P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 0" 190 lbs | Age: 30
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 4.91 4 0 0 3.2 3 1.64
2022 2 1 5.00 18 0 0 18 10 1.50
2023 0 0 6.05 17 2 0 19.1 14 2.02
5 Seasons 3 1 6.43 61 2 0 63 45 1.78
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 4 0-0 4.91 3.2 3 1.64
2022 18 2-1 5.00 18 10 1.50
2023 17 0-0 6.05 19.1 14 2.02
5 Seasons 61 3-1 6.43 63 45 1.78
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 134 27 3 11.1 8.3 87.8 107.0 9.2 37.0 .247 .558 .335 .353 .394 33.3 16.7 8.3 5.19 5.66
2020 24 235 49 2 4.1 3.0 90.9 110.9 5.3 36.7 .320 .449 .425 .371 .423 36.7 17.9 7.5 10.13 6.12
2021 25 66 13 0 0.0 0.0 93.0 114.2 17.2 23.1 .257 .372 .292 .318 .334 53.8 16.7 11.1 4.91 4.33
2022 26 330 60 5 8.3 6.1 91.2 109.5 15.4 38.3 .270 .438 .331 .354 .357 45.0 12.2 13.4 5.00 5.38
2023 27 362 59 3 5.1 3.1 90.5 109.3 15.9 39.0 .278 .437 .347 .399 .387 39.0 14.4 22.7 6.05 7.26
Player 1127 208 13 6.3 4.3 90.6 114.2 12.5 37.0 .280 .451 .356 .370 .384 40.4 15.0 14.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Guerra relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(35.1%) ,
Sinker
(33.1%) ,
Slider
(16.0%) ,
Sweeper
(15.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2019 48.1 51.9 37.0 14.8 0.0 55.6 22.2 22.2 40.7 7.4 0.0 14.8 14.8 22.2
2020 51.0 49.0 10.2 34.7 4.1 32.7 36.7 30.6 16.3 24.5 10.2 16.3 12.2 20.4
2021 46.2 53.8 30.8 15.4 7.7 30.8 23.1 46.2 15.4 23.1 7.7 15.4 0.0 38.5
2022 40.0 60.0 26.7 26.7 6.7 28.3 40.0 31.7 18.3 16.7 5.0 10.0 23.3 26.7
2023 40.7 59.3 32.2 18.6 8.5 37.3 39.0 23.7 23.7 10.2 6.8 13.6 28.8 16.9
Player 44.2 55.8 26.0 24.0 5.8 35.6 35.6 28.8 22.1 15.9 6.3 13.5 19.7 22.6
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 0.0 40.7 29.6 14.8 3.7 11.1 8.3
2020 4.1 34.7 12.2 34.7 8.2 4.1 3.0
2021 7.7 30.8 23.1 30.8 7.7 0.0 0.0
2022 1.7 33.3 28.3 16.7 11.7 8.3 6.1
2023 3.4 23.7 27.1 32.2 8.5 5.1 3.1
Player 2.9 31.7 24.0 26.0 8.7 6.3 4.3
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 Sinker TB R 120 97.4 22.5 -0.9 18.4ARM 1.9 6.4 1.3 18.4ARM 3.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball TB R 127 97.8 12.8 0.9 9.5ARM 0.5 15.9 0.1 9.5ARM 2.1
2023 Sweeper TB R 57 83.6 32.7 -5.4 13.4GLV 0.0 6.6 -5.3 13.4GLV -0.7
2023 Slider TB R 58 88.7 28.1 -4.3 2.1GLV -2.0 6.6 -5.0 2.1GLV -2.9
2022 4-Seam Fastball TB R 50 98.4 10.0 3.0 10.4ARM 1.5 18.6 2.4 10.4ARM 3.0
2022 Sinker TB R 183 97.2 18.7 -2.9 18.3ARM 2.3 10.5 -2.2 18.3ARM 3.6
2022 Slider TB R 97 88.3 29.4 -3.0 2.9GLV -0.7 5.7 -3.9 2.9GLV -2.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 1 127 35.1 38 .179 .214 .312 28.1 26.3 24.4 .204 .329 .352 38.9
2023 Sinker -1.2 -1 120 33.1 34 .333 .500 .440 7.1 2.9 10.0 .411 .595 .517 54.2
2023 Slider 3.1 2 58 16.0 11 .000 .000 .064 27.8 18.2 20.0 .152 .197 .200 12.5
2023 Sweeper -4.3 -2 57 15.7 11 .400 .700 .491 26.7 9.1 5.6 .294 .596 .403 22.2
2022 Sinker 0.2 0 183 55.5 49 .220 .341 .335 9.5 8.2 9.3 .303 .425 .380 40.5
2022 Slider -4.0 -4 97 29.4 19 .375 .875 .539 28.6 10.5 6.5 .295 .622 .423 46.7
2022 4-Seam Fastball 3.2 2 50 15.2 12 .083 .083 .075 31.8 33.3 15.4 .125 .239 .152 62.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 4-Seam Fastball 127 97.8 92 18.3 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 120 97.4 95 20.1 1:45 2:30 -45
2023 Slider 58 88.7 36 6.5 11:45 11:00 45
2023 Sweeper 56 83.6 46 15.1 8:45 9:45 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 50 98.4 96 21.1 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Sinker 182 97.2 96 21.6 1:45 2:00 -15
2022 Slider 97 88.3 31 6.2 11:30 10:45 45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 36 134 -5 3 0 0 -3
2020 67 235 -1 -1 -2 -1 -5
2021 18 66 0 0 -1 0 0
2022 80 330 3 1 -4 -2 -2
2023 94 362 10 -4 -5 -3 -2
Player 295 1,127 8 -1 -12 8 -12
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 134 53.7 69.4 86.0 22.6 71.4 42.5 69.4 47.8 17.2 9.7 84.6
2020 235 50.6 68.9 82.9 26.7 67.7 42.1 64.2 48.1 21.2 6.0 50.0
2021 66 51.5 79.4 85.2 28.1 77.8 37.9 55.6 54.5 16.7 9.1 100.0
2022 330 50.3 68.7 84.2 16.5 74.1 39.7 58.8 42.7 17.7 9.7 93.8
2023 362 46.1 64.1 83.2 16.4 62.5 36.7 53.2 38.4 21.6 8.8 84.4
Player 1,127 49.5 68.1 83.9 19.9 69.0 39.5 59.3 43.7 19.5 8.6 83.5
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2019 98 57 21
2020 99 26 32
2021 99 14 4
2022 94 38 9
2023 94 47 26
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.99 3 2.0 1 1 0 2 66.7
2020 24.46 1 0.8 0 0 1 0 0.0
2021 -- 0 0.5 -1 1 1 0 --
2022 21.04 3 3.3 0 0 3 1 33.3
2023 22.90 2 2.2 0 1 2 1 50.0
Player 22.67 9 8.9 0 3 7 4 44.4
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2019 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2
2020 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2021 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 0
2022 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 1 2 3 2 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3
2023 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
Player 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 5 6 7 7 11 9 9 10 9 8 8 9 10 9 11 10 9 8 10 12 10 9 8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021 +/-   2020 +/-   2019
Results
BA .236 +.004 .232 -.018 .250 -.167 .417 +.198 .219
xBA .278 +.008 .270 +.013 .257 -.063 .320 +.073 .247
OBP .423 +.077 .346 +.013 .333 -.130 .463 +.185 .278
xOBP .459 +.081 .378 +.038 .340 -.045 .385 +.082 .303
SLG .347 -.073 .420 +.107 .313 -.204 .517 -.046 .563
xSLG .437 -.001 .438 +.066 .372 -.077 .449 -.109 .558
ISO .111 -.077 .188 +.125 .063 -.037 .100 -.244 .344
xISO .159 -.009 .168 +.054 .114 -.015 .129 -.182 .311
BABIP .263 +.031 .232 -.076 .308 -.192 .500 +.333 .167
wOBA .347 +.016 .331 +.039 .292 -.133 .425 +.090 .335
xwOBA .399 +.045 .354 +.036 .318 -.053 .371 +.018 .353
wOBACON .305 -.021 .326 +.028 .298 -.196 .494 +.124 .370
xwOBACON .387 +.030 .357 +.023 .334 -.089 .423 +.029 .394
BACON .288 +.017 .271 -.037 .308 -.202 .510 +.251 .259
xBACON .348 +.032 .316 -.001 .317 -.087 .404 +.111 .293
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 39.0 -6.0 45.0 -8.8 53.8 +17.1 36.7 +3.4 33.3
Avg Exit Velocity 90.5 -0.7 91.2 -1.8 93.0 +2.1 90.9 +3.1 87.8
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 39.0 +0.7 38.3 +15.2 23.1 -13.6 36.7 -0.3 37.0
Barrel % 5.1 -3.2 8.3 +8.3 0.0 -4.1 4.1 -7.0 11.1
Avg Launch Angle 15.9 +0.5 15.4 -1.8 17.2 +11.9 5.3 -3.9 9.2
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.7 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Angle -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 33.3 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 37° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 97.6 +0.1 97.5 -0.9 98.4 0.0 98.4 +0.4 98.0
Breaking Velocity 86.2 -2.1 88.3 -0.9 89.2 +1.4 87.8 +0.4 87.4
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- 91.9 -- --
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 -2 5 +5 0 -2 2 -1 3
Popup % 8.5 +1.8 6.7 -1.0 7.7 +3.6 4.1 +4.1 0.0
Flyball % 32.2 +5.5 26.7 -4.1 30.8 +20.6 10.2 -26.8 37.0
Line Drive % 18.6 -8.1 26.7 +11.3 15.4 -19.3 34.7 +19.9 14.8
Groundball % 40.7 +0.7 40.0 -6.2 46.2 -4.8 51.0 +2.9 48.1
Pull % 37.3 +9.0 28.3 -2.5 30.8 -1.9 32.7 -22.9 55.6
Straight Away % 39.0 -1.0 40.0 +16.9 23.1 -13.6 36.7 +14.5 22.2
Opposite Field % 23.7 -8.0 31.7 -14.5 46.2 +15.6 30.6 +8.4 22.2
Weak Contact % 3.4 +1.7 1.7 -6.0 7.7 +3.6 4.1 +4.1 0.0
Pull Airball % 13.6 +3.6 10.0 -5.4 15.4 -0.9 16.3 +1.5 14.8
Topped Contact % 23.7 -9.6 33.3 +2.5 30.8 -3.9 34.7 -6.0 40.7
Under Contact % 27.1 -1.2 28.3 +5.2 23.1 +10.9 12.2 -17.4 29.6
Flare/Burner Contact % 32.2 +15.5 16.7 -14.1 30.8 -3.9 34.7 +19.9 14.8
Solid Contact % 8.5 -3.2 11.7 +4.0 7.7 -0.5 8.2 +4.5 3.7
HR/FB % 10.5 -8.3 18.8 +18.8 0.0 -20.0 20.0 -10.0 30.0
Popups 5 +1 4 +3 1 -1 2 +2 0
Flyballs 19 +3 16 +12 4 -1 5 -5 10
Line Drives 11 -5 16 +14 2 -15 17 +13 4
Groundballs 24 0 24 +18 6 -19 25 +12 13
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 46.1 -4.2 50.3 -1.2 51.5 +0.9 50.6 -3.1 53.7
Out of Zone % 53.9 +4.2 49.7 +1.2 48.5 -0.9 49.4 +3.1 46.3
Edge % 36.7 -3.0 39.7 +1.8 37.9 -4.2 42.1 -0.4 42.5
Zone Swing % 64.1 -4.6 68.7 -10.7 79.4 +10.5 68.9 -0.5 69.4
Out of Zone Swing % 16.4 -0.1 16.5 -11.6 28.1 +1.4 26.7 +4.1 22.6
In Zone Contact % 83.2 -1.0 84.2 -1.0 85.2 +2.3 82.9 -3.1 86.0
Out of Zone Contact % 62.5 -11.6 74.1 -3.7 77.8 +10.1 67.7 -3.7 71.4
Whiff % 21.6 +3.9 17.7 +1.0 16.7 -4.5 21.2 +4.0 17.2
First Strike % 53.2 -5.6 58.8 +3.2 55.6 -8.6 64.2 -5.2 69.4
First Pitch Swing % 22.3 -5.2 27.5 -22.5 50.0 +20.1 29.9 -6.2 36.1
Swing % 38.4 -4.3 42.7 -11.8 54.5 +6.4 48.1 +0.3 47.8
Meatball Swing % 84.4 -9.4 93.8 -6.2 100.0 +50.0 50.0 -34.6 84.6
Meatball % 8.8 -0.9 9.7 +0.6 9.1 +3.1 6.0 -3.7 9.7
Zone Swing & Miss % 16.8 +1.0 15.8 +1.0 14.8 -2.3 17.1 +3.1 14.0
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 37.5 +11.6 25.9 +3.7 22.2 -10.1 32.3 +3.7 28.6
In Zone 167 +1 166 +132 34 -85 119 +47 72
Out of Zone 195 +31 164 +132 32 -84 116 +54 62
Edge 133 +2 131 +106 25 -74 99 +42 57
In Zone Swings 107 -7 114 +87 27 -55 82 +32 50
Out of Zone Swings 32 +5 27 +18 9 -22 31 +17 14
In Zone Swing & Misses 18 0 18 +14 4 -10 14 +7 7
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 12 +5 7 +5 2 -8 10 +6 4
Basic
Pitches 362 +32 330 +264 66 -169 235 +101 134
PA 97 +15 82 +64 18 -49 67 +31 36
AB 72 +3 69 +53 16 -44 60 +28 32
Hits 17 +1 16 +12 4 -21 25 +18 7
Singles 13 +4 9 +6 3 -18 21 +19 2
Doubles 2 -2 4 +3 1 -2 3 +1 2
Triples 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Home Runs 2 -1 3 +3 0 -1 1 -2 3
Walks 22 +11 11 +9 2 -3 5 +2 3
Strikeouts 14 +4 10 +7 3 -9 12 +6 6
K% 14.4 +2.2 12.2 -4.5 16.7 -1.2 17.9 +1.2 16.7
BB% 22.7 +9.3 13.4 +2.3 11.1 +3.6 7.5 -0.8 8.3
HBP 2 +1 1 +1 0 -1 1 +1 0
Batted Balls 59 -1 60 +47 13 -36 49 +22 27
Number of Fastballs 247 +14 233 +174 59 -101 160 +57 103
Number of Offspeed 0 0 0 0 0 -11 11 +11 0
Number of Breaking 58 -39 97 +90 7 -57 64 +33 31
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 36 .335 15 0 0.0 21 11 52.4
2020 Shifts 67 .425 38 0 0.0 29 6 20.7
2021 Shifts 18 .292 11 2 18.2 7 4 57.1
2022 Shifts 80 .331 53 7 13.2 27 13 48.1
2023 Shades 94 .347 54 5 9.3 40 5 12.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 48 18.7 14.6% 0.0% 13 23.4 0.0% 0.0%
2020 59 19.0 3.4% 3.4% 38 21.9 0.0% 13.2%
2021 10 18.7 0.0% 0.0% 17 23.5 0.0% 5.9%
2022 108 19.5 2.8% 1.9% 57 24.0 1.8% 8.8%
2023 91 16.3 11.0% 1.1% 88 19.3 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution