Jimmy Nelson
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 250LBS | Age: 34
Draft: 2010 | Rd: 2, #64, Milwaukee Brewers | Alabama
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2017 12 6 3.49 29 29 0 175.1 199 1.25
2019 0 2 6.95 10 3 0 22 26 1.91
2021 1 2 1.86 28 1 0 29 44 0.93
7 Seasons 34 48 4.12 147 108 0 662.1 622 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2017 29 12-6 3.49 175.1 199 1.25
2019 10 0-2 6.95 22 26 1.91
2021 28 1-2 1.86 29 44 0.93
7 Seasons 147 34-48 4.12 662.1 622 1.35
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 26 2791 526 25 4.8 3.3 87.0 113.5 7.3 29.3 .232 .362 .309 .306 .340 28.9 19.7 8.6 4.11 3.85
2016 27 2984 564 31 5.5 3.8 88.8 114.3 9.2 27.8 .247 .395 .345 .327 .342 35.1 17.3 10.7 4.62 4.55
2017 28 2752 472 19 4.0 2.6 85.9 116.1 5.9 32.0 .233 .355 .301 .285 .357 31.4 27.3 6.6 3.49 3.45
2019 30 408 60 5 8.3 4.8 87.1 111.1 11.9 46.7 .286 .491 .403 .388 .465 35.0 24.8 16.2 6.96 7.09
2021 32 523 55 2 3.6 1.7 84.5 110.2 20.7 30.9 .139 .199 .223 .227 .263 30.9 37.9 11.2 1.86 2.15
Player 9458 1677 82 4.9 3.3 87.2 116.1 8.1 30.2 .235 .368 .318 .306 .348 32.0 22.2 9.1
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nelson relies on 3 pitches.
Curveball
(34.4%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(33.1%) ,
Slider
(32.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 51.7 16.0 27.2 5.1 35.4 41.3 23.4 2.7 42.0 17.3 21.7 5.7 4.8 3.3
2016 51.2 20.4 22.2 6.2 33.2 37.8 28.9 4.3 39.4 21.8 23.0 4.3 5.5 3.8
2017 51.1 18.6 26.5 3.8 32.0 39.4 28.4 7.2 37.1 17.6 26.5 6.6 4.0 2.6
2019 35.0 28.3 33.3 3.3 31.7 40.0 28.3 3.3 30.0 20.0 31.7 6.7 8.3 4.8
2021 38.2 27.3 21.8 12.7 27.3 43.6 29.1 10.9 27.3 36.4 14.5 7.3 3.6 1.7
Player 50.3 19.0 25.3 5.3 33.3 39.6 27.0 4.8 38.8 19.6 23.6 5.5 4.9 3.3
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 4-Seamer LAD R 173 93.8 13.7 0.6 4 2.7 -4.0 -60
2021 Slider LAD R 170 86.5 38.2 3.9 11 13.6 9.3 213
2021 Curveball LAD R 180 85.1 52.1 5.4 11 10.8 4.4 69
2019 4-Seamer MIL R 97 92.3 17.6 -1.7 -11 0.2 -6.4 -97
2019 Sinker MIL R 115 93.0 21.7 0.4 2 10.3 -3.9 -27
2019 Curveball MIL R 82 82.8 54.2 4.0 8 10.3 3.2 46
2019 Slider MIL R 110 85.5 38.2 2.4 7 12.2 8.0 191
2019 Changeup MIL R 3 87.2 30.6 1.6 6 7.2 -6.6 -48
2017 4-Seamer MIL R 805 94.1 14.4 -0.8 -6 8.7 1.0 14
2017 Sinker MIL R 880 93.7 23.3 3.8 19 15.0 0.3 2
2017 Changeup MIL R 73 87.6 31.8 4.4 16 7.9 -6.0 -43
2017 Curveball MIL R 537 84.3 43.3 -1.6 -4 10.6 3.3 45
2017 Slider MIL R 455 88.5 30.5 0.6 2 5.6 2.9 107
2016 Curveball MIL R 331 83.3 47.6 1.7 4 9.5 1.3 16
2016 4-Seamer MIL R 650 93.6 13.9 -0.4 -3 6.8 -0.2 -2
2016 Slider MIL R 506 87.5 33.5 3.0 10 8.7 4.1 91
2016 Sinker MIL R 1,451 93.8 21.5 3.2 18 13.6 -0.2 -2
2016 Changeup MIL R 23 86.4 25.2 -2.7 -10 11.2 -1.2 -10
2015 Curveball MIL R 457 83.1 -- -- 9.1 0.5 6
2015 Sinker MIL R 974 94.1 -- -- 13.8 0.1 1
2015 Changeup MIL R 26 85.8 -- -- 12.0 -0.4 -3
2015 Slider MIL R 543 87.5 -- -- 8.6 3.7 77
2015 4-Seamer MIL R 614 94.0 -- -- 6.6 0.0 0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball -0.4 -1 180 34.4 32 .250 .321 .306 44.9 46.9 29.4 .205 .266 .268 46.2
2021 4-Seamer 1.6 3 173 33.1 41 .171 .229 .240 25.4 31.7 34.2 .136 .211 .216 34.8
2021 Slider 4.0 7 170 32.5 43 .029 .029 .151 40.7 37.2 27.1 .089 .133 .207 15.8
2019 Sinker -5.4 -6 115 28.2 25 .500 1.000 .650 11.6 0.0 0.0 .507 1.067 .661 61.1
2019 Slider 2.9 3 110 27.0 33 .188 .375 .250 48.8 48.5 39.0 .171 .255 .196 18.8
2019 4-Seamer -0.9 -1 97 23.8 27 .250 .450 .435 22.2 14.8 19.0 .322 .513 .442 25.0
2019 Curveball -6.8 -6 82 20.1 19 .313 .500 .403 30.0 31.6 30.0 .220 .285 .294 30.0
2019 Changeup -3.3 0 3 0.7 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2017 Sinker 0.9 8 880 32.0 257 .296 .373 .341 15.2 11.7 19.2 .279 .402 .330 35.5
2017 4-Seamer -0.3 -2 805 29.3 222 .250 .434 .340 23.9 35.6 23.0 .222 .382 .294 34.1
2017 Curveball 1.9 10 537 19.5 110 .192 .288 .234 38.0 42.7 35.6 .178 .255 .212 33.3
2017 Slider 0.5 2 455 16.5 121 .250 .336 .282 35.1 33.9 23.2 .206 .281 .229 16.0
2017 Changeup -2.1 -2 73 2.7 17 .250 .500 .338 17.1 11.8 12.5 .260 .538 .351 21.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 4-Seam Fastball 173 93.8 74 16.9 12:30 12:15 15
2021 Knuckle Curve 176 85.1 83 20.2 7:00 7:15 -15
2021 Slider 162 86.4 52 14.9 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2013 37 144 2 3 0 -1 4
2014 311 1,108 2 1 -6 -6 -9
2015 748 2,782 9 14 -12 -11 0
2016 805 2,976 16 8 -21 -14 -11
2017 727 2,751 1 33 -7 -11 16
2019 104 407 -1 0 -5 -4 -10
2021 116 523 8 6 -1 -4 9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,791 49.7 63.8 83.9 31.0 59.9 45.1 60.8 47.3 22.3 7.2 70.8
2016 2,984 52.7 63.0 85.0 24.9 67.0 41.8 58.1 45.0 18.6 8.6 68.9
2017 2,752 52.2 65.6 80.8 30.2 57.4 42.9 61.1 48.7 25.2 8.8 73.0
2019 408 43.5 59.9 84.0 19.6 44.4 41.8 50.5 37.0 27.8 7.4 73.3
2021 523 44.7 60.7 73.9 26.3 39.5 39.8 44.0 41.7 37.6 7.5 69.2
Player 9,458 50.8 63.8 82.8 28.1 59.3 43.0 58.8 46.2 23.0 8.1 70.9
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 51 63 66 63 38 19 55 81 81 45 26 47 66 70 45 36 59
2016 30 49 54 58 15 19 61 41 45 22 13 16 10 63 48 51 50
2017 78 67 79 83 78 37 86 82 65 81 80 55 75 65 50 63 76
2019 41 78 83 79
2021 55 99 94 61
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.6 25 17.4 8 10 13 10 40.0
2017 22.8 16 16.8 -1 8 12 6 37.5
2019 22.7 4 4.0 0 3 2 2 50.0
2021 -- 0 0.1 0 1 0 0 --
Player 22.7 45 38.3 7 22 27 18 40.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 25 23 11 18 14 16 21 19 17 11 17 22 15 12 17 20 10 16 18 21 14 15 26 26 17 17 16 23 18 19 12
2017 16 17 12 18 18 16 19 16 11 16 16 20 19 17 17 18 17 17 18 15 17 16 21 18 16 17 14 22 18 16 12
2019 4 6 2 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 4 4 5 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 3
2021 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Player 45 46 25 40 36 36 44 40 31 30 37 46 39 32 38 42 31 37 40 40 36 37 52 50 37 38 34 49 41 39 27
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.1 93.7 -0.4 93.9 0.2
Offspeed Velocity 86.0 86.4 0.4 87.6 1.2
Breaking Velocity 85.4 85.9 0.5 86.2 0.3
Exit Velocity 87.0 88.8 1.8 85.9 -2.9
Launch Angle 7.3 9.2 1.9 5.9 -3.3
Barrel % 4.8 5.5 0.7 4.0 -1.5
Hard Hit % 28.9 35.1 6.2 31.4 -3.7
Sweet Spot % 29.3 27.8 -1.5 32.0 4.2
xBA .232 .247 0.015 .233 -0.014
BA .246 .268 0.022 .257 -0.011
xwOBA .306 .327 0.021 .285 -0.042
wOBA .309 .345 0.036 .301 -0.044
xSLG .362 .395 0.033 .355 -0.040
SLG .382 .430 0.048 .374 -0.056
K% 19.7 17.3 -2.4 27.3 10.0
BB% 8.6 10.7 2.1 6.6 -4.1
Swing % 47.3 45.0 -2.3 48.7 3.7
Whiff% 22.3 18.6 -3.7 25.2 6.6
In Zone % 49.7 52.7 3.0 52.2 -0.5
Out of Zone % 50.3 47.3 -3.0 47.8 0.5
Out of Zone Swing % 31.0 24.9 -6.1 30.2 5.3
First Pitch Swing % 29.8 28.6 -1.2 28.4 -0.2
First Pitch Strike % 60.8 58.1 -2.7 61.1 3.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 799 .344 426 80 18.8 373 122 32.7
2017 Shifts 726 .300 373 99 26.5 353 116 32.9
2019 Shifts 104 .403 53 8 15.1 51 28 54.9
2021 Shifts 116 .223 60 22 36.7 56 42 75.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2013 53 17.3 20.8% 0.0% 19 23.2 5.3% 15.8%
2014 312 18.1 13.5% 1.9% 182 23.3 0.0% 12.1%
2015 823 19.3 14.8% 6.2% 402 25.4 4.5% 30.1%
2016 842 19.2 15.1% 4.9% 532 26.0 3.8% 26.5%
2017 804 18.4 11.6% 2.1% 412 24.6 0.0% 13.6%
2019 121 18.7 14.0% 1.7% 99 22.5 0.0% 4.0%
2021 164 21.0 0.0% 4.3% 93 25.0 0.0% 11.8%
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Pitch Distribution