Kris Bubic
P | Bats/Throws: L/L | 6' 3" 225LBS | Age: 26
Draft: 2018 | Rd: CB-A, #40, Kansas City Royals | Stanford
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 6 7 4.43 29 20 0 130 114 1.38
2022 3 13 5.58 28 27 0 129 110 1.70
2023 0 2 3.94 3 3 0 16 16 1.31
4 Seasons 10 28 4.85 70 60 0 325 289 1.52
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 29 6-7 4.43 130 114 1.38
2022 28 3-13 5.58 129 110 1.70
2023 3 0-2 3.94 16 16 1.31
4 Seasons 70 10-28 4.85 325 289 1.52
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 Sweet
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 22 932 149 12 8.1 5.4 87.1 108.5 11.5 35.6 .271 .452 .336 .349 .409 36.2 22.1 9.9 4.32 5.30
2021 23 2202 376 34 9.0 6.1 88.8 112.6 9.1 34.8 .255 .456 .337 .349 .394 39.6 20.5 10.6 4.43 5.30
2022 24 2262 410 32 7.8 5.5 90.0 114.4 10.7 41.0 .286 .455 .371 .362 .405 44.9 18.7 10.7 5.58 5.67
2023 25 264 49 3 6.1 4.4 91.7 111.3 8.8 26.5 .268 .422 .310 .315 .394 44.9 23.5 2.9 3.94 4.16
Player 5660 984 81 8.2 5.7 89.2 114.4 10.1 37.1 .271 .453 .350 .353 .401 41.6 20.2 10.2
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Bubic relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(42.4%) ,
Changeup
(24.6%) ,
Curveball
(18.2%) ,
Slider
(14.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 46.3 17.4 27.5 8.7 41.6 35.6 22.8 10.1 30.2 18.8 28.2 4.7 8.1 5.4
2021 47.3 22.3 24.5 5.9 41.0 37.2 21.8 4.3 37.8 20.5 22.3 6.1 9.0 6.1
2022 42.2 24.6 29.0 4.1 36.1 38.0 25.9 5.1 27.6 21.7 30.5 7.1 7.8 5.5
2023 53.1 24.5 18.4 4.1 34.7 44.9 20.4 6.1 26.5 28.6 28.6 4.1 6.1 4.4
Player 45.3 22.7 26.5 5.5 38.7 37.7 23.6 5.6 31.8 21.1 26.9 6.2 8.2 5.7
MLB 44.7 23.4 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Changeup KC L 64 82.1 36.0 0.5 1 14.8 0.5 3
2023 Slider KC L 39 83.6 39.5 1.8 5 6.8 0.7 11
2023 Curveball KC L 48 80.9 48.7 -2.0 -4 7.7 -1.1 -12
2023 4-Seamer KC L 112 91.7 16.8 0.1 1 6.0 -1.0 -14
2022 Changeup KC L 628 80.7 33.2 -2.2 -6 14.3 -0.4 -3
2022 4-Seamer KC L 1,143 91.9 15.9 0.2 1 7.7 0.5 6
2022 Curveball KC L 491 79.4 56.4 3.2 6 7.6 -1.6 -18
2021 Curveball KC L 378 78.5 59.5 4.9 9 8.3 -1.3 -13
2021 4-Seamer KC L 1,138 90.9 17.7 -1.1 -6 6.2 -0.8 -11
2021 Changeup KC L 675 80.0 35.0 -0.2 -1 12.7 -1.2 -9
2020 Changeup KC L 278 79.6 32.7 -1.9 -6 12.6 -0.8 -6
2020 4-Seamer KC L 505 91.4 16.3 0.0 0 6.0 -0.9 -13
2020 Curveball KC L 148 78.5 56.3 2.1 4 10.1 0.2 2
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seamer -0.3 0 112 42.4 23 .476 .619 .498 22.8 8.7 6.9 .349 .517 .404 36.8
2023 Changeup 1.2 1 65 24.6 19 .263 .263 .237 41.7 26.3 21.7 .221 .257 .209 35.7
2023 Curveball 2.3 1 48 18.2 15 .143 .357 .240 25.0 26.7 30.8 .265 .647 .403 60.0
2023 Slider 0.6 0 39 14.8 11 .182 .182 .164 26.9 45.5 22.7 .196 .241 .191 66.7
2022 4-Seamer -1.8 -20 1,143 50.5 277 .348 .587 .441 20.1 20.2 18.9 .296 .498 .391 48.6
2022 Changeup -0.3 -2 628 27.8 202 .258 .399 .340 26.1 19.3 18.8 .274 .448 .354 38.6
2022 Curveball -1.0 -5 491 21.7 108 .294 .353 .304 15.9 13.9 14.7 .283 .368 .309 47.2
2021 4-Seamer 0.6 7 1,144 52.0 262 .217 .355 .318 20.8 20.6 19.1 .244 .412 .347 39.8
2021 Changeup -1.1 -7 679 30.8 219 .251 .503 .365 28.0 23.7 23.3 .262 .500 .357 40.1
2021 Curveball -2.3 -9 379 17.2 75 .338 .549 .397 20.1 10.7 8.9 .273 .467 .337 38.1
2020 4-Seamer -0.9 -4 505 54.2 111 .299 .464 .392 23.4 27.9 25.8 .293 .487 .378 40.9
2020 Changeup -0.9 -2 278 29.8 86 .244 .474 .350 31.1 16.3 15.7 .264 .472 .347 37.5
2020 Curveball 1.4 2 148 15.9 24 .174 .174 .179 11.6 16.7 6.9 .205 .235 .218 15.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Changeup 48 81.8 87 15.4 10:00 9:15 45
2023 Curveball 33 80.4 55 12.3 4:30 4:45 -15
2023 4-Seam Fastball 83 91.2 86 16.2 10:45 11:15 -30
2023 Slider 29 83.2 20 7.2 3:30 3:15 15
2022 Changeup 627 80.7 99 16.9 9:45 9:45 0
2022 Curveball 491 79.4 73 17.5 5:15 5:00 15
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1,140 91.9 94 17.8 11:00 11:00 0
2021 Changeup 677 80.0 97 14.8 10:00 9:45 15
2021 Curveball 379 78.5 83 19.7 5:00 5:15 -15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,134 90.9 91 16.1 11:00 11:15 -15
2020 Changeup 237 79.7 99 16.1 10:00 10:00 0
2020 Curveball 132 78.4 75 18.0 5:00 4:45 15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 425 91.4 91 16.9 11:00 11:15 -15
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 221 931 0 8 -8 -4 -5
2021 556 2,202 -3 21 -17 -10 -9
2022 587 2,262 -4 1 -15 -9 -27
2023 68 264 2 2 -1 -1 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 932 49.2 68.6 77.4 21.8 66.0 38.0 47.7 44.8 24.6 8.9 79.5
2021 2,202 49.7 65.4 83.1 24.4 58.1 43.7 55.4 44.8 23.4 7.3 81.9
2022 2,262 51.1 69.1 83.6 23.9 62.5 43.7 58.9 47.0 21.3 8.8 77.4
2023 264 56.4 76.5 75.4 25.2 51.7 39.4 63.2 54.2 28.7 11.7 80.6
Player 5,660 50.5 68.0 81.9 23.8 60.8 42.6 56.0 46.1 23.0 8.4 79.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2020 21 21 25 36 21 13 35 71 55 42 35 35 9 22 34 55 84
2021 14 28 19 15 15 13 29 51 41 28 21 28 13 15 18 71 75
2022 3 2 9 22 1 18 39 13 7 22 13 17 4 19 26 69 72
2023 16 34 87
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 23.5 8 7.6 0 3 3 5 62.5
2021 23.0 22 25.4 -3 4 16 13 59.1
2022 23.7 18 19.8 -2 7 18 6 33.3
2023 23.5 1 1.7 -1 1 2 0 0.0
Player 23.4 49 54.4 -5 15 39 24 49.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 8 8 9 7 7 9 8 7 7 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 7 9 8 6 6 8 7 9 7 7
2021 22 27 28 25 25 24 28 28 19 19 21 25 27 22 27 30 23 23 28 25 27 27 29 30 25 23 30 27 27 22 21
2022 18 17 20 17 22 22 23 18 13 14 16 25 21 19 22 23 20 18 18 22 19 20 26 22 15 17 21 24 20 20 19
2023 1 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2
Player 49 53 58 52 56 57 61 55 41 40 46 59 55 50 59 63 53 51 56 57 56 55 67 62 47 47 61 60 57 50 49
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 91.4 90.9 -0.5 ↓ 91.9 1.0 ↑ 91.7 -0.2 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 79.6 80.0 0.4 ↑ 80.7 0.7 ↑ 82.2 1.5 ↑
Breaking Velocity 78.5 78.5 0.0 79.4 0.9 ↑ 82.1 2.7 ↑
Exit Velocity 87.1 88.8 1.7 ↑ 90.0 1.2 ↑ 91.7 1.7 ↑
Launch Angle 11.5 9.1 -2.4 ↓ 10.7 1.6 ↑ 8.8 -1.9 ↓
Barrel % 8.1 9.0 0.9 ↑ 7.8 -1.2 ↓ 6.1 -1.7 ↓
Hard Hit % 36.2 39.6 3.4 ↑ 44.9 5.3 ↑ 44.9 0.0
Sweet Spot % 35.6 34.8 -0.8 ↓ 41.0 6.2 ↑ 26.5 -14.5 ↓
xBA .271 .255 -0.016 ↓ .286 0.031 ↑ .268 -0.018 ↓
BA .263 .248 -0.015 ↓ .306 0.058 ↑ .292 -0.014 ↓
xwOBA .349 .349 0.000 .362 0.013 ↑ .315 -0.047 ↓
wOBA .336 .337 0.001 ↑ .371 0.034 ↑ .310 -0.061 ↓
xSLG .452 .456 0.004 ↑ .455 -0.001 ↓ .422 -0.033 ↓
SLG .434 .444 0.010 ↑ .475 0.031 ↑ .385 -0.090 ↓
K% 22.1 20.5 -1.6 ↓ 18.7 -1.8 ↓ 23.5 4.8 ↑
BB% 9.9 10.6 0.7 ↑ 10.7 0.1 ↑ 2.9 -7.8 ↓
Swing % 44.8 44.8 0.0 47.0 2.2 ↑ 54.2 7.2 ↑
Whiff% 24.6 23.4 -1.2 ↓ 21.3 -2.1 ↓ 28.7 7.4 ↑
In Zone % 49.2 49.7 0.5 ↑ 51.1 1.4 ↑ 56.4 5.3 ↑
Out of Zone % 50.8 50.3 -0.5 ↓ 48.9 -1.4 ↓ 43.6 -5.3 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 21.8 24.4 2.6 ↑ 23.9 -0.5 ↓ 25.2 1.3 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 21.2 24.5 3.3 ↑ 29.6 5.1 ↑ 39.7 10.1 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 47.7 55.4 7.7 ↑ 58.9 3.5 ↑ 63.2 4.3 ↑
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 221 .336 190 44 23.2 31 23 74.2
2021 Shifts 534 .337 442 149 33.7 92 35 38.0
2022 Shifts 587 .371 453 118 26.0 134 60 44.8
2023 Shades 68 .310 56 16 28.6 12 0 0.0
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 288 16.5 33.0% 1.0% 169 24.0 0.0% 5.9%
2021 718 17.7 14.8% 1.0% 333 25.3 0.0% 12.9%
2022 615 17.6 19.8% 1.1% 425 23.8 0.7% 6.8%
2023 71 16.4 22.5% 0.0% 37 19.3 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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