Jake Arrieta
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 230LBS | Age: 36

Draft: 2007 | Rd: 5, #159, Baltimore Orioles | Texas Christian
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 5 11 6.88 20 20 0 86.1 74 1.76
12 Seasons 115 93 3.98 285 279 0 1612.1 1433 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 20 5-11 6.88 86.1 74 1.76
12 Seasons 285 115-93 3.98 1612.1 1433 1.25

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 29 3438 580 13 2.2 1.5 85.1 111.5 4.4 27.6 .202 .281 .225 .241 .301 24.7 27.1 5.5 1.77 2.35
2016 30 3124 523 25 4.8 3.1 86.7 109.8 6.5 30.8 .226 .350 .261 .291 .336 29.6 23.9 9.6 3.10 3.53
2017 31 2743 479 27 5.6 3.8 87.4 112.3 10.6 31.3 .240 .396 .306 .305 .358 33.3 23.1 7.8 3.53 3.98
2018 32 2760 520 29 5.6 4 87.8 111.3 8.6 32.9 .249 .392 .315 .312 .348 31.7 19.1 7.9 3.96 4.12
2019 33 2192 426 29 6.8 4.9 89.3 114.0 6.8 33.8 .266 .447 .339 .337 .378 37.6 18.5 8.6 4.64 5.09
2020 34 729 141 11 7.8 5.8 88.9 111.3 6.7 35.5 .291 .456 .351 .359 .400 38.3 16.8 8.4 5.08 5.66
2021 35 1746 336 31 9.2 6.6 90.9 114.3 9.1 37.2 .285 .509 .400 .373 .420 44.3 17.7 9.4 7.39 6.19
Player 16732 3005 165 5.5 3.8 87.6 114.3 7.5 32.0 .242 .385 .300 .305 .353 32.8 21.9 8.0
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Arrieta relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(52.7%) ,
Slider
(23.8%) ,
Curveball
(15.4%) ,
Changeup
(8.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 57.6 14.0 24.5 4.0 31.6 41.6 26.9 3.8 46.9 17.6 22.6 3.6 2.2 1.5
2016 53.7 16.1 25.0 5.2 39.2 37.7 23.1 4.0 42.4 18.5 22.9 5.0 4.8 3.1
2017 45.5 24.2 25.5 4.8 34.4 41.3 23.6 4.4 34.7 24.6 24.4 5.4 5.6 3.8
2018 51.9 18.5 24.2 5.4 36.3 40.4 23.3 1.9 41.7 20.0 25.2 4.8 5.6 4.0
2019 52.6 17.4 25.6 4.5 35.2 43.0 21.8 1.6 41.5 17.4 26.3 5.6 6.8 4.9
2020 51.8 17.7 27.0 3.5 30.5 41.8 27.7 1.4 41.8 15.6 27.7 3.5 7.8 5.8
2021 45.8 24.1 27.4 2.7 40.5 33.6 25.9 4.8 33.6 20.8 24.7 6.8 9.2 6.6
Player 51.7 18.5 25.3 4.5 35.6 40.0 24.3 3.3 40.8 19.5 24.4 5.0 5.5 3.8
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup SD R 142 87.0 34.4 4.9 17 16.2 2.1 15
2021 Sinker SD R 920 91.4 24.0 1.5 7 15.7 1.3 9
2021 Curveball SD R 269 80.4 52.9 1.3 3 12.1 4.2 52
2021 Slider SD R 415 88.3 28.1 -4.1 -13 3.4 0.0 0
2020 Slider PHI R 166 88.8 27.6 -3.9 -12 3.6 0.5 16
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 3 91.9 18.5 -2.7 -17 6.7 0.3 4
2020 Sinker PHI R 376 92.0 23.7 1.8 8 16.1 1.7 12
2020 Changeup PHI R 123 87.3 37.6 8.3 28 16.5 2.9 21
2020 Curveball PHI R 53 81.8 50.8 1.1 2 12.2 4.7 62
2019 Sinker PHI R 1,216 92.5 23.2 0.9 4 16.4 1.8 12
2019 4-Seamer PHI R 22 91.9 18.6 -1.9 -12 8.0 1.0 14
2019 Curveball PHI R 293 80.6 54.7 1.9 4 13.7 6.1 80
2019 Slider PHI R 263 89.7 26.0 -4.9 -16 2.9 -0.2 -7
2019 Changeup PHI R 398 87.5 35.7 6.4 22 17.0 3.1 22
2018 Curveball PHI R 284 80.7 55.7 2.6 5 13.5 6.0 79
2018 Changeup PHI R 293 88.0 33.1 4.2 15 14.7 0.8 6
2018 Slider PHI R 652 89.4 29.1 -2.0 -6 5.3 1.7 47
2018 4-Seamer PHI R 47 92.4 17.4 -1.2 -8 8.2 1.3 18
2018 Sinker PHI R 1,483 93.0 22.2 0.8 4 15.6 1.1 8
2017 Curveball CHC R 390 78.8 56.4 2.8 5 13.7 6.2 82
2017 Sinker CHC R 1,672 92.2 20.6 0.3 2 14.4 -0.1 0
2017 Changeup CHC R 226 87.3 30.9 3.9 14 14.4 0.9 7
2017 4-Seamer CHC R 57 92.2 15.8 -1.1 -8 5.6 -1.9 -25
2017 Slider CHC R 381 87.9 30.1 -0.9 -3 5.7 2.6 82
2016 Curveball CHC R 382 81.2 55.7 6.1 12 8.1 2.1 34
2016 Sinker CHC R 1,378 94.5 16.1 -1.3 -8 15.6 0.9 6
2016 Slider CHC R 556 89.8 27.9 0.6 2 4.1 2.1 111
2016 Changeup CHC R 148 89.3 26.9 1.9 8 17.2 3.6 27
2016 4-Seamer CHC R 635 94.2 14.3 -1.4 -11 11.4 3.2 39
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker 2.3 21 920 52.7 240 .373 .632 .479 11.6 10.0 13.9 .306 .539 .402 43.3
2021 Slider 1.4 6 415 23.8 116 .260 .540 .387 21.1 25.0 21.8 .278 .529 .378 44.6
2021 Curveball -0.6 -2 269 15.4 57 .189 .396 .257 35.4 40.4 22.5 .199 .400 .265 40.6
2021 Changeup 4.8 7 142 8.1 53 .354 .500 .376 12.7 13.2 12.5 .305 .456 .350 51.2
2020 Sinker 2.2 8 380 52.1 93 .402 .634 .491 7.8 9.7 13.6 .382 .607 .456 43.8
2020 Slider -3.6 -6 169 23.2 50 .178 .267 .219 25.3 28.0 23.3 .176 .340 .267 33.3
2020 Changeup 0.9 1 124 17.0 42 .256 .359 .306 30.6 21.4 16.1 .228 .271 .257 33.3
2020 Curveball -0.8 0 53 7.3 5 .000 .000 .000 26.7 0.0 0.0 .305 .425 .315 20.0
2020 4-Seamer -1.6 0 3 0.4 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker -0.2 -3 1,216 55.5 330 .304 .474 .382 11.1 13.0 17.7 .291 .471 .365 38.8
2019 Changeup 0.3 1 398 18.2 121 .248 .327 .277 31.0 31.4 20.5 .201 .295 .241 31.2
2019 Curveball 0.1 0 293 13.4 53 .204 .265 .276 20.0 17.0 12.9 .225 .301 .262 30.0
2019 Slider 1.6 4 263 12.0 81 .296 .662 .420 21.2 21.0 19.8 .294 .688 .421 44.6
2019 4-Seamer 0.7 0 22 1.0 6 .400 .400 .360 40.0 50.0 33.3 .303 .425 .302 66.7
2018 Sinker 0.0 0 1,483 53.7 369 .270 .433 .359 13.0 15.7 19.5 .261 .426 .340 33.8
2018 Slider -0.9 -6 652 23.6 180 .216 .327 .278 26.3 23.3 20.1 .211 .308 .259 29.8
2018 Changeup 0.9 3 293 10.6 97 .225 .348 .293 18.2 17.5 12.1 .269 .394 .321 22.2
2018 Curveball 3.9 11 284 10.3 71 .299 .552 .382 31.4 29.6 17.8 .253 .427 .306 42.6
2018 4-Seamer -1.9 -1 47 1.7 5 .400 .400 .360 15.4 0.0 0.0 .286 .351 .286 0.0
2017 Sinker -0.5 -8 1,672 61.0 422 .244 .421 .337 14.4 18.5 21.1 .259 .428 .323 35.3
2017 Curveball -0.8 -3 390 14.2 80 .162 .338 .246 37.7 40.0 27.1 .162 .285 .227 28.6
2017 Slider 2.9 11 381 13.9 121 .283 .528 .383 28.1 24.0 23.8 .228 .418 .313 26.6
2017 Changeup -1.8 -4 226 8.2 66 .167 .233 .211 31.8 30.3 17.1 .219 .292 .252 34.1
2017 4-Seamer 2.9 2 57 2.1 11 .444 .556 .486 19.2 27.3 13.0 .333 .438 .397 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 112 87.3 91 17.9 2:30 3:15 -45
2020 Curveball 50 81.8 76 17.7 7:45 7:30 15
2020 Sinker 363 92.0 86 18.6 1:15 2:15 -60
2020 Slider 159 88.8 44 7.4 12:00 10:45 75
2021 Changeup 135 87.0 91 17.5 2:15 3:00 -45
2021 Curveball 268 80.4 78 18.0 7:30 7:30 0
2021 Sinker 909 91.4 85 18.3 1:15 2:15 -60
2021 Slider 413 88.3 43 7.3 12:00 10:45 75
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2010 445 1,705 -9 -3 10 7 4
2011 521 2,087 -5 -5 12 12 14
2012 492 1,948 3 -8 11 9 15
2013 323 1,261 -2 -5 8 6 6
2014 611 2,409 -18 -21 5 7 -27
2015 944 3,727 -32 -50 9 15 -58
2016 886 3,500 -41 -23 16 10 -38
2017 748 2,928 -20 -16 18 14 -5
2018 722 2,759 -16 -5 15 13 7
2019 591 2,192 -3 -20 13 13 3
2020 190 729 -1 -9 8 4 3
2021 466 1,746 6 0 13 15 32
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 3,438 48.8 63.0 83.0 32.5 56.6 42.5 60.2 47.4 25.0 7.8 72.5
2016 3,124 49.8 62.7 81.9 28.5 57.6 44.0 59.0 45.6 25.0 7.6 76.9
2017 2,743 50.9 62.2 83.8 25.5 64.2 42.7 58.0 44.1 21.1 7.3 71.2
2018 2,760 50.9 63.4 85.5 28.2 66.0 41.2 62.5 46.1 19.1 8.5 67.2
2019 2,192 47.0 62.0 86.5 28.1 69.3 42.5 59.0 44.0 18.0 7.3 73.3
2020 729 45.5 63.3 90.5 22.9 58.2 41.3 60.0 41.3 18.9 6.6 72.9
2021 1,746 50.0 64.3 85.9 22.7 63.1 39.7 58.2 43.5 17.8 7.6 72.9
Player 16,732 49.4 62.9 84.4 27.9 61.8 42.3 59.6 45.2 21.5 7.7 72.3
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 97 92 97 98 95 53 97 98 96 84 81 68 97 85 68 93
2016 73 76 79 77 61 29 73 88 84 71 25 65 73 75 69 87
2017 59 57 56 51 62 19 56 43 49 61 59 26 59 42 60 81
2018 43 35 49 56 43 21 68 65 78 26 55 10 43 55 51 86
2019 24 22 30 39 23 23 53 31 40 17 41 3 24 40 35 82
2020 15 8 24 46 16 19 40 38 43 13 52 6 15 37 15 66
2021 3 6 3 7 6 19 25 8 12 12 34 2 3 24 18 78
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.3 19 19.6 -1 10 18 7 36.8
2017 22.2 24 22.5 2 13 16 11 45.8
2018 22.9 21 20.4 1 10 18 7 33.3
2019 23.3 21 20.4 1 9 7 15 71.4
2020 20.9 6 4.7 1 1 5 1 16.7
2021 22.8 24 23.1 1 9 18 8 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 19 19 24 18 17 21 19 17 23 17 21 18 15 15 19 22 21 22 15 24 30 11 16 18 19 21 24 18 17 21 26
2017 24 22 33 22 21 26 21 22 27 20 24 19 19 15 19 28 22 22 15 23 31 20 18 24 23 22 23 22 20 22 30
2018 21 23 25 17 21 25 18 28 19 17 19 17 13 16 18 22 17 27 14 20 23 18 21 20 22 24 24 17 23 17 27
2019 21 21 23 20 20 19 19 22 22 19 21 19 17 20 19 21 21 23 18 20 22 18 18 20 20 23 23 18 22 18 26
2020 6 4 6 5 6 6 0 4 5 5 6 4 3 3 4 6 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 3 4 4 7
2021 24 20 28 20 22 26 24 26 26 22 22 23 18 16 21 27 27 22 22 25 28 21 20 25 21 26 24 20 23 20 29
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 95.2 94.4 -0.8 92.2 -2.2 93 0.8 92.4 -0.6 92 -0.4 91.4 -0.6
Offspeed Velocity 89.5 89.3 -0.2 87.3 -2 88 0.7 87.5 -0.5 87.3 -0.2 87 -0.3
Breaking Velocity 87.5 86.3 -1.2 83.3 -3 86.8 3.5 84.9 -1.9 87.1 2.2 85.2 -1.9
Exit Velocity 85.1 86.7 1.6 87.4 0.7 87.8 0.4 89.3 1.5 88.9 -0.4 90.9 2
Launch Angle 4.4 6.5 2.1 10.6 4.1 8.6 -2 6.8 -1.8 6.7 -0.1 9.1 2.4
Barrel % 2.2 4.8 2.6 5.6 0.8 5.6 0 6.8 1.2 7.8 1 9.2 1.4
Hard Hit % 24.7 29.6 4.9 33.3 3.7 31.7 -1.6 37.6 5.9 38.3 0.7 44.3 6
Sweet Spot % 27.6 30.8 3.2 31.3 0.5 32.9 1.6 33.8 0.9 35.5 1.7 37.2 1.7
xBA .202 .226 0.024 .24 0.014 .249 0.009 .266 0.017 .291 0.025 .285 -0.006
BA .185 .194 0.009 .235 0.041 .254 0.019 .283 0.029 .298 0.015 .32 0.022
xwOBA .241 .291 0.05 .305 0.014 .312 0.007 .337 0.025 .359 0.022 .373 0.014
wOBA .225 .261 0.036 .306 0.045 .315 0.009 .339 0.024 .351 0.012 .4 0.049
xSLG .281 .35 0.069 .396 0.046 .392 -0.004 .447 0.055 .456 0.009 .509 0.053
SLG .271 .306 0.035 .411 0.105 .407 -0.004 .448 0.041 .456 0.008 .563 0.107
K% 27.1 23.9 -3.2 23.1 -0.8 19.1 -4 18.5 -0.6 16.8 -1.7 17.7 0.9
BB% 5.5 9.6 4.1 7.8 -1.8 7.9 0.1 8.6 0.7 8.4 -0.2 9.4 1
Swing % 47.4 45.6 -1.8 44.1 -1.5 46.1 2 44 -2.1 41.3 -2.7 43.5 2.2
Whiff% 25 25 0 21.1 -3.9 19.1 -2 18 -1.1 18.9 0.9 17.8 -1.1
In Zone % 48.8 49.8 1 50.9 1.1 50.9 0 47 -3.9 45.5 -1.5 50 4.5
Out of Zone % 51.2 50.2 -1 49.1 -1.1 49.1 0 53 3.9 54.5 1.5 50 -4.5
Out of Zone Swing % 32.5 28.5 -4 25.5 -3 28.2 2.7 28.1 -0.1 22.9 -5.2 22.7 -0.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 28.2 -0.4 24.5 -3.7 30.1 5.6 28.7 -1.4 23.2 -5.5 26.2 3
First Pitch Strike % 60.2 59 -1.2 58 -1 62.5 4.5 59 -3.5 60 1 58.2 -1.8
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 782 .261 414 3 0.7 368 22 6.0
2017 700 .308 377 0 0.0 323 24 7.4
2018 722 .315 405 44 10.9 317 99 31.2
2019 591 .339 307 19 6.2 284 48 16.9
2020 190 .351 100 22 22.0 90 34 37.8
2021 466 .400 222 25 11.3 244 144 59.0

Pitch Tempo