Emilio Pagán
P | Bats/Throws: L/R | 6' 2" 208LBS | Age: 32
Draft: 2013 | Rd: 10, #297, Seattle Mariners | Belmont Abbey
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 4 3 4.83 67 0 0 63.1 69 1.17
2022 4 6 4.43 59 0 9 63 84 1.37
2023 5 2 2.99 66 1 1 69.1 65 0.95
7 Seasons 22 18 3.71 369 1 32 400 456 1.07
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 67 4-3 4.83 63.1 69 1.17
2022 59 4-6 4.43 63 84 1.37
2023 66 5-2 2.99 69.1 65 0.95
7 Seasons 369 22-18 3.71 400 456 1.07
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 26 717 131 7 5.3 3.6 89.0 112.9 25.4 29.8 .192 .319 .260 .239 .311 30.5 28.6 4.1 3.22 2.41
2018 27 1038 177 19 10.7 7.3 87.2 114.1 25.3 28.2 .203 .402 .325 .290 .346 31.1 24.0 7.3 4.36 3.52
2019 28 1075 157 10 6.4 3.7 89.3 113.7 21.4 28.7 .174 .306 .244 .223 .321 34.4 36.0 4.9 2.31 2.16
2020 29 366 55 5 9.1 5.7 89.2 108.3 24.3 27.3 .216 .439 .277 .315 .384 40.0 26.4 10.3 4.50 4.21
2021 30 1098 174 24 13.8 9.1 90.4 110.6 26.5 42.0 .228 .492 .336 .329 .417 45.4 26.2 6.8 4.83 4.63
2022 31 1126 163 16 9.8 5.8 89.6 113.8 12.7 35.0 .227 .398 .334 .307 .406 44.8 30.7 9.5 4.43 3.91
2023 32 1061 186 14 7.5 5.1 90.6 108.6 19.9 34.4 .221 .402 .241 .296 .357 45.2 23.8 7.7 2.99 3.66
Player 6481 1043 95 9.1 5.9 89.4 114.1 22.0 32.9 .208 .391 .290 .284 .363 39.0 28.1 7.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Pagan relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(55%) ,
Cutter
(30.1%) ,
Split Finger
(12.3%) ,
Curveball
(2.5%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 22.9 39.7 25.2 12.2 45.8 29.8 23.7 2.3 14.5 50.4 23.7 3.1 5.3 3.6
2018 25.4 35.0 22.0 17.5 36.2 36.7 27.1 2.8 23.2 39.5 17.5 6.2 10.7 7.3
2019 35.0 28.0 21.7 15.3 42.0 30.6 27.4 1.3 26.8 40.8 21.0 3.8 6.4 3.7
2020 30.9 40.0 16.4 12.7 40.0 34.5 25.5 1.8 25.5 38.2 14.5 10.9 9.1 5.7
2021 23.0 42.5 19.5 14.9 32.8 33.9 33.3 1.7 15.5 39.1 19.5 10.3 13.8 9.1
2022 40.5 29.4 24.5 5.5 38.0 41.1 20.9 4.3 33.1 23.3 22.7 6.7 9.8 5.8
2023 32.3 35.5 22.0 10.2 32.8 36.6 30.6 3.8 18.8 34.9 25.3 9.7 7.5 5.1
Player 30.0 35.3 22.1 12.7 37.6 35.0 27.3 2.7 22.2 37.6 21.2 7.1 9.1 5.9
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 4-Seamer MIN R 584 95.8 12.0 2.3 16 7.2 -0.7 -9
2023 Splitter MIN R 131 85.9 28.6 -4.2 -13 13.5 1.3 11
2023 Cutter MIN R 319 87.7 29.9 -1.4 -5 4.2 1.4 47
2023 Curveball MIN R 27 81.4 50.6 1.0 2 5.3 -3.6 -41
2022 Splitter MIN R 278 88.4 27.2 -3.0 -10 12.3 1.1 10
2022 Slider MIN R 22 84.6 36.2 -0.4 -1 13.4 7.7 135
2022 4-Seamer MIN R 582 95.6 11.6 2.7 19 4.9 -3.2 -39
2022 Cutter MIN R 216 85.8 35.1 -5.8 -20 4.4 1.6 59
2022 Curveball MIN R 28 80.2 56.5 4.9 10 8.3 -1.6 -16
2021 Changeup SD R 9 87.0 23.9 -7.1 -23 16.5 2.2 15
2021 4-Seamer SD R 672 94.9 12.1 2.6 18 5.8 -2.2 -28
2021 Cutter SD R 414 86.4 33.4 -4.4 -15 2.8 0.5 24
2021 Splitter SD R 3 86.4 24.9 -7.6 -23 16.4 4.8 41
2020 Curveball SD R 4 81.9 44.4 -5.0 -10 3.7 -5.1 -58
2020 4-Seamer SD R 228 94.5 13.1 2.0 13 5.5 -2.3 -30
2020 Cutter SD R 133 86.4 33.0 -3.6 -12 2.4 -0.3 -10
2020 Sinker SD R 1 93.6 11.8 -9.2 -44 11.2 -3.4 -23
2019 Curveball TB R 22 80.3 55.1 2.5 5 7.6 -1.9 -20
2019 4-Seamer TB R 660 95.5 11.5 3.1 21 4.9 -2.9 -37
2019 Cutter TB R 392 87.5 31.6 -3.9 -14 3.3 1.4 70
2018 4-Seamer OAK R 672 93.8 12.6 2.9 18 4.3 -3.2 -43
2018 Cutter OAK R 306 85.0 36.5 -6.1 -20 4.2 1.2 41
2018 Changeup OAK R 43 87.0 23.8 -5.8 -20 12.4 -1.5 -11
2018 Sinker OAK R 17 93.1 16.7 -4.7 -22 13.2 -1.1 -8
2017 Changeup SEA R 16 84.7 23.2 -6.6 -22 14.8 1.1 8
2017 Cutter SEA R 208 84.2 37.2 -5.6 -18 2.9 0.9 43
2017 4-Seamer SEA R 458 93.7 11.9 2.6 18 8.4 0.2 3
2017 Sinker SEA R 34 93.5 17.8 -2.5 -12 13.6 -1.2 -8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer 1.3 7 584 55.0 155 .188 .326 .265 24.6 28.4 24.3 .209 .415 .306 47.9
2023 Cutter 2.1 7 319 30.1 89 .143 .214 .187 18.8 14.6 11.9 .232 .358 .272 38.9
2023 Splitter -2.5 -3 131 12.3 20 .263 .526 .395 41.4 35.0 16.3 .233 .501 .324 41.7
2023 Curveball -6.0 -2 27 2.5 7 .286 .429 .307 16.7 14.3 8.3 .296 .414 .301 83.3
2022 4-Seamer 1.0 6 582 51.7 126 .218 .409 .320 29.4 33.3 22.1 .215 .426 .328 51.5
2022 Splitter -0.8 -2 278 24.7 85 .259 .444 .341 35.1 35.3 26.8 .214 .327 .257 41.2
2022 Cutter -3.6 -8 216 19.2 49 .326 .698 .442 25.3 14.3 10.6 .305 .525 .376 42.1
2022 Curveball 1.7 0 28 2.5 8 .125 .125 .113 41.7 37.5 18.8 .188 .212 .173 20.0
2022 Slider 1.5 0 22 2.0 4 .000 .000 .175 50.0 50.0 20.0 .002 .002 .176 0.0
2021 4-Seamer -0.1 0 672 61.2 177 .228 .538 .355 26.6 27.7 22.3 .234 .554 .362 55.5
2021 Cutter -0.7 -3 414 37.7 84 .232 .463 .301 34.7 22.6 13.5 .211 .370 .258 27.0
2021 Changeup -4.2 0 9 0.8 2 .500 .500 .450 50.0 50.0 16.7 .428 .572 .434 100.0
2021 Splitter -0.2 0 3 0.3 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2020 4-Seamer -1.4 -3 228 62.3 62 .245 .509 .361 24.6 22.6 17.3 .248 .524 .366 45.0
2020 Cutter 2.5 3 133 36.3 24 .043 .087 .081 34.9 37.5 20.0 .149 .256 .193 28.6
2020 Curveball 8.9 0 4 1.1 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .088 .096 .082 0.0
2020 Sinker 5.0 0 1 0.3 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seamer 2.2 14 660 61.4 153 .166 .379 .247 35.9 42.5 28.6 .144 .284 .200 39.5
2019 Cutter 0.6 2 392 36.5 111 .190 .352 .264 34.0 27.9 21.4 .211 .334 .254 28.4
2019 Curveball -6.1 -1 22 2.0 2 .500 .500 .450 20.0 0.0 0.0 .373 .448 .353 50.0
2018 4-Seamer -0.3 -2 672 64.7 182 .262 .573 .379 25.8 19.2 18.1 .215 .455 .319 36.2
2018 Cutter 0.3 1 306 29.5 72 .171 .271 .227 39.1 36.1 25.5 .172 .289 .224 15.9
2018 Changeup 2.0 1 43 4.1 3 .000 .000 .000 50.0 33.3 5.9 .346 .368 .317 50.0
2018 Sinker 1.2 0 17 1.6 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 25.0 100.0 .006 .007 .353 0.0
2017 4-Seamer 1.0 5 458 63.9 132 .203 .374 .271 26.0 27.3 26.1 .200 .343 .258 37.5
2017 Cutter 1.6 3 208 29.0 48 .191 .255 .224 36.8 39.6 26.4 .147 .207 .164 17.9
2017 Sinker -1.6 -1 34 4.7 10 .375 .375 .400 10.0 10.0 16.7 .242 .283 .222 11.1
2017 Changeup -8.4 -1 16 2.2 6 .333 1.000 .692 27.3 0.0 0.0 .326 .764 .453 16.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Curveball 24 81.5 59 13.3 7:30 6:45 45
2023 Cutter 315 87.7 34 6.5 11:45 10:30 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 582 95.8 92 18.9 1:00 12:45 15
2023 Splitter 128 85.8 96 16.3 1:45 2:00 -15
2022 Curveball 28 80.2 75 18.6 7:15 7:00 15
2022 Cutter 216 85.8 27 5.5 10:30 9:15 75
2022 4-Seam Fastball 579 95.6 87 18.7 12:45 12:30 15
2022 Splitter 265 88.4 95 15.1 1:30 2:00 -30
2022 Slider 22 84.6 26 14.3 9:00 9:00 0
2021 Cutter 411 86.4 29 4.3 11:15 10:15 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 671 94.9 89 18.8 12:45 12:45 0
2020 Cutter 120 86.5 34 3.9 11:15 10:30 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 209 94.5 90 17.9 1:00 12:30 30
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 196 716 7 6 -5 -2 6
2018 261 1,038 6 7 -9 -4 0
2019 283 1,139 8 10 -2 -4 12
2020 106 442 1 6 -3 -2 3
2021 263 1,098 3 5 -8 -4 -4
2022 272 1,126 -3 11 -8 -3 -4
2023 278 1,089 7 15 -7 -4 11
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 717 57.5 73.1 76.1 28.3 59.3 39.4 62.2 54.0 27.6 10.9 83.3
2018 1,038 51.9 75.5 74.4 27.5 58.4 38.5 57.6 52.4 29.6 10.6 87.3
2019 1,075 52.6 72.4 71.4 35.5 49.7 44.0 65.8 54.9 35.1 7.4 80.0
2020 366 48.1 71.0 80.0 26.8 56.9 42.3 75.9 48.1 26.7 6.3 78.3
2021 1,098 51.0 76.3 75.2 27.7 53.7 39.7 59.7 52.5 29.5 7.1 92.3
2022 1,126 48.5 72.0 72.8 32.6 61.9 47.2 64.3 51.7 30.8 6.8 83.1
2023 1,061 54.5 75.6 79.6 29.4 62.0 42.8 63.1 54.6 24.4 9.0 88.4
Player 6,481 52.1 74.0 75.2 30.1 57.2 42.1 62.9 53.0 29.5 8.3 85.6
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2017 62 88 90
2018 70 86 44 9 91 41 1 80 83 60 66 78 44 64 96 87
2019 100 99 96 86 100 74 61 31 68 96 93 94 97 82 94 87
2020 50 74 32 14 70 56 25 33 30 65 32 51 41 71 87 72
2021 29 64 7 1 81 32 1 15 7 67 72 74 47 74 96 75
2022 46 62 36 20 55 51 11 22 8 90 27 84 83 78 98 80
2023 72 77 51 29 85 62 58 11 8 53 61 37 58 80 98 77
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 23.2 7 6.0 1 3 6 2 28.6
2018 22.9 13 14.0 -1 5 13 4 30.8
2019 23.2 14 9.8 4 3 11 2 14.3
2020 19.6 4 3.5 1 3 3 1 25.0
2021 23.4 16 16.5 -1 7 14 6 37.5
2022 23.1 12 11.5 1 3 9 5 41.7
2023 24.4 5 5.5 -1 8 1 4 80.0
Player 23.1 71 66.8 4 32 57 24 33.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 7 5 5 6 8 7 8 5 5 5 8 11 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 7 5 4 8 6 5 5 6 8 5 7 4
2018 13 19 13 10 14 12 16 14 13 10 13 17 14 12 14 14 12 13 17 15 15 16 17 17 9 10 13 14 18 15 13
2019 14 13 7 10 12 11 13 10 9 4 10 12 8 6 11 10 10 9 8 13 5 11 13 12 9 9 8 13 11 9 7
2020 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5 4 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 1
2021 16 21 13 18 17 17 20 18 13 10 14 19 17 12 18 21 17 16 19 18 13 17 21 20 14 13 20 18 15 14 13
2022 12 12 9 7 9 12 14 9 7 10 11 12 13 12 13 13 13 11 12 12 13 13 15 12 11 11 10 13 12 12 12
2023 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 4 5 7 7 5 5 5 7 5 4 6 6 7 6 8 5 5 4 7 7 6 6
Player 71 79 56 59 69 67 80 64 55 45 64 82 68 54 70 72 67 62 68 75 62 72 85 79 56 56 65 77 72 67 56
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.9 91.1 0.2 ↑ 92.5 1.4 ↑ 91.5 -1.0 ↓ 91.7 0.2 ↑ 92.9 1.2 ↑ 92.9 0.0
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 87.0 2.3 ↑ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86.9 0.0 88.4 1.5 ↑ 85.9 -2.5 ↓
Breaking Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.3 0.0 81.9 1.6 ↑ 0.0 0.0 82.1 0.0 81.4 -0.7 ↓
Exit Velocity 89.0 87.2 -1.8 ↓ 89.3 2.1 ↑ 89.2 -0.1 ↓ 90.4 1.2 ↑ 89.6 -0.8 ↓ 90.6 1.0 ↑
Launch Angle 25.4 25.3 -0.1 ↓ 21.4 -3.9 ↓ 24.3 2.9 ↑ 26.5 2.2 ↑ 12.7 -13.8 ↓ 19.9 7.2 ↑
Barrel % 5.3 10.7 5.4 ↑ 6.4 -4.3 ↓ 9.1 2.7 ↑ 13.8 4.7 ↑ 9.8 -4.0 ↓ 7.5 -2.3 ↓
Hard Hit % 30.5 31.1 0.6 ↑ 34.4 3.3 ↑ 40.0 5.6 ↑ 45.4 5.4 ↑ 44.8 -0.6 ↓ 45.2 0.4 ↑
Sweet Spot % 29.8 28.2 -1.6 ↓ 28.7 0.5 ↑ 27.3 -1.4 ↓ 42.0 14.7 ↑ 35.0 -7.0 ↓ 34.4 -0.6 ↓
xBA .192 .203 0.011 ↑ .174 -0.029 ↓ .216 0.042 ↑ .228 0.012 ↑ .227 -0.001 ↓ .221 -0.006 ↓
BA .212 .230 0.018 ↑ .179 -0.051 ↓ .182 0.003 ↑ .231 0.049 ↑ .245 0.014 ↑ .181 -0.064 ↓
xwOBA .239 .290 0.051 ↑ .223 -0.067 ↓ .315 0.092 ↑ .329 0.014 ↑ .307 -0.022 ↓ .296 -0.011 ↓
wOBA .260 .325 0.065 ↑ .244 -0.081 ↓ .277 0.033 ↑ .336 0.059 ↑ .334 -0.002 ↓ .241 -0.093 ↓
xSLG .319 .402 0.083 ↑ .306 -0.096 ↓ .439 0.133 ↑ .492 0.053 ↑ .398 -0.094 ↓ .402 0.004 ↑
SLG .364 .473 0.109 ↑ .369 -0.104 ↓ .377 0.008 ↑ .512 0.135 ↑ .457 -0.055 ↓ .306 -0.151 ↓
K% 28.6 24.0 -4.6 ↓ 36.0 12.0 ↑ 26.4 -9.6 ↓ 26.2 -0.2 ↓ 30.7 4.5 ↑ 23.8 -6.9 ↓
BB% 4.1 7.3 3.2 ↑ 4.9 -2.4 ↓ 10.3 5.4 ↑ 6.8 -3.5 ↓ 9.5 2.7 ↑ 7.7 -1.8 ↓
Swing % 54.0 52.4 -1.6 ↓ 54.9 2.5 ↑ 48.1 -6.8 ↓ 52.5 4.4 ↑ 51.7 -0.8 ↓ 54.6 2.9 ↑
Whiff% 27.6 29.6 2.0 ↑ 35.1 5.5 ↑ 26.7 -8.4 ↓ 29.5 2.8 ↑ 30.8 1.3 ↑ 24.4 -6.4 ↓
In Zone % 57.5 51.9 -5.6 ↓ 52.6 0.7 ↑ 48.1 -4.5 ↓ 51.0 2.9 ↑ 48.5 -2.5 ↓ 54.5 6.0 ↑
Out of Zone % 42.5 48.1 5.6 ↑ 47.4 -0.7 ↓ 51.9 4.5 ↑ 49.0 -2.9 ↓ 51.5 2.5 ↑ 45.5 -6.0 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 28.3 27.5 -0.8 ↓ 35.5 8.0 ↑ 26.8 -8.7 ↓ 27.7 0.9 ↑ 32.6 4.9 ↑ 29.4 -3.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 36.2 35.9 -0.3 ↓ 35.3 -0.6 ↓ 48.3 13.0 ↑ 40.3 -8.0 ↓ 39.7 -0.6 ↓ 39.9 0.2 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 57.6 -4.6 ↓ 65.8 8.2 ↑ 75.9 10.1 ↑ 59.7 -16.2 ↓ 64.3 4.6 ↑ 63.1 -1.2 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 196 .260 130 5 3.8 66 40 60.6
2018 Shifts 261 .325 168 9 5.4 93 29 31.2
2019 Shifts 266 .244 171 117 68.4 95 80 84.2
2020 Shifts 87 .277 43 0 0.0 44 25 56.8
2021 Shifts 263 .336 148 4 2.7 115 76 66.1
2022 Shifts 272 .334 155 34 21.9 117 86 73.5
2023 Shades 271 .241 153 22 14.4 118 76 64.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo