Josh Lucas
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 6" 185LBS | Age: 33
Draft: 2010 | Rd: 21, #649, St. Louis Cardinals | State College of Florida, Manatee-Sarasota
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2017 0 0 3.68 5 0 0 7.1 7 1.50
2018 0 0 6.28 8 1 0 14.1 14 1.74
2019 0 0 5.74 9 0 1 15.2 16 1.34
3 Seasons 0 0 5.54 22 1 1 37.1 37 1.53
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2017 5 0-0 3.68 7.1 7 1.50
2018 8 0-0 6.28 14.1 14 1.74
2019 9 0-0 5.74 15.2 16 1.34
3 Seasons 22 0-0 5.54 37.1 37 1.53
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2017 26 119 20 3 15.0 9.4 87.4 107.7 2.6 30.0 .283 .496 .391 .387 .444 45.0 21.9 12.5 3.68 6.87
2018 27 248 42 2 4.8 3.0 84.9 104.9 4.1 28.6 .233 .341 .363 .319 .337 31.0 21.2 13.6 6.28 4.33
2019 28 273 46 3 6.5 4.3 88.5 112.3 12.3 30.4 .237 .377 .288 .304 .351 37.0 23.2 10.1 5.75 4.06
Player 640 108 8 7.4 4.8 86.9 112.3 7.3 29.6 .244 .385 .337 .326 .363 36.1 22.2 12.0
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lucas relies on 4 pitches.
Slider
(42.5%) ,
Sinker
(27.5%) ,
Four Seamer
(26.4%) ,
Curveball
(3.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2017 60.0 10.0 25.0 5.0 45.0 50.0 5.0 10.0 40.0 10.0 25.0 0.0 15.0 9.4
2018 52.4 21.4 19.0 7.1 38.1 38.1 23.8 4.8 45.2 19.0 23.8 2.4 4.8 3.0
2019 45.7 26.1 19.6 8.7 43.5 41.3 15.2 2.2 34.8 30.4 23.9 2.2 6.5 4.3
Player 50.9 21.3 20.4 7.4 41.7 41.7 16.7 4.6 39.8 22.2 24.1 1.9 7.4 4.8
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2019 Sinker BAL R 75 89.8 29.2 3.7 15 18.6 3.6 24
2019 Slider BAL R 116 83.3 41.4 1.4 3 2.2 -3.7 -63
2019 Curveball BAL R 10 81.5 54.2 2.2 4 6.1 -1.1 -15
2019 4-Seam Fastball BAL R 72 90.3 22.1 -3.9 -22 13.3 5.7 76
2018 4-Seam Fastball OAK R 59 90.6 21.6 -3.9 -22 14.8 7.4 99
2018 Curveball OAK R 1 77.1 55.3 -2.7 -5 3.5 -6.1 -64
2018 Slider OAK R 122 82.9 44.7 4.4 11 2.7 -2.9 -52
2018 Sinker OAK R 66 91.4 28.0 4.6 20 18.4 3.6 25
2017 4-Seam Fastball STL R 16 92.7 25.2 -9.1 -57 18.9 9.7 107
2017 Sinker STL R 36 92.5 33.5 9.3 38 20.4 4.8 31
2017 Slider STL R 67 84.8 41.5 5.2 14 0.1 -4.0 -103
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2019 Slider -0.8 -1 116 42.5 33 .267 .400 .311 34.5 30.3 28.6 .220 .345 .261 31.8
2019 Sinker 1.0 1 75 27.5 17 .214 .429 .306 12.9 17.6 30.0 .250 .358 .306 41.7
2019 4-Seam Fastball 0.2 0 72 26.4 17 .154 .154 .271 3.4 11.8 13.3 .224 .270 .328 36.4
2019 Curveball -6.4 -1 10 3.7 2 .500 1.000 .625 25.0 50.0 25.0 .483 1.681 .847 100.0
2018 Slider -2.9 -3 122 49.2 35 .324 .412 .333 26.5 31.4 21.6 .271 .385 .298 39.1
2018 Sinker -1.6 -1 66 26.6 19 .200 .267 .355 19.2 5.3 25.0 .152 .181 .271 21.4
2018 4-Seam Fastball -1.7 -1 59 23.8 12 .286 .857 .563 23.8 16.7 14.3 .222 .471 .464 20.0
2018 Curveball -4.3 0 1 0.4 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2017 Slider 1.7 1 67 56.3 21 .111 .222 .262 38.2 33.3 23.3 .158 .206 .234 36.4
2017 Sinker -7.9 -3 36 30.3 8 .667 1.667 .900 23.5 0.0 0.0 .547 1.316 .749 50.0
2017 4-Seam Fastball 3.5 1 16 13.4 3 .333 .333 .300 16.7 0.0 0.0 .510 .596 .488 66.7
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2017 32 119 -1 1 -1 0 -1
2018 66 248 -1 1 -5 -1 -6
2019 69 273 0 2 -2 -1 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2017 119 42.0 74.0 75.7 29.0 45.0 44.5 53.1 47.9 31.6 2.5 33.3
2018 248 45.2 66.1 81.1 30.1 63.4 38.7 60.6 46.4 24.3 6.9 76.5
2019 273 43.2 66.9 86.1 27.7 65.1 44.7 46.4 44.7 21.3 5.5 73.3
Player 640 43.8 67.9 82.1 28.9 60.6 42.3 53.3 45.9 24.5 5.5 71.4
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2017 45 37 7
2018 23 34 10
2019 11 32 5
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2017 24.6 2 2.0 0 0 0 2 100.0
2018 22.1 1 1.1 0 0 2 0 0.0
2019 22.2 2 2.2 0 0 3 0 0.0
Player 23.1 5 5.4 0 0 5 2 40.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2017 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
2018 1 2 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
2019 2 3 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 1 2 2 2 1
Player 5 7 4 4 5 4 7 4 3 3 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 7 6 5 7 7 5 6 4 5 6 6 5
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2017 2018 +/-   2019 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 92.6 91.0 -1.6 90.0 -1.0
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 84.8 82.8 -2.0 83.2 0.4
Exit Velocity 87.4 84.9 -2.5 88.5 3.6
Launch Angle 2.6 4.1 1.5 12.3 8.2
Barrel % 15.0 4.8 -10.2 6.5 1.7
Hard Hit % 45.0 31.0 -14.0 37.0 6.0
Sweet Spot % 30.0 28.6 -1.4 30.4 1.8
xBA .283 .233 -0.050 .237 0.004
BA .259 .286 0.027 .237 -0.049
xwOBA .387 .319 -0.068 .304 -0.015
wOBA .391 .363 -0.028 .288 -0.075
xSLG .496 .341 -0.155 .377 0.036
SLG .556 .429 -0.127 .373 -0.056
K% 21.9 21.2 -0.7 23.2 2.0
BB% 12.5 13.6 1.1 10.1 -3.5
Swing % 47.9 46.4 -1.5 44.7 -1.7
Whiff% 31.6 24.3 -7.3 21.3 -3.0
In Zone % 42.0 45.2 3.2 43.2 -2.0
Out of Zone % 58.0 54.8 -3.2 56.8 2.0
Out of Zone Swing % 29.0 30.1 1.1 27.7 -2.4
First Pitch Swing % 31.3 30.3 -1.0 21.7 -8.6
First Pitch Strike % 53.1 60.6 7.5 46.4 -14.2
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2017 Shifts 32 .391 19 0 0.0 13 1 7.7
2018 Shifts 65 .356 33 1 3.0 32 7 21.9
2019 Shifts 69 .288 44 21 47.7 25 18 72.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2017 27 16.9 22.2% 0.0% 25 20.9 0.0% 8.0%
2018 53 15.3 47.2% 0.0% 54 19.7 1.9% 1.9%
2019 82 17.4 20.7% 2.4% 53 21.4 3.8% 11.3%
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Pitch Distribution


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