Carson Smith
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 215LBS | Age: 34
Draft: 2011 | Rd: 8, #243, Seattle Mariners | Texas State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2016 0 0 0.00 3 0 0 2.2 2 1.13
2017 0 0 1.35 8 0 1 6.2 7 1.35
2018 1 1 3.77 18 0 0 14.1 18 1.40
5 Seasons 4 6 2.21 108 0 14 102 129 1.06
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2016 3 0-0 0.00 2.2 2 1.13
2017 8 0-0 1.35 6.2 7 1.35
2018 18 1-1 3.77 14.1 18 1.40
5 Seasons 108 4-6 2.21 102 129 1.06
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 25 1068 163 5 3.1 1.8 87.2 111.1 -0.6 21.5 .179 .253 .244 .240 .308 31.3 32.3 8.1 2.31 2.34
2016 26 48 8 0 0.0 0.0 86.4 106.8 -1.1 0.0 .172 .199 .223 .211 .204 12.5 18.2 9.1 0.00 1.86
2017 27 114 18 1 5.6 3.7 83.5 108.0 -2.1 33.3 .249 .307 .279 .273 .333 33.3 25.9 7.4 1.35 3.15
2018 28 263 40 2 5.0 3.1 90.5 117.0 6.2 27.5 .224 .352 .321 .290 .361 47.5 28.1 9.4 3.77 3.52
Player 1493 229 8 3.5 2.1 87.5 117.0 0.5 22.7 .191 .273 .258 .250 .316 33.6 30.7 8.3
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Smith relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(47.1%) ,
Slider
(43.7%) ,
Changeup
(6.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(2.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 65.6 14.1 17.8 2.5 33.7 39.9 26.4 4.3 51.5 11.0 19.0 3.1 3.1 1.8
2016 75.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 37.5 12.5 0.0 50.0 25.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2017 61.1 0.0 33.3 5.6 44.4 33.3 22.2 11.1 44.4 5.6 33.3 0.0 5.6 3.7
2018 55.0 20.0 20.0 5.0 30.0 37.5 30.0 2.5 45.0 20.0 25.0 2.5 5.0 3.1
Player 63.8 14.4 18.8 3.1 34.5 38.9 26.2 4.4 49.8 12.7 21.4 2.6 3.5 2.1
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2018 Changeup BOS R 17 88.9 39.3 8.5 28 14.0 -0.9 -6
2018 Sinker BOS R 124 91.9 32.0 6.9 28 15.3 0.1 1
2018 Slider BOS R 115 85.1 40.5 3.4 9 11.0 6.0 119
2018 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 7 91.4 23.8 -5.6 -31 14.7 6.2 72
2017 Slider BOS R 53 84.6 39.3 3.0 8 10.8 6.9 179
2017 Sinker BOS R 40 92.0 32.5 8.5 36 13.1 -2.4 -15
2017 4-Seam Fastball BOS R 16 91.8 27.8 -10.6 -62 9.9 0.6 7
2017 Changeup BOS R 5 87.9 40.7 10.9 37 11.1 -3.7 -25
2016 Sinker BOS R 31 91.9 33.1 9.2 38 12.8 -1.6 -11
2016 Slider BOS R 17 85.9 41.6 6.4 18 10.4 6.1 143
2015 Changeup SEA R 27 87.5 42.7 11.6 37 10.7 -2.4 -19
2015 4-Seam Fastball SEA R 8 94.2 23.7 -7.1 -43 10.7 2.7 34
2015 Sinker SEA R 528 93.2 32.8 9.4 40 15.4 0.4 3
2015 Slider SEA R 460 85.5 43.6 7.3 20 11.4 6.4 127
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2018 Sinker -4.1 -5 124 47.1 30 .400 .840 .578 18.0 3.3 6.3 .304 .527 .415 45.8
2018 Slider 3.2 4 115 43.7 29 .143 .143 .148 39.1 51.7 24.2 .181 .248 .203 53.8
2018 Changeup 4.3 1 17 6.5 2 .000 .000 .000 37.5 0.0 0.0 .154 .166 .159 50.0
2018 4-Seam Fastball 7.6 1 7 2.7 3 .000 .000 .000 50.0 66.7 50.0 .000 .000 .000 0.0
2017 Slider 1.9 1 53 46.5 15 .214 .214 .227 26.1 46.7 20.6 .211 .299 .248 42.9
2017 Sinker -4.0 -2 40 35.1 11 .400 .400 .473 7.1 0.0 0.0 .318 .340 .326 30.0
2017 4-Seam Fastball 1.6 0 16 14.0 -- -- -- 57.1 -- -- -- -- -- --
2017 Changeup 3.9 0 5 4.4 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 -- .087 .093 .078 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 29 114 2 2 0 0 4
2015 281 1,049 8 11 0 -5 14
2017 34 139 2 0 -2 -1 0
2018 64 263 0 4 -2 -2 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,068 49.1 54.8 84.3 28.1 33.3 36.8 58.6 41.2 31.6 9.2 62.2
2016 48 45.8 59.1 92.3 15.4 75.0 31.3 36.4 35.4 11.8 6.3 66.7
2017 114 51.8 59.3 88.6 20.0 36.4 39.5 74.1 40.4 23.9 7.0 100.0
2018 263 49.4 60.0 88.5 22.6 23.3 39.5 64.1 41.1 29.6 8.0 61.9
Player 1,493 49.2 56.2 85.7 26.1 32.8 37.3 59.9 40.9 30.1 8.7 64.6
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 97 98 99 99 89 91 90 76 65 97 39 93 33 57 52 30
2017 35 76 26
2018 34 47 25
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2018 20.5 2 1.7 0 0 2 0 0.0
Player 20.5 2 1.7 0 0 2 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2018 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1
Player 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.2 91.9 -1.3 92.0 0.1 91.9 -0.1
Offspeed Velocity 87.5 0.0 0.0 87.9 0.0 88.9 1.0
Breaking Velocity 85.5 85.9 0.4 84.6 -1.3 85.1 0.5
Exit Velocity 87.2 86.4 -0.8 83.5 -2.9 90.5 7.0
Launch Angle -0.6 -1.1 -0.5 -2.1 -1.0 6.2 8.3
Barrel % 3.1 0.0 -3.1 5.6 5.6 5.0 -0.6
Hard Hit % 31.3 12.5 -18.8 33.3 20.8 47.5 14.2
Sweet Spot % 21.5 0.0 -21.5 33.3 33.3 27.5 -5.8
xBA .179 .173 -0.007 .249 0.076 .224 -0.025
BA .194 .200 0.006 .280 0.080 .241 -0.039
xwOBA .240 .211 -0.029 .273 0.062 .290 0.017
wOBA .244 .223 -0.021 .279 0.056 .321 0.042
xSLG .253 .199 -0.054 .307 0.108 .352 0.045
SLG .262 .200 -0.062 .280 0.080 .431 0.151
K% 32.3 18.2 -14.1 25.9 7.7 28.1 2.2
BB% 8.1 9.1 1.0 7.4 -1.7 9.4 2.0
Swing % 41.2 35.4 -5.8 40.4 5.0 41.1 0.7
Whiff% 31.6 11.8 -19.8 23.9 12.1 29.6 5.7
In Zone % 49.1 45.8 -3.3 51.8 6.0 49.4 -2.4
Out of Zone % 50.9 54.2 3.3 48.2 -6.0 50.6 2.4
Out of Zone Swing % 28.1 15.4 -12.7 20.0 4.6 22.6 2.6
First Pitch Swing % 19.3 9.1 -10.2 33.3 24.2 18.8 -14.5
First Pitch Strike % 58.6 36.4 -22.2 74.1 37.7 64.1 -10.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 11 .223 7 0 0.0 4 1 25.0
2017 Shifts 27 .279 21 0 0.0 6 3 50.0
2018 Shifts 64 .321 41 1 2.4 23 13 56.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2014 46 17.4 8.7% 2.2% 12 21.9 0.0% 0.0%
2015 294 18.4 15.6% 5.1% 212 22.7 3.8% 18.4%
2016 17 20.3 23.5% 5.9% 10 25.0 10.0% 20.0%
2017 27 19.2 7.4% 3.7% 27 21.9 0.0% 7.4%
2018 83 20.3 3.6% 8.4% 38 24.4 0.0% 23.7%
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Pitch Distribution


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