Juan Nicasio
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 250LBS | Age: 38
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2018 1 6 6.00 46 0 1 42 53 1.38
2019 2 3 4.75 47 0 1 47.1 45 1.65
2020 0 0 40.50 2 0 0 1.1 1 5.25
10 Seasons 40 46 4.71 364 82 9 720.1 668 1.43
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2018 46 1-6 6.00 42 53 1.38
2019 47 2-3 4.75 47.1 45 1.65
2020 2 0-0 40.50 1.1 1 5.25
10 Seasons 364 40-46 4.71 720.1 668 1.43
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 1083 162 6 3.7 2.3 85.3 109.8 13.7 35.2 .235 .334 .321 .297 .354 20.4 25.0 12.3 3.86 3.64
2016 29 2165 323 16 5.0 3.1 88.5 111.0 13.0 30.3 .218 .343 .330 .285 .350 31.6 26.9 8.8 4.50 3.38
2017 30 1227 196 9 4.6 3.1 87.4 113.9 11.2 32.1 .231 .348 .265 .278 .340 33.9 24.8 6.9 2.61 3.27
2018 31 765 123 8 6.5 4.4 89.0 109.6 16.6 39.8 .231 .377 .349 .275 .370 35.0 29.0 2.7 6.00 3.15
2019 32 832 149 13 8.7 6.0 89.4 111.0 9.7 36.9 .287 .446 .339 .347 .411 38.9 20.7 9.7 4.75 5.44
2020 33 46 8 1 12.5 9.1 81.5 109.8 16.1 50.0 .399 .775 .693 .532 .556 25.0 9.1 18.2 40.50 16.37
Player 6118 961 53 5.5 3.6 87.9 113.9 12.8 33.9 .237 .366 .322 .295 .363 31.7 25.4 8.5
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nicasio relies on 3 pitches.
Sinker
(67.4%) ,
Slider
(26.1%) ,
Changeup
(6.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 46.9 21.6 26.5 4.9 29.0 41.4 29.6 4.9 31.5 24.7 27.8 1.9 3.7 2.3
2016 44.9 19.5 27.2 8.4 35.3 36.2 26.9 3.4 34.7 23.2 21.4 4.6 5.0 3.1
2017 46.4 18.9 26.0 8.7 28.1 39.8 32.1 3.6 35.2 25.5 22.4 5.6 4.6 3.1
2018 36.6 27.6 28.5 7.3 22.8 44.7 32.5 0.0 30.9 28.5 26.0 7.3 6.5 4.4
2019 47.7 19.5 28.9 4.0 28.9 40.9 30.2 3.4 34.2 18.1 28.2 5.4 8.7 6.0
2020 25.0 25.0 37.5 12.5 37.5 12.5 50.0 12.5 12.5 25.0 25.0 12.5 12.5 9.1
Player 44.7 20.8 27.4 7.1 30.2 39.4 29.9 3.3 33.5 23.8 24.3 4.9 5.5 3.6
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2020 Sinker TEX R 31 93.5 18.3 -3.3 9.7ARM -5.1 12.8 -3.7 9.7ARM -5.1
2020 Changeup TEX R 3 85.1 23.6 -6.7 12.5ARM -0.8 14.5 -8.1 12.5ARM -0.9
2020 Slider TEX R 12 86.5 32.0 -2.4 2.0GLV -2.1 4.2 -2.8 2.0GLV -3.3
2019 Slider PHI R 380 86.7 31.5 -2.8 1.8GLV -2.1 5.4 -3.6 1.8GLV -3.3
2019 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 349 93.8 16.0 -0.1 9.6ARM 1.8 15.6 0.0 9.6ARM 2.1
2019 Sinker PHI R 101 93.1 19.6 -2.7 14.0ARM -0.9 12.4 -3.3 14.0ARM -0.9
2019 Changeup PHI R 2 84.7 27.2 -3.2 12.0ARM -1.1 11.9 -5.0 12.0ARM -1.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Sinker -13.8 -4 31 67.4 8 .667 1.500 .850 23.1 12.5 12.5 .473 1.022 .644 40.0
2020 Slider -3.9 0 12 26.1 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .252 .281 .233 0.0
2020 Changeup 0.7 0 3 6.5 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 Slider -0.5 -2 380 45.7 88 .298 .381 .329 23.0 21.6 15.0 .267 .377 .296 27.7
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -1 349 41.9 100 .291 .488 .371 19.8 23.0 18.7 .293 .479 .375 51.5
2019 Sinker -0.4 0 101 12.1 23 .300 .450 .372 18.0 13.0 15.0 .305 .565 .404 35.3
2019 Changeup -11.5 0 2 0.2 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .927 1.062 .861 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Sinker 29 93.4 98 16.0 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Slider 11 86.4 44 3.5 12:45 10:45 120
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2011 295 1,144 -2 10 -5 -3 0
2012 256 1,020 -9 5 -2 -4 -10
2013 694 2,833 15 -2 -19 -11 -18
2014 389 1,522 2 1 -15 -5 -17
2015 254 1,060 3 7 -6 -3 1
2016 510 2,153 -2 15 -11 -8 -6
2017 284 1,208 12 13 -7 -4 14
2018 183 765 -7 7 -6 -2 -8
2019 212 832 -1 6 -4 -4 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,083 48.6 69.0 78.0 26.4 62.6 42.5 62.3 47.1 26.1 7.8 78.6
2016 2,165 48.6 65.5 80.7 28.8 63.4 45.5 63.0 46.7 24.4 6.7 83.3
2017 1,227 53.9 71.8 77.4 27.3 71.7 43.3 68.1 51.3 23.7 10.1 82.0
2018 765 52.3 70.8 81.6 30.7 63.4 46.1 62.8 51.6 23.5 8.5 84.6
2019 832 48.6 72.0 81.8 28.0 65.8 42.7 65.3 49.4 20.9 7.1 83.1
2020 46 37.0 70.6 83.3 17.2 80.0 58.7 54.5 37.0 17.6 0.0 --
Player 6,118 50.0 69.0 79.8 28.1 65.2 44.3 64.1 48.6 23.9 7.8 82.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 62 59 81 89 17 85 82 97 100 78 2 75 19 87 31 42
2016 79 83 81 76 70 46 70 51 73 85 36 60 47 72 27 43
2017 83 70 83 84 80 72 74 43 44 69 75 46 46 83 17 33
2018 66 20 22
2019 15 6 30 59 4 60 21 28 28 32 25 15 37 55 12 34
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.8 15 11.5 4 9 10 4 26.7
2017 23.1 5 3.3 2 4 2 2 40.0
2018 23.7 6 4.7 1 2 5 1 16.7
2019 21.7 4 4.7 -1 5 3 2 50.0
2020 25.2 1 1.0 0 0 1 0 0.0
Player 22.5 31 25.2 6 20 21 9 29.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 15 12 11 14 12 12 12 11 11 9 12 15 12 10 11 12 6 9 11 13 11 7 15 14 14 11 12 16 13 13 4
2017 5 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 4 5 2 3 5 2 3 2 3 3 3 7 3 4 2 3 6 5 3 2
2018 6 6 4 5 3 3 6 5 2 2 4 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 6 2 6 6 6 3 3 6 5 3 3
2019 4 6 2 5 4 6 7 5 4 3 4 6 4 4 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 7 5 7 4 4 3 5 6 4 4
2020 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
Player 31 29 21 29 23 25 29 25 21 17 23 31 29 23 26 29 19 22 25 26 25 20 34 31 29 21 22 34 30 24 13
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.6 94.3 -1.3 95.3 1.0 93.9 -1.4 93.6 -0.3 93.5 -0.1
Offspeed Velocity 87.5 87.3 -0.2 87.1 -0.2 88.0 0.9 84.7 -3.3 85.1 0.4
Breaking Velocity 86.9 87.0 0.1 88.5 1.5 87.4 -1.1 86.7 -0.7 86.5 -0.2
Exit Velocity 85.3 88.5 3.2 87.4 -1.1 89.0 1.6 89.4 0.4 81.5 -7.9
Launch Angle 13.7 13.0 -0.7 11.2 -1.8 16.6 5.4 9.7 -6.9 16.1 6.4
Barrel % 3.7 5.0 1.3 4.6 -0.4 6.5 1.9 8.7 2.2 12.5 3.8
Hard Hit % 20.4 31.6 11.2 33.9 2.3 35.0 1.1 38.9 3.9 25.0 -13.9
LA Sweet-Spot % 35.2 30.3 -4.9 32.1 1.8 39.8 7.7 36.9 -2.9 50.0 13.1
xBA .235 .218 -0.017 .231 0.013 .231 0.000 .287 0.056 .399 0.112
BA .263 .261 -0.002 .217 -0.044 .308 0.091 .298 -0.010 .556 0.258
xwOBA .297 .285 -0.012 .278 -0.007 .275 -0.003 .347 0.072 .532 0.185
wOBA .321 .330 0.009 .265 -0.065 .349 0.084 .339 -0.010 .693 0.354
xSLG .334 .343 0.009 .348 0.005 .377 0.029 .446 0.069 .775 0.329
SLG .384 .441 0.057 .333 -0.108 .500 0.167 .440 -0.060 1.111 0.671
K% 25.0 26.9 1.9 24.8 -2.1 29.0 4.2 20.7 -8.3 9.1 -11.6
BB% 12.3 8.8 -3.5 6.9 -1.9 2.7 -4.2 9.7 7.0 18.2 8.5
Swing % 47.1 46.7 -0.4 51.3 4.6 51.6 0.3 49.4 -2.2 37.0 -12.4
Whiff% 26.1 24.4 -1.7 23.7 -0.7 23.5 -0.2 20.9 -2.6 17.6 -3.3
In Zone % 48.6 48.6 0.0 53.9 5.3 52.3 -1.6 48.6 -3.7 37.0 -11.6
Out of Zone % 51.4 51.4 0.0 46.1 -5.3 47.7 1.6 51.4 3.7 63.0 11.6
Out of Zone Swing % 26.4 28.8 2.4 27.3 -1.5 30.7 3.4 28.0 -2.7 17.2 -10.8
First Pitch Swing % 33.1 28.5 -4.6 34.7 6.2 35.0 0.3 38.0 3.0 18.2 -19.8
First Pitch Strike % 62.3 63.0 0.7 68.1 5.1 62.8 -5.3 65.3 2.5 54.5 -10.8
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 474 .334 263 22 8.4 211 55 26.1
2017 Shifts 285 .264 159 3 1.9 126 20 15.9
2018 Shifts 183 .349 108 2 1.9 75 36 48.0
2019 Shifts 212 .339 135 12 8.9 77 32 41.6
2020 Shifts 11 .693 6 0 0.0 5 4 80.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2011 348 14.5 54.9% 0.3% 152 26.4 0.7% 30.3%
2012 337 15.4 46.6% 2.4% 188 25.2 0.0% 22.3%
2013 898 15.7 41.9% 1.4% 450 24.7 0.9% 19.1%
2014 480 17.2 29.8% 1.9% 236 27.0 0.0% 27.5%
2015 275 19.0 26.2% 9.1% 205 28.1 4.9% 41.5%
2016 625 16.5 36.5% 4.8% 369 27.2 8.7% 35.2%
2017 308 18.3 19.5% 5.8% 220 28.4 0.5% 40.0%
2018 209 20.2 12.0% 9.1% 119 27.0 0.0% 31.9%
2019 233 19.4 15.9% 5.2% 129 27.5 0.0% 33.3%
2020 8 23.5 0.0% 12.5% 15 25.0 0.0% 26.7%

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Pitch Distribution