Aaron Nola
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 200LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 1, #7, Philadelphia Phillies | Louisiana State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 11 13 3.25 32 32 0 205 235 0.96
2023 12 9 4.46 32 32 0 193.2 202 1.15
2024 14 8 3.57 33 33 0 199.1 197 1.20
10 Seasons 104 79 3.70 268 268 0 1,621.1 1,779 1.14
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 32 11-13 3.25 205 235 0.96
2023 32 12-9 4.46 193.2 202 1.15
2024 33 14-8 3.57 199.1 197 1.20
10 Seasons 268 104-79 3.70 1,621.1 1,779 1.14
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 22 1117 229 11 4.8 3.5 88.5 111.7 9.4 31.4 .241 .388 .305 .301 .359 33.2 21.4 6.0 3.59 3.74
2016 23 1796 327 12 3.7 2.5 87.2 115.4 6.0 30.0 .243 .360 .306 .286 .354 31.8 25.1 6.0 4.78 3.41
2017 24 2665 458 23 5.0 3.3 85.7 115.3 9.0 33.4 .224 .360 .293 .279 .347 31.0 26.6 7.1 3.54 3.30
2018 25 3212 542 25 4.6 3.0 87.1 112.0 9.1 27.9 .202 .314 .251 .258 .316 31.2 27.0 7.0 2.37 2.77
2019 26 3332 532 36 6.8 4.2 89.2 113.3 9.2 32.9 .235 .394 .304 .310 .380 39.5 26.9 9.4 3.87 4.23
2020 27 1148 168 9 5.4 3.1 88.3 114.4 8.6 34.5 .222 .354 .272 .283 .388 38.1 33.2 8.0 3.28 3.35
2021 28 2971 478 34 7.1 4.5 88.9 116.0 14.4 33.3 .223 .378 .297 .283 .375 37.4 29.8 5.2 4.63 3.35
2022 29 3039 534 38 7.1 4.7 87.7 112.0 12.5 34.3 .211 .340 .264 .259 .343 31.6 29.1 3.6 3.25 2.74
2023 30 3087 545 45 8.3 5.7 89.3 114.0 12.7 36.3 .240 .407 .303 .298 .376 38.5 25.5 5.7 4.46 3.71
2024 31 3189 570 41 7.2 5.0 88.5 120.5 12.0 35.4 .244 .388 .310 .299 .367 38.2 24.0 6.1 3.57 3.72
Player 25556 4383 274 6.3 4.1 88.1 120.5 10.7 33.1 .227 .368 .290 .285 .359 35.2 26.8 6.3
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Nola relies on 5 pitches.
Knuckle Curve
(32.9%) ,
Four Seamer
(27.8%) ,
Sinker
(20.4%) ,
Changeup
(9.6%) ,
Cutter
(9.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 49.8 18.3 28.4 3.5 42.4 35.4 22.3 1.7 37.1 20.1 25.3 5.7 4.8 3.5
2016 56.9 14.1 24.8 4.3 41.3 36.4 22.3 4.6 40.4 16.5 27.5 4.3 3.7 2.5
2017 50.4 21.8 23.1 4.6 34.3 42.1 23.4 6.3 35.6 23.1 25.1 4.4 5.0 3.3
2018 52.4 17.7 22.9 7.0 39.5 38.9 21.6 3.7 40.4 23.1 22.0 4.4 4.6 3.0
2019 50.9 20.7 23.5 4.9 40.4 38.9 20.7 3.0 37.2 18.8 26.7 6.8 6.8 4.2
2020 49.4 16.7 26.2 7.7 35.7 39.9 24.4 4.8 38.1 20.2 25.0 6.0 5.4 3.1
2021 41.6 27.0 24.1 7.3 42.1 35.8 22.2 3.6 27.4 29.1 27.2 5.4 7.1 4.5
2022 44.2 24.3 24.2 7.3 39.3 35.8 24.9 5.1 31.6 25.3 23.6 6.9 7.1 4.7
2023 43.1 25.9 24.6 6.4 42.4 35.8 21.8 3.3 31.6 25.9 23.3 7.7 8.3 5.7
2024 44.6 24.4 24.6 6.5 46.3 32.3 21.4 4.9 33.5 22.6 24.2 7.4 7.2 5.0
Player 47.8 21.9 24.3 6.1 40.7 36.9 22.3 4.2 34.8 23.0 24.8 6.0 6.3 4.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Sinker PHI R 652 91.5 24.1 -1.9 17.0ARM 1.6 8.6 -1.3 17.0ARM 2.2
2024 Curveball PHI R 1049 79.1 53.9 1.5 14.0GLV 1.8 -9.9 0.0 14.0GLV 4.6
2024 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 887 92.5 17.4 0.2 11.9ARM 2.5 14.6 -1.2 11.9ARM 4.4
2024 Cutter PHI R 294 87.5 27.1 0.6 1.3ARM -3.0 8.5 0.2 1.3ARM -4.0
2024 Changeup PHI R 307 85.7 34.0 -1.7 15.3ARM 0.8 3.2 1.7 15.3ARM 1.1
2023 Sinker PHI R 580 91.8 23.5 -2.3 17.4ARM 2.2 9.1 -1.5 17.4ARM 2.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball PHI R 910 92.7 16.8 0.1 12.2ARM 3.8 15.1 -0.7 12.2ARM 4.8
2023 Cutter PHI R 230 86.3 30.2 -0.5 0.8GLV -1.7 6.4 -1.5 0.8GLV -1.8
2023 Changeup PHI R 390 85.9 32.4 -1.9 14.8ARM 0.2 4.7 0.7 14.8ARM 0.4
2023 Curveball PHI R 977 79.4 54.8 2.7 12.5GLV 1.7 -11.0 1.1 12.5GLV 3.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 Curveball 1.1 12 1,049 32.9 304 .221 .381 .285 37.0 31.3 22.3 .218 .341 .264 33.3
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.0 9 887 27.8 201 .168 .318 .272 22.4 23.9 17.5 .190 .321 .285 39.7
2024 Sinker -0.1 -1 652 20.4 188 .313 .475 .354 13.6 21.3 24.5 .273 .430 .318 44.3
2024 Changeup -1.3 -4 307 9.6 71 .279 .426 .321 13.5 8.5 8.8 .340 .490 .374 38.7
2024 Cutter -2.8 -8 294 9.2 55 .389 .796 .501 17.8 12.7 12.3 .342 .585 .402 36.2
2023 Curveball 0.0 0 977 31.6 264 .221 .398 .302 33.3 29.9 22.2 .220 .366 .272 30.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.3 2 910 29.5 200 .246 .503 .344 21.7 24.5 19.6 .218 .452 .311 46.3
2023 Sinker -0.4 -2 580 18.8 168 .279 .416 .342 10.6 21.4 22.0 .285 .434 .331 45.5
2023 Changeup -0.3 -1 390 12.6 96 .220 .319 .295 31.9 26.0 21.2 .251 .368 .288 36.4
2023 Cutter -0.5 -1 230 7.5 62 .246 .508 .323 30.1 16.1 14.3 .273 .450 .314 31.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 306 85.7 99 16.3 2:15 2:45 -30
2024 Curveball 1,049 79.1 80 19.4 8:00 7:45 15
2024 Cutter 294 87.5 54 7.7 1:00 12:15 45
2024 4-Seam Fastball 887 92.5 94 18.7 1:30 1:30 0
2024 Sinker 652 91.5 92 19.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Changeup 386 85.9 99 16.1 2:15 2:45 -30
2023 Curveball 968 79.4 80 19.1 7:45 7:30 15
2023 Cutter 230 86.3 39 5.6 12:45 11:45 60
2023 4-Seam Fastball 906 92.7 96 19.3 1:30 1:30 0
2023 Sinker 576 91.8 94 19.9 1:30 2:15 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 317 1,111 7 8 -8 -4 4
2016 480 1,789 -4 18 -7 -8 -2
2017 691 2,663 21 27 -17 -8 23
2018 828 3,212 27 47 -15 -9 51
2019 849 3,331 10 35 -11 -14 20
2020 287 1,148 3 11 -2 -4 9
2021 748 2,971 8 21 -18 -10 1
2022 918 3,459 27 18 -17 -4 24
2023 879 3,431 -9 26 -8 -6 3
2024 841 3,275 1 19 -6 -8 6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,117 49.1 59.7 83.2 29.5 64.3 44.7 64.2 44.3 21.2 7.3 69.1
2016 1,796 49.4 55.5 82.9 29.5 59.7 44.9 60.7 42.3 24.3 5.9 50.9
2017 2,665 51.3 61.6 78.9 27.9 57.2 45.7 64.4 45.2 26.6 7.5 66.7
2018 3,212 51.7 64.0 77.7 30.0 57.0 45.2 69.5 47.6 27.7 7.9 71.8
2019 3,332 46.1 58.8 83.1 32.3 56.9 44.6 62.4 44.6 26.7 5.8 67.4
2020 1,148 44.0 60.6 79.1 36.5 54.9 46.1 64.4 47.1 31.2 5.4 66.1
2021 2,971 51.3 66.5 79.2 30.9 53.9 45.1 66.6 49.2 27.9 7.5 73.1
2022 3,039 52.0 63.8 80.8 34.0 53.2 45.0 70.1 49.5 27.9 7.5 76.3
2023 3,087 48.9 64.5 82.8 34.7 58.0 46.9 64.8 49.3 26.0 6.5 69.7
2024 3,189 47.6 66.7 83.3 32.1 57.2 45.0 66.6 48.6 25.2 6.0 74.3
Player 25,556 49.5 62.9 80.9 31.8 56.7 45.3 65.8 47.2 26.7 6.8 69.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 59 52 47 43 68 59 55 35 47 58 73 35 50 26 16 79 70
2016 78 57 73 83 73 61 89 82 71 77 79 60 58 18 10 61 83
2017 81 77 76 72 86 28 68 85 68 79 71 67 56 33 19 60 91
2018 94 88 89 87 93 28 83 81 82 76 70 68 74 42 23 60 93
2019 53 59 59 60 47 10 53 34 24 72 30 60 81 42 29 58 91
2020 75 67 70 71 74 28 70 51 45 91 57 78 97 35 26 45 93
2021 79 70 61 54 88 13 59 48 60 86 92 64 78 34 39 60 93
2022 90 80 77 65 97 9 52 69 92 85 99 68 90 27 62 65 93
2023 69 56 46 42 86 5 41 41 54 65 87 47 96 25 62 65 89
2024 60 41 52 56 72 8 61 58 53 58 80 47 86 20 58 62 91
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 23.2 10 8.6 1 5 8 3 30.0
2017 22.5 18 19.0 -1 8 10 11 61.1
2018 23.2 17 16.4 1 8 10 8 47.1
2019 22.3 27 25.8 1 12 15 14 51.9
2020 23.2 9 9.0 0 2 4 5 55.6
2021 23.6 26 22.7 3 12 13 11 42.3
2022 23.3 23 23.4 0 12 23 4 17.4
2023 22.5 34 29.4 5 11 23 11 32.4
2024 23.8 32 26.3 6 17 18 11 34.4
Player 23.0 196 180.5 16 87 124 78 39.8
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 10 8 8 11 10 8 9 9 8 6 8 11 7 8 7 9 5 7 9 11 7 6 12 9 9 7 10 14 9 10 6
2017 18 18 15 23 20 19 21 19 14 16 16 23 20 19 19 19 18 19 22 18 20 20 21 21 20 17 18 20 21 20 14
2018 17 21 12 16 17 17 18 18 15 13 13 21 16 14 17 18 17 17 14 20 15 19 19 18 14 14 17 17 17 16 11
2019 27 29 23 27 29 26 27 26 21 18 22 29 33 25 22 27 22 23 27 27 28 28 27 29 23 23 24 29 34 25 21
2020 9 9 9 8 9 10 9 10 6 9 9 9 10 9 9 9 9 10 9 9 10 9 10 9 8 9 8 9 10 9 9
2021 26 24 24 23 24 23 26 24 15 16 17 21 25 20 24 27 22 24 23 25 22 22 28 24 20 23 26 23 23 22 21
2022 23 19 20 25 23 23 26 20 15 20 19 29 25 22 25 28 21 21 26 22 25 27 31 28 18 19 26 26 29 23 20
2023 34 25 23 31 32 30 31 28 27 23 27 30 31 25 32 32 33 28 31 33 30 32 37 35 27 24 32 31 33 28 20
2024 32 23 21 31 23 24 32 27 19 23 24 29 30 25 25 24 24 24 27 38 29 22 39 29 25 24 23 29 29 26 21
Player 196 176 155 195 187 180 199 181 140 144 155 202 197 167 180 193 171 173 188 203 186 185 224 202 164 160 184 198 205 179 143
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.1 90.7 -0.4 91.9 1.2 92.4 0.5 92.8 0.4 92.3 -0.5 92.5 0.2 91.9 -0.6 91.5 -0.4 91.3 -0.2
Offspeed Velocity 82.7 82.3 -0.4 83.8 1.5 84.8 1.0 85.8 1.0 84.9 -0.9 85.2 0.3 85.9 0.7 85.9 0.0 85.7 -0.2
Breaking Velocity 77.1 76.8 -0.3 77.4 0.6 78.0 0.6 79.1 1.1 78.6 -0.5 78.5 -0.1 78.6 0.1 79.4 0.8 79.1 -0.3
Exit Velocity 88.5 87.2 -1.3 85.7 -1.5 87.1 1.4 89.2 2.1 88.3 -0.9 88.9 0.6 87.7 -1.2 89.3 1.6 88.5 -0.8
Launch Angle 9.4 6.0 -3.4 9.0 3.0 9.1 0.1 9.2 0.1 8.6 -0.6 14.4 5.8 12.5 -1.9 12.7 0.2 12.0 -0.7
Barrel % 4.8 3.7 -1.1 5.0 1.3 4.6 -0.4 6.8 2.2 5.4 -1.4 7.1 1.7 7.1 0.0 8.3 1.2 7.2 -1.1
Hard Hit % 33.2 31.8 -1.4 31.0 -0.8 31.2 0.2 39.5 8.3 38.1 -1.4 37.4 -0.7 31.6 -5.8 38.5 6.9 38.2 -0.3
LA Sweet-Spot % 31.4 30.0 -1.4 33.4 3.4 27.9 -5.5 32.9 5.0 34.5 1.6 33.3 -1.2 34.3 1.0 36.3 2.0 35.4 -0.9
xBA .241 .243 0.002 .224 -0.019 .202 -0.022 .235 0.033 .222 -0.013 .223 0.001 .211 -0.012 .240 0.029 .244 0.004
BA .251 .264 0.013 .241 -0.023 .197 -0.044 .233 0.036 .205 -0.028 .237 0.032 .219 -0.018 .240 0.021 .247 0.007
xwOBA .301 .286 -0.015 .279 -0.007 .258 -0.021 .310 0.052 .283 -0.027 .283 0.000 .259 -0.024 .298 0.039 .299 0.001
wOBA .305 .306 0.001 .293 -0.013 .251 -0.042 .304 0.053 .272 -0.032 .297 0.025 .264 -0.033 .303 0.039 .310 0.007
xSLG .388 .360 -0.028 .360 0.000 .314 -0.046 .394 0.080 .354 -0.040 .378 0.024 .340 -0.038 .407 0.067 .388 -0.019
SLG .403 .396 -0.007 .383 -0.013 .311 -0.072 .393 0.082 .354 -0.039 .405 0.051 .347 -0.058 .425 0.078 .421 -0.004
K% 21.4 25.1 3.7 26.6 1.5 27.0 0.4 26.9 -0.1 33.2 6.3 29.8 -3.4 29.1 -0.7 25.5 -3.6 24.0 -1.5
BB% 6.0 6.0 0.0 7.1 1.1 7.0 -0.1 9.4 2.4 8.0 -1.4 5.2 -2.8 3.6 -1.6 5.7 2.1 6.1 0.4
Swing % 44.3 42.3 -2.0 45.2 2.9 47.6 2.4 44.6 -3.0 47.1 2.5 49.2 2.1 49.5 0.3 49.3 -0.2 48.6 -0.7
Whiff% 21.2 24.3 3.1 26.6 2.3 27.7 1.1 26.7 -1.0 31.2 4.5 27.9 -3.3 27.9 0.0 26.0 -1.9 25.2 -0.8
In Zone % 49.1 49.4 0.3 51.3 1.9 51.7 0.4 46.1 -5.6 44.0 -2.1 51.3 7.3 52.0 0.7 48.9 -3.1 47.6 -1.3
Out of Zone % 50.9 50.6 -0.3 48.7 -1.9 48.3 -0.4 53.9 5.6 56.0 2.1 48.7 -7.3 48.0 -0.7 51.1 3.1 52.4 1.3
Out of Zone Swing % 29.5 29.5 0.0 27.9 -1.6 30.0 2.1 32.3 2.3 36.5 4.2 30.9 -5.6 34.0 3.1 34.7 0.7 32.1 -2.6
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 23.4 -5.2 27.1 3.7 30.7 3.6 30.4 -0.3 28.4 -2.0 33.4 5.0 36.1 2.7 31.5 -4.6 34.9 3.4
First Pitch Strike % 64.2 60.7 -3.5 64.4 3.7 69.5 5.1 62.4 -7.1 64.4 2.0 66.6 2.2 70.1 3.5 64.8 -5.3 66.6 1.8
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 472 .304 250 15 6.0 222 22 9.9
2017 Shifts 691 .293 359 29 8.1 332 57 17.2
2018 Shifts 828 .251 412 39 9.5 416 180 43.3
2019 Shifts 849 .304 474 24 5.1 375 140 37.3
2020 Shifts 286 .272 150 42 28.0 136 56 41.2
2021 Shifts 742 .297 375 38 10.1 367 115 31.3
2022 Shifts 806 .264 417 122 29.3 389 223 57.3
2023 Shades 790 .304 427 7 1.6 363 149 41.0
2024 Shades 819 .310 401 4 1.0 418 61 14.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2015 339 16.4 35.1% 1.8% 201 24.3 4.0% 21.9%
2016 573 16.6 31.1% 2.3% 328 24.7 3.0% 23.2%
2017 851 17.5 19.3% 1.1% 406 24.6 0.0% 16.3%
2018 1061 19.2 6.4% 2.3% 395 26.6 0.0% 22.5%
2019 1068 19.7 3.6% 2.6% 489 27.5 0.0% 27.6%
2020 366 20.8 0.3% 2.2% 163 27.3 0.0% 22.7%
2021 881 20.2 1.4% 2.4% 454 27.2 0.0% 30.6%
2022 950 20.1 2.8% 3.2% 378 26.4 0.0% 23.0%
2023 915 18.1 5.0% 1.4% 405 21.7 0.2% 2.7%
2024 923 18.9 1.6% 0.8% 460 20.9 0.0% 2.2%

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Pitch Distribution