Drew Smyly
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 188LBS | Age: 35
Draft: 2010 | Rd: 2, #68, Detroit Tigers | Arkansas
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 7 8 3.47 22 22 0 106.1 91 1.19
2023 11 11 5.00 41 23 0 142.1 141 1.43
2024 4 8 3.84 50 0 0 58.2 56 1.40
11 Seasons 68 66 4.20 330 179 3 1,144.2 1,119 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 22 7-8 3.47 106.1 91 1.19
2023 41 11-11 5.00 142.1 141 1.43
2024 50 4-8 3.84 58.2 56 1.40
11 Seasons 330 68-66 4.20 1,144.2 1,119 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 26 1136 177 19 10.7 6.9 88.2 111.2 16.1 31.1 .235 .443 .305 .320 .416 35.6 28.0 7.3 3.10 4.28
2016 27 2893 520 35 6.7 4.7 87.8 114.6 21.4 34.0 .233 .407 .323 .300 .360 31.0 22.6 6.6 4.88 3.77
2019 30 2130 337 33 9.8 6.4 89.0 114.2 17.8 35.9 .262 .516 .379 .361 .435 38.6 23.3 10.7 6.24 5.97
2020 31 482 60 8 13.3 7.2 90.6 114.6 11.4 41.7 .219 .380 .248 .295 .443 45.0 37.8 8.1 3.42 3.66
2021 32 2139 385 39 10.1 7.1 88.8 111.6 14.9 36.1 .267 .470 .342 .342 .411 39.0 21.4 7.5 4.48 5.05
2022 33 1814 325 28 8.6 6.3 86.7 114.3 16.3 34.5 .248 .415 .312 .315 .369 35.6 20.4 5.8 3.47 4.14
2023 34 2401 423 31 7.3 5.0 87.6 118.1 19.2 35.9 .241 .401 .348 .313 .361 33.6 22.5 8.9 5.00 4.13
2024 35 1016 173 11 6.4 4.3 89.2 114.1 19.5 34.1 .236 .376 .325 .303 .346 38.2 21.8 9.7 3.83 3.75
Player 14011 2400 204 8.5 5.8 88.2 118.1 18.0 35.0 .246 .432 .333 .321 .386 35.6 23.1 8.0
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smyly relies on 3 pitches.
Knuckle Curve
(48.6%) ,
Sinker
(48.0%) ,
Cutter
(3.3%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 39.0 25.4 25.4 10.2 39.5 40.1 20.3 5.1 24.9 28.2 24.9 5.6 10.7 6.9
2016 32.9 32.7 21.5 12.9 39.4 33.1 26.3 3.7 22.3 37.3 23.3 5.4 6.7 4.7
2019 34.7 32.3 25.8 7.1 47.8 33.5 18.4 1.8 24.9 30.9 23.1 8.6 9.8 6.4
2020 41.7 26.7 28.3 3.3 40.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 30.0 18.3 30.0 6.7 13.3 7.2
2021 40.8 28.1 24.7 6.5 40.3 35.3 24.4 6.8 26.0 25.5 26.0 5.2 10.1 7.1
2022 40.6 25.2 23.7 10.5 46.2 32.6 21.2 5.5 26.2 27.4 23.4 5.8 8.6 6.3
2023 35.9 28.1 24.3 11.6 43.0 34.5 22.5 5.4 23.2 32.9 25.3 5.9 7.3 5.0
2024 36.4 29.5 24.3 9.8 46.2 31.2 22.5 4.0 22.5 33.5 25.4 6.9 6.4 4.3
Player 36.9 29.2 24.1 9.8 42.8 34.3 22.7 4.5 24.3 31.0 24.5 6.1 8.5 5.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Sinker CHC L 488 92.6 14.2 -6.2 7.2ARM -5.5 17.7 -9.6 7.2ARM -8.0
2024 Cutter CHC L 34 88.6 22.9 3.7 2.2ARM -5.4 11.7 4.5 2.2ARM -4.3
2024 Curveball CHC L 493 80.0 45.9 -7.3 3.2ARM -9.6 -3.4 -4.6 3.2ARM -10.6
2023 Curveball CHC L 1186 78.6 46.3 -8.2 3.2ARM -8.7 -2.2 -6.2 3.2ARM -10.9
2023 Sinker CHC L 932 91.9 16.0 -5.2 8.2ARM -5.2 16.4 -8.1 8.2ARM -6.8
2023 Cutter CHC L 282 88.6 26.4 0.8 3.6ARM -6.2 8.4 1.5 3.6ARM -5.4
2022 Sinker CHC L 637 92.6 14.8 -6.3 8.0ARM -5.8 17.1 -8.2 8.0ARM -7.2
2022 Changeup CHC L 6 82.6 29.2 -1.8 6.0ARM -7.5 10.6 -3.8 6.0ARM -8.3
2022 Cutter CHC L 340 88.6 23.6 3.3 3.6ARM -6.3 11.2 3.2 3.6ARM -5.2
2022 Curveball CHC L 740 78.7 44.2 -10.9 2.6ARM -9.6 -0.1 -8.7 2.6ARM -10.9
2021 Sinker ATL L 995 92.1 14.1 -6.3 6.8ARM -6.5 18.1 -8.6 6.8ARM -7.9
2021 Cutter ATL L 246 87.6 24.4 3.7 3.5ARM -6.6 11.1 3.1 3.5ARM -5.2
2021 Curveball ATL L 897 78.9 44.2 -9.3 2.9ARM -9.2 -0.2 -8.5 2.9ARM -10.8
2020 Cutter SF L 86 89.3 23.7 2.0 0.6GLV -1.9 10.3 2.6 0.6GLV -1.3
2020 Curveball SF L 176 80.0 46.0 -7.4 3.4ARM -9.0 -3.5 -5.3 3.4ARM -11.6
2020 Sinker SF L 217 93.8 12.8 -7.0 5.7ARM -7.9 18.3 -9.6 5.7ARM -8.8
2020 4-Seam Fastball SF L 3 93.6 11.6 2.5 6.7ARM 0.3 19.6 3.6 6.7ARM -0.8
2019 Curveball PHI L 621 77.4 49.3 -7.4 4.1ARM -10.2 -1.7 -7.0 4.1ARM -12.2
2019 Sinker PHI L 1016 91.2 14.7 -7.4 5.5ARM -7.6 19.4 -9.9 5.5ARM -8.6
2019 Cutter PHI L 389 86.7 26.6 3.0 1.8ARM -3.8 10.6 2.5 1.8ARM -3.1
2019 Changeup PHI L 103 82.4 27.1 -4.0 3.5ARM -8.9 15.0 -7.1 3.5ARM -10.8
2016 Cutter TB L 439 85.6 26.1 0.5 7.6ARM -8.4 11.9 3.6 7.6ARM -6.5
2016 Curveball TB L 655 76.2 48.2 -9.1 8.1ARM -14.6 -0.2 -7.9 8.1ARM -14.8
2016 Changeup TB L 163 80.3 29.1 -2.1 12.8ARM 1.7 14.0 -5.6 12.8ARM -1.9
2016 4-Seam Fastball TB L 1610 90.8 13.9 1.7 9.8ARM 2.6 20.0 4.2 9.8ARM 0.1
2015 Changeup TB L 22 79.5 30.2 -1.1 10.5ARM 0.4 13.6 -4.9 10.5ARM -4.5
2015 Curveball TB L 265 76.8 48.0 -8.7 6.0ARM -13.8 -0.6 -7.9 6.0ARM -12.9
2015 Cutter TB L 220 83.6 31.4 -2.7 5.5ARM -8.7 8.3 0.3 5.5ARM -5.4
2015 4-Seam Fastball TB L 608 90.8 12.4 3.3 9.0ARM 2.0 21.4 5.2 9.0ARM 0.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Curveball 0.6 3 494 48.6 133 .220 .374 .289 33.3 36.8 22.7 .190 .304 .247 36.5
2024 Sinker -0.7 -4 488 48.0 113 .295 .484 .392 16.0 6.2 6.8 .292 .474 .375 39.6
2024 Cutter -1.4 0 34 3.3 8 .250 .250 .338 40.0 0.0 0.0 .286 .323 .267 37.5
2023 Curveball -0.3 -4 1,186 49.4 330 .229 .399 .311 36.0 30.0 23.6 .193 .308 .247 24.5
2023 Sinker -1.1 -11 933 38.9 246 .314 .600 .426 17.3 15.0 15.9 .297 .524 .389 44.6
2023 Cutter 0.7 2 282 11.7 48 .293 .463 .379 21.6 6.3 12.0 .314 .476 .392 31.6
2022 Curveball 0.5 4 740 40.8 206 .225 .340 .266 32.7 29.1 19.0 .242 .365 .276 30.7
2022 Sinker -0.1 -1 637 35.1 129 .263 .518 .386 21.8 14.0 9.4 .241 .443 .339 40.6
2022 Cutter 0.2 1 340 18.7 90 .268 .537 .363 14.4 4.4 4.9 .299 .542 .393 38.0
2022 Changeup -2.1 0 6 0.3 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 Sinker -0.7 -7 995 46.5 249 .330 .588 .428 13.7 11.6 11.4 .313 .550 .398 48.5
2021 Curveball 0.2 2 897 41.9 233 .218 .382 .288 38.8 33.9 21.2 .209 .355 .264 24.5
2021 Cutter -0.5 -1 246 11.5 61 .226 .434 .341 21.9 14.8 14.8 .318 .620 .429 43.5
2020 Sinker 1.9 4 217 45.0 45 .237 .263 .301 22.5 20.0 15.5 .280 .440 .369 46.7
2020 Curveball 0.8 1 176 36.5 50 .184 .367 .264 50.0 54.0 36.0 .160 .328 .214 45.5
2020 Cutter 0.6 1 86 17.8 16 .143 .143 .256 32.5 37.5 20.0 .257 .393 .333 37.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball 3.8 0 3 0.6 -- -- -- 50.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker -0.9 -9 1,016 47.7 246 .268 .641 .429 19.7 19.1 15.3 .277 .602 .406 43.3
2019 Curveball -0.4 -3 622 29.2 160 .253 .356 .316 38.8 33.8 22.3 .202 .314 .261 21.7
2019 Cutter -1.2 -5 389 18.3 81 .360 .707 .476 21.4 14.8 16.4 .358 .681 .447 48.4
2019 Changeup -1.6 -2 103 4.8 27 .261 .609 .385 33.3 25.9 25.0 .183 .459 .312 47.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Curveball 494 80.0 38 6.6 6:15 7:00 -45
2024 Cutter 34 88.6 68 11.1 10:45 11:45 -60
2024 Sinker 488 92.6 99 18.6 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Curveball 1,184 78.6 36 5.7 6:15 7:15 -60
2023 Cutter 282 88.6 64 8.7 10:45 11:00 -15
2023 Sinker 925 91.9 99 17.9 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Curveball 715 78.7 25 4.1 7:15 7:45 -30
2022 Cutter 332 88.6 73 11.1 10:45 11:15 -30
2022 Sinker 618 92.6 99 18.5 10:45 11:00 -15
2021 Curveball 894 78.9 27 4.4 7:00 7:45 -45
2021 Cutter 245 87.6 71 11.0 10:45 11:15 -30
2021 Sinker 992 92.1 99 18.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2020 Curveball 118 80.0 38 7.0 6:30 7:15 -45
2020 Cutter 62 89.4 58 9.7 11:15 12:15 -60
2020 Sinker 164 93.7 98 18.8 11:15 11:30 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 430 1,812 3 11 -8 -5 1
2013 315 1,345 12 13 -3 -4 17
2014 616 2,586 18 8 -7 -7 12
2015 275 1,134 5 9 -3 -2 8
2016 736 2,890 9 3 -18 -6 -12
2019 514 2,130 5 0 -16 -7 -18
2020 111 482 0 7 -1 1 6
2021 577 2,265 -6 19 -12 -7 -5
2022 425 1,723 10 7 -9 -4 4
2023 624 2,401 -5 13 -13 -6 -12
2024 254 1,016 4 1 -3 -2 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,136 51.4 63.6 83.3 31.4 53.8 44.7 60.7 48.0 25.9 8.0 68.1
2016 2,893 49.9 66.4 80.9 28.6 59.7 42.2 58.4 47.5 24.7 7.7 73.4
2019 2,130 48.3 64.9 80.5 25.3 57.3 42.0 59.7 44.5 25.9 7.5 72.5
2020 482 53.3 65.4 76.2 25.8 32.8 40.7 69.4 46.9 34.5 9.8 74.5
2021 2,139 49.7 69.1 83.4 30.9 53.2 43.8 64.9 49.9 24.9 7.7 79.4
2022 1,814 51.8 70.5 80.6 32.3 60.1 42.4 68.5 52.0 26.0 8.3 81.1
2023 2,401 45.6 64.4 81.7 31.8 57.3 43.0 62.6 46.6 27.1 7.0 75.0
2024 1,016 49.6 68.8 84.4 27.7 50.0 41.0 62.6 48.1 25.2 8.4 81.2
Player 14,011 49.3 66.7 81.6 29.5 56.0 42.7 62.5 47.9 25.9 7.8 75.7
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 30 59 13 3 68 35 1 46 24 88 51 76 69 22 47 7 2
2016 64 70 46 29 82 10 32 69 76 63 69 62 46 19 40 1 1
2019 7 27 6 3 18 16 10 40 31 55 17 53 11 20 15 1 6
2020 67 72 58 48 76 33 4 13 11 97 57 89 30 59 48 12 10
2021 19 17 14 13 32 7 13 51 47 33 62 40 78 26 20 9 12
2022 35 35 27 23 56 24 27 85 69 32 82 55 78 28 32 7 13
2023 51 54 52 49 52 22 61 78 84 43 42 59 81 18 10 6 5
2024 59 58 64 66 39 77 75 39 53 40 25 48 38 28 29 18 10
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.3 32 33.4 -1 10 21 17 53.1
2019 23.2 32 28.8 3 11 20 14 43.8
2020 23.4 2 2.9 -1 1 1 2 100.0
2021 24.0 28 28.6 -1 12 14 16 57.1
2022 22.4 16 16.4 0 4 10 9 56.3
2023 23.2 26 23.2 3 5 14 13 50.0
2024 25.0 10 8.9 1 1 4 6 60.0
Player 23.4 146 142.3 4 44 84 77 52.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 32 37 25 34 38 32 38 31 33 25 34 40 33 30 36 33 23 28 35 36 31 28 37 39 30 34 36 43 35 38 31
2019 32 34 25 26 32 31 33 28 27 21 29 30 30 26 30 28 26 25 29 35 27 29 37 31 24 24 27 31 33 29 26
2020 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2
2021 28 31 27 27 29 27 30 29 21 25 27 30 29 26 28 31 28 27 30 29 27 34 34 31 29 27 31 30 30 27 28
2022 16 15 15 13 18 19 19 14 13 12 15 16 16 16 18 17 15 15 15 17 16 18 19 18 14 17 18 19 18 18 18
2023 26 17 22 26 25 23 25 22 22 20 22 26 21 20 26 27 27 18 26 26 20 26 28 26 19 19 24 23 24 25 21
2024 10 7 9 10 10 9 10 8 9 7 10 9 7 8 10 9 8 8 10 10 8 9 10 10 8 8 10 9 9 9 10
Player 146 144 126 139 155 144 158 135 128 113 140 154 139 129 151 148 130 124 148 156 132 147 168 158 127 131 149 158 152 149 136
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 88.9 -- 0.7 -- -- -- -- 89.9 -- 92.5 2.6 91.2 -1.3 91.2 0.0 91.2 0.0 92.3 1.1
Offspeed Velocity 79.5 -- 0.8 -- -- -- -- 82.4 -- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 76.8 -- -0.6 -- -- -- -- 77.4 -- 80.0 2.6 78.9 -1.1 78.7 -0.2 78.6 -0.1 80.0 1.4
Exit Velocity 88.2 -- -0.4 -- -- -- -- 89.0 -- 90.6 1.6 88.8 -1.8 86.7 -2.1 87.6 0.9 89.2 1.6
Launch Angle 16.1 -- 5.3 -- -- -- -- 17.8 -- 11.4 -6.4 14.9 3.5 16.3 1.4 19.2 2.9 19.5 0.3
Barrel % 10.7 -- -4.0 -- -- -- -- 9.8 -- 13.3 3.5 10.1 -3.2 8.6 -1.5 7.3 -1.3 6.4 -0.9
Hard Hit % 35.6 -- -4.6 -- -- -- -- 38.6 -- 45.0 6.4 39.0 -6.0 35.6 -3.4 33.6 -2.0 38.2 4.6
LA Sweet-Spot % 31.1 -- 2.9 -- -- -- -- 35.9 -- 41.7 5.8 36.1 -5.6 34.5 -1.6 35.9 1.4 34.1 -1.8
xBA .235 -- -0.002 -- -- -- -- .261 -- .219 -0.042 .267 0.048 .248 -0.019 .241 -0.007 .236 -0.005
BA .230 -- 0.029 -- -- -- -- .278 -- .198 -0.080 .269 0.071 .243 -0.026 .265 0.022 .252 -0.013
xwOBA .320 -- -0.020 -- -- -- -- .361 -- .295 -0.066 .342 0.047 .315 -0.027 .313 -0.002 .303 -0.010
wOBA .305 -- 0.018 -- -- -- -- .379 -- .248 -0.131 .342 0.094 .312 -0.030 .348 0.036 .325 -0.023
xSLG .443 -- -0.036 -- -- -- --