Spenser Watkins
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 2" 195LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 30, #910, Detroit Tigers | Western Oregon
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 2 7 8.07 16 10 0 54.2 35 1.70
2022 5 6 4.70 23 20 0 105.1 63 1.41
2023 0 1 10.38 1 1 0 4.1 4 2.08
3 Seasons 7 14 5.97 40 31 0 164.1 102 1.53
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 16 2-7 8.07 54.2 35 1.70
2022 23 5-6 4.70 105.1 63 1.41
2023 1 0-1 10.38 4.1 4 2.08
3 Seasons 40 7-14 5.97 164.1 102 1.53
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 28 960 199 22 11.1 8.6 90.7 115.2 17.1 38.2 .303 .557 .405 .391 .428 38.2 13.7 7.5 8.07 6.94
2022 29 1642 362 26 7.2 5.7 90.0 112.8 11.6 37.6 .285 .452 .331 .345 .372 37.6 13.7 6.5 4.70 5.07
2023 30 90 15 3 20.0 14.3 92.6 103.5 16.7 46.7 .281 .575 .519 .391 .455 46.7 19.0 9.5 10.38 6.86
Player 2692 576 51 8.9 6.9 90.3 115.2 13.6 38.0 .291 .492 .362 .362 .393 38.0 13.9 6.9
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watkins relies on 6 pitches.
Sinker
(30%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(25.6%) ,
Cutter
(21.1%) ,
Curveball
(20%) ,
Split Finger
(2.2%) ,
Sweeper
(1.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.2 30.7 29.1 6.0 46.2 29.1 24.6 3.5 27.6 29.1 21.1 7.0 11.1 8.6
2022 42.5 24.9 26.2 6.4 40.6 34.3 25.1 2.8 30.1 26.8 29.3 3.9 7.2 5.7
2023 33.3 40.0 26.7 0.0 60.0 6.7 33.3 0.0 26.7 20.0 20.0 13.3 20.0 14.3
Player 39.4 27.3 27.3 6.1 43.1 31.8 25.2 3.0 29.2 27.4 26.2 5.2 8.9 6.9
MLB 44.7 23.4 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 4-Seamer OAK R 23 90.4 18.0 -0.9 -5 1.3 -4.7 -79
2023 Cutter OAK R 19 86.1 29.6 0.7 2 5.8 2.6 80
2023 Sinker OAK R 27 90.0 22.7 -1.6 -7 11.5 -3.1 -21
2023 Sweeper OAK R 1 76.6 42.7 -3.2 -7 16.1 -0.7 -4
2023 Curveball OAK R 18 76.4 52.7 -5.5 -9 11.2 1.5 15
2023 Splitter OAK R 2 84.2 38.1 2.6 7 1.2 -11.8 -111
2022 Slider BAL R 2 78.3 44.5 -0.4 -1 11.5 1.1 11
2022 Cutter BAL R 458 87.1 28.5 0.2 1 6.0 2.5 71
2022 Sweeper BAL R 289 78.4 47.1 2.0 5 14.0 -2.0 -12
2022 Changeup BAL R 73 86.0 26.5 -2.6 -9 10.8 -2.9 -21
2022 Curveball BAL R 157 76.8 60.6 2.1 4 5.7 -2.9 -34
2022 4-Seamer BAL R 625 91.4 16.2 -0.5 -3 1.2 -4.8 -80
2022 Sinker BAL R 27 90.9 19.6 -2.8 -13 14.0 0.2 1
2021 4-Seamer BAL R 446 90.8 15.4 0.5 3 0.3 -6.0 -96
2021 Cutter BAL R 298 86.7 28.7 0.4 1 5.6 2.3 71
2021 Curveball BAL R 158 79.1 51.7 -2.8 -5 0.5 -7.4 -94
2021 Changeup BAL R 58 85.6 26.1 -2.9 -10 10.5 -2.9 -21
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 Sinker -3.3 -1 27 30.0 5 .400 .600 .430 0.0 20.0 8.3 .165 .190 .156 25.0
2023 4-Seamer -2.1 0 23 25.6 5 .500 .750 .570 20.0 0.0 0.0 .582 1.253 .747 75.0
2023 Cutter -1.1 0 19 21.1 6 .200 .400 .325 18.2 16.7 16.7 .222 .366 .325 25.0
2023 Curveball -10.9 -2 18 20.0 5 .400 1.600 .800 36.4 40.0 25.0 .215 .626 .352 66.7
2023 Splitter -1.7 0 2 2.2 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2023 Sweeper -10.3 0 1 1.1 -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2022 4-Seamer -0.5 -3 630 38.4 178 .268 .446 .349 8.6 7.9 9.0 .310 .529 .393 44.8
2022 Cutter -1.5 -7 462 28.1 142 .328 .427 .360 25.5 19.0 22.0 .277 .395 .323 34.6
2022 Sweeper 0.8 2 289 17.6 81 .185 .346 .235 26.3 18.5 16.1 .217 .394 .262 25.8
2022 Curveball -0.9 -1 159 9.7 33 .367 .533 .418 27.1 18.2 15.4 .292 .418 .344 33.3
2022 Changeup -2.3 -2 73 4.4 17 .375 .438 .432 22.6 0.0 0.0 .358 .490 .387 31.3
2022 Sinker 2.5 1 27 1.6 8 .250 .250 .225 16.7 12.5 16.7 .443 .522 .423 71.4
2022 Slider 6.2 0 2 0.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2021 4-Seamer -2.7 -12 446 46.5 109 .347 .643 .443 13.1 15.6 16.8 .318 .602 .416 41.0
2021 Cutter -0.2 -1 298 31.0 91 .275 .450 .350 19.0 12.1 13.6 .287 .468 .360 35.7
2021 Curveball -5.1 -8 158 16.5 36 .382 .765 .524 26.1 19.4 12.3 .327 .673 .449 39.3
2021 Changeup -2.2 -1 58 6.0 19 .278 .667 .408 22.6 0.0 0.0 .242 .496 .336 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Curveball 18 76.4 65 15.4 8:00 8:00 0
2023 Cutter 19 86.1 47 8.8 11:15 10:30 45
2023 4-Seam Fastball 23 90.4 86 14.6 12:30 12:15 15
2023 Sinker 27 90.0 75 15.7 12:30 1:45 -75
2022 Changeup 72 86.0 89 14.6 12:45 1:45 -60
2022 Curveball 156 76.8 70 17.9 7:00 6:45 15
2022 Cutter 453 87.1 50 9.2 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 621 91.4 88 16.0 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Sinker 24 90.9 85 19.2 12:30 1:30 -60
2022 Sweeper 287 78.4 58 15.8 7:45 8:30 -45
2021 Changeup 58 85.6 90 15.0 12:45 1:30 -45
2021 Curveball 158 79.1 55 10.4 7:00 6:00 60
2021 Cutter 298 86.7 53 8.9 11:30 10:30 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 445 90.8 89 17.2 12:15 12:00 15
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 255 960 -5 -4 -8 -4 -22
2022 459 1,642 -4 10 -10 -5 -10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 960 46.5 69.7 87.8 25.3 67.7 45.9 55.7 45.9 17.9 6.1 74.6
2022 1,642 52.4 67.2 86.4 26.0 61.6 44.2 65.8 47.6 19.7 7.1 76.7
2023 90 48.9 68.2 90.0 30.4 64.3 52.2 52.4 48.9 18.2 4.4 100.0
Player 2,692 50.2 68.1 87.0 25.9 64.0 45.1 61.9 47.1 19.0 6.6 76.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2021 1 1 1 1 7 36 7 10 54 2 62 3 20 14 53 29 55
2022 10 3 10 23 16 30 50 13 53 2 70 10 13 16 57 63 41
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.7 14 14.1 0 7 7 8 57.1
2022 24.0 11 13.0 -2 3 12 4 36.4
2023 21.3 2 2.4 0 0 2 1 50.0
Player 24.1 27 29.5 -3 10 21 13 48.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 14 16 13 14 13 13 14 15 11 12 13 15 17 12 13 17 14 14 15 13 14 13 18 15 13 13 15 16 14 14 14
2022 11 14 11 14 15 14 15 12 9 8 12 14 12 11 15 15 13 14 12 14 13 12 18 16 12 8 16 15 14 11 11
2023 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2
Player 27 31 26 30 30 30 31 29 22 22 28 31 31 26 31 35 30 30 30 30 30 28 39 34 27 23 34 33 31 27 27
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2021 2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.2 89.6 0.4 ↑ 89.1 -0.5 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 85.6 86.0 0.4 ↑ 84.2 -1.8 ↓
Breaking Velocity 79.1 77.9 -1.2 ↓ 76.4 -1.5 ↓
Exit Velocity 90.7 90.0 -0.7 ↓ 92.6 2.6 ↑
Launch Angle 17.1 11.6 -5.5 ↓ 16.7 5.1 ↑
Barrel % 11.1 7.2 -3.9 ↓ 20.0 12.8 ↑
Hard Hit % 38.2 37.6 -0.6 ↓ 46.7 9.1 ↑
Sweet Spot % 38.2 37.6 -0.6 ↓ 46.7 9.1 ↑
xBA .303 .285 -0.018 ↓ .281 -0.004 ↓
BA .322 .281 -0.041 ↓ .368 0.087 ↑
xwOBA .391 .345 -0.046 ↓ .391 0.046 ↑
wOBA .405 .331 -0.074 ↓ .519 0.188 ↑
xSLG .557 .452 -0.105 ↓ .575 0.123 ↑
SLG .596 .423 -0.173 ↓ .842 0.419 ↑
K% 13.7 13.7 0.0 19.0 5.3 ↑
BB% 7.5 6.5 -1.0 ↓ 9.5 3.0 ↑
Swing % 45.9 47.6 1.7 ↑ 48.9 1.3 ↑
Whiff% 17.9 19.7 1.8 ↑ 18.2 -1.5 ↓
In Zone % 46.5 52.4 5.9 ↑ 48.9 -3.5 ↓
Out of Zone % 53.5 47.6 -5.9 ↓ 51.1 3.5 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 25.3 26.0 0.7 ↑ 30.4 4.4 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 32.5 6.2 ↑ 23.8 -8.7 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 55.7 65.8 10.1 ↑ 52.4 -13.4 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2021 Shifts 255 .405 137 19 13.9 118 72 61.0
2022 Shifts 459 .331 260 42 16.2 199 114 57.3
2023 Shades 21 .519 14 0 0.0 7 4 57.1
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2021 269 16.2 33.1% 1.5% 163 22.4 0.0% 8.0%
2022 460 15.0 50.0% 0.7% 278 22.4 0.0% 6.5%
2023 29 14.9 51.7% 0.0% 10 20.5 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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