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Caleb Ferguson
Popularity: ↓ 42%
P | B/T: R/L | 6' 3" 226LBS | Age: 24

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 38, #1149, Los Angeles Dodgers | West Jefferson (OH) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 2 1 2.89 21 1 0 18.2 27 1.02
3 Seasons 10 5 3.93 96 6 2 112.1 140 1.25
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 21 2-1 2.89 18.2 27 1.02
3 Seasons 96 10-5 3.93 112.1 140 1.25

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON Hard Hit % K % BB % ERA xERA
2018 830 128 9 7.0 88.7 8.8 31.3 .235 .371 .297 .292 .385 38.3 29.2 5.9 3.49 3.43
2019 824 117 8 6.8 87.3 14.9 41.9 .247 .410 .331 .337 .399 33.3 26.5 13.2 4.84 4.89
2020 304 45 3 6.7 87.9 9.8 20.0 .162 .293 .280 .207 .301 33.3 36.0 4.0 2.89 1.95
ALL 1958 290 20 6.9 88 11.4 33.8 .227 .373 .308 .298 .378 35.5 29.1 8.7
MLB 43640 6.4 88.3 11.9 32.8 .250 .414 .317 .321 .376 34.9 21.8 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferguson relies on 2 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(79.6%) ,
Cutter
(20.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Whiff% PutAway%
2020 4-Seam Fastball 242 178 64 79.6 95.5 56 53 13 9 2 0 2 19 34 .245 .173 .396 .318 .290 .226 86.6 17 2267 29.4 24.4
2020 Cutter 62 38 24 20.4 86.6 19 19 3 1 0 0 2 8 11 .158 .132 .474 .223 .250 .150 86.6 -6 2687 27.8 19.5
2019 4-Seam Fastball 643 395 248 78.0 94.4 151 126 32 18 8 0 6 36 94 .254 .270 .460 .466 .344 .357 89.0 18 2311 22.1 20.5
2019 Curveball 179 116 63 21.7 76.2 50 40 7 4 2 0 1 17 23 .175 .180 .300 .242 .298 .286 80.2 5 3023 32.8 23.9
2019 Changeup 2 2 0 0.2 85.8 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 1917 0.0 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 4-Seamer LAD L 242 95.5 13.3 1.1 7 9.6 2 26
2020 Cutter LAD L 62 86.6 37.4 -8.4 -29 4.8 2.1 76
2019 Curveball LAD L 179 76.2 64.8 6 10 12.1 1.1 10
2019 Changeup LAD L 2 85.8 21.3 -8.8 -29 10.9 -3.2 -22
2019 4-Seamer LAD L 643 94.4 14.2 1.5 9 9.9 1.8 22
2018 Slider LAD L 1 81.9 41.3 -0.3 -1 5.5 -1 -16
2018 Changeup LAD L 27 85 24.3 -7.1 -23 8.5 -5.1 -38
2018 4-Seamer LAD L 592 93.8 15 0.7 4 9.5 2 26
2018 Curveball LAD L 206 75.6 67.5 7.1 12 7.5 -2.4 -24
2018 Sinker LAD L 3 90.6 21.3 -2.5 -10 13.5 -1 -7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Cutter 2.0 1 62 20.4 19 .158 .474 .305 27.8 42.1 19.5 .132 .223 .150 27.3
2020 4-Seamer -0.3 -1 242 79.6 56 .245 .396 .320 29.4 33.9 24.4 .173 .318 .227 35.3
2019 Changeup -5.2 0 2 0.2 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 100.0 50.0 .000
2019 Curveball -0.9 -2 179 21.7 50 .175 .300 .302 32.8 34.0 23.9 .180 .242 .285 17.4
2019 4-Seamer 1.0 6 643 78.0 151 .254 .460 .361 22.1 23.8 20.5 .270 .466 .358 37.2
2018 Changeup 12.1 3 27 3.3 9 .333 .667 .422 18.8 11.1 9.1 .420 .798 .517 50.0
2018 Curveball 0.1 0 206 24.8 41 .216 .405 .313 32.5 29.3 16.0 .191 .288 .255 28.0
2018 4-Seamer -1.3 -7 592 71.3 151 .227 .383 .300 25.0 30.5 21.8 .234 .365 .289 40.0
2018 Sinker -0.8 0 3 0.4
2018 Slider 2.4 0 1 0.1 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Cutter 60 86.6 25 6.3 3:15 3:45 -30
2020 4-Seam Fastball 225 95.5 96 19.1 10:45 11:00 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 208 873 -6 -7 4 4 -6
2019 196 816 0 -9 9 4 5
2020 75 304 1 -1 0 1 1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 830 55.9 66.3 78.5 24.3 57.3 45.1 61.9 47.7 26.3 10.1 81.0
2019 824 51.9 72.9 82.1 22.0 56.3 40.8 57.4 48.4 23.6 8.0 84.8
2020 304 55.9 74.7 78.7 38.8 51.9 44.4 73.3 58.9 29.1 5.9 61.1
ALL 1958 54.2 70.3 80.0 25.4 55.7 43.2 61.7 49.7 25.7 8.6 80.4
MLB 48.4 66.1 82.8 28.2 59.4 42.6 60.6 46.6 24.5 7.2 75.1

Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2018 46.9 21.1 28.1 3.9 28.9 41.4 29.7 2.3 35.2 21.9 28.1 3.1 7.0
2019 40.2 27.4 25.6 6.8 28.2 41.0 30.8 2.6 27.4 26.5 29.9 5.1 6.8
2020 51.1 20.0 15.6 13.3 40.0 37.8 22.2 6.7 42.2 22.2 15.6 4.4 6.7
ALL 44.8 23.4 25.2 6.6 30.3 40.7 29.0 3.1 33.1 23.8 26.9 4.1 6.9
MLB 45.3 22.0 25.7 7.1 36.6 38.0 25.5 3.2 33.6 24.3 24.6 5.6 6.4

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2018 67 63 91
2019 29 52 55 60 6 87 53 81 75 70 6 35 29 73 62 98
2020 100 97 92 72 100 74 54 56 70 95 95 67 100 57 67
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.9 7 5.3 1.7 3 5 1 14.3
2020 23.7 4 4.2 -0.2 0 3 2 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 6 4 6 6 5 4 6 4 6 4 5 3 3 5 6 3 8 6 6 3 5 5 6 6 5 7 6 9 5 6
2020 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 5 4 4 5 5 2 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 2 5 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.8 94.4 0.6 93.6 -0.8
Offspeed Velocity 85 85.8 0.8 0 0
Breaking Velocity 75.6 76.2 0.6 0 0
Exit Velocity 88.7 87.3 -1.4 87.9 0.6
Launch Angle 8.8 14.9 6.1 9.8 -5.1
Barrel % 7 6.8 -0.2 6.7 -0.1
Hard Hit % 38.3 33.3 -5 33.3 0
Sweet Spot % 31.3 41.9 10.6 20 -21.9
xBA .235 .247 0.012 .162 -0.085
BA .23 .234 0.004 .222 -0.012
xwOBA .292 .337 0.045 .207 -0.13
wOBA .297 .331 0.034 .28 -0.051
xSLG .371 .41 0.039 .293 -0.117
SLG .401 .419 0.018 .417 -0.002
K% 29.2 26.5 -2.7 36 9.5
BB% 5.9 13.2 7.3 4 -9.2
Swing % 47.7 48.4 0.7 58.9 10.5
Whiff% 26.3 23.6 -2.7 29.1 5.5
In Zone Swing % 55.9 51.9 -4 55.9 4
Out of Zone Swing % 44.1 48.1 4 44.1 -4
First Pitch Swing % 24.3 31.9 7.6 49.3 17.4
First Pitch Strike % 61.9 57.4 -4.5 73.3 15.9
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 201 .297 124 12 9.7 77 33 42.9
2019 201 .332 118 33 28.0 83 43 51.8
2020 75 .280 49 25 51.0 26 14 53.8

Pitch Distribution