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Zach Davies
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 28

Draft: 2011 | Rd: 26, #785, Baltimore Orioles | Mesquite (AZ) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 1 2 8.80 4 4 0 15.1 10 2.09
7 Seasons 51 38 3.90 126 126 0 695.0 505 1.29
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 4 1-2 8.80 15.1 10 2.09
7 Seasons 126 51-38 3.90 695.0 505 1.29

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 539 100 3 3 87 106.4 5.9 27 .249 .344 .277 .306 .322 29 17.3 10.8 3.71 4.02
2016 2588 503 26 5.2 87.6 111.8 11.4 31.2 .235 .364 .313 .285 .326 29.6 19.8 5.6 3.97 3.50
2017 3089 629 25 4 86.2 111.1 7.4 34 .285 .426 .323 .333 .364 31.1 15.2 6.7 3.90 4.90
2018 1124 205 8 3.9 88.5 111.9 8.7 33.7 .267 .411 .326 .325 .363 39.5 17.6 7.5 4.77 4.54
2019 2680 516 37 7.2 88.7 113.8 13.8 37 .274 .462 .309 .337 .368 33.3 15.2 7.6 3.55 5.20
2020 1055 194 20 10.3 87.5 111.3 14.6 36.1 .268 .474 .273 .343 .420 36.6 22.8 6.9 2.73 5.13
2021 222 42 3 7.1 88 112.1 8.8 28.6 .302 .462 .391 .379 .385 38.1 13.6 15.3 10.32 5.60
11297 2189 122 5.6 87.5 113.8 10.5 33.8 .266 .420 .313 .323 .360 32.6 17.3 7.1
6.4 88.3 122.2 11.9 32.8 .243 .403 .318 .313 .362 35.1 21.9 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Davies relies on 4 pitches.
Sinker
(48.6%) ,
Changeup
(36.5%) ,
Curveball
(7.7%) ,
Cutter
(7.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Ext. Whiff% PutAway%
2021 Sinker 108 65 43 48.6 87.2 26 20 8 5 3 0 0 0 20 .400 .326 .550 .555 .476 .445 91.1 16 2011 6.1 0.0 0.0
2021 Changeup 81 25 56 36.5 77.2 25 22 6 5 1 0 0 7 15 .273 .272 .318 .322 .311 .307 83.6 4 1643 6.1 32.7 25.0
2021 Curveball 17 8 9 7.7 72.8 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 .000 .329 .000 .367 .000 .306 67.0 -12 2440 5.9 16.7
2021 Cutter 16 4 12 7.2 86.0 5 5 2 1 0 0 1 1 4 .400 .327 1.000 .760 .591 .446 90.7 10 2090 6.0 0.0 20.0
2020 Sinker 445 262 183 42.2 88.4 100 87 23 17 3 0 3 19 69 .264 .288 .402 .521 .330 .391 89.0 9 2056 6.1 10.2 23.5
2020 Changeup 436 254 182 41.3 79.4 142 136 24 14 4 1 5 41 96 .176 .254 .331 .438 .229 .308 83.1 13 1728 6.1 35.9 27.2
2020 Cutter 144 64 80 13.6 86.9 33 31 8 6 1 0 1 3 28 .258 .260 .387 .453 .300 .328 88.4 29 2192 6.1 10.4 10.3
2020 Curveball 30 16 14 2.8 74.5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .647 .000 1.993 .000 1.056 101.3 25 2509 6.0 25.0 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 58 8 29 5 39 37 24 1 47 15 30 3 3
2016 47.3 18.7 27.2 6.8 38.4 38.8 22.9 3.4 33.2 23.9 26.8 3.2 5.2
2017 51.4 16.4 27.5 4.8 32.9 42.1 25 7.3 35.5 18.4 28.1 4.8 4
2018 48.3 19 26.3 6.3 40.5 43.4 16.1 4.9 35.6 19 25.9 9.8 3.9
2019 41.5 22.7 28.3 7.6 32.9 41.3 25.8 2.3 29.5 26.4 26.6 6 7.2
2020 43.3 20.6 27.8 8.2 37.6 38.7 23.7 5.7 29.4 24.7 25.8 3.6 10.3
2021 50 21.4 21.4 7.1 38.1 33.3 28.6 9.5 26.2 21.4 33.3 2.4 7.1
47.4 18.7 27.5 6.4 35.7 40.6 23.8 4.6 33.3 22.1 27.2 4.9 5.6
45.2 22 25.6 7.1 36.6 37.9 25.5 3.6 33.5 24.3 24.5 5.6 6.4

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 Changeup CHC R 81 77.2 37.7 -0.6 -2 14 -0.8 -6
2021 Sinker CHC R 108 87.2 22 -2 -8 14.3 0 0
2021 Cutter CHC R 16 86 23 7.4 24 5.5 -8.5 -281
2021 Curveball CHC R 17 72.8 62 -2.3 -4 9.1 -3.2 -26
2020 Sinker SD R 445 88.4 22.4 -3.1 -12 14.5 -0.2 -1
2020 Cutter SD R 144 86.9 22.4 6 21 5.1 -7.5 -316
2020 Changeup SD R 436 79.4 35.2 -0.4 -1 14.4 0.5 4
2020 Curveball SD R 30 74.5 60.8 -0.2 0 9.6 -1.1 -10
2019 Cutter MIL R 317 87 24.1 5.1 18 4.6 -7 -293
2019 Changeup MIL R 838 80 35.3 0.3 1 15.3 0.9 6
2019 Sinker MIL R 1408 88.4 22.8 -2.8 -11 16.1 1.5 10
2019 Curveball MIL R 95 75.5 59.3 -0.9 -1 8.7 -2 -19
2019 Slider MIL R 20 80.4 43.3 0.1 0 5.3 -4.1 -43
2018 Sinker MIL R 637 89.8 23.9 -1.1 -5 17.3 2.6 18
2018 Changeup MIL R 138 80.4 35.5 0.3 1 15.5 1.7 12
2018 Cutter MIL R 147 87.5 24.9 3 11 1 -3.1 -148
2018 Slider MIL R 17 82.1 42.2 1.2 3 5.2 -1.9 -26
2018 Curveball MIL R 183 75.5 63.7 3.7 6 10 -0.9 -8
2017 Cutter MIL R 392 86.5 26.3 1.8 7 0.6 -1.5 -70
2017 Sinker MIL R 1777 89.7 22.9 -0.9 -4 16.9 1.9 13
2017 Changeup MIL R 429 79.4 34.5 1 3 16.1 3.3 25
2017 Curveball MIL R 475 73.4 65.2 4.1 7 10.1 -1.4 -12
2016 Curveball MIL R 270 72.8 65.7 4.2 7 8.4 -1.8 -18
2016 Cutter MIL R 318 86 26.8 1.4 5 1 -1.9 -196
2016 Changeup MIL R 522 79 34.4 0.2 0 16.3 2.9 22
2016 Sinker MIL R 1412 89.8 20.4 -1.9 -9 15.8 0.9 6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Curveball -2.8 0 17 7.7 3 0 0 0 16.7 0 .329 .367 .306 0
2021 Cutter 7.5 1 16 7.2 5 .4 1 .58 0 20 20 .327 .76 .446 25
2021 Changeup 2.1 2 81 36.5 25 .273 .318 .314 32.7 28 25 .272 .322 .308 20
2021 Sinker 5 5 108 48.6 26 .4 .55 .479 0 0 0 .326 .555 .447 60
2020 Curveball -0.1 0 30 2.8 1 0 0 0 25 0 0 .647 1.993 1.056 100
2020 Cutter 0.5 1 144 13.6 33 .258 .387 .332 10.4 9.1 10.3 .26 .453 .328 35.7
2020 Sinker -0.1 0 445 42.2 100 .264 .402 .335 10.2 19 23.5 .288 .521 .391 46.4
2020 Changeup -2.9 -12 436 41.3 142 .176 .331 .232 35.9 28.9 27.2 .254 .438 .308 29.2
2019 Slider 3 1 20 0.7 2 .5 .5 .45 20 50 12.5 .48 .558 .448 0
2019 Curveball 2.7 3 95 3.5 14 .429 .786 .579 7.4 0 0 .384 .675 .441 35.7
2019 Cutter 0.3 1 317 11.8 66 .226 .453 .379 9 13.6 11 .254 .482 .366 30.4
2019 Changeup -2.3 -19 838 31.3 256 .206 .311 .253 28.7 16.8 16.7 .262 .406 .303 26.1
2019 Sinker 0.2 3 1408 52.5 334 .291 .475 .366 9.2 14.7 12.6 .281 .492 .356 39.5
2018 Slider 8.1 1 17 1.5 2 1 1 .9 50 0 0 .666 .749 .631 0
2018 Cutter 2.7 4 147 13.1 37 .313 .625 .459 18.6 18.9 16.3 .28 .609 .417 40
2018 Changeup 1.2 2 138 12.3 40 .297 .486 .345 41.7 30 22.2 .244 .442 .311 30.8
2018 Curveball -2 -4 183 16.3 50 .224 .449 .278 22.6 14 15.2 .252 .359 .26 34.9
2018 Sinker -0.4 -3 637 56.7 147 .256 .364 .307 13.3 15.6 13.5 .271 .368 .324 44
2018 N/A 1 0.1
2017 Cutter -1.2 -5 392 12.7 119 .232 .402 .296 14.4 13.4 18.8 .277 .439 .328 33.3
2017 Changeup 1.2 5 429 13.9 126 .311 .445 .348 32.2 23.8 19 .299 .44 .334 27.5
2017 Curveball -0.2 -1 475 15.4 132 .248 .481 .322 30 24.2 20.9 .234 .367 .265 21.6
2017 Sinker 0.1 1 1777 57.5 433 .285 .404 .352 8.1 10.6 11.2 .301 .441 .358 34.2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 424 79.4 99 16.6 2:15 2:15 0
2020 Curveball 29 74.5 70 17.5 7:30 7:15 15
2020 Cutter 135 86.9 80 14 1:15 12:45 30
2020 Sinker 424 88.5 98 19.3 1:30 1:45 -15
2021 Changeup 81 77.2 98 16 2:30 2:15 15
2021 Curveball 17 72.8 73 16.4 7:30 7:15 15
2021 Cutter 16 86 79 14.2 1:15 12:45 30
2021 Sinker 107 87.2 99 19.8 1:30 1:45 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 139 533 -5 -2 2 2 -3
2016 661 2524 -7 -14 13 8 0
2017 812 3083 1 -44 31 12 0
2018 280 1141 -4 -11 9 6 0
2019 672 2678 -17 -32 28 9 -12
2020 311 1183 -4 -12 5 2 -8
2021 59 222 0 4 4 0 8
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 539 42.4 61.1 79 27.7 64.7 43 60.4 41.9 25.2 4.7 56
2016 2588 45.1 61.4 83.4 30.7 71.3 46.3 61.7 44.6 19.9 4.8 72.1
2017 3089 46.6 64.9 85.5 24.7 70.3 45.1 57.3 43.4 17.7 6.2 79.2
2018 1124 44.2 65.8 85.3 26 65.6 44.6 58.4 43.6 20.4 7.5 71.4
2019 2680 40.8 66.8 87.7 27.8 72.3 46.9 53.6 43.7 17.3 3.7 79.8
2020 1055 42.7 62.2 82.5 26.4 59.4 46.1 56.2 41.7 25.5 4.6 71.4
2021 222 45.5 70.3 88.7 24 65.5 45.5 57.6 45 18 5 81.8
11297 44 64.3 85 27.2 69.2 45.7 57.6 43.6 19.4 5.2 75.1
48.4 66.6 82.2 28.4 58.9 42.6 60.6 46.9 24.4 7.2 75.7

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 11 17 69
2016 76 62 67 71 79 27 66 73 87 40 86 24 76 9 21 69
2017 26 7 33 66 18 24 85 75 67 11 77 8 26 10 30 73
2018 28 12 32 54 22 82 91 44 15 17 61 18 28 10 48 79
2019 21 12 20 30 29 9 45 47 75 5 59 2 21 4 48 70
2020 25 22 17 20 45 1 14 64 53 48 72 42 25 5 13 51
2021 22 15 36 56 10 30 53 62 55 7 14 9 22
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 23.4 20 21.2 -1 13 19 7 35
2020 23.9 11 12.8 -2 6 6 8 72.7
2021 24.7 1 0.1 1 3 0 0 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 20 20 26 20 28 18 19 26 21 26 26 23 12 20 20 27 16 21 15 24 15 15 17 24 19 27 22 19 27 16 26
2020 11 17 13 14 16 11 13 13 11 11 17 14 10 10 11 15 10 13 13 12 8 13 14 12 14 12 15 12 12 13 15
2021 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.1 89.1 0 89.1 0 89.4 0.3 88.1 -1.3 88.1 0 87.1 -1
Offspeed Velocity 78.8 79 0.2 79.4 0.4 80.4 1 80 -0.4 79.4 -0.6 77.2 -2.2
Breaking Velocity 71.9 72.8 0.9 73.4 0.6 76.1 2.7 76.4 0.3 74.5 -1.9 72.8 -1.7
Exit Velocity 87 87.6 0.6 86.2 -1.4 88.5 2.3 88.7 0.2 87.5 -1.2 88 0.5
Launch Angle 5.9 11.4 5.5 7.4 -4 8.7 1.3 13.8 5.1 14.6 0.8 8.8 -5.8
Barrel % 3 5.2 2.2 4 -1.2 3.9 -0.1 7.2 3.3 10.3 3.1 7.1 -3.2
Hard Hit % 29 29.6 0.6 31.1 1.5 39.5 8.4 33.3 -6.2 36.6 3.3 38.1 1.5
Sweet Spot % 27 31.2 4.2 34 2.8 33.7 -0.3 37 3.3 36.1 -0.9 28.6 -7.5
xBA .249 .235 -0.014 .285 0.05 .267 -0.018 .274 0.007 .268 -0.006 .302 0.034
BA .211 .263 0.052 .275 0.012 .269 -0.006 .256 -0.013 .216 -0.04 .32 0.104
xwOBA .306 .285 -0.021 .333 0.048 .325 -0.008 .337 0.012 .343 0.006 .379 0.036
wOBA .277 .313 0.036 .323 0.01 .326 0.003 .309 -0.017 .273 -0.036 .391 0.118
xSLG .344 .364 0.02 .426 0.062 .411 -0.015 .462 0.051 .474 0.012 .462 -0.012
SLG .317 .418 0.101 .424 0.006 .438 0.014 .416 -0.022 .361 -0.055 .46 0.099
K% 17.3 19.8 2.5 15.2 -4.6 17.6 2.4 15.2 -2.4 22.8 7.6 13.6 -9.2
BB% 10.8 5.6 -5.2 6.7 1.1 7.5 0.8 7.6 0.1 6.9 -0.7 15.3 8.4
Swing % 41.9 44.6 2.7 43.4 -1.2 43.6 0.2 43.7 0.1 41.7 -2 45 3.3
Whiff% 25.2 19.9 -5.3 17.7 -2.2 20.4 2.7 17.3 -3.1 25.5 8.2 18 -7.5
In Zone % 42.4 45.1 2.7 46.6 1.5 44.2 -2.4 40.8 -3.4 42.7 1.9 45.5 2.8
Out of Zone % 57.6 54.9 -2.7 53.4 -1.5 55.8 2.4 59.2 3.4 57.3 -1.9 54.5 -2.8
Out of Zone Swing % 27.7 30.7 3 24.7 -6 26 1.3 27.8 1.8 26.4 -1.4 24 -2.4
First Pitch Swing % 26.6 24.5 -2.1 24 -0.5 23.7 -0.3 23.8 0.1 23.9 0.1 20.3 -3.6
First Pitch Strike % 60.4 61.7 1.3 57.3 -4.4 58.4 1.1 53.6 -4.8 56.2 2.6 57.6 1.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 656 .314 344 60 17.4 312 121 38.8
2017 812 .323 410 99 24.1 402 166 41.3
2018 276 .326 145 22 15.2 131 43 32.8
2019 672 .309 332 105 31.6 340 209 61.5
2020 276 .273 152 7 4.6 124 63 50.8
2021 59 .391 28 8 28.6 31 20 64.5

Pitch Distribution