P | Minnesota Twins
Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 5" 190 lbs | Age: 24
Draft: 2020 | Rd. 1, No. 15, Philadelphia Phillies | Jesuit HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2025 3 4 6.23 10 8 0 39 39 1.51
2026 0 1 13.50 1 0 0 3.1 4 3.60
2 Seasons 3 5 6.80 11 8 0 42.1 43 1.68
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2025 10 3-4 6.23 39 39 1.51
2026 1 0-1 13.50 3.1 4 3.60
2 Seasons 11 3-5 6.80 42.1 43 1.68
MLB Percentile Rankings
Movement Profile (Induced Break)
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
LA Sweet-
Spot %
xBA xSLG wOBA xwOBA xwOBAcon HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2025 23 720 118 10 8.5 5.7 91.3 110.3 15.9 38.1 .269 .455 .351 .346 .410 49.2 22.4 9.2 6.23 5.09
2026 24 81 12 0 0.0 0.0 81.2 102.5 17.6 66.7 .439 .556 .552 .476 .579 25.0 20.0 20.0 13.50 11.35
Player 801 130 10 7.7 5.2 90.3 110.3 16.0 40.8 .285 .464 .371 .358 .425 46.9 22.2 10.3
MLB 7.2 4.9 88.6 122.9 12.4 33.3 .243 .408 .315 .316 .369 37.0 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Abel relies on 6 pitches.
Four Seamer
(51.9%) ,
Slider
(14.8%) ,
Changeup
(14.8%) ,
Sweeper
(8.6%) ,
Curveball
(6.2%) ,
Sinker
(3.7%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

AIR: Fly Balls + Line Drives + Popups All Batted Balls Batted Ball Breakdown
Season GB % AIR % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Pull GB % Straight GB % Oppo GB % Pull AIR % Straight AIR % Oppo AIR %
2025 37.3 62.7 33.9 24.6 4.2 38.1 46.6 15.3 19.5 16.9 0.8 18.6 29.7 14.4
2026 16.7 83.3 25.0 58.3 0.0 33.3 41.7 25.0 0.0 16.7 0.0 33.3 25.0 25.0
Player 35.4 64.6 33.1 27.7 3.8 37.7 46.2 16.2 17.7 16.9 0.8 20.0 29.2 15.4
MLB 44.2 55.8 24.1 24.7 7.1 37.4 37.4 25.1 20.6 17.6 5.9 16.7 19.7 19.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Quality of Contact

Season Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2025 0.8 25.4 28.0 32.2 5.1 8.5 5.7
2026 0.0 16.7 16.7 50.0 16.7 0.0 0.0
Player 0.8 24.6 26.9 33.8 6.2 7.7 5.2
MLB 4.0 32.4 24.9 24.4 5.9 7.2 4.9
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement. On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release. On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Total Movement (in inches, w/ gravity)Induced Movement (in inches, w/o gravity)
YearPitchTeamHand#MPHVertical
Drop
vs.
Comparable
Horizontal
Break
vs.
Comparable
Vertical
Break
vs. AvgHorizontal
Break
vs. Avg
2026 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 42 95.8 13.6 0.5 6.0ARM -2.2 16.3 0.0 6.0ARM -1.7
2026 Slider MIN R 12 87.4 33.0 -1.1 3.7GLV -0.7 2.9 -1.6 3.7GLV -0.8
2026 Curveball MIN R 5 80.6 53.1 0.5 14.5GLV 3.8 -10.7 0.2 14.5GLV 5.6
2026 Changeup MIN R 12 88.5 33.2 1.4 9.7ARM -4.4 1.6 2.3 9.7ARM -5.0
2026 Sweeper MIN R 7 83.8 37.3 -0.5 18.1GLV 3.5 1.8 -0.5 18.1GLV 4.5
2026 Sinker MIN R 3 94.5 22.1 -0.7 15.3ARM -0.6 8.8 -1.1 15.3ARM -0.2
2025 Sweeper MIN R 22 84.5 41.5 4.3 14.2GLV 0.8 -3.0 4.0 14.2GLV 0.2
2025 Sinker MIN R 95 95.4 20.3 -1.5 15.0ARM -0.3 9.9 -2.5 15.0ARM -0.1
2025 Changeup MIN R 63 89.1 31.2 0.6 10.1ARM -4.5 3.1 1.0 10.1ARM -4.4
2025 4-Seam Fastball MIN R 303 96.4 13.3 0.5 8.4ARM 0.6 16.2 0.4 8.4ARM 0.7
2025 Slider MIN R 83 87.3 34.6 0.7 1.3GLV -3.0 1.1 0.7 1.3GLV -3.1
2025 Curveball MIN R 154 82.7 49.8 -0.3 9.8GLV 1.8 -9.6 -0.6 9.8GLV 0.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2026 4-Seam Fastball -2.7 -1 42 51.9 7 .500 .667 .536 31.8 28.6 12.5 .421 .536 .457 50.0
2026 Changeup -13.0 -2 12 14.8 4 .667 1.333 .800 57.1 25.0 50.0 .444 .693 .539 50.0
2026 Slider -8.5 -1 12 14.8 5 .600 .600 .540 14.3 20.0 14.3 .599 .649 .552 0.0
2026 Sweeper -5.1 0 7 8.6 1 -- -- .700 50.0 0.0 0.0 -- -- .700 --
2026 Curveball 9.0 0 5 6.2 2 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .082 .181 .112 0.0
2026 Sinker 2.3 0 3 3.7 -- -- -- 50.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2025 4-Seam Fastball -0.8 -3 303 42.1 73 .288 .610 .439 25.9 20.5 18.3 .273 .570 .420 43.2
2025 Curveball 0.2 0 154 21.4 35 .171 .429 .247 37.5 45.7 23.5 .198 .296 .212 52.6
2025 Sinker -1.1 -1 95 13.2 26 .375 .458 .427 12.2 3.8 6.3 .339 .398 .352 39.1
2025 Slider 2.2 2 83 11.5 23 .227 .227 .226 16.3 13.0 9.4 .271 .449 .320 73.7
2025 Changeup -2.2 -1 63 8.8 12 .417 .417 .375 25.0 16.7 13.3 .333 .538 .375 50.0
2025 Sweeper 1.1 0 22 3.1 5 .200 .200 .180 41.7 40.0 15.4 .228 .313 .237 33.3
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2026 Changeup 11 88.4 60 10.2 1:30 3:00 -90
2026 4-Seam Fastball 42 95.8 82 16.9 1:00 12:45 15
2026 Slider 12 87.4 26 4.3 11:00 9:30 90
2025 Changeup 58 89.2 68 11.1 1:30 2:30 -60
2025 Curveball 154 82.7 71 15.9 7:45 7:15 30
2025 4-Seam Fastball 303 96.4 84 18.0 1:15 1:00 15
2025 Sinker 95 95.4 78 18.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2025 Slider 83 87.3 15 2.8 9:45 8:45 60
2025 Sweeper 22 84.5 57 15.8 7:45 8:30 -45
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Pitcher Arm Angle

! Note: Data is available from 2020 through the present.
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Statcast Pitching Run Value

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2025 174 720 0 2 -4 -2 -3
2026 19 81 -1 -2 -1 0 -4
Player 193 801 0 1 -4 0 -6
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2025 720 53.5 68.6 81.4 28.1 55.3 41.7 62.6 49.7 25.4 8.6 72.6
2026 81 44.4 80.6 72.4 28.9 53.8 37.0 70.0 51.9 33.3 6.2 100.0
Player 801 52.6 69.6 80.5 28.2 55.1 41.2 63.4 49.9 26.3 8.4 74.6
MLB 48.9 67.0 82.5 28.4 58.0 42.7 61.1 47.3 25.0 7.4 76.3
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Run Value Pitching
Year Pitching Fastball Breaking Off
Speed
xERA Fastball
MPH
Fastball
Spin
Curve
Spin
Avg
EV
Chase% Whiff% K% BB% Barrel% Hard-
Hit%
GB% Extension
2025 80 95 68 76
2026 5 23 14 4 5 95 44 74 35 9 61 80 6
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Expected Home Runs

Adjusted

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2025 23.06 8 6.7 1 2 6 3 37.5
Player 23.06 8 6.7 1 2 6 3 37.5
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Expected Home Runs by Park

Adjusted

Year HR
2025 8 7 7 5 6 9 5 5 5 6 5 7 8 10 7 4 7 6 6 9 7 6 9 7 7 7 4 8 7 8 6
Player 8 7 7 5 6 9 5 5 5 6 5 7 8 10 7 4 7 6 6 9 7 6 9 7 7 7 4 8 7 8 6
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's batted balls allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
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Year to Year Changes

2026 +/-   2025
Results
BA .500 +.226 .274
xBA .439 +.170 .269
OBP .600 +.255 .345
xOBP .551 +.210 .341
SLG .688 +.223 .465
xSLG .556 +.101 .455
ISO .188 -.003 .191
xISO .118 -.068 .186
BABIP .667 +.349 .318
wOBA .552 +.201 .351
xwOBA .476 +.130 .346
wOBAcon .698 +.280 .418
xwOBAcon .579 +.169 .410
BACON .667 +.303 .364
xBACON .585 +.227 .358
Statcast Hit Metrics
Hard Hit % 25.0 -24.2 49.2
Avg Exit Velocity 81.2 -10.1 91.3
Launch Angle Sweet-Spot % 66.7 +28.6 38.1
Barrel % 0.0 -8.5 8.5
Avg Launch Angle 17.6 +1.7 15.9
Statcast Bat Tracking
Bat Speed 71.8 +0.2 71.6
Attack Angle -3° 10°
Ideal Attack Angle % 55.6 +5.8 49.8
Attack Direction +1°
Swing Path - Tilt 34° +3° 31°
Swing Length 7.1 0.0 7.1
Statcast Pitch Metrics
Fastball Velocity 95.7 -0.5 96.2
Breaking Velocity 84.9 +0.6 84.3
Offspeed Velocity 88.5 -0.6 89.1
Batted Ball Results
Barrels 0 -10 10
Popup % 0.0 -4.2 4.2
Flyball % 25.0 -8.9 33.9
Line Drive % 58.3 +33.7 24.6
Groundball % 16.7 -20.6 37.3
Pull % 33.3 -4.8 38.1
Straight Away % 41.7 -4.9 46.6
Opposite Field % 25.0 +9.7 15.3
Weak Contact % 0.0 -0.8 0.8
Pull Airball % 33.3 +14.7 18.6
Topped Contact % 16.7 -8.7 25.4
Under Contact % 16.7 -11.3 28.0
Flare/Burner Contact % 50.0 +17.8 32.2
Solid Contact % 16.7 +11.6 5.1
HR/FB % 0.0 -20.0 20.0
Popups 0 -5 5
Flyballs 3 -37 40
Line Drives 7 -22 29
Groundballs 2 -42 44
Plate Discipline
In Zone % 44.4 -9.1 53.5
Out of Zone % 55.6 +9.1 46.5
Edge % 37.0 -4.7 41.7
Zone Swing % 80.6 +12.0 68.6
Out of Zone Swing % 28.9 +0.8 28.1
In Zone Contact % 72.4 -9.0 81.4
Out of Zone Contact % 53.8 -1.5 55.3
Whiff % 33.3 +7.9 25.4
First Strike % 70.0 +7.4 62.6
First Pitch Swing % 45.0 +11.1 33.9
Swing % 51.9 +2.2 49.7
Meatball Swing % 100.0 +27.4 72.6
Meatball % 6.2 -2.4 8.6
Zone Swing & Miss % 27.6 +9.0 18.6
Out of Zone Swing & Miss % 46.2 +1.5 44.7
In Zone 36 -349 385
Out of Zone 45 -290 335
Edge 30 -270 300
In Zone Swings 29 -235 264
Out of Zone Swings 13 -81 94
In Zone Swing & Misses 8 -41 49
Out of Zone Swing & Misses 6 -36 42
Basic
Pitches 81 -639 720
PA 20 -154 174
AB 16 -141 157
Hits 8 -35 43
Singles 5 -26 31
Doubles 3 +1 2
Triples 0 -2 2
Home Runs 0 -8 8
Walks 4 -12 16
Strikeouts 4 -35 39
K% 20.0 -2.4 22.4
BB% 20.0 +10.8 9.2
HBP 0 -1 1
Batted Balls 12 -106 118
Number of Fastballs 45 -353 398
Number of Offspeed 12 -51 63
Number of Breaking 17 -220 237
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2025 Shades 174 .351 77 5 6.5 97 32 33.0
2026 Shades 19 .552 13 1 7.7 6 5 83.3
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2025 199 14.7 56.8% 0.0% 108 19.2 1.9% 1.9%
2026 16 15.7 18.8% 0.0% 16 20.3 0.0% 6.3%

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Pitch Distribution