Ball State has an early-round arm for the third straight Draft, with McDermott poised to follow 2019 D-backs first-rounder Drey Jameson and 2020 Marlins second-rounder Kyle Nicolas. He redshirted in 2018 while recovering from Tommy John surgery and missed the final six weeks of the 2019 season with an injury, but he started to break out last year with 11 strikeouts in six no-hit innings against Richmond in his final start. He continued to impress in the Grand Park Summer League and has added more velocity this spring.
After working at 90-95 mph in the past, McDermott has sat at 92-96 and reached 98 with his four-seam fastball in 2021 while showing the ability to carry mid-90s velocity for several innings at a time. He's still seeking consistency with his secondary pitches, highlighted by an upper-70s curveball with downer break that can be a plus pitch at times but difficult to land at others. He also has a decent mid-80s changeup.
A quality athlete who comes from a basketball family that includes a brother (Sean) on the NBA's Memphis Grizzlies, McDermott has cleaned up his delivery and made progress with his control while at Ball State. He still needs to improve his ability to locate his pitches, especially his curve. He has a chance to make it as a starter in pro ball but also could move quickly as a reliever.
Part of a basketball family that includes a brother (Sean) who played in the NBA, McDermott chose baseball and headed to Ball State to pitch. After Tommy John surgery, he threw well in the shortened 2020 season and was among NCAA Division I’s leaders in strikeout rate the next year when the Astros made him a supplemental fourth-round pick. The big righty was missing a lot of bats during his first full season when he was dealt to the Orioles in the three-team deal that sent Trey Mancini to Houston in August 2022. After a rough first impression post-trade, he took a big step forward in 2023, reaching Triple-A and earning Baltimore’s organization Pitcher of the Year honors.
McDermott did all that by adding polish to what’s always been big stuff. His fastball lives in the mid-90s and can reach as high as 97 mph, with plus traits including good carry up in the zone. His sweepy slider is the better of his two breaking balls, though he uses an average curveball more against lefties to keep them off balance. He tweaked the grip of his changeup last year to make it more of a splitter, but it's still his offspeed pitch that needs the most refinement and remains a fringy offering. He tunnels his secondary stuff off his heater well and can maintain a good amount of velocity deep into games.
The knock on McDermott has always been his control, as walks undermined his bat-missing ability in college and then throughout his early pro career. But he appeared to turn a corner at Triple-A, where working with the Automated Ball-Strike system helped McDermott throw his secondary stuff in the zone with more conviction and consistency. He still racked up strikeouts while his walk rate -- though still on the high side -- improved. He’ll need to continue refining his location to remain on a starter’s track, with the chance to develop into a back-end rotation piece thanks to his combination of durability and bat-missing stuff.
By choosing to focus on baseball in high school, McDermott charted his own path amid a basketball family that includes a brother (Sean) who played in the NBA. He redshirted at Ball State in 2018 while recovering from Tommy John surgery before breaking out during the shortened 2020 season, finishing 12th in NCAA Division 1 in strikeout rate (13.6 per nine innings) in 2021. That was enough to make McDermott a supplemental fourth-round pick of the Astros, who signed him for $372,500 with the pick they received for losing George Springer to free agency. The big righty fanned 40 in 21 1/3 innings and reached Low-A East during his pro debut, and was continuing to miss a lot of bats at High-A when he was dealt to the Orioles in the three-team deal that sent Trey Mancini to the Astros in July 2022. He was then hit hard in his six-start debut in the O’s system, pitching to a 6.08 ERA with 7 home runs allowed in six starts for Double-A Bowie.
McDermott throws hard, but struggles with control. His fastball reaches the high-90s and operates in the mid-90s deep into games, with good carry up in the zone. But it gets hit when he doesn’t locate well, and the walked piled up in his pro debut -- 64 in 103 2/3 innings -- enough to distract from his excellent strikeout rate (13.9 per nine innings). He has two promising secondary pitches, with more feel for the low-80s slider than his mid-70s curve at this point.
McDermott will need to add more polish to remain a starter. Part of that is developing trust in a mid-80s changeup; another is translating his athleticism into consistent control and command. Without that, he could still grow into an upside reliever given his ability to miss bats. But because he’s relatively inexperienced for a college pitcher (only throwing 139 innings in four years at Ball State), the Orioles are hopeful there is still time for him to keep cleaning up his delivery and emerge as a mid-rotation starter.
Part of a basketball family that includes several players and coaches, including a brother (Sean) who made it to the NBA, McDermott opted to focus on baseball in high school. After redshirting at Ball State in 2018 while recovering from Tommy John surgery and missing the last six weeks in 2019 with an injury, he started to break out during the shortened 2020 season and finished 12th in NCAA Division I in strikeout rate (13.6 per nine innings) in 2021. Signed for $372,500 with a supplemental fourth-round pick the Astros received for the loss of free agent George Springer, he fanned 40 in 21 1/3 innings while ascending to Low-A East during his pro debut. He was continuing to miss a lot of bats while struggling with his control during his full-season debut in High-A when he was dealt to the Orioles in the three-team deal that sent Trey Mancini to Houston close to the Trade Deadline.
McDermott added 2-3 mph of velocity to his fastball in 2021, operating at 92-96 mph and topping out at 98 while maintaining mid-90s heat deep into games. He delivers his four-seamer on a flat approach angle, showing good carry up in the zone but getting hit when he doesn't locate well. He has a pair of promising secondary pitches with depth and does a better job of throwing strikes and getting chases with his low-80s slider than his mid-70s curveball.
To remain a starter, McDermott will have to add more polish. He doesn't have much trust in a mid-80s changeup with modest life, and his athleticism has yet to translate into control and command. Relatively inexperienced for a college pitcher because he worked just 139 innings in four years at Ball State, he could continue to clean up his delivery and emerge as a mid-rotation starter.
McDermott redshirted in his first season at Ball State in 2018 while recovering from Tommy John surgery and missed the last six weeks in 2019 with an injury. He started to break out with 11 strikeouts in six no-hit innings against Richmond in his final start of the truncated 2020 season, impressed in summer ball afterward and finished 12th in NCAA Division I this spring in strikeout rate (13.6 per nine innings). The Astros signed him for $372,500 with a supplemental fourth-round choice they received for the loss of free agent George Springer.
After working at 90-95 mph in the past, McDermott kicked his four-seam fastball up to 92-96 mph with a peak of 98 this year, displaying the ability to hold mid-90s velocity deep into games. His secondary pitches are more works in progress, with his upper-70s downer curveball a plus pitch at its best but difficult to land for strikes at times. He has a decent mid-80s changeup that will require more polish if he's to remain a starter in pro ball.
Part of a basketball family that includes a brother (Sean) on the NBA's Memphis Grizzlies, McDermott is a fine athlete who cleaned up his delivery and improved his control while at Ball State. He's still refining his ability to locate his pitches where he wants, particularly his curveball. If he doesn't stick in the rotation, he could be a late-inning weapon out of the bullpen.
How this works:
This section shows two different ways to evaluate pitch movement.
On the left, “Total Movement” shows the real-world movement of a pitch, including the forces of gravity, which affects every pitch thrown.
Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren't 'better' just because they have more time to move, a pitch's movement is compared to other pitches of the same pitch type, within +/- 2 MPH and +/- 0.5 feet of extension/release.
On the right, Induced Movement (or IVB) is reported without gravity, and attempts to isolate movement created by the pitcher's ability to spin and manipulate the ball.
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
Standard
Year
Team
Avg HR Trot
Actual HR
xHR
HR-xHR
Doubters
Mostly Gone
No Doubters
No Doubter %
2024
23.7
1
0.9
0
0
1
0
0.0
Player
23.7
1
0.9
0
0
1
0
0.0
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Adjusted" view here accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects using Statcast Park Factor data.
Standard
Year
HR
2024
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
Player
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
Note: xHR tells how many of this pitcher's home runs allowed would have been out of other stadiums. The "Standard" view here accounts for different wall heights and distances but excludes environmental effects. It is based purely on the observed trajectory of the hit.
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift:
three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of
their typical responsible slices of the field. Learn more about
how positioning is defined here