Zach Davies
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 29

Draft: 2011 | Rd: 26, #785, Baltimore Orioles | Mesquite (AZ) HS
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 2 4 3.96 14 14 0 75.0 60 1.20
8 Seasons 58 52 4.13 169 169 0 906.2 671 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 14 2-4 3.96 75.0 60 1.20
8 Seasons 169 58-52 4.13 906.2 671 1.32

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 22 539 100 3 3 2.2 87.0 106.4 5.9 27.0 .249 .344 .277 .306 .322 29.0 17.3 10.8 3.71 3.85
2016 23 2588 503 26 5.2 3.8 87.6 111.8 11.4 31.2 .242 .376 .313 .294 .339 28.6 19.8 5.6 3.97 3.61
2017 24 3089 629 25 4 3.1 86.2 111.1 7.4 34.0 .287 .430 .323 .336 .368 31.1 15.2 6.7 3.90 4.93
2018 25 1124 205 8 3.9 2.9 88.5 111.9 8.7 33.7 .270 .415 .326 .327 .367 39.5 17.5 7.5 4.77 4.57
2019 26 2680 516 37 7.2 5.5 88.7 113.8 13.8 37.0 .276 .464 .309 .339 .371 33.3 15.2 7.6 3.55 5.16
2020 27 1055 194 20 10.3 7.2 87.5 111.3 14.6 36.1 .269 .476 .273 .344 .422 36.6 22.8 6.9 2.73 5.13
2021 28 2577 473 43 9.1 6.4 89.8 112.2 11.0 36.2 .294 .487 .366 .376 .414 43.3 17.1 11.2 5.78 6.31
2022 29 1242 223 16 7.2 5.2 86.2 112.5 13.7 28.3 .247 .433 .301 .317 .357 31.4 19.4 8.1 3.96 3.70
Player 14894 2843 178 6.3 4.6 87.8 113.8 10.9 33.8 .271 .435 .320 .333 .372 34.0 17.5 7.8
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.1 32.9 .246 .410 .317 .317 .370 35.7 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Davies relies on 5 pitches.
Sinker
(48.9%) ,
Changeup
(35.8%) ,
Cutter
(8.1%) ,
Curveball
(7%) ,
Slider
(0.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 58.0 8.0 29.0 5.0 39.0 37.0 24.0 1.0 47.0 15.0 30.0 3.0 3.0 2.2
2016 47.3 18.7 27.2 6.8 38.4 38.8 22.9 3.4 33.2 23.9 26.8 3.2 5.2 3.8
2017 51.4 16.4 27.5 4.8 32.9 42.1 25.0 7.3 35.5 18.4 28.1 4.8 4.0 3.1
2018 48.3 19.0 26.3 6.3 40.5 43.4 16.1 4.9 35.6 19.0 25.9 9.8 3.9 2.9
2019 41.5 22.7 28.3 7.6 32.9 41.3 25.8 2.3 29.5 26.4 26.6 6.0 7.2 5.5
2020 43.3 24.7 23.7 8.2 37.6 38.7 23.7 5.7 29.4 24.7 25.8 3.6 10.3 7.2
2021 44.0 23.3 27.3 5.5 40.0 40.2 19.9 6.1 29.4 20.9 27.7 6.6 9.1 6.4
2022 43.5 28.3 19.7 8.5 37.2 36.8 26.0 7.6 30.0 29.1 22.9 3.1 7.2 5.2
Player 46.5 20.5 26.7 6.4 36.5 40.3 23.2 5.0 32.5 22.4 26.9 5.1 6.3 4.6
MLB 45.0 22.9 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.1 24.5 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Slider ARI R 2 77.5 47.1 2.6 6 11.8 -1.4 -11
2022 Sinker ARI R 607 89.2 22.4 -3.0 -12 15.5 0.3 2
2022 Changeup ARI R 445 79.3 35.3 -1.2 -3 14.3 -0.3 -2
2022 Curveball ARI R 87 74.8 61.6 0.9 1 11.1 -0.1 -1
2022 Cutter ARI R 101 87.5 22.3 5.3 19 5.0 -7.5 -303
2021 Changeup CHC R 837 78.5 36.4 -0.4 -1 14.0 -0.2 -2
2021 Curveball CHC R 178 74.2 59.8 -1.0 -2 9.6 -1.3 -12
2021 Slider CHC R 16 80.0 43.3 0.7 2 4.2 -6.4 -60
2021 Sinker CHC R 1,352 88.0 22.6 -2.6 -10 14.5 0.1 1
2021 Cutter CHC R 194 86.6 23.6 5.6 19 4.8 -7.2 -302
2020 Curveball SD R 30 74.5 60.8 -0.2 0 9.6 -1.1 -10
2020 Cutter SD R 148 86.9 22.4 6.2 22 5.2 -7.6 -318
2020 Sinker SD R 441 88.5 22.4 -3.1 -12 14.5 -0.1 -1
2020 Changeup SD R 436 79.4 35.2 -0.4 -1 14.4 0.5 4
2019 Changeup MIL R 838 80.0 35.3 0.3 1 15.3 0.9 6
2019 Curveball MIL R 95 75.5 59.3 -0.9 -2 8.7 -2.0 -19
2019 Slider MIL R 20 80.4 43.3 0.0 0 5.3 -4.1 -43
2019 Sinker MIL R 1,408 88.4 22.8 -2.8 -11 16.1 1.5 10
2019 Cutter MIL R 317 87.0 24.1 5.2 18 4.6 -7.0 -293
2018 Changeup MIL R 138 80.4 35.5 0.3 1 15.5 1.7 12
2018 Slider MIL R 17 82.1 42.2 1.1 3 5.2 -1.9 -26
2018 Curveball MIL R 183 75.5 63.7 3.7 6 10.0 -0.9 -8
2018 Sinker MIL R 637 89.8 23.9 -1.2 -5 17.3 2.6 17
2018 Cutter MIL R 147 87.5 24.9 3.0 11 1.0 -3.1 -148
2017 Curveball MIL R 475 73.4 65.2 4.1 7 10.1 -1.4 -12
2017 Changeup MIL R 429 79.4 34.5 1.0 3 16.1 3.3 25
2017 Cutter MIL R 392 86.5 26.3 2.0 7 0.6 -1.4 -69
2017 Sinker MIL R 1,777 89.7 22.9 -0.9 -4 16.9 1.9 13
2016 Changeup MIL R 521 79.0 34.5 0.2 1 16.3 2.9 22
2016 Sinker MIL R 1,414 89.8 20.4 -1.9 -9 15.8 0.9 6
2016 Curveball MIL R 270 72.8 65.7 4.2 7 8.4 -1.8 -18
2016 Cutter MIL R 318 86.0 26.8 1.4 5 1.0 -1.9 -197
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 Sinker 0.3 2 607 48.9 133 .252 .445 .341 8.9 18.0 15.6 .280 .542 .375 45.8
2022 Changeup -1.4 -6 445 35.8 126 .186 .336 .269 34.7 24.6 22.8 .220 .359 .275 25.9
2022 Cutter 0.1 0 101 8.1 33 .207 .345 .292 20.0 9.1 20.0 .207 .358 .294 11.5
2022 Curveball 2.9 3 87 7.0 18 .444 .444 .400 16.1 11.1 10.0 .257 .296 .239 6.3
2022 Slider 5.9 0 2 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2021 Sinker 1.4 18 1,352 52.5 318 .305 .500 .407 9.8 10.7 12.7 .331 .565 .434 55.0
2021 Changeup 1.6 13 837 32.5 256 .258 .472 .343 36.5 26.2 23.1 .247 .392 .303 32.7
2021 Cutter 1.5 3 194 7.5 51 .238 .524 .365 6.1 13.7 14.9 .313 .588 .439 32.4
2021 Curveball 1.1 2 178 6.9 39 .289 .421 .318 20.3 15.4 21.4 .294 .416 .315 31.3
2021 Slider 3.0 0 16 0.6 2 .500 .500 .450 33.3 0.0 0.0 .418 .507 .393 0.0
2020 Sinker -0.1 0 441 41.8 100 .264 .402 .338 10.2 19.0 23.5 .291 .527 .395 46.4
2020 Changeup -2.9 -13 436 41.3 142 .176 .331 .232 35.9 28.9 27.2 .254 .437 .307 29.2
2020 Cutter 0.4 1 148 14.0 33 .258 .387 .332 10.4 9.1 10.3 .260 .453 .328 35.7
2020 Curveball -0.1 0 30 2.8 1 .000 .000 .000 25.0 0.0 0.0 .647 1.993 1.056 100.0
2019 Sinker 0.4 6 1,408 52.5 334 .291 .475 .372 9.2 14.7 12.6 .284 .496 .359 39.5
2019 Changeup -2.0 -17 838 31.3 256 .206 .311 .261 28.7 16.8 16.7 .263 .408 .304 26.1
2019 Cutter 0.3 1 317 11.8 66 .226 .453 .379 9.0 13.6 11.0 .254 .482 .366 30.4
2019 Curveball 2.7 3 95 3.5 14 .429 .786 .579 7.4 0.0 0.0 .384 .676 .441 35.7
2019 Slider 3.0 1 20 0.7 2 .500 .500 .450 20.0 50.0 12.5 .480 .558 .448 0.0
2018 Sinker -0.5 -3 637 56.7 148 .256 .364 .302 13.3 15.5 13.5 .275 .374 .331 44.0
2018 Curveball -1.6 -3 183 16.3 50 .224 .449 .296 22.6 14.0 15.2 .252 .359 .261 34.9
2018 Cutter 2.6 4 147 13.1 37 .313 .625 .459 18.6 18.9 16.3 .280 .609 .417 40.0
2018 Changeup 1.1 1 138 12.3 40 .297 .486 .345 41.7 30.0 22.2 .244 .442 .311 30.8
2018 Slider 8.2 1 17 1.5 2 1.000 1.000 .900 50.0 0.0 0.0 .666 .749 .631 0.0
2017 Sinker 0.0 1 1,777 57.5 433 .285 .404 .353 8.1 10.6 11.2 .304 .445 .361 34.2
2017 Curveball -0.2 -1 475 15.4 132 .248 .481 .322 30.0 24.2 20.9 .234 .367 .265 21.6
2017 Changeup 1.4 6 429 13.9 126 .311 .445 .355 32.2 23.8 19.0 .299 .440 .334 27.5
2017 Cutter -1.3 -5 392 12.7 119 .232 .402 .291 14.4 13.4 18.8 .279 .442 .330 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 424 79.4 99 16.6 2:15 2:15 0
2020 Curveball 29 74.5 70 17.5 7:30 7:15 15
2020 Cutter 139 86.9 80 14.1 1:15 12:45 30
2020 Sinker 419 88.5 98 19.3 1:30 1:45 -15
2021 Changeup 834 78.5 98 16.0 2:30 2:15 15
2021 Curveball 178 74.2 67 16.4 7:30 7:15 15
2021 Cutter 193 86.6 78 12.9 1:15 12:45 30
2021 Sinker 1,345 88.0 99 19.3 1:30 1:45 -15
2021 Slider 16 80.0 29 6.0 9:15 8:15 60
2022 Changeup 442 79.3 99 16.6 2:15 2:15 0
2022 Curveball 86 74.8 75 19.4 7:30 7:15 15
2022 Cutter 101 87.5 76 13.7 1:15 12:45 30
2022 Sinker 600 89.2 98 19.8 1:30 1:45 -15
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 139 539 -5 -2 2 2 -3
2016 682 2,588 -7 -13 13 7 0
2017 812 3,083 2 -44 31 12 0
2018 281 1,141 -5 -11 9 6 0
2019 672 2,678 -16 -29 29 9 -8
2020 311 1,183 -4 -12 5 2 -9
2021 666 2,577 10 -15 30 12 37
2022 310 1,241 -2 -12 9 3 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 539 42.7 60.9 78.6 27.8 65.1 43.2 60.4 41.9 25.2 4.6 56.0
2016 2,588 45.1 61.1 83.6 30.9 71.1 46.3 61.7 44.6 19.9 4.9 73.0
2017 3,089 46.6 64.9 85.5 24.7 70.3 45.1 57.3 43.4 17.7 6.2 79.2
2018 1,124 44.2 65.8 85.3 26.0 65.6 44.6 58.2 43.6 20.4 7.5 71.4
2019 2,680 40.8 66.8 87.7 27.8 72.3 46.9 53.6 43.7 17.3 3.7 79.8
2020 1,055 42.7 62.2 82.5 26.4 59.4 46.1 56.2 41.7 25.5 4.6 71.4
2021 2,577 42.5 66.7 84.7 25.9 62.0 47.1 52.4 43.2 22.3 4.3 83.8
2022 1,242 43.7 65.0 84.1 26.5 65.9 47.7 54.8 43.3 22.1 4.9 86.9
Player 14,894 43.7 64.6 84.9 27.1 67.8 46.2 56.5 43.5 20.2 5.0 77.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 11 17
2016 69 58 64 69 75 27 66 74 89 40 86 24 69 10 22 66
2017 26 8 33 66 19 24 86 76 67 11 77 8 26 11 30 71
2018 29 12 31 54 23 82 92 44 16 17 61 18 29 11 49 77
2019 22 12 22 31 30 9 45 47 75 5 59 2 22 4 48 66
2020 25 23 17 21 46 1 14 64 53 48 72 42 25 5 13
2021 3 3 8 22 1 5 28 25 16 10 16 21 3 3 9 50
2022 57 55 48 42 60 12 52 90 88 30 49 25 57 6 13 60
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.7 20 15.9 4 11 13 6 30.0
2017 22.1 20 15.7 4 10 11 7 35.0
2018 22.1 8 5.7 2 3 4 3 37.5
2019 23.4 20 20.6 -1 11 19 6 30.0
2020 23.9 11 11.9 -1 4 6 8 72.7
2021 23.3 25 22.4 3 12 16 9 36.0
2022 23.0 10 10.5 -1 3 7 5 50.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 20 18 21 13 14 19 12 18 18 13 18 16 10 12 14 16 16 21 11 17 20 7 14 17 17 17 22 13 13 15 25
2017 20 17 22 17 15 17 15 14 14 16 16 14 12 10 13 19 12 18 10 17 20 14 14 17 17 11 20 15 17 17 20
2018 8 7 8 5 5 7 5 6 5 4 6 6 5 4 5 5 4 7 5 5 7 5 5 7 7 7 8 5 4 5 7
2019 20 22 24 20 18 20 18 26 24 24 21 18 13 16 15 25 17 25 14 18 24 15 15 23 19 27 25 17 28 20 27
2020 11 13 11 10 12 13 0 12 12 10 15 13 10 10 10 12 11 12 10 11 12 13 13 12 14 11 13 10 11 11 16
2021 25 23 24 20 21 26 20 26 24 21 22 24 17 13 17 24 24 25 21 19 21 21 21 27 25 21 27 20 31 19 27
2022 10 12 11 11 9 11 10 7 10 10 9 10 8 8 10 12 10 14 11 10 12 10 9 12 11 10 13 11 12 9 13
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.1 89.1 0 89.1 0 89.4 0.3 88.1 -1.3 88.1 0 87.8 -0.3 89 1.2
Offspeed Velocity 78.8 79.1 0.3 79.4 0.3 80.4 1 80 -0.4 79.4 -0.6 78.5 -0.9 79.3 0.8
Breaking Velocity 71.9 72.8 0.9 73.4 0.6 76.1 2.7 76.4 0.3 74.5 -1.9 74.7 0.2 74.8 0.1
Exit Velocity 87 87.6 0.6 86.2 -1.4 88.5 2.3 88.7 0.2 87.5 -1.2 89.8 2.3 86.2 -3.6
Launch Angle 5.9 11.4 5.5 7.4 -4 8.7 1.3 13.8 5.1 14.6 0.8 11 -3.6 13.7 2.7
Barrel % 3 5.2 2.2 4 -1.2 3.9 -0.1 7.2 3.3 10.3 3.1 9.1 -1.2 7.2 -1.9
Hard Hit % 29 28.6 -0.4 31.1 2.5 39.5 8.4 33.3 -6.2 36.6 3.3 43.3 6.7 31.4 -11.9
Sweet Spot % 27 31.2 4.2 34 2.8 33.7 -0.3 37 3.3 36.1 -0.9 36.2 0.1 28.3 -7.9
xBA .249 .242 -0.007 .287 0.045 .27 -0.017 .276 0.006 .269 -0.007 .294 0.025 .247 -0.047
BA .211 .263 0.052 .275 0.012 .269 -0.006 .256 -0.013 .216 -0.04 .281 0.065 .233 -0.048
xwOBA .306 .294 -0.012 .336 0.042 .327 -0.009 .339 0.012 .344 0.005 .376 0.032 .317 -0.059
wOBA .277 .313 0.036 .323 0.01 .326 0.003 .309 -0.017 .273 -0.036 .366 0.093 .301 -0.065
xSLG .344 .376 0.032 .43 0.054 .415 -0.015 .464 0.049 .476 0.012 .487 0.011 .433 -0.054
SLG .317 .418 0.101 .424 0.006 .438 0.014 .416 -0.022 .361 -0.055 .485 0.124 .391 -0.094
K% 17.3 19.8 2.5 15.2 -4.6 17.5 2.3 15.2 -2.3 22.8 7.6 17.1 -5.7 19.4 2.3
BB% 10.8 5.6 -5.2 6.7 1.1 7.5 0.8 7.6 0.1 6.9 -0.7 11.2 4.3 8.1 -3.1
Swing % 41.9 44.6 2.7 43.4 -1.2 43.6 0.2 43.7 0.1 41.7 -2 43.2 1.5 43.3 0.1
Whiff% 25.2 19.9 -5.3 17.7 -2.2 20.4 2.7 17.3 -3.1 25.5 8.2 22.3 -3.2 22.1 -0.2
In Zone % 42.7 45.1 2.4 46.6 1.5 44.2 -2.4 40.8 -3.4 42.7 1.9 42.5 -0.2 43.7 1.2
Out of Zone % 57.3 54.9 -2.4 53.4 -1.5 55.8 2.4 59.2 3.4 57.3 -1.9 57.5 0.2 56.3 -1.2
Out of Zone Swing % 27.8 30.9 3.1 24.7 -6.2 26 1.3 27.8 1.8 26.4 -1.4 25.9 -0.5 26.5 0.6
First Pitch Swing % 26.6 24.5 -2.1 24 -0.5 23.6 -0.4 23.8 0.2 23.9 0.1 21.9 -2 20.6 -1.3
First Pitch Strike % 60.4 61.7 1.3 57.3 -4.4 58.2 0.9 53.6 -4.6 56.2 2.6 52.4 -3.8 54.8 2.4
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 656 .314 344 60 17.4 312 121 38.8
2017 812 .323 410 99 24.1 402 166 41.3
2018 277 .326 146 22 15.1 131 43 32.8
2019 672 .309 332 105 31.6 340 209 61.5
2020 276 .273 152 7 4.6 124 63 50.8
2021 666 .366 375 61 16.3 291 197 67.7
2022 310 .301 162 22 13.6 148 73 49.3

Pitch Tempo