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Alec Mills
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 205LBS | Age: 29

Draft: 2012 | Rd: 22, #673, Kansas City Royals | Tennessee - Martin
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 6 7 5.07 32 20 1 119.0 87 1.44
5 Seasons 12 13 4.60 62 37 2 238.2 202 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 32 6-7 5.07 119.0 87 1.44
5 Seasons 62 12-13 4.60 238.2 202 1.30

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2016 25 86 9 1 11.1 85.6 103.8 8.7 33.3 .190 .366 .397 .380 .339 44.4 21.1 26.3 13.50 6.68
2018 27 292 41 2 4.9 89.4 104.8 11.1 26.8 .169 .284 .246 .243 .303 46.3 32.4 9.9 4.00 2.49
2019 28 553 92 7 7.6 88.4 113.1 11.1 35.9 .248 .451 .311 .340 .424 35.9 27.6 7.2 2.75 5.31
2020 29 945 185 17 9.2 86.9 114.5 10.1 30.8 .264 .462 .316 .342 .387 39.5 18.3 7.5 4.48 5.10
2021 30 1936 389 19 4.9 88.3 111.9 7.8 33.2 .278 .424 .343 .332 .370 39.3 16.8 6.6 5.07 4.79
3812 716 46 6.4 88 114.5 9 32.5 .261 .427 .326 .330 .377 39.4 20 7.5
6.6 88.3 122.2 12 32.9 .242 .402 .317 .312 .363 35.6 22 8.4

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Mills relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(42.9%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(17.2%) ,
Changeup
(16.8%) ,
Slider
(12.6%) ,
Curveball
(10.4%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Sinker 831 524 307 42.9 89.1 232 211 63 44 12 0 7 26 186 .299 .302 .455 .447 .351 .356 89.8 3 2157 6.1 10.4 13.6
2021 4-Seam Fastball 333 109 224 17.2 88.7 89 78 25 13 5 0 7 8 72 .321 .308 .654 .578 .437 .409 88.3 17 2167 6.1 10.9 10.0
2021 Changeup 326 101 225 16.8 79.1 93 86 22 16 5 0 1 24 62 .256 .225 .349 .313 .292 .269 86.0 3 1746 6.1 36.1 20.2
2021 Slider 244 184 60 12.6 76.6 63 59 12 11 1 0 0 25 36 .203 .208 .220 .254 .199 .216 80.4 8 2528 6.0 29.9 19.8
2021 Curveball 202 82 120 10.4 65.8 38 36 15 10 4 0 1 4 33 .417 .308 .611 .499 .446 .354 80.7 16 2317 5.9 18.4 9.5
2020 Sinker 314 158 156 33.2 90.0 113 102 25 14 5 0 6 19 83 .245 .262 .471 .445 .338 .341 88.7 2 2196 6.0 7.5 25.3
2020 4-Seam Fastball 243 86 157 25.7 89.8 57 50 16 6 5 0 5 8 43 .320 .319 .720 .731 .449 .466 92.3 24 2182 6.0 13.1 12.5
2020 Changeup 151 56 95 16.0 80.8 39 36 5 3 0 0 2 10 26 .139 .275 .306 .396 .223 .321 82.0 2 1707 6.1 32.5 19.2
2020 Curveball 142 30 112 15.0 66.6 30 29 6 5 1 0 0 2 27 .207 .239 .241 .300 .212 .252 79.5 26 2378 5.9 21.6 10.5
2020 Slider 95 55 40 10.1 77.5 13 13 1 1 0 0 0 7 6 .077 .093 .077 .108 .068 .091 68.8 -21 2584 6.0 42.4 18.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2016 44.4 44.4 0 11.1 44.4 11.1 44.4 11.1 33.3 22.2 0 22.2 11.1
2018 51.2 31.7 12.2 4.9 31.7 56.1 12.2 0 46.3 22 14.6 12.2 4.9
2019 48.9 21.7 23.9 5.4 42.4 33.7 23.9 3.3 33.7 17.4 31.5 6.5 7.6
2020 48.1 18.4 26.5 7 40 35.1 24.9 6.5 36.8 21.6 20 5.9 9.2
2021 52.2 20.3 23.7 3.9 45 36.2 18.8 6.9 34.4 18.5 29.6 5.4 4.9
50.6 20.9 23.5 5 42.6 36.5 20.9 6 35.6 19.4 26.1 6.3 6.4
45.1 22.5 25.4 7.1 36.6 37.8 25.5 3.7 33.2 24.4 24.4 5.7 6.6

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Curveball CHC R 202 65.8 74.3 0.8 1 12.5 0.2 2
2021 Slider CHC R 244 76.6 50.5 3.9 8 16.6 3.5 27
2021 Changeup CHC R 326 79.1 39.6 4 11 15 1.2 8
2021 4-Seamer CHC R 332 88.7 20.7 -2.9 -17 9.4 2.2 31
2021 Sinker CHC R 829 89.1 26.9 2.1 8 16.1 1.8 12
2020 Sinker CHC R 310 90 26.4 2.4 10 16.2 1.5 10
2020 Curveball CHC R 142 66.6 72.5 0.4 1 12.9 0.7 6
2020 Changeup CHC R 151 80.8 38.2 4 12 15.3 1.6 12
2020 Slider CHC R 95 77.5 48.1 2.8 6 16.5 5.2 46
2020 4-Seamer CHC R 242 89.8 20 -2.6 -15 9.6 2.7 39
2019 Changeup CHC R 106 80.7 39.2 4.7 14 14.5 0.6 4
2019 Curveball CHC R 86 67.6 73.4 3.1 4 14.5 1.5 11
2019 Sinker CHC R 130 89.9 27 2.8 11 16.2 1.8 13
2019 4-Seamer CHC R 170 89.5 20.5 -2.5 -14 9.3 2.5 37
2019 Slider CHC R 61 78.2 48.3 2.6 6 15.1 3.9 35
2018 Curveball CHC R 23 72 66.3 1.9 3 13.3 1.2 10
2018 4-Seamer CHC R 101 90.6 18.9 -1.7 -10 9.7 2.8 40
2018 Slider CHC R 40 78.4 47.9 2.5 6 15.3 5.4 55
2018 Sinker CHC R 71 90.5 25.7 2 9 16.4 2 14
2018 Changeup CHC R 57 81.1 38.1 3.7 11 15.2 1.6 12
2016 Sinker KC R 30 92.6 23.9 4.6 24 18.7 4.2 29
2016 Curveball KC R 23 80.2 45.2 -5.1 -10 2 -9.5 -127
2016 Changeup KC R 2 77.5 43.6 9.1 27 20.3 7.7 62
2016 4-Seamer KC R 31 92.3 18.6 -4.1 -28 15.5 7.2 86
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball 2.7 5 202 10.4 38 .417 .611 .451 18.4 10.5 9.5 .308 .499 .354 24.2
2021 Slider 0.7 2 244 12.6 63 .203 .22 .202 29.9 39.7 19.8 .208 .254 .216 22.2
2021 4-Seamer 1.7 6 333 17.2 89 .321 .654 .44 10.9 9 10 .308 .578 .408 44.4
2021 Changeup 2.5 8 326 16.8 93 .256 .349 .316 36.1 25.8 20.2 .225 .313 .269 32.3
2021 Sinker -1.4 -11 831 42.9 232 .299 .455 .36 10.4 11.2 13.6 .302 .447 .357 45.7
2020 Slider -1.4 -1 95 10.1 13 .077 .077 .069 42.4 53.8 18.4 .093 .108 .091 0
2020 Curveball -2.5 -4 142 15 30 .207 .241 .215 21.6 6.7 10.5 .239 .3 .252 14.8
2020 Changeup 0.4 1 151 16 39 .139 .306 .226 32.5 25.6 19.2 .275 .396 .321 15.4
2020 4-Seamer 0.8 2 243 25.7 57 .32 .72 .454 13.1 14 12.5 .319 .731 .466 51.2
2020 Sinker 0.4 1 314 33.2 113 .245 .471 .341 7.5 16.8 25.3 .262 .445 .34 51.8
2019 Curveball -3.2 -3 86 15.6 18 .143 .214 .275 33.3 5.6 8.3 .18 .293 .31 15.4
2019 Slider -4.7 -3 61 11 19 .056 .222 .142 36 52.6 41.7 .117 .28 .192 25
2019 Changeup 2.3 2 106 19.2 32 .31 .448 .364 43.5 34.4 27.5 .306 .445 .354 33.3
2019 Sinker -1.8 -2 130 23.5 40 .194 .306 .264 15.2 25 30.3 .243 .518 .352 46.2
2019 4-Seamer 0.7 1 170 30.7 43 .324 .595 .433 21.1 23.3 24.4 .298 .533 .394 40.7
2018 Curveball 2.7 1 23 7.9 3 .333 .667 .417 0 0 0 .236 .378 .267 33.3
2018 Slider -2.4 -1 40 13.7 5 0 0 0 53.3 40 16.7 .067 .087 .064 0
2018 Changeup -2.8 -2 57 19.5 15 .077 .077 .153 48.4 66.7 37 .07 .081 .153 33.3
2018 Sinker -3.8 -3 71 24.3 21 .1 .15 .179 10.8 19 15.4 .177 .227 .201 43.8
2018 4-Seamer 2.6 3 101 34.6 27 .304 .565 .417 20 25.9 20.6 .231 .479 .358 62.5
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 126 80.9 87 16.4 2:00 2:45 -45
2020 Curveball 131 66.6 81 19.6 7:30 7:30 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 221 89.8 87 16.5 1:30 1:15 15
2020 Sinker 279 90 87 18 1:30 2:15 -45
2020 Slider 90 77.5 56 18 7:45 8:30 -45
2021 Changeup 322 79.1 86 15.9 2:00 2:45 -45
2021 Curveball 201 65.9 79 19.4 7:30 7:30 0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 328 88.7 88 16.4 1:30 1:15 15
2021 Sinker 819 89.1 87 18 1:30 2:15 -45
2021 Slider 241 76.6 58 18.4 7:45 8:15 -30
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2018 71 292 0 -4 1 0 -2
2019 152 553 -1 -8 1 3 -4
2020 252 945 -4 -7 6 5 -1
2021 515 1936 -3 -9 13 8 9
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2016 86 36 80.6 92 29.1 62.5 44.2 36.8 47.7 19.5 4.7 100
2018 292 51 57.7 82.6 28.7 51.2 46.9 66.2 43.5 27.6 3.1 55.6
2019 553 44.3 67.8 80.1 31.5 57.7 47.4 67.1 47.6 28.1 4 77.3
2020 945 45.9 61.1 86.4 30.1 72.7 44.7 61.1 44.3 17.9 5.4 66.7
2021 1936 49 64.4 87.2 28.3 65.2 45 65.2 46 18.3 6 70.7
3812 47.4 63.8 85.8 29.3 64.9 45.4 64 45.6 20.4 5.3 70.3
48.5 66.8 82 28.3 58.5 42.6 60.6 47 24.6 7.2 76

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2016
2018 21 44 68
2019 10 37 51
2020 26 25 20 23 39 2 23 74 35 17 63 4 26 15 32 34
2021 24 9 30 59 21 45 90 60 43 9 76 3 24 7 31 29
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.6 5 5.4 0 3 3 3 60
2020 24.1 13 12.5 1 1 10 6 46.2
2021 22.9 16 14.8 1 9 5 10 62.5

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 5 7 6 6 7 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 3 4 4 6 4 6 5 6 4 6 4 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 7
2020 13 14 14 13 16 11 15 15 12 12 13 13 8 12 12 15 11 13 11 13 7 13 12 12 12 12 12 13 12 12 15
2021 16 17 15 16 15 14 14 16 14 16 16 14 13 13 13 14 13 16 18 15 12 14 14 15 16 15 14 15 17 15 15
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 90.6 89.6 -1 89.9 0.3 89 -0.9
Offspeed Velocity 81.1 80.7 -0.4 80.8 0.1 79.1 -1.7
Breaking Velocity 76 72 -4 71 -1 71.8 0.8
Exit Velocity 89.4 88.4 -1 86.9 -1.5 88.3 1.4
Launch Angle 11.1 11.1 0 10.1 -1 7.8 -2.3
Barrel % 4.9 7.6 2.7 9.2 1.6 4.9 -4.3
Hard Hit % 46.3 35.9 -10.4 39.5 3.6 39.3 -0.2
Sweet Spot % 26.8 35.9 9.1 30.8 -5.1 33.2 2.4
xBA .169 .248 0.079 .264 0.016 .278 0.014
BA .172 .231 0.059 .23 -0.001 .291 0.061
xwOBA .243 .34 0.097 .342 0.002 .332 -0.01
wOBA .246 .311 0.065 .316 0.005 .343 0.027
xSLG .284 .451 0.167 .462 0.011 .424 -0.038
SLG .297 .396 0.099 .448 0.052 .451 0.003
K% 32.4 27.6 -4.8 18.3 -9.3 16.8 -1.5
BB% 9.9 7.2 -2.7 7.5 0.3 6.6 -0.9
Swing % 43.5 47.6 4.1 44.3 -3.3 46 1.7
Whiff% 27.6 28.1 0.5 17.9 -10.2 18.3 0.4
In Zone % 51 44.3 -6.7 45.9 1.6 49 3.1
Out of Zone % 49 55.7 6.7 54.1 -1.6 51 -3.1
Out of Zone Swing % 28.7 31.5 2.8 30.1 -1.4 28.3 -1.8
First Pitch Swing % 16.9 36.8 19.9 25.4 -11.4 32.5 7.1
First Pitch Strike % 66.2 67.1 0.9 61.1 -6 65.2 4.1
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 19 .397 10 0 0.0 9 0 0.0
2018 71 .246 42 0 0.0 29 5 17.2
2019 152 .311 85 5 5.9 67 26 38.8
2020 252 .316 101 32 31.7 151 88 58.3
2021 515 .343 273 40 14.7 242 166 68.6

Pitch Distribution