Javy Guerra
P | B/T: L/R | 6' 0" 190LBS | Age: 27

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 0 0 8.64 8 0 0 8.1 5 2.28
5 Seasons 3 1 6.63 58 2 0 57.0 40 1.84
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 8 0-0 8.64 8.1 5 2.28
5 Seasons 58 3-1 6.63 57.0 40 1.84

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 134 27 3 11.1 8.3 87.8 107.0 9.2 37.0 .247 .558 .335 .353 .394 33.3 16.7 8.3 5.19 5.66
2020 24 235 49 2 4.1 3.0 90.9 110.9 5.3 36.7 .320 .449 .425 .372 .423 36.7 17.9 7.5 10.13 6.16
2021 25 66 13 0 0.0 0.0 93.0 114.2 17.2 23.1 .260 .375 .292 .320 .337 53.8 16.7 11.1 4.91 4.35
2022 26 330 60 5 8.3 6.1 91.2 109.5 15.4 38.3 .271 .439 .331 .355 .358 45.0 12.2 13.4 5.00 5.42
2023 27 273 44 2 4.5 2.7 90.1 109.3 20.7 43.2 .283 .427 .375 .411 .382 36.4 12.3 24.7 6.75 7.60
Player 1038 193 12 6.2 4.3 90.5 114.2 13.3 37.8 .283 .451 .363 .371 .384 39.9 14.5 14.1
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(37.4%) ,
Sinker
(27.1%) ,
Sweeper
(20.9%) ,
Slider
(14.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 48.1 37.0 14.8 0.0 55.6 22.2 22.2 0.0 40.7 29.6 14.8 3.7 11.1 8.3
2020 51.0 10.2 34.7 4.1 32.7 36.7 30.6 4.1 34.7 12.2 34.7 8.2 4.1 3.0
2021 46.2 30.8 15.4 7.7 30.8 23.1 46.2 7.7 30.8 23.1 30.8 7.7 0.0 0.0
2022 40.0 26.7 26.7 6.7 28.3 40.0 31.7 1.7 33.3 28.3 16.7 11.7 8.3 6.1
2023 34.1 34.1 20.5 11.4 36.4 38.6 25.0 4.5 18.2 31.8 31.8 9.1 4.5 2.7
Player 43.0 25.9 24.9 6.2 35.2 35.2 29.5 3.1 31.1 24.9 25.4 8.8 6.2 4.3
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Slider TB R 40 89.2 26.8 -4.8 -15 2.0 -2.1 -51
2023 4-Seamer TB R 102 97.7 12.9 0.6 4 9.5 0.1 2
2023 Sweeper TB R 57 83.6 32.7 -5.0 -13 13.4 -0.6 -4
2023 Sinker TB R 74 97.4 23.2 0.0 0 18.6 1.5 9
2022 Slider TB R 96 88.3 29.4 -3.0 -9 2.9 -0.8 -21
2022 4-Seamer TB R 51 98.3 10.0 2.9 23 10.4 1.6 19
2022 Sinker TB R 182 97.2 18.7 -2.7 -13 18.4 2.3 15
2021 Sinker SD R 55 98.3 19.1 -2.7 -13 17.7 1.1 7
2021 4-Seamer SD R 4 98.8 12.6 1.5 11 11.1 1.4 15
2021 Slider SD R 7 89.2 27.3 -4.1 -13 4.3 1.4 46
2020 Slider SD R 64 87.8 33.2 0.0 0 5.0 1.1 27
2020 Sinker SD R 159 98.4 18.5 -1.4 -7 16.0 -0.4 -3
2020 4-Seamer SD R 1 96.7 13.9 -0.2 -1 4.9 -3.1 -38
2020 Changeup SD R 11 91.9 24.3 -2.8 -10 14.7 -0.4 -3
2019 4-Seamer SD R 44 96.9 15.6 -0.9 -6 5.6 -3.2 -37
2019 Sinker SD R 59 98.8 20.6 0.3 2 16.5 0.6 4
2019 Slider SD R 31 87.4 36.1 2.2 6 5.2 1.3 32
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 0.6 1 102 37.4 30 .238 .286 .372 25.0 20.0 20.7 .228 .354 .385 40.0
2023 Sinker 2.8 2 74 27.1 22 .333 .400 .411 3.8 0.0 0.0 .427 .531 .519 50.0
2023 Sweeper 8.4 5 57 20.9 11 .400 .700 .491 26.7 9.1 5.6 .279 .562 .386 22.2
2023 Slider -4.0 -2 40 14.7 7 .000 .000 .100 45.5 28.6 33.3 .127 .194 .215 0.0
2022 Sinker -1.0 -2 182 55.2 49 .220 .341 .335 9.6 8.2 9.3 .305 .427 .381 40.5
2022 Slider 5.3 5 97 29.4 19 .375 .875 .539 28.6 10.5 6.5 .296 .623 .425 46.7
2022 4-Seamer -3.7 -2 51 15.5 12 .083 .083 .075 30.4 33.3 15.4 .125 .239 .152 62.5
2021 Sinker 0.4 0 55 83.3 14 .250 .333 .382 16.1 14.3 22.2 .236 .264 .290 40.0
2021 Slider -1.2 0 7 10.6 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .444 .944 .573 100.0
2021 4-Seamer -2.9 0 4 6.1 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 Sinker 4.4 7 159 67.7 56 .431 .549 .434 13.2 12.5 17.1 .332 .476 .380 40.0
2020 Slider 1.1 1 64 27.2 10 .250 .250 .320 55.6 50.0 26.3 .185 .217 .282 0.0
2020 Changeup 2.6 0 11 4.7 1 1.000 1.000 .900 50.0 0.0 0.0 .820 .961 .781 0.0
2020 4-Seamer 3.2 0 1 0.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker -6.2 -4 59 44.0 17 .000 .000 .082 15.2 17.6 23.1 .112 .143 .178 16.7
2019 4-Seamer 0.9 0 44 32.8 11 .400 .900 .555 14.3 9.1 10.0 .334 .686 .444 44.4
2019 Slider 6.9 2 31 23.1 8 .375 1.125 .613 30.0 25.0 15.4 .373 1.125 .603 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Sinker 147 98.5 94 19.0 1:30 2:00 -30
2020 Slider 58 87.7 33 6.1 10:15 9:15 60
2021 Sinker 55 98.3 97 20.4 1:45 2:15 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 51 98.3 96 21.1 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Sinker 181 97.2 96 21.6 1:45 2:00 -15
2022 Slider 97 88.3 31 6.2 11:30 10:45 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 102 97.7 92 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 74 97.4 95 20.0 2:00 2:30 -30
2023 Slider 40 89.2 38 7.4 11:45 11:15 30
2023 Sweeper 56 83.6 46 15.1 8:45 9:45 -60
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 36 134 2 -3 0 0 -1
2020 67 235 3 2 2 1 8
2022 80 330 -3 -2 4 2 1
2023 70 273 -10 8 5 3 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 134 53.7 69.4 86.0 22.6 71.4 42.5 69.4 47.8 17.2 9.7 84.6
2020 235 50.6 68.9 82.9 26.7 67.7 42.1 64.2 48.1 21.2 6.0 50.0
2021 66 51.5 79.4 85.2 28.1 77.8 37.9 55.6 54.5 16.7 9.1 100.0
2022 330 50.3 68.7 84.2 16.5 74.1 39.7 58.8 42.7 17.7 9.7 93.8
2023 273 46.2 65.9 84.3 14.3 47.6 35.9 47.1 38.1 22.1 8.4 82.6
Player 1,038 49.8 68.9 84.3 19.6 66.7 39.5 58.3 44.1 19.4 8.5 83.0
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2019 98 55 21
2020 100 24 32
2022 95 36 10
2023 2 13 37 62 1 85 83 27 66 3 1 24 1 96 39 27
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24.0 3 3.0 0 0 0 3 100.0
2020 24.5 1 0.8 0 0 1 0 0.0
2021 -- 0 0.6 -1 1 1 0 --
2022 21.0 3 3.2 0 0 3 1 33.3
2023 24.0 1 1.4 0 1 1 1 100.0
Player 22.8 8 9.0 -1 2 6 5 62.5

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2020 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2021 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 0
2022 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 1 2 3 2 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3
2023 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1
Player 8 9 9 9 10 9 9 9 6 6 7 8 11 9 9 10 9 8 8 10 10 9 11 10 9 8 10 12 10 8 8
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 98.0 98.4 0.4 ↑ 98.4 0.0 97.5 -0.9 ↓ 97.6 0.1 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 91.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 87.4 87.8 0.4 ↑ 89.2 1.4 ↑ 88.3 -0.9 ↓ 85.9 -2.4 ↓
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 ↑ 93.0 2.1 ↑ 91.2 -1.8 ↓ 90.1 -1.1 ↓
Launch Angle 9.2 5.3 -3.9 ↓ 17.2 11.9 ↑ 15.4 -1.8 ↓ 20.7 5.3 ↑
Barrel % 11.1 4.1 -7.0 ↓ 0.0 -4.1 ↓ 8.3 8.3 ↑ 4.5 -3.8 ↓
Hard Hit % 33.3 36.7 3.4 ↑ 53.8 17.1 ↑ 45.0 -8.8 ↓ 36.4 -8.6 ↓
Sweet Spot % 37.0 36.7 -0.3 ↓ 23.1 -13.6 ↓ 38.3 15.2 ↑ 43.2 4.9 ↑
xBA .247 .320 0.073 ↑ .260 -0.060 ↓ .271 0.011 ↑ .283 0.012 ↑
BA .219 .417 0.198 ↑ .250 -0.167 ↓ .232 -0.018 ↓ .269 0.037 ↑
xwOBA .353 .372 0.019 ↑ .320 -0.052 ↓ .355 0.035 ↑ .411 0.056 ↑
wOBA .335 .425 0.090 ↑ .292 -0.133 ↓ .331 0.039 ↑ .375 0.044 ↑
xSLG .558 .449 -0.109 ↓ .375 -0.074 ↓ .439 0.064 ↑ .427 -0.012 ↓
SLG .563 .517 -0.046 ↓ .313 -0.204 ↓ .420 0.107 ↑ .365 -0.055 ↓
K% 16.7 17.9 1.2 ↑ 16.7 -1.2 ↓ 12.2 -4.5 ↓ 12.3 0.1 ↑
BB% 8.3 7.5 -0.8 ↓ 11.1 3.6 ↑ 13.4 2.3 ↑ 24.7 11.3 ↑
Swing % 47.8 48.1 0.3 ↑ 54.5 6.4 ↑ 42.7 -11.8 ↓ 38.1 -4.6 ↓
Whiff% 17.2 21.2 4.0 ↑ 16.7 -4.5 ↓ 17.7 1.0 ↑ 22.1 4.4 ↑
In Zone % 53.7 50.6 -3.1 ↓ 51.5 0.9 ↑ 50.3 -1.2 ↓ 46.2 -4.1 ↓
Out of Zone % 46.3 49.4 3.1 ↑ 48.5 -0.9 ↓ 49.7 1.2 ↑ 53.8 4.1 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 22.6 26.7 4.1 ↑ 28.1 1.4 ↑ 16.5 -11.6 ↓ 14.3 -2.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 36.1 29.9 -6.2 ↓ 50.0 20.1 ↑ 27.5 -22.5 ↓ 21.4 -6.1 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 69.4 64.2 -5.2 ↓ 55.6 -8.6 ↓ 58.8 3.2 ↑ 47.1 -11.7 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 36 .335 15 0 0.0 21 11 52.4
2020 67 .425 38 0 0.0 29 6 20.7
2021 18 .292 11 2 18.2 7 4 57.1
2022 80 .331 53 7 13.2 27 13 48.1
2023 70 .375 45 0 0.0 25 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 48 18.7 14.6% 0.0% 13 23.4 0.0% 0.0%
2020 59 19.0 3.4% 3.4% 38 21.9 0.0% 13.2%
2021 10 18.7 0.0% 0.0% 17 23.5 0.0% 5.9%
2022 108 19.5 2.8% 1.9% 57 24.0 1.8% 8.8%
2023 38 16.6 5.3% 2.6% 41 19.0 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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