James Paxton
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 4" 227LBS | Age: 33

Draft: 2010 | Rd: 4, #132, Seattle Mariners

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 6.75 1 1 0 1.1 2 0.75
9 Seasons 57 33 3.59 137 137 0 754.2 831 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 1 0-0 6.75 1.1 2 0.75
9 Seasons 137 57-33 3.59 754.2 831 1.21

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 26 1111 212 15 7.1 5.1 90.1 116.3 8.7 27.4 .252 .421 .309 .329 .369 37.7 18.9 9.8 3.90 4.55
2016 27 1950 369 15 4.1 2.9 90.6 117.0 8.2 29.8 .248 .368 .306 .282 .351 41.9 22.9 4.7 3.79 3.33
2017 28 2268 356 10 2.8 1.8 87.2 112.2 12.3 31.7 .213 .306 .263 .256 .320 31.3 28.3 6.7 2.98 2.76
2018 29 2603 394 34 8.6 5.3 90.1 114.5 14.6 34.5 .217 .373 .287 .283 .393 42.6 32.2 6.5 3.76 3.35
2019 30 2665 390 29 7.4 4.6 89.2 113.4 17.6 35.1 .221 .379 .310 .291 .372 38.5 29.4 8.7 3.82 3.69
2020 31 356 56 6 10.7 6.7 90.7 109.2 18.4 37.5 .227 .442 .368 .315 .406 44.6 28.9 7.8 6.64 4.21
2021 32 24 2 0 0 0 66.2 81.8 14.5 0.0 .044 .046 .138 .170 .080 0.0 40.0 20.0 6.75 1.25
Player 10977 1779 109 6.1 4 89.4 117.0 12.9 32.3 .227 .367 .296 .285 .362 38.6 27.5 7.1
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 32.8 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Paxton relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(66.7%) ,
Cutter
(29.2%) ,
Curveball
(4.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 49.5 23.1 22.6 4.7 36.3 38.7 25.0 1.9 38.7 23.1 22.2 5.7 7.1 5.1
2016 48.8 20.9 25.2 5.1 33.6 35.2 31.2 3.3 36.6 20.6 26.3 4.1 4.1 2.9
2017 45.8 20.5 25.8 7.9 34.0 32.9 33.1 3.9 34.6 25.8 27.0 5.1 2.8 1.8
2018 41.1 27.7 23.9 7.4 33.5 36.8 29.7 2.5 29.2 25.1 24.9 4.8 8.6 5.3
2019 40.3 25.4 22.6 11.8 37.9 34.6 27.4 4.4 25.6 29.0 25.4 7.4 7.4 4.6
2020 32.1 35.7 25.0 7.1 32.1 42.9 25.0 1.8 19.6 33.9 25.0 8.9 10.7 6.7
2021 50.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 50.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Player 44.2 24.0 24.1 7.7 34.9 35.6 29.6 3.3 31.9 25.2 25.4 5.5 6.1 4.0
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 32.9 24.5 24.3 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Cutter SEA L 7 86.1 32.5 -2.7 -9 1.1 -2.4 -69
2021 Curveball SEA L 1 78.1 52.2 -3.2 -6 5.0 -2.0 -28
2021 4-Seamer SEA L 16 94.1 13.2 0.6 4 12.1 5.8 92
2020 4-Seamer NYY L 202 92.1 18.3 -2.3 -14 14.1 6.9 97
2020 Curveball NYY L 56 79.7 50.3 -1.7 -3 5.2 -4.4 -46
2020 Changeup NYY L 45 82.0 36.0 3.5 11 15.5 2.6 20
2020 Cutter NYY L 53 85.4 31.9 -1.0 -3 0.1 -3.1 -103
2019 Cutter NYY L 532 88.1 30.7 -3.2 -12 1.6 -0.3 -15
2019 Curveball NYY L 503 81.1 48.8 -3.3 -6 3.3 -4.7 -59
2019 Changeup NYY L 32 86.2 29.3 0.0 0 11.9 -1.5 -11
2019 4-Seamer NYY L 1,596 95.4 14.7 -0.2 -1 11.4 3.9 52
2018 Changeup SEA L 9 86.6 26.4 -3.0 -10 12.6 -0.7 -5
2018 Cutter SEA L 361 89.0 29.5 -3.0 -11 0.0 -2.0 -101
2018 4-Seamer SEA L 1,580 95.4 14.8 -0.2 -2 11.9 4.7 64
2018 Curveball SEA L 543 81.2 49.7 -2.2 -4 3.8 -3.6 -48
2017 Cutter SEA L 242 88.8 27.6 -2.8 -11 0.4 -1.3 -79
2017 Changeup SEA L 55 86.9 24.1 -2.1 -8 11.9 -1.3 -10
2017 4-Seamer SEA L 1,480 95.5 12.3 0.3 2 9.9 2.2 29
2017 Curveball SEA L 484 80.4 49.5 -1.4 -3 7.7 0.2 2
2016 Curveball SEA L 213 82.5 49.0 2.1 4 5.7 -0.7 -11
2016 Sinker SEA L 68 91.3 22.4 1.7 8 8.9 -4.3 -32
2016 Changeup SEA L 150 89.4 24.4 0.3 1 11.5 -1.8 -13
2016 4-Seamer SEA L 1,087 97.5 13.4 -1.5 -13 12.0 3.0 33
2016 Cutter SEA L 325 90.3 26.8 -4.2 -18 0.6 -1.1 -232
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 4-Seamer -1.7 0 16 66.7 4 .000 .000 .175 14.3 25.0 20.0 .059 .062 .215 0.0
2021 Cutter -3.3 0 7 29.2 1 .000 .000 .000 60.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 [object Object]
2021 Curveball -7.0 0 1 4.2 -- -- -- [object Object] [object Object] [object Object] -- -- -- [object Object]
2020 4-Seamer 1.2 2 202 56.7 53 .313 .625 .423 18.7 20.8 19.0 .251 .492 .347 48.6
2020 Curveball -1.6 -1 56 15.7 16 .200 .267 .191 25.0 37.5 27.3 .162 .254 .168 20.0
2020 Cutter 6.7 4 53 14.9 13 .385 .692 .458 41.4 38.5 18.5 .265 .525 .332 50.0
2020 Changeup 0.7 0 45 12.6 8 .000 .000 .263 68.4 50.0 26.7 .096 .301 .363 100.0
2019 4-Seamer -0.1 -2 1,596 59.9 347 .266 .479 .365 24.4 21.6 17.0 .247 .442 .336 40.3
2019 Cutter 0.7 4 532 20.0 149 .254 .430 .309 43.3 40.3 25.3 .208 .347 .247 42.9
2019 Curveball -1.8 -9 503 18.9 130 .178 .288 .242 37.4 38.5 23.9 .168 .261 .228 27.1
2019 Changeup -3.4 -1 32 1.2 7 .000 .000 .100 53.8 14.3 20.0 .276 .305 .284 40.0
2018 4-Seamer -0.7 -11 1,580 60.7 367 .245 .413 .324 25.9 25.6 23.3 .243 .430 .328 45.6
2018 Curveball 0.2 1 543 20.9 119 .235 .403 .278 40.2 34.5 25.2 .228 .378 .265 35.9
2018 Cutter -1.7 -6 361 13.9 134 .145 .260 .184 36.6 51.5 26.6 .145 .234 .176 40.3
2018 Changeup 2.4 0 9 0.3 1 1.000 1.000 .900 50.0 0.0 [object Object] .933 1.062 .866 0.0
2017 4-Seamer -1.2 -17 1,480 65.3 337 .248 .351 .300 23.3 18.7 17.6 .253 .357 .301 31.8
2017 Curveball -1.0 -5 484 21.3 117 .162 .261 .220 40.8 48.7 26.9 .132 .200 .182 25.9
2017 Cutter -2.2 -5 242 10.7 81 .195 .234 .214 37.3 43.2 24.1 .162 .213 .188 31.0
2017 Changeup 3.0 2 55 2.4 14 .286 .714 .411 22.7 0.0 [object Object] .296 .592 .368 42.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 43 82.0 83 16.7 9:30 9:15 15
2020 Curveball 54 79.7 62 11.2 4:30 5:00 -30
2020 Cutter 45 85.5 35 4.8 10:45 12:00 -75
2020 4-Seam Fastball 197 92.1 99 19.9 10:15 10:30 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 16 94.1 99 21.4 10:45 10:45 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2013 89 367 -5 -4 2 1 -6
2014 301 1,178 -8 -10 5 3 -10
2015 295 1,109 -12 -4 8 5 -3
2016 483 1,845 0 -7 9 3 4
2017 549 2,261 -24 -14 7 6 -25
2018 621 2,494 -2 -23 4 5 -16
2019 691 2,912 -6 -30 17 10 -9
2020 90 356 3 -1 2 1 5
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,111 47.3 62.3 87.2 21.9 62.5 43.0 53.5 41.0 19.1 7.7 61.6
2016 1,950 54.2 66.4 82.7 30.7 52.1 46.3 62.4 49.8 25.5 7.5 74.8
2017 2,268 53.3 67.3 77.9 26.5 53.2 43.7 64.9 48.2 28.2 8.5 75.6
2018 2,603 54.8 69.8 77.9 32.6 47.0 43.5 66.2 52.6 30.0 8.9 77.4
2019 2,665 48.4 70.8 77.4 30.5 50.8 44.7 65.7 49.9 30.7 6.0 81.8
2020 356 49.2 69.7 82.0 33.7 50.8 36.8 68.9 51.4 28.4 9.0 68.8
2021 24 37.5 66.7 83.3 40.0 50.0 70.8 100.0 50.0 33.3 0.0 [object Object]
Player 10,977 51.8 68.2 79.6 29.3 51.5 44.1 63.9 49.4 28.0 7.7 75.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 21 35 24 20 27 47 12 4 10 39 13 21 1 78 15 7 47
2016 81 47 69 79 82 48 83 4 4 65 92 70 72 87 23 7 61
2017 93 85 93 97 91 66 96 49 65 85 77 78 37 77 55 5 75
2018 77 76 57 43 90 10 15 7 3 94 79 79 92 74 53 1 53
2019 75 76 67 60 77 23 40 33 33 83 39 82 65 59 40 3 66
2020 50 62 31 17 71 46 13 12 14 76 60 62 91 20 33 9 62
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.3 9 10.3 -1 6 9 4 44.4
2017 22.9 9 9.8 -1 7 9 3 33.3
2018 22.8 23 21.8 1 7 17 10 43.5
2019 22.1 25 22.8 2 10 14 14 56.0
2020 25.0 4 4.0 0 1 4 2 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 9 11 14 10 8 10 8 13 9 9 10 9 6 8 12 13 12 12 9 11 14 5 7 10 11 13 13 10 9 8 14
2017 9 8 15 11 9 10 8 10 9 10 10 12 5 7 9 12 9 11 8 10 13 7 7 13 12 9 12 7 8 9 14
2018 23 19 25 18 21 24 19 28 22 18 23 24 12 18 20 25 18 23 22 23 22 20 23 23 24 28 26 17 21 18 29
2019 25 25 31 20 21 20 25 24 25 22 27 22 17 21 19 26 22 25 19 22 29 18 17 23 22 26 26 18 23 20 30
2020 4 5 4 2 4 4 0 5 4 4 5 5 2 4 3 4 5 5 3 3 5 2 4 4 6 5 3 2 3 3 6
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.6 95.6 1 94.6 -1 94.2 -0.4 93.6 -0.6 90.7 -2.9 91.7 1
Offspeed Velocity 86.5 89.4 2.9 86.9 -2.5 86.6 -0.3 86.2 -0.4 82 -4.2 0 0
Breaking Velocity 81.8 82.5 0.7 80.4 -2.1 81.2 0.8 81.1 -0.1 79.7 -1.4 78.1 -1.6
Exit Velocity 90.1 90.6 0.5 87.2 -3.4 90.1 2.9 89.2 -0.9 90.7 1.5 66.2 -24.5
Launch Angle 8.7 8.2 -0.5 12.3 4.1 14.6 2.3 17.6 3 18.4 0.8 14.5 -3.9
Barrel % 7.1 4.1 -3 2.8 -1.3 8.6 5.8 7.4 -1.2 10.7 3.3 0 -10.7
Hard Hit % 37.7 41.9 4.2 31.3 -10.6 42.6 11.3 38.5 -4.1 44.6 6.1 0 -44.6
Sweet Spot % 27.4 29.8 2.4 31.7 1.9 34.5 2.8 35.1 0.6 37.5 2.4 0 -37.5
xBA .252 .248 -0.004 .213 -0.035 .217 0.004 .221 0.004 .227 0.006 .044 -0.183
BA .253 .279 0.026 .223 -0.056 .224 0.001 .242 0.018 .284 0.042 0 -0.284
xwOBA .329 .282 -0.047 .256 -0.026 .283 0.027 .291 0.008 .315 0.024 .17 -0.145
wOBA .309 .306 -0.003 .263 -0.043 .287 0.024 .31 0.023 .368 0.058 .138 -0.23
xSLG .421 .368 -0.053 .306 -0.062 .373 0.067 .379 0.006 .442 0.063 .046 -0.396
SLG .381 .406 0.025 .324 -0.082 .386 0.062 .423 0.037 .531 0.108 0 -0.531
K% 18.9 22.9 4 28.3 5.4 32.2 3.9 29.4 -2.8 28.9 -0.5 40 11.1
BB% 9.8 4.7 -5.1 6.7 2 6.5 -0.2 8.7 2.2 7.8 -0.9 20 12.2
Swing % 41 49.8 8.8 48.2 -1.6 52.6 4.4 49.9 -2.7 51.4 1.5 50 -1.4
Whiff% 19.1 25.5 6.4 28.2 2.7 30 1.8 30.7 0.7 28.4 -2.3 33.3 4.9
In Zone % 47.3 54.2 6.9 53.3 -0.9 54.8 1.5 48.4 -6.4 49.2 0.8 37.5 -11.7
Out of Zone % 52.7 45.8 -6.9 46.7 0.9 45.2 -1.5 51.6 6.4 50.8 -0.8 62.5 11.7
Out of Zone Swing % 21.9 30.7 8.8 26.5 -4.2 32.6 6.1 30.5 -2.1 33.7 3.2 40 6.3
First Pitch Swing % 22.2 29.2 7 27.2 -2 31.9 4.7 32.4 0.5 34.4 2 60 25.6
First Pitch Strike % 53.5 62.4 8.9 64.9 2.5 66.2 1.3 65.7 -0.5 68.9 3.2 100 31.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 481 .315 400 13 3.3 81 31 38.3
2017 550 .263 459 1 0.2 91 12 13.2
2018 621 .280 517 4 0.8 104 7 6.7
2019 633 .310 479 60 12.5 154 71 46.1
2020 89 .372 67 12 17.9 22 13 59.1
2021 5 .138 4 0 0.0 1 0 0.0

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty