Jon Lester
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 4" 249LBS | Age: 40
Draft: 2002 | Rd: 2, #57, Boston Red Sox | Bellarmine Prep HS (Puyallup, WA)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 13 10 4.46 31 31 0 171.2 165 1.50
2020 3 3 5.16 12 12 0 61 42 1.33
2021 7 6 4.71 28 28 0 141.1 91 1.51
16 Seasons 200 117 3.66 452 451 0 2,740 2,488 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 31 13-10 4.46 171.2 165 1.50
2020 12 3-3 5.16 61 42 1.33
2021 28 7-6 4.71 141.1 91 1.51
16 Seasons 452 200-117 3.66 2,740 2,488 1.28
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 31 3185 566 25 4.4 3.0 87.1 115.0 9.5 31.3 .225 .343 .289 .277 .340 28.4 25.0 5.7 3.34 3.14
2016 32 3161 541 22 4.1 2.8 87.4 112.6 11.6 31.2 .220 .339 .264 .272 .328 29.2 24.7 6.5 2.44 3.07
2017 33 3131 519 28 5.4 3.7 86.4 111.1 10.3 34.1 .241 .392 .320 .304 .365 29.5 23.6 7.9 4.33 3.95
2018 34 3121 542 36 6.6 4.7 88.7 113.1 13.7 38.9 .268 .449 .319 .342 .393 35.4 19.6 8.4 3.32 5.06
2019 35 3043 542 40 7.4 5.2 88.6 112.2 12.2 37.1 .274 .456 .344 .337 .402 34.7 21.6 6.8 4.46 5.09
2020 36 1008 203 25 12.3 9.4 88.9 112.5 11.9 34.0 .279 .517 .333 .363 .404 38.9 15.8 6.4 5.16 5.81
2021 37 2380 478 37 7.7 5.9 88.3 116.0 10.4 33.5 .273 .453 .352 .343 .370 37.2 14.5 8.8 4.71 5.09
Player 19029 3391 213 6.3 4.4 87.8 116.0 11.3 34.3 .251 .409 .314 .314 .369 32.7 21.5 7.2
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lester relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(31.1%) ,
Cutter
(25.6%) ,
Changeup
(18.2%) ,
Sinker
(16.7%) ,
Curveball
(8.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 50.5 17.0 25.6 6.9 37.3 36.0 25.6 4.2 38.7 21.9 24.2 3.5 4.4 3.0
2016 47.5 19.4 25.9 7.2 40.7 32.9 26.4 3.5 36.4 23.7 23.8 4.6 4.1 2.8
2017 47.8 20.6 26.8 4.8 34.5 40.8 24.7 4.2 35.5 21.4 25.8 5.6 5.4 3.7
2018 40.0 23.2 30.3 6.5 40.0 37.6 21.8 2.2 30.3 25.3 26.2 7.2 6.6 4.7
2019 43.9 20.7 29.9 5.5 38.7 37.6 23.6 3.3 31.0 22.5 28.6 5.7 7.4 5.2
2020 48.3 29.1 17.7 4.9 35.5 41.4 23.2 4.4 33.0 22.7 22.7 4.9 12.3 9.4
2021 44.8 25.5 24.3 5.4 35.8 41.2 23.0 5.4 34.5 23.4 22.8 6.1 7.7 5.9
Player 45.9 21.4 26.6 6.0 37.7 37.8 24.2 3.8 34.3 23.0 25.1 5.4 6.3 4.4
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2021 4-Seam Fastball STL L 739 88.7 20.0 -2.2 5.0ARM -1.9 14.8 -1.3 5.0ARM -2.6
2021 Changeup STL L 431 81.3 34.4 1.1 10.9ARM -2.6 6.7 1.1 10.9ARM -3.0
2021 Curveball STL L 201 72.6 57.8 -6.5 10.3GLV -1.7 -5.8 -2.9 10.3GLV 2.4
2021 Sinker STL L 398 87.6 29.1 3.2 12.3ARM -1.9 6.4 3.1 12.3ARM -2.4
2021 Cutter STL L 610 86.4 25.8 3.5 1.8GLV -1.0 10.6 2.6 1.8GLV 0.1
2020 Changeup CHC L 126 83.3 32.5 0.3 13.5ARM 0.2 6.6 1.2 13.5ARM -0.1
2020 Sinker CHC L 153 88.4 27.7 2.4 13.6ARM -0.4 7.1 1.6 13.6ARM -0.9
2020 Curveball CHC L 129 73.4 55.6 -7.6 10.6GLV -1.1 -4.8 -4.0 10.6GLV 2.4
2020 Cutter CHC L 307 87.4 24.6 3.6 0.5GLV -2.0 10.9 3.2 0.5GLV -1.4
2020 4-Seam Fastball CHC L 293 89.4 18.8 -1.2 7.1ARM 0.2 15.3 -0.7 7.1ARM -0.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seam Fastball -1.3 -10 739 31.1 176 .338 .556 .421 16.6 14.2 13.8 .311 .523 .392 42.4
2021 Cutter -1.0 -6 610 25.6 157 .293 .536 .386 16.7 19.7 15.6 .253 .450 .340 35.1
2021 Changeup 1.2 5 432 18.2 120 .209 .300 .278 28.0 11.7 12.2 .280 .425 .334 33.0
2021 Sinker -1.2 -5 398 16.7 130 .297 .483 .367 14.6 9.2 17.6 .266 .418 .325 38.9
2021 Curveball -0.8 -2 201 8.4 39 .231 .462 .337 35.3 23.1 13.0 .205 .372 .245 30.0
2020 Cutter 0.7 2 307 30.5 98 .215 .419 .290 16.9 20.4 19.8 .258 .484 .332 37.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball -1.8 -5 293 29.1 76 .308 .631 .435 9.3 6.6 7.0 .335 .739 .478 47.5
2020 Sinker 1.7 3 153 15.2 36 .257 .286 .304 16.9 13.9 20.0 .219 .312 .243 40.0
2020 Curveball -1.4 -2 129 12.8 18 .375 .625 .458 30.0 22.2 11.1 .296 .474 .372 33.3
2020 Changeup 0.6 1 126 12.5 37 .257 .343 .334 32.4 21.6 19.5 .280 .416 .320 25.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 429 81.3 71 12.7 11:00 9:45 75
2021 Curveball 201 72.6 66 13.7 4:00 4:15 -15
2021 Cutter 607 86.4 55 9.9 11:15 12:30 -75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 735 88.7 76 14.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2021 Sinker 394 87.6 73 13.8 11:00 9:45 75
2020 Changeup 114 83.2 80 15.1 10:45 9:45 60
2020 Curveball 122 73.4 63 13.4 4:00 4:00 0
2020 Cutter 262 87.4 59 10.0 11:15 12:15 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 269 89.3 82 16.3 10:45 11:00 -15
2020 Sinker 137 88.4 82 15.4 10:45 9:45 60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 937 3,570 23 28 -6 -10 35
2009 863 3,477 12 43 -18 -11 27
2010 859 3,350 15 38 -17 -16 20
2011 795 3,170 11 28 -17 -15 7
2012 874 3,415 0 19 -18 -14 -13
2013 1036 4,082 17 28 -25 -14 6
2014 916 3,602 16 31 -13 -11 23
2015 879 3,397 7 32 -10 -12 17
2016 932 3,670 34 43 -14 -15 47
2017 814 3,367 -8 36 -15 -16 -3
2018 776 3,194 10 40 -24 -16 11
2019 764 3,042 -13 35 -22 -13 -13
2020 265 1,008 1 12 -8 -7 -2
2021 622 2,380 2 20 -28 -12 -17
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,185 43.7 65.6 84.4 30.5 57.9 41.8 61.3 45.9 24.5 5.9 77.1
2016 3,161 46.5 67.9 84.6 29.1 56.2 42.5 63.1 47.1 24.0 6.2 73.0
2017 3,131 43.3 67.2 82.4 28.8 59.1 44.5 58.1 45.4 25.2 5.4 80.6
2018 3,121 47.4 68.1 84.6 22.7 61.8 42.0 57.4 44.3 20.3 6.7 80.8
2019 3,043 44.0 68.2 84.1 28.1 66.8 43.3 58.9 45.7 21.1 5.0 81.6
2020 1,008 44.4 67.4 88.1 25.9 67.6 40.9 58.9 44.3 18.1 6.1 82.0
2021 2,380 44.0 70.5 83.4 27.4 69.6 42.6 56.9 46.4 20.1 5.9 86.5
Player 19,029 44.8 67.8 84.2 27.8 61.7 42.7 59.4 45.7 22.4 5.9 79.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 80 73 76 75 83 19 67 78 85 78 78 63 60 45 46 62 58
2016 87 81 83 79 89 32 83 78 86 75 72 56 51 43 58 64 74
2017 61 55 58 57 65 17 60 69 78 63 57 54 63 23 37 56 75
2018 14 13 15 20 20 9 45 37 48 31 46 16 4 22 47 64 69
2019 24 13 25 38 34 6 41 50 65 41 71 16 39 12 43 64 72
2020 14 14 8 10 35 1 7 38 38 9 77 4 31 7 31 55 69
2021 19 14 22 33 17 10 51 60 62 4 42 8 45 3 28 45 64
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 20.8 24 18.8 5 13 9 11 45.8
2017 21.6 27 27.3 0 15 22 11 40.7
2018 22.9 24 22.8 1 14 17 9 37.5
2019 23.1 26 23.7 2 11 16 11 42.3
2020 22.5 11 9.3 2 7 6 4 36.4
2021 22.9 25 23.4 2 10 16 11 44.0
Player 22.3 137 125.3 12 70 86 57 41.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 24 21 17 20 18 16 20 18 16 15 18 23 18 17 16 19 14 16 22 19 18 21 23 24 16 16 17 25 23 21 17
2017 27 27 22 28 33 27 33 26 24 20 29 37 22 26 28 27 22 24 28 30 27 28 34 30 24 23 25 34 29 29 22
2018 24 28 22 20 23 24 27 22 20 19 23 30 23 21 23 22 22 20 22 26 24 20 28 25 21 18 21 25 24 23 19
2019 26 28 19 22 26 24 29 24 19 16 22 27 27 24 22 21 21 19 25 27 25 26 27 29 23 20 21 30 31 23 15
2020 11 10 11 10 8 10 11 8 6 6 7 11 9 9 9 9 8 9 10 10 11 12 12 10 8 7 10 10 11 9 8
2021 25 30 22 18 27 21 27 22 18 14 18 23 19 19 22 29 19 20 27 25 22 31 29 30 18 22 29 26 25 25 25
Player 137 144 113 118 135 122 147 120 103 90 117 151 118 116 120 127 106 108 134 137 127 138 153 148 110 106 123 150 143 130 106
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.2 91.7 0.5 89.9 -1.8 90.0 0.1 89.1 -0.9 88.4 -0.7 87.6 -0.8
Offspeed Velocity 85.1 85.4 0.3 84.6 -0.8 84.9 0.3 84.3 -0.6 83.3 -1.0 81.3 -2.0
Breaking Velocity 75.5 75.0 -0.5 75.6 0.6 74.8 -0.8 74.5 -0.3 73.4 -1.1 72.6 -0.8
Exit Velocity 87.1 87.4 0.3 86.4 -1.0 88.7 2.3 88.6 -0.1 88.9 0.3 88.3 -0.6
Launch Angle 9.5 11.6 2.1 10.3 -1.3 13.7 3.4 12.2 -1.5 11.9 -0.3 10.4 -1.5
Barrel % 4.4 4.1 -0.3 5.4 1.3 6.6 1.2 7.4 0.8 12.3 4.9 7.7 -4.6