Daniel Lynch
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 6" 200LBS | Age: 25
Draft: 2018 | Rd: 1C, #34, Kansas City Royals | Virginia

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 4 11 5.06 25 25 0 121.0 116 1.58
2 Seasons 8 17 5.29 40 40 0 189.0 171 1.60
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 25 4-11 5.06 121.0 116 1.58
2 Seasons 40 8-17 5.29 189.0 171 1.60

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 24 1257 221 23 10.4 7.4 90.7 114.5 14.5 33.5 .287 .491 .360 .376 .419 44.3 17.7 10.0 5.69 6.31
2022 25 2242 383 33 8.6 6 91.0 114.6 12.9 33.7 .274 .446 .350 .343 .400 47.3 21.0 8.9 5.06 5.02
Player 3499 604 56 9.3 6.5 90.9 114.6 13.5 33.6 .279 .462 .354 .355 .407 46.2 19.8 9.3
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 32.8 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynch relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(43.9%) ,
Slider
(31.1%) ,
Changeup
(17.5%) ,
Curveball
(4.9%) ,
Sinker
(2.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 39.8 26.7 25.3 8.1 33.5 37.6 29.0 3.6 26.7 26.2 26.7 6.3 10.4 7.4
2022 43.1 24.5 26.1 6.3 39.7 35.2 25.1 3.9 29.0 24.3 27.4 6.5 8.6 6.0
Player 41.9 25.3 25.8 7.0 37.4 36.1 26.5 3.8 28.1 25.0 27.2 6.5 9.3 6.5
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 32.9 24.5 24.3 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Sinker KC L 58 93.6 19.4 -2.1 -10 13.6 -1.2 -8
2022 4-Seamer KC L 984 94.1 15.4 -0.9 -6 6.9 -0.2 -3
2022 Curveball KC L 110 81.0 47.1 -4.7 -9 1.8 -5.9 -76
2022 Changeup KC L 392 84.8 27.8 -3.9 -12 13.1 -1.1 -8
2022 Slider KC L 698 86.0 33.9 -1.0 -3 0.5 -5.1 -91
2021 Sinker KC L 149 93.2 18.5 -2.5 -12 13.7 -0.8 -6
2021 4-Seamer KC L 509 93.8 15.8 -1.3 -9 7.3 0.4 6
2021 Slider KC L 360 85.2 36.4 0.5 1 0.2 -5.0 -96
2021 Curveball KC L 34 77.4 49.2 -7.6 -13 0.1 -7.8 -98
2021 Changeup KC L 205 84.7 26.0 -4.1 -14 12.8 -0.9 -6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.1 1 984 43.9 233 .296 .432 .375 20.1 17.6 14.4 .301 .498 .379 52.1
2022 Slider 1.3 9 698 31.1 175 .272 .497 .372 33.7 29.1 19.2 .260 .441 .341 50.5
2022 Changeup -0.1 0 392 17.5 112 .257 .419 .309 27.1 19.6 15.8 .217 .338 .263 31.0
2022 Curveball 1.2 1 110 4.9 15 .467 .533 .443 21.6 0.0 0.0 .384 .576 .417 66.7
2022 Sinker 2.9 2 58 2.6 15 .429 .429 .407 22.7 13.3 100.0 .347 .396 .352 41.7
2021 4-Seamer 1.1 6 509 40.5 135 .385 .581 .434 12.2 8.9 9.1 .367 .616 .455 46.8
2021 Slider 0.1 0 360 28.6 99 .193 .253 .286 42.2 35.4 22.9 .201 .328 .303 41.7
2021 Changeup 3.9 8 205 16.3 40 .368 .658 .449 33.3 10.0 7.4 .231 .354 .273 32.4
2021 Sinker -0.1 0 149 11.9 32 .179 .429 .324 16.4 9.4 11.5 .319 .692 .448 53.8
2021 Curveball -2.9 -1 34 2.7 5 .000 .000 .000 30.0 20.0 100.0 .105 .172 .114 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 204 84.7 99 17.4 10:00 10:15 -15
2021 Curveball 34 77.4 42 6.1 4:45 6:00 -75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 505 93.8 91 16.5 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Sinker 148 93.2 90 18.9 11:00 10:15 45
2021 Slider 349 85.2 12 1.8 2:15 4:30 -135
2022 Changeup 391 84.8 99 16.5 10:00 10:00 0
2022 Curveball 107 81.0 45 8.0 4:30 5:30 -60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 980 94.1 90 16.5 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Sinker 57 93.5 87 18.2 10:45 10:15 30
2022 Slider 647 86.0 14 2.4 11:15 12:45 -90
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 311 1,257 5 -11 11 8 13
2022 550 2,242 0 -6 11 8 13
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,257 47.7 70.3 83.4 26.9 49.7 44.7 55.6 47.7 25.9 7.4 79.6
2022 2,242 49.0 71.8 81.5 28.5 54.9 41.8 59.1 49.7 26.1 8.4 76.1
Player 3,499 48.5 71.3 82.1 27.9 53.1 42.8 57.8 49.0 26.0 8.0 77.2
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2021 3 5 7 13 4 34 11 10 12 12 27 47 38 59 21 75
2022 11 9 13 20 14 12 26 4 2 39 34 54 40 58 20 6 93
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.5 9 13.0 -4 3 10 6 66.7
2022 23.9 19 22.6 -4 9 18 8 42.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 9 16 13 13 13 15 10 14 12 14 11 15 9 7 10 14 15 16 12 11 14 12 12 16 16 11 15 12 13 12 16
2022 19 23 26 22 21 27 23 16 25 21 22 19 20 15 19 25 27 26 20 24 28 22 19 22 23 24 24 20 26 20 28
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.7 94 0.3 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 84.7 84.8 0.1 ↑
Breaking Velocity 84.5 85.3 0.8 ↑
Exit Velocity 90.7 91 0.3 ↑
Launch Angle 14.5 12.9 -1.6 ↓
Barrel % 10.4 8.6 -1.8 ↓
Hard Hit % 44.3 47.3 3 ↑
Sweet Spot % 33.5 33.7 0.2 ↑
xBA .287 .274 -0.013 ↓
BA .295 .289 -0.006 ↓
xwOBA .376 .343 -0.033 ↓
wOBA .36 .35 -0.01 ↓
xSLG .491 .446 -0.045 ↓
SLG .465 .452 -0.013 ↓
K% 17.7 21 3.3 ↑
BB% 10 8.9 -1.1 ↓
Swing % 47.7 49.7 2 ↑
Whiff% 25.9 26.1 0.2 ↑
In Zone % 47.7 49 1.3 ↑
Out of Zone % 52.3 51 -1.3 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 26.9 28.5 1.6 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 30.5 33.1 2.6 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 55.6 59.1 3.5 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 311 .360 275 13 4.7 36 14 38.9
2022 550 .350 483 44 9.1 67 20 29.9

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 323 15.5 44.6% 1.2% 234 22.3 1.3% 6.4%
2022 605 15.5 41.7% 0.7% 385 21.1 2.9% 7.8%
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Pitch Distribution

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