Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 0 18.00 1 0 0 2.0 1 3.00
4 Seasons 3 0 6.97 41 0 0 41.1 30 1.69
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0-0 18.00 2.0 1 3.00
4 Seasons 41 3-0 6.97 41.1 30 1.69

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 134 27 3 11.1 8.3 87.8 107.0 9.2 37.0 .247 .558 .335 .353 .394 33.3 16.7 8.3 5.19 5.66
2020 24 235 49 2 4.1 3 90.9 110.9 5.3 36.7 .320 .449 .425 .372 .423 36.7 17.9 7.5 10.13 6.16
2021 25 66 13 0 0 0 93.0 114.2 17.2 23.1 .260 .375 .292 .320 .337 53.8 16.7 11.1 4.91 4.35
2022 26 309 53 5 9.4 6.9 91.1 109.5 14.0 37.7 .281 .452 .350 .368 .370 43.4 12.5 12.5 5.75 5.89
Player 744 142 10 7 5.2 90.6 114.2 10.4 35.9 .286 .464 .368 .362 .389 40.1 15.5 9.8
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 32.8 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 3 pitches.
Sinker
(55.7%) ,
Slider
(29.4%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(14.9%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 48.1 37.0 14.8 0.0 55.6 22.2 22.2 0.0 40.7 29.6 14.8 3.7 11.1 8.3
2020 51.0 10.2 34.7 4.1 32.7 36.7 30.6 4.1 34.7 12.2 34.7 8.2 4.1 3.0
2021 46.2 30.8 15.4 7.7 30.8 23.1 46.2 7.7 30.8 23.1 30.8 7.7 0.0 0.0
2022 41.5 24.5 26.4 7.5 30.2 41.5 28.3 0.0 35.8 26.4 18.9 9.4 9.4 6.9
Player 46.5 22.5 26.1 4.9 35.9 34.5 29.6 2.1 35.9 21.8 24.6 7.7 7.0 5.2
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 32.9 24.5 24.3 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Slider TB R 90 88.3 29.5 -2.9 -9 2.9 -1.1 -28
2022 4-Seamer TB R 46 98.3 10.1 2.9 22 10.4 1.7 20
2022 Sinker TB R 172 97.2 18.8 -2.5 -12 18.5 2.5 16
2021 Sinker SD R 55 98.3 19.1 -2.7 -13 17.7 1.1 7
2021 4-Seamer SD R 4 98.8 12.6 1.5 11 11.1 1.4 15
2021 Slider SD R 7 89.2 27.3 -4.0 -13 4.3 1.4 46
2020 Sinker SD R 159 98.4 18.5 -1.4 -7 16.0 -0.4 -3
2020 Changeup SD R 11 91.9 24.3 -2.8 -10 14.7 -0.4 -3
2020 4-Seamer SD R 1 96.7 13.9 -0.2 -1 4.9 -3.1 -38
2020 Slider SD R 64 87.8 33.2 0.0 0 5.0 1.0 26
2019 Sinker SD R 59 98.8 20.6 0.4 2 16.5 0.6 4
2019 4-Seamer SD R 44 96.9 15.6 -0.9 -6 5.6 -3.2 -37
2019 Slider SD R 31 87.4 36.1 2.2 7 5.2 1.1 27
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Sinker -1.5 -3 172 55.7 45 .216 .351 .344 10.5 8.9 9.5 .303 .412 .382 39.4
2022 Slider 5.9 5 91 29.4 17 .400 .933 .571 29.0 11.8 6.7 .315 .662 .448 46.2
2022 4-Seamer -3.7 -2 46 14.9 10 .100 .100 .090 26.3 30.0 13.0 .149 .285 .181 57.1
2021 Sinker 0.4 0 55 83.3 14 .250 .333 .382 16.1 14.3 22.2 .236 .264 .290 40.0
2021 Slider -1.2 0 7 10.6 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .444 .944 .573 100.0
2021 4-Seamer -2.9 0 4 6.1 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2020 Sinker 4.4 7 159 67.7 56 .431 .549 .434 13.2 12.5 17.1 .332 .476 .380 40.0
2020 Slider 1.1 1 64 27.2 10 .250 .250 .320 55.6 50.0 26.3 .185 .217 .282 0.0
2020 Changeup 2.6 0 11 4.7 1 1.000 1.000 .900 50.0 0.0 0.0 .820 .961 .781 0.0
2020 4-Seamer 3.2 0 1 0.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker -6.2 -4 59 44.0 17 .000 .000 .082 15.2 17.6 23.1 .112 .143 .178 16.7
2019 4-Seamer 0.9 0 44 32.8 11 .400 .900 .555 14.3 9.1 10.0 .334 .686 .444 44.4
2019 Slider 6.9 2 31 23.1 8 .375 1.125 .613 30.0 25.0 15.4 .373 1.126 .603 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Sinker 147 98.5 94 19.0 1:30 2:00 -30
2020 Slider 58 87.7 33 6.1 10:15 9:15 60
2021 Sinker 55 98.3 97 20.4 1:45 2:15 -30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 46 98.3 96 21.1 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Sinker 171 97.2 96 21.7 1:45 2:15 -30
2022 Slider 91 88.3 31 6.2 11:30 10:45 45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 36 134 2 -3 0 0 -1
2020 67 235 3 2 2 1 8
2022 72 309 -3 -1 4 2 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 134 53.7 69.4 86.0 22.6 71.4 42.5 69.4 47.8 17.2 9.7 84.6
2020 235 50.6 68.9 82.9 26.7 67.7 43.0 64.2 48.1 21.2 6.0 50.0
2021 66 51.5 79.4 85.2 28.1 77.8 37.9 55.6 54.5 16.7 9.1 100.0
2022 309 49.2 67.1 83.3 15.3 79.2 39.5 55.6 40.8 17.5 9.1 92.9
Player 744 50.7 69.2 83.9 21.3 73.1 41.0 61.1 45.6 18.6 8.2 82.0
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 98 55 21
2020 100 24 32
2022 95 37 9
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24.0 3 3.0 0 0 0 3 100.0
2020 24.5 1 0.8 0 1 1 0 0.0
2021 -- 0 0.5 -1 1 1 0 --
2022 21.0 3 3.1 0 0 4 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2020 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2021 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1
2022 3 4 2 4 3 4 2 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 2 4 3 4 2 3 4 3 2 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 4
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 98 98.4 0.4 98.4 0 97.4 -1
Offspeed Velocity 0 91.9 0 0 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 87.4 87.8 0.4 89.2 1.4 88.3 -0.9
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 93 2.1 91.1 -1.9
Launch Angle 9.2 5.3 -3.9 17.2 11.9 14 -3.2
Barrel % 11.1 4.1 -7 0 -4.1 9.4 9.4
Hard Hit % 33.3 36.7 3.4 53.8 17.1 43.4 -10.4
Sweet Spot % 37 36.7 -0.3 23.1 -13.6 37.7 14.6
xBA .247 .32 0.073 .26 -0.06 .281 0.021
BA .219 .417 0.198 .25 -0.167 .242 -0.008
xwOBA .353 .372 0.019 .32 -0.052 .368 0.048
wOBA .335 .425 0.09 .292 -0.133 .35 0.058
xSLG .558 .449 -0.109 .375 -0.074 .452 0.077
SLG .563 .517 -0.046 .313 -0.204 .452 0.139
K% 16.7 17.9 1.2 16.7 -1.2 12.5 -4.2
BB% 8.3 7.5 -0.8 11.1 3.6 12.5 1.4
Swing % 47.8 48.1 0.3 54.5 6.4 40.8 -13.7
Whiff% 17.2 21.2 4 16.7 -4.5 17.5 0.8
In Zone % 53.7 50.6 -3.1 51.5 0.9 49.2 -2.3
Out of Zone % 46.3 49.4 3.1 48.5 -0.9 50.8 2.3
Out of Zone Swing % 22.6 26.7 4.1 28.1 1.4 15.3 -12.8
First Pitch Swing % 36.1 29.9 -6.2 50 20.1 23.6 -26.4
First Pitch Strike % 69.4 64.2 -5.2 55.6 -8.6 55.6 0
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 36 .335 15 0 0.0 21 11 52.4
2020 67 .425 38 0 0.0 29 6 20.7
2021 18 .292 11 2 18.2 7 4 57.1
2022 72 .350 46 6 13.0 26 13 50.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 49 18.8 14.3% 2.0% 13 22.2 0.0% 0.0%
2020 59 18.9 5.1% 3.4% 43 21.9 0.0% 18.6%
2021 10 18.7 0.0% 0.0% 18 23.5 0.0% 11.1%
2022 103 19.4 1.9% 2.9% 49 23.0 2.0% 12.2%
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Pitch Distribution