Spenser Watkins
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 2" 185LBS | Age: 30
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 30, #910, Detroit Tigers | Western Oregon

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 6 4.70 23 20 0 105.1 63 1.41
2 Seasons 7 13 5.85 39 30 0 160.0 98 1.51
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 23 5-6 4.70 105.1 63 1.41
2 Seasons 39 7-13 5.85 160.0 98 1.51

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2021 28 960 199 22 11.1 8.6 90.7 115.2 17.1 38.2 .303 .557 .405 .391 .428 38.2 13.7 7.5 8.07 6.94
2022 29 1642 362 26 7.2 5.7 90.0 112.8 11.6 37.6 .285 .453 .331 .345 .372 37.6 13.7 6.5 4.70 5.07
Player 2602 561 48 8.6 6.7 90.2 115.2 13.6 37.8 .292 .489 .358 .361 .392 37.8 13.7 6.9
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 35.8 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Watkins relies on 6 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(38.4%) ,
Cutter
(28.1%) ,
Slider
(17.8%) ,
Curveball
(9.6%) ,
Changeup
(4.4%) ,
Sinker
(1.6%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2021 34.2 30.7 29.1 6.0 46.2 29.1 24.6 3.5 27.6 29.1 21.1 7.0 11.1 8.6
2022 42.5 24.9 26.2 6.4 40.6 34.3 25.1 2.8 30.1 26.8 29.3 3.9 7.2 5.7
Player 39.6 26.9 27.3 6.2 42.6 32.4 25.0 3.0 29.2 27.6 26.4 5.0 8.6 6.7
MLB 44.9 23.1 25.0 7.1 36.8 37.7 25.4 3.8 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2022 Sinker BAL R 27 90.9 19.6 -2.8 -13 14.0 0.2 1
2022 Slider BAL R 292 78.4 47.1 2.6 6 13.9 1.9 16
2022 Curveball BAL R 156 76.8 60.7 2.3 4 5.7 -3.0 -35
2022 Cutter BAL R 458 87.1 28.5 0.2 1 6.0 2.5 72
2022 Changeup BAL R 73 86.0 26.5 -2.6 -9 10.8 -2.9 -21
2022 4-Seamer BAL R 625 91.4 16.2 -0.5 -3 1.2 -4.8 -80
2021 Cutter BAL R 297 86.7 28.6 0.4 2 5.6 2.3 68
2021 Changeup BAL R 58 85.6 26.1 -2.9 -10 10.5 -2.9 -21
2021 Curveball BAL R 154 79.1 51.8 -2.7 -5 0.4 -7.5 -94
2021 4-Seamer BAL R 446 90.8 15.4 0.5 3 0.3 -6.0 -96
2021 Slider BAL R 5 80.8 44.5 2.9 7 2.1 -5.4 -72
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2022 4-Seamer 0.5 3 630 38.4 178 .268 .446 .349 8.6 7.9 9.0 .310 .530 .394 44.8
2022 Cutter 1.5 7 462 28.1 142 .328 .427 .360 25.5 19.0 22.0 .277 .395 .323 34.6
2022 Slider -0.8 -2 292 17.8 81 .185 .346 .235 25.9 18.5 15.8 .217 .394 .262 25.8
2022 Curveball 0.8 1 158 9.6 33 .367 .533 .418 27.1 18.2 16.2 .293 .419 .345 33.3
2022 Changeup 2.3 2 73 4.4 17 .375 .438 .432 22.6 0.0 0.0 .359 .492 .388 31.3
2022 Sinker -2.5 -1 27 1.6 8 .250 .250 .225 16.7 12.5 16.7 .445 .525 .426 71.4
2021 4-Seamer 2.7 12 446 46.5 109 .347 .643 .443 13.1 15.6 16.8 .318 .602 .416 41.0
2021 Cutter 0.2 1 297 30.9 91 .275 .450 .350 19.0 12.1 13.6 .287 .468 .360 35.7
2021 Curveball 5.3 8 154 16.0 35 .394 .788 .539 25.0 17.1 11.3 .337 .694 .462 39.3
2021 Changeup 2.2 1 58 6.0 19 .278 .667 .408 22.6 0.0 0.0 .243 .498 .337 33.3
2021 Slider -2.0 0 5 0.5 1 .000 .000 .000 100.0 100.0 25.0 -- -- .000 --
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2021 Changeup 58 85.6 90 15.0 12:45 1:30 -45
2021 Curveball 158 79.1 55 10.4 7:00 6:00 60
2021 Cutter 298 86.7 53 8.9 11:30 10:30 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 445 90.8 89 17.2 12:15 12:00 15
2022 Changeup 72 86.0 89 14.6 12:45 1:45 -60
2022 Curveball 155 76.8 70 18.0 7:00 6:45 15
2022 Cutter 453 87.1 50 9.2 11:30 10:30 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 621 91.4 88 16.0 12:30 12:15 15
2022 Sinker 24 90.9 85 19.2 12:30 1:30 -60
2022 Slider 290 78.4 58 15.7 7:45 8:30 -45
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2021 255 960 5 4 8 4 22
2022 459 1,642 4 -10 10 5 10
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2021 960 46.5 69.7 87.8 25.3 67.7 45.9 55.7 45.9 17.9 6.1 74.6
2022 1,642 52.4 67.2 86.4 26.0 61.6 44.2 65.8 47.6 19.7 7.1 76.7
Player 2,602 50.2 68.1 86.9 25.7 64.0 44.9 62.2 47.0 19.1 6.7 76.0
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.3 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.2 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2021 1 1 1 1 7 36 7 10 54 2 62 3 20 9 63 29 55
2022 10 3 10 23 15 30 50 13 53 2 70 10 13 8 75 63 39
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2021 24.7 14 15.7 -2 10 8 9 64.3
2022 24.0 11 13.0 -2 5 13 4 36.4
Player 24.4 25 28.7 -4 15 21 13 52.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2021 14 17 20 12 15 19 14 17 14 16 16 17 12 13 14 15 15 16 15 16 17 15 15 17 15 15 18 14 16 16 19
2022 11 14 15 11 15 15 15 13 13 12 15 13 9 9 12 16 16 14 9 11 15 12 13 12 12 15 14 8 13 10 19
Player 25 31 35 23 30 34 29 30 27 28 31 30 21 22 26 31 31 30 24 27 32 27 28 29 27 30 32 22 29 26 38
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.2 89.6 0.4 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 85.6 86 0.4 ↑
Breaking Velocity 79.1 77.9 -1.2 ↓
Exit Velocity 90.7 90 -0.7 ↓
Launch Angle 17.1 11.6 -5.5 ↓
Barrel % 11.1 7.2 -3.9 ↓
Hard Hit % 38.2 37.6 -0.6 ↓
Sweet Spot % 38.2 37.6 -0.6 ↓
xBA .303 .285 -0.018 ↓
BA .322 .281 -0.041 ↓
xwOBA .391 .345 -0.046 ↓
wOBA .405 .331 -0.074 ↓
xSLG .557 .453 -0.104 ↓
SLG .596 .423 -0.173 ↓
K% 13.7 13.7 0
BB% 7.5 6.5 -1 ↓
Swing % 45.9 47.6 1.7 ↑
Whiff% 17.9 19.7 1.8 ↑
In Zone % 46.5 52.4 5.9 ↑
Out of Zone % 53.5 47.6 -5.9 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 25.3 26 0.7 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 26.3 32.5 6.2 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 55.7 65.8 10.1 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2021 255 .405 137 18 13.1 118 66 55.9
2022 459 .331 260 31 11.9 199 86 43.2

Pitch Tempo

Bases Empty