 1.3% 151 26.3 0.0% 21.2%
2022 196 17.6 6.6% 1.0% 73 24.2 0.0% 12.3%
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Pitch Distribution

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