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Jon Lester
Popularity: ↓ 18%
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 4" 240LBS | Age: 37

Draft: 2002 | Rd: 2, #57, Boston Red Sox | Bellarmine Prep HS (Puyallup, WA)
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 3 3 5.16 12 12 0 61.0 42 1.33
15 Seasons 193 111 3.60 424 423 0 2598.2 2397 1.27
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 12 3-3 5.16 61.0 42 1.33
15 Seasons 424 193-111 3.60 2598.2 2397 1.27

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON Hard Hit % K % BB % ERA xERA
2015 3185 566 25 4.4 87.1 9.5 31.3 .222 .337 .290 .273 .333 28.6 25 5.7 3.34 3.16
2016 3161 541 22 4.1 87.4 11.6 31.2 .214 .331 .267 .268 .317 29.8 24.7 6.5 2.44 3.08
2017 3131 519 28 5.4 86.3 10.3 34.1 .239 .388 .320 .301 .360 29.5 23.6 7.9 4.33 3.92
2018 3121 542 37 6.8 88.7 13.7 39.3 .267 .450 .319 .343 .393 35.4 19.6 8.4 3.32 5.13
2019 3043 542 40 7.4 88.6 12.2 37.1 .273 .454 .344 .335 .401 34.7 21.6 6.8 4.46 5.13
2020 1008 203 25 12.3 88.9 11.9 34 .279 .517 .333 .363 .405 38.9 15.8 6.4 5.16 5.85
16649 2913 177 6.1 87.7 11.5 34.5 .245 .398 .309 .307 .363 32.1 22.5 7
6.4 88.3 11.9 32.8 .243 .402 .318 .312 .362 35.1 21.8 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lester relies on 5 pitches.
Cutter
(31.8%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(27.8%) ,
Sinker
(14.1%) ,
Changeup
(13.5%) ,
Curveball
(12.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Whiff% PutAway%
2020 Cutter 321 275 46 31.8 87.4 103 97 22 13 4 0 5 21 76 .227 .257 .423 .476 .297 .331 87.1 17 2343 17.2 20.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 280 243 37 27.8 89.4 71 61 18 8 4 1 5 4 58 .295 .344 .639 .767 .425 .489 93.2 23 2220 8.2 6.0
2020 Sinker 142 91 51 14.1 88.6 35 35 9 8 1 0 0 5 30 .257 .222 .286 .316 .237 .233 88.4 -13 2086 17.7 25.0
2020 Changeup 136 126 10 13.5 83.4 38 35 9 6 3 0 0 8 27 .257 .280 .343 .416 .292 .330 84.6 4 1905 31.0 17.4
2020 Curveball 129 112 17 12.8 73.4 18 16 6 4 1 0 1 4 12 .375 .296 .625 .474 .456 .375 85.9 9 2569 30.0 11.1
2019 Cutter 1040 835 205 34.2 87.9 277 251 71 41 18 2 10 65 190 .283 .261 .490 .442 .346 .331 87.8 13 2391 18.6 20.4
2019 4-Seam Fastball 862 679 183 28.3 90.6 218 197 60 40 6 3 11 42 158 .305 .291 .533 .540 .374 .373 90.5 19 2251 15.4 17.3
2019 Curveball 468 391 77 15.4 74.5 88 82 18 13 5 0 0 32 51 .220 .222 .280 .303 .238 .249 84.9 15 2606 39.9 20.3
2019 Changeup 362 306 56 11.9 84.3 99 92 27 22 2 0 3 20 73 .293 .260 .413 .390 .319 .304 86.3 4 1939 23.3 15.6
2019 Sinker 309 147 162 10.2 89.5 82 76 29 23 4 0 2 6 70 .382 .340 .513 .514 .402 .385 91.3 1 2143 17.7 15.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Curveball CHC L 129 73.4 55.6 -7.6 -12 10.6 -1.1 -9
2020 4-Seamer CHC L 280 89.4 18.6 -1 -6 7.4 0.9 14
2020 Sinker CHC L 142 88.6 27.4 3.3 14 13.7 -0.1 -1
2020 Cutter CHC L 321 87.4 24.6 4 14 0.4 -2.2 -84
2020 Changeup CHC L 136 83.4 32.5 0.2 1 13.5 0.2 1
2019 Curveball CHC L 468 74.5 55.3 -6.2 -10 11.5 0.1 1
2019 Cutter CHC L 1040 87.9 25.1 3 11 1.6 -0.4 -20
2019 Changeup CHC L 362 84.3 31.4 0.1 0 13.5 -0.2 -2
2019 4-Seamer CHC L 862 90.6 17.8 -0.3 -2 7.3 0.1 2
2019 Sinker CHC L 309 89.5 26.5 2.2 9 13.7 -0.4 -3
2018 Changeup CHC L 287 85 32.4 0.9 3 14 0.4 3
2018 4-Seamer CHC L 1413 91 17.5 -0.2 -1 7.7 0.4 6
2018 Cutter CHC L 767 88.1 25.1 2.2 8 1.8 -0.3 -12
2018 Sinker CHC L 152 90.2 26.6 2.6 11 13.7 -0.7 -5
2018 Curveball CHC L 489 74.8 56 -5.4 -9 11.9 1.2 11
2017 Sinker CHC L 371 90.3 25.4 2.6 11 14 -0.7 -5
2017 Cutter CHC L 887 87.8 24.9 1.8 7 3 1 53
2017 4-Seamer CHC L 1189 91.4 16.1 -0.3 -2 7.6 -0.3 -4
2017 Changeup CHC L 266 84.6 30.9 1.1 4 13 -0.5 -4
2017 Curveball CHC L 410 75.6 53.2 -4.1 -7 10.8 0.5 4
2016 Curveball CHC L 389 75.1 54.8 -3.3 -6 10.7 1 10
2016 Sinker CHC L 400 91.7 22.5 1.7 8 12.7 -2.1 -14
2016 4-Seamer CHC L 1571 92.8 14.8 0.2 1 7.2 -1.6 -18
2016 Changeup CHC L 152 85.4 29.8 0.5 2 13.1 -0.6 -4
2016 Cutter CHC L 576 89.1 24.5 0.2 1 1.9 1.3 225
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Curveball 1.4 2 129 12.8 18 .375 .625 .458 30 22.2 11.1 .296 .474 .372 33.3
2020 Sinker -1.8 -3 142 14.1 35 .257 .286 .293 17.7 14.3 25 .222 .316 .233 40
2020 Changeup -0.2 0 136 13.5 38 .257 .343 .343 31 21.1 17.4 .28 .416 .33 25.9
2020 4-Seamer 1.6 4 280 27.8 71 .295 .639 .43 8.2 5.6 6 .344 .767 .489 48.3
2020 Cutter -0.3 -1 321 31.8 103 .227 .423 .3 17.2 20.4 20 .257 .476 .331 36.8
2019 Sinker 2.1 7 309 10.2 82 .382 .513 .446 17.7 7.3 15.8 .34 .514 .385 47.1
2019 Curveball -0.6 -3 468 15.4 88 .22 .28 .264 39.9 36.4 20.3 .222 .303 .249 15.7
2019 Changeup 1 4 362 11.9 99 .293 .413 .346 23.3 20.2 15.6 .26 .39 .305 26
2019 4-Seamer 0.5 5 862 28.3 218 .305 .533 .394 15.4 19.3 17.3 .291 .54 .374 38
2019 Cutter -0.1 -1 1040 34.2 277 .283 .49 .366 18.6 23.5 20.4 .261 .442 .331 35.8
2018 Sinker 3.3 5 152 4.9 39 .405 .622 .455 14.3 5.1 9.1 .33 .524 .385 28.6
2018 Curveball -0.2 -1 489 15.7 90 .2 .271 .235 38.4 27.8 16.7 .227 .348 .28 32.8
2018 Changeup -2 -6 287 9.2 92 .193 .261 .24 22.8 20.7 15.7 .226 .337 .263 27.5
2018 Cutter -0.3 -2 767 24.6 220 .271 .414 .328 19.4 20.5 19.2 .262 .412 .318 31.3
2018 4-Seamer -0.3 -4 1413 45.3 312 .267 .481 .369 15.9 18.3 13.9 .294 .549 .403 42.9
2017 Changeup -0.2 0 266 8.5 79 .239 .408 .32 32.4 22.8 18.4 .225 .343 .288 17
2017 Curveball 1.5 6 410 13.1 87 .159 .39 .264 50.6 51.7 24.9 .158 .337 .233 27
2017 Sinker 1.3 5 371 11.8 90 .305 .427 .352 18.8 6.7 10.2 .261 .373 .308 27.6
2017 Cutter -1 -9 887 28.3 232 .241 .394 .303 22.9 22.4 21.7 .219 .325 .259 26.2
2017 4-Seamer 0.4 5 1189 38 271 .297 .481 .376 18.4 21.8 17 .282 .481 .364 37.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 125 83.3 80 15 10:45 9:45 60
2020 Curveball 122 73.4 63 13.4 4:00 4:00 0
2020 Cutter 278 87.4 59 10.1 11:15 12:00 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 258 89.4 84 16.6 10:45 11:00 -15
2020 Sinker 128 88.7 83 15.5 10:45 9:45 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 917 3601 -33 -43 14 15 -47
2017 814 3367 9 -38 15 16 2
2018 776 3194 -9 -39 23 16 -10
2019 764 3042 14 -38 22 13 11
2020 265 1008 -1 -11 8 7 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3185 43.5 65.4 84.6 30.7 58.3 41.9 61.3 45.9 24.2 5.8 76.2
2016 3161 46.6 68.2 84.3 29.3 56.1 42.7 63.1 47.1 23.8 6.2 73.4
2017 3131 43.3 67.2 82.4 28.9 59.1 44.5 58.1 45.4 25 5.4 81.5
2018 3121 47.5 68.1 84.7 22.7 61.7 42.1 57.4 44.3 20.3 6.7 80.9
2019 3043 44 68.3 84.1 28.1 66.7 43.2 58.9 45.7 21 5.1 81.2
2020 1008 44.4 67.4 88.1 25.9 67.6 40.9 58.9 44.3 18.1 6.2 82.3
16649 44.9 67.4 84.3 27.9 60.7 42.8 59.7 45.6 22.6 5.9 78.8
48.4 66.6 82.2 28.4 59 42.6 60.6 46.9 24.3 7.2 75.7

Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 50.5 17 25.6 6.9 37.8 36 25.6 4.2 38.7 21.9 24.2 3.5 4.4
2016 47.5 19.4 25.9 7.2 40.7 32.9 26.4 3.5 36.4 23.7 23.8 4.6 4.1
2017 47.8 20.6 26.8 4.8 34.3 41 24.7 4.4 35.5 21.4 25.8 5.6 5.4
2018 40 23.2 30.3 6.5 40 38.2 21.8 2.2 30.3 25.1 26.4 7.2 6.8
2019 43.9 20.7 29.9 5.5 38.7 37.6 23.6 3.3 31 22.5 28.6 5.7 7.4
2020 48.3 23.2 24.1 4.4 35.5 41.4 23.2 4.4 33 22.7 22.7 4.9 12.3
46.1 20.4 27.4 6.1 38.1 37.4 24.3 3.6 34.3 22.9 25.5 5.3 6.1
45.3 22 25.7 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.5 33.5 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.4

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 79 70 75 75 82 19 67 78 88 78 78 63 79 31 53 67
2016 88 83 84 81 90 32 83 78 85 75 72 56 88 33 63 68
2017 63 57 59 59 65 17 60 71 78 63 57 55 63 15 50 60
2018 14 12 12 17 17 8 41 38 47 31 46 17 14 14 59 65
2019 23 13 24 37 31 6 41 50 65 41 71 17 23 6 60 67
2020 13 14 8 9 33 0 7 38 38 9 77 4 13 7 42 59
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.1 26 23.1 3 11 18 9 34.6
2020 22.5 11 9.1 2 6 7 4 36.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 26 22 29 26 26 20 21 27 24 24 24 24 15 20 21 27 16 25 18 23 17 21 19 27 25 28 27 22 27 22 27
2020 11 10 10 11 12 7 8 11 6 9 11 8 5 7 7 12 6 10 10 10 6 7 9 10 10 10 10 9 12 8 11
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.3 91.7 0.4 89.9 -1.8 90 0.1 89.1 -0.9 88.4 -0.7
Offspeed Velocity 85.1 85.4 0.3 84.6 -0.8 85 0.4 84.3 -0.7 83.4 -0.9
Breaking Velocity 75.6 75.1 -0.5 75.6 0.5 74.8 -0.8 74.5 -0.3 73.4 -1.1
Exit Velocity 87.1 87.4 0.3 86.3 -1.1 88.7 2.4 88.6 -0.1 88.9 0.3
Launch Angle 9.5 11.6 2.1 10.3 -1.3 13.7 3.4 12.2 -1.5 11.9 -0.3
Barrel % 4.4 4.1 -0.3 5.4 1.3 6.8 1.4 7.4 0.6 12.3 4.9
Hard Hit % 28.6 29.8 1.2 29.5 -0.3 35.4 5.9 34.7 -0.7 38.9 4.2
Sweet Spot % 31.3 31.2 -0.1 34.1 2.9 39.3 5.2 37.1 -2.2 34 -3.1
xBA .222 .214 -0.008 .239 0.025 .267 0.028 .273 0.006 .279 0.006
BA .24 .211 -0.029 .259 0.048 .256 -0.003 .294 0.038 .262 -0.032
xwOBA .273 .268 -0.005 .301 0.033 .343 0.042 .335 -0.008 .363 0.028
wOBA .29 .267 -0.023 .32 0.053 .319 -0.001 .344 0.025 .333 -0.011
xSLG .337 .331 -0.006 .388 0.057 .45 0.062 .454 0.004 .517 0.063
SLG .373 .334 -0.039 .43 0.096 .41 -0.02 .47 0.06 .459 -0.011
K% 25 24.7 -0.3 23.6 -1.1 19.6 -4 21.6 2 15.8 -5.8
BB% 5.7 6.5 0.8 7.9 1.4 8.4 0.5 6.8 -1.6 6.4 -0.4
Swing % 45.9 47.1 1.2 45.4 -1.7 44.3 -1.1 45.7 1.4 44.3 -1.4
Whiff% 24.2 23.8 -0.4 25 1.2 20.3 -4.7 21 0.7 18.1 -2.9
In Zone Swing % 43.5 46.6 3.1 43.3 -3.3 47.5 4.2 44 -3.5 44.4 0.4
Out of Zone Swing % 56.5 53.4 -3.1 56.7 3.3 52.5 -4.2 56 3.5 55.6 -0.4
First Pitch Swing % 28.2 30.7 2.5 26.3 -4.4 24.2 -2.1 27.6 3.4 25.7 -1.9
First Pitch Strike % 61.3 63.1 1.8 58.1 -5 57.4 -0.7 58.9 1.5 58.9 0
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 777 .263 600 16 2.7 177 6 3.4
2017 758 .320 589 1 0.2 169 4 2.4
2018 756 .321 600 30 5.0 156 5 3.2
2019 764 .344 588 47 8.0 176 29 16.5
2020 265 .333 232 47 20.3 33 16 48.5

Pitch Distribution