Daniel Lynch
P | B/T: L/L | 6' 6" 200LBS | Age: 25

Draft: 2018 | Rd: 1C, #34, Kansas City Royals | Virginia
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 2 3.30 6 6 0 30.0 29 1.30
2 Seasons 6 8 4.96 21 21 0 98.0 84 1.53
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 6 2-2 3.30 30.0 29 1.30
2 Seasons 21 6-8 4.96 98.0 84 1.53

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 24 1257 221 23 10.4 7.4 90.7 114.5 14.5 33.5 .287 .491 .360 .376 .419 44.3 17.7 10.0 5.69 6.31
2022 25 542 85 9 10.6 7 90.9 113.5 21.0 30.6 .241 .454 .314 .336 .387 48.2 22.5 10.1 3.30 4.04
Player 1799 306 32 10.5 7.3 90.8 114.5 16.3 32.7 .274 .480 .347 .364 .410 45.4 19.1 10.0
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.3 169.8 12.0 32.9 .246 .408 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lynch relies on 5 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(40.2%) ,
Slider
(36.7%) ,
Changeup
(19.6%) ,
Curveball
(2%) ,
Sinker
(1.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2022 4-Seam Fastball 218 203 15 40.2 93.7 41 35 11 8 1 0 2 8 28 .314 .297 .514 .552 .394 .389 92.8 24 2121 6.9 22.7 11.9
2022 Slider 199 174 25 36.7 85.6 52 46 7 3 3 0 1 15 31 .152 .246 .283 .449 .248 .338 93.3 17 2115 6.8 28.9 18.5
2022 Changeup 106 102 4 19.6 84.0 33 30 7 5 1 0 1 6 24 .233 .175 .367 .364 .302 .267 85.6 24 1722 6.9 29.4 15.8
2022 Curveball 11 11 0 2.0 80.4 2072 6.6 0.0
2022 Sinker 8 8 0 1.5 93.5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 .500 .185 .500 .264 .529 .355 92.3 5 2108 6.9 0.0 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 509 432 77 40.5 93.8 135 117 45 31 9 1 4 12 109 .385 .367 .581 .617 .428 .454 93.1 17 2112 6.6 12.2 9.1
2021 Slider 360 301 59 28.6 85.2 99 83 16 13 2 0 1 35 48 .193 .201 .253 .329 .273 .302 87.5 9 2056 6.5 42.2 22.9
2021 Changeup 205 201 4 16.3 84.7 40 38 14 8 3 1 2 4 34 .368 .231 .658 .354 .443 .273 83.6 16 1720 6.5 33.3 7.4
2021 Sinker 149 138 11 11.9 93.2 32 28 5 2 1 0 2 3 26 .179 .319 .429 .692 .294 .448 92.2 11 2070 6.7 16.4 11.5
2021 Curveball 34 34 0 2.7 77.4 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 .000 .105 .000 .172 .000 .114 88.4 3 1874 6.1 30.0 100.0


Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 39.8 26.7 25.3 8.1 33.5 37.6 29.0 3.6 26.7 26.2 26.7 6.3 10.4 7.4
2022 35.3 29.4 23.5 11.8 40.0 32.9 27.1 2.4 24.7 36.5 18.8 5.9 10.6 7.0
Player 38.6 27.5 24.8 9.2 35.3 36.3 28.4 3.3 26.1 29.1 24.5 6.2 10.5 7.3
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Slider KC L 199 85.6 34.2 -1.0 -3 0.7 -4.9 -88
2022 Curveball KC L 11 80.4 47.5 -5.4 -10 1.5 -6.5 -81
2022 Changeup KC L 106 84.0 27.6 -4.7 -15 14.0 -0.5 -3
2022 4-Seamer KC L 218 93.7 15.1 -0.8 -6 7.0 0.1 2
2022 Sinker KC L 8 93.5 17.4 -3.2 -16 13.3 -1.8 -12
2021 Slider KC L 360 85.2 36.4 0.5 1 0.2 -5.0 -96
2021 4-Seamer KC L 509 93.8 15.8 -1.3 -9 7.3 0.4 6
2021 Changeup KC L 205 84.7 26.0 -4.1 -14 12.8 -0.9 -6
2021 Sinker KC L 149 93.2 18.5 -2.4 -12 13.7 -0.8 -6
2021 Curveball KC L 34 77.4 49.2 -7.6 -13 0.1 -7.7 -98
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.1 0 218 40.2 41 .314 .514 .399 22.7 19.5 11.9 .297 .552 .390 50.0
2022 Slider -1.3 -2 199 36.7 52 .152 .283 .243 28.9 28.8 18.5 .246 .449 .338 61.3
2022 Changeup -0.2 0 106 19.6 33 .233 .367 .298 29.4 18.2 15.8 .175 .364 .267 33.3
2022 Curveball 0.6 0 11 2.0 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 Sinker 5.5 0 8 1.5 3 .500 .500 .533 0.0 0.0 0.0 .184 .263 .357 0.0
2021 4-Seamer 1.1 6 509 40.5 135 .385 .581 .434 12.2 8.9 9.1 .367 .617 .455 46.8
2021 Slider 0.1 0 360 28.6 99 .193 .253 .286 42.2 35.4 22.9 .201 .329 .303 41.7
2021 Changeup 3.9 8 205 16.3 40 .368 .658 .449 33.3 10.0 7.4 .231 .354 .273 32.4
2021 Sinker -0.1 0 149 11.9 32 .179 .429 .324 16.4 9.4 11.5 .319 .692 .448 53.8
2021 Curveball -2.9 -1 34 2.7 5 .000 .000 .000 30.0 20.0 100.0 .105 .172 .114 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 204 84.7 99 17.4 10:00 10:15 -15
2021 Curveball 34 77.4 42 6.1 4:45 6:00 -75
2021 4-Seam Fastball 505 93.8 91 16.5 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Sinker 148 93.2 90 18.9 11:00 10:15 45
2021 Slider 349 85.2 12 1.8 2:15 4:30 -135
2022 Changeup 106 84.0 99 18.0 10:00 10:15 -15
2022 Curveball 10 80.3 41 7.5 4:45 5:30 -45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 217 93.7 90 17.1 11:00 11:15 -15
2022 Slider 183 85.7 12 2.4 12:00 1:00 -60
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 311 1,257 5 -11 11 8 13
2022 129 542 -2 -4 2 2 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 1,257 47.7 70.3 83.4 26.9 49.7 44.7 55.6 47.7 25.9 7.4 79.6
2022 542 48.3 74.8 83.2 32.9 54.3 42.8 59.7 53.1 26.0 7.9 81.4
Player 1,799 47.9 71.7 83.3 28.7 51.3 44.1 56.8 49.3 25.9 7.6 80.1
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2021 3 5 7 13 4 34 12 10 12 12 27 47 3 58 21
2022 39 58 36 27 43 12 21 19 11 51 32 52 39 55 23
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 23.5 9 13.3 -4.0 4 10 6 66.7
2022 22.6 4 5.9 -2.0 3 5 2 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 9 17 13 16 15 12 13 15 10 16 13 14 8 9 10 16 7 17 14 15 6 12 12 16 16 14 15 13 14 14 16
2022 4 4 7 5 7 6 6 4 6 6 5 6 4 7 6 7 4 7 6 7 4 5 5 8 6 7 8 4 10 4 7
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity undefined 93.7 93.7 0
Offspeed Velocity undefined 84.7 84 -0.7
Breaking Velocity undefined 84.5 85.4 0.9
Exit Velocity undefined 90.7 90.9 0.2
Launch Angle undefined 14.5 21 6.5
Barrel % undefined 10.4 10.6 0.2
Hard Hit % undefined 44.3 48.2 3.9
Sweet Spot % undefined 33.5 30.6 -2.9
xBA undefined .287 .241 -0.046
BA undefined .295 .23 -0.065
xwOBA undefined .376 .336 -0.04
wOBA undefined .36 .314 -0.046
xSLG undefined .491 .454 -0.037
SLG undefined .465 .381 -0.084
K% undefined 17.7 22.5 4.8
BB% undefined 10 10.1 0.1
Swing % undefined 47.7 53.1 5.4
Whiff% undefined 25.9 26 0.1
In Zone % undefined 47.7 48.3 0.6
Out of Zone % undefined 52.3 51.7 -0.6
Out of Zone Swing % undefined 26.9 32.9 6
First Pitch Swing % undefined 30.5 34.9 4.4
First Pitch Strike % undefined 55.6 59.7 4.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 311 .360 275 13 4.7 36 14 38.9
2022 129 .314 119 1 0.8 10 3 30.0

Pitch Distribution