Caleb Thielbar
P | Bats/Throws: R/L | 6' 0" 205LBS | Age: 37
Draft: 2009 | Rd: 18, #556, Milwaukee Brewers | South Dakota State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2021 7 0 3.23 59 0 0 64 77 1.17
2022 4 3 3.49 67 0 1 59.1 80 1.16
2023 3 1 3.23 36 0 0 30.2 36 0.95
7 Seasons 21 8 3.04 288 0 1 272.2 294 1.12
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2021 59 7-0 3.23 64 77 1.17
2022 67 4-3 3.49 59.1 80 1.16
2023 36 3-1 3.23 30.2 36 0.95
7 Seasons 288 21-8 3.04 272.2 294 1.12
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 28 81 15 0 0.0 0.0 87.7 97.9 4.0 13.3 .153 .183 .252 .146 .202 13.3 25.0 0.0 5.40 0.93
2020 33 371 51 2 3.9 2.4 85.1 107.2 22.4 35.3 .207 .313 .236 .276 .321 25.5 26.8 11.0 2.25 3.18
2021 34 1106 166 20 12.0 7.5 88.4 113.5 20.8 32.5 .221 .418 .300 .303 .393 39.2 28.9 7.5 3.23 3.87
2022 35 996 147 10 6.8 4.1 84.9 113.4 21.5 37.4 .192 .308 .271 .249 .333 25.9 32.7 7.3 3.49 2.53
2023 36 481 78 9 11.5 7.5 88.6 114.0 20.4 37.2 .222 .421 .293 .292 .397 35.9 30.0 5.0 3.23 3.55
Player 3035 457 41 9.0 5.6 86.9 114.0 20.6 34.6 .208 .363 .280 .276 .361 31.9 30.0 7.2
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Thielbar relies on 4 pitches.
Four Seamer
(52.2%) ,
Sweeper
(21.4%) ,
Curveball
(20.6%) ,
Slider
(5.8%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 73.3 26.7 0.0 0.0 20.0 60.0 20.0 6.7 40.0 26.7 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
2020 31.4 25.5 27.5 15.7 41.2 31.4 27.5 9.8 19.6 39.2 21.6 5.9 3.9 2.4
2021 33.7 33.1 23.5 9.6 41.0 33.7 25.3 9.0 19.9 33.1 19.3 6.6 12.0 7.5
2022 30.6 34.0 25.2 10.2 34.7 32.0 33.3 6.1 19.0 39.5 23.8 4.8 6.8 4.1
2023 37.2 30.8 20.5 11.5 51.3 29.5 19.2 3.8 25.6 32.1 20.5 6.4 11.5 7.5
Player 34.4 31.9 23.2 10.5 40.0 33.0 26.9 7.2 21.2 35.4 21.0 5.7 9.0 5.6
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.8 7.0 37.0 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2023 Curveball MIN L 99 73.6 67.7 4.2 7 10.2 -0.8 -7
2023 4-Seam Fastball MIN L 251 93.1 12.9 2.5 16 4.3 -2.3 -35
2023 Slider MIN L 28 88.4 29.5 -3.2 -10 3.1 -0.9 -23
2023 Sweeper MIN L 103 80.3 42.3 0.3 1 15.2 0.2 1
2022 Curveball MIN L 246 73.0 68.3 2.7 4 10.5 -1.3 -11
2022 Sweeper MIN L 248 81.3 39.8 -1.4 -3 14.3 -0.5 -3
2022 Changeup MIN L 10 82.7 28.3 -3.5 -11 4.1 -9.5 -70
2022 4-Seam Fastball MIN L 492 92.8 12.3 2.8 19 3.2 -3.6 -53
2021 Curveball MIN L 181 71.8 70.1 4.3 7 9.8 -2.6 -21
2021 Sweeper MIN L 380 80.2 41.2 -1.5 -4 14.5 -0.9 -6
2021 4-Seam Fastball MIN L 542 91.3 13.5 2.5 16 2.7 -4.1 -60
2021 Changeup MIN L 3 82.4 24.5 -7.8 -24 4.0 -9.5 -70
2020 4-Seam Fastball MIN L 202 89.8 14.3 2.8 17 1.5 -5.0 -76
2020 Curveball MIN L 94 68.7 78.9 7.7 11 6.6 -4.0 -38
2020 Slider MIN L 14 78.8 49.8 5.7 13 6.6 -2.3 -26
2020 Sweeper MIN L 61 77.5 44.3 -1.3 -3 15.2 -1.3 -8
2015 Slider MIN L 22 78.9 45.0 -0.3 -1 10.5 2.4 29
2015 Curveball MIN L 3 71.5 69.6 4.3 7 5.9 -6.0 -51
2015 4-Seam Fastball MIN L 7 90.4 12.9 4.8 27 0.7 -6.6 -90
2015 Changeup MIN L 4 84.0 25.6 -6.4 -20 10.2 -2.8 -21
2015 Sinker MIN L 45 91.3 16.2 -7.4 -31 9.4 -4.8 -34
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2023 4-Seam Fastball 1.4 3 251 52.2 70 .197 .424 .279 21.3 28.6 28.6 .209 .410 .279 36.2
2023 Sweeper -0.3 0 103 21.4 23 .182 .455 .280 21.3 21.7 13.9 .181 .260 .211 17.6
2023 Curveball 1.1 1 99 20.6 20 .167 .222 .223 37.5 55.0 23.4 .175 .226 .225 42.9
2023 Slider -12.5 -4 28 5.8 7 .429 1.286 .700 25.0 0.0 -- .596 1.535 .881 71.4
2022 4-Seam Fastball 1.5 8 492 49.4 120 .245 .373 .310 29.6 35.0 25.8 .205 .352 .279 32.4
2022 Sweeper 1.5 4 248 24.9 58 .176 .176 .228 28.8 25.9 17.2 .152 .197 .206 13.5
2022 Curveball -0.8 -2 246 24.7 65 .234 .391 .274 33.0 35.4 23.0 .202 .317 .234 26.8
2022 Changeup 2.3 0 10 1.0 1 .000 .000 .000 16.7 0.0 0.0 .226 .415 .266 0.0
2021 4-Seam Fastball 2.3 12 542 49.0 134 .227 .403 .300 21.7 27.6 19.7 .225 .487 .327 57.0
2021 Sweeper 0.5 2 380 34.4 82 .169 .296 .262 25.8 23.2 16.0 .218 .343 .288 13.0
2021 Curveball -4.6 -8 181 16.4 49 .340 .553 .396 47.3 42.9 28.0 .219 .355 .265 34.6
2021 Changeup -3.7 0 3 0.3 -- -- -- 0.0 -- 0.0 -- -- -- --
2020 4-Seam Fastball 2.9 6 202 54.4 54 .213 .234 .264 28.4 25.9 17.5 .205 .322 .287 24.2
2020 Curveball 3.3 3 94 25.3 13 .000 .000 .000 37.5 53.8 18.4 .185 .210 .176 16.7
2020 Sweeper -3.3 -2 61 16.4 11 .444 .556 .486 24.0 9.1 7.1 .287 .426 .382 37.5
2020 Slider 3.8 1 14 3.8 4 .000 .000 .000 20.0 0.0 0.0 .126 .276 .179 25.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2023 Curveball 99 73.6 93 22.9 5:00 5:00 0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 246 93.1 92 18.6 11:15 11:30 -15
2023 Slider 27 88.4 49 5.8 12:15 1:15 -60
2023 Sweeper 103 80.3 43 16.3 3:45 3:15 30
2022 Changeup 10 82.7 63 12.5 11:30 11:00 30
2022 Curveball 246 73.0 94 22.7 5:00 5:00 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 492 92.8 92 19.2 11:30 11:45 -15
2022 Sweeper 245 81.3 36 15.3 3:30 3:00 30
2021 Curveball 179 71.8 95 22.5 5:15 5:00 15
2021 4-Seam Fastball 541 91.3 91 19.0 11:30 11:45 -15
2021 Sweeper 370 80.2 38 15.3 3:30 3:00 30
2020 Curveball 93 68.7 100 25.1 5:30 5:30 0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 200 89.8 89 19.0 11:30 11:45 -15
2020 Slider 14 78.8 44 10.7 3:45 4:45 -60
2020 Sweeper 58 77.6 43 16.0 3:45 3:00 45
! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2013 167 645 7 6 -2 -4 8
2014 205 809 4 10 -7 -4 4
2020 84 384 7 3 -2 -2 6
2021 265 1,106 14 3 -6 -5 6
2022 244 996 10 6 -2 -4 10
2023 132 530 1 1 -3 -1 -1
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 81 51.9 50.0 85.7 30.8 83.3 38.3 65.0 40.7 15.2 6.2 80.0
2020 371 51.2 71.1 76.3 26.5 50.0 41.2 59.8 49.3 29.0 8.6 75.0
2021 1,106 54.5 68.7 77.8 26.6 58.2 41.0 59.8 49.5 26.3 9.1 82.2
2022 996 52.9 73.2 72.3 33.5 61.1 43.4 69.3 54.5 30.0 8.4 82.1
2023 481 51.6 70.6 79.4 28.3 65.2 41.4 58.3 50.1 23.7 11.2 81.5
Player 3,035 53.0 70.2 76.1 29.3 60.2 41.8 62.8 51.0 27.3 9.1 81.2
MLB 48.6 66.9 82.0 28.4 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2020 80 80 87 86 71 88 86 93 97 68 25 67 39 10 84 53 67
2021 60 72 37 19 78 42 3 57 45 83 62 51 35 18 70 37 49
2022 94 92 89 81 95 78 60 99 100 93 55 80 87 32 68 44 44
2023 34 64 52 36
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2020 -- 0 0.4 0 1 1 0 --
2021 24.4 8 11.9 -4 8 5 7 87.5
2022 23.8 5 4.8 0 2 4 2 40.0
2023 25.0 9 9.2 0 0 8 4 44.4
Player 24.5 22 26.3 -4 11 18 13 59.1

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2020 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0
2021 8 14 12 14 12 11 14 10 9 9 10 15 12 11 10 13 10 9 15 13 11 13 15 12 12 9 17 14 11 10 9
2022 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 4 5 5 6 4 4 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 7 5 4 4 6 7 6 6 5
2023 9 8 10 9 9 9 10 7 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 12 10 8 11 11 9 8 12 11 8 7 9 11 11 9 6
Player 22 26 28 28 26 25 30 20 19 21 24 30 27 25 24 30 24 21 31 30 25 27 35 28 24 20 33 33 28 26 20
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2020 2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.8 91.3 1.5 92.8 1.5 93.1 0.3
Offspeed Velocity 0.0 82.4 0.0 82.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Breaking Velocity 72.7 77.5 4.8 77.2 -0.3 78.4 1.2
Exit Velocity 85.1 88.4 3.3 84.9 -3.5 88.6 3.7
Launch Angle 22.4 20.8 -1.6 21.5 0.7 20.4 -1.1
Barrel % 3.9 12.0 8.1 6.8 -5.2 11.5 4.7
Hard Hit % 25.5 39.2 13.7 25.9 -13.3 35.9 10.0
Sweet Spot % 35.3 32.5 -2.8 37.4 4.9 37.2 -0.2
xBA .207 .221 0.014 .192 -0.029 .222 0.030
BA .192 .232 0.040 .226 -0.006 .204 -0.022
xwOBA .276 .303 0.027 .249 -0.054 .292 0.043
wOBA .236 .300 0.064 .271 -0.029 .293 0.022
xSLG .313 .418 0.105 .308 -0.110 .421 0.113
SLG .219 .401 0.182 .332 -0.069 .451 0.119
K% 26.8 28.9 2.1 32.7 3.8 30.0 -2.7
BB% 11.0 7.5 -3.5 7.3 -0.2 5.0 -2.3
Swing % 49.3 49.5 0.2 54.5 5.0 50.1 -4.4
Whiff% 29.0 26.3 -2.7 30.0 3.7 23.7 -6.3
In Zone % 51.2 54.5 3.3 52.9 -1.6 51.6 -1.3
Out of Zone % 48.8 45.5 -3.3 47.1 1.6 48.4 1.3
Out of Zone Swing % 26.5 26.6 0.1 33.5 6.9 28.3 -5.2
First Pitch Swing % 29.3 29.7 0.4 38.1 8.4 37.5 -0.6
First Pitch Strike % 59.8 59.8 0.0 69.3 9.5 58.3 -11.0
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2020 Shifts 82 .236 57 9 15.8 25 8 32.0
2021 Shifts 265 .300 173 15 8.7 92 59 64.1
2022 Shifts 244 .271 154 43 27.9 90 65 72.2
2023 Shades 120 .293 73 14 19.2 47 20 42.6
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2013 191 16.9 26.2% 1.0% 89 22.3 3.4% 7.9%
2014 180 16.0 40.6% 0.6% 177 19.2 5.6% 2.8%
2015 31 15.6 48.4% 0.0% 13 21.8 15.4% 23.1%
2020 85 18.3 4.7% 0.0% 69 21.8 1.4% 4.3%
2021 278 18.9 1.8% 2.2% 187 23.0 0.0% 8.0%
2022 220 20.6 0.5% 2.7% 169 23.9 0.0% 10.7%
2023 136 16.2 13.2% 0.7% 60 17.8 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution


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