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Jimmy Nelson
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 6" 250LBS | Age: 32

Draft: 2010 | Rd: 2, #64, Milwaukee Brewers | Alabama
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 2 1.86 28 1 0 29.0 44 0.93
7 Seasons 34 48 4.12 147 108 0 662.1 622 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 28 1-2 1.86 29.0 44 0.93
7 Seasons 147 34-48 4.12 662.1 622 1.35

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 26 2791 526 25 4.8 86.9 113.5 7.2 29.3 .223 .347 .309 .295 .322 30.2 19.7 8.6 4.11 3.74
2016 27 2984 564 31 5.5 88.7 114.3 9.1 27.8 .245 .392 .345 .325 .339 35.2 17.3 10.7 4.62 4.65
2017 28 2752 472 19 4 85.9 116.1 5.9 32 .233 .354 .301 .284 .355 31.4 27.3 6.6 3.49 3.49
2019 30 408 60 5 8.3 87.1 111.1 11.9 46.7 .286 .491 .403 .389 .466 35 24.8 16.2 6.96 7.29
2021 32 523 55 2 3.6 84.5 110.2 20.7 30.9 .139 .197 .223 .227 .263 30.9 37.9 11.2 1.86 2.18
9458 1677 82 4.9 87.2 116.1 8.1 30.2 .231 .362 .318 .302 .340 32.4 22.2 9.1
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 3 pitches.
Curveball
(34.4%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(33.1%) ,
Slider
(32.5%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Curveball 180 53 127 34.4 85.1 32 28 7 5 2 0 0 15 13 .250 .207 .321 .272 .302 .270 85.3 9 2930 6.2 44.9 29.4
2021 4-Seam Fastball 173 90 83 33.1 93.8 41 35 6 4 2 0 0 13 23 .171 .132 .229 .203 .236 .212 84.1 25 2613 6.4 25.4 34.2
2021 Slider 170 131 39 32.5 86.5 43 35 1 1 0 0 0 16 19 .029 .090 .029 .131 .151 .209 82.1 20 2976 6.3 40.7 27.1
2019 Sinker 115 68 47 28.3 93.0 25 18 9 5 1 1 2 0 18 .500 .507 1.000 1.067 .632 .658 92.8 14 2318 6.5 11.6 0.0
2019 Slider 110 71 39 27.0 85.5 33 32 6 3 1 1 1 16 16 .188 .171 .375 .255 .242 .196 84.4 12 2794 5.9 48.8 39.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball 97 39 58 23.8 92.3 27 20 5 3 1 0 1 4 16 .250 .322 .450 .513 .392 .439 83.9 16 2452 6.4 22.2 19.0
2019 Curveball 82 28 54 20.1 82.8 19 16 5 3 1 1 0 6 10 .313 .222 .500 .286 .394 .297 86.2 1 2770 6.0 30.0 30.0
2019 Changeup 3 0 3 0.7 87.2 1431 6.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 51.7 16 27.2 5.1 35.4 41.3 23.4 2.9 42 17.3 21.7 5.7 4.8
2016 51.2 20.4 22.2 6.2 33.3 37.6 28.9 4.3 39.5 21.8 23 4.3 5.5
2017 51.1 18.6 26.5 3.8 32 39.4 28.4 7.2 37.1 17.6 26.5 6.6 4
2019 35 28.3 33.3 3.3 31.7 40 28.3 3.3 30 20 31.7 6.7 8.3
2021 38.2 27.3 21.8 12.7 27.3 43.6 29.1 10.9 27.3 36.4 14.5 7.3 3.6
50.3 19 25.3 5.3 33.3 39.5 27 4.8 38.9 19.6 23.6 5.5 4.9
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Curveball LAD R 180 85.1 52.1 5.5 12 10.8 4.2 62
2021 4-Seamer LAD R 173 93.8 13.7 0.6 4 2.7 -4 -60
2021 Slider LAD R 169 86.5 38.2 3.9 11 13.6 9.2 209
2019 4-Seamer MIL R 97 92.3 17.6 -1.8 -11 0.2 -6.4 -97
2019 Slider MIL R 110 85.5 38.2 2.4 7 12.2 7.9 184
2019 Sinker MIL R 115 93 21.7 0.5 2 10.3 -3.8 -27
2019 Changeup MIL R 3 87.2 30.6 1.6 6 7.2 -6.6 -48
2019 Curveball MIL R 82 82.8 54.2 4.1 8 10.3 3.2 45
2017 4-Seamer MIL R 805 94.1 14.4 -0.8 -6 8.7 1 14
2017 Changeup MIL R 73 87.6 31.8 4.4 16 7.9 -6 -43
2017 Curveball MIL R 537 84.3 43.3 -1.6 -3 10.6 3 40
2017 Slider MIL R 455 88.5 30.5 0.5 2 5.6 2.9 104
2017 Sinker MIL R 880 93.7 23.3 3.7 19 15 0.3 2
2016 Changeup MIL R 23 86.4 25.2 -2.5 -9 12.8 -0.3 -2
2016 4-Seamer MIL R 650 93.6 13.9 -0.5 -4 8.8 0.6 7
2016 Sinker MIL R 1451 93.8 21.5 3.4 19 15 0.5 3
2016 Curveball MIL R 331 83.3 47.6 1.8 4 6.5 0.7 12
2016 Slider MIL R 506 87.5 33.5 3.2 10 5.6 3.5 158
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball 0.4 1 180 34.4 32 .25 .321 .306 44.9 46.9 29.4 .207 .272 .27 46.2
2021 4-Seamer -1.5 -3 173 33.1 41 .171 .229 .24 25.4 31.7 34.2 .132 .203 .213 34.8
2021 Slider -4 -7 170 32.5 43 .029 .029 .151 40.7 37.2 27.1 .09 .131 .209 15.8
2019 Curveball 6.9 6 82 20.1 19 .313 .5 .403 30 31.6 30 .221 .286 .295 30
2019 Sinker 5.4 6 115 28.2 25 .5 1 .65 11.6 0 0 .507 1.067 .661 61.1
2019 4-Seamer 1.1 1 97 23.8 27 .25 .45 .435 22.2 14.8 19 .322 .513 .442 25
2019 Slider -2.7 -3 110 27 33 .188 .375 .25 48.8 48.5 39 .171 .255 .196 18.8
2019 Changeup 3.3 0 3 0.7
2017 Changeup 2.1 2 73 2.7 17 .25 .5 .338 17.1 11.8 12.5 .261 .539 .352 21.4
2017 Curveball -1.8 -10 537 19.5 110 .192 .288 .234 38 42.7 35.6 .178 .255 .212 33.3
2017 Slider -0.4 -2 455 16.5 121 .25 .336 .282 35.1 33.9 23.2 .206 .281 .229 16
2017 4-Seamer 0.2 2 805 29.3 222 .25 .434 .334 23.9 35.6 23 .221 .38 .293 34.1
2017 Sinker -0.7 -6 880 32 257 .296 .373 .339 15.2 11.7 19.2 .278 .399 .329 35.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Curveball 176 85.1 83 20.2 7:00 7:15 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 173 93.8 74 16.9 12:30 12:15 15
2021 Slider 162 86.4 52 14.9 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2013 37 144 -2 -3 0 1 -4
2014 311 1108 -2 -2 6 6 8
2015 718 2671 -9 -13 11 11 0
2016 803 2972 -15 -10 21 14 11
2017 727 2751 -1 -32 7 11 -15
2019 104 407 1 0 5 4 10
2021 116 523 -8 -6 1 4 -9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2791 49.5 63.6 83.9 31.5 60.1 45.1 60.8 47.3 22.3 7.1 69.6
2016 2984 52.7 62.9 85 25 67.1 41.8 58.1 45 18.6 8.7 69.4
2017 2752 52.3 65.5 80.8 30.2 57.4 43 61.1 48.7 25.2 8.8 72.8
2019 408 43.5 59.9 84 19.6 44.4 41.8 50.5 37 27.8 7.4 73.3
2021 523 44.9 60.9 74.1 26 38.7 39.8 44 41.7 37.6 7.5 69.2
9458 50.8 63.7 82.8 28.2 59.4 43 58.8 46.2 23 8.1 70.7
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 57 69 71 66 45 19 55 84 76 45 26 47 57 73 44 42
2016 27 47 52 56 12 19 61 44 49 22 13 16 27 64 47 54
2017 77 64 78 83 77 37 85 82 64 81 80 55 77 67 47 66
2019 46 76 86
2021 59 99 94
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.7 4 3.8 0 3 2 2 50
2021 0 0.8 -1 0 1 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 4 4 4 3 5 4 4 5 3 3 4 5 3 3 4 4 2 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 5 3 5 5 4
2021 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.1 93.7 -0.4 0.2 undefined undefined
Offspeed Velocity 85.9 86.4 0.5 1.2 undefined undefined
Breaking Velocity 85.4 85.9 0.5 0.3 undefined undefined
Exit Velocity 86.9 88.7 1.8 -2.8 undefined undefined
Launch Angle 7.2 9.1 1.9 -3.2 undefined undefined
Barrel % 4.8 5.5 0.7 -1.5 undefined undefined
Hard Hit % 30.2 35.2 5 -3.8 undefined undefined
Sweet Spot % 29.3 27.8 -1.5 4.2 undefined undefined
xBA .223 .245 0.022 -0.012 undefined undefined
BA .246 .268 0.022 -0.011 undefined undefined
xwOBA .295 .325 0.03 -0.041 undefined undefined
wOBA .309 .345 0.036 -0.044 undefined undefined
xSLG .347 .392 0.045 -0.038 undefined undefined
SLG .382 .43 0.048 -0.056 undefined undefined
K% 19.7 17.3 -2.4 10 undefined undefined
BB% 8.6 10.7 2.1 -4.1 undefined undefined
Swing % 47.3 45 -2.3 3.7 undefined undefined
Whiff% 22.3 18.6 -3.7 6.6 undefined undefined
In Zone % 49.5 52.7 3.2 -0.4 undefined undefined
Out of Zone % 50.5 47.3 -3.2 0.4 undefined undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 31.5 25 -6.5 5.2 undefined undefined
First Pitch Swing % 29.8 28.6 -1.2 -0.2 undefined undefined
First Pitch Strike % 60.8 58.1 -2.7 3 undefined undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 800 .344 427 64 15.0 373 84 22.5
2017 721 .299 371 79 21.3 350 85 24.3
2019 104 .403 53 8 15.1 51 27 52.9
2021 116 .223 60 20 33.3 56 40 71.4

Pitch Distribution