P | Boston Red Sox
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 1" 195 lbs | Age: 27
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2024 14 8 4.49 30 30 0 162.1 153 1.36
2025 11 9 3.35 29 28 0 166.2 124 1.24
2026 2 4 7.24 9 7 0 41 29 1.83
5 Seasons 41 40 4.31 109 104 0 584.1 493 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2024 30 14-8 4.49 162.1 153 1.36
2025 29 11-9 3.35 166.2 124 1.24
2026 9 2-4 7.24 41 29 1.83
5 Seasons 109 41-40 4.31 584.1 493 1.39
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 23 997 184 10 5.5 3.7 88.0 112.2 5.3 32.1 .244 .358 .355 .305 .338 37.5 20.5 10.1 4.71 3.78
2023 24 2618 485 34 7.0 5.1 89.5 116.7 4.9 28.0 .250 .414 .334 .316 .362 44.3 19.8 6.7 4.24 4.21
2024 25 2710 474 35 7.4 5.0 88.5 115.2 6.2 34.2 .254 .405 .319 .331 .380 41.1 21.8 9.1 4.49 4.52
2025 26 2697 504 36 7.1 5.1 88.8 113.7 9.0 30.8 .258 .409 .297 .327 .355 39.3 17.7 8.4 3.35 4.48
2026 27 686 136 17 12.5 9.3 89.6 113.2 7.3 35.3 .304 .533 .387 .386 .429 41.2 15.9 9.3 6.46 6.28
Player 9708 1783 132 7.4 5.2 88.9 116.7 6.6 31.4 .257 .413 .326 .327 .367 41.1 19.6 8.4
MLB 7.6 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.5 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Bello relies on 6 pitches.
Sinker
(44.5%) ,
Cutter
(20.0%) ,
Changeup
(12.4%) ,
Sweeper
(10.3%) ,
Curveball
(7.7%) ,
Four Seamer
(5.1%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2022 55.4 44.6 17.4 24.5 2.7 38.0 39.1 22.8 27.7 20.1 7.6 10.3 19.0 15.2
2023 56.3 43.7 20.4 19.2 4.1 45.2 36.3 18.6 30.5 22.7 3.1 14.6 13.6 15.5
2024 51.3 48.7 19.6 24.3 4.9 35.9 42.0 22.2 20.9 23.2 7.2 15.0 18.8 15.0
2025 50.0 50.0 24.0 21.2 4.8 39.9 36.9 23.2 24.2 20.0 5.8 15.7 16.9 17.5
2026 50.7 49.3 23.5 22.8 2.9 49.3 30.1 20.6 26.5 16.9 7.4 22.8 13.2 13.2
Player 52.7 47.3 21.1 21.9 4.3 40.8 37.8 21.4 25.6 21.4 5.7 15.2 16.4 15.7
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.6 7.1 37.4 37.3 25.1 20.7 17.6 5.9 16.8 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 4.9 42.4 16.8 25.0 4.9 5.5 3.7
2023 3.3 43.7 18.1 21.2 6.4 7.0 5.1
2024 3.8 40.7 17.1 25.3 5.5 7.4 5.0
2025 3.4 36.5 22.0 26.0 5.0 7.1 5.1
2026 7.4 33.8 17.6 22.8 5.9 12.5 9.3
Player 3.9 40.0 18.8 24.2 5.6 7.4 5.2
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.6 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 Sinker BOS R 305 94.5 24.0 1.7 16.2ARM 0.6 6.8 0.9 16.2ARM 0.8
2026 Cutter BOS R 137 87.0 33.5 -5.1 0.1ARM -2.7 2.6 -5.7 0.1ARM -2.4
2026 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 35 94.1 19.0 -4.1 5.4ARM -2.4 11.8 -4.3 5.4ARM -2.4
2026 Changeup BOS R 85 88.2 29.4 -2.2 16.5ARM 1.8 5.9 -1.9 16.5ARM 1.8
2026 Sweeper BOS R 71 85.4 40.5 3.1 7.7GLV -5.2 -3.0 4.2 7.7GLV -6.2
2026 Curveball BOS R 53 83.4 47.4 -2.4 1.5GLV -6.0 -8.2 -2.2 1.5GLV -7.9
2025 Cutter BOS R 423 88.2 32.4 -5.2 0.9GLV -1.2 2.6 -5.8 0.9GLV -1.3
2025 Changeup BOS R 410 88.8 30.2 -1.8 16.0ARM 1.2 4.5 -0.4 16.0ARM 1.5
2025 Sinker BOS R 943 95.3 24.5 1.3 16.9ARM 1.0 5.7 1.7 16.9ARM 1.8
2025 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 408 95.1 16.7 -1.3 7.7ARM -1.1 13.5 -2.3 7.7ARM 0.1
2025 Sweeper BOS R 513 85.7 40.5 3.2 9.9GLV -3.0 -3.2 4.1 9.9GLV -4.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 Sinker -0.4 -1 305 44.5 90 .333 .427 .387 16.4 11.1 16.9 .329 .499 .406 50.0
2026 Cutter -2.8 -4 137 20.0 33 .333 .800 .518 50.0 21.2 31.8 .334 .719 .465 30.4
2026 Changeup -0.7 -1 85 12.4 19 .278 .444 .295 30.6 15.8 10.7 .237 .419 .275 31.3
2026 Sweeper 4.2 3 71 10.3 20 .100 .100 .090 20.0 25.0 12.8 .105 .121 .100 13.3
2026 Curveball -1.1 -1 53 7.7 10 .200 .500 .290 28.6 30.0 13.0 .233 .662 .370 57.1
2026 4-Seam Fastball -14.5 -5 35 5.1 10 .778 1.222 .861 6.7 10.0 6.3 .649 1.192 .782 55.6
2025 Sinker 0.8 7 943 35.0 280 .251 .305 .337 10.8 14.3 19.1 .270 .361 .335 39.8
2025 Sweeper -0.3 -2 513 19.0 117 .202 .356 .283 26.6 29.1 17.4 .251 .492 .336 37.8
2025 Cutter 0.2 1 423 15.7 96 .230 .437 .331 24.6 15.6 19.7 .261 .506 .359 50.0
2025 Changeup -0.3 -1 410 15.2 109 .219 .324 .252 32.8 20.2 17.2 .279 .394 .305 27.7
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -1 408 15.1 98 .271 .447 .344 13.7 13.3 9.2 .202 .361 .290 41.9
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 85 88.2 96 18.0 2:00 2:30 -30
2026 Curveball 53 83.4 57 10.7 7:00 6:15 45
2026 Cutter 137 87.0 14 2.2 1:00 12:15 45
2026 4-Seam Fastball 35 94.1 80 12.7 1:15 12:45 30
2026 Sinker 305 94.5 85 18.0 1:30 2:30 -60
2026 Sweeper 71 85.4 43 9.7 7:00 8:00 -60
2025 Changeup 404 88.8 96 17.4 2:00 2:45 -45
2025 Cutter 423 88.2 13 2.2 12:00 10:30 90
2025 4-Seam Fastball 408 95.1 81 15.4 1:30 1:00 30
2025 Sinker 932 95.3 88 18.4 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Sweeper 513 85.7 50 11.8 7:15 8:00 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 267 997 4 4 -13 -3 -8
2023 668 2,618 -1 19 -11 -12 -5
2024 702 2,710 -2 23 -17 -14 -10
2025 700 2,697 15 20 -19 -12 4
2026 182 686 3 -4 -6 -2 -8
Player 2,519 9,708 18 63 -65 18 -27
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 997 44.7 65.2 81.8 30.3 60.5 41.0 62.7 45.9 26.0 6.3 68.3
2023 2,618 47.7 69.1 83.3 29.6 59.3 42.2 64.5 48.4 24.4 7.2 83.0
2024 2,710 47.1 65.1 83.2 29.6 56.5 41.8 64.1 46.3 25.9 6.4 82.7
2025 2,697 48.7 65.2 89.4 27.5 58.7 43.9 63.0 45.8 20.1 7.1 76.6
2026 686 48.3 67.1 79.7 30.1 58.9 39.7 62.1 48.0 27.1 7.6 73.1
Player 9,708 47.5 66.4 84.6 29.1 58.4 42.3 63.6 46.8 24.0 6.9 78.9
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.6 28.5 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2022 19 7 42 81 53 88 31 61 58 55 33 20 78 54 93 50
2023 26 25 4 96 47 71 6 37 60 37 26 76 66 13 92 39
2024 12 17 17 59 24 77 11 58 59 53 40 33 56 29 86 38
2025 52 78 34 39 26 64 15 62 37 13 16 41 70 60 84 40
2026 5 1 81 33 6 51 6 32 39 49 63 14 46 9 40 81 28
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 23.45 1 2.8 -2 6 4 0 0.0
2023 23.99 24 23.8 0 10 24 5 20.8
2024 22.69 19 18.9 0 5 17 8 42.1
2025 23.53 17 17.5 -1 4 12 10 58.8
2026 24.39 8 8.9 -1 2 3 6 75.0
Player 23.56 69 71.9 -3 27 60 29 42.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 1 2 2 4 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 5 4 3 2 4 3 3 3 1 3 3 6 4 3 1 2 6 4 2 3
2023 24 20 21 22 26 23 27 23 20 20 20 26 24 21 27 26 26 22 26 28 23 29 32 28 18 19 25 28 24 24 15
2024 19 21 17 20 15 20 21 17 12 13 17 19 23 16 18 18 18 15 22 23 22 19 28 24 16 17 15 21 25 20 15
2025 17 16 15 16 18 17 17 16 18 14 16 19 16 24 19 15 22 17 17 19 18 17 21 19 15 15 17 20 19 17 15
2026 8 9 8 9 9 10 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 10 9 9 9 9 9 11 8 9 10 9 7 9 9 9 9 9 7
Player 69 68 63 71 69 72 77 67 60 57 62 78 76 74 75 72 78 66 77 82 74 77 97 84 59 61 68 84 81 72 55
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025 +/-   2024 +/-   2023 +/-   2022
Results
BA .315 +.078 .237 -.015 .252 -.018 .270 -.045 .315
xBA .304 +.046 .258 +.004 .254 +.004 .250 +.006 .244
OBP .376 +.062 .314 -.016 .330 +.006 .324 -.064 .388
xOBP .367 +.034 .333 -.001 .334 +.026 .308 -.018 .326
SLG .506 +.151 .355 -.039 .394 -.059 .453 +.037 .416
xSLG .533 +.124 .409 +.004 .405 -.009 .414 +.056 .358
ISO .191 +.073 .118 -.023 .141 -.042 .183 +.082 .101
xISO .229 +.078 .151 .000 .151 -.013 .164 +.050 .114
BABIP .339 +.069 .270 -.033 .303 -.004 .307 -.097 .404
wOBA .387 +.090 .297 -.022 .319 -.015 .334 -.021 .355
xwOBA .386 +.059 .327 -.004 .331 +.015 .316 +.011 .305
wOBAcon .431 +.117 .314 -.049 .363 -.023 .386 -.023 .409
xwOBAcon .429 +.074 .355 -.025 .380 +.018 .362 +.024 .338
BACON .378 +.085 .293 -.038 .331 -.010 .341 -.067 .408
xBACON .366 +.046 .320 -.017 .337 +.018 .319 +.002 .317
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 41.2 +1.9 39.3 -1.8 41.1 -3.2 44.3 +6.8 37.5
Avg Exit Velocity 89.6 +0.8 88.8 +0.3 88.5 -1.0 89.5 +1.5 88.0
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 35.3 +4.5 30.8 -3.4 34.2 +6.2 28.0 -4.1 32.1
Barrel % 12.5 +5.4 7.1 -0.3 7.4 +0.4 7.0 +1.5 5.5
Avg Launch Angle 7.3 -1.7 9.0 +2.8 6.2 +1.3 4.9 -0.4 5.3
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 72.6 +0.5 72.1 +0.2 71.9 +0.1 71.8 -- --
Attack Angle 13° +3° 11° 11° 10° -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.4 -6.0 52.4 +7.2 45.2 -1.7 46.9 -- --
Attack Direction -4° -2° -3° -3° -2° -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 33° 34° 34° 34° -- --
Swing Length 7.5 +0.1 7.4 0.0 7.4 0.0 7.4 -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 92.3 -1.3 93.6 -2.1 95.7 +0.7 95.0 -1.5 96.5
Breaking Velocity 84.5 -1.2 85.7 -1.1 86.8 +1.5 85.3 +0.5 84.8
Offspeed Velocity 88.2 -0.6 88.8 +1.2 87.6 +1.4 86.2 -2.0 88.2
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 17 -19 36 +1 35 +1 34 +24 10
Popup % 2.9 -1.9 4.8 -0.1 4.9 +0.8 4.1 +1.4 2.7
Flyball % 23.5 -0.5 24.0 +4.4 19.6 -0.8 20.4 +3.0 17.4
Line Drive % 22.8 +1.6 21.2 -3.1 24.3 +5.1 19.2 -5.3 24.5
Groundball % 50.7 +0.7 50.0 -1.3 51.3 -5.0 56.3 +0.9 55.4
Pull % 49.3 +9.4 39.9 +4.0 35.9 -9.3 45.2 +7.2 38.0
Straight Away % 30.1 -6.8 36.9 -5.1 42.0 +5.7 36.3 -2.8 39.1
Opposite Field % 20.6 -2.6 23.2 +1.0 22.2 +3.6 18.6 -4.2 22.8
Weak Contact % 7.4 +4.0 3.4 -0.4 3.8 +0.5 3.3 -1.6 4.9
Pull Airball % 22.8 +7.1 15.7 +0.7 15.0 +0.4 14.6 +4.3 10.3
Topped Contact % 33.8 -2.7 36.5 -4.2 40.7 -3.0 43.7 +1.3 42.4
Under Contact % 17.6 -4.4 22.0 +4.9 17.1 -1.0 18.1 +1.3 16.8
Flare/Burner Contact % 22.8 -3.2 26.0 +0.7 25.3 +4.1 21.2 -3.8 25.0
Solid Contact % 5.9 +0.9 5.0 -0.5 5.5 -0.9 6.4 +1.5 4.9
HR/FB % 25.0 +11.8 13.2 -7.2 20.4 -3.8 24.2 +21.1 3.1
Popups 4 -20 24 +1 23 +3 20 +15 5
Flyballs 32 -89 121 +28 93 -6 99 +67 32
Line Drives 31 -76 107 -8 115 +22 93 +48 45
Groundballs 69 -183 252 +9 243 -30 273 +171 102
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.3 -0.4 48.7 +1.6 47.1 -0.6 47.7 +3.0 44.7
Out of Zone % 51.7 +0.4 51.3 -1.6 52.9 +0.6 52.3 -3.0 55.3
Edge % 39.7 -4.2 43.9 +2.1 41.8 -0.4 42.2 +1.2 41.0
Zone Swing % 67.1 +1.9 65.2 +0.1 65.1 -4.0 69.1 +3.9 65.2
Out of Zone Swing % 30.1 +2.6 27.5 -2.1 29.6 0.0 29.6 -0.7 30.3
In Zone Contact % 79.7 -9.7 89.4 +6.2 83.2 -0.1 83.3 +1.5 81.8
Out of Zone Contact % 58.9 +0.2 58.7 +2.2 56.5 -2.8 59.3 -1.2 60.5
Whiff % 27.1 +7.0 20.1 -5.8 25.9 +1.5 24.4 -1.6 26.0
First Strike % 62.1 -0.9 63.0 -1.1 64.1 -0.4 64.5 +1.8 62.7
First Pitch Swing % 35.2 +3.2 32.0 -0.6 32.6 -2.4 35.0 -1.6 36.6
Swing % 48.0 +2.2 45.8 -0.5 46.3 -2.1 48.4 +2.5 45.9
Meatball Swing % 73.1 -3.5 76.6 -6.1 82.7 -0.3 83.0 +14.7 68.3
Meatball % 7.6 +0.5 7.1 +0.7 6.4 -0.8 7.2 +0.9 6.3
Zone Swing & Miss % 20.3 +9.7 10.6 -6.2 16.8 +0.1 16.7 -1.5 18.2
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 41.1 -0.2 41.3 -2.2 43.5 +2.8 40.7 +1.2 39.5
In Zone 331 -982 1,313 +37 1,276 +28 1,248 +802 446
Out of Zone 355 -1,029 1,384 -50 1,434 +64 1,370 +819 551
Edge 272 -912 1,184 +52 1,132 +26 1,106 +697 409
In Zone Swings 222 -634 856 +25 831 -31 862 +571 291
Out of Zone Swings 107 -273 380 -45 425 +20 405 +238 167
In Zone Swing & Misses 45 -46 91 -49 140 -4 144 +91 53
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 44 -113 157 -28 185 +20 165 +99 66
Basic
Pitches 686 -2,011 2,697 -13 2,710 +92 2,618 +1,621 997
PA 182 -518 700 -2 702 +34 668 +400 268
AB 162 -458 620 -2 622 +11 611 +373 238
Hits 51 -96 147 -10 157 -8 165 +90 75
Singles 36 -71 107 0 107 +4 103 +48 55
Doubles 7 -16 23 -8 31 -5 36 +19 17
Triples 0 -1 1 +1 0 -2 2 0 2
Home Runs 8 -8 16 -3 19 -5 24 +23 1
Walks 17 -42 59 -5 64 +19 45 +18 27
Strikeouts 29 -95 124 -29 153 +21 132 +77 55
K% 15.9 -1.8 17.7 -4.1 21.8 +2.0 19.8 -0.7 20.5
BB% 9.3 +0.9 8.4 -0.7 9.1 +2.4 6.7 -3.4 10.1
HBP 0 -13 13 +2 11 +5 6 +4 2
Batted Balls 136 -368 504 +30 474 -11 485 +301 184
Number of Fastballs 477 -1,297 1,774 +554 1,220 -309 1,529 +992 537
Number of Offspeed 85 -325 410 -320 730 +104 626 +390 236
Number of Breaking 124 -389 513 -247 760 +297 463 +239 224
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 267 .355 160 1 0.6 107 71 66.4
2023 Shades 668 .334 346 10 2.9 322 207 64.3
2024 Shades 699 .321 322 14 4.3 377 220 58.4
2025 Shades 697 .299 288 14 4.9 409 295 72.1
2026 Shades 182 .387 86 10 11.6 96 14 14.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 224 16.3 33.9% 2.7% 238 26.3 0.4% 27.3%
2023 732 13.8 69.4% 0.4% 443 20.8 5.6% 0.2%
2024 798 14.3 60.5% 0.4% 414 19.8 2.9% 2.4%
2025 754 17.6 14.7% 0.8% 434 19.9 0.2% 0.7%
2026 190 17.7 4.2% 2.6% 111 19.8 0.0% 2.7%

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Pitch Distribution