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Joe Kelly
Popularity: ↓ 43%
P | B/T: R/R | 6' 1" 174LBS | Age: 32

Draft: 2009 | Rd: 3, #98, St. Louis Cardinals | UC Riverside
Poor Avg Great

Stats

W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2020 0 0 1.80 12 1 0 10.0 9 1.50
9 Seasons 48 29 3.89 317 80 3 686.2 569 1.39
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2020 12 0-0 1.80 10.0 9 1.50
9 Seasons 317 48-29 3.89 686.2 569 1.39

Statcast Statistics

Season Pitches Batted Balls Barrels Barrel % Exit Velocity Launch Angle Sweet Spot % XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON Hard Hit % K % BB % ERA xERA
2015 2378 421 19 4.5 89.4 9.1 31.8 .273 .428 .335 .340 .383 41.1 18.7 8.3 4.82 4.67
2016 739 114 10 8.8 91.2 9.9 34.2 .279 .464 .356 .372 .460 41.2 25.5 12.8 5.18 5.83
2017 1025 158 7 4.4 89.1 6.5 32.3 .249 .369 .259 .316 .355 36.7 21.8 11.3 2.79 4.10
2018 1176 180 7 3.9 89.7 8.5 29.4 .241 .358 .297 .316 .358 37.8 23.9 11.2 4.39 4.06
2019 894 139 8 5.8 89.1 0.9 27.3 .220 .358 .306 .291 .355 40.4 27.4 9.7 4.56 3.55
2020 171 26 0 0.0 88.2 -3.6 30.8 .241 .309 .306 .311 .317 34.6 21.4 16.7 1.80 4.42
ALL 6383 1038 51 4.9 89.5 7.2 31.1 .256 .397 .314 .328 .377 39.6 22.3 10.3
MLB 43640 6.4 88.3 11.9 32.8 .250 .414 .317 .321 .376 34.9 21.8 8.3

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Kelly relies on 3 pitches.
Curveball
(63.2%) ,
Sinker
(22.8%) ,
4-Seam Fastball
(14%) ,


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Pitch Tracking

Year Pitch Type # # RHB # LHB % MPH PA AB H 1B 2B 3B HR SO BBE BA XBA SLG XSLG WOBA XWOBA EV LA Spin Whiff% PutAway%
2020 Curveball 108 55 53 63.2 87.1 26 22 6 3 3 0 0 8 15 .273 .212 .409 .255 .320 .263 89.4 -11 3055 36.2 25.8
2020 Sinker 39 33 6 22.8 96.8 8 8 2 2 0 0 0 1 7 .250 .216 .250 .275 .218 .203 84.8 3 2187 7.1 12.5
2020 4-Seam Fastball 24 21 3 14.0 97.3 8 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 .000 .451 .000 .676 .345 .576 89.8 13 2245 12.5 0.0
2019 Curveball 322 204 118 36.5 87.2 73 73 10 6 2 0 2 30 43 .137 .179 .247 .290 .158 .201 87.9 -8 3103 40.5 34.5
2019 4-Seam Fastball 247 144 103 28.0 97.5 69 58 15 9 4 0 2 14 44 .259 .263 .431 .451 .351 .362 92.3 9 2155 15.9 25.5
2019 Sinker 201 109 92 22.8 98.3 47 38 14 11 2 0 1 6 32 .368 .225 .500 .328 .430 .326 87.0 0 2121 20.0 13.0
2019 Changeup 111 49 62 12.6 87.6 32 29 7 5 2 0 0 12 17 .241 .185 .310 .253 .277 .235 86.5 3 2073 27.1 17.1
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2020 4-Seamer LAD R 24 97.3 16.3 -2.1 -15 10.6 1.6 18
2020 Curveball LAD R 108 87.1 46.4 3.6 8 9.9 2.4 31
2020 Sinker LAD R 39 96.8 20.2 -0.7 -4 15.4 -0.6 -3
2019 Curveball LAD R 322 87.2 50 4.6 10 10.5 2.5 31
2019 Sinker LAD R 201 98.3 19 -0.5 -3 15.3 -0.3 -2
2019 Changeup LAD R 111 87.6 29.3 -0.3 -1 17 2.7 19
2019 4-Seamer LAD R 247 97.5 14.8 -0.6 -5 9.5 0.9 11
2018 4-Seamer BOS R 586 98.1 13.7 0.5 4 9.2 0.8 9
2018 Changeup BOS R 129 87.7 29 -1.4 -5 16.5 2.4 17
2018 Curveball BOS R 219 84.3 56.4 7.8 16 9.6 2 25
2018 Sinker BOS R 65 97.6 16.6 -2.6 -14 14.8 -0.2 -1
2018 Slider BOS R 176 88 38.9 4.6 14 5.7 1.7 42
2017 Sinker BOS R 315 99 14.3 -2.4 -14 14.2 -1.3 -9
2017 4-Seamer BOS R 331 99 10.6 1 8 9.7 0.8 9
2017 Slider BOS R 157 89.6 32.8 2.6 9 4.6 1.9 69
2017 Changeup BOS R 31 87.5 28 -0.8 -3 16.4 2.5 18
2017 Curveball BOS R 187 83.8 52.4 4.3 9 5.9 -0.8 -11
2016 Slider BOS R 122 87.8 37.5 6.6 21 4.7 2.7 142
2016 Curveball BOS R 65 82.6 53.6 6.8 15 8.2 1.3 18
2016 Changeup BOS R 43 85.9 24.7 -5.4 -18 15.9 2.1 16
2016 Sinker BOS R 154 96 16 -2.6 -14 15.7 0.3 2
2016 4-Seamer BOS R 281 97.6 12.4 0.7 6 9.7 -0.3 -3
2015 Changeup BOS R 264 85.5 27.7 -2.1 -7 15.8 2 14
2015 Slider BOS R 337 86.3 37.2 4 12 5.1 2.6 103
2015 Sinker BOS R 781 96 15 -3.5 -19 15.2 -0.3 -2
2015 4-Seamer BOS R 745 96.2 12.3 1.4 10 11.3 1.5 15
2015 Curveball BOS R 216 80.1 55 4 8 10.2 2.7 36
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2020 Sinker -1.2 0 39 22.8 8 .250 .250 .225 7.1 12.5 12.5 .216 .275 .203 0.0
2020 4-Seamer -1.6 0 24 14.0 8 .000 .000 .350 12.5 0.0 0.0 .451 .676 .581 50.0
2020 Curveball -0.4 0 108 63.2 26 .273 .409 .329 36.2 30.8 25.8 .212 .255 .265 46.7
2019 Changeup 1.8 2 111 12.4 32 .241 .310 .284 27.1 37.5 17.1 .185 .253 .236 35.3
2019 Sinker 0.3 1 201 22.5 47 .368 .500 .440 20.0 12.8 13.0 .225 .328 .327 37.5
2019 4-Seamer -1.8 -5 247 27.6 69 .259 .431 .372 15.9 20.3 25.5 .263 .451 .363 50.0
2019 Curveball -0.6 -2 322 36.0 73 .137 .247 .188 40.5 41.1 34.5 .179 .290 .201 34.9
2018 Sinker -6.0 -4 65 5.5 17 .077 .077 .218 12.9 5.9 4.8 .348 .637 .489 41.7
2018 Slider 2.1 4 176 15.0 33 .233 .400 .335 35.0 24.2 15.1 .199 .294 .257 22.7
2018 Curveball -0.3 -1 219 18.6 34 .233 .333 .259 39.1 35.3 24.0 .203 .326 .245 30.0
2018 Changeup -0.5 -1 129 11.0 41 .094 .188 .251 50.0 46.3 27.9 .063 .084 .206 14.3
2018 4-Seamer -0.4 -2 586 49.8 160 .281 .374 .344 16.7 17.5 15.6 .290 .416 .355 44.6
2017 Changeup -1.8 -1 31 3.0 14 .083 .083 .164 66.7 71.4 47.6 .057 .062 .146 0.0
2017 Curveball 1.8 3 188 18.3 30 .407 .593 .460 22.5 13.3 8.3 .339 .570 .419 34.8
2017 Slider -0.8 -1 157 15.3 35 .167 .200 .244 39.4 20.0 11.1 .216 .304 .289 29.2
2017 Sinker -3.0 -9 315 30.7 76 .171 .243 .212 18.4 19.7 13.3 .273 .419 .319 35.7
2017 4-Seamer -1.1 -4 331 32.3 82 .188 .261 .276 22.5 19.5 14.0 .238 .322 .317 43.4
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Observed Spin-Based Gap Observed Spin-Based
2020 Sinker 36 96.7 92 18.1 2:15 1:30 -45
2020 Curveball 103 87.1 64 16.2 7:15 7:30 15
2020 4-Seam Fastball 23 97.2 91 16.2 1:30 1:30 0
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2016 180 713 4 -11 7 2 2
2017 247 1068 -18 -7 8 5 -12
2018 323 1338 -11 -11 8 6 -9
2019 234 948 -2 -2 2 3 1
2020 58 234 -3 0 0 1 -2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2378 48.9 59.6 89.3 24.8 61.5 43.6 62.2 41.8 19.0 7.9 73.0
2016 739 47.1 59.5 82.6 26.6 53.8 43.2 51.6 42.1 27.0 5.4 72.5
2017 1025 50.7 67.8 78.6 26.4 66.2 42.9 63.9 47.3 24.7 7.2 71.6
2018 1176 49.6 64.8 79.1 24.3 61.8 41.4 57.5 44.4 25.7 8.0 80.9
2019 894 51.6 56.5 83.3 25.8 50.9 39.3 56.2 41.9 26.4 8.3 61.6
2020 171 47.4 58.0 89.4 24.4 36.4 39.8 42.9 40.4 27.5 7.6 61.5
ALL 6383 49.4 61.4 83.9 25.3 59.2 42.3 58.9 43.2 23.4 7.6 72.3
MLB 48.4 66.1 82.8 28.2 59.4 42.6 60.6 46.6 24.5 7.2 75.1

Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel %
2015 45.8 20.2 27.6 6.4 31.8 39.0 29.2 0.7 36.1 22.3 30.2 5.5 4.5
2016 48.2 18.4 28.1 5.3 36.0 37.7 26.3 1.8 35.1 13.2 26.3 8.8 8.8
2017 51.3 19.6 25.9 3.2 28.5 38.6 32.9 3.2 42.4 19.0 26.6 4.4 4.4
2018 48.9 18.3 26.1 6.7 30.6 37.2 32.2 2.2 37.8 21.7 27.8 6.1 3.9
2019 62.6 11.5 22.3 3.6 32.4 43.2 24.5 1.4 54.7 9.4 22.3 6.5 5.8
2020 57.7 7.7 30.8 3.8 34.6 46.2 19.2 0.0 50.0 15.4 30.8 3.8 0.0
ALL 50.0 18.1 26.5 5.4 31.7 39.2 29.1 1.5 40.1 18.8 27.7 5.9 4.9
MLB 45.3 22.0 25.7 7.1 36.6 38.0 25.5 3.2 33.6 24.3 24.6 5.6 6.4

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV HardHit% K% BB% Whiff% xERA FB Velo FB Spin CB Spin
2015 18 17 26 38 18 35 64 14 1 37 33 17 18 91 21 94
2016 95 32 95
2017 54 50 75 85 30 85 78 9 17 52 12 52 54 99 50 96
2018 47 54 77 87 21 89 92 12 29 60 12 55 47 99 49 98
2019 78 80 83 82 61 87 74 37 18 75 25 57 78 98 22 99
2020
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.9 7 5.4 1.6 3 6 1 14.3
2020 0 0.7 -0.7 0 1 0

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 7 7 8 6 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 5 3 4 4 7 3 6 5 8 3 4 5 4 6 7 6 5 5 4 8
2020 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights and distances, but does not attempt to adjust for environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-   2020 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 96.1 96.9 0.8 99 2.1 98.1 -0.9 97.9 -0.2 96.9 -1
Offspeed Velocity 85.5 85.9 0.4 87.5 1.6 87.7 0.2 87.6 -0.1 0 0
Breaking Velocity 83.9 85.9 2 86.3 0.4 85.9 -0.4 87.2 1.3 87.1 -0.1
Exit Velocity 89.4 91.2 1.8 89.1 -2.1 89.7 0.6 89.1 -0.6 88.2 -0.9
Launch Angle 9.1 9.9 0.8 6.5 -3.4 8.5 2 .9 -7.6 -3.6 -4.5
Barrel % 4.5 8.8 4.3 4.4 -4.4 3.9 -0.5 5.8 1.9 0 -5.8
Hard Hit % 41.1 41.2 0.1 36.7 -4.5 37.8 1.1 40.4 2.6 34.6 -5.8
Sweet Spot % 31.8 34.2 2.4 32.3 -1.9 29.4 -2.9 27.3 -2.1 30.8 3.5
xBA .273 .279 0.006 .249 -0.03 .241 -0.008 .22 -0.021 .241 0.021
BA .276 .278 0.002 .202 -0.076 .234 0.032 .244 0.01 .235 -0.009
xwOBA .34 .372 0.032 .316 -0.056 .316 0 .291 -0.025 .311 0.02
wOBA .335 .356 0.021 .259 -0.097 .297 0.038 .306 0.009 .306 0
xSLG .428 .464 0.036 .369 -0.095 .358 -0.011 .358 0 .309 -0.049
SLG .428 .456 0.028 .279 -0.177 .332 0.053 .383 0.051 .324 -0.059
K% 18.7 25.5 6.8 21.8 -3.7 23.9 2.1 27.4 3.5 21.4 -6
BB% 8.3 12.8 4.5 11.3 -1.5 11.2 -0.1 9.7 -1.5 16.7 7
Swing % 41.8 42.1 0.3 47.3 5.2 44.4 -2.9 41.9 -2.5 40.4 -1.5
Whiff% 19 27 8 24.7 -2.3 25.7 1 26.4 0.7 27.5 1.1
In Zone Swing % 48.9 47.1 -1.8 50.7 3.6 49.6 -1.1 51.6 2 47.4 -4.2
Out of Zone Swing % 51.1 52.9 1.8 49.3 -3.6 50.4 1.1 48.4 -2 52.6 4.2
First Pitch Swing % 24.5 23.9 -0.6 29 5.1 28.1 -0.9 18.6 -9.5 14.3 -4.3
First Pitch Strike % 62.2 51.6 -10.6 63.9 12.3 57.5 -6.4 56.2 -1.3 42.9 -13.3
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Statcast Shift Statistics

vs RHHvs LHH
YearPAwOBAPAShifts%PAShifts%
2016 172 .372 111 0 0.0 61 20 32.8
2017 237 .259 144 0 0.0 93 20 21.5
2018 285 .297 159 1 0.6 126 51 40.5
2019 224 .306 128 18 14.1 96 53 55.2
2020 42 .306 25 0 0.0 17 10 58.8

Pitch Distribution