Zach Davies
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2011 | Rd: 26, #785, Baltimore Orioles | Mesquite (AZ) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 6 12 5.78 32 32 0 148 114 1.60
2022 2 5 4.09 27 27 0 134.1 102 1.30
2023 2 5 7.00 18 18 0 82.1 72 1.66
9 Seasons 60 58 4.36 200 200 0 1,048.1 785 1.35
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 32 6-12 5.78 148 114 1.60
2022 27 2-5 4.09 134.1 102 1.30
2023 18 2-5 7.00 82.1 72 1.66
9 Seasons 200 60-58 4.36 1,048.1 785 1.35
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
?

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 22 539 100 3 3.0 2.2 87.0 106.4 5.9 27.0 .249 .344 .277 .305 .321 29.0 17.3 10.8 3.71 3.85
2016 23 2588 503 26 5.2 3.8 87.6 111.8 11.4 31.2 .242 .376 .313 .294 .339 28.6 19.8 5.6 3.97 3.61
2017 24 3089 629 25 4.0 3.1 86.2 111.1 7.4 34.0 .287 .430 .323 .336 .368 31.1 15.2 6.7 3.90 4.93
2018 25 1124 205 8 3.9 2.9 88.5 111.9 8.7 33.7 .269 .414 .326 .327 .366 39.5 17.5 7.5 4.77 4.57
2019 26 2680 516 37 7.2 5.5 88.7 113.8 13.8 37.0 .276 .464 .309 .339 .371 33.3 15.2 7.6 3.55 5.16
2020 27 1055 194 20 10.3 7.2 87.5 111.3 14.6 36.1 .269 .476 .273 .344 .422 36.6 22.8 6.9 2.73 5.13
2021 28 2577 473 43 9.1 6.4 89.8 112.2 11.0 36.2 .293 .487 .366 .375 .414 43.3 17.1 11.2 5.78 6.27
2022 29 2292 414 33 8.0 5.8 87.4 112.7 13.0 31.6 .250 .430 .315 .329 .363 34.5 17.9 9.1 4.09 4.56
2023 30 1498 264 21 8.0 5.6 89.7 112.9 11.0 35.2 .284 .453 .360 .355 .399 42.4 19.1 10.3 7.00 5.48
Player 17442 3298 216 6.5 4.8 88.0 113.8 11.0 34.1 .271 .436 .324 .336 .374 35.0 17.5 8.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Davies relies on 7 pitches.
Sinker
(32.5%) ,
Changeup
(24.8%) ,
Four Seamer
(22.5%) ,
Cutter
(11.3%) ,
Curveball
(6.2%) ,
Slider
(1.9%) ,
Sweeper
(0.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 58.0 8.0 29.0 5.0 39.0 37.0 24.0 1.0 47.0 15.0 30.0 3.0 3.0 2.2
2016 47.3 18.7 27.2 6.8 38.4 38.8 22.9 3.4 33.2 23.9 26.8 3.2 5.2 3.8
2017 51.4 16.4 27.5 4.8 32.9 42.1 25.0 7.3 35.5 18.4 28.1 4.8 4.0 3.1
2018 48.3 19.0 26.3 6.3 40.5 43.4 16.1 4.9 35.6 19.0 25.9 9.8 3.9 2.9
2019 41.5 22.7 28.3 7.6 32.9 41.3 25.8 2.3 29.5 26.4 26.6 6.0 7.2 5.5
2020 43.3 24.7 23.7 8.2 37.6 38.7 23.7 5.7 29.4 24.7 25.8 3.6 10.3 7.2
2021 44.0 23.3 27.3 5.5 40.0 40.2 19.9 6.1 29.4 20.9 27.7 6.6 9.1 6.4
2022 43.7 29.2 20.5 6.5 37.9 38.4 23.7 6.8 29.0 26.6 24.4 4.8 8.0 5.8
2023 44.3 24.6 26.1 4.9 35.2 40.9 23.9 4.9 28.8 23.1 29.9 5.3 8.0 5.6
Player 46.1 21.4 26.3 6.2 36.5 40.4 23.1 5.1 32.0 22.6 27.1 5.2 6.5 4.8
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2023 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 337 89.3 20.1 -1.3 12.3ARM 4.3 14.4 -1.4 12.3ARM 4.9
2023 Curveball AZ R 93 77.1 55.5 -1.4 9.3GLV -1.0 -9.5 -0.4 9.3GLV 0.4
2023 Changeup AZ R 371 80.7 35.2 -0.9 14.7ARM 1.0 6.9 -1.5 14.7ARM 0.3
2023 Cutter AZ R 169 87.5 24.3 4.2 2.6ARM -5.0 11.4 3.5 2.6ARM -5.2
2023 Sinker AZ R 487 89.6 24.8 -1.6 16.5ARM 1.4 9.3 -1.7 16.5ARM 1.5
2023 Sweeper AZ R 12 78.7 44.0 0.4 14.9GLV -0.7 0.4 1.1 14.9GLV 0.8
2023 Slider AZ R 28 81.7 40.2 0.0 4.3GLV -4.2 0.7 0.8 4.3GLV -1.0
2022 Curveball AZ R 133 74.7 62.3 1.2 10.7GLV -0.3 -12.8 2.9 10.7GLV 1.6
2022 Sinker AZ R 1136 89.5 21.8 -3.4 14.9ARM 0.0 12.4 -4.1 14.9ARM 0.1
2022 Cutter AZ R 129 87.6 22.5 4.7 4.7ARM -6.8 13.2 4.9 4.7ARM -7.4
2022 Changeup AZ R 762 79.7 34.6 -1.5 14.0ARM -0.4 8.6 -2.7 14.0ARM -0.2
2022 4-Seam Fastball AZ R 107 89.9 20.0 -2.6 13.9ARM 6.4 14.0 -2.2 13.9ARM 6.6
2022 Slider AZ R 24 76.0 52.3 5.9 16.0GLV 5.0 -4.5 6.3 16.0GLV 10.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sinker -1.9 -9 487 32.5 123 .381 .552 .449 9.6 9.8 12.9 .347 .518 .416 43.6
2023 Changeup -1.9 -7 371 24.8 117 .275 .477 .340 37.2 28.2 23.6 .256 .413 .309 37.7
2023 4-Seam Fastball -0.6 -2 337 22.5 77 .210 .355 .338 18.1 27.3 17.5 .214 .455 .356 52.4
2023 Cutter -0.1 0 169 11.3 34 .300 .300 .300 14.5 5.9 10.5 .263 .317 .285 27.6
2023 Curveball -0.7 -1 93 6.2 16 .188 .500 .338 20.0 12.5 25.0 .358 .594 .404 71.4
2023 Slider -3.8 -1 28 1.9 6 .333 .333 .300 50.0 33.3 20.0 .196 .257 .197 25.0
2023 Sweeper 0.7 0 12 0.8 4 .250 .500 .313 16.7 0.0 0.0 .464 .559 .450 25.0
2022 Sinker -0.8 -10 1,136 49.6 249 .268 .507 .384 10.8 16.9 13.3 .284 .531 .393 46.9
2022 Changeup 1.9 14 762 33.2 222 .187 .325 .261 32.2 20.7 20.4 .215 .341 .267 25.3
2022 Curveball -1.4 -2 133 5.8 29 .379 .414 .353 19.1 6.9 8.7 .293 .442 .319 22.2
2022 Cutter -1.9 -2 129 5.6 36 .250 .438 .338 16.3 8.3 20.0 .224 .361 .303 17.2
2022 4-Seam Fastball 0.4 0 107 4.7 31 .259 .296 .334 26.8 29.0 28.1 .237 .378 .320 50.0
2022 Slider -2.2 -1 24 1.0 3 .333 .333 .300 0.0 0.0 0.0 .302 .358 .294 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 364 80.7 99 16.5 2:15 2:15 0
2023 Curveball 91 77.1 63 15.6 7:45 7:15 30
2023 Cutter 164 87.5 66 11.0 1:15 12:30 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 332 89.3 95 18.7 1:45 1:30 15
2023 Sinker 484 89.6 95 19.3 1:30 2:15 -45
2023 Slider 28 81.7 23 5.5 10:00 8:30 90
2023 Sweeper 12 78.7 48 15.8 8:00 8:45 -45
2022 Changeup 759 79.7 99 16.4 2:15 2:15 0
2022 Curveball 132 74.7 75 19.6 7:15 7:15 0
2022 Cutter 129 87.6 75 13.3 1:15 12:45 30
2022 4-Seam Fastball 107 89.9 98 19.6 1:30 1:30 0
2022 Sinker 1,124 89.5 98 19.5 1:30 1:45 -15
2022 Slider 23 76.1 67 18.6 7:45 8:15 -30
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 139 539 5 2 -2 -2 3
2016 682 2,588 7 12 -13 -7 0
2017 812 3,083 -2 44 -30 -12 -1
2018 281 1,141 4 11 -9 -6 0
2019 672 2,678 17 30 -29 -9 8
2020 311 1,183 4 12 -5 -2 9
2021 666 2,577 -11 15 -30 -12 -37
2022 570 2,291 1 23 -18 -6 0
2023 377 1,497 0 -3 -11 -6 -21
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 539 42.3 60.5 79.0 28.3 64.8 43.2 60.4 41.9 26.1 4.6 56.0
2016 2,588 45.1 61.4 83.5 30.7 71.1 46.4 61.7 44.6 20.3 4.9 73.0
2017 3,089 46.6 64.8 85.5 24.7 70.3 45.1 57.3 43.4 18.3 6.3 79.3
2018 1,124 44.0 65.9 85.3 26.1 65.9 44.7 58.2 43.6 20.6 7.4 71.1
2019 2,680 40.7 66.9 87.7 27.8 72.4 46.9 53.6 43.7 17.3 3.7 79.6
2020 1,055 42.7 62.2 82.5 26.4 59.4 46.0 56.2 41.7 25.5 4.6 71.4
2021 2,577 42.4 66.8 84.7 25.9 62.0 47.3 52.4 43.2 22.3 4.3 84.5
2022 2,292 44.8 64.0 83.3 24.5 67.4 48.4 55.8 42.2 21.5 5.0 85.1
2023 1,498 43.7 61.2 86.8 24.1 59.6 47.4 56.5 40.3 22.0 4.1 72.6
Player 17,442 43.8 64.2 84.8 26.5 67.2 46.5 56.5 43.0 20.6 4.9 77.4
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 10 15 48
2016 69 58 64 69 75 27 66 74 89 40 86 26 73 12 15 66 55
2017 26 7 33 66 18 24 86 76 67 11 77 10 20 10 24 70 48
2018 29 12 32 54 22 83 92 44 16 17 61 18 27 12 46 76 35
2019 22 12 22 30 31 9 45 47 75 5 59 2 34 3 46 67 22
2020 25 23 17 21 46 1 14 64 53 48 72 41 38 5 11 29
2021 3 3 8 21 1 5 28 25 16 10 16 20 28 3 10 49 34
2022 21 33 18 15 32 16 36 75 76 18 32 18 7 5 17 65 21
2023 10 8 20 40 7 42 49 30 24 21 23 20 7 5 28 72 22
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.7 20 16.8 3 9 14 7 35.0
2017 22.1 20 13.9 6 13 12 4 20.0
2018 22.1 8 5.0 3 4 3 3 37.5
2019 23.4 20 20.0 0 12 18 6 30.0
2020 23.9 11 11.8 -1 5 5 8 72.7
2021 23.3 25 21.1 4 14 16 8 32.0
2022 22.8 21 18.4 3 8 12 9 42.9
2023 23.3 10 10.5 -1 6 6 4 40.0
Player 23.0 135 117.6 17 71 86 49 36.3
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 20 20 14 18 16 13 15 18 13 12 14 21 21 14 14 19 9 14 19 18 19 15 25 23 16 14 18 22 21 17 12
2017 20 12 12 14 15 12 18 10 8 11 12 20 15 14 12 15 12 12 15 10 17 15 19 20 15 13 11 18 16 14 9
2018 8 6 5 5 4 4 5 5 3 5 4 7 6 4 4 6 4 4 7 6 6 5 6 7 5 4 4 6 6 4 4
2019 20 27 20 20 21 18 24 18 15 13 15 26 21 19 19 21 15 15 23 25 20 27 24 24 19 16 17 24 25 17 13
2020 11 11 10 16 11 15 13 12 10 10 9 11 13 10 13 13 13 13 11 12 13 11 16 12 11 10 12 11 12 10 10
2021 25 25 21 20 19 19 24 21 13 14 15 21 21 18 21 26 19 20 26 20 23 31 25 26 19 20 24 20 24 19 20
2022 21 14 15 18 19 18 20 14 13 16 17 20 22 19 18 20 18 19 19 19 21 20 22 19 15 16 19 23 21 19 19
2023 10 11 9 10 10 10 10 11 10 9 9 11 11 8 12 11 12 10 12 10 10 11 14 14 9 10 11 10 13 10 7
Player 135 126 106 121 115 109 129 109 85 90 95 137 130 106 113 131 102 107 132 120 129 135 151 145 109 103 116 134 138 110 94
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.1 89.1 0.0 89.1 0.0 89.4 0.3 88.1 -1.3 88.1 0.0 87.8 -0.3 89.4 1.6 89.1 -0.3
Offspeed Velocity 78.8 79.1 0.3 79.4 0.3 80.4 1.0 80.0 -0.4 79.4 -0.6 78.5 -0.9 79.7 1.2 80.7 1.0
Breaking Velocity 71.9 72.8 0.9 73.4 0.6 76.1 2.7 76.4 0.3 74.5 -1.9 74.7 0.2 74.9 0.2 78.2 3.3
Exit Velocity 87.0 87.6 0.6 86.2 -1.4 88.5 2.3 88.7 0.2 87.5 -1.2 89.8 2.3 87.4 -2.4 89.7 2.3
Launch Angle 5.9 11.4 5.5 7.4 -4.0 8.7 1.3 13.8 5.1 14.6 0.8 11.0 -3.6 13.0 2.0 11.0 -2.0
Barrel % 3.0 5.2 2.2 4.0 -1.2 3.9 -0.1 7.2 3.3 10.3 3.1 9.1 -1.2 8.0 -1.1 8.0 0.0
Hard Hit % 29.0 28.6 -0.4 31.1 2.5 39.5 8.4 33.3 -6.2 36.6 3.3 43.3 6.7 34.5 -8.8 42.4 7.9
LA Sweet-Spot % 27.0 31.2 4.2 34.0 2.8 33.7 -0.3 37.0 3.3 36.1 -0.9 36.2 0.1 31.6 -4.6 35.2 3.6
xBA .249 .242 -0.007 .287 0.045 .269 -0.018 .276 0.007 .269 -0.007 .293 0.024 .250 -0.043 .284 0.034
BA .211 .263 0.052 .275 0.012 .269 -0.006 .256 -0.013 .216 -0.040 .281 0.065 .241 -0.040 .295 0.054
xwOBA .305 .294 -0.011 .336 0.042 .327 -0.009 .339 0.012 .344 0.005 .375 0.031 .329 -0.046 .355 0.026
wOBA .277 .313 0.036 .323 0.010 .326 0.003 .309 -0.017 .273 -0.036 .366 0.093 .315 -0.051 .360 0.045
xSLG .344 .376 0.032 .430 0.054 .414 -0.016 .464 0.050 .476 0.012 .487 0.011 .430 -0.057 .453 0.023
SLG .317 .418 0.101 .424 0.006 .438 0.014 .416 -0.022 .361 -0.055 .485 0.124 .412 -0.073 .461 0.049
K% 17.3 19.8 2.5 15.2 -4.6 17.5 2.3 15.2 -2.3 22.8 7.6 17.1 -5.7 17.9 0.8 19.1 1.2
BB% 10.8 5.6 -5.2 6.7 1.1 7.5 0.8 7.6 0.1 6.9 -0.7 11.2 4.3 9.1 -2.1 10.3 1.2
Swing % 41.9 44.6 2.7 43.4 -1.2 43.6 0.2 43.7 0.1 41.7 -2.0 43.2 1.5 42.2 -1.0 40.3 -1.9
Whiff% 26.1 20.3 -5.8 18.3 -2.0 20.6 2.3 17.3 -3.3 25.5 8.2 22.3 -3.2 21.5 -0.8 22.0 0.5
In Zone % 42.3 45.1 2.8 46.6 1.5 44.0 -2.6 40.7 -3.3 42.7 2.0 42.4 -0.3 44.8 2.4 43.7 -1.1
Out of Zone % 57.7 54.9 -2.8 53.4 -1.5 56.0 2.6 59.3 3.3 57.3 -2.0 57.6 0.3 55.2 -2.4 56.3 1.1
Out of Zone Swing % 28.3 30.7 2.4 24.7 -6.0 26.1 1.4 27.8 1.7 26.4 -1.4 25.9 -0.5 24.5 -1.4 24.1 -0.4
First Pitch Swing % 26.6 24.5 -2.1 24.0 -0.5 23.6 -0.4 23.8 0.2 23.9 0.1 21.9 -2.0 22.1 0.2 19.9 -2.2
First Pitch Strike % 60.4 61.7 1.3 57.3 -4.4 58.2 0.9 53.6 -4.6 56.2 2.6 52.4 -3.8 55.8 3.4 56.5 0.7
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 656 .314 344 60 17.4 312 121 38.8
2017 Shifts 812 .323 410 99 24.1 402 165 41.0
2018 Shifts 277 .326 146 22 15.1 131 43 32.8
2019 Shifts 672 .309 332 105 31.6 340 209 61.5
2020 Shifts 276 .273 152 7 4.6 124 63 50.8
2021 Shifts 666 .366 375 61 16.3 291 196 67.4
2022 Shifts 570 .315 317 40 12.6 253 134 53.0
2023 Shades 377 .360 174 4 2.3 203 112 55.2
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2015 203 14.3 55.2% 1.5% 73 23.5 5.5% 16.4%
2016 863 15.1 49.7% 1.5% 395 23.8 1.3% 14.2%
2017 991 14.7 54.1% 1.0% 528 23.1 0.6% 10.8%
2018 384 15.1 49.2% 0.8% 172 23.6 0.0% 9.9%
2019 898 14.9 50.7% 0.7% 430 22.8 0.0% 5.6%
2020 423 16.2 31.2% 1.2% 132 23.2 0.0% 4.5%
2021 777 15.4 43.5% 0.6% 486 23.6 0.0% 8.2%
2022 789 16.1 30.0% 1.0% 357 23.4 0.0% 6.7%
2023 465 14.6 60.6% 0.2% 302 19.9 0.3% 0.3%

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Pitch Distribution