Spenser Watkins
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 195LBS | Age: 32
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 30, #910, Detroit Tigers | Western Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 2 7 8.07 16 10 0 54.2 35 1.70
2022 5 6 4.70 23 20 0 105.1 63 1.41
2023 0 1 10.38 1 1 0 4.1 4 2.08
3 Seasons 7 14 5.97 40 31 0 164.1 102 1.53
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 16 2-7 8.07 54.2 35 1.70
2022 23 5-6 4.70 105.1 63 1.41
2023 1 0-1 10.38 4.1 4 2.08
3 Seasons 40 7-14 5.97 164.1 102 1.53
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 28 960 199 22 11.1 8.6 90.7 115.2 17.1 38.2 .303 .557 .405 .391 .428 38.2 13.7 7.5 8.07 6.94
2022 29 1642 362 26 7.2 5.7 90.0 112.8 11.6 37.6 .285 .452 .331 .344 .372 37.6 13.7 6.5 4.70 5.04
2023 30 90 15 3 20.0 14.3 92.6 103.5 16.7 46.7 .287 .581 .519 .393 .457 46.7 19.0 9.5 10.38 6.99
Player 2692 576 51 8.9 6.9 90.3 115.2 13.6 38.0 .291 .492 .362 .362 .393 38.0 13.9 6.9
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watkins relies on 6 pitches.
Sinker
(30.0%) ,
Four Seamer
(25.6%) ,
Cutter
(21.1%) ,
Slider
(16.7%) ,
Curveball
(4.4%) ,
Split Finger
(2.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.2 30.7 29.1 6.0 46.2 29.1 24.6 3.5 27.6 29.1 21.1 7.0 11.1 8.6
2022 42.5 24.9 26.2 6.4 40.6 34.3 25.1 2.8 30.1 26.8 29.3 3.9 7.2 5.7
2023 33.3 40.0 26.7 0.0 60.0 6.7 33.3 0.0 26.7 20.0 20.0 13.3 20.0 14.3
Player 39.4 27.3 27.3 6.1 43.1 31.8 25.2 3.0 29.2 27.4 26.2 5.2 8.9 6.9
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 Split-Finger OAK R 2 84.2 38.1 2.6 1.2GLV -11.8 0.9 2.4 1.2GLV -12.3
2023 Sinker OAK R 27 90.0 22.7 -1.6 11.5ARM -3.1 11.0 -3.4 11.5ARM -3.5
2023 Cutter OAK R 19 86.1 29.6 0.8 5.8GLV 2.3 7.0 -0.9 5.8GLV 3.2
2023 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 23 90.4 18.0 -0.9 1.3ARM -4.8 15.3 -0.5 1.3ARM -6.1
2023 Slider OAK R 15 76.9 49.0 2.8 12.6GLV 1.6 -2.6 4.1 12.6GLV 7.3
2023 Curveball OAK R 4 74.6 63.9 2.0 7.4GLV -2.8 -14.5 4.6 7.4GLV -1.5
2022 Changeup BAL R 73 86.0 26.5 -2.6 10.8ARM -2.9 10.2 -4.3 10.8ARM -3.4
2022 Slider BAL R 2 78.3 44.5 -0.5 11.5GLV 1.2 -0.2 2.0 11.5GLV 5.8
2022 Curveball BAL R 157 76.8 60.6 2.1 5.7GLV -2.9 -14.0 4.1 5.7GLV -3.4
2022 Sweeper BAL R 289 78.4 47.1 2.1 14.0GLV -1.9 -2.4 4.0 14.0GLV 0.1
2022 Cutter BAL R 458 87.1 28.5 0.1 6.0GLV 2.5 7.4 -0.9 6.0GLV 3.3
2022 4-Seam Fastball BAL R 625 91.4 16.2 -0.5 1.2ARM -4.8 16.6 0.4 1.2ARM -6.1
2022 Sinker BAL R 27 90.9 19.6 -2.8 14.0ARM 0.2 13.7 -5.4 14.0ARM -0.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sinker -3.3 -1 27 30.0 5 .400 .600 .430 0.0 20.0 8.3 .160 .178 .147 25.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball -2.1 0 23 25.6 5 .500 .750 .570 20.0 0.0 0.0 .579 1.250 .748 75.0
2023 Cutter -1.2 0 19 21.1 6 .200 .400 .325 18.2 16.7 16.7 .261 .452 .366 25.0
2023 Slider -5.3 -1 15 16.7 3 .333 1.333 .667 37.5 33.3 14.3 .156 .310 .193 50.0
2023 Curveball -32.0 -1 4 4.4 2 .500 2.000 1.000 33.3 50.0 50.0 .280 .979 .501 100.0
2023 Split-Finger -1.7 0 2 2.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seam Fastball -0.5 -3 630 38.4 178 .268 .446 .349 8.6 7.9 9.0 .310 .529 .393 44.8
2022 Cutter -1.5 -7 462 28.1 142 .328 .427 .360 25.5 19.0 22.0 .277 .395 .323 34.6
2022 Sweeper 0.8 2 289 17.6 81 .185 .346 .235 26.3 18.5 16.1 .217 .393 .262 25.8
2022 Curveball -0.9 -1 159 9.7 33 .367 .533 .418 27.1 18.2 15.4 .292 .418 .344 33.3
2022 Changeup -2.3 -2 73 4.4 17 .375 .438 .432 22.6 0.0 0.0 .358 .490 .387 31.3
2022 Sinker 2.5 1 27 1.6 8 .250 .250 .225 16.7 12.5 16.7 .443 .522 .423 71.4
2022 Slider 6.2 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Cutter 19 86.1 47 8.8 11:15 10:30 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 23 90.4 86 14.6 12:30 12:15 15
2023 Sinker 27 90.0 75 15.7 12:30 1:45 -75
2023 Slider 15 76.9 61 14.5 8:00 8:15 -15
2022 Changeup 72 86.0 89 14.6 12:45 1:45 -60
2022 Curveball 156 76.8 70 17.9 7:00 6:45 15
2022 Cutter 453 87.1 50 9.2 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 621 91.4 88 16.0 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Sinker 24 90.9 85 19.2 12:30 1:30 -60
2022 Sweeper 287 78.4 58 15.8 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 255 960 -5 -4 -8 -4 -22
2022 459 1,642 -4 10 -10 -5 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 960 46.5 69.7 87.8 25.3 67.7 45.9 55.7 45.9 17.9 6.1 74.6
2022 1,642 52.4 67.2 86.4 26.0 61.6 44.2 65.8 47.6 19.7 7.1 76.7
2023 90 48.9 68.2 90.0 30.4 64.3 52.2 52.4 48.9 18.2 4.4 100.0
Player 2,692 50.2 68.1 87.0 25.9 64.0 45.1 61.9 47.1 19.0 6.6 76.5
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2021 1 1 1 1 7 36 7 10 54 2 62 2 20 14 53 29 55
2022 10 3 10 23 16 30 50 13 53 2 70 10 13 16 57 62 40
2023 8 13 50
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.7 14 13.1 1 8 7 7 50.0
2022 24.0 11 13.0 -2 3 12 4 36.4
2023 21.3 2 2.3 0 0 3 0 0.0
Player 24.1 27 28.4 -1 11 22 11 40.7
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2021 14 16 12 13 12 12 13 14 10 11 12 14 16 11 12 16 13 13 14 12 13 12 17 14 12 12 14 15 13 13 13
2022 11 14 11 14 15 14 15 12 9 8 12 14 12 11 15 15 13 14 12 14 13 12 18 16 12 8 16 15 14 10 11
2023 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2
Player 27 30 25 29 29 28 30 28 21 21 26 30 30 25 29 34 29 29 29 29 29 27 38 33 26 22 33 32 30 25 26
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.2 89.6 0.4 89.1 -0.5
Offspeed Velocity 85.6 86.0 0.4 84.2 -1.8
Breaking Velocity 79.1 77.9 -1.2 76.4 -1.5
Exit Velocity 90.7 90.0 -0.7 92.6 2.6
Launch Angle 17.1 11.6 -5.5 16.7 5.1
Barrel % 11.1 7.2 -3.9 20.0 12.8
Hard Hit % 38.2 37.6 -0.6 46.7 9.1
LA Sweet-Spot % 38.2 37.6 -0.6 46.7 9.1
xBA .303 .285 -0.018 .287 0.002
BA .322 .281 -0.041 .368 0.087
xwOBA .391 .344 -0.047 .393 0.049
wOBA .405 .331 -0.074 .519 0.188
xSLG .557 .452 -0.105 .581 0.129
SLG .596 .423 -0.173 .842 0.419
K% 13.7 13.7 0.0 19.0 5.3
BB% 7.5 6.5 -1.0 9.5 3.0
Swing % 45.9 47.6 1.7 48.9 1.3
Whiff% 17.9 19.7 1.8 18.2 -1.5
In Zone % 46.5 52.4 5.9 48.9 -3.5
Out of Zone % 53.5 47.6 -5.9 51.1 3.5
Out of Zone Swing % 25.3 26.0 0.7 30.4 4.4
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 32.5 6.2 23.8 -8.7
First Pitch Strike % 55.7 65.8 10.1 52.4 -13.4
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 255 .405 137 18 13.1 118 66 55.9
2022 Shifts 459 .331 260 31 11.9 199 86 43.2
2023 Shades 21 .519 14 0 0.0 7 4 57.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 269 16.2 33.1% 1.5% 163 22.4 0.0% 8.0%
2022 460 15.0 50.0% 0.7% 278 22.4 0.0% 6.5%
2023 29 14.9 51.7% 0.0% 10 20.5 0.0% 0.0%

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Pitch Distribution