Alec Mills
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 205LBS | Age: 32
Draft: 2012 | Rd: 22, #673, Kansas City Royals | Tennessee - Martin
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 6 7 5.07 32 20 1 119 87 1.44
2022 0 1 9.68 7 2 0 17.2 11 1.75
2023 0 0 18.00 1 0 0 1 0 5.00
7 Seasons 12 14 5.00 70 39 2 257.1 213 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 32 6-7 5.07 119 87 1.44
2022 7 0-1 9.68 17.2 11 1.75
2023 1 0-0 18.00 1 0 5.00
7 Seasons 70 12-14 5.00 257.1 213 1.35
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 24 86 9 1 11.1 5.3 85.6 103.8 8.7 33.3 .188 .364 .397 .379 .337 44.4 21.1 26.3 13.50 6.41
2018 26 292 41 2 4.9 2.8 89.4 104.8 11.1 26.8 .168 .284 .246 .242 .302 46.3 32.4 9.9 4.00 2.44
2019 27 553 92 7 7.6 4.6 88.4 113.1 11.1 35.9 .248 .451 .311 .339 .424 35.9 27.6 7.2 2.75 5.16
2020 28 945 185 17 9.2 6.7 86.9 114.5 10.1 30.8 .263 .461 .316 .342 .386 39.5 18.3 7.5 4.48 5.06
2021 29 1936 389 19 4.9 3.7 88.3 111.9 7.8 33.2 .280 .429 .343 .333 .372 39.3 16.8 6.6 5.07 4.76
2022 30 302 67 8 11.9 9.5 91.1 112.1 18.0 44.8 .319 .641 .486 .420 .467 43.3 13.1 3.6 9.68 8.18
2023 31 40 8 1 12.5 10.0 92.3 104.8 8.0 12.5 .294 .648 .676 .453 .389 50.0 0.0 10.0 18.00 10.11
Player 4154 791 55 7.0 5.0 88.3 114.5 9.8 33.4 .266 .447 .341 .339 .386 39.8 19.3 7.2
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Mills relies on 5 pitches.
Slider
(35.0%) ,
Sinker
(30.0%) ,
Changeup
(17.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(10.0%) ,
Curveball
(7.5%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2016 44.4 44.4 0.0 11.1 44.4 11.1 44.4 11.1 33.3 22.2 0.0 22.2 11.1 5.3
2018 51.2 31.7 12.2 4.9 31.7 56.1 12.2 0.0 46.3 22.0 14.6 12.2 4.9 2.8
2019 48.9 21.7 23.9 5.4 42.4 33.7 23.9 3.3 33.7 17.4 31.5 6.5 7.6 4.6
2020 48.1 21.6 23.2 7.0 40.0 35.1 24.9 6.5 36.8 21.6 20.0 5.9 9.2 6.7
2021 52.2 20.3 23.7 3.9 45.0 36.2 18.8 6.9 34.4 18.5 29.6 5.4 4.9 3.7
2022 34.3 29.9 29.9 6.0 58.2 23.9 17.9 3.0 22.4 23.9 26.9 11.9 11.9 9.5
2023 75.0 12.5 0.0 12.5 62.5 25.0 12.5 0.0 62.5 12.5 12.5 0.0 12.5 10.0
Player 49.4 22.4 23.0 5.2 44.1 35.3 20.6 5.7 34.8 19.7 26.0 6.7 7.0 5.0
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 4-Seam Fastball CIN R 4 88.8 20.5 -2.0 5.9ARM -0.7 13.9 -1.9 5.9ARM -1.5
2023 Sinker CIN R 12 89.6 28.1 2.1 14.8ARM -0.1 5.9 1.7 14.8ARM -0.2
2023 Changeup CIN R 7 78.9 39.8 2.5 13.6ARM -0.6 3.7 1.7 13.6ARM -0.8
2023 Curveball CIN R 3 67.6 68.3 -3.5 10.3GLV -3.3 -8.7 -1.2 10.3GLV 1.4
2023 Slider CIN R 14 78.5 46.9 2.3 14.0GLV 2.3 -2.6 4.1 14.0GLV 8.7
2022 Sinker CHC R 111 88.5 27.1 1.6 16.3ARM 1.7 8.0 0.3 16.3ARM 1.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 70 88.6 20.0 -2.0 9.1ARM 2.2 15.0 -1.2 9.1ARM 1.8
2022 Changeup CHC R 56 78.9 38.2 1.9 15.3ARM 1.1 5.9 0.0 15.3ARM 1.1
2022 Curveball CHC R 26 65.8 75.4 0.9 12.8GLV -1.5 -11.5 1.6 12.8GLV 3.7
2022 Slider CHC R 39 76.1 51.5 4.7 17.8GLV 6.4 -3.8 5.6 17.8GLV 12.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Slider -10.9 -2 14 35.0 4 .500 1.250 .725 25.0 0.0 0.0 .282 .961 .498 25.0
2023 Sinker -10.6 -1 12 30.0 3 .500 .500 .833 16.7 0.0 0.0 .284 .298 .405 50.0
2023 Changeup -20.6 -1 7 17.5 2 1.000 3.000 1.150 0.0 0.0 0.0 .417 .460 .539 100.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 14.1 1 4 10.0 1 .000 .000 .000 33.3 0.0 -- .244 .288 .223 100.0
2023 Curveball -4.2 0 3 7.5 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 Sinker -1.9 -2 111 36.8 37 .257 .514 .345 13.1 16.2 22.2 .269 .482 .341 37.9
2022 4-Seam Fastball -4.7 -3 70 23.2 21 .316 .842 .495 6.3 9.5 11.1 .258 .626 .398 52.9
2022 Changeup -6.9 -4 56 18.5 12 .545 1.455 .754 27.6 8.3 5.0 .496 1.151 .636 45.5
2022 Slider -7.0 -3 39 12.9 8 .625 .750 .606 28.6 25.0 11.8 .389 .533 .400 33.3
2022 Curveball -0.6 0 26 8.6 5 .500 .750 .570 8.3 0.0 0.0 .421 .920 .597 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Sinker 12 89.6 77 16.2 1:30 2:30 -60
2023 Slider 14 78.5 59 15.3 7:45 8:30 -45
2022 Changeup 56 78.9 85 16.8 1:45 2:30 -45
2022 Curveball 26 65.8 83 20.3 7:30 7:30 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 70 88.6 86 17.0 1:30 1:00 30
2022 Sinker 111 88.5 84 18.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Slider 39 76.1 64 19.7 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 71 292 0 4 -1 0 2
2019 152 553 1 8 -1 -3 5
2020 252 945 4 8 -6 -5 2
2021 515 1,936 3 8 -13 -8 -10
2022 83 302 -6 -1 -3 -1 -12
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 86 37.2 81.3 92.3 27.8 60.0 44.2 36.8 47.7 19.5 4.7 100.0
2018 292 51.0 57.7 82.6 28.7 51.2 46.9 66.2 43.5 27.6 3.1 55.6
2019 553 44.3 67.8 80.1 31.5 57.7 47.4 67.1 47.6 28.1 4.0 77.3
2020 945 45.9 61.1 86.4 30.1 72.7 44.7 61.1 44.3 17.9 5.4 66.7
2021 1,936 49.1 64.2 87.2 28.3 65.2 44.9 65.2 46.0 18.7 6.0 70.7
2022 302 48.0 66.2 92.7 33.1 69.2 43.0 69.9 49.0 15.5 6.3 63.2
2023 40 42.5 64.7 90.9 30.4 57.1 40.0 60.0 45.0 22.2 5.0 100.0
Player 4,154 47.5 63.9 86.4 29.6 65.1 45.1 64.4 45.9 20.2 5.4 70.0
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2016 43 71 63
2018 19 47 68
2019 8 40 48 50
2020 26 27 22 24 41 2 23 74 35 17 63 4 71 9 35 30 24
2021 25 10 32 60 21 45 90 60 43 9 76 3 53 5 34 27 26
2022 2 38 29
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 -- 0 0.4 0 0 1 0 --
2018 26.3 1 1.0 0 1 0 1 100.0
2019 22.6 5 5.8 -1 2 2 4 80.0
2020 24.1 13 13.2 0 0 11 6 46.2
2021 22.9 16 15.1 1 8 4 11 68.8
2022 24.2 7 6.0 1 2 5 3 42.9
2023 27.6 1 1.0 0 0 0 1 100.0
Player 23.6 43 42.5 1 13 23 26 60.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
2018 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2019 5 7 5 5 5 6 6 5 4 4 4 5 8 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 7 6 8 6 7 5 4 7 8 6 4
2020 13 16 13 13 12 15 15 13 12 9 11 14 13 10 16 13 16 15 11 15 12 12 17 13 14 10 13 15 14 14 10
2021 16 16 13 16 14 14 15 15 13 14 14 16 17 14 14 16 14 15 15 15 17 17 16 15 16 14 15 16 16 14 17
2022 7 5 5 7 6 5 8 4 5 4 6 8 6 5 6 7 6 5 6 8 5 7 8 6 5 6 8 7 6 5 6
2023 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Player 43 47 38 43 39 42 47 39 36 33 37 46 46 37 44 44 44 42 41 47 43 45 52 43 44 37 43 48 47 42 39
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2018 2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.6 89.6 -1.0 89.8 0.2 89.0 -0.8 88.5 -0.5 89.4 0.9
Offspeed Velocity 81.1 80.7 -0.4 80.7 0.0 79.1 -1.6 78.9 -0.2 78.9 0.0
Breaking Velocity 76.0 72.0 -4.0 71.0 -1.0 71.8 0.8 72.0 0.2 76.6 4.6
Exit Velocity 89.4 88.4 -1.0 86.9 -1.5 88.3 1.4 91.1 2.8 92.3 1.2
Launch Angle 11.1 11.1 0.0 10.1 -1.0 7.8 -2.3 18.0 10.2 8.0 -10.0
Barrel % 4.9 7.6 2.7 9.2 1.6 4.9 -4.3 11.9 7.0 12.5 0.6
Hard Hit % 46.3 35.9 -10.4 39.5 3.6 39.3 -0.2 43.3 4.0 50.0 6.7
LA Sweet-Spot % 26.8 35.9 9.1 30.8 -5.1 33.2 2.4 44.8 11.6 12.5 -32.3
xBA .168 .248 0.080 .263 0.015 .280 0.017 .319 0.039 .294 -0.025
BA .172 .231 0.059 .230 -0.001 .291 0.061 .364 0.073 .500 0.136
xwOBA .242 .339 0.097 .342 0.003 .333 -0.009 .420 0.087 .453 0.033
wOBA .246 .311 0.065 .316 0.005 .343 0.027 .486 0.143 .676 0.190
xSLG .284 .451 0.167 .461 0.010 .429 -0.032 .641 0.212 .648 0.007
SLG .297 .396 0.099 .448 0.052 .451 0.003 .766 0.315 1.125 0.359
K% 32.4 27.6 -4.8 18.3 -9.3 16.8 -1.5 13.1 -3.7 0.0 -13.1
BB% 9.9 7.2 -2.7 7.5 0.3 6.6 -0.9 3.6 -3.0 10.0 6.4
Swing % 43.5 47.6 4.1 44.3 -3.3 46.0 1.7 49.0 3.0 45.0 -4.0
Whiff% 27.6 28.1 0.5 17.9 -10.2 18.7 0.8 15.5 -3.2 22.2 6.7
In Zone % 51.0 44.3 -6.7 45.9 1.6 49.1 3.2 48.0 -1.1 42.5 -5.5
Out of Zone % 49.0 55.7 6.7 54.1 -1.6 50.9 -3.2 52.0 1.1 57.5 5.5
Out of Zone Swing % 28.7 31.5 2.8 30.1 -1.4 28.3 -1.8 33.1 4.8 30.4 -2.7
First Pitch Swing % 16.9 36.8 19.9 25.4 -11.4 32.5 7.1 31.3 -1.2 30.0 -1.3
First Pitch Strike % 66.2 67.1 0.9 61.1 -6.0 65.2 4.1 69.9 4.7 60.0 -9.9
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 19 .397 10 0 0.0 9 0 0.0
2018 Shifts 71 .246 42 0 0.0 29 5 17.2
2019 Shifts 152 .311 85 5 5.9 67 26 38.8
2020 Shifts 252 .316 101 32 31.7 151 88 58.3
2021 Shifts 515 .343 273 40 14.7 242 166 68.6
2022 Shifts 82 .477 39 4 10.3 43 30 69.8
2023 Shades 10 .676 6 4 66.7 4 0 0.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2016 16 14.5 62.5% 12.5% 22 22.7 4.5% 22.7%
2018 104 14.7 55.8% 0.0% 42 22.0 0.0% 2.4%
2019 164 15.0 48.8% 0.6% 80 23.9 0.0% 5.0%
2020 353 15.5 41.1% 2.3% 101 24.7 0.0% 5.9%
2021 601 16.6 30.4% 1.2% 300 24.8 0.0% 13.0%
2022 83 16.6 22.9% 0.0% 53 23.2 0.0% 3.8%
2023 7 16.4 28.6% 0.0% 11 21.7 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution