Javy Guerra
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 190LBS | Age: 29
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 4.91 4 0 0 3.2 3 1.64
2022 2 1 5.00 18 0 0 18 10 1.50
2023 0 0 6.05 17 2 0 19.1 14 2.02
5 Seasons 3 1 6.43 61 2 0 63 45 1.78
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 4 0-0 4.91 3.2 3 1.64
2022 18 2-1 5.00 18 10 1.50
2023 17 0-0 6.05 19.1 14 2.02
5 Seasons 61 3-1 6.43 63 45 1.78
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 134 27 3 11.1 8.3 87.8 107.0 9.2 37.0 .247 .558 .335 .353 .394 33.3 16.7 8.3 5.19 5.66
2020 24 235 49 2 4.1 3.0 90.9 110.9 5.3 36.7 .320 .449 .425 .371 .423 36.7 17.9 7.5 10.13 6.12
2021 25 66 13 0 0.0 0.0 93.0 114.2 17.2 23.1 .259 .373 .292 .319 .335 53.8 16.7 11.1 4.91 4.32
2022 26 330 60 5 8.3 6.1 91.2 109.5 15.4 38.3 .271 .439 .331 .355 .357 45.0 12.2 13.4 5.00 5.42
2023 27 362 59 3 5.1 3.1 90.5 109.3 15.9 39.0 .279 .437 .347 .400 .388 39.0 14.4 22.7 6.05 7.30
Player 1127 208 13 6.3 4.3 90.6 114.2 12.5 37.0 .281 .452 .356 .370 .385 40.4 15.0 14.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.1%) ,
Sinker
(33.1%) ,
Slider
(16.0%) ,
Sweeper
(15.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 48.1 37.0 14.8 0.0 55.6 22.2 22.2 0.0 40.7 29.6 14.8 3.7 11.1 8.3
2020 51.0 10.2 34.7 4.1 32.7 36.7 30.6 4.1 34.7 12.2 34.7 8.2 4.1 3.0
2021 46.2 30.8 15.4 7.7 30.8 23.1 46.2 7.7 30.8 23.1 30.8 7.7 0.0 0.0
2022 40.0 26.7 26.7 6.7 28.3 40.0 31.7 1.7 33.3 28.3 16.7 11.7 8.3 6.1
2023 40.7 32.2 18.6 8.5 37.3 39.0 23.7 3.4 23.7 27.1 32.2 8.5 5.1 3.1
Player 44.2 26.0 24.0 5.8 35.6 35.6 28.8 2.9 31.7 24.0 26.0 8.7 6.3 4.3
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 Slider TB R 58 88.7 28.1 -4.4 2.1GLV -2.0 6.6 -5.1 2.1GLV -3.2
2023 Sinker TB R 120 97.4 22.5 -0.9 18.4ARM 1.9 6.4 1.2 18.4ARM 3.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball TB R 127 97.8 12.8 0.9 9.5ARM 0.5 15.9 0.1 9.5ARM 2.1
2023 Sweeper TB R 57 83.6 32.7 -5.3 13.4GLV -0.1 6.6 -5.1 13.4GLV -0.7
2022 Slider TB R 96 88.3 29.4 -3.0 2.9GLV -0.7 5.7 -3.9 2.9GLV -2.8
2022 4-Seam Fastball TB R 51 98.3 10.0 2.9 10.4ARM 1.6 18.6 2.4 10.4ARM 3.1
2022 Sinker TB R 182 97.2 18.7 -2.8 18.4ARM 2.3 10.5 -2.2 18.4ARM 3.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 0 127 35.1 38 .179 .214 .312 28.1 26.3 24.4 .204 .329 .352 38.9
2023 Sinker -3.4 -4 120 33.1 34 .333 .500 .440 7.1 2.9 10.0 .412 .597 .517 54.2
2023 Slider 3.6 2 58 16.0 11 .000 .000 .064 27.8 18.2 20.0 .152 .197 .200 12.5
2023 Sweeper -8.3 -5 57 15.7 11 .400 .700 .491 26.7 9.1 5.6 .296 .598 .405 22.2
2022 Sinker 1.0 2 182 55.2 49 .220 .341 .335 9.6 8.2 9.3 .304 .426 .381 40.5
2022 Slider -5.3 -5 97 29.4 19 .375 .875 .539 28.6 10.5 6.5 .295 .621 .423 46.7
2022 4-Seam Fastball 3.8 2 51 15.5 12 .083 .083 .075 30.4 33.3 15.4 .125 .239 .152 62.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 4-Seam Fastball 127 97.8 92 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 120 97.4 95 20.1 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Slider 58 88.7 36 6.5 11:45 11:00 45
2023 Sweeper 56 83.6 46 15.1 8:45 9:45 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 51 98.3 96 21.1 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Sinker 181 97.2 96 21.6 1:45 2:00 -15
2022 Slider 97 88.3 31 6.2 11:30 10:45 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 36 134 -2 3 0 0 1
2020 67 235 -3 -2 -2 -1 -8
2022 80 330 3 2 -4 -2 -1
2023 94 362 12 -10 -6 -3 -6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 134 53.7 69.4 86.0 22.6 71.4 42.5 69.4 47.8 17.2 9.7 84.6
2020 235 50.6 68.9 82.9 26.7 67.7 42.1 64.2 48.1 21.2 6.0 50.0
2021 66 51.5 79.4 85.2 28.1 77.8 37.9 55.6 54.5 16.7 9.1 100.0
2022 330 50.3 68.7 84.2 16.5 74.1 39.7 58.8 42.7 17.7 9.7 93.8
2023 362 46.1 64.1 82.2 16.4 62.5 36.7 53.2 38.4 21.6 8.8 84.4
Player 1,127 49.5 68.1 83.7 19.9 69.0 39.5 59.3 43.7 19.5 8.6 83.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 98 57 21
2020 99 26 32
2021 99 14 4
2022 94 38 9
2023 94 47 26
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24.0 3 2.0 1 1 0 2 66.7
2020 24.5 1 0.8 0 0 1 0 0.0
2021 -- 0 0.5 -1 1 1 0 --
2022 21.0 3 3.2 0 0 3 1 33.3
2023 22.9 2 2.1 0 1 2 1 50.0
Player 22.7 9 8.7 0 3 7 4 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2
2020 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2021 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 0
2022 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 1 2 3 2 4 4 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3
2023 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
Player 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 5 6 7 6 11 9 8 9 9 8 7 9 10 9 11 10 9 8 10 12 10 8 8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 98.0 98.4 0.4 98.4 0.0 97.5 -0.9 97.6 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 91.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 87.4 87.8 0.4 89.2 1.4 88.3 -0.9 86.2 -2.1
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 93.0 2.1 91.2 -1.8 90.5 -0.7
Launch Angle 9.2 5.3 -3.9 17.2 11.9 15.4 -1.8 15.9 0.5
Barrel % 11.1 4.1 -7.0 0.0 -4.1 8.3 8.3 5.1 -3.2
Hard Hit % 33.3 36.7 3.4 53.8 17.1 45.0 -8.8 39.0 -6.0
LA Sweet-Spot % 37.0 36.7 -0.3 23.1 -13.6 38.3 15.2 39.0 0.7
xBA .247 .320 0.073 .259 -0.061 .271 0.012 .279 0.008
BA .219 .417 0.198 .250 -0.167 .232 -0.018 .236 0.004
xwOBA .353 .371 0.018 .319 -0.052 .355 0.036 .400 0.045
wOBA .335 .425 0.090 .292 -0.133 .331 0.039 .347 0.016
xSLG .558 .449 -0.109 .373 -0.076 .439 0.066 .437 -0.002
SLG .563 .517 -0.046 .313 -0.204 .420 0.107 .347 -0.073
K% 16.7 17.9 1.2 16.7 -1.2 12.2 -4.5 14.4 2.2
BB% 8.3 7.5 -0.8 11.1 3.6 13.4 2.3 22.7 9.3
Swing % 47.8 48.1 0.3 54.5 6.4 42.7 -11.8 38.4 -4.3
Whiff% 17.2 21.2 4.0 16.7 -4.5 17.7 1.0 21.6 3.9
In Zone % 53.7 50.6 -3.1 51.5 0.9 50.3 -1.2 46.1 -4.2
Out of Zone % 46.3 49.4 3.1 48.5 -0.9 49.7 1.2 53.9 4.2
Out of Zone Swing % 22.6 26.7 4.1 28.1 1.4 16.5 -11.6 16.4 -0.1
First Pitch Swing % 36.1 29.9 -6.2 50.0 20.1 27.5 -22.5 22.3 -5.2
First Pitch Strike % 69.4 64.2 -5.2 55.6 -8.6 58.8 3.2 53.2 -5.6
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 36 .335 15 0 0.0 21 11 52.4
2020 Shifts 67 .425 38 0 0.0 29 6 20.7
2021 Shifts 18 .292 11 2 18.2 7 4 57.1
2022 Shifts 80 .331 53 7 13.2 27 13 48.1
2023 Shades 94 .347 54 5 9.3 40 5 12.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 48 18.7 14.6% 0.0% 13 23.4 0.0% 0.0%
2020 59 19.0 3.4% 3.4% 38 21.9 0.0% 13.2%
2021 10 18.7 0.0% 0.0% 17 23.5 0.0% 5.9%
2022 108 19.5 2.8% 1.9% 57 24.0 1.8% 8.8%
2023 91 16.3 11.0% 1.1% 88 19.3 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution