Caleb Ferguson
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 3" 226LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 38, #1149, Los Angeles Dodgers | West Jefferson (OH) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 1 0 1.82 37 1 0 34.2 37 1.15
2023 7 4 3.43 68 7 3 60.1 70 1.44
2024 1 4 4.64 62 0 1 54.1 67 1.49
6 Seasons 19 13 3.68 263 14 6 261.2 314 1.33
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 37 1-0 1.82 34.2 37 1.15
2023 68 7-4 3.43 60.1 70 1.44
2024 62 1-4 4.64 54.1 67 1.49
6 Seasons 263 19-13 3.68 261.2 314 1.33
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2018 21 830 128 9 7.0 4.5 88.7 109.3 8.8 31.3 .233 .369 .297 .289 .379 38.3 29.2 5.9 3.49 3.50
2019 22 824 117 8 6.8 3.9 87.3 111.5 14.9 41.9 .245 .403 .331 .333 .392 33.3 26.5 13.2 4.84 4.96
2020 23 304 45 3 6.7 4.0 87.9 105.4 9.8 20.0 .162 .296 .284 .215 .314 33.3 36.0 4.0 2.89 1.94
2022 25 580 86 3 3.5 2.1 84.8 110.2 13.8 36.0 .195 .284 .265 .272 .297 30.2 26.1 12.0 1.82 3.03
2023 26 1065 169 5 3.0 1.9 89.3 112.2 9.1 29.6 .249 .335 .321 .303 .355 39.1 25.9 8.5 3.43 3.85
2024 27 940 153 10 6.5 4.0 88.2 114.1 9.9 35.9 .247 .382 .322 .317 .387 37.3 26.9 10.0 4.64 4.14
Player 4543 698 38 5.4 3.3 88.0 114.1 10.8 33.5 .232 .354 .309 .299 .363 36.1 27.5 9.4
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ferguson relies on 5 pitches.
Four Seamer
(43.3%) ,
Cutter
(26.5%) ,
Slurve
(20.2%) ,
Sinker
(9.8%) ,
Sweeper
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2018 46.9 21.1 28.1 3.9 28.9 41.4 29.7 3.1 35.2 21.9 28.1 3.1 7.0 4.5
2019 40.2 27.4 25.6 6.8 28.2 41.0 30.8 3.4 27.4 26.5 29.9 5.1 6.8 3.9
2020 51.1 22.2 13.3 13.3 40.0 37.8 22.2 6.7 42.2 22.2 15.6 4.4 6.7 4.0
2022 41.9 23.3 26.7 8.1 39.5 36.0 24.4 9.3 31.4 29.1 22.1 4.7 3.5 2.1
2023 49.1 15.4 26.0 9.5 33.7 36.7 29.6 3.6 37.3 20.1 31.4 4.7 3.0 1.9
2024 46.4 20.9 28.1 4.6 34.0 40.5 25.5 3.3 33.3 20.9 32.7 3.3 6.5 4.0
Player 45.8 21.1 26.1 7.0 33.1 39.1 27.8 4.3 34.0 22.9 28.7 4.2 5.4 3.3
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Slurve HOU L 190 81.1 51.4 3.6 8.8GLV -4.9 -9.7 4.4 8.8GLV -0.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball HOU L 407 93.8 15.8 -0.4 8.6ARM 0.9 15.4 -0.2 8.6ARM 0.4
2024 Sinker HOU L 92 94.0 21.5 -1.4 15.8ARM 0.8 9.5 -1.4 15.8ARM 0.6
2024 Cutter HOU L 249 89.0 28.1 -1.4 2.4GLV -0.2 6.3 -0.9 2.4GLV 0.3
2024 Sweeper HOU L 2 79.1 53.3 10.8 20.0GLV 5.5 -9.0 10.0 20.0GLV 5.9
2023 Cutter LAD L 327 86.6 37.3 -7.6 5.3GLV 2.3 -1.0 -7.9 5.3GLV 3.5
2023 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 708 95.8 14.9 -0.6 6.6ARM -1.4 14.9 -0.4 6.6ARM -1.3
2023 Sweeper LAD L 30 80.0 49.8 7.9 16.3GLV 1.1 -6.7 7.8 16.3GLV 2.2
2022 Curveball LAD L 192 78.3 58.9 4.2 13.8GLV 4.1 -13.8 5.0 13.8GLV 5.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 388 94.8 14.5 0.1 6.2ARM -1.7 15.9 -0.1 6.2ARM -1.4
2020 Changeup LAD L 1 93.0 16.4 -9.2 12.9ARM -2.6 15.4 -7.6 12.9ARM -0.7
2020 Cutter LAD L 62 86.6 37.4 -8.8 4.8GLV 2.2 -1.2 -8.9 4.8GLV 2.9
2020 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 241 95.5 13.2 1.1 9.5ARM 1.9 16.8 0.8 9.5ARM 2.0
2019 Changeup LAD L 2 85.8 21.3 -8.8 10.9ARM -3.2 15.8 -7.9 10.9ARM -3.4
2019 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 643 94.4 14.2 1.5 9.9ARM 1.8 16.8 1.1 9.9ARM 2.2
2019 Curveball LAD L 179 76.2 64.8 6.1 12.1GLV 1.2 -16.1 7.4 12.1GLV 4.0
2018 Changeup LAD L 27 85.0 24.3 -7.0 8.5ARM -5.1 14.1 -6.5 8.5ARM -5.6
2018 Curveball LAD L 206 75.6 67.5 7.2 7.5GLV -2.4 -17.7 8.6 7.5GLV -0.8
2018 4-Seam Fastball LAD L 595 93.8 15.0 0.6 9.5ARM 2.0 16.4 0.8 9.5ARM 1.6
2018 Cutter LAD L 1 81.9 41.3 -6.6 5.5GLV 1.3 0.6 -7.6 5.5GLV 3.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball -1.8 -7 407 43.3 112 .309 .588 .430 21.6 24.1 22.5 .287 .535 .394 52.9
2024 Cutter 1.8 4 249 26.5 61 .130 .148 .178 33.6 37.7 25.0 .156 .196 .210 28.1
2024 Slurve -0.8 -2 190 20.2 50 .265 .286 .291 32.2 30.0 25.4 .215 .269 .218 20.6
2024 Sinker 0.3 0 92 9.8 25 .316 .316 .384 21.3 8.0 10.5 .383 .417 .438 23.5
2024 Sweeper -2.4 0 2 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.4 -3 708 66.5 186 .277 .340 .344 26.0 24.7 22.4 .252 .335 .314 42.1
2023 Cutter -0.6 -2 327 30.7 80 .253 .427 .328 27.1 30.0 22.6 .241 .323 .273 33.3
2023 Sweeper 0.2 0 30 2.8 4 .250 .250 .225 12.5 0.0 0.0 .270 .544 .340 25.0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 6 388 66.9 94 .175 .287 .282 29.3 28.7 24.3 .192 .280 .279 30.2
2022 Curveball 0.1 0 192 33.1 48 .209 .256 .256 20.0 20.8 15.4 .200 .292 .263 30.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 1 241 79.3 56 .245 .396 .320 28.9 33.9 24.4 .175 .322 .237 35.3
2020 Cutter -1.5 -1 62 20.4 19 .158 .474 .305 27.8 42.1 19.5 .126 .225 .152 27.3
2020 Changeup 5.6 0 1 0.3 -- -- -- 100.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 4-Seam Fastball -0.9 -6 643 78.0 151 .254 .460 .359 21.9 23.8 20.5 .266 .456 .351 37.2
2019 Curveball 0.2 0 179 21.7 50 .175 .300 .302 32.8 34.0 23.9 .184 .247 .289 17.4
2019 Changeup 5.0 0 2 0.2 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 100.0 50.0 -- -- .000 --
2018 4-Seam Fastball 1.3 8 595 71.7 151 .227 .383 .304 24.8 30.5 21.8 .230 .357 .282 40.0
2018 Curveball -0.6 -1 206 24.8 41 .216 .405 .330 32.5 29.3 16.0 .192 .295 .278 28.0
2018 Changeup -12.0 -3 27 3.3 9 .333 .667 .422 18.8 11.1 9.1 .432 .852 .544 50.0
2018 Cutter -2.3 0 1 0.1 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 238 89.0 32 6.5 11:45 1:00 -75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 397 93.8 91 17.3 10:45 11:00 -15
2024 Sinker 92 94.0 87 18.7 10:45 10:00 45
2024 Slurve 182 81.1 62 15.4 4:30 4:45 -15
2023 Cutter 314 86.6 28 6.8 2:45 3:45 -60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 698 95.8 90 16.0 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Sweeper 30 80.0 63 19.5 4:45 4:00 45
2022 Curveball 182 78.3 83 22.3 4:45 4:45 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 385 94.8 84 16.6 10:45 11:15 -30
2020 Cutter 54 86.6 24 6.2 3:15 4:00 -45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 218 95.5 96 19.1 10:45 11:00 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 211 879 6 7 -5 -4 5
2019 202 824 0 9 -9 -6 -5
2020 75 304 -1 1 0 0 0
2022 142 580 8 5 -4 -3 6
2023 278 1,093 -2 10 -5 -7 -4
2024 248 941 1 7 -8 -4 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2018 830 55.7 66.2 78.1 25.1 57.6 45.1 62.2 48.0 26.1 10.1 82.1
2019 824 51.9 73.1 81.8 22.2 55.7 40.8 57.9 48.7 23.4 7.9 84.6
2020 304 55.9 74.7 78.7 38.8 51.9 44.4 73.3 58.9 29.1 5.9 61.1
2022 580 53.4 68.7 78.4 23.0 51.6 41.4 56.3 47.4 26.9 8.3 77.1
2023 1,065 53.1 67.3 81.1 28.6 51.7 44.2 57.0 49.2 26.1 8.9 77.9
2024 940 49.0 65.5 82.5 29.4 53.2 44.0 69.8 47.1 26.6 7.1 80.6
Player 4,543 52.8 68.5 80.4 26.9 53.6 43.4 61.9 48.9 26.1 8.3 79.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 24.9 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2018 65 67 89 43
2019 28 47 56 60 5 87 53 80 75 70 6 34 2 70 64 98 40
2020 100 97 92 69 100 74 54 56 71 95 95 67 99 84 52 39
2022 66 72 98 31
2023 62 42 87 97 27 97 97 41 50 69 47 50 46 80 69 36
2024 41 40 60 72 22 83 74 68 62 78 23 59 57 47 38 55
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 23.7 8 4.6 3 4 2 3 37.5
2019 22.9 7 5.2 2 4 5 1 14.3
2020 23.7 4 4.0 0 1 2 2 50.0
2022 25.7 1 1.4 0 3 0 1 100.0
2023 23.3 4 3.7 0 0 3 1 25.0
2024 23.9 6 6.8 -1 1 3 4 66.7
Player 23.6 30 25.6 4 13 15 12 40.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2018 8 6 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 4 5 5 4 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 4 5 5 7 5 4
2019 7 7 5 3 4 5 6 4 3 3 4 4 7 5 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 9 6 7 4 6 4 6 8 5 4
2020 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 4
2022 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 3 1 1
2023 4 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 4
2024 6 7 6 6 7 7 7 6 5 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 6 7 7 6
Player 30 27 23 21 24 26 27 23 21 22 24 26 28 24 26 26 24 24 28 27 27 31 28 29 21 25 26 27 34 26 23
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2018 2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.8 94.4 0.6 -- -0.8 -- -- 94.8 -- 92.9 -1.9 92.2 -0.7
Offspeed Velocity 85.0 85.8 0.8 -- 7.2 -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 75.6 76.2 0.6 -- 0.0 -- -- 78.3 -- 80.0 1.7 81.0 1.0
Exit Velocity 88.7 87.3 -1.4 -- 0.6 -- -- 84.8 -- 89.3 4.5 88.2 -1.1
Launch Angle 8.8 14.9 6.1 -- -5.1 -- -- 13.8 -- 9.1 -4.7 9.9 0.8
Barrel % 7.0 6.8 -0.2 -- -0.1 -- -- 3.5 -- 3.0 -0.5 6.5 3.5
Hard Hit % 38.3 33.3 -5.0 -- 0.0 -- -- 30.2 -- 39.1 8.9 37.3 -1.8
LA Sweet-Spot % 31.3 41.9 10.6 -- -21.9 -- -- 36.0 -- 29.6 -6.4 35.9 6.3
xBA .233 .245 0.012 -- -0.083 -- -- .195 -- .249 0.054 .247 -0.002
BA .230 .234 0.004 -- -0.012 -- -- .187 -- .269 0.082 .256 -0.013
xwOBA .289 .333 0.044 -- -0.118 -- -- .272 -- .303 0.031 .317 0.014
wOBA .297 .331 0.034 -- -0.047 -- -- .265 -- .321 0.056 .322 0.001
xSLG .369 .403 0.034 -- -0.107 -- -- .284 -- .335 0.051 .382 0.047
SLG .401 .419 0.018 -- -0.002 -- -- .276 -- .366 0.090 .388 0.022
K% 29.2 26.5 -2.7 -- 9.5 -- -- 26.1 -- 25.9 -0.2 26.9 1.0
BB% 5.9 13.2 7.3 -- -9.2 -- -- 12.0 -- 8.5 -3.5 10.0 1.5
Swing % 48.0 48.7 0.7 -- 10.2 -- -- 47.4 -- 49.2 1.8 47.1 -2.1
Whiff% 26.1 23.4 -2.7 -- 5.7 -- -- 26.9 -- 26.1 -0.8 26.6 0.5
In Zone % 55.7 51.9 -3.8 -- 4.0 -- -- 53.4 -- 53.1 -0.3 49.0 -4.1
Out of Zone % 44.3 48.1 3.8 -- -4.0 -- -- 46.6 -- 46.9 0.3 51.0 4.1
Out of Zone Swing % 25.1 22.2 -2.9 -- 16.6 -- -- 23.0 -- 28.6 5.6 29.4 0.8
First Pitch Swing % 24.9 32.7 7.8 -- 16.6 -- -- 21.1 -- 31.1 10.0 35.5 4.4
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 57.9 -4.3 -- 15.4 -- -- 56.3 -- 57.0 0.7 69.8 12.8
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2018 Shifts 201 .297 124 12 9.7 77 33 42.9
2019 Shifts 201 .332 118 33 28.0 83 43 51.8
2020 Shifts 75 .284 49 25 51.0 26 14 53.8
2022 Shifts 142 .265 98 28 28.6 44 24 54.5
2023 Shades 270 .321 180 7 3.9 90 31 34.4
2024 Shades 248 .322 152 17 11.2 96 46 47.9
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2018 220 16.4 35.0% 1.8% 157 22.2 0.6% 7.6%
2019 223 17.8 22.9% 0.9% 134 24.3 0.0% 14.2%
2020 74 18.9 9.5% 1.4% 31 24.4 3.2% 12.9%
2022 152 19.8 1.3% 3.9% 107 23.8 0.0% 13.1%
2023 218 17.9 3.2% 0.9% 229 20.5 0.0% 0.4%
2024 190 17.0 12.6% 0.5% 204 18.8 2.0% 0.5%

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Pitch Distribution