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Emilio Pagán
P | B/T: L/R | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 30

Draft: 2013 | Rd: 10, #297, Seattle Mariners | Belmont Abbey
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 4 3 4.83 67 0 0 63.1 69 1.17
5 Seasons 13 10 3.73 244 0 22 267.2 307 1.03
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 67 4-3 4.83 63.1 69 1.17
5 Seasons 244 13-10 3.73 267.2 307 1.03

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 26 717 131 7 5.3 89 112.9 25.4 29.8 .192 .319 .260 .239 .311 30.5 28.6 4.1 3.22 2.46
2018 27 1038 177 19 10.7 87.2 114.1 25.3 28.2 .203 .402 .325 .290 .346 31.1 24 7.3 4.36 3.57
2019 28 1075 157 10 6.4 89.3 113.7 21.4 28.7 .174 .306 .244 .223 .321 34.4 36 4.9 2.31 2.21
2020 29 366 55 5 9.1 89.2 108.3 24.3 27.3 .216 .439 .277 .315 .384 40 26.4 10.3 4.50 4.24
2021 30 1098 174 24 13.8 90.4 110.6 26.5 42 .228 .492 .336 .329 .418 45.4 26.2 6.8 4.83 4.67
4294 694 65 9.4 89 114.1 24.7 32 .201 .387 .292 .276 .355 36 28.6 6.2
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .243 .403 .317 .313 .363 35.4 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Pagan relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(61.2%) ,
Cutter
(37.7%) ,
Changeup
(1.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 672 374 298 61.2 94.9 177 158 36 14 8 1 13 49 110 .228 .234 .538 .554 .353 .362 93.6 30 2520 6.6 26.6 22.3
2021 Cutter 414 225 189 37.7 86.4 84 82 19 6 10 0 3 19 63 .232 .212 .463 .370 .299 .258 84.7 21 2336 6.7 34.7 13.5
2021 Changeup 12 0 12 1.1 86.9 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .500 .429 .500 .572 .440 .434 105.2 13 1956 6.8 50.0 14.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball 228 109 119 62.3 94.5 62 53 13 8 0 1 4 14 40 .245 .248 .509 .525 .357 .366 90.5 24 2441 6.6 24.6 17.3
2020 Cutter 130 73 57 35.5 86.5 23 22 1 0 1 0 0 9 13 .045 .152 .091 .257 .084 .196 87.0 27 2233 6.7 35.7 20.0
2020 Curveball 7 1 6 1.9 82.3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .088 .000 .169 .000 .104 78.1 11 2510 6.7 0.0 0.0
2020 Sinker 1 0 1 0.3 93.6 2490 6.8 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2017 22.9 39.7 25.2 12.2 45.8 29.8 23.7 2.3 14.5 50.4 23.7 3.1 5.3
2018 25.4 35 22 17.5 36.2 36.7 27.1 2.8 23.2 39.5 17.5 6.2 10.7
2019 35 28 21.7 15.3 42 30.6 27.4 1.3 26.8 40.8 21 3.8 6.4
2020 30.9 32.7 23.6 12.7 40 34.5 25.5 1.8 25.5 38.2 14.5 10.9 9.1
2021 23 42.5 19.5 14.9 32.8 33.9 33.3 1.7 15.5 39.1 19.5 10.3 13.8
26.9 36 22 15 38.8 33.1 28 2 20.6 41.6 19.7 6.5 9.4
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Cutter SD R 414 86.4 33.4 -4.1 -14 2.8 0.4 17
2021 Changeup SD R 12 86.9 24.2 -7.1 -23 16.5 2.2 15
2021 4-Seamer SD R 672 94.9 12.1 2.6 18 5.8 -2.2 -27
2020 Sinker SD R 1 93.6 11.8 -9 -43 11.2 -3.3 -23
2020 4-Seamer SD R 228 94.5 13.1 1.9 13 5.5 -2.3 -29
2020 Cutter SD R 130 86.5 32.9 -3.1 -10 2.3 -0.4 -16
2020 Curveball SD R 7 82.3 42.5 -6.2 -13 4.3 -4.8 -53
2019 Cutter TB R 392 87.5 31.6 -3.9 -14 3.3 1.3 67
2019 4-Seamer TB R 661 95.5 11.5 3.1 21 4.9 -2.9 -37
2019 Curveball TB R 22 80.3 55.1 2.8 5 7.6 -2.3 -23
2018 Cutter OAK R 306 85 36.5 -6.1 -20 4.2 1.2 41
2018 Sinker OAK R 17 93.1 16.7 -4.8 -22 13.2 -1.2 -8
2018 4-Seamer OAK R 672 93.8 12.6 2.8 18 4.3 -3.2 -43
2018 Changeup OAK R 43 87 23.8 -5.9 -20 12.4 -1.5 -10
2017 4-Seamer SEA R 458 93.7 11.9 2.6 18 8.4 0.2 3
2017 Cutter SEA R 208 84.2 37.2 -5.6 -18 2.9 0.8 35
2017 Sinker SEA R 34 93.5 17.8 -2.7 -13 13.6 -1.4 -9
2017 Changeup SEA R 16 84.7 23.2 -6.6 -22 14.8 1.1 8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Changeup 3.2 0 12 1.1 2 .5 .5 .45 50 50 14.3 .428 .572 .434 100
2021 Cutter 0.8 3 414 37.7 84 .232 .463 .301 34.7 22.6 13.5 .212 .37 .258 27
2021 4-Seamer 0.1 0 672 61.2 177 .228 .538 .355 26.6 27.7 22.3 .234 .554 .362 55.5
2020 Curveball -6.6 0 7 1.9 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .087 .168 .104 0
2020 Cutter -2.4 -3 130 35.5 23 .045 .091 .085 35.7 39.1 20 .152 .257 .196 30.8
2020 4-Seamer 1.4 3 228 62.3 62 .245 .509 .361 24.6 22.6 17.3 .248 .525 .366 45
2020 Sinker -4.9 0 1 0.3 0
2019 Curveball 6.2 1 22 2 2 .5 .5 .45 20 0 0 .373 .448 .353 50
2019 Cutter -0.5 -2 392 36.5 111 .19 .352 .264 34 27.9 21.4 .211 .334 .254 28.4
2019 4-Seamer -2.2 -15 661 61.5 153 .166 .379 .247 35.9 42.5 28.6 .144 .284 .2 39.5
2018 Changeup -2 -1 43 4.1 3 0 0 0 50 33.3 5.9 .346 .368 .317 50
2018 Sinker -1.2 0 17 1.6 4 0 0 .35 0 25 100 .006 .007 .353 0
2018 Cutter -0.2 -1 306 29.5 72 .171 .271 .227 39.1 36.1 25.5 .172 .289 .224 15.9
2018 4-Seamer 0.3 2 672 64.7 182 .262 .573 .379 25.8 19.2 18.1 .215 .455 .319 36.2
2017 Changeup 8.6 1 16 2.2 6 .333 1 .692 27.3 0 0 .326 .764 .453 16.7
2017 Sinker 1.7 1 34 4.7 10 .375 .375 .4 10 10 16.7 .242 .283 .222 11.1
2017 Cutter -1.6 -3 208 29 48 .191 .255 .224 36.8 39.6 26.4 .147 .207 .164 17.9
2017 4-Seamer -1 -4 458 63.9 132 .203 .374 .271 26 27.3 26.1 .2 .343 .258 37.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Cutter 117 86.6 34 3.9 11:15 10:30 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 209 94.5 90 17.9 1:00 12:30 30
2021 Changeup 12 86.9 99 20.5 1:45 2:00 -15
2021 Cutter 411 86.4 29 4.3 11:15 10:15 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 671 94.9 89 18.8 12:45 12:45 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 196 716 -7 -6 5 2 -6
2018 261 1038 -6 -7 9 4 0
2019 283 1139 -8 -10 2 4 -12
2020 106 442 -1 -6 3 2 -3
2021 263 1098 -3 -5 8 4 4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 717 57.4 73 76.3 28.5 58.6 39.8 62.2 54 27.6 11 83.5
2018 1038 51.9 75.5 74.4 27.5 58.4 38.5 57.6 52.4 29.6 10.6 87.3
2019 1075 52.7 72.4 71.2 35.4 50 43.8 65.5 54.9 35.1 7.3 79.7
2020 366 48.1 71 80 26.8 56.9 42.6 75.9 48.1 26.7 6.3 78.3
2021 1098 51 76.3 75.2 27.7 53.7 39.7 59.7 52.5 29.5 7.2 92.4
4294 52.5 74.1 74.6 29.6 54.6 40.7 62.4 52.9 30.4 8.6 85.4
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2017 25 87
2018 68 85 40 9 90 41 1 80 82 60 66 77 68 27 93
2019 100 98 96 85 100 74 61 31 68 96 93 94 100 42 86 58
2020 49 73 31 14 69 56 25 33 30 65 32 51 49 31 70 51
2021 28 64 6 1 81 32 1 15 7 67 72 74 28 27 91
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.2 14 10.8 3 2 12 2 14.3
2020 19.6 4 3.7 0 3 2 0 0
2021 23.4 16 18.8 -3 10 13 1 6.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 14 7 14 6 14 11 12 15 12 8 13 12 4 11 12 14 9 10 10 13 5 10 10 11 8 14 12 11 12 9 14
2020 4 3 5 2 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 4 3 4 5 3 4
2021 16 19 21 16 23 15 17 18 14 14 22 20 7 15 14 21 12 19 15 18 9 13 13 19 18 21 18 14 17 14 23
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.9 91.1 0.2 92.5 1.4 91.6 -0.9 91.7 0.1
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 87 2.3 0 0 0 0 86.9 0
Breaking Velocity 0 0 0 80.3 0 82.3 2 0 0
Exit Velocity 89 87.2 -1.8 89.3 2.1 89.2 -0.1 90.4 1.2
Launch Angle 25.4 25.3 -0.1 21.4 -3.9 24.3 2.9 26.5 2.2
Barrel % 5.3 10.7 5.4 6.4 -4.3 9.1 2.7 13.8 4.7
Hard Hit % 30.5 31.1 0.6 34.4 3.3 40 5.6 45.4 5.4
Sweet Spot % 29.8 28.2 -1.6 28.7 0.5 27.3 -1.4 42 14.7
xBA .192 .203 0.011 .174 -0.029 .216 0.042 .228 0.012
BA .212 .23 0.018 .179 -0.051 .182 0.003 .231 0.049
xwOBA .239 .29 0.051 .223 -0.067 .315 0.092 .329 0.014
wOBA .26 .325 0.065 .244 -0.081 .277 0.033 .336 0.059
xSLG .319 .402 0.083 .306 -0.096 .439 0.133 .492 0.053
SLG .364 .473 0.109 .369 -0.104 .377 0.008 .512 0.135
K% 28.6 24 -4.6 36 12 26.4 -9.6 26.2 -0.2
BB% 4.1 7.3 3.2 4.9 -2.4 10.3 5.4 6.8 -3.5
Swing % 54 52.4 -1.6 54.9 2.5 48.1 -6.8 52.5 4.4
Whiff% 27.6 29.6 2 35.1 5.5 26.7 -8.4 29.5 2.8
In Zone % 57.4 51.9 -5.5 52.7 0.8 48.1 -4.6 51 2.9
Out of Zone % 42.6 48.1 5.5 47.3 -0.8 51.9 4.6 49 -2.9
Out of Zone Swing % 28.5 27.5 -1 35.4 7.9 26.8 -8.6 27.7 0.9
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 35.9 -0.3 35.2 -0.7 48.3 13.1 40.3 -8
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 57.6 -4.6 65.5 7.9 75.9 10.4 59.7 -16.2
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2017 196 .260 130 5 3.8 66 33 50.0
2018 261 .325 168 8 4.8 93 28 30.1
2019 266 .244 171 115 67.3 95 74 77.9
2020 87 .277 43 0 0.0 44 21 47.7
2021 263 .336 148 4 2.7 115 75 65.2

Pitch Distribution