Javy Guerra
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 190LBS | Age: 28
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 4.91 4 0 0 3.2 3 1.64
2022 2 1 5.00 18 0 0 18 10 1.50
2023 0 0 6.05 17 2 0 19.1 14 2.02
5 Seasons 3 1 6.43 61 2 0 63 45 1.78
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 4 0-0 4.91 3.2 3 1.64
2022 18 2-1 5.00 18 10 1.50
2023 17 0-0 6.05 19.1 14 2.02
5 Seasons 61 3-1 6.43 63 45 1.78
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 134 27 3 11.1 8.3 87.8 107.0 9.2 37.0 .247 .558 .335 .353 .394 33.3 16.7 8.3 5.19 5.66
2020 24 235 49 2 4.1 3.0 90.9 110.9 5.3 36.7 .320 .449 .425 .372 .423 36.7 17.9 7.5 10.13 6.16
2021 25 66 13 0 0.0 0.0 93.0 114.2 17.2 23.1 .260 .375 .292 .320 .337 53.8 16.7 11.1 4.91 4.35
2022 26 330 60 5 8.3 6.1 91.2 109.5 15.4 38.3 .271 .439 .331 .355 .357 45.0 12.2 13.4 5.00 5.42
2023 27 362 59 3 5.1 3.1 90.5 109.3 15.9 39.0 .279 .437 .347 .400 .388 39.0 14.4 22.7 6.05 7.30
Player 1127 208 13 6.3 4.3 90.6 114.2 12.5 37.0 .281 .452 .356 .371 .385 40.4 15.0 14.3
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(35.1%) ,
Sinker
(33.1%) ,
Slider
(16%) ,
Sweeper
(15.7%) ,


  •   
  •   
  •   

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   
  •   

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 48.1 37.0 14.8 0.0 55.6 22.2 22.2 0.0 40.7 29.6 14.8 3.7 11.1 8.3
2020 51.0 10.2 34.7 4.1 32.7 36.7 30.6 4.1 34.7 12.2 34.7 8.2 4.1 3.0
2021 46.2 30.8 15.4 7.7 30.8 23.1 46.2 7.7 30.8 23.1 30.8 7.7 0.0 0.0
2022 40.0 26.7 26.7 6.7 28.3 40.0 31.7 1.7 33.3 28.3 16.7 11.7 8.3 6.1
2023 40.7 32.2 18.6 8.5 37.3 39.0 23.7 3.4 23.7 27.1 32.2 8.5 5.1 3.1
Player 44.2 26.0 24.0 5.8 35.6 35.6 28.8 2.9 31.7 24.0 26.0 8.7 6.3 4.3
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sinker TB R 120 97.4 22.5 -0.9 -4 18.4 1.9 12
2023 Sweeper TB R 57 83.6 32.7 -5.6 -15 13.4 -0.3 -2
2023 Slider TB R 58 88.7 28.1 -4.4 -13 2.1 -2.0 -49
2023 4-Seamer TB R 127 97.8 12.8 0.9 6 9.5 0.5 6
2022 4-Seamer TB R 51 98.3 10.0 2.9 23 10.4 1.6 18
2022 Slider TB R 96 88.3 29.4 -3.0 -9 2.9 -0.8 -21
2022 Sinker TB R 182 97.2 18.7 -2.8 -13 18.4 2.3 14
2021 Slider SD R 7 89.2 27.3 -4.1 -13 4.3 1.4 46
2021 Sinker SD R 55 98.3 19.1 -2.7 -13 17.7 1.1 7
2021 4-Seamer SD R 4 98.8 12.6 1.5 11 11.1 1.4 15
2020 Sinker SD R 159 98.4 18.5 -1.5 -8 16.0 -0.6 -4
2020 Slider SD R 64 87.8 33.2 0.0 0 5.0 1.1 27
2020 4-Seamer SD R 1 96.7 13.9 -0.2 -1 4.9 -3.2 -39
2020 Changeup SD R 11 91.9 24.3 -2.8 -10 14.7 -0.4 -3
2019 4-Seamer SD R 44 96.9 15.6 -0.9 -6 5.6 -3.2 -37
2019 Sinker SD R 59 98.8 20.6 0.3 2 16.5 0.6 4
2019 Slider SD R 31 87.4 36.1 2.2 6 5.2 1.3 32
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 0.2 0 127 35.1 38 .179 .214 .312 28.1 26.3 24.4 .204 .329 .352 38.9
2023 Sinker -3.4 -4 120 33.1 34 .333 .500 .440 7.1 2.9 10.0 .412 .597 .518 54.2
2023 Slider 3.6 2 58 16.0 11 .000 .000 .064 27.8 18.2 20.0 .152 .197 .200 12.5
2023 Sweeper -8.3 -5 57 15.7 11 .400 .700 .491 26.7 9.1 5.6 .294 .596 .403 22.2
2022 Sinker 1.0 2 182 55.2 49 .220 .341 .335 9.6 8.2 9.3 .304 .426 .381 40.5
2022 Slider -5.3 -5 97 29.4 19 .375 .875 .539 28.6 10.5 6.5 .295 .622 .423 46.7
2022 4-Seamer 3.8 2 51 15.5 12 .083 .083 .075 30.4 33.3 15.4 .125 .239 .152 62.5
2021 Sinker -0.4 0 55 83.3 14 .250 .333 .382 16.1 14.3 22.2 .236 .264 .290 40.0
2021 Slider 1.3 0 7 10.6 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .444 .944 .573 100.0
2021 4-Seamer 2.9 0 4 6.1 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 Sinker -4.4 -7 159 67.7 56 .431 .549 .434 13.2 12.5 17.1 .332 .476 .380 40.0
2020 Slider -1.1 -1 64 27.2 10 .250 .250 .320 55.6 50.0 26.3 .185 .217 .282 0.0
2020 Changeup -2.6 0 11 4.7 1 1.000 1.000 .900 50.0 0.0 0.0 .820 .961 .781 0.0
2020 4-Seamer -3.2 0 1 0.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker 6.2 4 59 44.0 17 .000 .000 .082 15.2 17.6 23.1 .112 .143 .178 16.7
2019 4-Seamer -0.9 0 44 32.8 11 .400 .900 .555 14.3 9.1 10.0 .334 .686 .444 44.4
2019 Slider -6.9 -2 31 23.1 8 .375 1.125 .613 30.0 25.0 15.4 .373 1.126 .603 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
+ View Complete Run Value Leaderboard

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 4-Seam Fastball 127 97.8 92 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 120 97.4 95 20.1 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Slider 58 88.7 36 6.5 11:45 11:00 45
2023 Sweeper 56 83.6 46 15.1 8:45 9:45 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 51 98.3 96 21.1 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Sinker 181 97.2 96 21.6 1:45 2:00 -15
2022 Slider 97 88.3 31 6.2 11:30 10:45 45
2021 Sinker 55 98.3 97 20.4 1:45 2:15 -30
2020 Sinker 147 98.5 94 19.0 1:30 2:00 -30
2020 Slider 58 87.7 33 6.1 10:15 9:15 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 36 134 -2 3 0 0 1
2020 67 235 -3 -2 -2 -1 -8
2022 80 330 3 2 -4 -2 -1
2023 94 362 12 -10 -6 -3 -6
+ View Complete Swing/Take Leaderboard

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 134 53.7 69.4 86.0 22.6 71.4 42.5 69.4 47.8 17.2 9.7 84.6
2020 235 50.6 68.9 82.9 26.7 67.7 42.1 64.2 48.1 21.2 6.0 50.0
2021 66 51.5 79.4 85.2 28.1 77.8 37.9 55.6 54.5 16.7 9.1 100.0
2022 330 50.3 68.7 84.2 16.5 74.1 39.7 58.8 42.7 17.7 9.7 93.8
2023 362 46.1 64.1 82.2 16.4 62.5 36.7 53.2 38.4 21.6 8.8 84.4
Player 1,127 49.5 68.1 83.7 19.9 69.0 39.5 59.3 43.7 19.5 8.6 83.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 98 57 21
2020 100 26 32
2022 95 38 9
2023 94 47 26
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24.0 3 3.0 0 0 0 3 100.0
2020 24.5 1 0.8 0 0 1 0 0.0
2021 -- 0 0.6 -1 1 1 0 --
2022 21.0 3 3.2 0 0 3 1 33.3
2023 22.9 2 2.1 0 0 2 1 50.0
Player 22.7 9 9.7 -1 1 7 5 55.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2020 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2021 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 0
2022 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 1 2 3 2 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3
2023 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
Player 9 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 6 7 8 7 12 10 9 11 10 9 9 11 11 10 12 11 10 9 10 13 11 9 9
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
+View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 98.0 98.4 0.4 98.4 0.0 97.5 -0.9 97.6 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 91.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 87.4 87.8 0.4 89.2 1.4 88.3 -0.9 86.2 -2.1
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 93.0 2.1 91.2 -1.8 90.5 -0.7
Launch Angle 9.2 5.3 -3.9 17.2 11.9 15.4 -1.8 15.9 0.5
Barrel % 11.1 4.1 -7.0 0.0 -4.1 8.3 8.3 5.1 -3.2
Hard Hit % 33.3 36.7 3.4 53.8 17.1 45.0 -8.8 39.0 -6.0
Sweet Spot % 37.0 36.7 -0.3 23.1 -13.6 38.3 15.2 39.0 0.7
xBA .247 .320 0.073 .260 -0.060 .271 0.011 .279 0.008
BA .219 .417 0.198 .250 -0.167 .232 -0.018 .236 0.004
xwOBA .353 .372 0.019 .320 -0.052 .355 0.035 .400 0.045
wOBA .335 .425 0.090 .292 -0.133 .331 0.039 .347 0.016
xSLG .558 .449 -0.109 .375 -0.074 .439 0.064 .437 -0.002
SLG .563 .517 -0.046 .313 -0.204 .420 0.107 .347 -0.073
K% 16.7 17.9 1.2 16.7 -1.2 12.2 -4.5 14.4 2.2
BB% 8.3 7.5 -0.8 11.1 3.6 13.4 2.3 22.7 9.3
Swing % 47.8 48.1 0.3 54.5 6.4 42.7 -11.8 38.4 -4.3
Whiff% 17.2 21.2 4.0 16.7 -4.5 17.7 1.0 21.6 3.9
In Zone % 53.7 50.6 -3.1 51.5 0.9 50.3 -1.2 46.1 -4.2
Out of Zone % 46.3 49.4 3.1 48.5 -0.9 49.7 1.2 53.9 4.2
Out of Zone Swing % 22.6 26.7 4.1 28.1 1.4 16.5 -11.6 16.4 -0.1
First Pitch Swing % 36.1 29.9 -6.2 50.0 20.1 27.5 -22.5 22.3 -5.2
First Pitch Strike % 69.4 64.2 -5.2 55.6 -8.6 58.8 3.2 53.2 -5.6
+ View Complete Year to Year Changes Leaderboard

Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 36 .335 15 0 0.0 21 12 57.1
2020 Shifts 67 .425 38 0 0.0 29 8 27.6
2021 Shifts 18 .292 11 2 18.2 7 4 57.1
2022 Shifts 80 .331 53 9 17.0 27 14 51.9
2023 Shades 94 .347 54 5 9.3 40 5 12.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 48 18.7 14.6% 0.0% 13 23.4 0.0% 0.0%
2020 59 19.0 3.4% 3.4% 38 21.9 0.0% 13.2%
2021 10 18.7 0.0% 0.0% 17 23.5 0.0% 5.9%
2022 108 19.5 2.8% 1.9% 57 24.0 1.8% 8.8%
2023 91 16.3 11.0% 1.1% 88 19.3 0.0% 0.0%
+ View Complete Pitch Tempo Leaderboard

Pitch Distribution