Brzykcy has been a reliever since he set foot on Virginia Tech’s campus from the North Carolina high school ranks three years ago, showcasing his power stuff but struggling mightily to find the strike zone with it. He opened a lot of eyes in the Cape Cod League last summer, throwing strikes and leading the league in saves en route to being named the league’s reliever of the year. He did not bring that feel for pitching with him at the start of the spring, but his pure stuff is still very enticing.
The 6-foot-2 right-hander has the kind of fastball-slider combination you love to see coming out of the bullpen late in games. He touches triple digits fairly regularly, throwing his fastball anywhere in the 94-101 mph range, though it does get hit more than it should at times. His hard slider is a legitimate strikeout pitch and a nasty plus breaking ball.
The big issue is with Brzykcy’s command. While he has struck out nearly 14 batters per nine innings at Virginia Tech, he’s also walked a whopping 10.5. The team that believes it can help Brzycky become the reliever everyone saw on the Cape will be the one to take him.
Brzykcy was going to be a close follow in 2020 after serving as a standout closer in the Cape Cod League, but he struggled in seven Virginia Tech appearances and then couldn’t regain momentum once the season shut down. He signed with the Nationals for $20,000 as a free agent after going undrafted in the five-round process, found his bearings at High-A Wilmington in 2021 and then absolutely took off in '22 with a 1.76 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 95 strikeouts in 61 1/3 innings across the top three levels of the Minors. He would have been a Major League candidate in 2023 had Tommy John surgery not ended his season in April. The Nats still protected him from the Rule 5 Draft with a 40-man spot last November.
Before the procedure, the 6-foot-2 right-hander showed an explosive heater up in the zone with great induced vertical break. He lived in the 94-97 mph range, touching 98, but it was the riding action that pushed it into plus-plus territory among heaters and led to Brzykcy throwing it as high as 71 percent of the time at Double-A. He also showed a low-80s curveball that could help him work north and south and an upper-80s changeup that faded armside. The breaking pitch was seen as the more advanced of the two, but the cambio actually generated more whiffs and helped Brzykcy keep lefties in check.
Brzykcy found it difficult to control the velo and movement at times in 2022, resulting in an 11.7 percent walk rate, and it’s still yet to be seen how well he’ll command the ball coming off all the lost time. If his stuff gets back to 2022 levels, he’ll be a weapon in Washington’s bullpen by summer’s end.
After notching seven saves in 10 appearances on the Cape the previous summer, Brzykcy entered the spring of 2020 with some momentum, only to get rocked in seven Virginia Tech appearances before the pandemic shutdown. He went unselected in the five-round Draft and ended up signing with the Nationals for $20,000. Brzykcy needed to find his footing at High-A Wilmington in 2021 (5.20 ERA in 62 1/3 innings) before taking off last year, climbing three levels to finish with a 1.76 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 95 strikeouts in 61 1/3 frames. He concluded his age-22 season with a pair of scoreless relief outings at Triple-A Rochester, putting him on the cusp of the bigs. Before he could push for the Majors this season, Brzykcy underwent Tommy John surgery in April, meaning that debut won't come until 2024 at the earliest.
The 6-foot-2 right-hander releases from a high over-the-top angle that can be difficult enough on hitters, and while doing so, he blazes in a 95-98 mph fastball with the rise needed to play extremely well at the top of the zone. The heater fueled his 19.4 percent swinging-strike rate in 2022, best in the system and ninth-best among the 905 Minor League hurlers with at least 60 innings. Brzykcy can keep hitters guessing by dropping in a low-80s curve or high-80s changeup at the bottom of the zone, though the former’s two-plane movement makes it the better pitch of the two.
As with many fireballing relievers, Brzykcy isn’t likely to develop stellar control anytime soon with a career 10.5 percent walk rate, and he can overthrow in spots too. He was basically Major League-ready before the surgery, and any improvements in landing pitches in (or close to) the zone could be the separator between him becoming a high-leverage arm or a middle-relief option.
Brzykcy was hard-done by the pandemic-shortened college season and Draft in 2020. He got attention for notching seven saves in 10 appearances on the Cape the previous summer (striking out 14 in 10 innings) and returned to Virginia Tech with a chance to open more eyes. He struggled in seven appearances with the Hokies and then went unselected over the five rounds that June, despite being MLB Pipeline’s No. 180 Draft prospect. He signed with the Nationals for $20,000 as a non-drafted free agent, lasted his whole first full season at High-A Wilmington and has been even more dominant out of High-A and Double-A bullpens in 2022.
The 6-foot-2 right-hander gets right on hitters with a 95- to 98-mph fastball they have difficulty picking up at the top of the zone out of his over-the-top release. Like a typical power reliever, he can fire heater after heater, daring batters to touch it, until they either do or he sprinkles in an off-speed pitch. His low-80s breaking ball has enough two-place movement to generate whiffs too, while a high-80s changeup offers another look, though it’s often too firm to be more than an average pitch.
Command has been a problem for Brzykcy dating back to his college days, and that remains true as he enters the upper Minors. As much as he attacks hitters, he can overthrow in spots and deliver uncompetitive pitches that don’t come close to the zone. It’s why he’s been a reliever, and it could be the only thing separating him from a high-leverage role in the Majors.
How this works:
This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement.
On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown.
Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release.
On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
Standard
Year
Team
Avg HR Trot
Actual HR
xHR
HR-xHR
Doubters
Mostly Gone
No Doubters
No Doubter %
2024
25.5
2
1.6
0
2
2
0
0.0
Player
25.5
2
1.6
0
2
2
0
0.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
Standard
Year
HR
2024
2
0
3
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
Player
2
0
3
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift:
three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of
their typical responsible slices of the field. Learn more about
how positioning is defined here