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Caleb Ferguson
P | B/T: R/L | 6' 3" 226LBS | Age: 25

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 38, #1149, Los Angeles Dodgers | West Jefferson (OH) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 2 1 2.89 21 1 0 18.2 27 1.02
3 Seasons 10 5 3.93 96 6 2 112.1 140 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 21 2-1 2.89 18.2 27 1.02
3 Seasons 96 10-5 3.93 112.1 140 1.25

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 22 830 128 9 7 89 109.3 8.8 31.3 .230 .361 .297 .285 .372 38.3 29.2 5.9 3.49 3.44
2019 23 824 117 8 6.8 87.3 111.5 14.9 41.9 .245 .404 .331 .334 .392 33.3 26.5 13.2 4.84 5.10
2020 24 304 45 3 6.7 87.9 105.4 9.8 20 .160 .293 .284 .213 .308 33.3 36 4 2.89 1.92
1958 290 20 6.9 88.1 111.5 11.4 33.8 .224 .366 .309 .294 .370 35.5 29.1 8.7
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferguson relies on 2 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(79.6%) ,
Cutter
(20.4%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2020 4-Seam Fastball 242 178 64 79.6 95.5 56 53 13 9 2 0 2 19 34 .245 .172 .396 .316 .294 .232 86.6 17 2267 6.2 29.4 24.4
2020 Cutter 62 38 24 20.4 86.6 19 19 3 1 0 0 2 8 11 .158 .129 .474 .227 .255 .154 86.6 -6 2683 6.2 27.8 19.5
2019 4-Seam Fastball 643 395 248 78.0 94.4 151 126 32 18 8 0 6 36 94 .254 .266 .460 .457 .344 .350 88.4 17 2311 6.0 21.9 20.5
2019 Curveball 179 116 63 21.7 76.2 50 40 7 4 2 0 1 17 23 .175 .184 .300 .247 .298 .290 80.2 5 3023 5.7 32.8 23.9
2019 Changeup 2 2 0 0.2 85.8 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 1917 6.3 0.0 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2018 46.9 21.1 28.1 3.9 29.7 40.6 29.7 3.1 35.2 21.9 28.1 3.1 7
2019 40.2 27.4 25.6 6.8 28.2 41 30.8 3.4 27.4 26.5 29.9 5.1 6.8
2020 51.1 20 15.6 13.3 40 37.8 22.2 6.7 42.2 22.2 15.6 4.4 6.7
44.8 23.4 25.2 6.6 30.7 40.3 29 3.8 33.1 23.8 26.9 4.1 6.9
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 Cutter LAD L 61 86.6 37.4 -8.4 -29 4.8 2.1 78
2020 4-Seamer LAD L 242 95.5 13.3 1.1 7 9.6 2 26
2019 4-Seamer LAD L 643 94.4 14.2 1.4 9 9.9 1.8 22
2019 Changeup LAD L 2 85.8 21.3 -8.8 -29 10.9 -3.1 -22
2019 Curveball LAD L 179 76.2 64.8 6.2 11 12.1 1.1 10
2018 Sinker LAD L 3 90.6 21.3 -2.5 -10 13.5 -1 -7
2018 Curveball LAD L 206 75.6 67.5 7.2 12 7.5 -2.4 -24
2018 Slider LAD L 1 81.9 41.3 -0.3 -1 5.5 -0.9 -15
2018 4-Seamer LAD L 592 93.8 15 0.6 4 9.5 2 26
2018 Changeup LAD L 27 85 24.3 -7 -23 8.5 -5.1 -38
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Cutter 1.7 1 62 20.4 19 .158 .474 .305 27.8 42.1 19.5 .129 .227 .154 27.3
2020 4-Seamer -0.3 -1 242 79.6 56 .245 .396 .314 29.4 33.9 24.4 .172 .316 .233 35.3
2019 Changeup -5 0 2 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 100 50 0
2019 Curveball -0.2 0 179 21.7 50 .175 .3 .302 32.8 34 23.9 .184 .247 .289 17.4
2019 4-Seamer 0.9 6 643 78 151 .254 .46 .359 21.9 23.8 20.5 .266 .457 .351 37.2
2018 Changeup 11.9 3 27 3.3 9 .333 .667 .422 18.8 11.1 9.1 .424 .806 .525 50
2018 Curveball 0.6 1 206 24.8 41 .216 .405 .322 32.5 29.3 16 .186 .287 .271 28
2018 4-Seamer -1.2 -7 592 71.3 151 .227 .383 .308 24.8 30.5 21.8 .229 .352 .28 40
2018 Slider 2.3 0 1 0.1 0
2018 Sinker -0.8 0 3 0.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Cutter 54 86.6 24 6.2 3:15 4:00 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 219 95.5 96 19.1 10:45 11:00 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 211 879 -6 -7 5 4 -4
2019 202 824 0 -9 9 6 6
2020 75 304 1 -1 0 0 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 830 55.9 66.5 78.2 24.6 56.7 45.1 61.9 48 26.1 10.1 82.1
2019 824 51.9 73.1 81.8 22.2 55.7 40.8 57.4 48.7 23.4 8 84.8
2020 304 55.9 74.7 78.7 38.8 51.9 44.4 73.3 58.9 29.1 5.6 64.7
1958 54.2 70.5 79.8 25.7 55.2 43.2 61.7 49.9 25.6 8.5 81.4
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2018 68 64 91
2019 24 44 52 58 4 86 53 80 75 70 6 34 24 73 62 98
2020 100 97 92 70 100 74 54 56 70 95 95 67 100 59 66
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.9 7 5.3 2 3 5 1 14.3
2020 23.7 4 4.1 0 0 3 2 50

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 6 4 6 6 5 4 6 4 6 4 5 3 3 5 6 3 8 6 6 3 5 5 6 6 5 7 6 9 5 6
2020 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 5 4 4 5 5 2 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 2 5 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.8 94.4 0.6 93.6 -0.8 undefined
Offspeed Velocity 85 85.8 0.8 0 0 undefined
Breaking Velocity 75.6 76.2 0.6 0 0 undefined
Exit Velocity 89 87.3 -1.7 87.9 0.6 undefined
Launch Angle 8.8 14.9 6.1 9.8 -5.1 undefined
Barrel % 7 6.8 -0.2 6.7 -0.1 undefined
Hard Hit % 38.3 33.3 -5 33.3 0 undefined
Sweet Spot % 31.3 41.9 10.6 20 -21.9 undefined
xBA .23 .245 0.015 .16 -0.085 undefined
BA .23 .234 0.004 .222 -0.012 undefined
xwOBA .285 .334 0.049 .213 -0.121 undefined
wOBA .297 .331 0.034 .284 -0.047 undefined
xSLG .361 .404 0.043 .293 -0.111 undefined
SLG .401 .419 0.018 .417 -0.002 undefined
K% 29.2 26.5 -2.7 36 9.5 undefined
BB% 5.9 13.2 7.3 4 -9.2 undefined
Swing % 48 48.7 0.7 58.9 10.2 undefined
Whiff% 26.1 23.4 -2.7 29.1 5.7 undefined
In Zone % 55.9 51.9 -4 55.9 4 undefined
Out of Zone % 44.1 48.1 4 44.1 -4 undefined
Out of Zone Swing % 24.6 22.2 -2.4 38.8 16.6 undefined
First Pitch Swing % 24.8 32.4 7.6 49.3 16.9 undefined
First Pitch Strike % 61.9 57.4 -4.5 73.3 15.9 undefined
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 201 .297 124 12 9.7 77 33 42.9
2019 201 .332 118 33 28.0 83 43 51.8
2020 75 .284 49 25 51.0 26 14 53.8

Pitch Distribution