Jake Arrieta
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 230LBS | Age: 38
Draft: 2007 | Rd: 5, #159, Baltimore Orioles | Texas Christian
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2019 8 8 4.64 24 24 0 135.2 110 1.47
2020 4 4 5.08 9 9 0 44.1 32 1.51
2021 5 14 7.39 24 24 0 98.2 83 1.77
12 Seasons 115 93 3.98 285 279 0 1,612.1 1,433 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2019 24 8-8 4.64 135.2 110 1.47
2020 9 4-4 5.08 44.1 32 1.51
2021 24 5-14 7.39 98.2 83 1.77
12 Seasons 285 115-93 3.98 1,612.1 1,433 1.25
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 3438 580 13 2.2 1.5 85.1 111.5 4.4 27.6 .202 .281 .225 .241 .300 24.7 27.1 5.5 1.77 2.37
2016 30 3124 523 25 4.8 3.1 86.7 109.8 6.5 30.8 .226 .350 .261 .291 .336 29.6 23.9 9.6 3.10 3.53
2017 31 2743 479 27 5.6 3.8 87.4 112.3 10.6 31.3 .240 .396 .306 .305 .358 33.3 23.1 7.8 3.53 3.98
2018 32 2760 520 29 5.6 4.0 87.8 111.3 8.6 32.9 .249 .392 .315 .312 .348 31.7 19.1 7.9 3.96 4.12
2019 33 2192 426 29 6.8 4.9 89.3 114.0 6.8 33.8 .266 .446 .339 .337 .378 37.6 18.5 8.6 4.64 5.09
2020 34 729 141 11 7.8 5.8 88.9 111.3 6.7 35.5 .290 .455 .351 .359 .400 38.3 16.8 8.4 5.08 5.66
2021 35 1746 336 31 9.2 6.6 90.9 114.3 9.1 37.2 .285 .508 .400 .373 .420 44.3 17.7 9.4 7.39 6.19
Player 16732 3005 165 5.5 3.8 87.6 114.3 7.5 32.0 .241 .385 .300 .305 .353 32.8 21.9 8.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Arrieta relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(52.7%) ,
Slider
(23.8%) ,
Curveball
(15.4%) ,
Changeup
(8.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 57.6 14.0 24.5 4.0 31.4 41.0 26.9 3.8 46.9 17.6 22.6 3.6 2.2 1.5
2016 53.7 16.1 25.0 5.2 39.2 37.7 23.1 4.0 42.4 18.5 22.9 5.0 4.8 3.1
2017 45.5 24.2 25.5 4.8 34.4 41.3 23.6 4.4 34.7 24.6 24.4 5.4 5.6 3.8
2018 51.9 18.5 24.2 5.4 36.3 40.4 23.3 1.9 41.7 20.0 25.2 4.8 5.6 4.0
2019 52.6 17.4 25.6 4.5 35.2 43.0 21.8 1.6 41.5 17.4 26.3 5.6 6.8 4.9
2020 51.8 17.7 27.0 3.5 30.5 41.8 27.7 1.4 41.8 15.6 27.7 3.5 7.8 5.8
2021 45.8 24.1 27.4 2.7 40.5 33.6 25.9 4.8 33.6 20.8 24.7 6.8 9.2 6.6
Player 51.7 18.5 25.3 4.5 35.6 39.9 24.3 3.3 40.8 19.5 24.4 5.0 5.5 3.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop		vs.
Comparable		Horizontal
Break		vs.
Comparable		Vertical
Break		vs. AvgHorizontal
Break		vs. Avg
2021 Sinker SD R 920 91.4 24.0 1.4 15.7ARM 1.3 8.9 -0.1 15.7ARM 1.0
2021 Changeup SD R 142 87.0 34.4 4.9 16.2ARM 2.0 1.8 4.5 16.2ARM 2.3
2021 Slider SD R 415 88.3 28.1 -4.1 3.4GLV 0.1 6.8 -5.0 3.4GLV -2.3
2021 Curveball SD R 269 80.4 52.9 0.7 12.1GLV 4.5 -10.2 0.1 12.1GLV 2.9
2020 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 3 91.9 18.5 -2.7 6.7ARM 0.3 13.9 -2.1 6.7ARM -0.6
2020 Curveball PHI R 53 81.8 50.8 0.8 12.2GLV 4.8 -9.6 -0.1 12.2GLV 3.0
2020 Sinker PHI R 376 92.0 23.7 1.8 16.1ARM 1.7 8.7 0.4 16.1ARM 1.3
2020 Slider PHI R 166 88.8 27.6 -3.9 3.6GLV 0.5 7.0 -5.5 3.6GLV -1.7
2020 Changeup PHI R 123 87.3 37.6 8.3 16.5ARM 2.8 -1.4 7.8 16.5ARM 3.1
2019 Changeup PHI R 398 87.5 35.7 6.5 17.0ARM 3.0 0.8 6.1 17.0ARM 3.5
2019 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 22 91.9 18.6 -1.9 8.0ARM 0.9 14.5 -1.1 8.0ARM 0.6
2019 Curveball PHI R 293 80.6 54.7 1.8 13.7GLV 6.1 -10.5 0.8 13.7GLV 4.5
2019 Slider PHI R 263 89.7 26.0 -5.0 2.9GLV -0.2 8.6 -6.8 2.9GLV -2.2
2019 Sinker PHI R 1216 92.5 23.2 0.9 16.4ARM 1.8 9.4 -0.3 16.4ARM 1.5
2018 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 47 92.4 17.4 -1.2 8.2ARM 1.3 15.1 -0.6 8.2ARM 1.0
2018 Sinker PHI R 1483 93.0 22.2 0.8 15.6ARM 1.1 9.9 -0.6 15.6ARM 0.9
2018 Changeup PHI R 293 88.0 33.1 4.3 14.7ARM 0.8 2.8 3.9 14.7ARM 1.4
2018 Curveball PHI R 284 80.7 55.7 2.6 13.5GLV 6.0 -11.8 2.2 13.5GLV 4.3
2018 Slider PHI R 652 89.4 29.1 -2.0 5.3GLV 1.7 5.7 -3.9 5.3GLV 0.0
2017 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 57 92.2 15.8 -1.1 5.6ARM -1.9 16.8 -0.3 5.6ARM -2.5
2017 Curveball CHC R 390 78.8 56.4 2.7 13.7GLV 6.2 -10.3 2.3 13.7GLV 5.1
2017 Slider CHC R 381 87.9 30.1 -0.8 5.7GLV 2.6 6.0 -2.4 5.7GLV 1.5
2017 Changeup CHC R 226 87.3 30.9 3.9 14.4ARM 0.8 5.5 3.0 14.4ARM 0.8
2017 Sinker CHC R 1672 92.2 20.6 0.3 14.4ARM -0.1 12.0 -1.2 14.4ARM -1.0
2016 Sinker CHC R 1378 94.5 19.5 -0.7 13.2ARM -0.5 11.8 -2.2 13.2ARM -0.1
2016 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 635 94.2 16.0 -1.0 8.9ARM 2.1 15.5 -0.3 8.9ARM 2.5
2016 Curveball CHC R 382 81.2 58.4 6.4 11.9GLV 3.6 -15.8 5.8 11.9GLV 0.9
2016 Changeup CHC R 148 89.3 29.9 2.4 15.2ARM 2.7 5.0 2.1 15.2ARM 3.9
2016 Slider CHC R 556 89.8 30.7 1.0 7.7GLV 3.2 3.6 -1.1 7.7GLV 1.7
2015 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 614 95.1 15.8 -1.2 7.7ARM 0.9 15.0 -0.8 7.7ARM 1.0
2015 Slider CHC R 983 90.8 29.5 0.3 6.9GLV 2.5 4.1 -1.9 6.9GLV 0.9
2015 Sinker CHC R 1125 95.3 19.0 -1.1 13.1ARM -0.5 11.7 -2.7 13.1ARM -0.4
2015 Curveball CHC R 523 81.2 59.2 7.5 11.8GLV 2.9 -16.6 7.1 11.8GLV 1.0
2015 Changeup CHC R 158 89.5 31.8 3.5 16.1ARM 3.8 3.1 4.1 16.1ARM 4.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker -2.4 -22 920 52.7 240 .373 .632 .479 11.6 10.0 13.9 .306 .538 .401 43.3
2021 Slider -1.4 -6 415 23.8 116 .260 .540 .387 21.1 25.0 21.8 .277 .528 .378 44.6
2021 Curveball 0.4 1 269 15.4 57 .189 .396 .257 35.4 40.4 22.5 .199 .400 .265 40.6
2021 Changeup -4.8 -7 142 8.1 53 .354 .500 .376 12.7 13.2 12.5 .304 .456 .349 51.2
2020 Sinker -2.2 -8 380 52.1 93 .402 .634 .491 7.8 9.7 13.6 .382 .607 .456 43.8
2020 Slider 3.6 6 169 23.2 50 .178 .267 .219 25.3 28.0 23.3 .175 .340 .266 33.3
2020 Changeup -0.9 -1 124 17.0 42 .256 .359 .306 30.6 21.4 16.1 .225 .269 .255 33.3
2020 Curveball 0.8 0 53 7.3 5 .000 .000 .000 26.7 0.0 0.0 .305 .425 .315 20.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 0 3 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker 0.2 2 1,216 55.5 330 .304 .474 .382 11.1 13.0 17.7 .290 .471 .365 38.8
2019 Changeup -0.3 -1 398 18.2 121 .248 .327 .277 31.0 31.4 20.5 .201 .294 .240 31.2
2019 Curveball -0.1 0 293 13.4 53 .204 .265 .276 20.0 17.0 12.9 .225 .301 .262 30.0
2019 Slider -1.6 -4 263 12.0 81 .296 .662 .420 21.2 21.0 19.8 .294 .688 .421 44.6
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 0 22 1.0 6 .400 .400 .360 40.0 50.0 33.3 .303 .425 .302 66.7
2018 Sinker 0.0 0 1,483 53.7 369 .270 .433 .359 13.0 15.7 19.5 .261 .425 .340 33.8
2018 Slider 0.9 6 652 23.6 180 .216 .327 .278 26.3 23.3 20.1 .210 .308 .259 29.8
2018 Changeup -0.9 -3 293 10.6 97 .225 .348 .293 18.2 17.5 12.1 .269 .393 .320 22.2
2018 Curveball -3.9 -11 284 10.3 71 .299 .552 .382 31.4 29.6 17.8 .253 .427 .306 42.6
2018 4-Seam Fastball 1.9 1 47 1.7 5 .400 .400 .360 15.4 0.0 0.0 .286 .351 .286 0.0
2017 Sinker 0.5 8 1,672 61.0 422 .244 .421 .337 14.4 18.5 21.1 .259 .428 .323 35.3
2017 Curveball 0.8 3 390 14.2 80 .162 .338 .246 37.7 40.0 27.1 .162 .285 .226 28.6
2017 Slider -3.0 -11 381 13.9 121 .283 .528 .383 28.1 24.0 23.8 .228 .418 .313 26.6
2017 Changeup 1.8 4 226 8.2 66 .167 .233 .211 31.8 30.3 17.1 .219 .292 .252 34.1
2017 4-Seam Fastball -2.9 -2 57 2.1 11 .444 .556 .486 19.2 27.3 13.0 .333 .438 .397 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 135 87.0 91 17.5 2:15 3:00 -45
2021 Curveball 268 80.4 78 18.0 7:30 7:30 0
2021 Sinker 909 91.4 85 18.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 413 88.3 43 7.3 12:00 10:45 75
2020 Changeup 112 87.3 91 17.9 2:30 3:15 -45
2020 Curveball 50 81.8 76 17.7 7:45 7:30 15
2020 Sinker 363 92.0 86 18.6 1:15 2:15 -60
2020 Slider 159 88.8 44 7.4 12:00 10:45 75
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2010 445 1,705 10 3 -10 -7 -4
2011 521 2,087 5 6 -12 -12 -14
2012 492 1,948 -3 8 -11 -9 -15
2013 323 1,261 3 5 -8 -6 -6
2014 611 2,409 17 21 -5 -7 26
2015 944 3,727 33 49 -9 -14 58
2016 886 3,500 41 23 -16 -10 38
2017 748 2,928 20 17 -18 -14 5
2018 722 2,759 16 5 -15 -13 -7
2019 591 2,192 3 20 -13 -13 -3
2020 190 729 0 9 -8 -4 -3
2021 466 1,746 -6 1 -13 -15 -33
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,438 48.9 62.8 83.1 32.6 56.5 42.5 60.2 47.4 25.0 7.8 72.7
2016 3,124 49.9 62.8 81.9 28.3 57.3 44.0 59.0 45.6 25.0 7.6 76.9
2017 2,743 50.8 62.3 83.8 25.4 64.2 42.8 58.0 44.1 21.1 7.2 70.9
2018 2,760 50.9 63.4 85.5 28.2 66.0 41.2 62.5 46.1 19.1 8.5 67.1
2019 2,192 46.9 62.0 86.5 28.2 69.5 42.5 59.0 44.0 18.0 7.3 73.3
2020 729 45.4 63.1 90.4 23.1 58.7 41.3 60.0 41.3 18.9 6.6 72.9
2021 1,746 49.9 64.3 85.9 22.7 63.3 39.6 58.2 43.5 17.8 7.6 72.9
Player 16,732 49.4 62.9 84.4 27.9 61.8 42.3 59.6 45.2 21.5 7.6 72.3
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 97 92 97 98 95 53 97 98 96 84 81 68 80 84 68 93 59
2016 73 76 79 77 61 29 73 88 84 71 25 65 42 74 69 87 73
2017 59 56 55 51 62 19 56 43 49 61 59 26 26 39 61 81 57
2018 43 35 49 56 44 21 68 65 78 26 55 10 52 50 54 86 48
2019 24 21 30 39 22 23 53 31 41 17 41 3 40 35 37 82 35
2020 15 8 24 46 16 19 40 38 43 13 52 6 15 29 16 65 24
2021 3 6 3 7 7 19 25 8 12 12 34 2 4 19 20 78 15
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted
Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.3 19 19.9 -1 12 18 6 31.6
2017 22.2 24 22.4 2 14 15 11 45.8
2018 22.9 21 18.8 2 11 19 5 23.8
2019 23.3 21 20.7 0 6 10 14 66.7
2020 20.9 6 4.6 1 1 5 1 16.7
2021 22.8 24 22.5 2 10 16 8 33.3
Player 22.6 115 108.9 6 54 83 45 39.1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted
Year HR
2016 19 18 17 21 22 18 24 19 16 16 19 22 21 19 17 22 12 16 18 23 20 15 27 26 22 19 20 29 23 23 13
2017 24 22 20 22 25 22 26 20 16 18 20 33 22 23 22 25 21 21 23 21 23 20 29 23 22 22 21 29 22 23 15
2018 21 26 16 17 18 17 20 16 15 11 17 24 21 16 19 23 15 18 19 23 22 21 25 23 15 16 16 21 24 18 13
2019 21 23 20 22 24 19 22 21 21 18 20 23 22 20 19 19 18 18 20 24 20 20 25 23 18 18 21 23 23 20 18
2020 6 4 5 6 4 5 6 4 3 2 4 5 4 5 6 5 6 5 4 5 5 4 7 4 4 3 4 5 4 5 4
2021 24 25 19 22 24 24 25 23 15 18 21 25 20 20 22 24 21 20 25 25 21 24 28 25 20 19 26 27 23 24 21
Player 115 118 97 110 117 105 123 103 86 83 101 132 110 103 105 118 93 98 109 121 111 104 141 124 101 97 108 134 119 113 84
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.2 94.4 -0.8 ↓ 92.2 -2.2 ↓ 93.0 0.8 ↑ 92.4 -0.6 ↓ 92.0 -0.4 ↓ 91.4 -0.6 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 89.3 -0.2 ↓ 87.3 -2.0 ↓ 88.0 0.7 ↑ 87.5 -0.5 ↓ 87.3 -0.2 ↓ 87.0 -0.3 ↓
Breaking Velocity 87.5 86.3 -1.2 ↓ 83.3 -3.0 ↓ 86.8 3.5 ↑ 84.9 -1.9 ↓ 87.1 2.2 ↑ 85.2 -1.9 ↓
Exit Velocity 85.1 86.7 1.6 ↑ 87.4 0.7 ↑ 87.8 0.4 ↑ 89.3 1.5 ↑ 88.9 -0.4 ↓ 90.9 2.0 ↑
Launch Angle 4.4 6.5 2.1 ↑ 10.6 4.1 ↑ 8.6 -2.0 ↓ 6.8 -1.8 ↓ 6.7 -0.1 ↓ 9.1 2.4 ↑
Barrel % 2.2 4.8 2.6 ↑ 5.6 0.8 ↑ 5.6 0.0 6.8 1.2 ↑ 7.8 1.0 ↑ 9.2 1.4 ↑
Hard Hit % 24.7 29.6 4.9 ↑ 33.3 3.7 ↑ 31.7 -1.6 ↓ 37.6 5.9 ↑ 38.3 0.7 ↑ 44.3 6.0 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.6 30.8 3.2 ↑ 31.3 0.5 ↑ 32.9 1.6 ↑ 33.8 0.9 ↑ 35.5 1.7 ↑ 37.2 1.7 ↑
xBA .202 .226 0.024 ↑ .240 0.014 ↑ .249 0.009 ↑ .266 0.017 ↑ .290 0.024 ↑ .285 -0.005 ↓
BA .185 .194 0.009 ↑ .235 0.041 ↑ .254 0.019 ↑ .283 0.029 ↑ .298 0.015 ↑ .320 0.022 ↑
xwOBA .241 .291 0.050 ↑ .305 0.014 ↑ .312 0.007 ↑ .337 0.025 ↑ .359 0.022 ↑ .373 0.014 ↑
wOBA .225 .261 0.036 ↑ .306 0.045 ↑ .315 0.009 ↑ .339 0.024 ↑ .351 0.012 ↑ .400 0.049 ↑
xSLG .281 .350 0.069 ↑ .396 0.046 ↑ .392 -0.004 ↓ .446 0.054 ↑ .455 0.009 ↑ .508 0.053 ↑
SLG .271 .306 0.035 ↑ .411 0.105 ↑ .407 -0.004 ↓ .448 0.041 ↑ .456 0.008 ↑ .563 0.107 ↑
K% 27.1 23.9 -3.2 ↓ 23.1 -0.8 ↓ 19.1 -4.0 ↓ 18.5 -0.6 ↓ 16.8 -1.7 ↓ 17.7 0.9 ↑
BB% 5.5 9.6 4.1 ↑ 7.8 -1.8 ↓ 7.9 0.1 ↑ 8.6 0.7 ↑ 8.4 -0.2 ↓ 9.4 1.0 ↑
Swing % 47.4 45.6 -1.8 ↓ 44.1 -1.5 ↓ 46.1 2.0 ↑ 44.0 -2.1 ↓ 41.3 -2.7 ↓ 43.5 2.2 ↑
Whiff% 25.0 25.0 0.0 21.1 -3.9 ↓ 19.1 -2.0 ↓ 18.0 -1.1 ↓ 18.9 0.9 ↑ 17.8 -1.1 ↓
In Zone % 48.9 49.9 1.0 ↑ 50.8 0.9 ↑ 50.9 0.1 ↑ 46.9 -4.0 ↓ 45.4 -1.5 ↓ 49.9 4.5 ↑
Out of Zone % 51.1 50.1 -1.0 ↓ 49.2 -0.9 ↓ 49.1 -0.1 ↓ 53.1 4.0 ↑ 54.6 1.5 ↑ 50.1 -4.5 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 32.6 28.3 -4.3 ↓ 25.4 -2.9 ↓ 28.2 2.8 ↑ 28.2 0.0 23.1 -5.1 ↓ 22.7 -0.4 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 28.2 -0.4 ↓ 24.5 -3.7 ↓ 30.1 5.6 ↑ 28.7 -1.4 ↓ 23.2 -5.5 ↓ 26.2 3.0 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 60.2 59.0 -1.2 ↓ 58.0 -1.0 ↓ 62.5 4.5 ↑ 59.0 -3.5 ↓ 60.0 1.0 ↑ 58.2 -1.8 ↓