José Alvarado
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 245LBS | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 1 4.20 64 0 5 55.2 68 1.60
2022 4 2 3.18 59 0 2 51 81 1.22
2023 0 2 1.74 42 0 10 41.1 64 1.16
7 Seasons 13 20 3.30 314 1 32 280.2 374 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 64 7-1 4.20 55.2 68 1.60
2022 59 4-2 3.18 51 81 1.22
2023 42 0-2 1.74 41.1 64 1.16
7 Seasons 314 13-20 3.30 280.2 374 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 22 463 85 3 3.5 2.4 86.1 113.6 6.3 31.8 .200 .325 .248 .254 .301 30.6 23.6 7.3 3.64 2.72
2018 23 1038 153 7 4.6 2.7 88.0 110.2 7.4 26.1 .201 .282 .235 .259 .323 34.6 30.4 11.0 2.39 2.79
2019 24 586 80 4 5.0 2.7 89.3 109.8 5.4 33.8 .234 .362 .328 .325 .375 35.0 26.7 18.5 4.80 4.69
2020 25 194 24 4 16.7 8.9 87.1 107.5 10.4 37.5 .269 .500 .367 .388 .492 33.3 28.9 13.3 6.00 6.82
2021 26 1045 129 5 3.9 2.0 87.5 116.4 1.1 32.6 .202 .304 .322 .313 .332 42.6 27.1 18.7 4.20 4.15
2022 27 881 108 7 6.5 3.3 87.2 112.0 3.0 30.6 .187 .275 .259 .249 .351 34.3 37.9 11.2 3.18 2.53
2023 28 742 90 4 4.4 2.3 91.1 111.6 8.5 31.1 .202 .285 .262 .258 .360 45.6 37.2 10.5 1.74 2.75
Player 4949 669 34 5.1 2.8 88.1 116.4 5.3 30.8 .205 .307 .279 .281 .344 37.1 30.8 13.2
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Alvarado relies on 2 pitches.
Sinker
(58.8%) ,
Cutter
(41.2%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 55.3 17.6 22.4 4.7 29.4 29.4 38.8 8.2 37.6 23.5 16.5 8.2 3.5 2.4
2018 56.9 21.6 17.6 3.9 39.2 35.9 24.2 3.3 43.1 19.0 25.5 3.3 4.6 2.7
2019 50.0 17.5 28.7 3.8 35.0 40.0 25.0 3.8 36.3 17.5 23.8 11.3 5.0 2.7
2020 41.7 29.2 20.8 8.3 45.8 33.3 20.8 4.2 41.7 16.7 20.8 0.0 16.7 8.9
2021 55.8 19.4 23.3 1.6 35.7 38.0 26.4 7.0 44.2 15.5 22.5 7.0 3.9 2.0
2022 57.4 16.7 22.2 3.7 47.2 32.4 20.4 4.6 46.3 14.8 25.9 1.9 6.5 3.3
2023 55.6 13.3 26.7 4.4 47.8 33.3 18.9 4.4 40.0 16.7 27.8 6.7 4.4 2.3
Player 55.0 18.5 22.7 3.7 39.5 35.0 25.1 5.1 41.9 17.6 23.8 5.7 5.1 2.8
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sinker PHI L 436 98.7 13.2 -2.7 -17 12.7 -1.0 -7
2023 Cutter PHI L 306 93.1 25.0 -3.2 -14 1.3 -0.9 -41
2022 Curveball PHI L 11 86.5 43.2 -0.8 -2 0.7 -5.0 -117
2022 4-Seam Fastball PHI L 12 97.8 12.7 -1.2 -10 5.6 -0.4 -7
2022 Cutter PHI L 378 93.8 25.5 -4.5 -21 1.9 -1.3 -40
2022 Sinker PHI L 480 99.6 13.2 -2.9 -18 12.7 -1.3 -9
2021 Cutter PHI L 170 94.1 25.7 -6.1 -31 1.3 -2.0 -61
2021 4-Seam Fastball PHI L 33 98.3 13.0 -1.7 -15 8.1 2.3 40
2021 Curveball PHI L 35 87.2 44.2 -0.1 0 0.8 -4.5 -85
2021 Sinker PHI L 807 99.4 15.0 -0.6 -4 14.7 0.3 2
2020 Curveball TB L 23 85.2 41.5 -5.2 -11 6.4 2.1 50
2020 Sinker TB L 149 96.9 18.9 1.5 8 12.9 -0.8 -6
2020 Cutter TB L 22 90.7 28.4 -5.3 -23 2.4 -1.2 -33
2019 Curveball TB L 22 86.8 40.5 -7.0 -15 3.0 -0.4 -13
2019 Sinker TB L 460 98.1 14.9 -2.6 -15 11.6 -1.9 -14
2019 Cutter TB L 99 92.4 27.6 -4.9 -22 1.3 -0.5 -27
2019 4-Seam Fastball TB L 5 98.0 11.8 0.4 3 2.6 -4.0 -61
2018 Cutter TB L 108 88.9 34.2 -7.2 -27 2.4 0.1 5
2018 Sinker TB L 717 97.3 16.1 -1.8 -10 11.6 -2.0 -14
2018 Curveball TB L 197 84.8 45.5 -1.9 -4 2.7 -2.9 -51
2018 4-Seam Fastball TB L 14 96.4 14.4 -1.3 -10 0.2 -6.4 -97
2017 Cutter TB L 18 90.0 29.0 -5.7 -24 5.3 3.6 217
2017 Curveball TB L 94 85.2 45.0 0.9 2 6.1 -0.2 -3
2017 4-Seam Fastball TB L 182 98.1 13.2 -2.4 -22 3.1 -4.3 -58
2017 Sinker TB L 168 98.4 14.7 -0.9 -6 8.7 -5.1 -37
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sinker 1.3 6 436 58.8 93 .210 .333 .299 24.6 24.7 20.5 .246 .360 .312 42.4
2023 Cutter 1.6 5 306 41.2 78 .181 .278 .247 44.5 52.6 27.5 .153 .201 .195 51.6
2022 Sinker -1.1 -5 480 54.5 120 .277 .406 .366 20.7 18.3 21.6 .276 .408 .353 37.0
2022 Cutter 2.9 11 378 42.9 87 .119 .155 .160 55.7 65.5 33.1 .085 .121 .111 25.9
2022 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 0 12 1.4 2 .000 .000 .350 33.3 50.0 33.3 -- -- .350 --
2022 Curveball -0.7 0 11 1.2 1 .000 .000 .000 75.0 100.0 25.0 -- -- .000 --
2021 Sinker -0.3 -3 807 77.2 187 .266 .413 .406 25.6 19.3 19.4 .244 .371 .370 44.9
2021 Cutter 2.4 4 170 16.3 44 .049 .049 .109 66.2 63.6 31.1 .059 .082 .104 23.1
2021 Curveball -1.6 -1 35 3.3 8 .250 .375 .269 40.0 37.5 15.0 .112 .126 .107 40.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 4.9 2 33 3.2 7 .000 .000 .200 16.7 14.3 16.7 .318 .509 .452 50.0
2020 Sinker -1.8 -3 149 76.8 34 .259 .519 .437 24.2 20.6 17.5 .290 .592 .420 33.3
2020 Curveball -0.4 0 23 11.9 7 .167 .333 .279 38.5 57.1 28.6 .157 .168 .224 50.0
2020 Cutter -2.6 -1 22 11.3 4 .333 .333 .400 42.9 50.0 25.0 .311 .343 .391 0.0
2019 Sinker -0.7 -3 460 78.5 97 .305 .415 .394 24.5 19.6 21.3 .263 .398 .329 35.8
2019 Cutter 1.3 1 99 16.9 37 .080 .080 .257 61.4 51.4 35.2 .099 .122 .273 28.6
2019 Curveball -12.1 -3 22 3.8 7 .333 .833 .514 14.3 14.3 11.1 .345 .817 .503 20.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball -5.7 0 5 0.9 2 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 0.0 .547 .648 .603 100.0
2018 Sinker 1.1 8 717 69.1 158 .239 .326 .295 24.0 14.6 21.9 .251 .356 .310 36.1
2018 Curveball 2.6 5 197 19.0 57 .113 .151 .188 39.3 59.6 28.8 .117 .144 .154 26.3
2018 Cutter 3.8 4 108 10.4 40 .081 .108 .151 58.5 57.5 37.1 .135 .204 .187 35.7
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.9 0 14 1.3 3 -- -- .700 20.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2017 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 1 182 39.3 60 .231 .346 .306 12.4 5.0 11.1 .250 .438 .330 35.3
2017 Sinker 1.0 2 168 36.3 34 .355 .452 .358 28.2 20.6 20.6 .268 .400 .313 32.0
2017 Curveball 5.3 5 94 20.3 26 .038 .038 .069 51.6 65.4 37.8 .034 .039 .032 0.0
2017 Cutter 4.9 1 18 3.9 2 .000 .000 .000 36.4 100.0 18.2 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Cutter 306 93.1 41 6.3 11:45 12:30 -45
2023 Sinker 433 98.7 96 19.7 11:15 10:30 45
2022 Curveball 11 86.5 41 8.7 5:15 6:15 -60
2022 Cutter 376 93.8 37 5.5 11:45 1:00 -75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 12 97.8 90 16.5 11:15 11:15 0
2022 Sinker 477 99.6 95 19.3 11:00 10:30 30
2021 Curveball 35 87.2 59 10.5 5:15 6:00 -45
2021 Cutter 169 94.1 33 4.8 11:30 12:30 -60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 33 98.3 95 17.1 11:15 11:00 15
2021 Sinker 788 99.4 93 19.6 11:00 10:15 45
2020 Curveball 22 85.2 36 9.1 4:30 4:15 15
2020 Cutter 22 90.7 21 5.7 1:00 1:15 -15
2020 Sinker 144 96.9 85 16.5 11:15 10:15 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 122 462 5 6 -2 -2 8
2018 259 1,037 13 11 -4 -3 17
2019 143 586 1 3 -3 -6 -5
2020 54 241 0 0 -1 -2 -3
2021 246 1,045 11 10 -11 -8 3
2022 261 1,081 -4 14 -1 -6 3
2023 203 855 13 5 -1 -3 14
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 463 49.8 64.3 79.7 26.3 57.4 39.4 65.6 45.4 25.2 8.7 67.5
2018 1,038 50.1 57.5 80.3 28.6 41.9 42.4 56.0 43.1 31.8 8.5 62.5
2019 586 43.5 61.2 80.1 25.7 45.9 43.9 48.6 41.1 30.7 4.8 67.9
2020 194 45.4 63.6 75.0 24.5 65.4 43.3 64.4 42.3 28.0 7.2 71.4
2021 1,045 47.1 58.9 79.7 23.3 36.4 40.5 51.6 40.1 33.2 7.6 69.6
2022 881 44.0 62.9 77.0 33.9 38.9 40.5 61.3 46.7 38.4 5.0 65.9
2023 742 50.4 66.8 74.8 31.8 47.9 42.7 59.9 49.5 33.5 8.2 67.2
Player 4,949 47.4 61.5 78.4 28.2 43.8 41.6 57.0 44.0 32.7 7.2 66.7
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2017 99 22 64 81
2018 93 90 97 98 70 89 83 59 56 90 15 88 58 97 19 50 82
2019 99 34 87
2020 94 14 88
2021 48 88 94 92 2 97 96 78 21 73 1 90 8 100 17 91
2022 94 94 97 96 77 92 66 78 78 98 11 98 90 99 19 87
2023 98 20 88
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 22.5 1 1.8 -1 1 2 0 0.0
2018 23.3 1 2.0 -1 2 2 1 100.0
2019 24.9 2 2.0 0 1 1 1 50.0
2020 22.9 2 1.4 1 1 1 1 50.0
2021 23.5 5 4.4 1 1 4 2 40.0
2022 23.7 5 5.3 0 3 3 3 60.0
2023 23.6 3 3.1 0 1 4 0 0.0
Player 23.6 19 20.1 -1 10 17 8 42.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 1
2018 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 4 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 4 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 1
2019 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1
2020 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 2
2021 5 5 5 3 6 4 6 3 3 3 4 6 4 3 5 6 3 3 5 6 3 5 6 5 3 3 6 6 4 5 4
2022 5 6 4 5 5 5 6 5 4 5 5 4 6 6 5 5 5 6 4 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 7 6 5 7
2023 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 4
Player 19 21 18 17 20 20 22 18 15 16 19 24 21 18 20 21 19 19 19 23 21 22 27 21 17 17 20 25 22 20 20
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.9 96.2 -1.7 97.1 0.9 96.1 -1.0 98.5 2.4 97.1 -1.4 96.4 -0.7
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 85.2 84.8 -0.4 86.8 2.0 85.2 -1.6 87.2 2.0 86.5 -0.7 0.0 0.0
Exit Velocity 86.1 88.0 1.9 89.3 1.3 87.1 -2.2 87.5 0.4 87.2 -0.3 91.1 3.9
Launch Angle 6.3 7.4 1.1 5.4 -2.0 10.4 5.0 1.1 -9.3 3.0 1.9 8.5 5.5
Barrel % 3.5 4.6 1.1 5.0 0.4 16.7 11.7 3.9 -12.8 6.5 2.6 4.4 -2.1
Hard Hit % 30.6 34.6 4.0 35.0 0.4 33.3 -1.7 42.6 9.3 34.3 -8.3 45.6 11.3
Sweet Spot % 31.8 26.1 -5.7 33.8 7.7 37.5 3.7 32.6 -4.9 30.6 -2.0 31.1 0.5
xBA .200 .201 0.001 .234 0.033 .269 0.035 .202 -0.067 .187 -0.015 .202 0.015
BA .216 .183 -0.033 .254 0.071 .250 -0.004 .213 -0.037 .203 -0.010 .196 -0.007
xwOBA .254 .259 0.005 .325 0.066 .388 0.063 .313 -0.075 .249 -0.064 .258 0.009
wOBA .248 .235 -0.013 .328 0.093 .367 0.039 .322 -0.045 .259 -0.063 .262 0.003
xSLG .325 .282 -0.043 .362 0.080 .500 0.138 .304 -0.196 .275 -0.029 .285 0.010
SLG .297 .249 -0.048 .360 0.111 .472 0.112 .325 -0.147 .289 -0.036 .307 0.018
K% 23.6 30.4 6.8 26.7 -3.7 28.9 2.2 27.1 -1.8 37.9 10.8 37.2 -0.7
BB% 7.3 11.0 3.7 18.5 7.5 13.3 -5.2 18.7 5.4 11.2 -7.5 10.5 -0.7
Swing % 45.4 43.1 -2.3 41.1 -2.0 42.3 1.2 40.1 -2.2 46.7 6.6 49.5 2.8
Whiff% 25.2 31.8 6.6 30.7 -1.1 28.0 -2.7 33.2 5.2 38.4 5.2 33.5 -4.9
In Zone % 49.8 50.1 0.3 43.5 -6.6 45.4 1.9 47.1 1.7 44.0 -3.1 50.4 6.4
Out of Zone % 50.2 49.9 -0.3 56.5 6.6 54.6 -1.9 52.9 -1.7 56.0 3.1 49.6 -6.4
Out of Zone Swing % 26.3 28.6 2.3 25.7 -2.9 24.5 -1.2 23.3 -1.2 33.9 10.6 31.8 -2.1
First Pitch Swing % 37.7 25.9 -11.8 21.5 -4.4 28.9 7.4 19.8 -9.1 33.0 13.2 30.2 -2.8
First Pitch Strike % 65.6 56.0 -9.6 48.6 -7.4 64.4 15.8 51.6 -12.8 61.3 9.7 59.9 -1.4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 121 .244 69 11 15.9 52 9 17.3
2018 Shifts 259 .235 169 7 4.1 90 28 31.1
2019 Shifts 143 .328 96 8 8.3 47 7 14.9
2020 Shifts 45 .367 33 7 21.2 12 4 33.3
2021 Shifts 246 .322 156 4 2.6 90 10 11.1
2022 Shifts 210 .259 144 8 5.6 66 20 30.3
2023 Shades 171 .262 124 1 0.8 47 4 8.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2017 142 24.9 0.0% 23.2% 79 25.5 0.0% 24.1%
2018 320 20.7 2.5% 8.8% 188 24.5 1.1% 24.5%
2019 133 22.7 3.0% 12.8% 133 28.2 0.0% 40.6%
2020 44 22.9 6.8% 11.4% 47 25.7 0.0% 31.9%
2021 240 22.4 0.0% 12.5% 267 27.3 0.0% 33.3%
2022 211 22.0 1.4% 10.4% 185 26.1 0.0% 24.3%
2023 192 16.4 23.4% 0.5% 122 19.6 3.3% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution