Michael Lorenzen
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 217LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2013 | Rd: CB-A, #38, Cincinnati Reds | Cal State Fullerton

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2023 2 2 3.21 9 9 0 53.1 41 0.99
9 Seasons 33 31 4.02 322 53 14 624.1 532 1.32
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2023 9 2-2 3.21 53.1 41 0.99
9 Seasons 322 33-31 4.02 624.1 532 1.32

  • ▾

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 23 1997 369 20 5.4 3.9 89.0 110.9 9.9 39.0 .292 .463 .377 .368 .401 36.0 16.1 11.1 5.40 5.85
2016 24 755 135 5 3.7 2.5 86.4 107.0 2.1 30.4 .242 .329 .281 .289 .335 30.4 23.8 6.4 2.88 3.48
2017 25 1366 243 11 4.5 3.0 85.2 109.1 4.3 30.0 .235 .364 .300 .297 .342 29.6 22.2 9.4 4.45 3.76
2018 26 1292 253 12 4.7 3.5 87.3 113.8 6.1 34.0 .256 .379 .310 .319 .336 33.2 15.7 9.9 3.11 4.33
2019 27 1335 228 7 3.1 2.0 85.5 108.0 11.7 32.0 .214 .333 .277 .271 .321 29.7 24.8 8.2 2.92 3.18
2020 28 608 94 4 4.3 2.7 84.4 109.8 12.0 28.7 .207 .316 .304 .279 .307 26.6 23.8 11.6 4.28 3.25
2021 29 481 89 3 3.4 2.4 88.5 108.4 9.7 31.5 .247 .341 .301 .307 .314 42.7 16.8 11.2 5.59 3.98
2022 30 1654 278 19 6.8 4.6 88.1 115.0 9.7 29.9 .233 .362 .303 .307 .334 37.1 20.7 10.7 4.24 3.91
2023 31 805 154 14 9.1 6.7 89.9 113.4 10.2 33.8 .242 .432 .267 .311 .361 41.6 19.6 5.7 3.21 3.94
Player 10293 1843 95 5.2 3.6 87.3 115.0 8.4 32.9 .246 .380 .310 .312 .347 34.1 20.0 9.5
MLB 6.8 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.1 33.0 .245 .405 .316 .315 .368 36.0 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Lorenzen relies on 7 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(34.4%) ,
Slider
(21.9%) ,
Changeup
(20.1%) ,
Sinker
(13%) ,
Sweeper
(6.7%) ,
Cutter
(2.4%) ,
Curveball
(1.5%) ,


  • ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾

+ If Available Pitches Click to Video.


  • ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾
  •   
    ▾

Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 42.5 14.1 39.3 4.1 30.6 41.2 28.2 3.0 34.4 19.2 30.1 6.0 5.4 3.9
2016 63.7 5.2 26.7 4.4 39.3 36.3 24.4 3.0 51.9 11.1 27.4 1.5 3.7 2.5
2017 56.8 15.2 23.9 4.1 29.6 46.1 24.3 7.8 39.5 16.9 25.9 3.7 4.5 3.0
2018 51.8 17.0 25.3 5.9 33.2 41.9 24.9 5.1 40.3 18.2 26.1 4.0 4.7 3.5
2019 46.5 21.9 25.0 6.6 33.3 37.3 29.4 4.4 37.7 22.4 21.1 7.0 3.1 2.0
2020 51.1 26.6 17.0 5.3 29.8 41.5 28.7 7.4 34.0 30.9 22.3 1.1 4.3 2.7
2021 44.9 23.6 28.1 3.4 29.2 48.3 22.5 6.7 36.0 23.6 23.6 6.7 3.4 2.4
2022 51.1 22.3 20.9 5.8 37.1 37.8 25.2 3.2 38.5 23.7 22.7 5.0 6.8 4.6
2023 46.1 27.9 22.7 3.2 32.5 39.6 27.9 3.2 34.4 26.0 23.4 3.9 9.1 6.7
Player 49.9 18.4 26.8 4.9 32.8 40.8 26.4 4.6 38.3 20.6 25.3 4.7 5.2 3.6
MLB 44.8 23.2 24.9 7.1 36.8 37.6 25.4 3.9 33.0 24.6 24.4 5.8 6.8 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

  • ▾

How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Curveball DET R 12 81.7 54.6 5.5 11 5.8 -3.5 -38
2023 Cutter DET R 19 90.8 25.1 -0.5 -2 0.4 -2.0 -122
2023 Sinker DET R 104 93.9 19.2 -3.4 -15 16.4 0.9 6
2023 Sweeper DET R 54 83.2 38.8 0.2 0 11.2 -2.7 -19
2023 4-Seamer DET R 276 94.8 14.1 0.6 4 12.1 3.6 42
2023 Slider DET R 176 85.1 38.7 2.5 7 2.9 -2.0 -41
2023 Changeup DET R 161 85.3 27.8 -3.4 -11 16.2 1.3 9
2022 Slider LAA R 73 84.7 36.9 0.0 0 4.3 -1.3 -22
2022 Changeup LAA R 367 85.7 27.8 -3.1 -10 16.3 2.1 15
2022 Cutter LAA R 182 90.5 24.5 -0.1 -1 0.0 -1.3 -103
2022 Sinker LAA R 374 93.8 22.5 -0.4 -2 16.9 1.6 10
2022 Sweeper LAA R 268 83.0 40.3 1.1 3 11.7 -2.3 -17
2022 Curveball LAA R 35 81.3 56.4 5.7 11 5.5 -3.2 -37
2022 4-Seamer LAA R 353 94.7 15.7 -0.8 -5 11.8 3.5 42
2021 Sweeper CIN R 1 82.4 43.7 2.7 7 16.9 2.5 17
2021 Curveball CIN R 13 82.7 54.8 5.9 12 7.1 -0.8 -11
2021 4-Seamer CIN R 131 96.6 13.8 0.2 2 10.1 2.3 29
2021 Sinker CIN R 44 95.8 19.1 -1.9 -9 15.5 0.2 1
2021 Changeup CIN R 88 87.2 28.1 -1.7 -6 15.1 0.8 6
2021 Slider CIN R 64 85.3 40.1 4.3 12 11.1 6.0 118
2021 Cutter CIN R 140 91.9 25.1 -1.2 -5 1.2 -0.6 -33
2020 Changeup CIN R 108 86.7 26.7 -3.0 -10 15.9 2.2 16
2020 Sweeper CIN R 1 83.7 39.3 -0.2 0 17.3 2.7 18
2020 Cutter CIN R 107 92.7 21.9 -0.5 -2 0.2 -2.0 -112
2020 Slider CIN R 105 85.0 39.4 3.1 9 8.6 4.0 88
2020 Curveball CIN R 40 82.6 55.0 6.3 13 4.7 -3.0 -39
2020 Sinker CIN R 45 95.7 16.2 -4.2 -21 16.0 0.8 6
2020 4-Seamer CIN R 202 96.8 12.7 0.9 7 10.9 3.2 42
2019 Slider CIN R 127 87.1 35.7 1.2 4 5.7 1.7 44
2019 Changeup CIN R 253 87.4 27.1 -3.1 -10 15.6 1.5 11
2019 Curveball CIN R 94 83.8 50.7 2.4 5 2.4 -4.9 -67
2019 Sinker CIN R 204 96.4 18.1 -2.9 -14 15.3 -0.1 -1
2019 Cutter CIN R 344 93.8 21.5 1.6 7 1.4 -3.3 -171
2019 4-Seamer CIN R 276 97.2 13.0 1.3 9 10.7 2.6 32
2018 Curveball CIN R 65 81.7 56.2 4.5 9 5.2 -2.6 -33
2018 Cutter CIN R 328 90.9 27.2 -1.4 -5 2.4 0.2 11
2018 Slider CIN R 135 86.6 37.6 1.8 5 3.4 -0.7 -17
2018 Changeup CIN R 96 87.4 26.6 -3.1 -10 13.3 -0.5 -4
2018 4-Seamer CIN R 153 95.4 14.9 0.4 3 9.7 1.9 24
2018 Sinker CIN R 514 95.0 19.2 -1.8 -9 14.5 -0.2 -2
2017 Changeup CIN R 30 88.5 21.7 -5.2 -19 13.0 -0.7 -5
2017 Curveball CIN R 160 82.7 43.9 -4.2 -9 3.0 -4.1 -58
2017 Sinker CIN R 371 96.3 17.4 -1.3 -7 16.7 1.1 7
2017 Slider CIN R 206 88.1 32.4 1.5 5 2.8 -0.1 -3
2017 4-Seamer CIN R 330 96.2 11.9 0.9 7 13.3 4.9 58
2017 Cutter CIN R 267 92.7 21.3 0.0 0 0.9 -1.2 -57
2016 Curveball CIN R 45 80.7 50.5 1.0 2 6.0 -3.2 -34
2016 Slider CIN R 294 91.4 23.6 -0.9 -4 4.2 0.6 16
2016 Sinker CIN R 172 96.6 14.7 -2.5 -15 13.5 -0.5 -4
2016 4-Seamer CIN R 232 96.4 12.0 0.4 4 7.2 -0.6 -7
2016 Changeup CIN R 8 88.7 20.9 -5.4 -21 10.4 -2.1 -17
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Pitch Movement Leaderboard

Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -3.0 -8 277 34.4 61 .130 .130 .184 17.4 32.8 22.2 .191 .382 .295 47.1
2023 Slider -1.0 -2 176 21.9 39 .231 .436 .282 28.6 15.4 14.6 .310 .570 .374 48.5
2023 Changeup 0.3 1 161 20.0 52 .170 .426 .275 29.7 19.2 14.9 .227 .421 .302 28.9
2023 Sinker -0.5 0 104 12.9 33 .313 .313 .321 5.6 6.1 12.5 .266 .306 .265 43.3
2023 Sweeper 2.5 1 54 6.7 18 .278 .500 .331 22.6 16.7 11.5 .211 .470 .286 40.0
2023 Cutter 5.8 1 19 2.4 5 .333 1.333 .680 20.0 0.0 0.0 .317 .743 .544 33.3
2023 Curveball 2.0 0 12 1.5 1 1.000 1.000 .900 33.3 0.0 0.0 .560 .619 .522 100.0
2022 Sinker -0.6 -2 374 22.6 107 .242 .347 .307 17.8 13.1 17.9 .247 .325 .293 47.6
2022 Changeup -0.2 -1 367 22.2 101 .154 .242 .232 38.0 29.7 18.8 .182 .261 .241 24.6
2022 4-Seamer 0.3 1 353 21.3 92 .247 .329 .354 18.4 19.6 14.9 .241 .339 .344 34.5
2022 Sweeper -0.4 -1 268 16.2 46 .205 .409 .277 31.8 28.3 19.7 .265 .493 .342 38.7
2022 Cutter 3.6 7 182 11.0 46 .325 .725 .472 10.8 10.9 11.4 .276 .596 .414 40.0
2022 Slider -3.9 -3 73 4.4 15 .067 .067 .060 45.7 33.3 20.8 .152 .198 .151 10.0
2022 Curveball 4.2 1 35 2.1 4 .750 1.250 .850 18.2 0.0 0.0 .442 .813 .528 75.0
2021 Cutter -0.9 -1 140 29.1 32 .296 .370 .356 31.2 12.5 14.3 .301 .372 .358 47.8
2021 4-Seamer -0.8 -1 131 27.2 41 .211 .342 .243 20.6 29.3 17.6 .202 .318 .228 50.0
2021 Changeup 3.1 3 88 18.3 25 .250 .450 .378 25.6 12.0 9.4 .226 .301 .327 23.5
2021 Slider 0.0 0 64 13.3 14 .250 .250 .357 40.7 14.3 11.1 .220 .341 .305 50.0
2021 Sinker -0.1 0 44 9.1 12 .200 .200 .267 11.1 0.0 -- .358 .446 .414 30.0
2021 Curveball 1.1 0 13 2.7 1 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 .111 .120 .118 100.0
2021 Sweeper 2.0 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2020 4-Seamer -2.2 -5 202 33.2 53 .077 .077 .240 34.8 30.2 21.9 .080 .116 .235 12.5
2020 Changeup 1.2 1 108 17.8 28 .269 .500 .352 44.6 25.0 14.9 .233 .365 .288 15.8
2020 Cutter 1.3 1 107 17.6 31 .467 .700 .503 16.4 3.2 33.3 .330 .505 .356 36.7
2020 Slider -1.9 -2 105 17.3 19 .105 .263 .153 52.1 52.6 24.4 .131 .289 .175 11.1
2020 Sinker 3.0 1 45 7.4 7 .600 .600 .586 26.7 0.0 0.0 .455 .497 .504 40.0
2020 Curveball -2.4 -1 40 6.6 8 .125 .125 .113 33.3 12.5 8.3 .304 .377 .293 71.4
2020 Sweeper -2.6 0 1 0.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
2019 Cutter -3.1 -11 344 25.8 77 .250 .294 .282 23.9 7.8 20.0 .276 .386 .316 27.7
2019 4-Seamer 1.4 4 276 20.7 69 .246 .525 .355 29.1 34.8 21.8 .203 .402 .299 47.4
2019 Changeup -2.7 -7 253 19.0 78 .108 .230 .181 44.7 42.3 26.4 .130 .195 .167 22.0
2019 Sinker -2.1 -4 204 15.3 54 .319 .426 .361 14.6 9.3 13.2 .302 .436 .350 27.9
2019 Slider 3.4 4 127 9.5 27 .280 .560 .413 46.4 18.5 21.7 .276 .456 .335 30.0
2019 Curveball -1.3 -1 94 7.0 26 .182 .182 .228 29.4 30.8 20.5 .120 .143 .186 20.0
2018 Sinker -0.9 -5 514 39.8 142 .254 .361 .317 9.9 10.6 12.2 .263 .387 .333 40.5
2018 Cutter -0.8 -3 328 25.4 88 .244 .359 .332 17.6 15.9 23.0 .255 .414 .336 28.1
2018 4-Seamer 1.4 2 153 11.8 45 .289 .421 .369 17.4 26.7 20.3 .245 .342 .322 26.9
2018 Slider -1.3 -2 135 10.4 33 .281 .406 .309 20.0 15.2 9.3 .257 .347 .275 22.2
2018 Changeup 1.9 2 96 7.4 18 .353 .529 .400 36.6 38.9 23.3 .219 .327 .261 40.0
2018 Curveball -2.6 -2 65 5.0 16 .133 .133 .120 17.2 6.3 2.9 .275 .350 .272 26.7
2017 Sinker -1.8 -7 371 27.2 101 .186 .221 .262 17.0 18.8 20.9 .205 .281 .277 22.1
2017 4-Seamer -0.1 0 330 24.2 74 .281 .406 .367 9.9 8.1 9.0 .289 .430 .358 30.5
2017 Cutter 0.7 2 267 19.5 76 .324 .471 .388 29.3 15.8 26.7 .290 .406 .337 31.6
2017 Slider -1.1 -2 206 15.1 54 .208 .358 .250 36.6 31.5 28.3 .216 .359 .251 36.1
2017 Curveball 2.8 5 160 11.7 45 .205 .455 .316 35.9 55.6 27.8 .165 .384 .268 36.8
2017 Changeup 4.4 1 30 2.2 6 .400 .600 .475 38.5 16.7 10.0 .189 .291 .288 25.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
+ View Complete Run Value Leaderboard

Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Changeup 91 86.8 99 18.6 2:00 2:00 0
2020 Curveball 37 82.7 84 17.9 7:00 6:30 30
2020 Cutter 91 92.6 52 8.9 12:45 12:00 45
2020 4-Seam Fastball 190 96.8 95 19.6 1:15 1:15 0
2020 Sinker 37 95.9 92 21.0 1:00 1:45 -45
2020 Slider 97 85.0 32 10.2 7:30 8:30 -60
2021 Changeup 88 87.2 98 17.2 2:00 2:15 -15
2021 Curveball 13 82.7 78 18.7 7:00 6:45 15
2021 Cutter 140 91.9 39 6.8 12:30 11:30 60
2021 4-Seam Fastball 131 96.6 92 18.3 1:15 1:15 0
2021 Sinker 43 95.8 92 19.0 1:15 2:00 -45
2021 Slider 64 85.3 31 12.8 7:30 8:30 -60
2022 Changeup 358 85.8 98 19.1 2:00 2:15 -15
2022 Curveball 35 81.3 72 18.4 7:00 6:30 30
2022 Cutter 164 90.5 44 8.0 1:00 12:00 60
2022 4-Seam Fastball 333 94.7 90 18.9 1:30 1:15 15
2022 Sinker 358 93.8 88 19.5 1:30 2:15 -45
2022 Slider 72 84.7 21 5.5 8:30 8:45 -15
2022 Sweeper 255 83.0 30 12.9 7:45 8:45 -60
2023 Changeup 160 85.3 98 19.1 2:00 2:00 0
2023 Curveball 12 81.7 73 17.1 7:15 6:45 30
2023 Cutter 18 90.7 42 7.0 12:30 12:00 30
2023 4-Seam Fastball 271 94.8 97 20.2 1:30 1:15 15
2023 Sinker 100 93.9 92 20.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Slider 168 85.2 24 4.6 8:45 7:45 60
2023 Sweeper 51 83.2 35 12.0 7:45 8:45 -60
▾
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
+ View Complete Spin Direction Leaderboard

Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2015 509 1,969 -7 5 11 7 16
2016 202 755 -10 -7 1 4 -11
2017 356 1,364 2 -20 12 5 -2
2018 342 1,291 -8 -13 10 5 -7
2019 331 1,298 -8 -17 4 6 -15
2020 157 645 -2 -11 4 4 -5
2021 125 481 -3 -2 1 5 0
2022 411 1,652 -13 -5 13 7 2
2023 209 805 -4 -8 2 3 -7
+ View Complete Swing/Take Leaderboard

Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 1,997 46.7 68.9 83.9 26.2 66.3 39.3 57.1 46.1 21.0 7.0 81.4
2016 755 48.5 61.7 87.2 31.4 56.6 43.8 61.9 46.1 22.7 7.8 67.8
2017 1,366 49.4 66.9 83.1 26.0 56.1 45.5 52.5 46.3 24.2 7.5 70.9
2018 1,292 52.3 63.0 87.8 26.8 67.9 42.4 58.9 45.7 16.4 8.7 69.6
2019 1,335 45.1 71.5 75.6 30.6 55.5 42.8 62.7 48.8 30.8 7.2 81.9
2020 608 41.4 67.1 74.6 31.5 48.2 39.8 58.2 46.2 35.2 5.1 74.2
2021 481 45.3 71.6 82.7 28.5 53.3 42.6 73.6 48.0 26.4 7.7 78.4
2022 1,654 46.3 69.3 81.7 28.9 59.1 42.0 62.3 47.6 25.2 7.4 76.4
2023 805 53.0 68.1 84.2 29.9 64.6 43.2 70.3 50.2 21.3 9.6 74.0
Player 10,293 47.7 67.6 82.6 28.4 59.6 42.2 60.5 47.1 24.1 7.6 75.4
MLB 48.5 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.2 42.6 60.8 47.1 24.7 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2015 2 2 7 18 1 32 38 23 22 20 7 34 16 79 78 41 40
2016 93 55 19
2017 69 63 74 77 53 62 77 92 77 55 31 50 31 85 62 65 26
2018 35 26 55 81 18 65 82 77 68 8 24 2 35 66 82 55 7
2019 87 81 91 92 82 92 97 99 93 61 48 83 66 84 95 51 9
2020 78 80 85 85 63 65 84 97 96 53 21 91 82 85 94 11
2021 71 89 8
2022 46 55 62 65 31 44 60 59 58 35 13 48 44 50 83 13
2023 57 50 33 25 77 19 33 30 36 28 84 17 63 65 89 8
+ View Complete Percentile Rankings Leaderboard

Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 22.4 5 3.3 2 3 4 0 0.0
2017 22.8 9 7.2 2 4 9 1 11.1
2018 23.4 6 4.9 1 5 5 1 16.7
2019 23.1 9 6.9 2 5 6 2 22.2
2020 25.6 3 2.8 0 3 2 1 33.3
2021 21.5 2 0.6 1 4 0 0 0.0
2022 24.8 11 9.7 1 5 12 2 18.2
2023 22.5 6 6.1 0 8 5 2 33.3
Player 23.4 51 41.4 10 37 43 9 17.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 5 3 2 4 4 2 4 4 3 1 4 5 3 3 3 6 1 2 2 4 2 1 6 6 2 3 3 6 4 4 2
2017 9 5 6 6 6 8 8 9 6 5 6 11 9 7 8 9 5 6 8 6 9 6 9 10 6 5 5 10 9 8 4
2018 6 7 4 4 4 3 6 5 4 2 3 6 7 4 5 7 3 4 4 6 5 6 8 6 4 3 5 8 6 5 2
2019 9 7 6 8 9 10 9 6 6 5 8 11 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 9 5 9 10 7 4 5 7 10 5 6 5
2020 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 2
2021 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 0 0
2022 11 8 9 11 9 7 11 8 5 6 7 13 13 7 11 14 7 8 9 10 10 11 17 12 6 6 13 13 13 8 9
2023 6 4 4 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 11 9 6 6 7 8 5 6 7 5 5 7 5 6 5 7 9 6 6 4
Player 51 39 35 43 42 39 47 39 32 27 36 62 50 34 43 52 33 33 39 45 39 44 61 50 31 29 45 60 46 39 28
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
+ View Complete Expected Home Runs Leaderboard

Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 94.7 96.5 1.8 ↑ 95.3 -1.2 ↓ 93.7 -1.6 ↓ 95.5 1.8 ↑ 95.4 -0.1 ↓ 94.4 -1.0 ↓ 93.5 -0.9 ↓ 94.4 0.9 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 85.7 88.7 3.0 ↑ 88.5 -0.2 ↓ 87.4 -1.1 ↓ 87.4 0.0 86.7 -0.7 ↓ 87.2 0.5 ↑ 85.7 -1.5 ↓ 85.3 -0.4 ↓
Breaking Velocity 84.4 90.0 5.6 ↑ 85.7 -4.3 ↓ 85.0 -0.7 ↓ 85.7 0.7 ↑ 84.3 -1.4 ↓ 84.8 0.5 ↑ 83.2 -1.6 ↓ 84.5 1.3 ↑
Exit Velocity 89.0 86.4 -2.6 ↓ 85.2 -1.2 ↓ 87.3 2.1 ↑ 85.5 -1.8 ↓ 84.4 -1.1 ↓ 88.5 4.1 ↑ 88.1 -0.4 ↓ 89.9 1.8 ↑
Launch Angle 9.9 2.1 -7.8 ↓ 4.3 2.2 ↑ 6.1 1.8 ↑ 11.7 5.6 ↑ 12.0 0.3 ↑ 9.7 -2.3 ↓ 9.7 0.0 10.2 0.5 ↑
Barrel % 5.4 3.7 -1.7 ↓ 4.5 0.8 ↑ 4.7 0.2 ↑ 3.1 -1.6 ↓ 4.3 1.2 ↑ 3.4 -0.9 ↓ 6.8 3.4 ↑ 9.1 2.3 ↑
Hard Hit % 36.0 30.4 -5.6 ↓ 29.6 -0.8 ↓ 33.2 3.6 ↑ 29.7 -3.5 ↓ 26.6 -3.1 ↓ 42.7 16.1 ↑ 37.1 -5.6 ↓ 41.6 4.5 ↑
Sweet Spot % 39.0 30.4 -8.6 ↓ 30.0 -0.4 ↓ 34.0 4.0 ↑ 32.0 -2.0 ↓ 28.7 -3.3 ↓ 31.5 2.8 ↑ 29.9 -1.6 ↓ 33.8 3.9 ↑
xBA .292 .242 -0.050 ↓ .235 -0.007 ↓ .256 0.021 ↑ .214 -0.042 ↓ .207 -0.007 ↓ .247 0.040 ↑ .233 -0.014 ↓ .242 0.009 ↑
BA .292 .224 -0.068 ↓ .244 0.020 ↑ .258 0.014 ↑ .221 -0.037 ↓ .236 0.015 ↑ .241 0.005 ↑ .224 -0.017 ↓ .211 -0.013 ↓
xwOBA .368 .289 -0.079 ↓ .297 0.008 ↑ .319 0.022 ↑ .271 -0.048 ↓ .279 0.008 ↑ .307 0.028 ↑ .307 0.000 .311 0.004 ↑
wOBA .377 .281 -0.096 ↓ .300 0.019 ↑ .310 0.010 ↑ .277 -0.033 ↓ .304 0.027 ↑ .301 -0.003 ↓ .303 0.002 ↑ .267 -0.036 ↓
xSLG .463 .329 -0.134 ↓ .364 0.035 ↑ .379 0.015 ↑ .333 -0.046 ↓ .316 -0.017 ↓ .341 0.025 ↑ .362 0.021 ↑ .432 0.070 ↑
SLG .503 .333 -0.170 ↓ .372 0.039 ↑ .371 -0.001 ↓ .355 -0.016 ↓ .362 0.007 ↑ .343 -0.019 ↓ .365 0.022 ↑ .351 -0.014 ↓
K% 16.1 23.8 7.7 ↑ 22.2 -1.6 ↓ 15.7 -6.5 ↓ 24.8 9.1 ↑ 23.8 -1.0 ↓ 16.8 -7.0 ↓ 20.7 3.9 ↑ 19.6 -1.1 ↓
BB% 11.1 6.4 -4.7 ↓ 9.4 3.0 ↑ 9.9 0.5 ↑ 8.2 -1.7 ↓ 11.6 3.4 ↑ 11.2 -0.4 ↓ 10.7 -0.5 ↓ 5.7 -5.0 ↓
Swing % 46.1 46.1 0.0 46.3 0.2 ↑ 45.7 -0.6 ↓ 48.8 3.1 ↑ 46.2 -2.6 ↓ 48.0 1.8 ↑ 47.6 -0.4 ↓ 50.2 2.6 ↑
Whiff% 21.0 22.7 1.7 ↑ 24.2 1.5 ↑ 16.4 -7.8 ↓ 30.8 14.4 ↑ 35.2 4.4 ↑ 26.4 -8.8 ↓ 25.2 -1.2 ↓ 21.3 -3.9 ↓
In Zone % 46.7 48.5 1.8 ↑ 49.4 0.9 ↑ 52.3 2.9 ↑ 45.1 -7.2 ↓ 41.4 -3.7 ↓ 45.3 3.9 ↑ 46.3 1.0 ↑ 53.0 6.7 ↑
Out of Zone % 53.3 51.5 -1.8 ↓ 50.6 -0.9 ↓ 47.7 -2.9 ↓ 54.9 7.2 ↑ 58.6 3.7 ↑ 54.7 -3.9 ↓ 53.7 -1.0 ↓ 47.0 -6.7 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 26.2 31.4 5.2 ↑ 26.0 -5.4 ↓ 26.8 0.8 ↑ 30.6 3.8 ↑