P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 195 lbs | Age: 33
Draft: 2014 | Rd. 30, No. 910, Detroit Tigers | Western Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 2 7 8.07 16 10 0 54.2 35 1.70
2022 5 6 4.70 23 20 0 105.1 63 1.41
2023 0 1 10.38 1 1 0 4.1 4 2.08
3 Seasons 7 14 5.97 40 31 0 164.1 102 1.53
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 16 2-7 8.07 54.2 35 1.70
2022 23 5-6 4.70 105.1 63 1.41
2023 1 0-1 10.38 4.1 4 2.08
3 Seasons 40 7-14 5.97 164.1 102 1.53
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 28 960 199 22 11.1 8.6 90.7 115.2 17.1 38.2 .302 .557 .405 .390 .427 38.2 13.7 7.5 8.07 6.95
2022 29 1642 362 26 7.2 5.7 90.0 112.8 11.6 37.6 .285 .452 .331 .344 .371 37.6 13.7 6.5 4.70 5.04
2023 30 90 15 3 20.0 14.3 92.6 103.5 16.7 46.7 .287 .581 .519 .393 .457 46.7 19.0 9.5 10.38 6.99
Player 2692 576 51 8.9 6.9 90.3 115.2 13.6 38.0 .291 .491 .362 .362 .393 38.0 13.9 6.9
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .245 .404 .315 .315 .368 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watkins relies on 6 pitches.
Sinker
(30.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(25.6%) ,
Cutter
(21.1%) ,
Slider
(16.7%) ,
Curveball
(4.4%) ,
Split Finger
(2.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2021 34.2 65.8 30.7 29.1 6.0 46.2 29.1 24.6 21.1 9.0 4.0 25.1 20.1 20.6
2022 42.5 57.5 24.9 26.2 6.4 40.6 34.3 25.1 20.7 16.0 5.8 19.9 18.2 19.3
2023 33.3 66.7 40.0 26.7 0.0 60.0 6.7 33.3 33.3 0.0 0.0 26.7 6.7 33.3
Player 39.4 60.6 27.3 27.3 6.1 43.1 31.8 25.2 21.2 13.2 5.0 21.9 18.6 20.1
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.0 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 3.5 27.6 29.1 21.1 7.0 11.1 8.6
2022 2.8 30.1 26.8 29.3 3.9 7.2 5.7
2023 0.0 26.7 20.0 20.0 13.3 20.0 14.3
Player 3.0 29.2 27.4 26.2 5.2 8.9 6.9
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 Sinker OAK R 27 90.0 22.7 -1.7 11.5ARM -3.0 11.0 -3.3 11.5ARM -3.4
2023 Split-Finger OAK R 2 84.2 38.1 2.6 1.2GLV -11.8 0.9 2.4 1.2GLV -12.3
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 23 90.4 18.0 -0.9 1.3ARM -4.8 15.3 -0.5 1.3ARM -6.1
2023 Cutter OAK R 19 86.1 29.6 0.8 5.8GLV 2.3 7.0 -0.9 5.8GLV 3.2
2023 Slider OAK R 15 76.9 49.0 3.9 12.6GLV 3.4 -2.6 4.2 12.6GLV 7.6
2023 Curveball OAK R 4 74.6 63.9 2.0 7.4GLV -2.8 -14.5 4.6 7.4GLV -1.5
2022 Sweeper BAL R 289 78.4 47.1 2.1 14.0GLV -1.8 -2.4 3.8 14.0GLV 0.1
2022 4-Seam Fastball BAL R 627 91.4 16.2 -0.5 1.2ARM -4.8 16.6 0.4 1.2ARM -6.2
2022 Curveball BAL R 159 76.8 60.6 2.1 5.7GLV -2.9 -14.0 4.1 5.7GLV -3.4
2022 Cutter BAL R 462 87.1 28.5 0.1 6.0GLV 2.5 7.4 -0.9 6.0GLV 3.3
2022 Sinker BAL R 32 90.4 20.0 -2.7 12.9ARM -0.7 13.7 -5.4 12.9ARM -1.8
2022 Changeup BAL R 71 86.1 26.4 -2.6 10.7ARM -3.0 10.3 -4.4 10.7ARM -3.5
2022 Slider BAL R 2 78.3 44.5 -0.2 11.5GLV 2.5 -0.2 2.0 11.5GLV 6.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sinker -1.5 0 27 30.0 5 .400 .600 .430 0.0 20.0 8.3 .160 .178 .147 25.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -3.6 -1 23 25.6 5 .500 .750 .570 20.0 0.0 0.0 .579 1.250 .748 75.0
2023 Cutter 1.8 0 19 21.1 6 .200 .400 .325 18.2 16.7 16.7 .261 .452 .366 25.0
2023 Slider -15.8 -2 15 16.7 3 .333 1.333 .667 37.5 33.3 14.3 .156 .310 .193 50.0
2023 Curveball -21.6 -1 4 4.4 2 .500 2.000 1.000 33.3 50.0 50.0 .280 .979 .501 100.0
2023 Split-Finger -2.7 0 2 2.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seam Fastball -1.0 -6 627 38.2 178 .268 .446 .349 8.6 7.9 9.2 .309 .529 .393 44.8
2022 Cutter -0.5 -2 462 28.1 142 .328 .427 .360 25.5 19.0 22.0 .277 .395 .323 34.6
2022 Sweeper 1.6 5 289 17.6 81 .185 .346 .235 26.3 18.5 16.1 .217 .393 .262 25.8
2022 Curveball -2.6 -4 159 9.7 33 .367 .533 .418 27.1 18.2 15.4 .292 .418 .344 33.3
2022 Changeup -2.0 -1 71 4.3 17 .375 .438 .432 22.6 0.0 0.0 .356 .488 .385 31.3
2022 Sinker 0.7 0 32 1.9 8 .250 .250 .225 15.4 12.5 12.5 .443 .522 .423 71.4
2022 Slider 4.9 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Cutter 19 86.1 47 8.8 11:15 10:30 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 23 90.4 86 14.6 12:30 12:15 15
2023 Sinker 27 90.0 75 15.7 12:30 1:45 -75
2023 Slider 15 76.9 61 14.5 8:00 8:15 -15
2022 Changeup 70 86.1 89 14.6 12:45 1:45 -60
2022 Curveball 156 76.8 70 17.9 7:00 6:45 15
2022 Cutter 453 87.1 50 9.2 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 620 91.4 88 16.0 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Sinker 26 90.2 86 18.7 12:30 1:30 -60
2022 Sweeper 287 78.4 58 15.8 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 255 960 -6 2 -9 -5 -18
2022 459 1,642 -2 10 -11 -6 -9
2023 21 90 -2 -2 0 0 -4
Player 735 2,692 -11 10 -20 -11 -31
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 960 46.5 69.7 88.1 25.3 67.7 45.9 55.7 45.9 17.9 6.1 74.6
2022 1,642 52.4 67.2 86.9 26.0 61.6 44.2 65.8 47.6 19.7 7.1 76.7
2023 90 48.9 68.2 90.0 30.4 64.3 52.2 52.4 48.9 18.2 4.4 100.0
Player 2,692 50.2 68.1 87.4 25.9 64.0 45.1 61.9 47.1 19.0 6.6 76.5
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 1 1 1 1 7 36 7 10 54 2 62 2 21 14 53 29 55
2022 10 2 10 23 16 30 50 13 53 2 70 10 13 15 56 62 40
2023 8 13 50
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.67 14 13.1 1 8 8 6 42.9
2022 24.03 11 13.0 -2 3 12 4 36.4
2023 21.25 2 2.3 0 0 3 0 0.0
Player 24.14 27 28.5 -2 11 23 10 37.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 14 16 12 13 12 12 13 14 10 10 12 14 16 11 12 16 13 13 14 12 13 13 17 14 13 12 14 14 13 13 13
2022 11 14 11 14 15 14 15 13 9 8 12 15 12 11 15 15 13 14 12 14 13 12 19 15 11 8 16 15 14 11 11
2023 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2
Player 27 30 25 29 29 28 30 29 21 20 26 31 30 25 29 34 29 29 29 29 29 28 39 32 26 22 33 31 30 26 26
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2023 +/-   2022 +/-   2021
Results
BA .368 +.087 .281 -.041 .322
xBA .287 +.002 .285 -.017 .302
OBP .429 +.096 .333 -.041 .374
xOBP .355 +.018 .337 -.023 .360
SLG .842 +.419 .423 -.173 .596
xSLG .581 +.129 .452 -.105 .557
ISO .474 +.332 .142 -.132 .274
xISO .295 +.128 .167 -.087 .254
BABIP .385 +.077 .308 -.018 .326
wOBA .519 +.188 .331 -.074 .405
xwOBA .393 +.049 .344 -.046 .390
wOBACON .634 +.279 .355 -.091 .446
xwOBACON .457 +.086 .371 -.056 .427
BACON .467 +.138 .329 -.045 .374
xBACON .363 +.030 .333 -.023 .356
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 46.7 +9.1 37.6 -0.6 38.2
Avg Exit Velocity 92.6 +2.6 90.0 -0.7 90.7
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 46.7 +9.1 37.6 -0.6 38.2
Barrel % 20.0 +12.8 7.2 -3.9 11.1
Avg Launch Angle 16.7 +5.1 11.6 -5.5 17.1
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.0 -- -- -- --
Attack Angle 11° -- -- -- --
Ideal Attack Angle % 46.5 -- -- -- --
Attack Direction -- -- -- --
Swing Path - Tilt 31° -- -- -- --
Swing Length 7.4 -- -- -- --
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 89.1 -0.5 89.6 +0.4 89.2
Breaking Velocity 76.4 -1.5 77.9 -1.2 79.1
Offspeed Velocity 84.2 -1.9 86.1 +0.6 85.5
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 3 -23 26 +4 22
Popup % 0.0 -6.4 6.4 +0.4 6.0
Flyball % 40.0 +15.1 24.9 -5.8 30.7
Line Drive % 26.7 +0.5 26.2 -2.9 29.1
Groundball % 33.3 -9.2 42.5 +8.3 34.2
Pull % 60.0 +19.4 40.6 -5.6 46.2
Straight Away % 6.7 -27.6 34.3 +5.2 29.1
Opposite Field % 33.3 +8.2 25.1 +0.5 24.6
Weak Contact % 0.0 -2.8 2.8 -0.7 3.5
Pull Airball % 26.7 +6.8 19.9 -5.2 25.1
Topped Contact % 26.7 -3.4 30.1 +2.5 27.6
Under Contact % 20.0 -6.8 26.8 -2.3 29.1
Flare/Burner Contact % 20.0 -9.3 29.3 +8.2 21.1
Solid Contact % 13.3 +9.4 3.9 -3.1 7.0
HR/FB % 33.3 +21.1 12.2 -10.8 23.0
Popups 0 -23 23 +11 12
Flyballs 6 -84 90 +29 61
Line Drives 4 -91 95 +37 58
Groundballs 5 -149 154 +86 68
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 48.9 -3.5 52.4 +5.9 46.5
Out of Zone % 51.1 +3.5 47.6 -5.9 53.5
Edge % 52.2 +8.0 44.2 -1.7 45.9
Zone Swing % 68.2 +1.0 67.2 -2.5 69.7
Out of Zone Swing % 30.4 +4.4 26.0 +0.7 25.3
In Zone Contact % 90.0 +3.1 86.9 -1.2 88.1
Out of Zone Contact % 64.3 +2.7 61.6 -6.1 67.7
Whiff % 18.2 -1.5 19.7 +1.8 17.9
First Strike % 52.4 -13.4 65.8 +10.1 55.7
First Pitch Swing % 23.8 -8.7 32.5 +6.2 26.3
Swing % 48.9 +1.3 47.6 +1.7 45.9
Meatball Swing % 100.0 +23.3 76.7 +2.1 74.6
Meatball % 4.4 -2.7 7.1 +1.0 6.1
Zone Swing & Miss % 10.0 -3.1 13.1 +1.2 11.9
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 35.7 -2.7 38.4 +6.1 32.3
In Zone 44 -817 861 +415 446
Out of Zone 46 -735 781 +267 514
Edge 47 -679 726 +285 441
In Zone Swings 30 -549 579 +268 311
Out of Zone Swings 14 -189 203 +73 130
In Zone Swing & Misses 3 -73 76 +39 37
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 5 -73 78 +36 42
Basic
Pitches 90 -1,552 1,642 +682 960
PA 21 -438 459 +204 255
AB 19 -404 423 +193 230
Hits 7 -112 119 +45 74
Singles 2 -80 82 +41 41
Doubles 3 -22 25 +8 17
Triples 0 -1 1 -1 2
Home Runs 2 -9 11 -3 14
Walks 2 -28 30 +11 19
Strikeouts 4 -59 63 +28 35
K% 19.0 +5.3 13.7 0.0 13.7
BB% 9.5 +3.0 6.5 -1.0 7.5
HBP 0 -4 4 +2 2
Batted Balls 15 -347 362 +163 199
Number of Fastballs 69 -1,052 1,121 +375 746
Number of Offspeed 2 -69 71 +15 56
Number of Breaking 19 -142 161 +3 158
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 255 .405 137 18 13.1 118 66 55.9
2022 Shifts 459 .331 260 31 11.9 199 86 43.2
2023 Shades 21 .519 14 0 0.0 7 4 57.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 269 16.2 33.1% 1.5% 163 22.4 0.0% 8.0%
2022 460 15.0 50.0% 0.7% 278 22.4 0.0% 6.5%
2023 29 14.9 51.7% 0.0% 10 20.5 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution