Caleb Ferguson
P | B/T: R/L | 6' 3" 226LBS | Age: 26

Draft: 2014 | Rd: 38, #1149, Los Angeles Dodgers | West Jefferson (OH) HS

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0 1.82 37 1 0 34.2 37 1.15
4 Seasons 11 5 3.43 133 7 2 147.0 177 1.22
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 37 1-0 1.82 34.2 37 1.15
4 Seasons 133 11-5 3.43 147.0 177 1.22

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 21 830 128 9 7.0 4.5 88.7 109.3 8.8 31.3 .233 .369 .297 .289 .380 38.3 29.2 5.9 3.49 3.50
2019 22 824 117 8 6.8 3.9 87.3 111.5 14.9 41.9 .245 .404 .331 .334 .392 33.3 26.5 13.2 4.84 4.99
2020 23 304 45 3 6.7 4.0 87.9 105.4 9.8 20.0 .162 .296 .284 .215 .314 33.3 36.0 4.0 2.89 1.94
2022 25 580 86 3 3.5 2.1 84.8 110.2 13.8 36.0 .195 .284 .265 .273 .297 30.2 26.1 12.0 1.82 3.05
Player 2538 376 23 6.1 3.7 87.3 111.5 12.0 34.3 .219 .351 .299 .291 .357 34.3 28.4 9.5
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferguson relies on 2 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(66.9%) ,
Curveball
(33.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 46.9 21.1 28.1 3.9 28.9 41.4 29.7 3.1 35.2 21.9 28.1 3.1 7.0 4.5
2019 40.2 27.4 25.6 6.8 28.2 41.0 30.8 3.4 27.4 26.5 29.9 5.1 6.8 3.9
2020 51.1 22.2 13.3 13.3 40.0 37.8 22.2 6.7 42.2 22.2 15.6 4.4 6.7 4.0
2022 41.9 23.3 26.7 8.1 39.5 36.0 24.4 9.3 31.4 29.1 22.1 4.7 3.5 2.1
Player 44.1 23.7 25.3 6.9 32.4 39.6 27.9 5.1 32.7 25.0 25.8 4.3 6.1 3.7
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Curveball LAD L 192 78.3 58.9 4.5 8 13.8 4.0 41
2022 4-Seamer LAD L 388 94.8 14.5 0.1 1 6.2 -1.7 -22
2020 Cutter LAD L 62 86.6 37.4 -8.4 -29 4.8 2.1 79
2020 Changeup LAD L 2 91.8 18.0 -8.7 -33 14.3 -0.7 -5
2020 4-Seamer LAD L 240 95.5 13.2 1.1 8 9.5 1.9 25
2019 4-Seamer LAD L 643 94.4 14.2 1.5 9 9.9 1.8 22
2019 Changeup LAD L 2 85.8 21.3 -8.8 -29 10.9 -3.2 -22
2019 Curveball LAD L 179 76.2 64.8 6.2 11 12.1 1.1 10
2018 Sinker LAD L 3 90.6 21.3 -2.6 -11 13.5 -1.0 -7
2018 Curveball LAD L 206 75.6 67.5 7.2 12 7.5 -2.4 -24
2018 Slider LAD L 1 81.9 41.3 -0.3 -1 5.5 -0.9 -15
2018 4-Seamer LAD L 592 93.8 15.0 0.6 4 9.5 2.0 26
2018 Changeup LAD L 27 85.0 24.3 -7.1 -23 8.5 -5.1 -38
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer -1.5 -6 388 66.9 94 .175 .287 .282 29.3 28.7 24.3 .192 .280 .279 30.2
2022 Curveball -0.1 0 192 33.1 48 .209 .256 .256 20.0 20.8 15.4 .201 .293 .264 30.3
2020 4-Seamer -0.3 -1 240 78.9 55 .250 .404 .326 28.4 32.7 23.4 .178 .328 .241 35.3
2020 Cutter 1.5 1 62 20.4 19 .158 .474 .305 27.8 42.1 19.5 .126 .225 .152 27.3
2020 Changeup -10.5 0 2 0.7 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 100.0 -- -- .000 --
2019 4-Seamer 0.9 6 643 78.0 151 .254 .460 .359 21.9 23.8 20.5 .266 .457 .351 37.2
2019 Curveball -0.2 0 179 21.7 50 .175 .300 .302 32.8 34.0 23.9 .184 .247 .289 17.4
2019 Changeup -5.0 0 2 0.2 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2018 4-Seamer -1.3 -8 592 71.3 151 .227 .383 .304 24.8 30.5 21.8 .231 .357 .282 40.0
2018 Curveball 0.6 1 206 24.8 41 .216 .405 .330 32.5 29.3 16.0 .192 .295 .278 28.0
2018 Changeup 12.0 3 27 3.3 9 .333 .667 .422 18.8 11.1 9.1 .432 .852 .544 50.0
2018 Sinker -0.8 0 3 0.4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2018 Slider 2.3 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Cutter 54 86.6 24 6.2 3:15 4:00 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 217 95.5 96 19.1 10:45 11:00 -15
2022 Curveball 182 78.3 83 22.3 4:45 4:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 385 94.8 84 16.6 10:45 11:15 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 211 879 -6 -7 5 4 -5
2019 202 824 0 -9 9 6 5
2020 75 304 1 -1 0 0 0
2022 142 580 -8 -5 4 3 -6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 830 55.7 66.2 78.1 25.1 57.6 45.1 62.2 48.0 26.1 10.1 82.1
2019 824 51.9 73.1 81.8 22.2 55.7 40.8 57.9 48.7 23.4 7.9 84.6
2020 304 55.9 74.7 78.7 38.8 51.9 44.4 73.3 58.9 29.1 5.9 61.1
2022 580 53.4 68.7 78.4 23.0 51.6 41.4 56.3 47.4 26.9 8.3 77.1
Player 2,538 54.0 70.0 79.5 25.2 54.8 42.8 60.8 49.4 25.9 8.5 80.0
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2018 68 65 90 45
2019 27 47 55 60 5 87 53 80 75 70 6 34 2 72 63 97 41
2020 100 97 92 69 100 74 54 56 71 95 95 67 99 62 69 39
2022 71 70 99 31
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 23.7 8 4.7 3 4 2 3 37.5
2019 22.9 7 5.1 2 4 5 1 14.3
2020 23.7 4 4.1 0 0 3 2 50.0
2022 25.7 1 1.3 0 4 0 1 100.0
Player 23.6 20 15.2 5 12 10 7 35.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 8 4 5 4 4 4 5 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 7 3 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 6 4 5
2019 7 7 4 6 5 5 5 7 4 3 3 5 3 3 5 6 3 8 4 5 6 5 4 5 6 5 7 5 9 5 6
2020 4 4 4 2 4 4 0 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 3 5
2022 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1
Player 20 17 16 13 14 14 11 18 14 13 12 15 11 12 15 16 13 23 12 15 18 14 14 16 17 15 18 14 21 13 17
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.8 94.4 0.6 93.7 -0.7
Offspeed Velocity 85 85.8 0.8 91.8 6
Breaking Velocity 75.6 76.2 0.6 0 0
Exit Velocity 88.7 87.3 -1.4 87.9 0.6
Launch Angle 8.8 14.9 6.1 9.8 -5.1
Barrel % 7 6.8 -0.2 6.7 -0.1
Hard Hit % 38.3 33.3 -5 33.3 0
Sweet Spot % 31.3 41.9 10.6 20 -21.9
xBA .233 .245 0.012 .162 -0.083
BA .23 .234 0.004 .222 -0.012
xwOBA .289 .334 0.045 .215 -0.119
wOBA .297 .331 0.034 .284 -0.047
xSLG .369 .404 0.035 .296 -0.108
SLG .401 .419 0.018 .417 -0.002
K% 29.2 26.5 -2.7 36 9.5
BB% 5.9 13.2 7.3 4 -9.2
Swing % 48 48.7 0.7 58.9 10.2
Whiff% 26.1 23.4 -2.7 29.1 5.7
In Zone % 55.7 51.9 -3.8 55.9 4
Out of Zone % 44.3 48.1 3.8 44.1 -4
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 22.2 -2.9 38.8 16.6
First Pitch Swing % 24.9 32.7 7.8 49.3 16.6
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 57.9 -4.3 73.3 15.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2018 201 .297 124 12 9.7 77 33 42.9
2019 201 .332 118 33 28.0 83 43 51.8
2020 75 .284 49 25 51.0 26 14 53.8
2022 142 .265 98 28 28.6 44 24 54.5

Pitch Tempo