Marco Estrada
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 0" 180LBS | Age: 40
Draft: 2005 | Rd: 6, #174, Washington Nationals | Long Beach State
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2017 10 9 4.98 33 33 0 186 176 1.38
2018 7 14 5.64 28 28 0 143.2 103 1.43
2019 0 2 6.85 5 5 0 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 62 68 4.29 283 194 0 1,251.1 1,094 1.21
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2017 33 10-9 4.98 186 176 1.38
2018 28 7-14 5.64 143.2 103 1.43
2019 5 0-2 6.85 23.2 11 1.31
12 Seasons 283 62-68 4.29 1,251.1 1,094 1.21
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution

Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls
Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity
Max EV Launch
Angle
Sweet
Spot %
XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2015 31 2913 533 28 5.3 3.9 87.8 112.8 20.4 31.0 .218 .372 .276 .288 .316 30.8 18.1 7.6 3.13 3.39
2016 32 2843 489 36 7.4 5.0 88.1 113.2 21.3 31.9 .221 .377 .279 .296 .343 31.5 22.8 9.0 3.48 3.66
2017 33 3246 556 39 7.0 4.8 87.0 113.6 21.8 30.8 .229 .409 .333 .305 .351 30.2 21.8 8.8 4.98 3.98
2018 34 2500 471 44 9.3 7.0 87.5 112.9 24.7 37.6 .245 .454 .360 .332 .365 33.3 16.4 8.0 5.64 4.73
2019 35 408 84 7 8.3 6.6 87.7 111.8 29.1 22.6 .225 .485 .354 .341 .338 29.2 10.4 7.5 6.84 5.23
Player 11910 2133 154 7.2 5.2 87.6 113.6 22.2 32.3 .227 .404 .313 .306 .343 31.3 19.6 8.3
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.4 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .405 .316 .315 .369 36.3 22.1 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Estrada relies on 4 pitches.
4-Seam Fastball
(52.6%) ,
Changeup
(31.5%) ,
Cutter
(11.7%) ,
Curveball
(4.2%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2015 34.0 29.6 22.0 14.4 34.1 38.1 27.8 1.7 26.5 40.3 19.1 5.6 5.3 3.9
2016 34.6 27.2 22.1 16.2 38.9 33.5 27.6 3.5 22.7 36.2 22.7 4.1 7.4 5.0
2017 31.3 29.7 23.6 15.5 38.1 32.4 28.2 4.0 22.1 39.4 21.8 5.0 7.0 4.8
2018 25.7 33.5 26.1 14.6 36.7 38.9 23.1 3.2 17.8 40.8 19.7 7.9 9.3 7.0
2019 20.2 36.9 16.7 26.2 34.5 40.5 25.0 4.8 13.1 39.3 8.3 3.6 8.3 6.6
Player 31.0 30.2 23.1 15.6 36.8 35.8 26.7 3.1 22.0 39.2 20.3 5.5 7.2 5.2
MLB 44.6 23.5 24.9 7.0 37.0 37.6 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement


How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2019 Changeup OAK R 105 75.7 31.5 -2.7 -8 12.3 -0.2 -2
2019 4-Seamer OAK R 175 87.3 14.6 4.9 25 4.2 -2.3 -35
2019 Cutter OAK R 39 83.8 29.0 4.0 12 3.9 1.3 50
2019 Curveball OAK R 14 75.4 63.0 2.1 3 7.2 -0.9 -11
2018 Cutter TOR R 151 84.9 29.9 2.3 7 4.9 0.9 22
2018 Curveball TOR R 190 76.6 60.1 -0.7 -1 5.6 -3.1 -36
2018 4-Seamer TOR R 1,232 88.5 14.0 3.9 22 4.2 -1.6 -27
2018 Changeup TOR R 923 76.8 29.6 -2.4 -7 10.0 -0.9 -8
2017 Cutter TOR R 223 86.5 26.4 1.3 5 3.0 0.0 -2
2017 Changeup TOR R 1,033 77.5 27.4 -3.9 -12 11.8 -0.6 -5
2017 4-Seamer TOR R 1,735 89.8 11.7 4.4 27 5.8 -1.6 -22
2017 Curveball TOR R 250 77.5 60.1 2.1 4 4.5 -3.1 -40
2016 Cutter TOR R 550 87.7 16.8 7.8 32 3.0 1.6 120
2016 Changeup TOR R 785 77.5 26.6 -4.2 -14 9.6 -0.6 -6
2016 Curveball TOR R 274 76.6 60.2 3.0 5 8.9 0.9 11
2016 4-Seamer TOR R 1,140 88.5 12.0 5.1 30 3.1 -3.2 -51
2015 Cutter TOR R 214 88.6 -- -- 2.7 1.3 96
2015 Curveball TOR R 312 77.8 -- -- 10.5 1.3 14
2015 Changeup TOR R 802 79.1 -- -- 10.7 -1.2 -10
2015 4-Seamer TOR R 1,534 89.8 -- -- 5.3 -2.0 -28
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2019 4-Seamer -0.6 -1 175 42.9 41 .176 .529 .380 10.3 12.2 11.4 .259 .691 .434 41.4
2019 Changeup -1.2 -1 105 25.7 35 .188 .375 .296 30.2 14.3 14.7 .155 .285 .246 14.8
2019 Cutter -0.3 0 39 9.6 5 .600 .600 .540 16.7 0.0 0.0 .352 .432 .340 40.0
2019 Curveball -12.3 -2 14 3.4 4 .750 1.250 .850 0.0 0.0 0.0 .395 .515 .392 25.0
2018 4-Seamer -0.8 -10 1,232 49.3 299 .288 .592 .390 16.9 14.4 12.1 .269 .573 .388 41.7
2018 Changeup -0.1 -1 923 36.9 270 .252 .450 .333 32.1 18.1 15.0 .212 .332 .280 23.1
2018 Curveball -0.9 -2 191 7.6 36 .250 .444 .294 9.4 25.0 12.5 .252 .361 .265 33.3
2018 Cutter -3.0 -5 151 6.0 22 .381 .571 .425 25.5 9.1 5.9 .293 .496 .350 36.8
2017 4-Seamer 0.2 4 1,735 53.5 388 .236 .452 .334 18.7 21.6 18.3 .226 .439 .320 34.6
2017 Changeup -0.8 -9 1,033 31.8 304 .245 .480 .341 34.7 23.7 20.2 .211 .359 .279 23.8
2017 Curveball -0.6 -2 251 7.7 58 .345 .364 .325 10.5 24.1 17.1 .253 .331 .266 26.2
2017 Cutter -1.9 -4 223 6.9 56 .353 .549 .416 16.8 10.7 14.3 .322 .559 .400 37.8
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2008 61 231 1 -5 -2 -3 -9
2009 32 151 -1 0 1 -2 -2
2010 57 237 -2 0 -2 -2 -6
2011 406 1,648 7 6 -9 -6 -2
2012 562 2,244 -6 22 -7 -7 3
2013 512 1,991 3 17 -11 -5 4
2014 614 2,488 -3 13 -12 -6 -8
2015 795 3,194 16 34 -21 -8 20
2016 802 3,129 30 24 -19 -10 25
2017 806 3,242 -1 33 -30 -13 -10
2018 627 2,497 1 15 -25 -7 -17
2019 85 333 3 -1 -4 -2 -4
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2015 2,913 50.6 71.0 80.0 27.6 71.0 44.0 57.9 49.6 21.8 7.4 81.9
2016 2,843 46.2 67.2 78.7 27.3 61.7 45.1 58.9 45.8 26.1 6.1 77.0
2017 3,246 50.4 70.9 76.9 27.3 70.5 45.5 58.7 49.3 24.1 6.4 81.2
2018 2,500 47.8 72.8 79.7 26.3 67.3 44.8 63.8 48.6 23.2 5.7 80.4
2019 408 46.8 75.6 83.1 18.1 68.8 49.2 58.5 45.8 17.1 4.5 93.3
Player 11,910 48.8 70.6 78.9 26.9 67.7 45.0 59.6 48.3 23.6 6.4 80.5
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.5 58.0 42.6 60.9 47.1 24.8 7.3 76.1
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA
xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit%
K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate
FB
Velo
FB
Spin
CB
Spin
Extension
2015 73 81 58 33 79 14 41 59 69 35 47 44 28 14 84 87 10
2016 68 81 63 49 73 9 19 63 74 64 33 75 29 7 88 85 2
2017 58 73 44 31 74 4 29 55 73 52 41 50 46 11 86 78 2
2018 23 42 11 5 49 1 7 73 67 13 53 39 30 4 71 71 3
2019 2 58 2
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2016 21.8 26 26.9 -1 16 23 11 42.3
2017 23.2 31 26.9 4 10 22 12 38.7
2018 22.9 29 30.5 -2 10 27 11 37.9
2019 22.5 7 5.1 2 0 5 1 14.3
Player 22.7 93 89.4 4 36 77 35 37.6

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2016 26 30 19 31 27 23 32 28 27 18 26 35 25 20 25 29 14 24 26 31 23 21 39 36 24 24 29 40 31 31 19
2017 31 25 25 31 32 27 33 26 20 20 26 37 26 27 26 26 23 22 27 30 27 25 36 28 27 20 28 35 29 28 15
2018 29 35 21 29 32 29 34 28 29 19 30 35 30 24 30 35 27 33 30 38 34 33 43 36 23 21 30 32 34 34 27
2019 7 6 3 4 6 6 6 6 3 3 6 3 6 4 5 6 6 5 3 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 3 6 6 6 3
Player 93 96 68 95 97 85 105 88 79 60 88 110 87 75 86 96 70 84 86 105 89 85 124 106 80 71 90 113 100 99 64
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2015 2016 +/-   2017 +/-   2018 +/-   2019 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 89.7 88.3 -1.4 89.5 1.2 88.2 -1.3 86.7 -1.5
Offspeed Velocity 79.1 77.5 -1.6 77.5 0.0 76.8 -0.7 75.7 -1.1
Breaking Velocity 77.8 76.6 -1.2 77.5 0.9 76.6 -0.9 75.4 -1.2
Exit Velocity 87.8 88.1 0.3 87.0 -1.1 87.5 0.5 87.7 0.2
Launch Angle 20.4 21.3 0.9 21.8 0.5 24.7 2.9 29.1 4.4
Barrel % 5.3 7.4 2.1 7.0 -0.4 9.3 2.3 8.3 -1.0
Hard Hit % 30.8 31.5 0.7 30.2 -1.3 33.3 3.1 29.2 -4.1
Sweet Spot % 31.0 31.9 0.9 30.8 -1.1 37.6 6.8 22.6 -15.0
xBA .218 .221 0.003 .229 0.008 .245 0.016 .225 -0.020
BA .203 .203 0.000 .256 0.053 .274 0.018 .242 -0.032
xwOBA .288 .296 0.008 .305 0.009 .332 0.027 .341 0.009
wOBA .276 .279 0.003 .333 0.054 .360 0.027 .354 -0.006
xSLG .372 .377 0.005 .409 0.032 .454 0.045 .485 0.031
SLG .364 .361 -0.003 .463 0.102 .521 0.058 .537 0.016
K% 18.1 22.8 4.7 21.8 -1.0 16.4 -5.4 10.4 -6.0
BB% 7.6 9.0 1.4 8.8 -0.2 8.0 -0.8 7.5 -0.5
Swing % 49.6 45.8 -3.8 49.3 3.5 48.6 -0.7 45.8 -2.8
Whiff% 21.8 26.1 4.3 24.1 -2.0 23.2 -0.9 17.1 -6.1
In Zone % 50.6 46.2 -4.4 50.4 4.2 47.8 -2.6 46.8 -1.0
Out of Zone % 49.4 53.8 4.4 49.6 -4.2 52.2 2.6 53.2 1.0
Out of Zone Swing % 27.6 27.3 -0.3 27.3 0.0 26.3 -1.0 18.1 -8.2
First Pitch Swing % 29.4 28.8 -0.6 28.0 -0.8 30.5 2.5 29.2 -1.3
First Pitch Strike % 57.9 58.9 1.0 58.7 -0.2 63.8 5.1 58.5 -5.3
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2016 Shifts 693 .277 323 3 0.9 370 130 35.1
2017 Shifts 805 .333 450 9 2.0 355 114 32.1
2018 Shifts 627 .360 360 18 5.0 267 123 46.1
2019 Shifts 85 .349 52 2 3.8 33 16 48.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2010 56 15.5 44.6% 0.0% 51 21.0 0.0% 3.9%
2011 501 15.2 46.5% 0.8% 221 23.3 0.0% 8.6%
2012 627 15.7 39.6% 0.3% 326 23.0 1.5% 9.5%
2013 678 15.4 44.7% 0.4% 243 23.6 5.8% 7.8%
2014 802 15.4 43.9% 0.1% 325 23.4 1.2% 9.8%
2015 921 17.5 26.7% 2.6% 383 25.0 4.4% 25.8%
2016 880 16.5 36.0% 2.4% 473 22.6 6.3% 12.7%
2017 918 16.2 32.7% 0.8% 520 22.0 0.4% 5.6%
2018 760 15.8 37.5% 0.1% 367 20.6 0.0% 3.0%
2019 106 17.2 25.5% 0.0% 56 23.3 0.0% 3.6%
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Pitch Distribution