Justin Topa
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 4" 200LBS | Age: 31
Draft: 2013 | Rd: 17, #509, Pittsburgh Pirates | Long Island
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 0 0 29.70 4 0 0 3.1 1 3.90
2 Seasons 0 1 10.64 10 0 0 11.0 13 1.82
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 4 0-0 29.70 3.1 1 3.90
2 Seasons 10 0-1 10.64 11.0 13 1.82

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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit Velocity Max EV Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2020 29 119 18 2 11.1 6.7 87.8 106.8 -2.2 38.9 .202 .355 .266 .236 .393 38.9 40.0 0.0 2.35 2.32
2021 30 88 21 2 9.5 8.7 92.5 109.9 12.7 33.3 .290 .503 .631 .334 .350 42.9 4.3 4.3 29.70 4.79
Player 207 39 4 10.3 7.5 90.3 109.9 5.8 35.9 .239 .418 .421 .277 .370 41.0 24.5 1.9
MLB 6.7 4.6 88.4 122.2 12.0 32.9 .246 .409 .317 .316 .370 35.6 22.0 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Topa relies on 3 pitches.
Sinker
(67%) ,
Slider
(31.8%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(1.1%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2020 55.6 16.7 27.8 0.0 50.0 27.8 22.2 0.0 55.6 11.1 16.7 5.6 11.1 6.7
2021 42.9 33.3 19.0 4.8 33.3 23.8 42.9 0.0 33.3 23.8 19.0 14.3 9.5 8.7
Player 48.7 25.6 23.1 2.6 41.0 25.6 33.3 0.0 43.6 17.9 17.9 10.3 10.3 7.5
MLB 45.0 22.8 25.1 7.1 36.7 37.8 25.4 3.8 33.2 24.5 24.5 5.7 6.7 4.6
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2021 4-Seamer MIL R 1 96.3 25.4 -9.8 -63 13.7 4.2 44
2021 Sinker MIL R 59 95.7 28.1 5.5 24 17.6 1.9 12
2021 Slider MIL R 28 80.2 42.5 0.8 2 16.9 6.8 68
2020 Sinker MIL R 83 97.5 25.0 4.1 19 17.8 1.2 7
2020 Slider MIL R 36 83.3 37.5 -1.1 -3 15.6 9.1 139
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2021 Sinker 5.1 3 59 67.0 16 .563 .750 .572 9.7 6.3 6.7 .289 .481 .325 53.3
2021 Slider 13.4 4 28 31.8 6 .500 1.500 .817 0.0 0.0 0.0 .293 .564 .358 16.7
2021 4-Seamer -3.5 0 1 1.1 -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
2020 Sinker -0.5 0 83 69.7 22 .318 .545 .368 20.4 27.3 26.1 .271 .473 .315 43.8
2020 Slider -4.0 -1 36 30.3 8 .000 .000 .000 50.0 75.0 40.0 .012 .031 .017 0.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2020 Sinker 79 97.5 87 18.8 2:00 2:45 -45
2020 Slider 36 83.3 57 16.5 8:15 9:00 -45
2021 Sinker 56 95.7 91 18.5 2:15 3:00 -45
2021 Slider 28 80.2 64 17.9 8:15 8:45 -30
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2020 37 146 -2 -1 0 0 -3
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2020 119 52.9 76.2 75.0 30.4 64.7 33.6 53.3 54.6 27.7 5.9 100.0
2021 88 61.4 63.0 97.1 23.5 75.0 44.3 91.3 47.7 7.1 3.4 100.0
Player 207 56.5 70.1 84.1 27.8 68.0 38.2 69.8 51.7 19.6 4.8 100.0
MLB 48.5 66.8 82.0 28.3 58.4 42.6 60.7 47.0 24.6 7.2 76.0
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2020 97 20
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 22.2 1 1.0 0 1 1 0 0.0
2021 21.7 2 1.1 1 1 2 0 0.0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
2021 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 2 0 3 0 2
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 97.5 95.7 -1.8 ↓
Offspeed Velocity 0 0 0
Breaking Velocity 83.3 80.2 -3.1 ↓
Exit Velocity 87.8 92.5 4.7 ↑
Launch Angle -2.2 12.7 14.9 ↑
Barrel % 11.1 9.5 -1.6 ↓
Hard Hit % 38.9 42.9 4 ↑
Sweet Spot % 38.9 33.3 -5.6 ↓
xBA .202 .29 0.088 ↑
BA .233 .545 0.312 ↑
xwOBA .236 .334 0.098 ↑
wOBA .266 .631 0.365 ↑
xSLG .355 .503 0.148 ↑
SLG .4 .955 0.555 ↑
K% 40 4.3 -35.7 ↓
BB% 0 4.3 4.3 ↑
Swing % 54.6 47.7 -6.9 ↓
Whiff% 27.7 7.1 -20.6 ↓
In Zone % 52.9 61.4 8.5 ↑
Out of Zone % 47.1 38.6 -8.5 ↓
Out of Zone Swing % 30.4 23.5 -6.9 ↓
First Pitch Swing % 26.7 30.4 3.7 ↑
First Pitch Strike % 53.3 91.3 38 ↑
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2020 30 .266 19 1 5.3 11 7 63.6
2021 22 .631 15 0 0.0 7 2 28.6

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2020 27 20.9 0.0% 11.1% 26 24.9 0.0% 15.4%
2021 22 19.3 0.0% 9.1% 21 24.9 0.0% 14.3%

Pitch Distribution

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