Caleb Ferguson
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 3" 226LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 38, #1149, Los Angeles Dodgers | West Jefferson (OH) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 2 1 2.89 21 1 0 18.2 27 1.02
2022 1 0 1.82 37 1 0 34.2 37 1.15
2023 7 4 3.43 68 7 3 60.1 70 1.44
5 Seasons 18 9 3.43 201 14 5 207.1 247 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 21 2-1 2.89 18.2 27 1.02
2022 37 1-0 1.82 34.2 37 1.15
2023 68 7-4 3.43 60.1 70 1.44
5 Seasons 201 18-9 3.43 207.1 247 1.29
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 21 830 128 9 7.0 4.5 88.7 109.3 8.8 31.3 .233 .369 .297 .289 .379 38.3 29.2 5.9 3.49 3.50
2019 22 824 117 8 6.8 3.9 87.3 111.5 14.9 41.9 .245 .403 .331 .333 .392 33.3 26.5 13.2 4.84 4.96
2020 23 304 45 3 6.7 4.0 87.9 105.4 9.8 20.0 .162 .296 .284 .215 .314 33.3 36.0 4.0 2.89 1.94
2022 25 580 86 3 3.5 2.1 84.8 110.2 13.8 36.0 .195 .284 .265 .273 .297 30.2 26.1 12.0 1.82 3.05
2023 26 1065 169 5 3.0 1.9 89.3 112.2 9.1 29.6 .249 .335 .321 .303 .355 39.1 25.9 8.5 3.43 3.85
Player 3603 545 28 5.1 3.1 87.9 112.2 11.1 32.8 .228 .346 .306 .295 .356 35.8 27.7 9.2
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferguson relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(66.5%) ,
Cutter
(30.7%) ,
Sweeper
(2.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 46.9 21.1 28.1 3.9 28.9 41.4 29.7 3.1 35.2 21.9 28.1 3.1 7.0 4.5
2019 40.2 27.4 25.6 6.8 28.2 41.0 30.8 3.4 27.4 26.5 29.9 5.1 6.8 3.9
2020 51.1 22.2 13.3 13.3 40.0 37.8 22.2 6.7 42.2 22.2 15.6 4.4 6.7 4.0
2022 41.9 23.3 26.7 8.1 39.5 36.0 24.4 9.3 31.4 29.1 22.1 4.7 3.5 2.1
2023 49.1 15.4 26.0 9.5 33.7 36.7 29.6 3.6 37.3 20.1 31.4 4.7 3.0 1.9
Player 45.7 21.1 25.5 7.7 32.8 38.7 28.4 4.6 34.1 23.5 27.5 4.4 5.1 3.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.9 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Sweeper LAD L 30 80.0 49.8 7.7 18 16.3 0.9 6
2023 Cutter LAD L 327 86.6 37.3 -7.5 -25 5.3 2.3 78
2023 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 708 95.8 14.9 -0.6 -4 6.6 -1.4 -18
2022 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 388 94.8 14.5 0.1 1 6.2 -1.7 -22
2022 Curveball LAD L 192 78.3 58.9 4.2 8 13.8 4.1 43
2020 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 241 95.5 13.2 1.1 8 9.5 1.9 25
2020 Cutter LAD L 62 86.6 37.4 -8.8 -31 4.8 2.2 87
2020 Changeup LAD L 1 93.0 16.4 -9.2 -36 12.9 -2.6 -16
2019 Changeup LAD L 2 85.8 21.3 -8.8 -29 10.9 -3.2 -22
2019 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 643 94.4 14.2 1.5 9 9.9 1.8 22
2019 Curveball LAD L 179 76.2 64.8 6.1 10 12.1 1.2 11
2018 Changeup LAD L 27 85.0 24.3 -7.0 -22 8.5 -5.1 -38
2018 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 595 93.8 15.0 0.6 4 9.5 2.0 26
2018 Cutter LAD L 1 81.9 41.3 -6.6 -19 5.5 1.3 30
2018 Curveball LAD L 206 75.6 67.5 7.2 12 7.5 -2.4 -24
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -3 708 66.5 186 .277 .340 .344 26.0 24.7 22.4 .252 .335 .315 42.1
2023 Cutter -0.6 -2 327 30.7 80 .253 .427 .328 27.1 30.0 22.6 .241 .323 .273 33.3
2023 Sweeper 0.2 0 30 2.8 4 .250 .250 .225 12.5 0.0 0.0 .270 .544 .340 25.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 6 388 66.9 94 .175 .287 .282 29.3 28.7 24.3 .192 .280 .279 30.2
2022 Curveball 0.1 0 192 33.1 48 .209 .256 .256 20.0 20.8 15.4 .201 .293 .264 30.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 1 241 79.3 56 .245 .396 .320 28.9 33.9 24.4 .175 .322 .237 35.3
2020 Cutter -1.5 -1 62 20.4 19 .158 .474 .305 27.8 42.1 19.5 .126 .225 .152 27.3
2020 Changeup 5.6 0 1 0.3 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -6 643 78.0 151 .254 .460 .359 21.9 23.8 20.5 .266 .456 .351 37.2
2019 Curveball 0.2 0 179 21.7 50 .175 .300 .302 32.8 34.0 23.9 .184 .247 .289 17.4
2019 Changeup 5.0 0 2 0.2 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2018 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 8 595 71.7 151 .227 .383 .304 24.8 30.5 21.8 .230 .357 .282 40.0
2018 Curveball -0.6 -1 206 24.8 41 .216 .405 .330 32.5 29.3 16.0 .192 .295 .278 28.0
2018 Changeup -12.0 -3 27 3.3 9 .333 .667 .422 18.8 11.1 9.1 .432 .852 .544 50.0
2018 Cutter -2.3 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Cutter 314 86.6 28 6.8 2:45 3:45 -60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 698 95.8 90 16.0 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Sweeper 30 80.0 63 19.5 4:45 4:00 45
2022 Curveball 182 78.3 83 22.3 4:45 4:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 385 94.8 84 16.6 10:45 11:15 -30
2020 Cutter 54 86.6 24 6.2 3:15 4:00 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 218 95.5 96 19.1 10:45 11:00 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 211 879 6 7 -5 -4 5
2019 202 824 0 9 -9 -6 -5
2020 75 304 -1 1 0 0 0
2022 142 580 8 5 -4 -3 6
2023 278 1,093 -2 10 -5 -7 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 830 55.7 66.2 78.1 25.1 57.6 45.1 62.2 48.0 26.1 10.1 82.1
2019 824 51.9 73.1 81.8 22.2 55.7 40.8 57.9 48.7 23.4 7.9 84.6
2020 304 55.9 74.7 78.7 38.8 51.9 44.4 73.3 58.9 29.1 5.9 61.1
2022 580 53.4 68.7 78.4 23.0 51.6 41.4 56.3 47.4 26.9 8.3 77.1
2023 1,065 53.1 67.3 81.1 28.6 51.7 44.2 57.0 49.2 26.1 8.9 77.9
Player 3,603 53.7 69.2 79.9 26.2 53.8 43.2 59.7 49.3 25.9 8.6 79.4
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2018 64 67 90 43
2019 28 47 56 60 5 87 53 80 75 70 6 34 2 70 65 98 40
2020 100 97 92 69 100 74 54 56 71 95 95 67 99 84 53 38
2022 66 72 99 32
2023 62 42 87 97 26 97 97 41 50 69 47 50 46 80 69 36
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 23.7 8 4.6 3 4 2 3 37.5
2019 22.9 7 5.2 2 4 5 1 14.3
2020 23.7 4 4.0 0 1 2 2 50.0
2022 25.7 1 1.4 0 3 0 1 100.0
2023 23.3 4 3.7 0 0 3 1 25.0
Player 23.5 24 18.8 5 12 12 8 33.3

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 8 6 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 4 5 5 4 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 4 5 5 7 5 4
2019 7 7 5 3 4 5 6 4 3 3 4 4 7 5 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 9 7 7 4 6 4 6 8 5 4
2020 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 4
2022 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 1 1
2023 4 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 4
Player 24 20 17 15 17 19 20 17 16 15 17 18 21 17 19 19 17 17 21 19 20 24 22 22 14 19 19 21 27 19 17
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2018 2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.8 94.4 0.6 -- -0.8 -- -- 94.8 -- 92.9 -1.9
Offspeed Velocity 85.0 85.8 0.8 -- 7.2 -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 75.6 76.2 0.6 -- 0.0 -- -- 78.3 -- 80.0 1.7
Exit Velocity 88.7 87.3 -1.4 -- 0.6 -- -- 84.8 -- 89.3 4.5
Launch Angle 8.8 14.9 6.1 -- -5.1 -- -- 13.8 -- 9.1 -4.7
Barrel % 7.0 6.8 -0.2 -- -0.1 -- -- 3.5 -- 3.0 -0.5
Hard Hit % 38.3 33.3 -5.0 -- 0.0 -- -- 30.2 -- 39.1 8.9
Sweet Spot % 31.3 41.9 10.6 -- -21.9 -- -- 36.0 -- 29.6 -6.4
xBA .233 .245 0.012 -- -0.083 -- -- .195 -- .249 0.054
BA .230 .234 0.004 -- -0.012 -- -- .187 -- .269 0.082
xwOBA .289 .333 0.044 -- -0.118 -- -- .273 -- .303 0.030
wOBA .297 .331 0.034 -- -0.047 -- -- .265 -- .321 0.056
xSLG .369 .403 0.034 -- -0.107 -- -- .284 -- .335 0.051
SLG .401 .419 0.018 -- -0.002 -- -- .276 -- .366 0.090
K% 29.2 26.5 -2.7 -- 9.5 -- -- 26.1 -- 25.9 -0.2
BB% 5.9 13.2 7.3 -- -9.2 -- -- 12.0 -- 8.5 -3.5
Swing % 48.0 48.7 0.7 -- 10.2 -- -- 47.4 -- 49.2 1.8
Whiff% 26.1 23.4 -2.7 -- 5.7 -- -- 26.9 -- 26.1 -0.8
In Zone % 55.7 51.9 -3.8 -- 4.0 -- -- 53.4 -- 53.1 -0.3
Out of Zone % 44.3 48.1 3.8 -- -4.0 -- -- 46.6 -- 46.9 0.3
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 22.2 -2.9 -- 16.6 -- -- 23.0 -- 28.6 5.6
First Pitch Swing % 24.9 32.7 7.8 -- 16.6 -- -- 21.1 -- 31.1 10.0
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 57.9 -4.3 -- 15.4 -- -- 56.3 -- 57.0 0.7
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2018 Shifts 201 .297 124 13 10.5 77 34 44.2
2019 Shifts 201 .332 118 34 28.8 83 47 56.6
2020 Shifts 75 .284 49 26 53.1 26 22 84.6
2022 Shifts 142 .265 98 28 28.6 44 24 54.5
2023 Shades 270 .321 180 7 3.9 90 31 34.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 220 16.4 35.0% 1.8% 157 22.2 0.6% 7.6%
2019 223 17.8 22.9% 0.9% 134 24.3 0.0% 14.2%
2020 74 18.9 9.5% 1.4% 31 24.4 3.2% 12.9%
2022 152 19.8 1.3% 3.9% 107 23.8 0.0% 13.1%
2023 218 17.9 3.2% 0.9% 229 20.5 0.0% 0.4%
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Pitch Distribution