Drew Smyly
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 188LBS | Age: 32

Draft: 2010 | Rd: 2, #68, Detroit Tigers | Arkansas
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 5 4.08 8 8 0 39.2 31 1.34
9 Seasons 48 44 4.18 225 142 3 877.0 862 1.28
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 8 2-5 4.08 39.2 31 1.34
9 Seasons 225 48-44 4.18 877.0 862 1.28

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 26 1136 177 19 10.7 6.9 88.2 111.2 16.1 31.1 .235 .443 .305 .320 .416 35.6 28.0 7.3 3.10 4.25
2016 27 2893 520 35 6.7 4.7 87.8 114.6 21.4 34.0 .233 .407 .323 .300 .360 31.0 22.6 6.6 4.88 3.77
2019 30 2130 337 33 9.8 6.4 89.0 114.2 17.8 35.9 .262 .516 .379 .362 .435 38.6 23.3 10.7 6.24 6.00
2020 31 482 60 8 13.3 7.2 90.6 114.6 11.4 41.7 .220 .380 .248 .295 .444 45.0 37.8 8.1 3.42 3.66
2021 32 2139 385 39 10.1 7.1 88.8 111.6 14.9 36.1 .268 .471 .342 .343 .412 39.0 21.4 7.5 4.48 5.09
2022 33 667 129 12 9.3 7.1 84.5 111.8 10.3 31.8 .267 .500 .359 .343 .398 33.3 18.2 5.3 4.08 4.29
Player 9447 1608 146 9.1 6.2 88.2 114.6 17.3 34.7 .249 .455 .336 .328 .401 35.7 23.5 7.8
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.0 32.9 .246 .409 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smyly relies on 4 pitches.
Curveball
(43.6%) ,
Cutter
(29.5%) ,
Sinker
(26.1%) ,
Changeup
(0.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 39.0 25.4 25.4 10.2 39.5 40.1 20.3 5.1 24.9 28.2 24.9 5.6 10.7 6.9
2016 32.9 32.7 21.5 12.9 39.4 33.1 26.3 3.7 22.3 37.3 23.3 5.4 6.7 4.7
2019 34.7 32.3 25.8 7.1 47.8 33.5 18.4 1.8 24.9 30.9 23.1 8.6 9.8 6.4
2020 41.7 26.7 28.3 3.3 40.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 30.0 18.3 30.0 6.7 13.3 7.2
2021 40.8 28.1 24.7 6.5 40.3 35.3 24.4 6.8 26.0 25.5 26.0 5.2 10.1 7.1
2022 48.8 24.8 17.8 8.5 41.9 35.7 22.5 7.8 32.6 24.0 20.9 5.4 9.3 7.1
Player 37.4 29.9 23.6 9.1 41.6 35.0 23.0 4.4 25.1 30.3 24.1 6.1 9.1 6.2
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Changeup CHC L 5 82.1 29.6 -1.5 -5 6.3 -7.4 -54
2022 Sinker CHC L 174 91.7 15.7 -6.1 -28 7.2 -6.6 -48
2022 Cutter CHC L 197 87.8 25.5 2.4 9 3.1 -5.9 -212
2022 Curveball CHC L 291 77.7 44.8 -10.2 -19 2.5 -9.5 -136
2021 Curveball ATL L 897 78.9 44.2 -8.9 -17 2.9 -9.6 -144
2021 Cutter ATL L 246 87.6 24.4 3.7 13 3.5 -6.7 -214
2021 Sinker ATL L 995 92.1 14.1 -6.3 -31 6.8 -6.5 -49
2020 Cutter SF L 86 89.3 23.7 1.9 7 0.6 -1.9 -75
2020 Sinker SF L 217 93.8 12.8 -7.0 -35 5.7 -7.9 -58
2020 Curveball SF L 176 80.0 46.0 -7.3 -14 3.4 -9.1 -160
2020 4-Seamer SF L 3 93.6 11.6 2.5 18 6.7 0.3 5
2019 Changeup PHI L 103 82.4 27.1 -4.0 -13 3.5 -8.9 -72
2019 Sinker PHI L 1,016 91.2 14.7 -7.4 -34 5.5 -7.6 -58
2019 Cutter PHI L 389 86.7 26.6 2.9 10 1.8 -3.8 -194
2019 Curveball PHI L 621 77.4 49.3 -7.3 -13 4.1 -10.2 -167
2016 Curveball TB L 638 76.2 48.3 -7.9 -14 7.1 -11.8 -251
2016 4-Seamer TB L 1,610 90.8 13.0 1.2 9 8.5 1.1 14
2016 Cutter TB L 439 85.6 25.1 -0.2 -1 6.6 -5.9 881
2016 Slider TB L 17 76.6 43.6 -5.5 -11 7.5 -10.9 -323
2016 Changeup TB L 163 80.3 28.5 -1.7 -6 11.3 0.3 3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Curveball -0.7 -2 291 43.6 86 .207 .354 .272 33.8 30.2 21.1 .233 .401 .287 26.8
2022 Cutter 0.5 1 197 29.5 53 .306 .612 .409 14.9 5.7 6.4 .279 .562 .376 37.0
2022 Sinker 1.0 2 174 26.1 31 .414 .759 .510 15.7 6.5 5.4 .343 .673 .444 40.7
2022 Changeup 2.6 0 5 0.7 -- -- -- 100.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 Sinker 0.7 7 995 46.5 249 .330 .588 .428 13.7 11.6 11.4 .313 .550 .398 48.5
2021 Curveball -0.2 -2 897 41.9 233 .218 .382 .288 38.8 33.9 21.2 .210 .355 .265 24.5
2021 Cutter 0.5 1 246 11.5 61 .226 .434 .341 21.9 14.8 14.8 .319 .621 .430 43.5
2020 Sinker -1.9 -4 217 45.0 45 .237 .263 .301 22.5 20.0 15.5 .281 .440 .369 46.7
2020 Curveball -0.8 -1 176 36.5 50 .184 .367 .264 50.0 54.0 36.0 .160 .329 .214 45.5
2020 Cutter -0.6 -1 86 17.8 16 .143 .143 .256 32.5 37.5 20.0 .260 .395 .335 37.5
2020 4-Seamer -3.8 0 3 0.6 -- -- -- 50.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2019 Sinker 0.9 9 1,016 47.7 246 .268 .641 .429 19.7 19.1 15.3 .277 .602 .406 43.3
2019 Curveball 0.4 3 622 29.2 160 .253 .356 .316 38.8 33.8 22.3 .202 .314 .261 21.7
2019 Cutter 1.2 5 389 18.3 81 .360 .707 .476 21.4 14.8 16.4 .358 .681 .447 48.4
2019 Changeup 1.6 2 103 4.8 27 .261 .609 .385 33.3 25.9 25.0 .184 .459 .313 47.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Curveball 118 80.0 38 7.0 6:30 7:15 -45
2020 Cutter 62 89.4 58 9.7 11:15 12:15 -60
2020 Sinker 164 93.7 98 18.8 11:15 11:30 -15
2021 Curveball 894 78.9 27 4.4 7:00 7:45 -45
2021 Cutter 245 87.6 71 11.0 10:45 11:15 -30
2021 Sinker 992 92.1 99 18.9 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Curveball 276 77.7 26 3.7 7:30 8:00 -30
2022 Cutter 189 87.8 68 9.7 10:45 11:15 -30
2022 Sinker 166 91.7 98 17.9 10:45 11:15 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 430 1,812 -3 -11 8 5 -1
2013 315 1,345 -12 -13 3 4 -17
2014 616 2,586 -16 -9 7 7 -12
2015 275 1,134 -5 -9 3 2 -8
2016 736 2,890 -9 -4 19 6 12
2019 514 2,130 -6 0 16 7 18
2020 111 482 0 -7 1 -1 -6
2021 577 2,265 6 -19 12 7 6
2022 170 667 -2 -2 3 1 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,136 51.5 63.2 83.2 31.8 54.3 44.7 60.7 48.0 25.9 7.8 67.4
2016 2,893 50.0 66.3 80.8 28.6 59.8 42.2 58.4 47.5 24.7 7.7 73.0
2019 2,130 48.5 65.1 80.5 25.0 57.1 41.8 59.7 44.5 25.9 7.5 72.5
2020 482 53.3 65.4 76.2 25.8 32.8 40.7 69.4 46.9 34.5 9.8 74.5
2021 2,139 49.8 69.2 83.4 30.8 52.7 43.8 64.9 49.9 24.9 7.8 79.5
2022 667 49.8 69.6 82.3 33.7 62.8 45.1 70.6 51.6 24.1 8.1 79.6
Player 9,447 49.9 66.5 81.5 28.9 55.9 42.9 61.9 47.7 25.6 7.8 74.3
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 30 59 13 3 68 35 1 46 25 88 51 76 30 9 39 7
2016 64 70 46 29 82 10 32 69 76 63 69 62 64 13 36 1
2019 7 27 6 3 18 16 10 39 31 55 17 53 7 12 12 1
2020 67 70 58 48 75 33 4 13 11 97 57 89 67 45 49 13
2021 19 17 14 13 32 7 13 51 47 33 62 40 19 22 13 9
2022 34 33 21 17 58 6 26 97 78 25 82 38 34 9 15 1
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.3 32 34.3 -2 11 21 17 53.1
2019 23.2 32 32.8 -1 7 20 18 56.3
2020 23.4 2 3.0 -1 1 1 2 100.0
2021 24.0 28 30.5 -3 8 17 17 60.7
2022 22.3 8 8.4 0 0 6 4 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 32 32 39 31 34 36 33 37 39 32 35 33 27 33 36 38 35 35 32 38 44 23 29 36 32 38 40 34 27 30 40
2019 32 33 36 32 33 31 33 38 37 32 29 32 24 29 34 37 32 35 29 34 34 29 29 32 32 38 36 28 35 29 41
2020 2 3 3 3 3 3 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2021 28 31 32 28 32 34 29 31 32 29 30 30 27 21 28 33 33 32 29 29 33 30 28 32 30 31 32 29 35 30 36
2022 8 10 6 10 7 9 9 7 8 7 7 7 7 6 8 9 7 10 10 9 9 10 10 8 8 7 10 10 9 9 10
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 88.9 0.7 89.9 92.5 2.6 91.2 -1.3 89.6 -1.6
Offspeed Velocity 79.5 0.8 82.4 0 0 0 0 82.1 0
Breaking Velocity 76.8 -0.6 77.4 80 2.6 78.9 -1.1 77.7 -1.2
Exit Velocity 88.2 -0.4 89 90.6 1.6 88.8 -1.8 84.5 -4.3
Launch Angle 16.1 5.3 17.8 11.4 -6.4 14.9 3.5 10.3 -4.6
Barrel % 10.7 -4 9.8 13.3 3.5 10.1 -3.2 9.3 -0.8
Hard Hit % 35.6 -4.6 38.6 45 6.4 39 -6 33.3 -5.7
Sweet Spot % 31.1 2.9 35.9 41.7 5.8 36.1 -5.6 31.8 -4.3
xBA .235 -0.002 .262 .22 -0.042 .268 0.048 .267 -0.001
BA .23 0.029 .278 .198 -0.08 .269 0.071 .275 0.006
xwOBA .32 -0.02 .362 .295 -0.067 .343 0.048 .343 0
wOBA .305 0.018 .379 .248 -0.131 .342 0.094 .359 0.017
xSLG .443 -0.036 .516 .38 -0.136 .471 0.091 .5 0.029
SLG .413 0.043 .558 .297 -0.261 .48 0.183 .506 0.026
K% 28 -5.4 23.3 37.8 14.5 21.4 -16.4 18.2 -3.2
BB% 7.3 -0.7 10.7 8.1 -2.6 7.5 -0.6 5.3 -2.2
Swing % 48 -0.5 44.5 46.9 2.4 49.9 3 51.6 1.7
Whiff% 25.9 -1.2 25.9 34.5 8.6 24.9 -9.6 24.1 -0.8
In Zone % 51.5 -1.5 48.5 53.3 4.8 49.8 -3.5 49.8 0
Out of Zone % 48.5 1.5 51.5 46.7 -4.8 50.2 3.5 50.2 0
Out of Zone Swing % 31.8 -3.2 25 25.8 0.8 30.8 5 33.7 2.9
First Pitch Swing % 23.3 -0.3 24.7 32.4 7.7 33.5 1.1 35.3 1.8
First Pitch Strike % 60.7 -2.3 59.7 69.4 9.7 64.9 -4.5 70.6 5.7
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 715 .324 571 10 1.8 144 23 16.0
2019 514 .379 401 98 24.4 113 28 24.8
2020 111 .248 72 11 15.3 39 20 51.3
2021 533 .335 387 154 39.8 146 68 46.6
2022 169 .361 126 43 34.1 43 32 74.4

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2012 595 14.8 51.9% 1.8% 246 21.1 1.6% 11.0%
2013 366 15.3 46.2% 0.5% 204 21.4 1.5% 9.3%
2014 864 15.0 50.1% 2.0% 329 22.3 0.9% 13.1%
2015 373 14.8 52.0% 1.6% 143 22.7 8.4% 20.3%
2016 964 15.5 46.3% 3.3% 359 24.5 6.1% 22.6%
2019 638 14.8 51.9% 1.3% 366 22.3 0.8% 13.9%
2020 156 16.9 23.1% 1.9% 57 25.5 0.0% 19.3%
2021 668 15.4 45.5% 1.5% 246 22.8 0.0% 13.8%
2022 179 14.8 53.1% 0.0% 110 22.0 1.8% 13.6%

Pitch Distribution