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Drew Smyly
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 2" 188LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2010 | Rd: 2, #68, Detroit Tigers | Arkansas
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 2 2 5.23 6 6 0 31.0 26 1.35
8 Seasons 37 37 4.17 194 117 3 741.2 740 1.26
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 6 2-2 5.23 31.0 26 1.35
8 Seasons 194 37-37 4.17 741.2 740 1.26

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 26 1136 177 19 10.7 88.2 111.2 16.1 31.1 .234 .441 .305 .319 .414 35.6 28 7.3 3.10 4.40
2016 27 2893 520 35 6.7 87.8 114.6 21.4 34 .231 .404 .323 .298 .357 31.1 22.6 6.6 4.88 3.85
2019 30 2130 337 33 9.8 89 114.2 17.8 35.9 .262 .517 .379 .362 .435 38.3 23.3 10.7 6.24 6.09
2020 31 482 60 8 13.3 90.6 114.6 11.4 41.7 .218 .377 .248 .293 .437 45 37.8 8.1 3.42 3.63
2021 32 536 95 11 11.6 90.6 109.7 18.2 34.7 .267 .532 .362 .371 .432 49.5 19.3 8.9 5.23 5.67
7177 1189 106 8.9 88.6 114.6 18.8 34.6 .242 .450 .335 .325 .398 36 24.4 8.2
6.5 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .403 .318 .313 .363 35.3 21.9 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smyly relies on 3 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(56.5%) ,
Curveball
(36.4%) ,
Cutter
(7.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 4-Seam Fastball 303 222 81 56.5 92.4 79 71 20 11 5 0 4 9 63 .282 .305 .521 .537 .369 .381 91.6 22 2170 5.9 14.8 9.9
2021 Curveball 195 153 42 36.4 78.9 45 41 8 4 1 0 3 17 25 .195 .178 .439 .404 .290 .284 87.7 12 2084 5.7 43.8 22.4
2021 Cutter 38 29 9 7.1 89.0 10 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 7 .286 .408 1.143 1.226 .623 .679 83.6 0 2109 5.9 7.7 0.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 220 154 66 45.6 93.8 45 38 9 8 1 0 0 9 30 .237 .282 .263 .441 .278 .370 90.6 14 2249 5.8 23.1 15.3
2020 Curveball 176 119 57 36.5 80.0 50 49 9 4 3 0 2 27 22 .184 .157 .367 .322 .238 .210 92.1 11 2153 5.6 50.0 36.0
2020 Cutter 86 46 40 17.8 89.3 16 14 2 2 0 0 0 6 8 .143 .260 .143 .395 .198 .335 86.9 1 2296 5.8 32.5 20.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 39 25.4 25.4 10.2 39.5 40.1 20.3 5.1 24.9 28.2 24.9 5.6 10.7
2016 32.9 32.7 21.5 12.9 39.6 33.1 27.3 3.7 22.3 37.3 23.3 5.4 6.7
2019 34.7 32.3 25.8 7.1 47.8 33.5 18.4 1.8 24.9 30.9 23.1 8.6 9.8
2020 41.7 21.7 33.3 3.3 40 40 20 0 30 18.3 30 6.7 13.3
2021 35.8 34.7 21.1 8.4 42.1 35.8 22.1 3.2 24.2 31.6 22.1 7.4 11.6
35 31.1 23.9 10 42.1 34.8 23 3.1 24 32.7 23.7 6.6 8.9
45.2 22.1 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.4 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.5

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Curveball ATL L 195 78.9 45 -8.8 -16 3.8 -10.8 -155
2021 4-Seamer ATL L 303 92.4 12.6 1.5 11 6.2 -0.3 -5
2021 Cutter ATL L 38 89 20.5 5.3 21 3.6 -6.3 -232
2020 Cutter SF L 86 89.3 23.7 1.9 7 0.6 -1.9 -74
2020 4-Seamer SF L 220 93.8 12.8 1.3 9 5.7 -0.7 -11
2020 Curveball SF L 176 80 46 -7.1 -13 3.4 -9 -161
2019 Changeup PHI L 104 82.5 27 -4.1 -13 3.6 -8.9 -71
2019 Cutter PHI L 399 86.7 26.4 3.1 11 1.9 -3.9 -200
2019 Curveball PHI L 621 77.4 49.3 -7.3 -13 4.1 -10.2 -167
2019 4-Seamer PHI L 1005 91.2 14.6 1.9 11 5.5 -1.3 -20
2016 4-Seamer TB L 1610 90.8 13 1.2 9 8.5 1.1 14
2016 Changeup TB L 163 80.3 28.5 -1.7 -6 11.3 0.3 3
2016 Slider TB L 17 76.6 43.6 -5.5 -11 7.5 -10.9 -323
2016 Cutter TB L 439 85.6 25.1 -0.2 -1 6.6 -5.9 881
2016 Curveball TB L 638 76.2 48.3 -7.9 -14 7.1 -11.8 -251
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Cutter 9 3 38 7.1 10 .286 1.143 .61 7.7 0 0 .408 1.226 .679 42.9
2021 Curveball 1.8 4 195 36.4 45 .195 .439 .328 43.8 37.8 22.4 .178 .404 .285 40
2021 4-Seamer 0.3 1 303 56.5 79 .282 .521 .384 14.8 11.4 9.9 .305 .537 .385 54
2020 Cutter -1.6 -1 86 17.8 16 .143 .143 .2 32.5 37.5 20 .26 .395 .335 37.5
2020 4-Seamer -1.8 -4 220 45.6 45 .237 .263 .301 23.1 20 15.3 .282 .441 .37 46.7
2020 Curveball -0.8 -1 176 36.5 50 .184 .367 .259 50 54 36 .157 .322 .21 45.5
2019 Changeup 1.4 1 104 4.9 28 .25 .583 .371 32.7 25 24.1 .177 .442 .302 44.4
2019 Cutter 1.3 5 399 18.7 80 .365 .757 .485 20.7 15 16.7 .365 .723 .464 47.6
2019 Curveball 0.3 2 622 29.2 160 .253 .356 .314 38.8 33.8 22.3 .2 .312 .26 21.7
2019 4-Seamer 0.8 8 1005 47.2 246 .268 .627 .424 20 19.1 15.3 .278 .595 .404 43.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Curveball 118 80 38 7 6:30 7:15 -45
2020 Cutter 62 89.4 58 9.7 11:15 12:15 -60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 167 93.7 98 18.8 11:15 11:30 -15
2021 Curveball 195 78.9 29 5.7 7:00 7:45 -45
2021 Cutter 38 89 78 13.8 11:00 11:30 -30
2021 4-Seam Fastball 302 92.4 99 20 11:15 11:15 0
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2012 430 1812 -2 -11 8 5 0
2013 315 1345 -11 -13 3 4 -17
2014 616 2586 -17 -10 7 7 -13
2015 274 1115 -5 -9 3 2 -8
2016 732 2875 -9 -4 19 6 12
2019 514 2130 -5 -1 16 7 17
2020 111 482 0 -8 1 -1 -7
2021 134 536 6 -1 2 1 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1136 51.7 63.4 83.3 32.3 54.6 44.8 60.7 48 25.9 7.9 67
2016 2893 49.9 66.4 80.9 28.5 59.6 42.2 58.4 47.5 24.7 7.6 73.2
2019 2130 48.5 65.1 80.5 25 57.1 41.8 59.7 44.5 25.9 7.5 72.5
2020 482 53.3 65.4 76.2 25.8 32.8 40.7 69.4 46.9 34.5 9.8 74.5
2021 536 48.9 66 86.1 29.9 54.9 42.9 68.1 47.6 23.5 8.2 72.7
7177 49.9 65.5 81.2 27.9 56.1 42.4 60.6 46.6 25.8 7.8 72.1
48.4 66.6 82.1 28.4 58.8 42.6 60.5 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.8

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 26 53 10 2 63 35 0 47 30 88 51 76 26 9 39 11
2016 61 68 43 26 80 10 32 68 77 63 69 62 61 12 36 1
2019 6 24 5 2 16 16 9 39 34 55 17 53 6 12 13 1
2020 68 71 58 49 77 33 4 13 11 97 57 89 68 44 45 11
2021 14 24 10 9 33 9 19 23 6 23 48 28 14 35 24 7
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.1 32 30.9 1 7 20 16 50
2020 23.4 2 2.8 -1 0 1 2 100
2021 23.4 9 9.6 -1 6 3 7 77.8

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 32 31 35 31 37 30 30 36 32 32 32 31 21 30 31 37 26 30 29 36 18 28 29 32 30 38 34 27 31 29 35
2020 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
2021 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 11 10 9 11 9 8 9 9 10 8 9 11 11 8 9 9 11 8 10 10 9 13 9 10
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 88.9 0.8 ↑ 89.9 92.5 2.6 ↑ 92 -0.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 79.5 0.8 ↑ 82.5 0 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 76.8 -0.6 ↓ 77.4 80 2.6 ↑ 78.9 -1.1 ↓
Exit Velocity 88.2 -0.4 ↓ 89 90.6 1.6 ↑ 90.6 0
Launch Angle 16.1 5.3 ↑ 17.8 11.4 -6.4 ↓ 18.2 6.8 ↑
Barrel % 10.7 -4 ↓ 9.8 13.3 3.5 ↑ 11.6 -1.7 ↓
Hard Hit % 35.6 -4.5 ↓ 38.3 45 6.7 ↑ 49.5 4.5 ↑
Sweet Spot % 31.1 2.9 ↑ 35.9 41.7 5.8 ↑ 34.7 -7 ↓
xBA .234 -0.003 ↓ .262 .218 -0.044 ↓ .267 0.049 ↑
BA .23 0.029 ↑ .278 .198 -0.08 ↓ .252 0.054 ↑
xwOBA .319 -0.021 ↓ .362 .293 -0.069 ↓ .371 0.078 ↑
wOBA .305 0.018 ↑ .379 .248 -0.131 ↓ .362 0.114 ↑
xSLG .441 -0.037 ↓ .517 .377 -0.14 ↓ .532 0.155 ↑
SLG .413 0.043 ↑ .558 .297 -0.261 ↓ .529 0.232 ↑
K% 28 -5.4 ↓ 23.3 37.8 14.5 ↑ 19.3 -18.5 ↓
BB% 7.3 -0.7 ↓ 10.7 8.1 -2.6 ↓ 8.9 0.8 ↑
Swing % 48 -0.5 ↓ 44.5 46.9 2.4 ↑ 47.6 0.7 ↑
Whiff% 25.9 -1.2 ↓ 25.9 34.5 8.6 ↑ 23.5 -11 ↓
In Zone % 51.7 -1.8 ↓ 48.5 53.3 4.8 ↑ 48.9 -4.4 ↓
Out of Zone % 48.3 1.8 ↑ 51.5 46.7 -4.8 ↓ 51.1 4.4 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 32.3 -3.8 ↓ 25 25.8 0.8 ↑ 29.9 4.1 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 23.3 -0.3 ↓ 24.7 32.4 7.7 ↑ 33.3 0.9 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 60.7 -2.3 ↓ 59.7 69.4 9.7 ↑ 68.1 -1.3 ↓
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 715 .324 571 10 1.8 144 23 16.0
2019 514 .379 401 98 24.4 113 28 24.8
2020 111 .248 72 11 15.3 39 20 51.3
2021 124 .333 92 7 7.6 32 0 0.0

Pitch Distribution

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