Connor Brogdon
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 205LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2017 | Rd: 10, #293, Philadelphia Phillies | Lewis-Clark State (ID)
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 5 4 3.43 56 1 1 57.2 50 1.13
2022 2 2 3.27 47 0 2 44 50 1.25
2023 2 1 4.03 27 1 0 29 26 1.45
4 Seasons 10 7 3.55 139 2 3 142 143 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 56 5-4 3.43 57.2 50 1.13
2022 47 2-2 3.27 44 50 1.25
2023 27 2-1 4.03 29 26 1.45
4 Seasons 139 10-7 3.55 142 143 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 25 184 22 2 9.1 4.5 90.1 116.1 17.0 22.7 .160 .284 .252 .235 .333 45.5 38.6 11.4 3.97 2.30
2021 26 923 166 9 5.4 3.8 85.9 114.5 15.5 26.5 .214 .332 .277 .265 .301 31.3 21.3 7.7 3.43 2.92
2022 27 710 126 8 6.3 4.3 87.4 115.0 18.8 36.5 .224 .358 .310 .278 .350 29.4 26.6 5.9 3.27 3.17
2023 28 544 87 9 10.3 7.1 86.1 111.6 15.3 37.9 .250 .430 .345 .332 .372 32.2 20.5 10.2 4.03 4.70
Player 2361 401 28 7.0 4.7 86.6 116.1 16.6 31.9 .221 .357 .300 .281 .334 31.7 24.1 7.9
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Brogdon relies on 3 pitches.
Changeup
(43%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(32.5%) ,
Cutter
(24.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 36.4 45.5 18.2 0.0 36.4 36.4 27.3 0.0 36.4 31.8 13.6 9.1 9.1 4.5
2021 47.0 25.3 16.9 10.8 41.0 41.0 18.1 5.4 32.5 30.1 21.7 4.8 5.4 3.8
2022 34.9 27.0 27.0 11.1 36.5 40.5 23.0 5.6 23.8 36.5 21.4 6.3 6.3 4.3
2023 37.9 33.3 19.5 9.2 35.6 32.2 32.2 5.7 29.9 27.6 20.7 5.7 10.3 7.1
Player 40.6 28.7 20.7 10.0 38.2 38.7 23.2 5.2 29.4 31.7 20.9 5.7 7.0 4.7
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Cutter PHI R 133 87.5 24.8 3.9 14 3.8 0.7 23
2023 Changeup PHI R 232 83.2 33.7 0.3 1 17.0 2.7 19
2023 4-Seamer PHI R 177 94.7 14.6 -0.1 0 11.0 3.8 53
2022 4-Seamer PHI R 227 95.1 13.9 0.0 0 10.8 3.5 48
2022 Cutter PHI R 176 88.3 23.2 4.3 16 3.2 0.5 18
2022 Changeup PHI R 307 83.8 32.1 -0.2 -1 17.1 2.8 19
2021 Sinker PHI R 3 94.9 11.4 -8.1 -42 17.3 3.0 21
2021 Changeup PHI R 329 84.6 29.2 -2.2 -7 17.1 3.3 24
2021 Cutter PHI R 177 88.6 22.0 4.9 18 0.8 -1.6 -67
2021 4-Seamer PHI R 414 96.0 13.2 0.2 2 10.4 2.8 37
2020 Cutter PHI R 29 89.3 20.2 6.5 24 1.0 -2.2 -69
2020 Changeup PHI R 65 83.9 29.4 -2.5 -8 15.0 1.9 14
2020 4-Seamer PHI R 90 95.3 12.5 1.5 10 9.0 1.7 23
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Changeup 1.1 3 234 43.0 52 .188 .271 .240 31.6 28.8 14.6 .167 .235 .202 14.7
2023 4-Seamer -1.2 -2 177 32.5 43 .278 .722 .443 23.3 16.3 11.7 .335 .701 .471 56.7
2023 Cutter -1.3 -2 133 24.4 31 .400 .520 .437 27.3 9.7 13.0 .299 .432 .368 26.1
2022 Changeup 0.9 3 307 43.2 92 .227 .352 .279 31.9 25.0 20.0 .226 .343 .267 27.7
2022 4-Seamer -1.1 -3 227 32.0 59 .314 .529 .389 33.0 32.2 27.9 .254 .435 .332 38.2
2022 Cutter 1.8 3 176 24.8 37 .229 .400 .292 34.8 21.6 29.6 .176 .282 .225 22.2
2021 4-Seamer -0.7 -3 414 44.9 90 .300 .512 .383 25.6 22.2 17.9 .261 .462 .346 44.3
2021 Changeup 2.0 7 329 35.6 108 .167 .275 .221 33.3 25.0 19.0 .177 .252 .201 22.1
2021 Cutter 1.2 2 177 19.2 34 .200 .267 .262 26.7 8.8 10.0 .219 .268 .267 29.6
2021 Sinker -1.1 0 3 0.3 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .023 .045 .029 0.0
2020 4-Seamer 2.1 2 90 48.9 18 .167 .556 .292 22.5 38.9 23.3 .179 .344 .217 63.6
2020 Changeup -0.8 -1 65 35.3 19 .125 .313 .263 39.0 42.1 33.3 .158 .274 .267 37.5
2020 Cutter 1.8 1 29 15.8 6 .000 .000 .117 42.9 33.3 25.0 .100 .102 .192 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 234 83.2 98 18.5 2:30 2:30 0
2023 Cutter 133 87.5 59 10.8 12:15 11:15 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 177 94.7 98 19.2 1:15 1:15 0
2022 Changeup 307 83.8 98 18.9 2:15 2:30 -15
2022 Cutter 176 88.3 60 11.6 12:15 11:30 45
2022 4-Seam Fastball 227 95.1 97 19.6 1:15 1:15 0
2021 Changeup 328 84.6 99 19.6 2:00 2:15 -15
2021 Cutter 177 88.6 62 12.2 12:30 11:45 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 414 96.0 97 19.4 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Changeup 64 83.9 99 18.0 2:00 2:00 0
2020 Cutter 29 89.3 68 13.5 12:30 11:45 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 86 95.3 95 19.7 1:00 1:00 0
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 43 184 0 3 0 -2 2
2021 233 923 3 13 -6 -4 6
2022 221 854 1 8 -2 -3 3
2023 126 544 5 0 -4 -2 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 184 38.6 76.1 70.4 36.3 63.4 47.8 58.1 51.6 32.6 7.6 78.6
2021 923 49.6 76.4 74.3 29.7 60.9 42.5 61.8 52.9 28.9 7.6 80.0
2022 710 47.5 69.1 71.2 36.7 58.4 42.1 66.5 52.1 33.0 5.5 76.9
2023 544 44.5 66.1 76.9 32.5 62.2 43.8 66.1 47.4 27.9 5.5 63.3
Player 2,361 46.9 71.9 73.7 33.0 60.6 43.1 64.0 51.3 30.2 6.5 75.8
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2020 82 88 96
2021 91 80 85 86 87 87 86 94 93 32 58 71 67 87 65 95
2022 71 68 94
2023 62 58 90
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 26.4 3 2.4 1 0 1 2 66.7
2021 24.4 6 6.1 0 2 5 3 50.0
2022 23.5 6 5.6 0 4 5 1 16.7
2023 23.8 5 3.9 1 3 2 2 40.0
Player 24.3 20 18.1 2 9 13 8 40.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2
2021 6 9 7 3 6 5 7 6 4 4 5 6 6 4 6 9 5 4 10 6 6 10 7 9 3 5 8 6 7 5 6
2022 6 5 5 5 6 7 7 4 3 5 5 9 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 7 4 6 5 6 5 7 8 5 6 4
2023 5 3 2 5 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 4 3 7 4 3 3 4 5 4 3 3
Player 20 19 16 16 19 18 21 16 13 15 16 21 17 15 19 22 19 16 21 19 19 19 23 21 14 15 22 22 18 16 15
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.8 93.8 0.0 92.1 -1.7 ↓ 91.7 -0.4 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 83.9 84.6 0.7 ↑ 83.8 -0.8 ↓ 83.2 -0.6 ↓
Breaking Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Exit Velocity 90.1 85.9 -4.2 ↓ 87.4 1.5 ↑ 86.1 -1.3 ↓
Launch Angle 17.0 15.5 -1.5 ↓ 18.8 3.3 ↑ 15.3 -3.5 ↓
Barrel % 9.1 5.4 -3.7 ↓ 6.3 0.9 ↑ 10.3 4.0 ↑
Hard Hit % 45.5 31.3 -14.2 ↓ 29.4 -1.9 ↓ 32.2 2.8 ↑
Sweet Spot % 22.7 26.5 3.8 ↑ 36.5 10.0 ↑ 37.9 1.4 ↑
xBA .160 .214 0.054 ↑ .224 0.010 ↑ .250 0.026 ↑
BA .128 .221 0.093 ↑ .253 0.032 ↑ .264 0.011 ↑
xwOBA .235 .265 0.030 ↑ .278 0.013 ↑ .332 0.054 ↑
wOBA .252 .277 0.025 ↑ .310 0.033 ↑ .345 0.035 ↑
xSLG .284 .332 0.048 ↑ .358 0.026 ↑ .430 0.072 ↑
SLG .385 .362 -0.023 ↓ .414 0.052 ↑ .473 0.059 ↑
K% 38.6 21.3 -17.3 ↓ 26.6 5.3 ↑ 20.5 -6.1 ↓
BB% 11.4 7.7 -3.7 ↓ 5.9 -1.8 ↓ 10.2 4.3 ↑
Swing % 51.6 52.9 1.3 ↑ 52.1 -0.8 ↓ 47.4 -4.7 ↓
Whiff% 32.6 28.9 -3.7 ↓ 33.0 4.1 ↑ 27.9 -5.1 ↓
In Zone % 38.6 49.6 11.0 ↑ 47.5 -2.1 ↓ 44.5 -3.0 ↓
Out of Zone % 61.4 50.4 -11.0 ↓ 52.5 2.1 ↑ 55.5 3.0 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 36.3 29.7 -6.6 ↓ 36.7 7.0 ↑ 32.5 -4.2 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 39.5 36.5 -3.0 ↓ 34.0 -2.5 ↓ 30.7 -3.3 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 58.1 61.8 3.7 ↑ 66.5 4.7 ↑ 66.1 -0.4 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 43 .252 28 0 0.0 15 5 33.3
2021 Shifts 225 .284 111 10 9.0 114 27 23.7
2022 Shifts 188 .310 103 18 17.5 85 47 55.3
2023 Shades 126 .348 75 7 9.3 51 14 27.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 45 19.2 2.2% 4.4% 29 21.4 0.0% 3.4%
2021 232 19.8 0.0% 0.9% 159 24.0 0.0% 11.9%
2022 139 19.9 2.2% 2.9% 150 23.9 0.0% 8.7%
2023 127 14.9 51.2% 1.6% 113 18.9 11.5% 3.5%
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Pitch Distribution

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