Robbie Ray
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 2" 225LBS | Age: 33
Draft: 2010 | Rd: 12, #356, Washington Nationals | Brentwood HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 12 12 3.71 32 32 0 189 212 1.19
2023 0 1 8.10 1 1 0 3.1 3 2.70
2024 3 2 4.70 7 7 0 30.2 43 1.14
11 Seasons 77 73 3.98 233 229 0 1,258.2 1,548 1.30
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 32 12-12 3.71 189 212 1.19
2023 1 0-1 8.10 3.1 3 2.70
2024 7 3-2 4.70 30.2 43 1.14
11 Seasons 233 77-73 3.98 1,258.2 1,548 1.30
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 23 2257 369 20 5.4 3.7 89.7 114.0 12.3 31.4 .243 .370 .318 .308 .353 35.8 21.8 9.0 3.52 3.93
2016 24 3176 481 33 6.9 4.3 89.9 116.3 12.3 32.2 .246 .407 .332 .317 .408 39.3 28.1 9.1 4.90 4.25
2017 25 2715 371 23 6.2 3.5 89.9 112.7 14.4 31.5 .215 .370 .282 .297 .395 41.0 32.8 10.7 2.89 3.76
2018 26 2287 286 25 8.7 4.8 90.1 116.0 14.6 36.4 .217 .362 .312 .309 .392 41.6 31.4 13.3 3.93 4.04
2019 27 3064 422 45 10.7 6.0 88.9 114.3 14.8 38.9 .228 .428 .322 .322 .432 38.6 31.5 11.2 4.34 4.60
2020 28 1064 137 18 13.1 7.2 91.6 112.8 22.9 38.0 .254 .487 .390 .379 .462 46.0 27.1 17.9 6.62 6.44
2021 29 3141 469 46 9.8 6.0 90.4 115.3 17.6 34.3 .219 .398 .287 .293 .401 43.1 32.1 6.7 2.84 3.60
2022 30 3047 494 39 7.9 5.0 89.7 111.7 14.7 34.0 .223 .373 .315 .295 .366 39.1 27.4 8.0 3.71 3.59
2023 31 91 11 0 0.0 0.0 87.5 111.5 14.3 18.2 .192 .270 .388 .341 .273 45.5 15.8 26.3 8.10 5.00
2024 32 568 64 6 9.4 4.7 86.8 107.3 19.2 34.4 .180 .343 .316 .299 .368 35.9 33.3 11.6 4.70 3.72
Player 21410 3104 255 8.2 4.9 89.8 116.3 14.9 34.2 .227 .392 .314 .309 .395 40.0 29.4 10.1
MLB 7.0 4.8 88.5 122.4 12.3 33.2 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.5 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Ray relies on 3 pitches.
Four Seamer
(53.0%) ,
Slider
(32.0%) ,
Knuckle Curve
(15.0%) ,


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+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 45.3 20.1 29.5 5.1 32.8 34.7 32.5 2.4 31.4 26.6 27.1 3.3 5.4 3.7
2016 46.8 18.9 28.3 6.0 33.5 37.6 28.9 2.3 33.5 20.2 27.0 6.4 6.9 4.3
2017 41.8 25.3 23.7 9.2 36.1 36.7 27.2 3.5 29.6 25.1 27.0 7.3 6.2 3.5
2018 40.9 27.3 24.8 7.0 37.8 36.7 25.5 2.1 30.1 25.9 26.2 5.6 8.7 4.8
2019 40.8 24.4 27.7 7.1 40.0 37.4 22.5 4.0 26.5 23.9 25.6 5.9 10.7 6.0
2020 25.5 32.8 30.7 10.9 41.6 35.0 23.4 2.9 15.3 33.6 24.1 10.9 13.1 7.2
2021 37.3 29.4 23.7 9.6 38.4 36.5 25.2 2.6 26.9 30.9 23.5 6.0 9.8 6.0
2022 38.9 28.9 24.1 8.1 40.7 35.0 24.3 3.6 30.4 27.1 23.1 7.5 7.9 5.0
2023 63.6 18.2 9.1 9.1 36.4 18.2 45.5 18.2 27.3 18.2 27.3 9.1 0.0 0.0
2024 28.1 35.9 23.4 12.5 37.5 29.7 32.8 4.7 23.4 34.4 17.2 10.9 9.4 4.7
Player 40.7 25.5 26.1 7.8 37.3 36.1 26.5 3.1 29.0 26.2 25.3 6.4 8.2 4.9
MLB 44.4 23.8 24.7 7.1 37.2 37.5 25.2 3.9 32.6 24.8 24.4 5.9 7.0 4.8
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2024 Slider SF L 182 88.4 27.2 -5.5 2.3ARM -5.9 7.7 -6.2 2.3ARM -7.4
2024 4-Seam Fastball SF L 301 94.1 13.0 1.5 8.8ARM 1.9 18.0 2.4 8.8ARM 0.6
2024 Curveball SF L 85 83.5 40.0 -8.1 0.7GLV -6.7 -0.7 -7.3 0.7GLV -6.7
2023 4-Seam Fastball SEA L 51 92.9 12.6 2.8 8.5ARM 2.0 19.2 3.9 8.5ARM 0.6
2023 Slider SEA L 40 84.9 33.6 -3.1 1.4ARM -6.4 4.3 -2.5 1.4ARM -6.6
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.5 2 301 53.0 75 .167 .367 .309 26.4 29.3 20.4 .177 .350 .309 35.9
2024 Slider 0.4 1 182 32.0 35 .148 .222 .283 45.8 37.1 20.0 .134 .211 .275 35.7
2024 Curveball -2.7 -2 85 15.0 19 .316 .684 .418 48.9 42.1 25.8 .255 .509 .327 36.4
2023 4-Seam Fastball -1.5 -1 51 56.0 8 .500 .500 .575 28.6 12.5 6.7 .240 .270 .463 33.3
2023 Slider -1.0 0 40 44.0 11 .222 .333 .259 17.4 18.2 12.5 .170 .270 .255 50.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Curveball 85 83.5 19 3.3 5:00 5:30 -30
2024 4-Seam Fastball 301 94.1 97 19.7 11:00 11:00 0
2024 Slider 182 88.4 56 7.4 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 50 92.9 94 20.6 11:00 11:15 -15
2023 Slider 40 84.9 33 3.6 11:15 11:00 15
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2014 136 547 -4 -1 -6 -2 -13
2015 542 2,250 0 25 -6 -12 7
2016 772 3,164 8 11 -17 -11 -9
2017 692 2,830 26 25 -12 -13 27
2018 523 2,284 12 17 -10 -14 5
2019 741 3,058 6 28 -19 -13 3
2020 261 1,124 2 4 -10 -7 -11
2021 773 3,141 12 36 -7 -11 29
2022 792 3,113 5 23 -13 -14 1
2024 129 568 6 6 -6 -5 0
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,257 50.2 65.4 83.9 28.2 66.2 42.7 60.7 46.8 21.1 7.9 76.4
2016 3,176 50.4 64.8 79.7 28.1 56.2 44.8 55.9 46.6 26.6 6.6 76.2
2017 2,715 47.7 63.6 76.5 27.5 40.0 40.8 60.0 44.7 34.4 6.5 68.9
2018 2,287 45.8 61.1 80.6 27.7 42.0 40.9 59.0 43.0 32.0 6.7 71.4
2019 3,064 44.4 64.4 75.7 30.2 50.2 42.5 59.6 45.4 32.7 6.1 75.5
2020 1,064 42.9 62.7 77.6 24.5 45.6 37.8 52.2 40.9 33.1 6.6 67.1
2021 3,141 50.8 73.1 77.0 30.2 43.6 41.2 61.6 52.0 32.3 8.8 84.1
2022 3,047 47.6 74.1 78.3 31.0 51.2 41.0 64.4 51.5 30.0 7.1 82.0
2023 91 40.7 73.0 85.2 31.5 64.7 35.2 57.9 48.4 22.7 7.7 71.4
2024 568 44.9 72.9 76.3 29.4 37.0 40.7 62.0 48.9 36.0 5.5 74.2
Player 21,410 47.8 67.0 78.5 28.9 49.2 41.8 59.9 47.1 30.3 7.0 76.6
MLB 48.7 67.0 82.0 28.5 57.8 42.6 61.0 47.2 25.0 7.3 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 47 49 61 65 29 32 38 8 23 60 22 34 36 66 71 56
2016 43 53 46 43 39 16 28 12 12 88 32 76 40 78 63 53
2017 69 83 71 52 65 28 44 2 4 95 17 95 49 68 65 6 55
2018 47 76 69 54 28 28 13 7 5 92 4 89 47 60 63 3 64
2019 40 68 39 21 41 3 6 42 31 88 14 89 63 35 48 4 59
2020 8 34 14 11 3 2 5 4 9 69 2 84 20 59 83 13 55
2021 72 75 48 31 87 3 16 15 17 93 73 86 71 72 62 11 65
2022 61 67 54 40 67 8 38 18 39 78 48 79 67 41 55 6 63
2023 31 60 36
2024 51 68 9 24
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.5 24 24.6 -1 8 16 14 58.3
2017 21.8 23 16.0 7 14 8 10 43.5
2018 22.5 19 14.8 4 4 11 6 31.6
2019 22.7 30 33.7 -4 9 22 16 53.3
2020 22.3 13 12.3 1 4 7 7 53.8
2021 23.7 33 29.1 4 12 23 12 36.4
2022 22.9 35 32.6 2 10 26 12 34.3
2024 24.0 6 5.4 1 0 6 1 16.7
Player 22.7 183 168.5 15 61 119 78 42.6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2016 24 27 20 29 22 19 25 22 20 18 23 29 26 22 24 27 17 22 28 25 24 20 33 32 24 24 24 34 30 28 20
2017 23 15 14 17 17 16 18 16 14 13 15 22 15 14 15 17 14 12 17 16 16 17 21 17 16 12 15 22 19 17 11
2018 19 21 13 15 15 14 15 14 13 11 14 16 16 13 13 17 17 14 13 15 13 14 17 17 13 12 16 15 18 17 13
2019 30 38 25 36 34 36 36 38 27 26 29 34 39 32 36 33 34 33 33 36 37 33 42 41 33 32 29 36 39 30 24
2020 13 12 14 14 11 13 13 13 11 10 11 13 14 11 13 11 14 13 13 12 13 13 15 12 11 11 11 12 14 13 8
2021 33 32 25 22 30 29 35 29 15 21 25 32 33 26 30 33 28 26 32 34 30 34 39 33 25 24 32 32 32 27 29
2022 35 24 29 31 34 35 37 27 25 27 30 39 30 32 37 39 30 30 32 35 33 33 41 37 25 28 37 41 34 33 32
2024 6 4 5 5 5 5 7 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 6 4 6 5 6 7 7 4 7 6 5 5 4 5 6 5 6
Player 183 173 145 169 168 167 186 164 130 130 153 190 179 156 174 181 160 155 174 180 173 168 215 195 152 148 168 197 192 170 143
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.9 94.8 0.9 94.1 -0.7 93.6 -0.5 92.4 -1.2 93.8 1.4 94.8 1.0 93.4 -1.4 92.9 -0.5 94.1 1.2
Offspeed Velocity 84.5 87.2 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.5 0.0 88.2 -1.3 86.9 -1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 83.0