Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 1 1 8.53 4 4 0 19.0 9 1.63
11 Seasons 90 77 4.38 240 227 1 1347.2 963 1.36
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 4 1-1 8.53 19.0 9 1.63
11 Seasons 240 90-77 4.38 1347.2 963 1.36

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 1529 310 21 6.8 5.1 89.5 113.3 8.2 29.7 .264 .416 .344 .335 .358 37.4 15.3 8.0 5.07 4.71
2016 29 2310 520 35 6.7 5.1 90.7 118.0 5.2 31.9 .266 .445 .330 .323 .379 41.0 18.6 4.1 4.17 4.43
2017 30 2677 611 40 6.5 5.1 89.4 112.4 9.2 34.0 .282 .480 .330 .341 .393 36.8 16.7 4.6 4.14 5.10
2018 31 2529 530 42 7.9 6.1 90.0 115.3 11.0 33.2 .267 .464 .327 .332 .381 38.7 16.7 5.1 4.19 4.73
2019 32 3005 635 46 7.2 5.7 88.8 118.9 10.7 34.6 .295 .477 .351 .352 .386 38.4 14.1 5.8 4.72 5.63
2020 33 284 70 7 10.0 8.0 90.2 112.8 6.0 28.6 .315 .585 .358 .412 .429 41.4 10.2 10.2 8.53 7.92
Player 12334 2676 191 7.1 5.5 89.6 118.9 9.0 33.0 .278 .464 .337 .339 .383 38.6 16.1 5.4
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nova relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(40.1%) ,
Curveball
(25.4%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(19%) ,
Changeup
(15.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 51.6 18.7 24.2 5.5 38.7 36.5 24.2 3.5 38.7 21.9 22.6 3.5 6.8 5.1
2016 55.4 17.1 24.0 3.5 39.2 38.7 22.1 2.1 42.5 14.8 22.1 6.7 6.7 5.1
2017 47.6 19.1 28.3 4.9 38.6 39.9 21.4 3.8 33.6 19.3 24.9 6.4 6.5 5.1
2018 46.6 23.2 24.5 5.7 35.8 38.5 25.5 1.7 35.3 23.8 24.0 5.7 7.9 6.1
2019 46.6 19.4 27.6 6.5 41.7 38.3 20.0 4.1 34.8 21.4 26.1 5.4 7.2 5.7
2020 57.1 20.0 21.4 1.4 37.1 50.0 12.9 7.1 42.9 11.4 18.6 8.6 10.0 8.0
Player 49.4 19.6 25.9 5.1 38.9 38.9 22.1 3.2 36.8 19.9 24.0 5.8 7.1 5.5
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Sinker DET R 114 92.1 25.4 3.8 18 16.5 2.2 16
2020 4-Seamer DET R 54 92.3 21.3 -5.7 -36 10.9 4.4 68
2020 Changeup DET R 44 86.4 30.6 1.8 6 15.5 2.3 17
2020 Curveball DET R 72 79.6 48.4 -5.1 -10 4.5 -3.2 -42
2019 Sinker CWS R 1,101 92.3 25.5 3.3 15 17.2 2.7 19
2019 4-Seamer CWS R 528 92.5 20.8 -4.5 -28 12.4 5.4 76
2019 Curveball CWS R 504 79.9 50.5 -3.1 -6 2.8 -4.4 -61
2019 Cutter CWS R 391 86.7 28.9 0.1 0 3.6 -5.9 -263
2019 Changeup CWS R 481 86.2 29.8 0.5 2 16.5 3.2 24
2018 Curveball PIT R 533 80.6 50.1 -3.2 -6 2.9 -4.5 -61
2018 Changeup PIT R 300 86.5 30.4 0.7 2 16.8 3.4 26
2018 Sinker PIT R 898 92.7 25.4 3.5 16 17.9 3.3 22
2018 4-Seamer PIT R 797 93.0 19.3 -3.3 -20 13.6 6.2 85
2017 4-Seamer PIT R 649 93.1 17.4 -3.1 -22 12.6 4.7 59
2017 Curveball PIT R 570 80.6 48.7 -3.1 -6 1.6 -5.1 -76
2017 Changeup PIT R 253 86.4 27.3 0.1 0 16.9 3.7 28
2017 Sinker PIT R 1,102 92.5 24.0 3.6 18 18.4 3.4 23
2016 Changeup PIT R 102 86.9 25.4 -1.1 -4 14.7 1.7 13
2016 4-Seamer PIT R 282 93.4 17.1 -3.5 -25 11.4 3.0 35
2016 Curveball PIT R 630 80.6 47.8 -3.0 -6 3.6 -2.2 -38
2016 Sinker PIT R 1,158 93.1 21.0 2.5 14 16.6 2.2 15
2016 Slider PIT R 64 87.3 26.8 -3.8 -12 4.9 -7.5 -288
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Sinker 3.1 4 114 40.1 41 .314 .543 .425 10.3 2.4 6.7 .363 .697 .486 44.1
2020 Curveball -1.6 -1 72 25.4 18 .118 .294 .200 47.4 38.9 30.4 .200 .471 .301 40.0
2020 4-Seamer 9.0 5 54 19.0 19 .529 .824 .595 0.0 5.3 11.1 .331 .610 .424 56.3
2020 Changeup -1.7 -1 44 15.5 10 .000 .000 .090 16.7 0.0 0.0 .321 .356 .297 10.0
2019 Sinker 0.5 6 1,101 36.6 355 .333 .508 .411 10.6 11.5 13.4 .298 .466 .358 41.5
2019 4-Seamer -0.4 -2 528 17.6 118 .309 .509 .382 11.1 7.6 8.0 .299 .504 .361 38.6
2019 Curveball 1.0 5 504 16.8 82 .299 .442 .326 31.3 19.5 14.0 .320 .468 .359 42.9
2019 Changeup -0.2 -1 481 16.0 130 .273 .446 .334 22.4 8.5 10.6 .297 .481 .348 28.6
2019 Cutter 1.8 7 391 13.0 120 .246 .456 .316 34.2 30.8 20.0 .264 .485 .332 37.7
2018 Sinker 0.0 0 898 35.5 275 .302 .490 .383 14.3 8.7 13.2 .304 .502 .371 39.1
2018 4-Seamer 0.2 2 797 31.5 194 .275 .506 .361 11.8 11.9 12.0 .296 .556 .383 44.3
2018 Curveball -0.4 -2 533 21.1 140 .153 .277 .190 37.7 42.9 22.7 .172 .285 .202 32.1
2018 Changeup 1.6 5 300 11.9 70 .353 .588 .447 29.0 10.0 12.7 .244 .441 .316 31.1
2017 Sinker -0.4 -4 1,102 41.2 376 .307 .473 .368 9.5 7.2 13.5 .320 .527 .376 40.2
2017 4-Seamer 1.9 12 649 24.2 173 .295 .545 .392 9.9 9.2 10.4 .311 .577 .397 35.7
2017 Curveball -1.4 -8 570 21.3 144 .152 .268 .200 44.2 53.5 30.0 .144 .241 .181 29.0
2017 Changeup 0.9 2 253 9.5 64 .333 .635 .441 29.4 9.4 18.2 .325 .540 .368 28.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 37 86.4 100 17.1 2:00 2:30 -30
2020 Curveball 66 79.5 63 9.0 7:00 7:00 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 42 92.3 87 15.3 1:45 1:45 0
2020 Sinker 96 92.2 88 18.3 1:45 2:30 -45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2010 182 656 -5 -4 5 3 -1
2011 735 2,677 -19 -14 12 11 -10
2012 744 2,675 4 -1 8 11 23
2013 582 2,079 -11 -15 2 9 -15
2014 96 328 4 1 1 3 9
2015 413 1,528 1 -7 5 6 5
2016 683 2,308 6 -24 3 9 -6
2017 757 2,575 -6 -14 16 7 3
2018 679 2,528 -2 -12 14 6 5
2019 805 3,003 -5 -14 21 13 15
2020 88 284 4 -1 2 1 7
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,529 43.8 62.2 90.4 34.6 68.7 42.5 55.0 46.7 17.5 6.1 71.0
2016 2,310 46.1 66.0 90.6 35.3 60.9 42.7 61.7 49.5 20.3 5.8 70.9
2017 2,677 50.7 68.5 87.7 31.8 65.3 42.4 64.5 50.5 17.9 8.1 76.0
2018 2,529 46.9 70.6 86.9 29.7 61.9 42.7 57.4 48.9 19.6 7.0 73.6
2019 3,005 47.0 69.1 88.0 30.9 66.9 43.2 60.7 48.9 18.4 6.6 78.4
2020 284 44.4 74.6 89.4 31.0 61.2 44.4 60.2 50.4 19.6 7.0 85.0
Player 12,334 47.1 68.0 88.4 32.2 64.5 42.8 60.4 49.1 18.8 6.8 74.9
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 17 22 28 38 17 29 14 13 12 16 41 12 92 65 43 62 34
2016 34 24 24 23 61 10 32 4 5 32 97 27 97 57 37 30 21
2017 20 10 11 18 42 3 38 6 17 17 96 9 88 52 43 31 24
2018 23 14 9 10 51 2 21 10 22 15 93 12 70 53 48 20 24
2019 12 4 15 38 17 2 45 45 33 3 83 6 70 26 31 17 26
2020 1 1 1 2 4 38 16 17 23 1 33 9 79 41 32 15 23
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.7 23 22.9 0 10 20 8 34.8
2017 23.0 29 29.6 -1 12 22 13 44.8
2018 22.7 26 26.5 -1 8 19 13 50.0
2019 23.3 30 25.7 4 12 19 13 43.3
2020 26.0 4 5.5 -2 4 4 2 50.0
Player 22.9 112 110.2 2 46 84 49 43.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 23 22 32 19 23 26 18 24 25 23 25 20 14 24 22 27 24 23 18 26 31 12 19 23 22 27 29 22 19 18 31
2017 29 29 36 28 30 33 32 29 34 28 28 29 24 23 28 33 25 32 23 32 38 23 28 29 28 31 31 29 29 26 39
2018 26 26 31 23 25 28 23 32 27 24 23 28 18 24 25 31 25 32 24 29 27 24 23 30 30 32 28 20 26 22 35
2019 30 31 30 27 24 28 26 32 28 20 27 24 18 21 19 30 23 32 15 21 31 24 22 25 26 27 30 22 30 29 30
2020 4 7 5 5 5 5 0 5 5 6 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 7 3 6 6 7 6 5 7 5 5 5 9 5 7
Player 112 115 134 102 107 120 99 122 119 101 108 106 79 96 99 126 102 126 83 114 133 90 98 112 113 122 123 98 113 100 142
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.6 93.2 -0.4 92.8 -0.4 92.9 0.1 91.3 -1.6 92.2 0.9
Offspeed Velocity 87.3 86.9 -0.4 86.4 -0.5 86.5 0.1 86.2 -0.3 86.4 0.2
Breaking Velocity 80.5 81.2 0.7 80.6 -0.6 80.6 0 79.9 -0.7 79.6 -0.3
Exit Velocity 89.5 90.7 1.2 89.4 -1.3 90 0.6 88.8 -1.2 90.2 1.4
Launch Angle 8.2 5.2 -3 9.2 4 11 1.8 10.7 -0.3 6 -4.7
Barrel % 6.8 6.7 -0.1 6.5 -0.2 7.9 1.4 7.2 -0.7 10 2.8
Hard Hit % 37.4 41 3.6 36.8 -4.2 38.7 1.9 38.4 -0.3 41.4 3
Sweet Spot % 29.7 31.9 2.2 34 2.1 33.2 -0.8 34.6 1.4 28.6 -6
xBA .264 .266 0.002 .282 0.016 .267 -0.015 .295 0.028 .315 0.02
BA .269 .275 0.006 .277 0.002 .268 -0.009 .303 0.035 .278 -0.025
xwOBA .335 .323 -0.012 .341 0.018 .332 -0.009 .352 0.02 .412 0.06
wOBA .344 .33 -0.014 .33 0 .327 -0.003 .351 0.024 .358 0.007
xSLG .416 .445 0.029 .48 0.035 .464 -0.016 .477 0.013 .585 0.108
SLG .454 .465 0.011 .464 -0.001 .459 -0.005 .483 0.024 .481 -0.002
K% 15.3 18.6 3.3 16.7 -1.9 16.7 0 14.1 -2.6 10.2 -3.9
BB% 8 4.1 -3.9 4.6 0.5 5.1 0.5 5.8 0.7 10.2 4.4
Swing % 46.7 49.5 2.8 50.5 1 48.9 -1.6 48.9 0 50.4 1.5
Whiff% 17.5 20.3 2.8 17.9 -2.4 19.6 1.7 18.4 -1.2 19.6 1.2
In Zone % 43.8 46.1 2.3 50.7 4.6 46.9 -3.8 47 0.1 44.4 -2.6
Out of Zone % 56.2 53.9 -2.3 49.3 -4.6 53.1 3.8 53 -0.1 55.6 2.6
Out of Zone Swing % 34.6 35.3 0.7 31.8 -3.5 29.7 -2.1 30.9 1.2 31 0.1
First Pitch Swing % 26.9 30.3 3.4 35.1 4.8 29.4 -5.7 32.2 2.8 33 0.8
First Pitch Strike % 55 61.7 6.7 64.5 2.8 57.4 -7.1 60.7 3.3 60.2 -0.5
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 670 .328 381 56 14.7 289 77 26.6
2017 756 .330 401 31 7.7 355 66 18.6
2018 679 .327 349 44 12.6 330 77 23.3
2019 805 .351 399 54 13.5 406 214 52.7
2020 88 .358 37 15 40.5 51 40 78.4

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 218 15.1 44.0% 1.8% 122 25.0 2.5% 22.1%
2011 762 15.1 48.4% 1.0% 412 24.0 0.2% 15.0%
2012 753 15.1 47.9% 0.5% 484 23.6 0.2% 13.0%
2013 614 15.3 44.8% 1.5% 389 23.1 0.5% 9.5%
2014 84 17.5 14.3% 1.2% 55 26.0 0.0% 10.9%
2015 443 19.5 9.7% 6.8% 263 27.1 1.5% 31.9%
2016 690 17.6 25.9% 3.3% 345 26.1 2.9% 28.4%
2017 794 15.8 39.5% 1.3% 391 24.6 0.0% 17.4%
2018 776 15.1 47.2% 0.9% 367 24.9 0.0% 17.2%
2019 873 15.8 39.1% 0.6% 470 25.7 0.0% 18.3%
2020 79 15.9 35.4% 0.0% 47 24.0 0.0% 10.6%
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Pitch Distribution