Caleb Kilian
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 4" 180LBS | Age: 27
Draft: 2019 | Rd: 8, #236, San Francisco Giants | Texas Tech
MLB Pipeline Rank
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 0 2 10.32 3 3 0 11.1 9 2.03
2023 0 1 16.88 3 1 0 5.1 5 2.81
2024 0 1 4.22 2 1 0 10.2 7 1.59
3 Seasons 0 4 9.22 8 5 0 27.1 21 2.01
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 3 0-2 10.32 11.1 9 2.03
2023 3 0-1 16.88 5.1 5 2.81
2024 2 0-1 4.22 10.2 7 1.59
3 Seasons 8 0-4 9.22 27.1 21 2.01
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2022 25 235 34 1 2.9 1.8 91.1 112.9 7.2 20.6 .217 .291 .355 .322 .275 44.1 16.1 21.4 10.32 4.34
2023 26 130 22 1 4.5 3.0 95.6 108.7 4.6 45.5 .365 .482 .511 .425 .443 63.6 15.2 6.1 16.88 8.53
2024 27 167 35 5 14.3 10.4 89.1 109.3 11.6 40.0 .272 .552 .360 .394 .422 37.1 14.6 12.5 4.22 7.00
Player 532 91 7 7.7 5.1 91.4 112.9 8.2 34.1 .274 .437 .395 .373 .373 46.2 15.3 14.6
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kilian relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(45.5%) ,
Cutter
(38.3%) ,
Sweeper
(7.8%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(4.8%) ,
Sinker
(2.4%) ,
Changeup
(1.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2022 50.0 32.4 17.6 0.0 26.5 38.2 35.3 2.9 26.5 32.4 23.5 8.8 2.9 1.8
2023 54.5 9.1 36.4 0.0 59.1 22.7 18.2 4.5 36.4 4.5 40.9 9.1 4.5 3.0
2024 45.7 22.9 22.9 8.6 34.3 34.3 31.4 11.4 34.3 17.1 14.3 8.6 14.3 10.4
Player 49.5 23.1 24.2 3.3 37.4 33.0 29.7 6.6 31.9 19.8 24.2 8.8 7.7 5.1
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 76 93.6 15.6 -0.8 4.5ARM -2.2 15.6 -0.2 4.5ARM -3.0
2024 Cutter CHC R 64 85.2 38.9 -7.4 4.9GLV 0.8 -1.4 -9.7 4.9GLV 2.2
2024 Sweeper CHC R 13 80.1 41.2 -1.1 15.6GLV 1.2 1.4 0.2 15.6GLV 1.3
2024 Curveball CHC R 8 76.3 61.9 3.5 8.6GLV -0.5 -14.5 4.6 8.6GLV -0.8
2024 Changeup CHC R 2 86.8 32.1 1.5 10.6ARM -3.4 3.9 1.0 10.6ARM -3.6
2024 Sinker CHC R 4 92.4 17.6 -4.7 12.0ARM -2.1 14.4 -7.1 12.0ARM -2.8
2023 Changeup CHC R 1 85.5 37.5 6.8 12.2ARM -2.5 -0.2 5.6 12.2ARM -2.2
2023 Sweeper CHC R 8 82.2 39.8 0.0 15.2GLV 1.0 1.1 0.4 15.2GLV 1.1
2023 Cutter CHC R 26 88.4 29.2 -1.3 3.1GLV 0.1 5.9 -2.0 3.1GLV 0.5
2023 Sinker CHC R 27 94.4 18.5 -2.4 13.7ARM -1.1 12.4 -4.8 13.7ARM -1.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball CHC R 46 93.6 16.8 -1.8 4.5ARM -2.2 14.5 -1.3 4.5ARM -2.9
2023 Curveball CHC R 22 79.3 58.6 4.9 7.7GLV -1.1 -14.5 4.6 7.7GLV -1.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 1.4 1 76 45.5 20 .235 .235 .285 7.9 5.0 4.5 .329 .663 .463 43.8
2024 Cutter 4.7 3 64 38.3 20 .059 .059 .121 32.4 30.0 26.1 .070 .117 .148 8.3
2024 Sweeper -6.5 -1 13 7.8 1 1.000 2.000 1.250 50.0 0.0 0.0 .874 1.031 .827 100.0
2024 Curveball -3.7 0 8 4.8 3 .667 1.000 .717 25.0 0.0 0.0 .407 .590 .424 66.7
2024 Sinker -52.3 -2 4 2.4 3 1.000 2.500 1.200 0.0 0.0 -- .709 1.584 .877 50.0
2024 Changeup -47.6 -1 2 1.2 1 1.000 4.000 2.000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .866 3.416 1.766 100.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -8.7 -4 46 35.4 15 .583 .750 .607 17.4 13.3 14.3 .419 .591 .484 60.0
2023 Sinker -2.9 -1 27 20.8 7 .333 .500 .407 7.1 14.3 20.0 .245 .313 .300 80.0
2023 Cutter -0.9 0 26 20.0 6 .500 .500 .450 35.7 16.7 20.0 .422 .509 .402 80.0
2023 Curveball -3.1 -1 22 16.9 4 .000 .000 .350 0.0 25.0 11.1 .041 .041 .369 0.0
2023 Sweeper -3.5 0 8 6.2 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2023 Changeup -42.6 0 1 0.8 1 1.000 1.000 .900 0.0 0.0 -- .737 .900 .694 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Cutter 64 85.2 31 6.3 9:45 8:00 105
2024 4-Seam Fastball 76 93.6 89 15.6 12:45 12:30 15
2024 Sweeper 13 80.1 48 16.4 8:15 9:00 -45
2023 Curveball 22 79.3 84 19.4 7:00 6:45 15
2023 Cutter 26 88.4 45 6.4 12:00 10:45 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 46 93.6 86 14.6 12:45 12:45 0
2023 Sinker 26 94.4 92 18.7 12:45 1:45 -60
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2022 55 235 -4 1 -3 -2 -7
2023 33 130 -3 0 0 -3 -6
2024 48 167 1 1 -2 -1 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2022 235 45.5 68.2 86.3 18.0 69.6 38.7 53.6 40.9 16.7 7.2 70.6
2023 130 51.5 74.6 92.0 20.6 53.8 42.3 60.6 48.5 15.9 2.3 100.0
2024 167 46.7 78.2 91.8 25.8 47.8 41.9 64.6 50.3 20.2 7.8 92.3
Player 532 47.4 73.0 89.7 21.1 57.6 40.6 59.1 45.7 17.7 6.2 81.8
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2022 50 14 94
2023 48 10 79
2024 42 22 88
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2022 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
2023 -- 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 --
2024 22.7 2 1.8 0 0 2 0 0.0
Player 22.7 2 1.9 0 2 2 0 0.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2022 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
2024 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2
Player 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2022 2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.6 92.4 -0.2 89.8 -2.6
Offspeed Velocity 88.0 85.5 -2.5 86.8 1.3
Breaking Velocity 76.8 80.1 3.3 78.6 -1.5
Exit Velocity 91.1 95.6 4.5 89.1 -6.5
Launch Angle 7.2 4.6 -2.6 11.6 7.0
Barrel % 2.9 4.5 1.6 14.3 9.8
Hard Hit % 44.1 63.6 19.5 37.1 -26.5
LA Sweet-Spot % 20.6 45.5 24.9 40.0 -5.5
xBA .217 .365 0.148 .272 -0.093
BA .262 .481 0.219 .268 -0.213
xwOBA .322 .425 0.103 .394 -0.031
wOBA .355 .511 0.156 .360 -0.151
xSLG .291 .482 0.191 .552 0.070
SLG .357 .593 0.236 .463 -0.130
K% 16.1 15.2 -0.9 14.6 -0.6
BB% 21.4 6.1 -15.3 12.5 6.4
Swing % 40.9 48.5 7.6 50.3 1.8
Whiff% 16.7 15.9 -0.8 20.2 4.3
In Zone % 45.5 51.5 6.0 46.7 -4.8
Out of Zone % 54.5 48.5 -6.0 53.3 4.8
Out of Zone Swing % 18.0 20.6 2.6 25.8 5.2
First Pitch Swing % 28.6 33.3 4.7 43.8 10.5
First Pitch Strike % 53.6 60.6 7.0 64.6 4.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2022 Shifts 55 .355 23 3 13.0 32 18 56.3
2023 Shades 33 .511 21 1 4.8 12 2 16.7
2024 Shades 48 .360 29 0 0.0 19 9 47.4
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2022 62 18.0 1.6% 1.6% 49 22.6 0.0% 6.1%
2023 15 15.5 40.0% 0.0% 40 18.3 0.0% 0.0%
2024 37 17.3 5.4% 0.0% 27 19.4 0.0% 3.7%

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Pitch Distribution