Mitch Keller
P | Bats/Throws: R/R | 6' 3" 220LBS | Age: 28
Draft: 2014 | Rd: 2, #64, Pittsburgh Pirates | Xavier (IA) HS
W L ERA G GS SV IP SO WHIP
2022 5 12 3.91 31 29 0 159 138 1.40
2023 13 9 4.21 32 32 0 194.1 210 1.25
2024 7 3 3.42 12 12 0 73.2 66 1.22
6 Seasons 32 41 4.55 114 112 0 597.1 587 1.42
G W-L ERA IP SO WHIP
2022 31 5-12 3.91 159 138 1.40
2023 32 13-9 4.21 194.1 210 1.25
2024 12 7-3 3.42 73.2 66 1.22
6 Seasons 114 32-41 4.55 597.1 587 1.42
MLB Percentile Rankings
Pitch Distribution
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Statcast Statistics

Season Age Pitches Batted
Balls		 Barrels Barrel % Barrel/PA Exit
Velocity		 Max EV Launch
Angle		 LA Sweet-
Spot %		 XBA XSLG WOBA XWOBA XWOBACON HardHit% K% BB% ERA xERA
2019 23 932 145 8 5.5 3.5 87.2 115.7 10.9 33.8 .236 .346 .392 .284 .383 35.3 28.6 7.0 7.13 3.51
2020 24 385 52 6 11.5 6.9 88.5 114.6 14.3 19.2 .202 .467 .303 .370 .364 42.3 18.4 20.7 2.91 6.08
2021 25 1858 322 22 6.8 4.7 91.5 110.2 11.5 40.1 .288 .452 .379 .359 .404 47.5 19.6 10.4 6.17 5.65
2022 26 2661 477 34 7.1 4.9 87.9 112.7 7.8 33.3 .253 .383 .323 .318 .354 37.3 20.1 8.7 3.91 4.23
2023 27 3119 548 47 8.6 5.7 87.7 115.1 10.3 36.5 .251 .404 .310 .315 .389 35.6 25.5 6.7 4.21 4.18
2024 28 1136 218 17 7.8 5.5 89.5 114.4 11.0 41.7 .258 .429 .311 .332 .388 43.1 21.2 6.4 3.42 4.36
Player 10091 1762 134 7.6 5.1 88.7 115.7 10.1 36.2 .256 .407 .333 .325 .381 39.4 22.5 8.4
MLB 6.9 4.7 88.5 122.4 12.2 33.1 .245 .406 .316 .315 .369 36.4 22.2 8.4
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Statcast Pitch Arsenal

Keller relies on 7 pitches.
Four Seamer
(33.3%) ,
Sinker
(22.3%) ,
Sweeper
(13.5%) ,
Cutter
(12.3%) ,
Slider
(10.3%) ,
Curveball
(7.3%) ,
Changeup
(1.0%) ,


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Pitch Tracking



Batted Ball Profile

Season GB % FB % LD % PU % Pull % Straight % Oppo % Weak % Topped % Under % Flare/Burner % Solid % Barrel % Barrel/PA
2019 40.7 20.0 35.2 4.1 37.9 32.4 29.7 4.8 29.0 17.9 22.1 2.1 5.5 3.5
2020 42.3 36.5 13.5 7.7 38.5 36.5 25.0 5.8 36.5 30.8 7.7 7.7 11.5 6.9
2021 41.0 24.8 29.8 4.3 29.5 38.8 31.7 4.3 27.0 21.7 32.6 7.5 6.8 4.7
2022 49.9 19.3 25.8 5.0 33.1 40.0 26.8 7.1 36.9 19.5 24.3 4.4 7.1 4.9
2023 44.2 25.5 25.0 5.3 34.7 36.5 28.8 5.1 32.1 22.4 27.7 4.0 8.6 5.7
2024 39.0 23.9 32.6 4.6 40.8 32.6 26.6 3.7 30.3 22.9 27.1 8.3 7.8 5.5
Player 44.2 23.4 27.5 4.9 34.4 37.1 28.5 5.3 32.1 21.5 26.6 5.2 7.6 5.1
MLB 44.6 23.6 24.8 7.0 37.1 37.5 25.3 3.9 32.8 24.7 24.4 5.8 6.9 4.7
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Pitch Movement

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How this works: Every pitch is affected by the forces of gravity, which means that every pitch drops on its way from the mound to the plate. These numbers are reported with gravity, which makes them larger and different than other pitch movement numbers you may have seen. Since gravity requires time, and slower pitches aren’t ‘better’ just because they have more time to move, the movement of a pitch is compared to ‘average’ movement by comparing it to other MLB pitch types within +/- 2 MPH and from within +/- 0.5 feet of extension and release.
Vertical Movement (inches) Horizontal Movement (inches)
Year Pitch Team Hand # MPH Inches of Drop vs Avg % vs Avg Inches of Break vs Avg % Break vs Avg
2024 Slider PIT R 106 87.8 33.4 0.1 0 4.6 0.3 8
2024 Sweeper PIT R 138 83.3 39.5 1.7 5 15.5 2.0 15
2024 Cutter PIT R 127 90.3 26.5 -1.4 -6 3.4 0.8 32
2024 Sinker PIT R 229 93.4 22.6 0.1 0 15.9 0.9 6
2024 Changeup PIT R 10 89.9 28.5 -0.2 -1 17.1 2.0 13
2024 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 343 94.5 15.6 -0.9 -6 9.2 1.7 23
2024 Curveball PIT R 75 78.6 57.9 3.5 6 13.4 4.0 43
2023 Changeup PIT R 88 90.7 29.8 2.0 7 15.4 0.4 3
2023 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 814 95.2 15.2 -0.8 -6 9.0 1.5 20
2023 Sweeper PIT R 501 82.8 40.5 1.4 4 18.5 4.6 33
2023 Curveball PIT R 249 78.0 59.9 4.1 7 12.5 3.5 39
2023 Sinker PIT R 710 93.9 21.9 0.0 0 15.6 0.6 4
2023 Cutter PIT R 757 89.7 28.3 -2.2 -8 3.6 0.9 35
2022 Changeup PIT R 173 91.2 28.1 1.0 4 14.8 -0.1 -1
2022 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 887 95.5 15.2 -1.3 -9 7.3 -0.1 -1
2022 Slider PIT R 168 87.1 36.2 2.5 7 4.9 0.6 14
2022 Curveball PIT R 411 78.7 60.0 4.9 9 11.2 2.6 31
2022 Sinker PIT R 591 94.4 19.7 -1.1 -5 14.8 0.0 0
2022 Sweeper PIT R 431 83.2 42.0 3.4 9 17.4 3.9 29
2021 Changeup PIT R 88 89.8 25.3 -2.1 -8 13.8 -0.3 -2
2021 Cutter PIT R 450 86.2 36.0 -6.6 -23 3.2 0.0 1
2021 Curveball PIT R 270 78.5 59.3 4.2 8 9.5 1.5 19
2021 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 1,050 93.8 15.3 -0.7 -4 6.6 -0.3 -5
2020 Curveball PIT R 75 78.1 59.2 2.8 5 7.9 -0.2 -3
2020 Changeup PIT R 12 88.8 26.5 -1.0 -4 13.2 -0.4 -3
2020 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 214 93.9 14.3 0.2 1 7.1 0.4 6
2020 Cutter PIT R 84 86.9 31.6 -3.2 -11 4.3 1.1 33
2019 4-Seam Fastball PIT R 448 95.4 14.5 0.0 0 6.8 -0.6 -9
2019 Curveball PIT R 120 81.1 56.9 4.7 9 9.2 2.3 33
2019 Changeup PIT R 28 91.0 23.7 -2.8 -10 14.1 0.3 2
2019 Cutter PIT R 157 87.6 35.9 -7.1 -25 4.1 2.1 105
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
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Run Values by Pitch Type

Year Pitch Type Team RV/100 Run Value Pitches % PA BA SLG wOBA Whiff% K% PutAway % xBA xSLG xwOBA Hard Hit %
2024 4-Seam Fastball 0.9 3 343 33.3 75 .266 .359 .337 27.4 24.0 17.6 .261 .467 .377 48.9
2024 Sinker 0.2 1 229 22.2 72 .258 .435 .346 11.8 13.9 21.3 .230 .401 .315 46.3
2024 Sweeper -0.1 0 139 13.5 52 .250 .396 .310 20.8 21.2 15.9 .263 .391 .313 27.0
2024 Cutter 0.1 0 127 12.3 42 .231 .385 .277 23.2 14.3 28.6 .306 .480 .359 47.1
2024 Slider -0.6 -1 106 10.3 30 .214 .393 .287 28.8 26.7 28.6 .279 .476 .347 50.0
2024 Curveball 1.9 1 75 7.3 12 .167 .333 .208 33.3 41.7 31.3 .221 .330 .236 42.9
2024 Changeup -23.0 -2 10 1.0 4 .750 1.250 .850 0.0 0.0 0.0 .473 1.026 .625 75.0
2023 4-Seam Fastball 0.6 5 814 26.1 215 .176 .351 .279 30.2 43.3 25.8 .177 .343 .280 41.2
2023 Cutter -0.6 -4 757 24.3 192 .316 .503 .376 23.6 14.6 23.7 .306 .457 .352 30.7
2023 Sinker 1.5 11 710 22.8 199 .258 .346 .309 10.5 18.1 26.1 .236 .341 .285 35.1
2023 Sweeper -0.4 -2 501 16.1 146 .221 .324 .286 27.2 27.4 15.9 .259 .395 .309 30.2
2023 Curveball -1.3 -3 249 8.0 48 .273 .614 .382 23.5 22.9 17.2 .315 .654 .424 52.9
2023 Changeup -2.4 -2 88 2.8 25 .360 .600 .410 21.1 8.0 11.8 .368 .552 .396 43.5
2022 4-Seam Fastball -0.1 -1 887 33.3 197 .267 .407 .346 24.1 25.4 17.2 .218 .362 .304 29.3
2022 Sinker 1.3 8 591 22.2 163 .307 .400 .366 13.0 6.7 20.4 .319 .428 .375 38.9
2022 Sweeper 1.0 4 431 16.2 126 .183 .252 .226 28.1 33.3 21.9 .219 .342 .270 38.2
2022 Curveball -2.3 -9 411 15.4 97 .275 .429 .337 20.0 18.6 15.1 .250 .379 .298 41.1
2022 Changeup -1.4 -3 173 6.5 52 .326 .457 .407 14.3 11.5 15.8 .256 .385 .326 47.5
2022 Slider -1.4 -2 168 6.3 51 .267 .467 .357 28.0 21.6 22.4 .267 .438 .350 38.2
2021 4-Seam Fastball -0.3 -3 1,050 56.5 252 .315 .498 .391 17.8 19.8 17.7 .283 .474 .369 46.7
2021 Cutter -0.8 -3 450 24.2 134 .261 .395 .324 30.3 24.6 18.9 .236 .355 .298 47.1
2021 Curveball -4.7 -13 270 14.5 67 .452 .565 .465 12.8 11.9 9.8 .389 .541 .424 50.0
2021 Changeup -3.0 -3 88 4.7 16 .385 .462 .434 6.7 6.3 12.5 .373 .542 .450 50.0
2020 4-Seam Fastball 0.7 1 214 55.6 50 .184 .395 .352 18.2 12.0 11.1 .245 .552 .420 53.1
2020 Cutter 1.5 1 84 21.8 17 .000 .000 .206 37.5 35.3 17.6 .052 .060 .241 16.7
2020 Curveball 0.3 0 75 19.5 18 .118 .471 .261 13.0 22.2 13.3 .214 .579 .345 30.8
2020 Changeup -6.3 -1 12 3.1 2 .000 .000 .350 0.0 0.0 0.0 .182 .184 .446 0.0
2019 4-Seam Fastball -2.5 -11 448 48.1 98 .461 .719 .515 17.5 22.4 18.0 .314 .460 .352 42.0
2019 Cutter 0.6 1 157 16.8 47 .200 .289 .277 47.8 38.3 29.5 .187 .304 .229 29.6
2019 Curveball 3.3 4 120 12.9 35 .133 .133 .183 33.3 37.1 25.5 .155 .196 .215 11.1
2019 Changeup -10.5 -3 28 3.0 5 .800 1.000 .790 14.3 0.0 0.0 .343 .421 .328 60.0
! Note: Years are in reverse order.
! Note: To better align with other values, positive numbers (red) are good, and negative numbers (blue) are poor.
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Spin Direction

Year Pitch Type Pitches MPH Active Spin % Total Movement (In.) Spin-Based Observed Deviation
2024 Changeup 10 89.9 88 18.6 2:00 2:30 -30
2024 Curveball 75 78.6 91 21.4 7:15 7:30 -15
2024 Cutter 127 90.3 41 7.3 12:00 10:45 75
2024 4-Seam Fastball 343 94.5 84 17.3 1:15 1:15 0
2024 Sinker 228 93.4 78 18.5 1:15 2:15 -60
2024 Slider 106 87.8 29 5.4 10:45 9:15 90
2024 Sweeper 139 83.3 64 16.5 8:15 8:45 -30
2023 Changeup 86 90.7 95 16.5 2:00 2:45 -45
2023 Curveball 247 78.0 93 21.8 7:15 7:15 0
2023 Cutter 751 89.7 38 6.5 11:45 10:30 75
2023 4-Seam Fastball 813 95.2 87 17.2 1:15 1:00 15
2023 Sinker 696 93.8 82 18.3 1:15 2:00 -45
2023 Sweeper 487 82.7 64 19.6 8:00 8:45 -45
2022 Changeup 167 91.1 96 16.0 2:00 2:30 -30
2022 Curveball 407 78.6 93 21.8 7:00 7:00 0
2022 4-Seam Fastball 867 95.5 84 16.2 1:15 1:00 15
2022 Sinker 588 94.4 82 18.6 1:00 2:00 -60
2022 Slider 160 87.1 32 6.5 8:45 8:15 30
2022 Sweeper 425 83.2 61 18.9 7:45 8:30 -45
2021 Changeup 87 89.9 96 16.5 1:30 2:00 -30
2021 Curveball 268 78.6 90 20.2 7:00 7:00 0
2021 Cutter 448 86.2 26 4.2 9:15 8:30 45
2021 4-Seam Fastball 1,047 93.8 85 16.6 1:00 12:45 15
2020 Changeup 11 89.0 95 16.3 1:30 2:00 -30
2020 Curveball 71 78.2 84 18.8 7:00 6:45 15
2020 Cutter 63 87.4 32 5.7 11:00 10:00 60
2020 4-Seam Fastball 191 94.0 91 17.7 1:00 12:45 15
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! Note: This table is showing data from the PITCHER perspective.
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Swing/Take

Runs
Year Team PA Pitches Heart Shadow Chase Waste All
2019 185 753 -1 -3 -3 -2 -9
2020 87 385 4 6 -4 -4 2
2021 469 1,858 -6 11 -15 -12 -22
2022 686 2,661 13 8 -14 -10 -3
2023 825 3,119 4 26 -15 -11 4
2024 287 1,029 -1 12 -4 -4 2
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Plate Discipline

Season Pitches Zone % Zone Swing % Zone Contact % Chase % Chase Contact % Edge % 1st Pitch Strike % Swing % Whiff % Meatball % Meatball Swing %
2019 932 51.5 73.5 82.5 29.9 47.7 41.4 63.4 51.7 24.9 9.4 85.9
2020 385 45.2 66.7 82.8 19.0 67.5 41.6 46.0 40.5 21.2 7.8 73.3
2021 1,858 50.2 66.6 86.3 25.5 58.5 41.4 56.0 46.1 20.2 7.3 80.0
2022 2,661 50.1 65.2 85.3 26.0 61.0 43.1 56.8 45.6 21.4 7.0 70.1
2023 3,119 53.8 65.5 81.6 27.1 62.1 42.4 63.8 47.8 23.2 8.8 71.6
2024 1,136 52.5 63.8 82.9 29.6 64.4 47.3 60.5 47.5 22.4 8.6 78.6
Player 10,091 51.5 66.0 83.7 26.6 60.4 42.9 59.5 47.0 22.2 8.0 74.9
MLB 48.6 67.0 82.0 28.4 57.9 42.6 60.9 47.2 24.8 7.3 76.2
! Note: All figures in this table cover the period 2015-present.

Percentile Rankings

Year xwOBA /
xERA 		xBA xSLG xISO xOBP Brl Brl% EV Hard
Hit% 		K% BB% Whiff% Chase
Rate 		FB
Velo 		FB
Spin 		CB
Spin 		Extension
2019 78 57 86 96 64 87 79 83 61 80 67 47 59 81 93 83 41
2020 12 83 19 3 7 46 10 47 20 18 1 15 2 60 66 60 27
2021 8 4 22 45 3 36 63 3 2 22 22 10 22 55 79 70 31
2022 33 29 47 64 20 13 52 63 56 29 38 17 13 71 88 64 48
2023 49 39 48 59 56 3 36 77 74 65 76 29 26 60 83 67 62
2024 23 27 26 28 37 7 44 31 17 36 72 32 63 50 87 72 48
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Expected Home Runs

Year Team Avg HR Trot Actual HR xHR HR-xHR Doubters Mostly Gone No Doubters No Doubter %
2019 22.3 6 2.5 4 5 3 1 16.7
2020 24.1 4 3.9 0 0 5 1 25.0
2021 24.0 10 12.8 -3 5 12 3 30.0
2022 24.6 14 15.7 -2 8 16 3 21.4
2023 23.0 25 26.5 -2 6 20 11 44.0
2024 23.6 6 8.8 -3 3 6 4 66.7
Player 23.6 65 70.2 -5 27 62 23 35.4

Expected Home Runs by Park

Year HR
2019 6 3 1 6 4 1 4 2 3 1 1 3 3 2 2 1 2 1 3 3 3 2 5 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 2
2020 4 6 4 3 3 5 5 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 2 5 4 5 3 5 4 5 3 4 2 3 5 6 5 3
2021 10 14 11 15 15 14 15 13 9 9 10 18 10 9 14 15 10 12 12 15 12 11 17 15 9 11 17 15 13 12 11
2022 14 13 10 20 15 15 17 14 13 10 13 20 18 16 17 20 17 17 15 17 17 12 23 19 12 12 15 19 16 15 13
2023 25 25 21 28 29 25 27 27 22 25 24 24 29 26 28 31 29 25 29 30 26 22 35 30 25 23 28 28 30 26 19
2024 6 8 7 9 8 11 10 11 8 7 7 12 6 8 11 9 9 9 8 11 9 7 11 10 7 9 8 8 10 10 7
Player 65 69 54 81 74 71 78 70 57 54 58 80 70 65 77 78 72 68 72 79 72 58 96 81 59 59 73 78 78 70 55
! Note: This tells how many of this player's home runs would have been out of other stadiums. This accounts for different wall heights, distances and environmental effects. For these purposes, the 2020 Blue Jays home field was still Rogers Centre, not Sahlen Field.
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Year to Year Changes

Metric 2019 2020 +/-   2021 +/-   2022 +/-   2023 +/-   2024 +/-  
Fastball Velocity 93.4 91.9 -1.5 ↓ 91.5 -0.4 ↓ 95.1 3.6 ↑ 92.9 -2.2 ↓ 93.4 0.5 ↑
Offspeed Velocity 91.0 88.8 -2.2 ↓ 89.8 1.0 ↑ 91.2 1.4 ↑ 90.7 -0.5 ↓ 89.9 -0.8 ↓
Breaking Velocity 81.1 78.1 -3.0 ↓ 78.5 0.4 ↑ 82.0 3.5 ↑ 81.2 -0.8 ↓ 83.8 2.6 ↑
Exit Velocity 87.2 88.5 1.3 ↑ 91.5 3.0 ↑ 87.9 -3.6 ↓ 87.7 -0.2 ↓ 89.5 1.8 ↑
Launch Angle 10.9 14.3 3.4 ↑ 11.5 -2.8 ↓ 7.8 -3.7 ↓ 10.3 2.5 ↑ 11.0 0.7 ↑
Barrel % 5.5 11.5 6.0 ↑ 6.8 -4.7 ↓ 7.1 0.3 ↑ 8.6 1.5 ↑ 7.8 -0.8 ↓
Hard Hit % 35.3 42.3 7.0 ↑ 47.5 5.2 ↑ 37.3 -10.2 ↓ 35.6 -1.7 ↓ 43.1 7.5 ↑
LA Sweet-Spot % 33.8 19.2 -14.6 ↓ 40.1 20.9 ↑ 33.3 -6.8 ↓ 36.5 3.2 ↑ 41.7 5.2 ↑
xBA .236 .202 -0.034 ↓ .288 0.086 ↑ .253 -0.035 ↓ .251 -0.002 ↓ .258 0.007 ↑
BA .348 .132 -0.216 ↓ .322 0.190 ↑ .266 -0.056 ↓ .249 -0.017 ↓ .250 0.001 ↑
xwOBA .284 .370 0.086 ↑ .359 -0.011 ↓ .318 -0.041 ↓ .315 -0.003 ↓ .332 0.017 ↑
wOBA .392 .303 -0.089 ↓ .379 0.076 ↑ .323 -0.056 ↓ .310 -0.013 ↓ .311 0.001 ↑
xSLG .346 .467 0.121 ↑ .452 -0.015 ↓ .383 -0.069 ↓ .404 0.021 ↑ .429 0.025 ↑
SLG .546 .338 -0.208 ↓ .477 0.139 ↑ .388 -0.089 ↓ .404 0.016 ↑ .396 -0.008 ↓
K% 28.6 18.4 -10.2 ↓ 19.6 1.2 ↑ 20.1 0.5 ↑ 25.5 5.4 ↑ 21.2 -4.3 ↓
BB% 7.0 20.7 13.7 ↑ 10.4 -10.3 ↓ 8.7 -1.7 ↓ 6.7 -2.0 ↓ 6.4 -0.3 ↓
Swing % 51.7 40.5 -11.2 ↓ 46.1 5.6 ↑ 45.6 -0.5 ↓ 47.8 2.2 ↑ 47.5 -0.3 ↓
Whiff% 24.9 21.2 -3.7 ↓ 20.2 -1.0 ↓ 21.4 1.2 ↑ 23.2 1.8 ↑ 22.4 -0.8 ↓
In Zone % 51.5 45.2 -6.3 ↓ 50.2 5.0 ↑ 50.1 -0.1 ↓ 53.8 3.7 ↑ 52.5 -1.3 ↓
Out of Zone % 48.5 54.8 6.3 ↑ 49.8 -5.0 ↓ 49.9 0.1 ↑ 46.2 -3.7 ↓ 47.5 1.3 ↑
Out of Zone Swing % 29.9 19.0 -10.9 ↓ 25.5 6.5 ↑ 26.0 0.5 ↑ 27.1 1.1 ↑ 29.6 2.5 ↑
First Pitch Swing % 31.7 18.4 -13.3 ↓ 29.6 11.2 ↑ 25.6 -4.0 ↓ 31.8 6.2 ↑ 28.6 -3.2 ↓
First Pitch Strike % 63.4 46.0 -17.4 ↓ 56.0 10.0 ↑ 56.8 0.8 ↑ 63.8 7.0 ↑ 60.5 -3.3 ↓
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Statcast Fielder Positioning

vs RHHvs LHH
YearAlignment TypePAwOBAPATotal%PATotal%
2019 Shifts 205 .378 113 26 23.0 92 44 47.8
2020 Shifts 87 .303 36 21 58.3 51 33 64.7
2021 Shifts 469 .379 239 18 7.5 230 171 74.3
2022 Shifts 686 .323 357 59 16.5 329 202 61.4
2023 Shades 825 .310 395 29 7.3 430 225 52.3
2024 Shades 287 .316 132 7 5.3 155 7 4.5
! Note: Shifts are through the 2022 season, Shaded starting from the 2023 season, Shift: three or more infielders are on the same side of second base, Shade: positioned outside of their typical responsible slices of the field.
Learn more about how positioning is defined here

Pitch Tempo

Bases EmptyRunners On Base
SeasonTeamPitchesTempoFast %Slow %PitchesTempoFast %Slow %
2019 181 15.8 38.1% 1.7% 122 22.8 0.0% 5.7%
2020 139 17.2 14.4% 0.7% 48 23.3 0.0% 14.6%
2021 481 16.9 28.1% 0.6% 342 22.4 0.0% 7.9%
2022 762 15.0 50.3% 1.4% 474 21.5 0.0% 4.2%
2023 878 12.1 91.5% 0.0% 493 17.7 2.4% 0.8%
2024 278 14.2 61.9% 1.1% 176 19.4 0.0% 0.0%
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Pitch Distribution

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