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Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 1 0 10.13 14 0 0 13.1 12 2.25
2 Seasons 1 0 8.18 22 0 0 22.0 18 1.82
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 14 1-0 10.13 13.1 12 2.25
2 Seasons 22 1-0 8.18 22.0 18 1.82

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 134 27 3 11.1 87.8 107 9.2 37 .246 .556 .335 .350 .391 33.3 16.7 8.3 5.19 5.67
2020 235 49 2 4.1 90.9 110.9 5.3 36.7 .315 .442 .425 .366 .415 36.7 17.9 7.5 10.13 5.97
369 76 5 6.6 89.8 110.9 6.7 36.8 .291 .482 .393 .361 .406 35.5 17.5 7.8
6.5 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .403 .318 .313 .363 35.2 21.9 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(67.7%) ,
Slider
(27.2%) ,
Changeup
(4.7%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(0.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2020 Sinker 159 90 69 67.7 98.4 56 51 22 18 3 0 1 7 45 .431 .326 .549 .467 .435 .373 91.4 4 2143 6.1 13.2 17.1
2020 Slider 64 36 28 27.2 87.8 10 8 2 2 0 0 0 5 3 .250 .185 .250 .217 .319 .285 82.6 27 2522 6.2 55.6 26.3
2020 Changeup 11 1 10 4.7 91.9 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1.000 .820 1.000 .961 .883 .781 94.6 11 1742 6.3 50.0 0.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1 0 1 0.4 96.7 2224 6.1
2019 Sinker 59 28 31 44.0 98.8 17 14 0 0 0 0 0 3 12 .000 .112 .000 .143 .081 .177 81.7 -3 2230 5.7 15.2 23.1
2019 4-Seam Fastball 44 17 27 32.8 96.9 11 10 4 1 2 0 1 1 9 .400 .334 .900 .686 .539 .443 89.2 17 2346 5.9 14.3 10.0
2019 Slider 31 15 16 23.1 87.4 8 8 3 1 0 0 2 2 6 .375 .371 1.125 1.117 .594 .591 97.7 21 2489 5.7 30.0 15.4


Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2019 48.1 37 14.8 0 55.6 22.2 22.2 0 40.7 29.6 14.8 3.7 11.1
2020 51 10.2 34.7 4.1 32.7 36.7 30.6 4.1 34.7 12.2 34.7 8.2 4.1
50 19.7 27.6 2.6 40.8 31.6 27.6 2.6 36.8 18.4 27.6 6.6 6.6
45.3 22 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.5 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.5

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Slider SD R 64 87.8 33.2 0.1 0 5 1.1 27
2020 Changeup SD R 11 91.9 24.3 -2.8 -10 14.7 -0.4 -2
2020 Sinker SD R 159 98.4 18.5 -1.3 -7 16 -0.4 -2
2020 4-Seamer SD R 1 96.7 13.9 -0.2 -1 4.9 -3.1 -38
2019 Slider SD R 31 87.4 36.1 2.2 7 5.2 1.1 27
2019 Sinker SD R 59 98.8 20.6 0.3 2 16.5 0.6 4
2019 4-Seamer SD R 44 96.9 15.6 -0.9 -6 5.6 -3.2 -36
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Changeup 2.5 0 11 4.7 1 1 1 .9 50 0 0 .82 .961 .781 0
2020 Slider 1.1 1 64 27.2 10 .25 .25 .32 55.6 50 26.3 .185 .217 .282 0
2020 Sinker 4.5 7 159 67.7 56 .431 .549 .442 13.2 12.5 17.1 .326 .467 .373 40
2020 4-Seamer 3.2 0 1 0.4
2019 Slider 6.9 2 31 23.1 8 .375 1.125 .613 30 25 15.4 .371 1.117 .591 50
2019 4-Seamer 1.1 0 44 32.8 11 .4 .9 .555 14.3 9.1 10 .334 .686 .444 44.4
2019 Sinker -6.1 -4 59 44 17 0 0 .082 15.2 17.6 23.1 .112 .143 .178 16.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Sinker 147 98.5 94 19 1:30 2:00 -30
2020 Slider 58 87.7 33 6.1 10:15 9:15 60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 36 134 2 -3 0 0 -1
2020 67 235 3 2 2 1 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 134 53.7 69.4 86 22.6 71.4 42.5 69.4 47.8 17.2 9.7 84.6
2020 235 50.6 68.9 82.9 26.7 67.7 43 64.2 48.1 21.2 6 50
369 51.8 69.1 84.1 25.3 68.9 42.8 66 48 19.8 7.3 66.7
48.4 66.6 82.1 28.4 58.8 42.6 60.5 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.8

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2019
2020
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 24 3 3 0 1 0 3 100
2020 24.5 1 1.1 0 0 2 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2020 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 98 98.4 0.4 undefined
Offspeed Velocity 0 91.9 0 undefined
Breaking Velocity 87.4 87.8 0.4 undefined
Exit Velocity 87.8 90.9 3.1 undefined
Launch Angle 9.2 5.3 -3.9 undefined
Barrel % 11.1 4.1 -7 undefined
Hard Hit % 33.3 36.7 3.4 undefined
Sweet Spot % 37 36.7 -0.3 undefined
xBA .246 .315 0.069 undefined
BA .219 .417 0.198 undefined
xwOBA .35 .366 0.016 undefined
wOBA .335 .425 0.09 undefined
xSLG .556 .442 -0.114 undefined
SLG .563 .517 -0.046 undefined
K% 16.7 17.9 1.2 undefined
BB% 8.3 7.5 -0.8 undefined
Swing % 47.8 48.1 0.3 undefined
Whiff% 17.2 21.2 4 undefined
In Zone % 53.7 50.6 -3.1 undefined
Out of Zone % 46.3 49.4 3.1 undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 22.6 26.7 4.1 undefined
First Pitch Swing % 36.1 29.9 -6.2 undefined
First Pitch Strike % 69.4 64.2 -5.2 undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2019 36 .335 15 0 0.0 21 11 52.4
2020 67 .425 38 0 0.0 29 6 20.7

Pitch Distribution